Bran Ferren: To create for the ages, let's combine art and engineering

111,090 views ・ 2014-03-25

TED


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Translator: Andreja Benčina Reviewer: Nika Kotnik
00:13
Good morning.
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Dobro jutro.
00:15
When I was a little boy,
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Ko sem bil še otrok,
00:17
I had an experience that changed my life,
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mi je izkušnja spremenila življenje
00:20
and is in fact why I'm here today.
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in je razlog zakaj sem danes tukaj.
00:23
That one moment
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En sam trenutek
00:25
profoundly affected how I think about
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je globoko zaznamoval moje razmišljanje
00:27
art, design and engineering.
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o umetnosti, oblikovanju in strojništvu.
00:30
As background, I was fortunate enough to grow up
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Imel sem srečo, da sem odrastel
00:33
in a family of loving and talented artists
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v družini ljubečih in nadarjenih umetnikov,
00:36
in one of the world's great cities.
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v enem od največjih svetovnih mest.
00:39
My dad, John Ferren, who died when I was 15,
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Moj oče, John Ferren, ki je umrl, ko sem imel 15 let
00:43
was an artist by both passion and profession,
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je bil strasten poklicni umetnik,
00:46
as is my mom, Rae.
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tako kot je moja mama, Rae.
00:49
He was one of the New York School
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Pripadal je newyorški šoli
00:51
abstract expressionists who,
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abstraktnih ekspresionistov, ki je
00:52
together with his contemporaries,
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skupaj s svojimi sodobniki
00:55
invented American modern art,
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izumil Ameriško moderno umetnost
00:58
and contributed to moving the American zeitgeist
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in prispeval k premiku ameriškega duha časa
01:01
towards modernism in the 20th century.
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proti modernizmu dvajsetega stoletja.
01:05
Isn't it remarkable that, after thousands of years
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Ali ni osupljivo, da je po tisočletjih
01:08
of people doing mostly representational art,
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pretežno upodabljajoče umetnosti
01:12
that modern art, comparatively speaking,
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sodobna umetnost, primerjalno rečeno,
01:14
is about 15 minutes old,
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stara le 15 minut,
01:16
yet now pervasive.
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a je hkrati danes prevladujoča.
01:18
As with many other important innovations,
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Kot je značilno za pomembne inovacije,
01:20
those radical ideas required no new technology,
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tudi te radikalne ideje niso zahtevale nove tehnologije,
01:24
just fresh thinking and a willingness to experiment,
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samo sveže razmišljanje in pripravljenost za eksperimentiranje,
01:27
plus resiliency in the face of near-universal criticism
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vključno z odpornostjo na skoraj vseprisotno kritiko
01:31
and rejection.
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in zavračanje.
01:32
In our home, art was everywhere.
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Pri nas doma je bila umetnost povsod.
01:35
It was like oxygen,
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Bila je kot zrak
01:36
around us and necessary for life.
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okrog nas in nujna za življenje.
01:40
As I watched him paint,
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Ko sem opazoval očeta slikati,
01:41
Dad taught me that art
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me je naučil, da bistvo umetnosti
01:44
was not about being decorative,
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ni v krašenju,
01:46
but was a different way of communicating ideas,
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ampak v drugačni obliki sporočanja idej.
01:49
and in fact one that could bridge the worlds
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Taki, ki lahko premošča razlike med svetovi
01:51
of knowledge and insight.
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znanja in intuicije.
01:54
Given this rich artistic environment,
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Spričo tako bogatega umetniškega okolja
01:56
you'd assume that I would have been compelled
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bi pričakovali, da me bo vleklo
01:58
to go into the family business,
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v družinski posel,
02:00
but no.
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ampak ne.
02:03
I followed the path of most kids
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Šel sem po poti večine otrok,
02:04
who are genetically programmed
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ki so genetsko naravnani,
02:06
to make their parents crazy.
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da svoje starše spravljajo na rob pameti.
02:08
I had no interest in becoming an artist,
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Umetniški poklic me ni zanimal,
02:10
certainly not a painter.
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še posebno ne slikarstvo.
02:12
What I did love was electronics and machines --
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Rad sem imel elektroniko in naprave -
02:15
taking them apart, building new ones,
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razstavljanje in gradnja novih,
02:17
and making them work.
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in kako jih pripraviti do delovanja.
02:19
Fortunately, my family also had engineers in it,
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Na srečo smo v družini imeli tudi inženirje
02:23
and with my parents,
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in skupaj z mojimi starši
02:24
these were my first role models.
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so bili moji prvi vzorniki.
02:27
What they all had in common
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Vsem je bilo skupno,
02:28
was they worked very, very hard.
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da so trdo, trdo delali.
02:31
My grandpa owned and operated a sheet metal
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Moj dedek je imel v lasti tovarno
02:33
kitchen cabinet factory in Brooklyn.
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za izdelavo kovinskih kuhinjskih omaric v Brooklynu.
02:36
On weekends, we would go together to Cortlandt Street,
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Za vikende me je peljal na ulico Cortland Street,
02:39
which was New York City's radio row.
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tedaj newyorško ulico radijskih postaj.
02:42
There we would explore massive piles
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Tam sva brskala po ogromnih kupih
02:45
of surplus electronics,
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zavržene elektronike
02:46
and for a few bucks bring home treasures
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in za nekaj pičlih dolarjev domov nosila zaklade,
02:48
like Norden bombsights
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kot je naprava za metanje bomb
02:50
and parts from the first IBM tube-based computers.
