Jennifer Healey: If cars could talk, accidents might be avoidable

48,314 views ・ 2013-04-25

TED


μ•„λž˜ μ˜λ¬Έμžλ§‰μ„ λ”λΈ”ν΄λ¦­ν•˜μ‹œλ©΄ μ˜μƒμ΄ μž¬μƒλ©λ‹ˆλ‹€.

00:00
Translator: Joseph Geni Reviewer: Morton Bast
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λ²ˆμ—­: Jerome Kim κ²€ν† : Tae Young Choi
00:12
Let's face it:
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자, μ†”μ§ν•˜κ²Œ ν•œλ²ˆ 이야기 ν•΄ 보죠.
00:14
Driving is dangerous.
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μš΄μ „μ€ μœ„ν—˜ν•©λ‹ˆλ‹€.
00:17
It's one of the things that we don't like to think about,
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λ¬Όλ‘  μš°λ¦¬λŠ” μš΄μ „μ΄ μœ„ν—˜ν•˜λ‹€λŠ” 것을 μΈμ •ν•˜λ € 듀지 μ•Šμ£ .
00:20
but the fact that religious icons and good luck charms
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ν•˜μ§€λ§Œ μžλ™μ°¨μ˜ κ³„κΈ°νŒμ— 놓인
00:23
show up on dashboards around the world
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μ–΄λ–€ 쒅ꡐ적 상징물 λ˜λŠ” ν–‰μš΄μ˜ 뢀적듀은
00:28
betrays the fact that we know this to be true.
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우리 μžμ‹ λ„ λͺ¨λ₯΄κ²Œ μš΄μ „μ΄ μœ„ν—˜ν•˜λ‹€λŠ” 것을 말해주죠.
00:32
Car accidents are the leading cause of death
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λ―Έκ΅­μ—μ„œ, μžλ™μ°¨ μ‚¬κ³ λŠ” 16μ„ΈλΆ€ν„° 19μ„Έμ˜ 인ꡬ 쀑
00:36
in people ages 16 to 19 in the United States --
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사망을 μΌμœΌν‚€λŠ” κ°€μž₯ μ£Όμš”ν•œ μ›μΈμž…λ‹ˆλ‹€.
00:40
leading cause of death --
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μ‚¬λ§μ˜ μ£Όμš” 원인인 κ²ƒμž…λ‹ˆλ‹€.
00:43
and 75 percent of these accidents have nothing to do
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그리고 μ΄λŸ¬ν•œ ꡐ톡 μ‚¬κ³ μ˜ 75%λŠ”
00:47
with drugs or alcohol.
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λ§ˆμ•½μ΄λ‚˜ μŒμ£Όμ™€λŠ” μ „ν˜€ 상관이 μ—†μŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
00:49
So what happens?
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그러면 λ„λŒ€μ²΄ 무슨일이 λ²Œμ–΄μ§„κ±ΈκΉŒμš”?
00:51
No one can say for sure, but I remember my first accident.
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아무도 μ •ν™•νžˆ 말할 수 μ—†μ§€λ§Œ μ €λŠ” 제 첫번째 사고λ₯Ό κΈ°μ–΅ν•˜κ³  μžˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
00:55
I was a young driver out on the highway,
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μ €λŠ” μ–΄λ¦° νŽΈμ— μ†ν•˜λŠ” μš΄μ „μžμ˜€κ³ , κ³ μ†λ„λ‘œλ₯Ό μš΄μ „ν•˜κ³  μžˆμ—ˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
00:59
and the car in front of me, I saw the brake lights go on.
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κ·Έλ•Œ, μžλ™μ°¨ ν•œλŒ€κ°€ 제 μ•žμ— μžˆμ—ˆκ³  μ €λŠ” 그차의 후미등이 μΌœμ§€λŠ” 것을 λ΄€μ£ .
01:02
I'm like, "Okay, all right, this guy is slowing down,
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κ·Έλ•Œ μƒκ°ν–ˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€. "μ•„, 이 μ°¨κ°€ 속λ ₯을 쀄이고 μžˆκ΅¬λ‚˜."
01:03
I'll slow down too."
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"λ‚˜λ„ 속λ ₯을 μ’€ 쀄여야 κ² λ‹€."
01:05
I step on the brake.
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μ €λŠ” 브레이크λ₯Ό λ°Ÿμ•˜μ£ .
01:07
But no, this guy isn't slowing down.
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μ•„λ‹ˆ 그런데 이 μš΄μ „μžλŠ” 속λ ₯을 μ€„μ΄λŠ”κ²Œ μ•„λ‹ˆμ˜€μ–΄μš”.
01:09
This guy is stopping, dead stop, dead stop on the highway.
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κ·Έ μ°¨λŠ” κΈ‰μ •κ±°λ₯Ό ν•˜κ³  μžˆμ—ˆλ˜ κ±°μ˜ˆμš”. 그것도 κ³ μ†λ„λ‘œμ—μ„œμš” ν•œλ³΅νŒμ—μ„œμš”.
01:12
It was just going 65 -- to zero?
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μ•„λ§ˆ μ‹œμ† 65마일(104km/h) 정도 μ¦ˆμŒμ—μ„œ κΈ‰ 브레이크λ₯Ό λ°Ÿμ§€ μ•Šμ•˜λ‚˜ μ‹Άμ–΄μš”.
01:15
I slammed on the brakes.
