Bran Ferren: To create for the ages, let's combine art and engineering
111,329 views ・ 2014-03-25
請雙擊下方英文字幕播放視頻。
譯者: Willy Feng
審譯者: Jen-Huei Wu
00:13
Good morning.
0
13062
2265
早安。
00:15
When I was a little boy,
1
15327
1787
當我還小時,
00:17
I had an experience that changed my life,
2
17114
3077
我經歷一個改變我人生的經驗,
00:20
and is in fact why I'm here today.
3
20191
2908
也是為何我會站在這裡的原因。
00:23
That one moment
4
23099
1941
那個經驗
00:25
profoundly affected how I think about
5
25040
2262
深深地影響我如何看待
00:27
art, design and engineering.
6
27302
3221
藝術,設計和工程。
00:30
As background, I was fortunate enough to grow up
7
30523
2757
我很幸運地在世界最偉大的城市之一,
00:33
in a family of loving and talented artists
8
33280
3713
在一個充滿愛和有天賦藝術家的家庭中
00:36
in one of the world's great cities.
9
36993
2564
長大成人。
00:39
My dad, John Ferren, who died when I was 15,
10
39557
3877
我的父親,約翰·費倫,在我 15 歲時過世
00:43
was an artist by both passion and profession,
11
43434
3530
跟我的母親,瑞,一樣,
00:46
as is my mom, Rae.
12
46964
2260
是一位兼具熱情和專業的藝術家。
00:49
He was one of the New York School
13
49224
1805
他是約紐畫派 (New York School)
00:51
abstract expressionists who,
14
51029
1761
抽象表現主義畫家,
00:52
together with his contemporaries,
15
52790
2512
融合他的當代思維,
00:55
invented American modern art,
16
55302
2898
創造了美國現代藝術,
00:58
and contributed to moving the American zeitgeist
17
58200
3185
引領美國的時代精神
01:01
towards modernism in the 20th century.
18
61385
4543
進入到 20 世紀的現代主義。
01:05
Isn't it remarkable that, after thousands of years
19
65928
2921
這不是很偉大嗎?數千年以來,
01:08
of people doing mostly representational art,
20
68849
3641
人類藝術一直大部分都是寫實主義,
01:12
that modern art, comparatively speaking,
21
72490
2033
而現代藝術,相對來說,
01:14
is about 15 minutes old,
22
74523
2340
大約只有 15 分鐘的生命
01:16
yet now pervasive.
23
76863
1898
而仍然在漫延中。
01:18
As with many other important innovations,
24
78761
1944
就像其它重要的創新一樣,
01:20
those radical ideas required no new technology,
25
80705
3620
這些全新的想法不需要新的技術,
01:24
just fresh thinking and a willingness to experiment,
26
84325
2893
只要重新思索和有嘗試的意願,
01:27
plus resiliency in the face of near-universal criticism
27
87218
4168
加上能面對幾乎一面倒的評判
01:31
and rejection.
28
91386
1454
和拒絕的韌性。
01:32
In our home, art was everywhere.
29
92840
2517
在我們家裡,到處都是藝術,
01:35
It was like oxygen,
30
95357
1571
就像氧氣一樣,
01:36
around us and necessary for life.
31
96928
3162
圍繞著我們,是生命的必需品。
01:40
As I watched him paint,
32
100090
1859
當我看著我父親作畫,
01:41
Dad taught me that art
33
101949
2307
他告訴我
01:44
was not about being decorative,
34
104256
2209
藝術不是裝飾用,
01:46
but was a different way of communicating ideas,
35
106465
3114
而是想法交流的另一種形式,
01:49
and in fact one that could bridge the worlds
36
109579
2037
事實上,它是連結世界的
01:51
of knowledge and insight.
37
111616
2928
知識和眼光的橋梁。
01:54
Given this rich artistic environment,
38
114544
2140
在這個充滿藝術氣息的環境,
01:56
you'd assume that I would have been compelled
39
116684
1615
你或許認為我會不得已的
01:58
to go into the family business,
40
118299
2109
加入這個家族的事業。
02:00
but no.
41
120408
2616
但我並沒有。
02:03
I followed the path of most kids
42
123024
1787
我跟其它的小孩一樣,
02:04
who are genetically programmed
43
124811
1350
從基因中就被設定好
02:06
to make their parents crazy.
44
126161
2199
是會讓父每抓狂的。
02:08
I had no interest in becoming an artist,
45
128360
2623
我對成為藝術家一點興趣也沒有,
02:10
certainly not a painter.
46
130983
1560
更不用說畫家了。
02:12
What I did love was electronics and machines --
47
132543
3299
我喜愛的是電子和機械,
02:15
taking them apart, building new ones,
48
135842
1620
拆解,組裝成新的,
02:17
and making them work.
49
137462
1887
讓它們能運作。
02:19
Fortunately, my family also had engineers in it,
50
139349
3902
幸運地,我的家族裡有搞工程的,
02:23
and with my parents,
51
143251
1208
和我父母一樣,
02:24
these were my first role models.
52
144459
2628
他們是我的人生導師。
02:27
What they all had in common
53
147087
1357
他們都有一個共通點,
02:28
was they worked very, very hard.
54
148444
2708
就是非常非常努力地工作。
02:31
My grandpa owned and operated a sheet metal
55
151152
2370
我的爺爺擁在布魯克林有一座
02:33
kitchen cabinet factory in Brooklyn.
56
153522
2700
餐具櫃的金屬工廠。
02:36
On weekends, we would go
together to Cortlandt Street,
57
156222
3424
在週末,我們會一起去特克蘭街 (Cortlandt Street),
02:39
which was New York City's radio row.