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in dele prvega IBM računalnika.
02:54
I found these objects both useful and fascinating.
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Ti predmeti so mi bili tako uporabni kot zanimivi.
02:57
I learned about engineering and how things worked,
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Strojništva in kako stvari delujejo se nisem
03:00
not at school
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naučil v šoli
03:01
but by taking apart and studying
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ampak z razstavljanjem in preučevanjem
03:03
these fabulously complex devices.
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teh čudovito zapletenih naprav.
03:06
I did this for hours every day,
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To sem počel ure vsak dan,
03:08
apparently avoiding electrocution.
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in se izogibal smrti zaradi električnega šoka.
03:11
Life was good.
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Življenje je bilo lepo.
03:13
However, every summer, sadly,
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Toda na žalost so vsako poletje
03:15
the machines got left behind
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naprave ostale doma,
03:17
while my parents and I traveled overseas
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ko sem s starši odpotoval čez lužo
03:20
to experience history, art and design.
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na spoznavanje zgodovine, umetnosti in oblikovanja.
03:23
We visited the great museums and historic buildings
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Obiskovali smo velike muzeje in zgodovinske zgradbe
03:26
of both Europe and the Middle East,
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tako po Evropi kot Bližnjem Vzhodu.
03:27
but to encourage my growing interest
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Da pa bi gojila moje rastoče zanimanje
03:30
in science and technology,
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za znanost in tehnologijo,
03:31
they would simply drop me off in places
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sta me starša puščala na različnih krajih
03:34
like the London Science Museum,
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kot je londonski Muzej znanosti.
03:36
where I would wander endlessly for hours by myself
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Tam sem cele ure taval sam
03:40
studying the history of science and technology.
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in preučeval zgodovino znanosti in tehnologije.
03:44
Then, when I was about nine years old,
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Ko pa sem bil star dobrih devet let,
03:47
we went to Rome.
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smo šli v Rim.
03:49
On one particularly hot summer day,
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Na nek posebno vroč poletni dan
03:51
we visited a drum-shaped building that from the outside
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smo obiskali krožno zgradbo, ki na zunaj
03:54
was not particularly interesting.
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ni bila posebno zanimiva.
03:57
My dad said it was called the Pantheon,
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Oče je dejal, da se imenuje Panteon,
03:59
a temple for all of the gods.
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tempelj posvečen vsem bogovom.
04:01
It didn't look all that special from the outside,
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Kot rečeno, na zunaj ni bila videti nič posebnega,
04:04
as I said, but when we walked inside,
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a ko smo vstopili
04:06
I was immediately struck by three things:
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so me nemudoma osupnile tri stvari:
04:09
First of all, it was pleasantly cool
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Bilo je prijetno hladno,
04:13
despite the oppressive heat outside.
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kljub neznosni vročini zunaj.
04:15
It was very dark, the only source of light
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Bilo je zelo temno in edini vir svetlobe
04:17
being an big open hole in the roof.
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velika odprta luknja v strehi.
04:20
Dad explained that this wasn't a big open hole,
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Oče mi je pojasnil, da to ni samo odprta luknja,
04:22
but it was called the oculus,
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ampak, da se imenuje 'oculus',
04:24
an eye to the heavens.
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oko v nebesa.
04:26
And there was something about this place,
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Nekaj je bilo na tem kraju,
04:28
I didn't know why, that just felt special.
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nisem vedel kaj, le da je nekaj posebnega.
04:31
As we walked to the center of the room,
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Ko smo stopili na sredo prostora,
04:33
I looked up at the heavens through the oculus.
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sem pogledal v nebo skozi oculus.
04:36
This was the first church that I'd been to
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To je bila prva cerkev, ki sem jo obiskal,
04:39
that provided an unrestricted view
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ki je ponujala neoviran stik
04:41
between God and man.
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med človekom in bogom.
04:44
But I wondered, what about when it rained?
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Spraševal sem se, kaj pa, ko dežuje?
04:47
Dad may have called this an oculus,
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Oče je temu res rekel oculus,
04:49
but it was, in fact, a big hole in the roof.
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a je bila resnično le velika luknja v strehi.
04:52
I looked down and saw floor drains
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Pogledal sem na tla in videl odtoke,
04:54
had been cut into the stone floor.
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vrezane v kamnita tla.
04:57
As I became more accustomed to the dark,
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Ko sem se privadil na temo,
04:59
I was able to make out details of the floor
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sem opazil podrobnosti na tleh
05:01
and the surrounding walls.
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in stenah.
05:03
No big deal here, just the same statuary stuff
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Nič posebnega tam, samo isti kipi,
05:06
that we'd seen all over Rome.
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ki smo jih ves čas gledali po celem Rimu.
05:08
In fact, it looked like the Appian Way
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Izgledalo je kot Apijska cesta;
05:09
marble salesman showed up
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prikazal se je trgovec z marmorjem
05:11
with his sample book, showed it to Hadrian,
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s svojo knjigo vzorcev, pokazal jo je Hadrijanu
05:14
and Hadrian said, "We'll take all of it."
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in ta je rekel: "Vse bomo vzeli."
05:17
(Laughter)
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(Smeh)
05:18
But the ceiling was amazing.
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Toda strop je bil čudovit.
05:22
It looked like a Buckminster Fuller geodesic dome.
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Izgledala je kot geodezična kupola arhitekta Buckminsterja Fullerja.