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μ „ μžˆλŠ” 힘껏 브레이크λ₯Ό λ°Ÿμ•˜κ³ 
01:16
I felt the ABS kick in, and the car is still going,
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ABSκ°€ μž‘λ™λ˜λŠ”κ±Έ λŠκΌˆμ§€λ§Œ, μ—¬μ „νžˆ μ°¨λŠ” λ©ˆμΆ”μ§€ μ•Šμ•˜κ³  계속 μ•žμœΌλ‘œ λ°€λ €λ‚˜κ°”μŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
01:19
and it's not going to stop, and I know it's not going to stop,
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λ©ˆμΆ”μ§€ μ•Šκ³  계속 λ‚˜κ°”μ£ . κ·Έλ•Œ λŠκΌˆμ–΄μš”. μ•„λ¬΄λž˜λ„ λ©ˆμΆ”μ§€ λͺ»ν•  것 κ°™λ‹€κ³ μš”.
01:22
and the air bag deploys, the car is totaled,
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κ²°κ΅­, 에어백이 ν„°μ‘Œκ³  제 μ°¨λŠ” μ™„μ „νžˆ λ§κ°€μ‘Œμ£ .
01:25
and fortunately, no one was hurt.
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μš΄μ’‹κ²Œλ„ 아무도 λ‹€μΉ˜μ§€λŠ” μ•Šμ•˜μ–΄μš”.
01:28
But I had no idea that car was stopping,
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ν•˜μ§€λ§Œ μ „ κ·Έ μ°¨κ°€ 급정지 ν•œλ‹€κ³  생각지도 λͺ»ν–ˆμ–΄μš”.
01:32
and I think we can do a lot better than that.
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μ €λŠ” μš°λ¦¬κ°€ 보닀 더 잘 λŒ€μ²˜ν•  수 μžˆλ‹€κ³  μƒκ°ν•©λ‹ˆλ‹€.
01:36
I think we can transform the driving experience
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제 μƒκ°μ—λŠ” μžλ™μ°¨λ“€λΌλ¦¬ μ„œλ‘œ 톡신(λŒ€ν™”)ν•  수 있게 ν•œλ‹€λ©΄
01:40
by letting our cars talk to each other.
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우리의 μš΄μ „μ˜ κ²½ν—˜μ„ μ™„μ „νžˆ νƒˆλ°”κΏˆ μ‹œν‚¬ 수 μžˆμ§€ μ•Šμ„κΉŒ μƒκ°ν•©λ‹ˆλ‹€.
01:44
I just want you to think a little bit
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μ˜€λŠ˜λ‚ μ˜ μš΄μ „ κ²½ν—˜μ΄ 어떀건지
01:46
about what the experience of driving is like now.
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μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„λ„ ν•œλ²ˆ 생각해 λ³΄μ‹œλ©΄ μ’‹κ² κ΅°μš”.
01:48
Get into your car. Close the door. You're in a glass bubble.
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μš°μ„  차에 타고 문을 λ‹«μŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€. μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„λ“€μ€ 이제 유리둜 λ‘˜λŸ¬μŒ“μΈ 곡간 μ•ˆμ— μžˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
01:53
You can't really directly sense the world around you.
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μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„λ“€μ€ μ™ΈλΆ€ ν™˜κ²½μ„ μ§μ ‘μ μœΌλ‘œ λŠλ‚„ 수 μ—†μŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
01:55
You're in this extended body.
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μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„μ€ ν˜„μž¬ μžλ™μ°¨μ˜ 일뢀가 λœκ²λ‹ˆλ‹€.
01:58
You're tasked with navigating it down
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λ„€λΉ„κ²Œμ΄μ…˜μ΄ λΆ€λΆ„μ μœΌλ‘œ λ³΄μ—¬μ£ΌλŠ” 길을 따라
02:00
partially-seen roadways,
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λ‹€λ₯Έ κΈˆμ† 거인듀(μžλ™μ°¨λ“€)κ³Ό ν•¨κ»˜ 초인적인 μ†λ„λ‘œ λ‹¬λ¦¬λ©΄μ„œ
02:02
in and amongst other metal giants, at super-human speeds.
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μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„μ€ κ·Έ μ•ˆμ—μ„œ νž˜λ“  업무λ₯Ό 맑고 μžˆλŠ”κ±°μ£ .
02:06
Okay? And all you have to guide you are your two eyes.
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κ³΅κ°ν•˜μ‹œλ‚˜μš”? μœ μΌν•˜κ²Œ μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„μ„ μ•ˆλ‚΄ν•˜λŠ” 것은 λ°”λ‘œ μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„μ˜ 두 눈 λ°–μ—λŠ” μ—†μŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
02:11
Okay, so that's all you have,
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였직 두 눈 λΏμž…λ‹ˆλ‹€.
02:12
eyes that weren't really designed for this task,
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사싀, 우리의 λˆˆμ€ 이런 λ³΅μž‘ν•œ 일을 ν•˜κΈ°μ— μ ν•©ν•˜μ§€ μ•ŠμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
02:14
but then people ask you to do things like,
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λ§Œμ•½ μ‚¬λžŒλ“€μ΄ μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„μ—κ²Œ 차선을 바꾸라고 μš”μ²­ν•œλ‹€κ³  κ°€μ •ν•΄ λ΄…μ‹œλ‹€.
02:18
you want to make a lane change,
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κ·Έλ ‡λ‹€λ©΄ κ·Έ μ‚¬λžŒλ“€μ€ κ³Όμ—°
02:20
what's the first thing they ask you do?
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κ°€μž₯ 첫번째둜 μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„μ—κ²Œ 무엇을 μš”μ²­ν• κΉŒμš”?
02:22
Take your eyes off the road. That's right.
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κ·Έλ ‡μ£ . μš°μ„  μ‹œμ„ μ„ λ‹€λ₯Έ 곳으둜 돌리라고 ν•˜κ² μ£ .
02:25
Stop looking where you're going, turn,
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μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„μ΄ 달리고 있던 μ°¨μ„ μ—μ„œ λˆˆμ„ λ–Όκ³ 
02:27
check your blind spot,
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λ³€κ²½ν•˜κ³ μž ν•˜λŠ” 빈 차선을 μ‚΄νŽ΄λ΄μ•Όμ£ .