58
159646
2675
那是約紐的電子商街,
02:42
There we would explore massive piles
59
162321
2803
我們在成堆的
02:45
of surplus electronics,
60
165124
1221
電子零件中挖寶,
02:46
and for a few bucks bring home treasures
61
166345
2302
用幾塊錢把一些寶買回家,
02:48
like Norden bombsights
62
168647
1432
像是諾頓投彈瞄準器,
02:50
and parts from the first IBM tube-based computers.
63
170079
4511
和 IBM 第一台真空管電腦的零件。
02:54
I found these objects both useful and fascinating.
64
174590
3066
我覺得這些東西有用又有趣,
02:57
I learned about engineering and how things worked,
65
177656
2631
我學會了工程學和其原理,
03:00
not at school
66
180287
1460
不是在學校,
03:01
but by taking apart and studying
67
181747
1789
而且在拆解和研究
03:03
these fabulously complex devices.
68
183536
2477
這些絕妙的複雜設備。
03:06
I did this for hours every day,
69
186013
2584
我每天花上數小時做這些事,
03:08
apparently avoiding electrocution.
70
188597
3298
還好我沒有觸電身亡,
03:11
Life was good.
71
191895
1572
生命是美好的。
03:13
However, every summer, sadly,
72
193467
2321
但是令人難過地,每個暑假,
03:15
the machines got left behind
73
195788
2033
這些機械離我而去,
03:17
while my parents and I traveled overseas
74
197821
2204
因為我父母帶我出國旅遊,
03:20
to experience history, art and design.
75
200025
3640
體驗歷史,藝術和設計。
03:23
We visited the great museums and historic buildings
76
203665
2394
我們在歐洲和中東參觀
03:26
of both Europe and the Middle East,
77
206059
1860
博物館和歷史建築。
03:27
but to encourage my growing interest
78
207919
2260
但為了鼓勵我在科學
03:30
in science and technology,
79
210179
1815
和工藝上的興趣,
03:31
they would simply drop me off in places
80
211994
2284
他們會讓我去像是
03:34
like the London Science Museum,
81
214278
2440
倫敦科學博物館之類的地方。
03:36
where I would wander endlessly for hours by myself
82
216718
3718
我在那裡可以待上一整天,
03:40
studying the history of science and technology.
83
220436
3976
研究科學工藝的歷史。
03:44
Then, when I was about nine years old,
84
224412
3264
在我大約九歲的時候,
03:47
we went to Rome.
85
227676
1868
我們去了羅馬。
03:49
On one particularly hot summer day,
86
229544
2361
在炎熱夏天的某一天,
03:51
we visited a drum-shaped
building that from the outside
87
231905
2879
我們參觀了一棟像鼓一樣的建築,
03:54
was not particularly interesting.
88
234784
2244
外觀上一點也不起眼。
03:57
My dad said it was called the Pantheon,
89
237028
2325
我爸說這是萬神廟 (Pantheon),
03:59
a temple for all of the gods.
90
239353
2468
眾神的廟宇。
04:01
It didn't look all that special from the outside,
91
241821
2274
就像我說的,從外面看來一點也不特別,
04:04
as I said, but when we walked inside,
92
244095
2439
但當我們走進去時,
04:06
I was immediately struck by three things:
93
246534
3313
我馬上被三件事情震驚到:
04:09
First of all, it was pleasantly cool
94
249847
3230
第一,跟外頭的熱度相比,
04:13
despite the oppressive heat outside.
95
253077
2078
裡面是透心涼快。
04:15
It was very dark, the only source of light
96
255155
2714
裡頭非常的暗,唯一的光源,
04:17
being an big open hole in the roof.
97
257869
2473
來自天花板的一個大洞。
04:20
Dad explained that this wasn't a big open hole,
98
260342
2233
父親解釋,那不是一個大洞,
04:22
but it was called the oculus,
99
262575
1814
它叫作「眼睛」 (oculus),
04:24
an eye to the heavens.
100
264389
2376
能見到天堂的眼睛。
04:26
And there was something about this place,
101
266765
2145
這個地方有些什麼特別之處,
04:28
I didn't know why, that just felt special.
102
268910
3003
我不知道是什麼,就是覺得特別。
04:31
As we walked to the center of the room,
103
271913
1998
當我們走到房屋的中央時,
04:33
I looked up at the heavens through the oculus.
104
273911
2821
我透過「眼睛」向上觀看天空,
04:36
This was the first church that I'd been to
105
276732
2297
這是我到過的第一個教堂,
04:39
that provided an unrestricted view
106
279029
2203
在上帝與人間,
04:41
between God and man.
107
281232
3158
提供一個無遮蔽的視野。
04:44
But I wondered, what about when it rained?
108
284390
3430
但我很好奇,下雨時會怎麼樣?
04:47
Dad may have called this an oculus,
109
287820
1857
父親或許稱它是「眼睛」,
04:49
but it was, in fact, a big hole in the roof.
110
289677
3087
但它實際上是一個天花板的大洞。
04:52
I looked down and saw floor drains
111
292764
1829
我低頭看到地板排水孔,
04:54
had been cut into the stone floor.
112
294593
2585
鑲在石頭地板中。
04:57
As I became more accustomed to the dark,
113
297178
2459
當我更加適應裡頭的黑暗,
04:59
I was able to make out details of the floor
114
299637
2264
我能更加看清楚地板和
05:01
and the surrounding walls.
115
301901
1730
周圍牆壁的細節。
05:03
No big deal here, just the same statuary stuff
116
303631
2577
沒啥特別的,跟我們在羅馬其它地方
05:06
that we'd seen all over Rome.
