Lessons from the longest study on human development | Helen Pearson

575,744 views ・ 2017-10-23

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譯者: Lilian Chiu 審譯者: 易帆 余
00:13
Today I want to confess something to you,
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今天,我要向各位承認一件事,
00:16
but first of all I'm going to ask you a couple of questions.
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但首先,我要先問你們一些問題。
00:19
How many people here have children?
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在座有多少人有孩子?
00:23
And how many of you are confident
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有多少人有信心
00:25
that you know how to bring up your children
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知道如何用正確的方式
00:27
in exactly the right way?
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來養育你的孩子?
00:28
(Laughter)
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(笑聲)
00:31
OK, I don't see too many hands going up on that second one,
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好,第二個問題沒有很多人舉手,
00:35
and that's my confession, too.
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我要承認的也是這件事。
00:36
I've got three boys;
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我有三個兒子;
00:37
they're three, nine and 12.
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分別 3 歲、9 歲、12 歲。
00:39
And like you, and like most parents,
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我和你們……和大部分父母一樣,
00:41
the honest truth is I have pretty much no idea what I'm doing.
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老實說我真的不知道我在做什麼。
00:45
I want them to be happy and healthy in their lives,
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我想要讓孩子一生都快樂、健康,
00:47
but I don't know what I'm supposed to do
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但我並不知道我該怎麼做,
00:49
to make sure they are happy and healthy.
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才能確保他們能快樂和健康。
00:51
There's so many books offering all kinds of conflicting advice,
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很多書提供了各種意見, 有些還互相矛盾,
00:54
it can be really overwhelming.
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這種書多到不行。
00:56
So I've spent most of their lives just making it up as I go along.
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所以,他們大部分的人生, 我都是邊摸索邊養大的。
01:00
However, something changed me a few years ago,
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然而,幾年前,有件事改變了我,
01:03
when I came across a little secret that we have in Britain.
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我偶然發現我們英國有一個小秘密。
01:07
It's helped me become more confident about how I bring up my own children,
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它協助我對如何養育 孩子變得更有信心,
01:10
and it's revealed a lot about how we as a society can help all children.
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也有很多關於我們社會 要如何協助所有孩子的資訊。
01:14
I want to share that secret with you today.
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今天我想和大家分享這個秘密。
01:17
For the last 70 years,
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過去七十年,
01:19
scientists in Britain have been following thousands of children through their lives
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英國的科學家一直在追蹤 數千名孩童的一生,
01:24
as part of an incredible scientific study.
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並整理出一項了不起的科學研究。
01:27
There's nothing quite like it anywhere else in the world.
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世界其它國家都沒有這樣的研究。
01:30
Collecting information on thousands of children
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要收集數千名孩童的資料
01:32
is a really powerful thing to do,
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是件非常強大的事情,
01:34
because it means we can compare the ones who say,
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因為那意味著,我們可以將那些
01:36
do well at school or end up healthy or happy or wealthy as adults,
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在學校表現出色, 或長大後健康、快樂、有錢的人,
01:40
and the ones who struggle much more,
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和碰到比較多困境的人做比較,
01:42
and then we can sift through all the information we've collected
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接著我們詳細研究了 所有收集到的資料,
01:45
and try to work out why their lives turned out different.
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試著找出為什麼他們的 人生發展結果不同。
01:48
This British study -- it's actually a kind of crazy story.
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這項英國研究── 其實是個有點瘋狂的故事。
01:51
So it all starts back in 1946,
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一切開始於 1946 年,
01:53
just a few months after the end of the war,
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在戰爭結束後幾個月,
01:55
when scientists wanted to know
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科學家想要知道
01:57
what it was like for a woman to have a baby at the time.
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女性在那時有孩子 是什麼樣的感覺。
02:00
They carried out this huge survey of mothers
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他們針對母親進行了一個大型調查,
02:03
and ended up recording the birth of nearly every baby
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最後記錄了當週在英國、蘇格蘭、
02:05
born in England, Scotland and Wales in one week.