05:24
I'd seen these before,
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Te sem že videl
05:26
and Bucky was friends with my dad.
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in 'Bucky' je bil očetov prijatelj.
05:28
It was modern, high-tech, impressive,
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Bilo je sodobno, visoko tehnološko, impresivno,
05:31
a huge 142-foot clear span
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ogromen razpon kupole, kar 43,3 metra,
05:34
which, not coincidentally, was exactly its height.
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nenaključno povsem enak višini zgradbe.
05:37
I loved this place.
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Oboževal sem ta kraj.
05:38
It was really beautiful and unlike anything I'd ever seen before,
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Bilo je res čudovito, česa takega še nisem videl,
05:42
so I asked my dad, "When was this built?"
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zato sem vprašal očeta: "Kdaj so to zgradili?"
05:45
He said, "About 2,000 years ago."
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Odgovoril je: "Pred dobrimi 2.000 leti."
05:48
And I said, "No, I mean, the roof."
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Rekel sem: "Ne, mislim streha."
05:51
You see, I assumed that this was a modern roof
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Mislil sem namreč, da je to sodobna streha,
05:53
that had been put on because the original
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ki je nadomestila prvotno,
05:55
was destroyed in some long-past war.
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morebiti uničeno v neki davni vojni.
05:58
He said, "It's the original roof."
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Dejal je: "To je prvotna streha."
06:02
That moment changed my life,
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Tisti trenutek mi je spremenil življenje
06:04
and I can remember it as if it were yesterday.
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in spominjam se ga, kot bi bilo včeraj.
06:07
For the first time, I realized people were smart
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Prvič sem se zavedel, da so bili ljudje pametni
06:10
2,000 years ago. (Laughter)
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že pred 2.000 leti. (Smeh)
06:12
This had never crossed my mind.
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To me ni nikoli prešinilo.
06:14
I mean, to me, the pyramids at Giza,
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Denimo, piramide v Gizi,
06:18
we visited those the year before,
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ki smo jih obiskali leto pred tem,
06:20
and sure they're impressive, nice enough design,
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so resnično osupljive, solidna zasnova,
06:23
but look, give me an unlimited budget,
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a dajte meni neomejen proračun,
06:25
20,000 to 40,000 laborers, and about 10 to 20 years
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20.000 do 40.000 delavcev in okrog 10 do 20 let
06:29
to cut and drag stone blocks across the countryside,
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za rezanje in premikanje kamnitih blokov prek podeželja,
06:33
and I'll build you pyramids too.
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in tudi jaz vam zgradim piramide.
06:35
But no amount of brute force
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A nobena mera gole sile
06:38
gets you the dome of the Pantheon,
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vam ne ustvari kupole Panteona,
06:41
not 2,000 years ago, nor today.
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ne takrat, ne danes.
06:44
And incidentally, it is still the largest
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In kot po naključju je še vedno največja
06:47
unreinforced concrete dome that's ever been built.
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neojačana betonska kupola, kar so jih zgradili.
06:51
To build the Pantheon took some miracles.
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Za gradnjo Panteona so bili potrebni čudeži.
06:54
By miracles, I mean things that are
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S čudeži mislim reči,
06:56
technically barely possible,
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ki so tehnološko komajda mogoče,
06:59
very high-risk, and might not be
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visoko tvegane in mogoče celo
07:02
actually accomplishable at this moment in time,
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neuresničljive v tem trenutku v zgodovini
07:04
certainly not by you.
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še posebno ne z vaše strani.
07:09
For example, here are some of the Pantheon's miracles.
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Na primer, to so nekateri čudeži Panteona.
07:12
To make it even structurally possible,
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Da je bila gradnja sploh strukturno mogoča,
07:15
they had to invent super-strong concrete,
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so morali iznajti super-močen beton
07:17
and to control weight,
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in za nadzor teže
07:19
varied the density of the aggregate
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prilagajati gostoto agregata,
07:21
as they worked their way up the dome.
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ob vzpenjanju s kupolo navzgor.
07:24
For strength and lightness, the dome structure
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Za moč in lahkost so v strukturi kupole
07:26
used five rings of coffers,
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uporabili pet vrst kaset,
07:28
each of diminishing size,
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ki se z višino manjšajo,
07:30
which imparts a dramatic forced perspective
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kar ustvarja dramatično vsiljeno perspektivo
07:33
to the design.
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zasnovi kupole.
07:35
It was wonderfully cool inside
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V notranjosti je bil čudovit hlad
07:36
because of its huge thermal mass,
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zaradi ogromne toplotne mase zgradbe,
07:39
natural convection of air rising up
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zaradi naravne konvekcije zraka, ki uhaja
07:41
through the oculus,
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skozi oculus
07:42
and a Venturi effect when wind blows across
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in zaradi Venturijevega efekta, ko veter zapiha
07:45
the top of the building.
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čez vrh zgradbe.
07:47
I discovered for the first time that light itself
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Tedaj sem prvič odkril, da je tudi svetloba snov.
07:51
has substance.
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07:53
The shaft of light beaming through the oculus
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Soj svetlobe skozi oculus
07:56
was both beautiful and palpable,
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je bil hkrati čudovit in otipljiv
07:58
and I realized for the first time
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in prvikrat sem spoznal,
08:00
that light could be designed.
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da se svetlobo lahko oblikuje.
08:02
Further, that of all of the forms of design,
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In od vseh vrst oblikovanja,
08:07
visual design,
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vizualnega oblikovanja,
08:08
they were all kind of irrelevant without it,
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je brez nje vse ostalo nepomembno;
08:10
because without light, you can't see any of them.