02:29
and drive down the road without looking where you're going.
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그리고 당신이 μ–΄λ””λ‘œ κ°€κ³  μžˆλŠ”μ§€ 보지 λͺ»ν•œμ²΄ μš΄μ „μ„ 계속 ν•©λ‹ˆλ‹€.
02:33
You and everyone else. This is the safe way to drive.
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λ§žμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€. λͺ¨λ“  μ‚¬λžŒλ“€μ΄ λ˜‘κ°™μ΄ μš΄μ „ν•©λ‹ˆλ‹€. 이건 μ•ˆμ „ν•˜κ²Œ μš΄μ „ν•˜λŠ” 방법이죠.
02:36
Why do we do this? Because we have to,
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μš°λ¦¬λŠ” μ™œ μ΄λ ‡κ²Œ ν–‰λ™ν• κΉŒμš”? μ™œλƒν•˜λ©΄ κ·Έλ ‡κ²Œ ν•΄μ•Όλ§Œ ν•˜κΈ° λ•Œλ¬Έμ΄μ£ .
02:38
we have to make a choice, do I look here or do I look here?
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μš°λ¦¬λŠ” μ–΄λŠμͺ½μ„ 봐야할지 계속 선택해야 ν•©λ‹ˆλ‹€.
02:40
What's more important?
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그런데 더 μ€‘μš”ν•œ 건 λ¬΄μ—‡μΌκΉŒμš”?
02:42
And usually we do a fantastic job
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μš°λ¦¬λŠ” λ„λ‘œμ—μ„œ μ–΄λŠ μͺ½ 차선을 선택할지
02:45
picking and choosing what we attend to on the road.
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κ³ λ―Όν•˜λŠ” μ—„μ²­λ‚œ 일듀을 ν•˜κ³  μžˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
02:48
But occasionally we miss something.
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그런데 가끔 λͺ‡κ°€μ§€ 사항을 λ†“μΉ˜κΈ°λ„ ν•©λ‹ˆλ‹€.
02:52
Occasionally we sense something wrong or too late.
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μš΄μ • 쀑에, 가끔, λ­”κ°€ 잘λͺ»λλ‹€κ±°λ‚˜ μ•„λ‹ˆλ©΄ λ„ˆλ¬΄ λŠ¦μ—ˆλ‹€κ³  λŠλ‚„λ•Œλ„ 있죠.
02:57
In countless accidents, the driver says,
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μˆ˜μ—†μ΄ λ§Žμ€ ꡐ톡사고가 μΌμ–΄λ‚˜κ³  있고 κ·Έ μš΄μ „μžλ“€μ€ μ΄λ ‡κ²Œ λ§ν•©λ‹ˆλ‹€.
02:59
"I didn't see it coming."
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"미처 κ·Έ μ°¨κ°€ μ˜€λŠ” 것을 보지 λͺ»ν–ˆμ–΄μš”."
03:01
And I believe that. I believe that.
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μ „ 이 뢀뢄에 곡감이 잘 λ©λ‹ˆλ‹€. μ•„μ£Ό λ§Žμ΄μš”.
03:04
We can only watch so much.
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μš°λ¦¬λŠ” 였직 κ·Έ 정도 밖에 λ³Ό 수 μ—†μŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
03:07
But the technology exists now that can help us improve that.
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ν•˜μ§€λ§Œ μ΄λŸ¬ν•œ 우리λ₯Ό 도와 이런 μƒνƒœλ₯Ό λ‚˜μ•„μ§€κ²Œ ν•  κΈ°μˆ λ“€μ΄ ν˜„μž¬ μ‘΄μž¬ν•©λ‹ˆλ‹€.
03:12
In the future, with cars exchanging data with each other,
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λ―Έλž˜μ—λŠ” μžλ™μ°¨κ°€ μ„œλ‘œ 자료λ₯Ό κ΅ν™˜ν•¨μœΌλ‘œμ¨
03:17
we will be able to see not just three cars ahead
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μš°λ¦¬λ³΄λ‹€ 3λŒ€ μ•žμ— μžˆλŠ” μ°¨ λΏλ§Œμ•„λ‹ˆλΌ 3λŒ€ 뒀에 μžˆλŠ” 차도 λ³Ό 수 μžˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
03:20
and three cars behind, to the right and left,
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λ¬Όλ‘  쒌, μš°λ„ λ§ˆμ°¬κ°€μ§€μ£ .
03:22
all at the same time, bird's eye view,
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λͺ¨λ“  것을 λ™μ‹œμ— 마치 ν•˜λŠ˜μ—μ„œ λ‚΄λ €λ‹€λ³΄λŠ” λ“―ν•œ μ‹œμ•Όλ₯Ό κ°–κ²Œ λ˜λŠ” κ²λ‹ˆλ‹€.
03:25
we will actually be able to see into those cars.
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사싀 κ·Έ 차듀에 λŒ€ν•΄ 속속듀이 μ•Œ μˆ˜λ„ μžˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
03:28
We will be able to see the velocity of the car in front of us,
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우리λ₯Ό μ•žμ„œκ°€κ³  μžˆλŠ” μžλ™μ°¨μ˜ 속λ ₯을 μΈμ§€ν•˜λ©΄μ„œ
03:31
to see how fast that guy's going or stopping.
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κ·Έ μš΄μ „μžκ°€ 계속 κ°ˆμ§€ μ•„λ‹ˆλ©΄ λ©ˆμΆœμ§€λ„ μ•Œ 수 μžˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
03:34
If that guy's going down to zero, I'll know.