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威爾斯誕生的每個寶寶的出生資訊。
02:08
That was nearly 14,000 babies.
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有近 14,000 個寶寶的資料。
02:12
The questions they asked these women
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他們問這些女性的問題
02:14
are very different than the ones we might ask today.
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和我們現今可能會問的問題差很多。
02:16
They sound really old-fashioned now.
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現在聽來會覺得很老套。
02:18
They asked them things like,
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問的問題類似這樣:
02:19
"During pregnancy,
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「在懷孕期間,
02:20
did you get your full extra ration of a pint of milk a day?"
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你是否每天都有拿到 額外配給的一品脫牛奶?」
02:25
"How much did you spend on smocks, corsets,
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「你花多少錢在工作服、緊身胸衣、
02:28
nightdresses, knickers and brassieres?"
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睡衣、襯褲、胸罩上?」
02:32
And this is my favorite one:
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我最喜歡的是這個:
02:34
"Who looked after your husband while you were in bed with this baby?"
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「當你和這個寶寶在床上時, 誰照顧你的先生?」
02:37
(Laughter)
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(笑聲)
02:42
Now, this wartime study actually ended up being so successful
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這項戰時的研究最後非常成功,
02:45
that scientists did it again.
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讓科學家決定再做一次。
02:47
They recorded the births of thousands of babies born in 1958
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他們記錄了 1958 年 出生的數千名寶寶,
02:50
and thousands more in 1970.
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1970 年又再記錄了數千名。
02:52
They did it again in the early 1990s,
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九〇年初期他們又做了一次,
02:54
and again at the turn of the millennium.
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在千禧年時又做了一次。
02:57
Altogether, more than 70,000 children have been involved in these studies
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全部加起來,這些研究涉及了 超過 70,000 名孩童,
03:00
across those five generations.
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跨越五個世代。
03:02
They're called the British birth cohorts,
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他們稱之為 「英國出生世代的大型調查」,
03:04
and scientists have gone back and recorded more information
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每幾年,科學家就得回去
03:07
on all of these people every few years ever since.
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記錄所有這些人的更多資訊。
03:10
The amount of information that's now been collected on these people
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從這些人收集來的資料量
03:14
is just completely mind-boggling.
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多到難以想像。
03:15
It includes thousands of paper questionnaires
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包括了數千份的紙本問卷,
03:17
and terabytes' worth of computer data.
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及好幾兆位元組的電腦資料。
03:20
Scientists have also built up a huge bank of tissue samples,
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科學家也建立了一個 組織樣本的大型資料庫,
03:23
which includes locks of hair, nail clippings, baby teeth and DNA.
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包含頭髮綹、剪下的指甲、 寶寶牙齒及 DNA。
03:28
They've even collected 9,000 placentas from some of the births,
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他們甚至從一些分娩中 收集了 9,000 個胎盤,
03:32
which are now pickled in plastic buckets in a secure storage warehouse.
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它們目前被醃漬在塑膠桶中, 安全地儲存在倉庫裡。
03:38
This whole project has become unique --
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這整個計畫變得獨一無二──
03:40
so, no other country in the world is tracking generations of children
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所以,目前沒有其它國家 追蹤數代孩童資料
03:43
in quite this detail.
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追蹤地那麼仔細。
03:45
These are some of the best-studied people on the planet,
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這些人是地球上 被研究得最透徹的人,
03:48
and the data has become incredibly valuable for scientists,
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這些資料對科學家來說 是極度有價值的,
03:51
generating well over 6,000 academic papers and books.
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產生了超過 6,000 篇 學術論文以及書籍。
03:56
But today I want to focus on just one finding --
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但現今,我只想著重 在其中一項發現──
03:59
perhaps the most important discovery to come from this remarkable study.
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也許是這了不起的研究 帶來最重大的一項發現。
04:03
And it's also the one that spoke to me personally,
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且這項發現對我個人蠻有意義的,
04:06
because it's about how to use science to do the best for our children.
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因為它告訴了我,如何利用科學的方法 帶給孩子最好的教育。
04:10
So, let's get the bad news out of the way first.