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kajti brez svetlobe ne moreš videti nobene od njih.
08:14
I also realized that I wasn't the first person
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Spoznal sem tudi, da nisem bil prvi,
08:17
to think that this place was really special.
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ki je menil, da je to res poseben kraj.
08:20
It survived gravity, barbarians, looters, developers
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Preživel je silo težnosti, barbare, plenilce, načrtovalce
08:24
and the ravages of time to become
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in zob časa, da je postal
08:26
what I believe is the longest
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po mojem mnenju najdlje
08:27
continuously occupied building in history.
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2957
stalno obljudena zgradba v zgodovini.
08:30
Largely because of that visit,
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2216
V veliki meri sem zaradi tega obiska
08:33
I came to understand that,
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postopoma spoznal,
08:34
contrary to what I was being told in school,
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2639
da v nasprotju s tistim, kar so me učili v šoli,
08:37
the worlds of art and design
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2029
svetova umetnosti in oblikovanja
08:39
were not, in fact, incompatible
199
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2016
pravzaprav nista bila nezdružljiva
08:41
with science and engineering.
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z znanostjo in inženirstvom.
08:43
I realized, when combined,
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Spoznal sem, da ko jih združiš
08:45
you could create things that were amazing
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lahko ustvariš čudovite reči,
08:47
that couldn't be done in either domain alone.
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ki jih ne bi mogel le na enem samem področju.
08:50
But in school, with few exceptions,
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A v šoli so bila z redkimi izjemami
08:53
they were treated as separate worlds,
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1920
vedno obravnavana kot ločeni svetovi,
08:55
and they still are.
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in še vedno je tako.
08:57
My teachers told me that I had to get serious
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Učitelji so dejali, da se moram zresniti
08:59
and focus on one or the other.
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in se osredotočiti na eno ali drugo.
09:02
However, urging me to specialize
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Toda, siljenje k specializaciji
09:05
only caused me to really appreciate those polymaths
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me je samo še bolj vodilo v občudovanje polihistorjev
09:08
like Michelangelo, Leonardo da Vinci,
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4150
kot so Michelangelo, Leonardo da Vinci,
09:12
Benjamin Franklin,
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Benjamin Franklin;
09:14
people who did exactly the opposite.
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ljudje, ki so počeli prav nasprotno.
09:16
And this led me to embrace
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In to me je vodilo v sprejemanju
09:19
and want to be in both worlds.
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obeh svetov in želji da sem v njih.
09:21
So then how do these projects of unprecedented creative vision and technical complexity
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Kako so se torej projekti tako edinstvene ustvarjalne vizije in tehnične zapletenosti
09:27
like the Pantheon actually happen?
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kot Panteon zares zgodili?
09:30
Someone themselves, perhaps Hadrian,
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Nekdo, mogoče Hadrian,
09:34
needed a brilliant creative vision.
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je moral imeti izjemno ustvarjalno vizijo.
09:37
They also needed the storytelling and leadership skills
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Potrebovali so sposobnosti pripovedništva in vodenja
09:40
necessary to fund and execute it,
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nujni za financiranje in izvedbo,
09:42
and a mastery of science and technology
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ter mojstrsko znanje znanosti in tehnologije
09:45
with the ability and knowhow
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2083
s sposobnostjo in znanjem,
09:47
to push existing innovations even farther.
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da obstoječe inovacije razvijejo še dlje.
09:51
It is my belief that to create these rare game changers
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Mislim, da morate biti za ustvarjanje takih redkih izjemnih priložnosti
09:55
requires you to pull off at least five miracles.
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sposobni izvesti vsaj pet čudežev.
10:00
The problem is, no matter how talented,
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Težava je, da ne glede na to kako nadarjeni,
10:02
rich or smart you are,
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1732
bogati, ali pametni ste,
10:04
you only get one to one and a half miracles.
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lahko zberete le do enega in pol.
10:07
That's it. That's the quota.
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To je to. To je kvota.
10:09
Then you run out of time, money, enthusiasm,
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Potem vam zmanjka časa, denarja, zagona,
10:11
whatever.
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kakorkoli.
10:13
Remember, most people can't even imagine
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Zapomnite si, večina si ne more niti predstavljati
10:15
one of these technical miracles,
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615535
1907
enega od teh tehničnih čudežev
10:17
and you need at least five to make a Pantheon.
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3109
potrebujete pa jih vsaj pet za Panteon.
10:20
In my experience, these rare visionaries
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2501
Po mojih izkušnjah, imajo ti redki vizionarji,
10:23
who can think across the worlds of art,
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623052
1837
ki lahko razmišljajo preko meja sveta
10:24
design and engineering
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umetnosti, oblikovanja in inženirstva,
10:26
have the ability to notice
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2202
sposobnost, da opazijo
10:28
when others have provided enough of the miracles
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2717
kdaj so drugi zagotovili dovolj čudežev,
10:31
to bring the goal within reach.
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2556
da postane cilj dosegljiv.
10:34
Driven by the clarity of their vision,
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2637
Gnani z jasnostjo svoje vizije
10:36
they summon the courage and determination
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2310
zberejo pogum in odločnost,
10:39
to deliver the remaining miracles
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2097
da napravijo preostale čudeže
10:41
and they often take what other people think to be
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3550
in pogosto iz stvari za katere drugi mislijo, da so
10:44
insurmountable obstacles
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2046
nepremostljive ovire
10:46
and turn them into features.