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ν˜Ήμ‹œλΌλ„ μ•žμ˜ μš΄μ „μžκ°€ 급정지λ₯Ό ν•œλ‹€ 해도 μ „ 이미 κ·Έ 사싀을 μ•Œ 수 있죠.
03:38
And with computation and algorithms and predictive models,
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λ˜ν•œ μ—°μ‚°(계산)κ³Ό μ•Œκ³ λ¦¬μ¦˜, 예츑 λͺ¨λΈλ“€μ„ ν†΅ν•΄μ„œ
03:42
we will be able to see the future.
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μš°λ¦¬λŠ” 미래λ₯Ό μ—Ώ λ³Ό 수 μžˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
03:46
You may think that's impossible.
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μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„μ€ μ•„λ§ˆλ„ μ΄λŸ¬ν•œ 것듀이 λΆˆκ°€λŠ₯ν•˜λ‹€κ³  생각할 수 도 μžˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
03:47
How can you predict the future? That's really hard.
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"μ–΄λ–»κ²Œ 미래λ₯Ό μ˜ˆμΈ‘ν• μˆ˜ μžˆλ‚˜μš”? 그건 말도 μ•Šλ˜μ£ " 라고 말이죠.
03:50
Actually, no. With cars, it's not impossible.
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ν•˜μ§€λ§Œ 차에 κ΄€ν•΄μ„œ λ§ŒνΌμ€ 미래λ₯Ό μ˜ˆμΈ‘ν•  수 μžˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
03:54
Cars are three-dimensional objects
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μžλ™μ°¨λŠ” 단지 ν•˜λ‚˜μ˜ κ³ μ •λœ μ’Œν‘œμ™€ 속λ ₯을 가지고 μžˆλŠ”
03:56
that have a fixed position and velocity.
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μ‚Όμ°¨μ›λ‚΄μ˜ 물체에 λΆˆκ³Όν•©λ‹ˆλ‹€.
03:59
They travel down roads.
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μžλ™μ°¨λŠ” 단지 길을 따라 λ‹¬λ¦¬λŠ” 것 λΏμž…λ‹ˆλ‹€.
04:00
Often they travel on pre-published routes.
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보톡 μžλ™μ°¨ κΈ°μˆ μ€ 미리 정해진 길을 따라 μ§„λ³΄ν•©λ‹ˆλ‹€.
04:03
It's really not that hard to make reasonable predictions
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κ°€κΉŒμš΄ 미래의 μžλ™μ°¨ 기술이 μ–΄λ–»κ²Œ 될지λ₯Ό μ˜ˆμΈ‘ν•˜λŠ” 것은
04:07
about where a car's going to be in the near future.
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그리 μ–΄λ €μš΄ 일이 μ•„λ‹™λ‹ˆλ‹€.
04:09
Even if, when you're in your car
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심지어 λͺ‡λŒ€μ˜ μ˜€ν† λ°”μ΄κ°€ λ’€μͺ½μ—μ„œλΆ€ν„°
04:11
and some motorcyclist comes -- bshoom! --
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μ“© μ†Œλ¦¬μ™€ ν•¨κ»˜ 차선을 κ°€λ‘œμ§€λ₯΄λ©° μ‹œμ† 85 마일 (104 km/h)둜
04:13
85 miles an hour down, lane-splitting --
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λ‹€κ°€μ˜€λŠ” 것과 같은 κ²½μš°λ„ μžˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
04:16
I know you've had this experience --
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μ•„λ§ˆλ„ μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„λ„ 이런 κ²½ν—˜μ΄ μžˆμ„ 것 κ°™μ€λ°μš”.
04:18
that guy didn't "just come out of nowhere."
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어디에도 μ—†λ˜ μ˜€ν† λ°”μ΄κ°€ κ°‘μžκΈ° 툭 νŠ€μ–΄λ‚˜μ˜€λŠ” 것은 μ•„λ‹™λ‹ˆλ‹€.
04:21
That guy's been on the road probably for the last half hour.
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μ•„λ§ˆλ„ κ·Έ μ‚¬λžŒμ€ 30λΆ„ μ „λΆ€ν„° κ·Έ λ„λ‘œμ— μžˆμ—ˆκ² μ£ .
04:25
(Laughter)
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(μ›ƒμŒ)
04:26
Right? I mean, somebody's seen him.
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κ·Έλ ‡μ£ . μ•„λ§ˆ 23, 30 마일 뒀에 μžˆλŠ” λˆ„κ΅°κ°€λŠ”
04:29
Ten, 20, 30 miles back, someone's seen that guy,
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κ·Έ μ˜€ν† λ°”μ΄λ₯Ό 봀을 κ±°μ˜ˆμš”.
04:32
and as soon as one car sees that guy
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그리고 ν•œ λŒ€μ˜ μ°¨κ°€ κ·Έ μ˜€ν† λ°”μ΄λ₯Ό 보자마자
04:34
and puts him on the map, he's on the map --
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μ˜€ν† λ°”μ΄μ˜ μœ„μΉ˜μ™€ 속λ ₯을
04:37
position, velocity,
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κ·Έ μš΄μ „μžμ˜ λ„€λΉ„κ²Œμ΄μ…˜μ— λ„μ›λ‹ˆλ‹€.
04:39
good estimate he'll continue going 85 miles an hour.
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λ¬Όλ‘  κ·Έ μ˜€ν† λ°”μ΄κ°€ κ³„μ†ν•΄μ„œ μ‹œμ† 85마일둜 κ°ˆκ±°λΌλŠ” ν›Œλ₯­ν•œ 예츑과 ν•¨κ»˜ 말이죠.