117
306208
1916
看到的雕像一樣。
05:08
In fact, it looked like the Appian Way
118
308124
1672
事實上,看起來像是亞壁古道 (Appian Way)。
05:09
marble salesman showed up
119
309796
2196
大理石雕刻的商人
05:11
with his sample book, showed it to Hadrian,
120
311992
2448
拿著他的目錄給哈德良看。
(註:哈德良為羅馬帝國五賢帝之一)
05:14
and Hadrian said, "We'll take all of it."
121
314440
2640
哈德良說「我們全買了。」
05:17
(Laughter)
122
317080
1706
(笑聲)
05:18
But the ceiling was amazing.
123
318786
3218
但天花板令人驚奇,
05:22
It looked like a Buckminster Fuller geodesic dome.
124
322004
2836
看起來像是巴克敏斯特·富勒的球形屋頂。
(註:巴克敏斯特·富勒是美國建築家)
05:24
I'd seen these before,
125
324840
1309
我以前見過這種的,
05:26
and Bucky was friends with my dad.
126
326149
2244
巴克是我父親的朋友。
05:28
It was modern, high-tech, impressive,
127
328393
3491
現代的,高技科,令人印深刻,
05:31
a huge 142-foot clear span
128
331884
2437
巨大的,142 英呎,沒有任何樑柱,
05:34
which, not coincidentally, was exactly its height.
129
334321
3243
不是巧合的,剛好就這麼高。
05:37
I loved this place.
130
337564
1262
我喜歡這個地方。
05:38
It was really beautiful and unlike
anything I'd ever seen before,
131
338826
3419
它真的很美,而且跟其它地方不一樣。
05:42
so I asked my dad, "When was this built?"
132
342245
3570
我就問我父親 "這是何時建造的?”
05:45
He said, "About 2,000 years ago."
133
345815
3132
他回答 "大約兩千年前左右。”
05:48
And I said, "No, I mean, the roof."
134
348947
2504
我說 "不,我指的是屋頂。”
05:51
You see, I assumed that this was a modern roof
135
351451
1959
看,我以為這是一個現代的屋頂,
05:53
that had been put on because the original
136
353410
1918
原有的屋頂因被戰火摧毀,
05:55
was destroyed in some long-past war.
137
355328
3546
而再另外蓋一個。
05:58
He said, "It's the original roof."
138
358874
3462
我父親說 "這是原本的屋頂。”
06:02
That moment changed my life,
139
362336
2478
從此刻我的人生就改變了,
06:04
and I can remember it as if it were yesterday.
140
364814
2649
就像昨天一樣記得很清楚。
06:07
For the first time, I realized people were smart
141
367463
2595
第一次,我認知到兩千年前的人類
06:10
2,000 years ago. (Laughter)
142
370058
2140
是如此聰明的。(笑聲)
06:12
This had never crossed my mind.
143
372198
2114
這事在我腦中揮之不去。
06:14
I mean, to me, the pyramids at Giza,
144
374312
3871
我的意思是,在埃及吉薩的金字塔
06:18
we visited those the year before,
145
378183
1928
前一年我們去看過了,
06:20
and sure they're impressive, nice enough design,
146
380111
2920
當然是很壯觀,完美的設計,
06:23
but look, give me an unlimited budget,
147
383031
2455
但只要我有夠多的預算,
06:25
20,000 to 40,000 laborers, and about 10 to 20 years
148
385486
3997
兩萬到四萬個工人,花十到二十年,
06:29
to cut and drag stone blocks
across the countryside,
149
389483
3616
在各地把石塊切割運過來,
06:33
and I'll build you pyramids too.
150
393099
2764
我也可以造一座金字塔。
06:35
But no amount of brute force
151
395863
2803
但只是靠蠻力,
06:38
gets you the dome of the Pantheon,
152
398666
3042
無論是兩千年前或是今天,
06:41
not 2,000 years ago, nor today.
153
401708
3019
你無法建一個萬神廟的穹頂。
06:44
And incidentally, it is still the largest
154
404727
2740
而且它是現在最大的
06:47
unreinforced concrete dome that's ever been built.
155
407467
3814
未經強化過的混泥土穹頂。
06:51
To build the Pantheon took some miracles.
156
411281
2995
建造萬神廟需要一些奇蹟。
06:54
By miracles, I mean things that are
157
414276
2432
我所謂的奇蹟,是指
06:56
technically barely possible,
158
416708
2587
在技術上近乎是不可能的,
06:59
very high-risk, and might not be
159
419295
3072
高風險的,就算是今天,
07:02
actually accomplishable at this moment in time,
160
422367
2584
也不見得可以完成的,
07:04
certainly not by you.
161
424951
4252
當然也不可能是由你完成的。
07:09
For example, here are some
of the Pantheon's miracles.
162
429203
3125
舉幾個萬神廟的奇蹟:
07:12
To make it even structurally possible,
163
432328
2693
要建造這樣一個的架構,
07:15
they had to invent super-strong concrete,
164
435021
2567
必須要有非常強力的混凝土,
07:17
and to control weight,
165
437588
1949
而且要控制好重量,
07:19
varied the density of the aggregate
166
439537
2068
隨著建造的高度,
07:21
as they worked their way up the dome.
167
441605
2768
要調整混凝土的密度。
07:24
For strength and lightness, the dome structure
168
444373
2301
達到需要的強度和輕量,穹頂的結構使用了
07:26
used five rings of coffers,
169
446674
2037
五圈的鑲板,
07:28
each of diminishing size,
170
448711
1607
每一個的尺寸逐漸縮小,
07:30
which imparts a dramatic forced perspective
171
450318
2736
依設計來看,
07:33
to the design.