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1785
in iz njih napravijo značilnosti.
10:48
Take the oculus of the Pantheon.
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2927
Na primer Panteonov oculus.
10:51
By insisting that it be in the design,
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1898
Z vztrajanjem, da ostane v zasnovi,
10:53
it meant you couldn't use much of the structural technology
250
653441
2873
niste mogli uporabiti velikega dela gradbene tehnologije,
10:56
that had been developed for Roman arches.
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2974
ki je bila razvita za rimske arkade.
10:59
However, by instead embracing it
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2898
Toda s sprejetjem težave
11:02
and rethinking weight and stress distribution,
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2588
in ponovnem premisleku o razporeditvi teže in obremenitev,
11:04
they came up with a design that only works
254
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2482
so se domislili zasnove, ki deluje samo,
11:07
if there's a big hole in the roof.
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667256
1904
če je v stropu velika luknja.
11:09
That done, you now get the aesthetic
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3007
Ko je to narejeno, lahko dobite estetske
11:12
and design benefits of light, cooling
257
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4381
in oblikovne koristi svetlobe, hlajenja
11:16
and that critical direct connection with the heavens.
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3300
in tisto kritično povezavo z nebom.
11:19
Not bad.
259
679848
2044
Ni slabo.
11:21
These people not only believed
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2061
Ti ljudje niso samo verjeli,
11:23
that the impossible can be done,
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2056
da je nemogoče mogoče,
11:26
but that it must be done.
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2826
ampak da mora biti storjeno.
11:28
Enough ancient history.
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2101
Dovolj prazgodovine.
11:30
What are some recent examples of innovations
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3133
Kateri so novodobni primeri inovacij,
11:34
that combine creative design
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1879
ki združujejo ustvarjalno oblikovanje
11:35
and technological advances in a way so profound
266
695948
3243
in tehnološki napredek v tako prefinjeni obliki,
11:39
that they will be remembered
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1329
da se jih bodo spominjali
11:40
a thousand years from now?
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1833
še tisoč let za nami?
11:42
Well, putting a man on the moon was a good one,
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3096
No, poslati človeka na Luno je bila dobra poteza,
11:45
and returning him safely to Earth wasn't bad either.
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3017
in njegova varna vrnitev nazaj tudi ni bila slaba stvar.
11:48
Talk about one giant leap:
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2492
Ko že omenjamo en velik skok:
11:50
It's hard to imagine a more profound moment
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2448
Težko si je zamisliti globlji trenutek
11:53
in human history
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1312
v človeški zgodovini
11:54
than when we first left our world
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2173
kot je to, da smo zapustili lasten planet
11:56
to set foot on another.
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1891
zato, da smo stopili na drugega.
11:58
So what came after the moon?
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2221
Kaj je prišlo za Luno?
12:01
One is tempted to say that today's pantheon
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2808
Vabljivo bi bilo reči, da je današnji Panteon
12:03
is the Internet,
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1661
internet
12:05
but I actually think that's quite wrong,
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725472
2469
ampak mislim, da je to precej narobe,
12:07
or at least it's only part of the story.
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2855
ali pa je le del zgodbe.
12:10
The Internet isn't a Pantheon.
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730796
2516
Internet ni Panteon.
12:13
It's more like the invention of concrete:
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2591
Je bolj iznajdba betona:
12:15
important, absolutely necessary
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2575
pomemben, absolutno potreben
12:18
to build the Pantheon,
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1440
za izgradnjo Panteona
12:19
and enduring,
285
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1356
in vzdržljiv,
12:21
but entirely insufficient by itself.
286
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3191
a povsem nezadosten sam po sebi.
12:24
However, just as the technology of concrete
287
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2932
A kakor je bila tehnologija betona
12:27
was critical in realization of the Pantheon,
288
747397
3587
kritična pri realizaciji Panteona,
12:30
new designers will use the technologies of the Internet
289
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3215
bodo novi snovalci izrabili tehnologijo interneta,
12:34
to create novel concepts that will endure.
290
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3198
za ustvarjanje novih idej, ki bodo preživele.
12:37
The smartphone is a perfect example.
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2058
Odličen primer je pametni telefon.
12:39
Soon the majority of people on the planet
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1745
Kmalu ga bo imela večina
12:41
will have one,
293
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1334
ljudi na planetu
12:42
and the idea of connecting everyone
294
762534
2401
in ideja o povezovanju vseh
12:44
to both knowledge and each other will endure.
295
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3250
tako z znanjem kot drug z drugim bo preživela.
12:48
So what's next?
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1308
Kaj torej sledi?
12:49
What imminent advance will be the equivalent of the Pantheon?
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3406
Kateri jutrišnji napredek bo enakovreden Panteonu?
12:52
Thinking about this,
298
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1435
Ko sem razmišljal o tem,
12:54
I rejected many very plausible
299
774334
2547
sem zavrnil več zelo verjetnih
12:56
and dramatic breakthroughs to come,
300
776881
1896
in dramatičnih prihodnjih prebojev.
12:58
such as curing cancer.
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2017
Recimo zdravilo za raka.
13:00
Why? Because Pantheons are anchored
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3338
Zakaj? Ker so panteoni zasidrani
13:04
in designed physical objects,
303
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2935
v oblikovanih fizičnih objektih,
13:07
ones that inspire by simply seeing
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2322
takih, ki navdihujejo preprosto prek opazovanja
13:09
and experiencing them,
305
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1420
in izkušnje
13:10
and will continue to do so indefinitely.