04:41
You'll know, because your car will know, because
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μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„μ€ 이와 같은 사싀을 μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„μ˜ μ°¨λ₯Ό 톡해 μ•Œ 수 μžˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
04:43
that other car will have whispered something in his ear,
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μ™œλƒν•˜λ©΄ μ•„κΉŒ κ·Έ 뒀에 μ°¨κ°€ μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„μ˜ μ°¨μ—κ²Œ μ΄λ ‡κ²Œ μ†μ‚­μΌν…Œλ‹ˆκΉŒμš”.
04:46
like, "By the way, five minutes,
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"그런데 말야, μ˜€λΆ„ λ’€,
04:48
motorcyclist, watch out."
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μ˜€ν† λ°”μ΄, μ£Όμ˜ν•  것"
04:50
You can make reasonable predictions about how cars behave.
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μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„μ€ μžλ™μ°¨κ°€ μ–΄λ–»κ²Œ 행동할지 ν•©λ¦¬μ μœΌλ‘œ μ˜ˆμΈ‘ν•  수 μžˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
04:53
I mean, they're Newtonian objects.
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제 말은, 그것듀 λͺ¨λ‘κ°€ 뉴턴 법칙을 λ”°λ₯΄λŠ” λ¬Όμ²΄λ“€μ΄λΌλŠ” κ²ƒμž…λ‹ˆλ‹€.
04:54
That's very nice about them.
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μ΄λŸ¬ν•œ 사싀이 μ˜ˆμΈ‘μ„ κ°€λŠ₯ν•˜κ²Œ ν•©λ‹ˆλ‹€.
04:57
So how do we get there?
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자 그러면 μ–΄λ–»κ²Œ μ΄λŸ¬ν•œ 것듀이 κ°€λŠ₯ν•˜λƒκ΅¬μš”?
05:00
We can start with something as simple
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μ‰¬μš΄ 예둜 μ„€λͺ… ν•  수 μžˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
05:03
as sharing our position data between cars,
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μžλ™μ°¨λ“€ 끼리 μ„œλ‘œ μœ„μΉ˜ 정보λ₯Ό κ³΅μœ ν•˜λŠ” κ²ƒμž…λ‹ˆλ‹€.
05:05
just sharing GPS.
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이것은 단지 GPS 만 κ³΅μœ ν•˜λ©΄ κ°€λŠ₯ν•©λ‹ˆλ‹€.
05:07
If I have a GPS and a camera in my car,
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λ§Œμ•½μ— 제 차에 GPS 와 카메라가 μžˆλ‹€λ©΄
05:10
I have a pretty precise idea of where I am
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μ €λŠ” 제 μ°¨κ°€ μ–Όλ§ˆλ‚˜ 빨리 κ°€κ³  있으며
05:12
and how fast I'm going.
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어디에 μžˆλŠ”μ§€ μ•„μ£Ό μ •ν™•ν•˜κ²Œ μ•Œ 수 μžˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
05:14
With computer vision, I can estimate where
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컴퓨터 μ˜μƒμ„ ν†΅ν•΄μ„œ 제 주변에 차듀이 어디에 μžˆλŠ”μ§€
05:15
the cars around me are, sort of, and where they're going.
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또 μ–΄λ””λ‘œ κ°€κ³  μžˆλŠ”μ§€λ₯Ό μ˜ˆμΈ‘ν•  수 μžˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
05:19
And same with the other cars.
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λ¬Όλ‘  λ‹€λ₯Έ 차듀도 κ·Έλ“€μ˜ μ •ν™•ν•œ μœ„μΉ˜ 그리고
05:20
They can have a precise idea of where they are,
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λ‹€μ†Œ λͺ…ν™•ν•˜μ§€ μ•Šμ„ 수 μžˆμ§€λ§Œ
05:22
and sort of a vague idea of where the other cars are.
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λ‹€λ₯Έ 차듀이 어디에 μžˆλŠ”μ§€λ₯Ό μ•Œ 수 μžˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
05:24
What happens if two cars share that data,
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λ§Œμ•½μ— λ‘λŒ€μ˜ μ°¨κ°€ μ΄λŸ¬ν•œ 정보λ₯Ό κ³΅μœ ν•˜λ©΄μ„œ μ„œλ‘œ 톡신(λŒ€ν™”)ν•œλ‹€λ©΄
05:27
if they talk to each other?
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무슨 일이 μΌμ–΄λ‚ κΉŒμš”?
05:29
I can tell you exactly what happens.
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μ €λŠ” μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„κ»˜ 무슨 일이 일어날지 μ •ν™•νžˆ λ§μ”€λ“œλ¦΄ 수 μžˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
05:32
Both models improve.
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λ‘λŒ€μ˜ μžλ™μ°¨ λͺ¨λ‘ κ°œμ„ λ˜λŠ” 것이죠.
05:34
Everybody wins.
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λͺ¨λ‘μ—κ²Œ 쒋은 μΌμž…λ‹ˆλ‹€.
05:36
Professor Bob Wang and his team
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λ°₯ μ™•(Bob Wang) κ΅μˆ˜μ™€ 그의 νŒ€μ€
05:39
have done computer simulations of what happens
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ꡐ톡 상황이 λ‹€μ†Œ 원할할 λ•Œ,
05:42
when fuzzy estimates combine, even in light traffic,
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μžλ™μ°¨λ“€λΌλ¦¬ GPS 데이터λ₯Ό κ΅ν™˜ν•˜λ©΄μ„œ
05:45
when cars just share GPS data,
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λ‹€μ†Œ 뢈λͺ…ν™•ν•œ μ˜ˆμΈ‘λ“€μ΄ κ²°ν•©ν•  λ•Œμ˜ 컴퓨터 μ˜ˆμΈ‘μ„ μ‹€ν–‰ν•˜μ—¬ λ³΄μ•˜μŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
05:48
and we've moved this research out of the computer simulation
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그리고 μš°λ¦¬λŠ” 이 연ꡬ κ²°κ³Όλ₯Ό μ‹€ν—˜μ‹€ λ°–μœΌλ‘œ 가지고 λ‚˜μ™€
05:50
and into robot test beds that have the actual sensors
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μ‹€μ œ μ•ˆμ— μžˆλŠ” 이 λ‘œλ³΄νŠΈμ— μ‹€μ œ μ„Όμ„œλ₯Ό μž₯μ°©ν•˜μ—¬ λ§Œλ“ 
05:53
that are in cars now on these robots:
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둜보트 μ‹œν—˜κΈ°μ— μ μš©ν•΄ λ³΄μ•˜μŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
05:56
stereo cameras, GPS,
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적용된 μ„Όμ„œλ“€λ‘œλŠ” 슀트레였 카메라듀, GPS,
05:58
and the two-dimensional laser range finders
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그리고 μžλ™μ°¨μ˜ 후진 μ‹œμŠ€ν…œμ— 적용되고 μžˆλŠ”
06:00
that are common in backup systems.