172
453054
2007
分散掉絕大部分的壓力。
07:35
It was wonderfully cool inside
173
455061
1925
穹頂下異常的涼爽,
07:36
because of its huge thermal mass,
174
456986
2183
因為其內部巨大的空間,
07:39
natural convection of air rising up
175
459169
2085
上升氣流可經由 ”眼睛” 排出
07:41
through the oculus,
176
461254
1401
的自然對流,
07:42
and a Venturi effect when wind blows across
177
462655
2475
和外部空氣吹過圓頂的
07:45
the top of the building.
178
465130
2303
文丘里效應 (Venturi effect)。
07:47
I discovered for the first time that light itself
179
467433
3960
我第一次發現
07:51
has substance.
180
471393
1967
光是物質的。
07:53
The shaft of light beaming through the oculus
181
473360
2677
經 "眼睛" 進來的一道光束,
07:56
was both beautiful and palpable,
182
476037
2490
是如此美麗及可觸摸的,
07:58
and I realized for the first time
183
478527
2257
我第一次發現
08:00
that light could be designed.
184
480784
1901
光線也可以被設計的。
08:02
Further, that of all of the forms of design,
185
482685
4874
更甚,這裡所有形式的設計,
08:07
visual design,
186
487559
1376
視覺設計,
08:08
they were all kind of irrelevant without it,
187
488935
1831
全都脫離不了光線,
08:10
because without light, you can't see any of them.
188
490766
3861
因為沒有了光,你啥也看不到。
08:14
I also realized that I wasn't the first person
189
494627
2452
我也發現我不是第一位
08:17
to think that this place was really special.
190
497079
3259
認為這個地方是如此的特別。
08:20
It survived gravity, barbarians, looters, developers
191
500338
4377
它撐過重力、野蠻人、掠奪者、建造者,
08:24
and the ravages of time to become
192
504715
1899
還有時間的蹂躪,
08:26
what I believe is the longest
193
506614
1380
成為我認為是
08:27
continuously occupied building in history.
194
507994
2957
史上最長壽的建築。
08:30
Largely because of that visit,
195
510951
2216
因為這次的造訪,
08:33
I came to understand that,
196
513167
1537
我開始了解到,
08:34
contrary to what I was being told in school,
197
514704
2639
相對於我在學校所學到的,
08:37
the worlds of art and design
198
517343
2029
藝術和設計的世界
08:39
were not, in fact, incompatible
199
519372
2016
實際上,並不會不相容於
08:41
with science and engineering.
200
521388
1676
科學工藝的世界。
08:43
I realized, when combined,
201
523064
2093
我發現當這兩個結合時,
08:45
you could create things that were amazing
202
525157
2763
你可以創造出在單一領域中
08:47
that couldn't be done in either domain alone.
203
527920
2846
無法達到的效果。
08:50
But in school, with few exceptions,
204
530766
2433
但在學校裡,除了少數例外,
08:53
they were treated as separate worlds,
205
533199
1920
它們是被區分開來的,
08:55
and they still are.
206
535119
2143
現在也還是這樣。
08:57
My teachers told me that I had to get serious
207
537262
2696
我的老師們都告訴我要認真
08:59
and focus on one or the other.
208
539958
2173
專注在其中一個領域,
09:02
However, urging me to specialize
209
542131
3095
但是,力促我只精通一個領域,
09:05
only caused me to really
appreciate those polymaths
210
545226
3310
讓我對憧景那像博學的人們
09:08
like Michelangelo, Leonardo da Vinci,
211
548536
4150
像米開朗基羅、達文西
09:12
Benjamin Franklin,
212
552686
1425
本傑明·富蘭克林,
09:14
people who did exactly the opposite.
213
554111
2710
他們都不只是精通單一領域。
09:16
And this led me to embrace
214
556821
2189
這讓我更加嚮往
09:19
and want to be in both worlds.
215
559010
2970
同時身處在兩種領域。
09:21
So then how do these projects of unprecedented creative vision and technical complexity
216
561980
5828
所以像萬神廟這種史無前例的創新和精妙
09:27
like the Pantheon actually happen?
217
567808
2494
是如何達成的呢?
09:30
Someone themselves, perhaps Hadrian,
218
570302
3928
有些人,像是哈德良 (Hadrian),
09:34
needed a brilliant creative vision.
219
574230
3191
需要有傑出的創新願景,
09:37
They also needed the storytelling
and leadership skills
220
577421
2793
他們也需要說故事和領導的才能,
09:40
necessary to fund and execute it,
221
580214
2778
來實現這個願景,
09:42
and a mastery of science and technology
222
582992
2862
還有在科學工藝上的專精,
09:45
with the ability and knowhow
223
585854
2083
專業能力和技術,
09:47
to push existing innovations even farther.
224
587937
4046
來延伸現有的創新。
09:51
It is my belief that to create
these rare game changers
225
591983
3920
我相信,提供這種的規則改變者,
09:55
requires you to pull off at least five miracles.
226
595903
4130
需要你至少五個奇蹟。
10:00
The problem is, no matter how talented,
227
600033
2693
但問題是,無論你多聰明,
10:02
rich or smart you are,
228
602726
1732
或是多有錢,
10:04
you only get one to one and a half miracles.
229
604458
3026
你只能頂多有一個半的奇蹟。
10:07
That's it. That's the quota.