306
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2882
in bodo to počeli še v neskončnost.
13:13
It is a different kind of language, like art.
307
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4573
To je drugačen jezik, tak kot umetnost.
13:18
These other vital contributions that extend life
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2772
Ostali ključni prispevki, ki podaljšujejo življenje
13:21
and relieve suffering are, of course, critical,
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2693
in lajšajo trpljenje, so seveda nujni
13:23
and fantastic,
310
803729
1687
in fantastični,
13:25
but they're part of the continuum of
311
805416
1793
ampak so del premice
13:27
our overall knowledge and technology,
312
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2512
našega celotnega znanja in tehnologije
13:29
like the Internet.
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2524
kot internet.
13:32
So what is next?
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2344
Kaj torej je naslednje?
13:34
Perhaps counterintuitively,
315
814589
1719
Mogoče v nasprotju s pričakovanji
13:36
I'm guessing it's a visionary idea
316
816308
2312
ugibam, da bo to vizionarska ideja
13:38
from the late 1930s
317
818620
1854
iz poznih tridesetih let,
13:40
that's been revived every decade since:
318
820474
3160
ki je bila oživljena še vsako sledeče desetletje:
13:43
autonomous vehicles.
319
823634
2014
avtonomna vozila.
13:45
Now you're thinking, give me a break.
320
825648
1738
Zdaj si mislite, ah, daj no mir.
13:47
How can a fancy version of cruise control
321
827386
3518
Kako bi lahko bila spolirana verzija dalinjskega upravljanja
13:50
be profound?
322
830904
1700
nekaj globokega?
13:52
Look, much of our world
323
832604
2124
Poglejte, večina našega sveta
13:54
has been designed around roads and transportation.
324
834728
3483
je zgrajena okrog cest in transporta.
13:58
These were as essential to the success
325
838211
1875
Te so bile tako ključne za uspeh
14:00
of the Roman Empire
326
840086
1498
rimskega imperija
14:01
as the interstate highway system
327
841584
1985
kot je meddržavno avtocestno omrežje
14:03
to the prosperity and development
328
843569
1794
zaslužno za blaginjo in razvoj
14:05
of the United States.
329
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2210
Združenih držav Amerike.
14:07
Today, these roads that interconnect our world
330
847573
3034
Danes na cestah, ki povezujejo naš svet,
14:10
are dominated by cars and trucks
331
850607
2098
vladajo avtomobili in tovornjaki,
14:12
that have remained largely unchanged
332
852705
1868
ki so večinoma nespremenjeni
14:14
for 100 years.
333
854573
2571
že zadnjih 100 let.
14:17
Although perhaps not obvious today,
334
857144
3259
In čeprav to danes ni očitno
14:20
autonomous vehicles will be the key technology
335
860403
4585
bodo avtonomna vozila ključna tehnologija,
14:24
that enables us to redesign our cities
336
864988
3098
ki bo omogočila preoblikovanje mest
14:28
and, by extension, civilization.
337
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2219
in posledično civilizacije.
14:30
Here's why:
338
870305
1602
Razlogi so sledeči:
14:31
Once they become ubiquitous,
339
871907
1753
Ko bodo nekoč postala vsakdanja,
14:33
each year, these vehicles will save
340
873660
2537
bodo ta vozila vsako leto rešila
14:36
tens of thousands of lives in the United States alone
341
876197
3108
na desettisoče življenj samo v ZDA
14:39
and a million globally.
342
879305
3127
in milijon globalno.
14:42
Automotive energy consumption and air pollution
343
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2899
Energetska poraba in onesnaženje
14:45
will be cut dramatically.
344
885331
2373
bosta drastično padli.
14:47
Much of the road congestion
345
887704
1405
Večina cestnih zastojev
14:49
in and out of our cities will disappear.
346
889109
3810
bo iz naših mest in izven njih izginila.
14:52
They will enable compelling new concepts
347
892919
2687
Omogočila bojo izvedbo privlačnih novih idej
14:55
in how we design cities, work,
348
895606
2469
na področju zasnove mest, dela
14:58
and the way we live.
349
898075
1937
in načina življenja.
15:00
We will get where we're going faster
350
900012
2546
Hitreje bomo prispeli na cilj
15:02
and society will recapture vast amounts
351
902558
2998
in družba bo polovila ogromne količine
15:05
of lost productivity
352
905556
1291
izgubljene produktivnosti,
15:06
now spent sitting in traffic basically polluting.
353
906847
3641
ki se danes izgublja s tičanjem v zastoju in hkratnim onesnaževanjem.
15:10
But why now? Why do we think this is ready?
354
910488
3273
Ampak zakaj zdaj? Zakaj menimo, da smo pripravljeni?
15:13
Because over the last 30 years,
355
913761
2194
Zato, ker so v zadnjih 30 letih
15:15
people from outside the automotive industry
356
915955
2048
ljudje izven avtomobilske industrije
15:18
have spent countless billions
357
918003
2108
vložili nešteto milijonov
15:20
creating the needed miracles,
358
920111
1735
v ustvarjanje potrebnih čudežev,
15:21
but for entirely different purposes.
359
921846
2872
a za povsem druge namene.