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이차원 레이져 거리 감지기가 μ„ νƒλ˜μ—ˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
06:02
We also attach a discrete short-range communication radio,
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λ˜ν•œ λ‘œλ΄‡λΌλ¦¬μ˜ 톡신(λŒ€ν™”)을 μœ„ν•΄
06:07
and the robots talk to each other.
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λΆˆμ—°μ† μ‹ ν˜Έλ₯Ό 보낼 수 μžˆλŠ” 근거리 무전기도 μ μš©ν•˜μ˜€μŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
06:09
When these robots come at each other,
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λ‘œλ΄‡λ“€μ΄ μ„œλ‘œ κ°€κΉŒμ΄ 닀가갔을 λ•Œ
06:10
they track each other's position precisely,
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λ‘œλ΄‡λ“€μ€ μ„œλ‘œμ˜ μœ„μΉ˜λ₯Ό μ •ν™•ν•˜κ²Œ νŒŒμ•…ν•˜κ³ 
06:13
and they can avoid each other.
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μ„œλ‘œλ₯Ό ν”Όν•΄ 갈 수 μžˆμ—ˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
06:16
We're now adding more and more robots into the mix,
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그리고 μš°λ¦¬λŠ” 더 λ§Žμ€ λ‘œλ΄‡λ“€μ„ μΆ”κ°€ν–ˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
06:19
and we encountered some problems.
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κ·Έ κ²°κ³Ό μš°λ¦¬λŠ” λͺ‡κ°€μ§€ λ¬Έμ œμ μ— λ΄‰μ°©ν–ˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
06:21
One of the problems, when you get too much chatter,
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κ·Έ 쀑 ν•œ 가지 λ¬Έμ œμ μ€ λ„ˆλ¬΄ λ§Žμ€ 톡신(λŒ€ν™”)이 이루어 질 λ•Œ λ‚˜νƒ€λ‚¬μŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
06:23
it's hard to process all the packets, so you have to prioritize,
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λ„ˆλ¬΄ λ§Žμ€ 데이터듀이 였고갈 λ•ŒλŠ” λ°˜λ“œμ‹œ μ΅œμš°μ„ λ˜λŠ” 정보λ₯Ό 선택해야 ν•˜λŠ”λ°μš”,
06:27
and that's where the predictive model helps you.
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λ°”λ‘œ μ΄λŸ¬ν•œ μ‹œμ μ—μ„œ 예츑 λͺ¨λΈμ΄ μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„λ“€μ„ λ„μ™€μ€λ‹ˆλ‹€.
06:29
If your robot cars are all tracking the predicted trajectories,
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λ§Œμ•½μ— μžλ™μ°¨λ“€μ΄ μ˜ˆμƒλœ 경둜λ₯Ό λ”°λΌκ°€λŠ” 쀑이라면
06:33
you don't pay as much attention to those packets.
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μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„μ€ κ·ΈλŸ¬ν•œ 정보듀에 λŒ€ν•΄ 신경을 μ“Έ ν•„μš”κ°€ μ—†μŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
06:35
You prioritize the one guy
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μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„μ€ λ‹€λ§Œ ν•œ κ°€μ§€λ§Œ μ„ νƒν•˜λ©΄ λ©λ‹ˆλ‹€.
06:37
who seems to be going a little off course.
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κ³Όμ—° λˆ„κ°€ 경둜λ₯Ό λ²—μ–΄λ‚˜κ³  μžˆλŠ”μ§€ ν™•μΈν•˜λ©΄ λ©λ‹ˆλ‹€.
06:38
That guy could be a problem.
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μ•„λ§ˆλ„ κ·Έ μš΄μ „μžκ°€ λ¬Έμ œκ°€ 될 것이기 λ•Œλ¬Έμ΄μ£ .
06:41
And you can predict the new trajectory.
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그리고 μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„μ€ μƒˆλ‘œμš΄ 경둜λ₯Ό μ˜ˆμΈ‘ν•˜λ©΄ λ©λ‹ˆλ‹€.
06:44
So you don't only know that he's going off course, you know how.
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λ”°λΌμ„œ μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„μ€ κ·Έ μš΄μ „μžκ°€ 경둜λ₯Ό λ²—μ–΄λ‚˜λ¦¬λΌλŠ” 것 뿐만 μ•„λ‹ˆλΌ, μ–΄λ–»κ²Œ ν•΄μ•Ό 할지도 μ•Œκ²Œ λ©λ‹ˆλ‹€.
06:46
And you know which drivers you need to alert to get out of the way.
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그리고 μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„μ€ μ–΄λ–€ μš΄μ „μžλ“€μ—κ²Œ 경둜λ₯Ό 바꾸라고 μ•Œλ €μ€˜μ•Ό ν•˜λŠ”μ§€λ„ μ•„λŠ”κ±°μ£ .