230
607484
1782
就是只有這麼多了。
10:09
Then you run out of time, money, enthusiasm,
231
609266
2613
你會耗盡你的時間、金錢、熱情,
10:11
whatever.
232
611879
1379
還有其它的一切。
10:13
Remember, most people can't even imagine
233
613258
2277
記得,大部分的人都沒有辦法
10:15
one of these technical miracles,
234
615535
1907
想像任何一種工藝上的奇蹟,
10:17
and you need at least five to make a Pantheon.
235
617442
3109
而你卻需要至少五個奇蹟來建造萬神廟。
10:20
In my experience, these rare visionaries
236
620551
2501
在我的經驗中,只有少數的夢想家
10:23
who can think across the worlds of art,
237
623052
1837
能遊走在藝術設計
10:24
design and engineering
238
624889
1827
和科學工藝之間,
10:26
have the ability to notice
239
626716
2202
他們能夠注意到
10:28
when others have provided enough of the miracles
240
628918
2717
何時其它方面的奇蹟
10:31
to bring the goal within reach.
241
631635
2556
已經足夠來實現這個夢想。
10:34
Driven by the clarity of their vision,
242
634191
2637
對於他們願景的明確了解,
10:36
they summon the courage and determination
243
636828
2310
他們喚起勇氣和意志力,
10:39
to deliver the remaining miracles
244
639138
2097
創造剩下需要的奇蹟,
10:41
and they often take what other people think to be
245
641235
3550
他們通常把其它人認為
10:44
insurmountable obstacles
246
644785
2046
不可跨越的障礙,
10:46
and turn them into features.
247
646831
1785
化為願景的特色。
10:48
Take the oculus of the Pantheon.
248
648616
2927
以萬神廟的”眼睛”為例,
10:51
By insisting that it be in the design,
249
651543
1898
要堅持這樣的設計,
10:53
it meant you couldn't use much
of the structural technology
250
653441
2873
你勢必無法使用
10:56
that had been developed for Roman arches.
251
656314
2974
在羅馬拱門上發展出來的結構技術。
10:59
However, by instead embracing it
252
659288
2898
然而,相對於
11:02
and rethinking weight and stress distribution,
253
662186
2588
重新去思考重量和壓力的分佈,
11:04
they came up with a design that only works
254
664774
2482
他們用一種僅適用於天花板有一個洞的
11:07
if there's a big hole in the roof.
255
667256
1904
全新設計。
11:09
That done, you now get the aesthetic
256
669160
3007
完成後,不僅兼具美學,
11:12
and design benefits of light, cooling
257
672167
4381
設計上還帶來光線和涼風效果,
11:16
and that critical direct connection with the heavens.
258
676548
3300
還有能直接連通天堂的管道。
11:19
Not bad.
259
679848
2044
很不賴吧。
11:21
These people not only believed
260
681892
2061
這些人們不只是相信
11:23
that the impossible can be done,
261
683953
2056
不可能的事可以被完成,
11:26
but that it must be done.
262
686009
2826
而且是一定要完成。
11:28
Enough ancient history.
263
688835
2101
歷史故事就先到此為止。
11:30
What are some recent examples of innovations
264
690936
3133
近代有什麼創新的事物,
11:34
that combine creative design
265
694069
1879
是結合了獨特的設計
11:35
and technological advances in a way so profound
266
695948
3243
和先進的技術,
11:39
that they will be remembered
267
699191
1329
可以讓人們在千年之後
11:40
a thousand years from now?
268
700520
1833
依舊會記得呢?
11:42
Well, putting a man on the moon was a good one,
269
702353
3096
把人送上月球是很了不起的,
11:45
and returning him safely to Earth wasn't bad either.
270
705449
3017
然後再把他平安地帶回地球,也是一樣。
11:48
Talk about one giant leap:
271
708466
2492
談到人類的一大步:
11:50
It's hard to imagine a more profound moment
272
710958
2448
很難想像在人類的歷史上,
11:53
in human history
273
713406
1312
有什麼可以比得上
11:54
than when we first left our world
274
714718
2173
我們第一次遠離我們自己的世界
11:56
to set foot on another.
275
716891
1891
踏上另一個世界的那一刻。
11:58
So what came after the moon?
276
718782
2221
那在登月之後,會是什麼呢?
12:01
One is tempted to say that today's pantheon
277
721003
2808
有人可能會說今天的萬神廟
12:03
is the Internet,
278
723811
1661
是網際網路,
12:05
but I actually think that's quite wrong,
279
725472
2469
但我真的認為這是錯的,
12:07
or at least it's only part of the story.
280
727941
2855
或是說這只是一小部分而已。
12:10
The Internet isn't a Pantheon.
281
730796
2516
網際網路不是萬神廟,
12:13
It's more like the invention of concrete:
282
733312
2591
比較像是混凝土的發明,
12:15
important, absolutely necessary
283
735903
2575
對於建造萬神廟
12:18
to build the Pantheon,
284
738478
1440
是很重要,不可或缺的,
12:19
and enduring,
285
739918
1356
而且可以流傳後世,
12:21
but entirely insufficient by itself.
286
741274
3191
但只有它是不夠的。
12:24
However, just as the technology of concrete
287
744465
2932
正如混凝土的技術
12:27
was critical in realization of the Pantheon,
288
747397
3587
對萬神廟的建造是很關鍵的,
12:30
new designers will use the
technologies of the Internet
289
750984
3215
創新者使用網際網路
12:34
to create novel concepts that will endure.
290
754199
3198
創造能流傳後世的全新事物。
12:37
The smartphone is a perfect example.