15:24
It took folks like DARPA, universities,
360
924718
2628
Potrebovali smo ustanove kot DARPA, univerze
15:27
and companies completely outside of the automotive industry
361
927346
3164
in podjetja povsem izven avtomobilske industrije,
15:30
to notice that if you were clever about it,
362
930510
2301
da smo opazili, da če bomo bistri
15:32
autonomy could be done now.
363
932811
2530
bi lahko avtonomijo ustvarili zdaj.
15:35
So what are the five miracles needed for autonomous vehicles?
364
935341
3383
Kaj je torej pet čudežev potrebnih za avtonomna vozila?
15:38
One, you need to know
365
938724
1643
Prvi je ta, da morate vedeti
15:40
where you are and exactly what time it is.
366
940367
2734
kje ste in točno koliko je ura.
15:43
This was solved neatly by the GPS system,
367
943101
2408
To je bilo lepo rešeno z GPS sistemom,
15:45
Global Positioning System,
368
945509
1312
Globalnim Pozicijskim Sistemom,
15:46
that the U.S. Government put in place.
369
946821
2666
ki ga je postavila ameriška vlada.
15:49
You need to know where all the roads are,
370
949487
2523
Vedeti morate kje so vse ceste,
15:52
what the rules are, and where you're going.
371
952010
2903
kakšna so pravila in kam greste.
15:54
The various needs of personal navigation systems,
372
954913
2583
Različne potrebe osebnih navigacijskih sistemov,
15:57
in-car navigation systems,
373
957496
1755
avtomobilske navigacije
15:59
and web-based maps address this.
374
959251
3033
in spletni zemljevidi rešujejo ta problem.
16:02
You must have near-continuous communication
375
962284
2627
Potrebujete skoraj popolnoma neprekinjeno komunikacijo
16:04
with high-performance computing networks
376
964911
1893
z visoko zmogljivimi računalniškimi omrežji
16:06
and with others nearby
377
966804
1670
iz z ostalimi v bližini,
16:08
to understand their intent.
378
968474
3315
da razumete njihov namen.
16:11
The wireless technologies developed for mobile devices,
379
971789
3108
Brezžična tehnologija, razvita za mobilne naprave,
16:14
with some minor modifications,
380
974897
1793
je z manjšimi prilagoditvami
16:16
are completely suitable to solve this.
381
976690
2959
povsem ustrezna rešitev.
16:19
You'll probably want some restricted roadways
382
979649
2490
Verjetno bi želeli nekaj rezerviranih cest
16:22
to get started
383
982139
1190
za začetek,
16:23
that both society and its lawyers
384
983329
2478
za katere bi se družba in njeni odvetniki
16:25
agree are safe to use for this.
385
985807
1872
strinjali, da so varne za ta namen.
16:27
This will start with the HOV lanes
386
987679
1849
Začelo bi se s posameznimi voznimi pasovi
16:29
and move from there.
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989528
2133
in se nadaljevalo od tam.
16:31
But finally, you need to recognize
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2551
In nazadnje morate znati prepoznavati
16:34
people, signs and objects.
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2103
ljudi, znake in objekte.
16:36
Machine vision, special sensors, and high-performance computing
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3054
Strojni vid, posebni senzorji in visoko zmogljivi računalniki,
16:39
can do a lot of this,
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1572
se lahko spoprimejo z večino tega,
16:40
but it turns out a lot is not good enough
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2558
a kot kaže veliko ni dovolj dobro,
16:43
when your family is on board.
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1941
ko je v avtu vaša družina.
16:45
Occasionally, humans will need to do sense-making.
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3521
Občasno bodo morali ljudje posegati v odločitve.
16:48
For this, you might actually have to wake up
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3612
Za to bi avto mogoče moral dejansko zbuditi
16:52
your passenger and ask them what the hell
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2096
potnika in ga vprašati, kaj za vraga
16:54
that big lump is in the middle of the road.
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2802
je ta velika kepa sredi ceste.
16:57
Not so bad, and it will give us a sense of purpose
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2344
Ni slabo, in to bi nam dalo nov občutek smisla
16:59
in this new world.
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1853
v takem novem svetu.
17:01
Besides, once the first drivers explain
400
1021684
2740
Poleg tega, ko bi voznik pojasnil
17:04
to their confused car
401
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1326
svojemu zmedenemu avtu,
17:05
that the giant chicken at the fork in the road
402
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2666
da je velikanski piščanec sredi križišča
17:08
is actually a restaurant,
403
1028416
1543
pravzaprav restavracija
17:09
and it's okay to keep driving,
404
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2304
in da je varno peljati naprej,
17:12
every other car on the surface of the Earth
405
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3420
bo tudi vsak drug avto na površju Zemlje
17:15
will know that from that point on.
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2922
to vedel od tedaj dalje.
17:18
Five miracles, mostly delivered,
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2263
Pet čudežev je tako v veliki meri narejenih
17:20
and now you just need a clear vision
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1878
in sedaj potrebujete samo jasno vizijo
17:22
of a better world filled with autonomous vehicles
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2837
boljšega sveta, napolnjenega z avtonomnimi vozili
17:25
with seductively beautiful and new functional designs
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3613
z zapeljivo lepimi in novimi uporabnimi funkcijami
17:29
plus a lot of money and hard work
411
1049196
2454
ter veliko denarja in trdega dela,
17:31
to bring it home.
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1596
da to naredite.
17:33
The beginning is now only a handful of years away,
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3022
Začetek je sedaj le nekaj let stran
17:36
and I predict that autonomous vehicles
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1868
in napovedujem, da bodo avtonomna vozila
17:38
will permanently change our world
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2071
trajno spremenila naš svet
17:40
over the next several decades.