06:50
And we wanted to do -- how can we best alert everyone?
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그리고 μš°λ¦¬λŠ” μ–΄λ–»κ²Œ ν•˜λ©΄ λ‹€λ₯Έ μ‚¬λžŒλ“€μ—κ²Œ μ΅œμƒμ˜ 정보λ₯Ό μ•Œλ €μ€„μ§€ κ³ λ―Όν–ˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
06:53
How can these cars whisper, "You need to get out of the way?"
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μ–΄λ–»κ²Œ μžλ™μ°¨λ“€μ„ μ„œλ‘œ μ†μ‚­μ΄κ²Œ λ§Œλ“€ 수 μžˆμ„κΉŒ, "당신은 κ·Έ κ²½λ‘œμ—μ„œ λΉ μ Έλ‚˜μ™€μ•Ό ν•©λ‹ˆλ‹€." 와 같은 μ†μ‚­μž„μ„μš”.
06:56
Well, it depends on two things:
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κΈ€μŽ„μš”, μ΄λŸ¬ν•œ 것듀은 두가지 μš”μ†Œλ“€μ— μ˜ν•΄ κ²°μ •λ©λ‹ˆλ‹€.
06:58
one, the ability of the car,
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ν•œκ°€μ§€λŠ” μžλ™μ°¨μ˜ λŠ₯λ ₯μ΄κ΅¬μš”.
07:00
and second the ability of the driver.
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또 λ‹€λ₯Έ ν•œκ°€μ§€λŠ” μš΄μ „μžμ˜ λŠ₯λ ₯μž…λ‹ˆλ‹€.
07:03
If one guy has a really great car,
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λ§Œμ•½μ— μ–΄λ– ν•œ μ‚¬λžŒμ΄ 정말 쒋은 μžλ™μ°¨λ₯Ό κ°€μ‘Œμ§€λ§Œ
07:04
but they're on their phone or, you know, doing something,
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μ „ν™”λ₯Ό ν•˜κ³  μžˆκ±°λ‚˜ λ­”κ°€ λ‹€λ₯Έ 것을 ν•˜κ³  μžˆλ‹€λ©΄
07:07
they're not probably in the best position
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κ·Έ μš΄μ „μžλ“€μ€ μ•„λ§ˆλ„ κΈ‰κ²©ν•œ 상황에
07:09
to react in an emergency.
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λŒ€μ²˜ν•  수 μžˆλŠ” 졜적의 μƒνƒœλŠ” μ•„λ‹κ²ƒμž…λ‹ˆλ‹€.
07:12
So we started a separate line of research
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κ·Έλž˜μ„œ μš°λ¦¬λŠ” λ‹€λ₯Έ μ’…λ₯˜μ˜ 연ꡬλ₯Ό μ‹œμž‘ν–ˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
07:14
doing driver state modeling.
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λ°”λ‘œ μš΄μ „μž μƒνƒœμ— λŒ€ν•œ λͺ¨λΈλ§μ— κ΄€ν•΄μ„œμ£ .
07:16
And now, using a series of three cameras,
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그리고 3λŒ€μ˜ 카메라λ₯Ό μ—°λ™ν•΄μ„œ
07:19
we can detect if a driver is looking forward,
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μš΄μ „μžκ°€ μ•žμ„ 보고 μžˆλŠ”μ§€ λ˜λŠ”
07:21
looking away, looking down, on the phone,
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멀리, κ°€κΉŒμ΄, λ˜λŠ” μ „ν™”λ₯Ό ν•˜λŠ”μ§€
07:24
or having a cup of coffee.
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ν˜Ήμ€ 컀피λ₯Ό λ§ˆμ‹œκ³  μžˆλŠ”μ§€λ₯Ό νŒŒμ•…ν–ˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
07:27
We can predict the accident
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μš°λ¦¬λŠ” 사고λ₯Ό μ˜ˆμΈ‘ν•  수 μžˆμ—ˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
07:29
and we can predict who, which cars,
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그리고 μš°λ¦¬λŠ” μ–΄λ–€ μžλ™μ°¨λ“€μ΄
07:33
are in the best position to move out of the way
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λ‹€λ₯Έ μ‚¬λžŒλ“€μ„ μœ„ν•΄μ„œ 졜적의 경둜λ₯Ό κ³„μ‚°ν•΄μ„œ
07:36
to calculate the safest route for everyone.
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κ°€μž₯ μ•ˆμ „ν•œ μœ„μΉ˜μ— μžˆλŠ”μ§€λ₯Ό μ˜ˆμΈ‘ν•΄ λ³΄μ•˜μŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
07:39
Fundamentally, these technologies exist today.
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기본적으둜 μ΄λŸ¬ν•œ κΈ°μˆ λ“€μ€ 우리 곁에 이미 닀가와 μžˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
07:44
I think the biggest problem that we face
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제 생각에 ν˜„μž¬ μ§λ©΄ν•œ κ°€μž₯ 큰 λ¬Έμ œλŠ”
07:47
is our own willingness to share our data.
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κ³Όμ—° μš°λ¦¬κ°€ μžλ™μ°¨ 데이터λ₯Ό κ³΅μœ ν•  μ˜μ§€κ°€ μžˆλŠλƒλŠ” 것 μž…λ‹ˆλ‹€.
07:50
I think it's a very disconcerting notion,
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제 생각에 μ΄λŸ¬ν•œ 점이 μƒλ‹Ήνžˆ ν˜Όλž€μŠ€λŸ¬μš΄ κ°œλ…μ΄λΌκ³  μƒκ°λ©λ‹ˆλ‹€.