291
757397
2058
智慧型手機是一個絕佳的例子。
12:39
Soon the majority of people on the planet
292
759455
1745
很快速地,地球上大部分的人們
12:41
will have one,
293
761200
1334
都會有一支,
12:42
and the idea of connecting everyone
294
762534
2401
把人們聯繫起來
12:44
to both knowledge and each other will endure.
295
764935
3250
和訊息連結的想法會流傳下去。
12:48
So what's next?
296
768185
1308
那下一步呢?
12:49
What imminent advance will be
the equivalent of the Pantheon?
297
769493
3406
同等於萬神廟的下一個指標在哪?
12:52
Thinking about this,
298
772899
1435
想想看,
12:54
I rejected many very plausible
299
774334
2547
我不會接受一些似是而非
12:56
and dramatic breakthroughs to come,
300
776881
1896
或重大突破的事物作答案,
12:58
such as curing cancer.
301
778777
2017
例是治癒癌症。
13:00
Why? Because Pantheons are anchored
302
780794
3338
為什麼?因為萬神廟
13:04
in designed physical objects,
303
784132
2935
是建造在很多實體的設計之上,
13:07
ones that inspire by simply seeing
304
787067
2322
每一個都來自由簡單的觀察
13:09
and experiencing them,
305
789389
1420
和不斷地體現,
13:10
and will continue to do so indefinitely.
306
790809
2882
而且可以無窮盡的流傳下去。
13:13
It is a different kind of language, like art.
307
793691
4573
這像是藝術一樣難以用語言表達,
13:18
These other vital contributions that extend life
308
798264
2772
這些拓展生命及釋放痛苦的貢獻,
13:21
and relieve suffering are, of course, critical,
309
801036
2693
當然是不可缺少的重要,
13:23
and fantastic,
310
803729
1687
而且很華麗,
13:25
but they're part of the continuum of
311
805416
1793
但它們只是
13:27
our overall knowledge and technology,
312
807209
2512
我們全部知識技術的一部分,
13:29
like the Internet.
313
809721
2524
網際網路也是。
13:32
So what is next?
314
812245
2344
那下一個會是什麼?
13:34
Perhaps counterintuitively,
315
814589
1719
這有些違反直覺,
13:36
I'm guessing it's a visionary idea
316
816308
2312
但我猜是一個自1930年代末期
13:38
from the late 1930s
317
818620
1854
經由每個世代的修改的
13:40
that's been revived every decade since:
318
820474
3160
一個願景:
13:43
autonomous vehicles.
319
823634
2014
自動駕駛車輛。
13:45
Now you're thinking, give me a break.
320
825648
1738
你或許想,拜託,
13:47
How can a fancy version of cruise control
321
827386
3518
怎麼會是一個比較潮的
13:50
be profound?
322
830904
1700
巡航定速系統?
13:52
Look, much of our world
323
832604
2124
但你仔細看,
13:54
has been designed around
roads and transportation.
324
834728
3483
大部分我們的世界是設計在道路和運輸之上,
13:58
These were as essential to the success
325
838211
1875
道路之於
14:00
of the Roman Empire
326
840086
1498
羅馬帝國的興起,
14:01
as the interstate highway system
327
841584
1985
就像州際高速公路
14:03
to the prosperity and development
328
843569
1794
之於美國的
14:05
of the United States.
329
845363
2210
繁榮和現代化。
14:07
Today, these roads that interconnect our world
330
847573
3034
現今,這些串連我們世界的道路
14:10
are dominated by cars and trucks
331
850607
2098
主要都是汽車和卡車在使用,
14:12
that have remained largely unchanged
332
852705
1868
而這個基本上一百年來
14:14
for 100 years.
333
854573
2571
都沒有改變。
14:17
Although perhaps not obvious today,
334
857144
3259
或許現今不是很明顯,
14:20
autonomous vehicles will be the key technology
335
860403
4585
但自動駕駛車輛會是關鍵的科技
14:24
that enables us to redesign our cities
336
864988
3098
讓我們重新設計我們的城市,
14:28
and, by extension, civilization.
337
868086
2219
更進一步地,改變文化。
14:30
Here's why:
338
870305
1602
為什麼呢?
14:31
Once they become ubiquitous,
339
871907
1753
一旦普及之後,
14:33
each year, these vehicles will save
340
873660
2537
每年可以減少
14:36
tens of thousands of lives in the United States alone
341
876197
3108
美國上萬的生命的死亡,
14:39
and a million globally.
342
879305
3127
全球有上百萬的生命。
14:42
Automotive energy consumption and air pollution
343
882432
2899
汽車引擎的油耗和空污,
14:45
will be cut dramatically.
344
885331
2373
會大量的減少。
14:47
Much of the road congestion
345
887704
1405
大部分在進出城市
14:49
in and out of our cities will disappear.
346
889109
3810
交通擁塞將會消失。
14:52
They will enable compelling new concepts
347
892919
2687
這些會引發新的思維
14:55
in how we design cities, work,
348
895606
2469
重新設計我們的設計,職場,
14:58
and the way we live.
349
898075
1937
以及我們的生活。
15:00
We will get where we're going faster
350
900012
2546
我們可以更快速到達目的地,
15:02
and society will recapture vast amounts
351
902558
2998
社會可以拾回大量的
15:05
of lost productivity
352
905556
1291
資源損耗,
15:06
now spent sitting in traffic basically polluting.
353
906847
3641
現在花在車陣中的時間只是在污染世界。
15:10
But why now? Why do we think this is ready?
354
910488
3273
但為何是現在?為何現在才能實現?