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4184
tekom nekaj prihodnjih desetletij.
17:44
In conclusion, I've come to believe
417
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2652
Za zaključek; Postopoma sem začel verjeti,
17:47
that the ingredients for the next Pantheons
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2238
da so sestavine za naslednje Panteone
17:49
are all around us,
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1387
vse okrog nas,
17:50
just waiting for visionary people
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2187
samo čakajoč na vizionarje
17:52
with the broad knowledge,
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1734
z obširnim znanjem,
17:54
multidisciplinary skills,
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1610
multidisciplinarnimi veščinami
17:56
and intense passion
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1868
in močno strastjo,
17:58
to harness them to make their dreams a reality.
424
1078067
5086
da jih izkoristijo in uresničijo svoje sanje.
18:03
But these people don't spontaneously
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2496
A taki ljudje se ne pojavijo
18:05
pop into existence.
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1085649
1339
kar spontano.
18:06
They need to be nurtured and encouraged
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1839
Potrebno jih je negovati in vzpodbujati
18:08
from when they're little kids.
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1779
že od otroštva.
18:10
We need to love them and help them
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1860
Moramo jih ljubiti in jim pomagati
18:12
discover their passions.
430
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1719
odkriti njihove strasti.
18:14
We need to encourage them to work hard
431
1094185
2214
Spodbujati jih moramo k trdemu delu
18:16
and help them understand that failure
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1096399
2437
in jim pomagati razumeti, da je neuspeh
18:18
is a necessary ingredient for success,
433
1098836
2871
nujna sestavina uspeha,
18:21
as is perseverance.
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2181
tako kot vztrajnost.
18:23
We need to help them to find their own role models,
435
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3098
Pomagati jim moramo odkriti njihove vzornike
18:26
and give them the confidence to believe in themselves
436
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2672
in jim dati samozavest, da verjamejo vase
18:29
and to believe that anything is possible,
437
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2777
in da je vse mogoče.
18:32
and just as my grandpa did when he took me shopping for surplus,
438
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3509
Tako kot je to storil moj dedek, ko sva brskala med odpadki,
18:35
and just as my parents did
439
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1783
kot so to naredili moji starši,
18:37
when they took me to science museums,
440
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2022
ko so me peljali v muzeje,
18:39
we need to encourage them to find their own path,
441
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3281
jih moramo vzpodbujati, da poiščejo svojo pot,
18:43
even if it's very different from our own.
442
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2657
čeprav je zelo drugačna od naše.
18:45
But a cautionary note:
443
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1408
Toda, opozarjam:
18:47
We also need to periodically pry them away
444
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2434
občasno jih moramo tudi odtrgati
18:49
from their modern miracles,
445
1129529
1469
od njihovih novodobnih čudežev,
18:50
the computers, phones, tablets,
446
1130998
1971
od računalnikov, telefonov, tablic,
18:52
game machines and TVs,
447
1132969
1594
igralnih konzol in televizij
18:54
take them out into the sunlight
448
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2244
in jih odpeljati na sonce
18:56
so they can experience both the natural
449
1136807
2129
zato, da lahko izkusijo tako naravne
18:58
and design wonders of our world,
450
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2897
kot oblikovne čudeže našega sveta,
19:01
our planet and our civilization.
451
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2242
našega planeta in naše civilizacije.
19:04
If we don't, they won't understand
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2927
Če jih ne bomo, ne bodo razumeli
19:07
what these precious things are
453
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1882
kaj sploh so te dragocene reči
19:08
that someday they will be resopnsible
454
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2595
in da bodo nekoč odgovorni
19:11
for protecting and improving.
455
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2282
za njihovo zaščito in izboljšavo.
19:13
We also need them to understand
456
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1643
Prav tako je nujno, da razumejo
19:15
something that doesn't seem adequately appreciated
457
1155404
3029
nekaj kar je vse premalo cenjeno
19:18
in our increasingly tech-dependent world,
458
1158433
2463
v našem vedno bolj tehnološko odvisnem svetu:
19:20
that art and design
459
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1683
da umetnost in oblikovanje
19:22
are not luxuries,
460
1162579
1913
nista razkošje
19:24
nor somehow incompatible
461
1164492
1826
niti nekaj nezdružljivega
19:26
with science and engineering.
462
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1869
z znanostjo in inženirstvom.
19:28
They are in fact essential to what makes us special.
463
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5575
Pravzaprav sta ključni za tisto kar nas dela posebne.
19:33
Someday, if you get the chance,
464
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2515
Nekega dne, če boste imeli priložnost,
19:36
perhaps you can take your kids
465
1176277
1537
lahko mogoče peljete svoje otroke
19:37
to the actual Pantheon,
466
1177814
1771
v pravi Panteon,
19:39
as we will our daughter Kira,
467
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2660
kot bova z ženo peljala najino hčer Kiro,
19:42
to experience firsthand
468
1182245
2078
da sama izkusi
19:44
the power of that astonishing design,
469
1184323
4257
moč te osupljive zasnove,
19:48
which on one otherwise unremarkable day in Rome,
470
1188580
3744
ki je na povsem običajen dan v Rimu
19:52
reached 2,000 years into the future
471
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3027
segla 2.000 let v prihodnost,
19:55
to set the course for my life.
472
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2658
da je določila pot mojega življenja.
19:58
Thank you.
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2131
Hvala.
20:00
(Applause)
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(Aplavz)
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