07:52
this idea that our cars will be watching us,
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μ΄λ ‡κ²Œ 차듀이 우리λ₯Ό κ°μ‹œν•˜λŠ” κ°œλ… λ˜λŠ”
07:55
talking about us to other cars,
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μš°λ¦¬μ— λŒ€ν•΄ μ„œλ‘œ 이야기 ν•œλ‹€λŠ” 것은
07:58
that we'll be going down the road in a sea of gossip.
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μ•„λ§ˆλ„ λ„λ‘œμœ„μ˜ λ„˜μΉ˜λŠ” ν—˜λ‹΄μ†μœΌλ‘œ 우리λ₯Ό λ‚΄λ˜μ§ˆ μˆ˜λ„ μžˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
08:02
But I believe it can be done in a way that protects our privacy,
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ν•˜μ§€λ§Œ μ œκ°€ 단지 μ°¨μ°½ λ°–μ—μ„œ μ°¨λ₯Ό λ³΄λŠ”κ²ƒκ³Ό 같은 방식을 μ“°λ©΄
08:05
just like right now, when I look at your car from the outside,
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μ‚¬λžŒλ“€μ˜ μ‚¬μƒν™œμ€ 보호될 수 μžˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
08:09
I don't really know about you.
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μ €λŠ” μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„λ“€μ— λŒ€ν•΄ 아무 것도 μ•„λŠ” 것이 μ—†μŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
08:12
If I look at your license plate number,
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λ§Œμ•½μ— μ œκ°€ μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„μ˜ μžλ™μ°¨ 번호λ₯Ό 보더라도
08:13
I don't really know who you are.
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μ €λŠ” μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„μ΄ μ–΄λ–€ μ‚¬λžŒμΈμ§€ μ „ν˜€ λͺ¨λ₯΄κ² μ£ .
08:15
I believe our cars can talk about us behind our backs.
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λ¬Όλ‘  μžλ™μ°¨λ“€μ΄ 우리 λ’€μ—μ„œ 이야기λ₯Ό λ‚˜λˆŒ μˆ˜λŠ” μžˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
08:19
(Laughter)
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(μ›ƒμŒ)
08:22
And I think it's going to be a great thing.
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그리고 제 생각엔 μ΄λŸ¬ν•œ 기술이 μ—„μ²­λ‚œ 것이 될 거라고 λ΄…λ‹ˆλ‹€.
08:25
I want you to consider for a moment
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λ§Œμ•½ μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„μ˜ λ’€μ—μ„œ 맹렬히 λ‹¬λ €μ˜€λŠ” μ •μ‹ λ‚˜κ°„ 10λŒ€λ“€μ΄
08:27
if you really don't want the distracted teenager behind you
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μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„μ΄ 브레이크λ₯Ό 밟고 μžˆκ±°λ‚˜
08:31
to know that you're braking,
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λ˜λŠ” 급정지 ν•œλ‹€λŠ” 것을 μ•Œκ²Œ λ˜λŠ” μˆœκ°„μ„ κ²½ν—˜ν•˜κ³  싢지 μ•ŠμœΌμ‹œλ‹€λ©΄
08:33
that you're coming to a dead stop.
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μ΄λŸ¬ν•œ 기술의 μ μš©μ„ μž μ‹œλ‚˜λ§ˆ κ³ λ €ν•΄ μ£Όμ…¨μœΌλ©΄ ν•©λ‹ˆλ‹€.
08:36
By sharing our data willingly,
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기꺼이 우리의 데이터λ₯Ό κ³΅μœ ν•œλ‹€λ©΄,
08:38
we can do what's best for everyone.
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우리 λͺ¨λ‘λŠ” μ΅œμƒμ˜ 결정을 ν•  수 μžˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.
08:41
So let your car gossip about you.
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κ·ΈλŸ¬λ‹ˆ μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„μ˜ μžλ™μ°¨κ°€ μ—¬λŸ¬λΆ„μ„ ν—λœ―μ„ 수 μžˆλ„λ‘ ν—ˆλ½ν•΄ μ£Όμ„Έμš”.
08:44
It's going to make the roads a lot safer.
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μ΄λŸ¬ν•œ 결정이 λ„λ‘œλ₯Ό 훨씬 μ•ˆμ „ν•˜κ²Œ λ§Œλ“€ κ²ƒμž…λ‹ˆλ‹€.
08:47
Thank you.
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κ°μ‚¬ν•©λ‹ˆλ‹€.
08:49
(Applause)
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(λ°•μˆ˜)
이 μ›Ήμ‚¬μ΄νŠΈ 정보

이 μ‚¬μ΄νŠΈλŠ” μ˜μ–΄ ν•™μŠ΅μ— μœ μš©ν•œ YouTube λ™μ˜μƒμ„ μ†Œκ°œν•©λ‹ˆλ‹€. μ „ 세계 졜고의 μ„ μƒλ‹˜λ“€μ΄ κ°€λ₯΄μΉ˜λŠ” μ˜μ–΄ μˆ˜μ—…μ„ 보게 될 κ²ƒμž…λ‹ˆλ‹€. 각 λ™μ˜μƒ νŽ˜μ΄μ§€μ— ν‘œμ‹œλ˜λŠ” μ˜μ–΄ μžλ§‰μ„ 더블 ν΄λ¦­ν•˜λ©΄ κ·Έκ³³μ—μ„œ λ™μ˜μƒμ΄ μž¬μƒλ©λ‹ˆλ‹€. λΉ„λ””μ˜€ μž¬μƒμ— 맞좰 μžλ§‰μ΄ μŠ€ν¬λ‘€λ©λ‹ˆλ‹€. μ˜κ²¬μ΄λ‚˜ μš”μ²­μ΄ μžˆλŠ” 경우 이 문의 양식을 μ‚¬μš©ν•˜μ—¬ λ¬Έμ˜ν•˜μ‹­μ‹œμ˜€.

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