15:13
Because over the last 30 years,
355
913761
2194
因為過去三十年,
15:15
people from outside the automotive industry
356
915955
2048
在汽車業以外的人們,
15:18
have spent countless billions
357
918003
2108
花費上億的金錢
15:20
creating the needed miracles,
358
920111
1735
創造出必要的奇蹟,
15:21
but for entirely different purposes.
359
921846
2872
但當初是為了不同的目的。
15:24
It took folks like DARPA, universities,
360
924718
2628
這讓像是 DARPA、大學、公司企業,
(註:DARPA 是美國國防高等研究計劃署)
15:27
and companies completely
outside of the automotive industry
361
927346
3164
完全置身在汽車業界之外的人們,
15:30
to notice that if you were clever about it,
362
930510
2301
如果夠聰明,就會了解到
15:32
autonomy could be done now.
363
932811
2530
自動汽車現在可以被實現。
15:35
So what are the five miracles
needed for autonomous vehicles?
364
935341
3383
什麼是自動汽車需要的五個奇蹟呢?
15:38
One, you need to know
365
938724
1643
第一個,你需要知道
15:40
where you are and exactly what time it is.
366
940367
2734
現在你確切的時間和位置。
15:43
This was solved neatly by the GPS system,
367
943101
2408
這個可以經由 GPS 解決,
15:45
Global Positioning System,
368
945509
1312
全球定位系統,
15:46
that the U.S. Government put in place.
369
946821
2666
是由美國政府發展的。
15:49
You need to know where all the roads are,
370
949487
2523
你需要知道道路在哪裡,
15:52
what the rules are, and where you're going.
371
952010
2903
道路規則是什麼,你要往哪裡去。
15:54
The various needs of personal navigation systems,
372
954913
2583
這些可以由導航系統,
15:57
in-car navigation systems,
373
957496
1755
車內導航系統,
15:59
and web-based maps address this.
374
959251
3033
和網路上的地圖來達成。
16:02
You must have near-continuous communication
375
962284
2627
你需要近端即時通訊
16:04
with high-performance computing networks
376
964911
1893
配合高效能的電腦運算,
16:06
and with others nearby
377
966804
1670
來了解附近車輛
16:08
to understand their intent.
378
968474
3315
的動態。
16:11
The wireless technologies
developed for mobile devices,
379
971789
3108
為手機發展的無線技術
16:14
with some minor modifications,
380
974897
1793
加上一點些微的改造,
16:16
are completely suitable to solve this.
381
976690
2959
就可以完成的解決這件事。
16:19
You'll probably want some restricted roadways
382
979649
2490
你或許想到
16:22
to get started
383
982139
1190
在社會和法律上
16:23
that both society and its lawyers
384
983329
2478
都可以接受的
16:25
agree are safe to use for this.
385
985807
1872
一些道路限制。
16:27
This will start with the HOV lanes
386
987679
1849
像是高乘載車道
16:29
and move from there.
387
989528
2133
和其它的延伸。
16:31
But finally, you need to recognize
388
991661
2551
但最終,你需要能辨認
16:34
people, signs and objects.
389
994212
2103
人群、號誌和物體。
16:36
Machine vision, special sensors,
and high-performance computing
390
996315
3054
機械視覺、特殊感應器、高效能的電腦運算
16:39
can do a lot of this,
391
999369
1572
可以做到這些,
16:40
but it turns out a lot is not good enough
392
1000941
2558
但這還是不太夠,
16:43
when your family is on board.
393
1003499
1941
尤其是當你的家人在車上。
16:45
Occasionally, humans will
need to do sense-making.
394
1005440
3521
偶爾,人類需要給予一些決定。
16:48
For this, you might actually have to wake up
395
1008961
3612
你或許需要喚醒乘客
16:52
your passenger and ask them what the hell
396
1012573
2096
詢問他們
16:54
that big lump is in the middle of the road.
397
1014669
2802
剛剛那個在路中間的顛簸是怎麼回事。
16:57
Not so bad, and it will give us a sense of purpose
398
1017487
2344
這還不賴,我們已經有一些
16:59
in this new world.
399
1019831
1853
新世界的輪廓了。
17:01
Besides, once the first drivers explain
400
1021684
2740
此外,一旦駕駛
17:04
to their confused car
401
1024424
1326
向那困惑的汽車解釋
17:05
that the giant chicken at the fork in the road
402
1025750
2666
路上那隻在叉子上的巨大的雞
17:08
is actually a restaurant,
403
1028416
1543
只是一家餐廳,
17:09
and it's okay to keep driving,
404
1029959
2304
它就會安心的繼續行駛,
17:12
every other car on the surface of the Earth
405
1032263
3420
而地表上的所有其它汽車
17:15
will know that from that point on.
406
1035683
2922
也將從此了解這件事。
17:18
Five miracles, mostly delivered,
407
1038605
2263
第五個奇蹟,已近乎完成,
17:20
and now you just need a clear vision
408
1040868
1878
是需要一個明確的願景,
17:22
of a better world filled with autonomous vehicles
409
1042746
2837
一個佈滿自動汽車的美好世界,
17:25
with seductively beautiful
and new functional designs
410
1045583
3613
吸引人和功能完善的設計,
17:29
plus a lot of money and hard work
411
1049196
2454
加上許多資金和努力,
17:31
to bring it home.
412
1051650
1596
可以把它開回家。
17:33
The beginning is now only a handful of years away,
413
1053246
3022
只需幾年的時間就可以實現了,
17:36
and I predict that autonomous vehicles
414
1056268
1868
我預期自動駕駛汽車
17:38
will permanently change our world
415
1058136
2071
將會永遠的改變我們的世界
17:40
over the next several decades.
416
1060207
4184
延續好幾十年。
17:44
In conclusion, I've come to believe
417
1064391
2652
總而言之,我開始相信
17:47
that the ingredients for the next Pantheons
418
1067043
2238
促成下一個萬神廟的各項要素
17:49
are all around us,
419
1069281
1387
已經在我們的周圍,
17:50
just waiting for visionary people
420
1070668
2187
等待有願景的人們,
17:52
with the broad knowledge,
421
1072855
1734
同時具備寬廣的知識,
17:54
multidisciplinary skills,
422
1074589
1610
跨領域的技術,
17:56
and intense passion
423
1076199
1868
及極端的熱情,
17:58
to harness them to make their dreams a reality.
424
1078067
5086
讓這個夢想成真。
18:03
But these people don't spontaneously
425
1083153
2496
但這樣的人才並不會
18:05
pop into existence.
426
1085649
1339
自動地無中生有。
18:06
They need to be nurtured and encouraged
427
1086988
1839
他們必須從小時候
18:08
from when they're little kids.
428
1088827
1779
就被良好的教養和鼓勵。
18:10
We need to love them and help them
429
1090606
1860
我們需要愛護並幫助他們
18:12
discover their passions.
430
1092466
1719
去發掘他們的熱情。
18:14
We need to encourage them to work hard
431
1094185
2214
我們需要鼓勵他們全力投入,
18:16
and help them understand that failure
432
1096399
2437
幫助他們了解到
18:18
is a necessary ingredient for success,
433
1098836
2871
失敗為成功之母,
18:21
as is perseverance.
434
1101707
2181
並且要持續不懈。
18:23
We need to help them to find their own role models,
435
1103888
3098
我們需要幫助他們找到他們的典範,
18:26
and give them the confidence
to believe in themselves
436
1106986
2672
給予他們自信,相信自己,
18:29
and to believe that anything is possible,
437
1109658
2777
相信任何都是可能的,
18:32
and just as my grandpa did when
he took me shopping for surplus,
438
1112435
3509
就像我祖父帶我去購買雜貨,
18:35
and just as my parents did
439
1115944
1783
就像我父母
18:37
when they took me to science museums,
440
1117727
2022
帶我去科學博物館,
18:39
we need to encourage them to find their own path,
441
1119749
3281
我們需要鼓勵他們去找到他們自己的道路,
18:43
even if it's very different from our own.
442
1123030
2657
即使這是非常困難。
18:45
But a cautionary note:
443
1125687
1408
但有一個注意事項:
18:47
We also need to periodically pry them away
444
1127095
2434
我們需要定期的把他們
18:49
from their modern miracles,
445
1129529
1469
從現代的奇蹟拉開來,
18:50
the computers, phones, tablets,
446
1130998
1971
電腦、手機、平板、
18:52
game machines and TVs,
447
1132969
1594
電玩、電視,
18:54
take them out into the sunlight
448
1134563
2244
帶他們到外面,
18:56
so they can experience both the natural
449
1136807
2129
讓他們感受到
18:58
and design wonders of our world,
450
1138936
2897
我們的世界、星球和文化
19:01
our planet and our civilization.
451
1141833
2242
的美好設計。
19:04
If we don't, they won't understand
452
1144075
2927
如果不這樣做,他們不會了解
19:07
what these precious things are
453
1147002
1882
這些資產的珍貴,
19:08
that someday they will be resopnsible
454
1148884
2595
而有一天會輪到他們
19:11
for protecting and improving.
455
1151479
2282
來保護和改善。
19:13
We also need them to understand
456
1153761
1643
我們也需要他們能了解
19:15
something that doesn't seem adequately appreciated
457
1155404
3029
有些事物在現代科技快速發展下
19:18
in our increasingly tech-dependent world,
458
1158433
2463
沒有被得到應有的看待,
19:20
that art and design
459
1160896
1683
藝術和設計,
19:22
are not luxuries,
460
1162579
1913
不是奢侈品,
19:24
nor somehow incompatible
461
1164492
1826
也不是不能和
19:26
with science and engineering.
462
1166318
1869
科學科技相容的。
19:28
They are in fact essential to what makes us special.
463
1168187
5575
事實上,它是讓我們與眾不同的必要。
19:33
Someday, if you get the chance,
464
1173762
2515
如果有一天你有機會,
19:36
perhaps you can take your kids
465
1176277
1537
或許你可以帶你的孩子
19:37
to the actual Pantheon,
466
1177814
1771
去真正的萬神廟,
19:39
as we will our daughter Kira,
467
1179585
2660
像我帶我的女兒奇拉,
19:42
to experience firsthand
468
1182245
2078
去第一手體驗到
19:44
the power of that astonishing design,
469
1184323
4257
令人震驚的設計,
19:48
which on one otherwise unremarkable day in Rome,
470
1188580
3744
在羅馬的某一個不起眼的日子,
19:52
reached 2,000 years into the future
471
1192324
3027
觸及到 2000 年的未來,
19:55
to set the course for my life.
472
1195351
2658
造就我現在的人生。
19:58
Thank you.
473
1198009
2131
謝謝。
20:00
(Applause)
474
1200140
4308
(掌聲)
New videos
Original video on YouTube.com
關於本網站
本網站將向您介紹對學習英語有用的 YouTube 視頻。 您將看到來自世界各地的一流教師教授的英語課程。 雙擊每個視頻頁面上顯示的英文字幕,從那裡播放視頻。 字幕與視頻播放同步滾動。 如果您有任何意見或要求,請使用此聯繫表與我們聯繫。