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所以,我們先談談它的黑暗面。
04:14
Perhaps the biggest message from this remarkable study is this:
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也許這項偉大研究是要告訴我們:
04:17
don't be born into poverty or into disadvantage,
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不要出生於貧困或弱勢,
04:21
because if you are,
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因為若是這樣的話,
04:22
you're far more likely to walk a difficult path in life.
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你人生走得較艱苦的可能性 會高很多。
04:25
Many children in this study were born into poor families
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這項研究的許多孩童 生在貧窮的家庭,
04:28
or into working-class families that had cramped homes or other problems,
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或勞動階級家庭,有的住處狹窄, 有的家中有其它問題。
04:33
and it's clear now that those disadvantaged children
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現在很明顯可看出,那些弱勢孩童
04:35
have been more likely to struggle on almost every score.
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在各方面幾乎都走得比較艱苦。
04:38
They've been more likely to do worse at school,
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他們很可能在學校的表現較差,
04:41
to end up with worse jobs and to earn less money.
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後來的工作比較差, 賺的錢也比較少。
04:43
Now, maybe that sounds really obvious,
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也許這聽起來是不用說也知道,
04:45
but some of the results have been really surprising,
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但有些結果卻十分讓人意外,
04:48
so children who had a tough start in life
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人生起跑點就比較艱苦的孩童
04:50
are also more likely to end up unhealthy as adults.
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長大也比較可能會 變成不健康的成人。
04:53
They're more likely to be overweight,
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他們比較可能會過胖、
04:55
to have high blood pressure,
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有高血壓,
04:56
and then decades down the line,
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且在數十年後,
04:58
more likely to have a failing memory, poor health and even to die earlier.
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比較可能會記憶衰退、 健康狀況差,甚至早逝。
05:05
Now, I talked about what happens later,
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我剛說的是後續發生的狀況,
05:08
but some of these differences emerge at a really shockingly early age.
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但另人吃驚的是, 有些差異在很早期就會浮現。
05:12
In one study,
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在一項研究中,
05:13
children who were growing up in poverty
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在貧窮環境中成長的孩童
05:15
were almost a year behind the richer children on educational tests,
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在教育考試的表現, 會落後有錢孩童一年之多,
05:19
and that was by the age of just three.
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而且在三歲時就會顯現出來。
05:22
These types of differences have been found again and again across the generations.
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在各世代,我們都會 發現這類的差異。
05:26
It means that our early circumstances have a profound influence
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這意味著,我們早年的處境,
對人生後續發展有著深遠的影響。
05:29
on the way that the rest of our lives play out.
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05:32
And working out why that is
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找出這背後的原因,
05:33
is one of the most difficult questions that we face today.
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是我們現今面臨到 最困難的問題之一。
05:37
So there we have it.
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所以,就是這樣。
05:39
The first lesson for successful life, everyone, is this:
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各位,成功人生的第一課就是:
05:42
choose your parents very carefully.
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小心選擇你的父母。
05:43
(Laughter)
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05:44
Don't be born into a poor family or into a struggling family.
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(笑聲)
不要生在貧窮 或是謀生艱困的家庭中。
05:49
Now, I'm sure you can see the small problem here.
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我相信各位都能發現, 這裡有一個小問題。
05:51
We can't choose our parents or how much they earn,
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我們無法選擇父母或是他們的收入,
05:55
but this British study has also struck a real note of optimism
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但這項英國研究也傳達出 一項樂觀的訊息,
05:58
by showing that not everyone who has a disadvantaged start
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研究顯示,並非所有 在起跑點就屬弱勢的人
06:02
ends up in difficult circumstances.
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最後就一定會身處困苦的境遇。
06:05
As you know, many people have a tough start in life,
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如你所知,許多人 在人生剛開始很辛苦,
06:07
but they end up doing very well on some measure nevertheless,
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最後他們在某些地方 表現非常出色,
06:10
and this study starts to explain how.
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而這項研究對此做了解釋。
06:13
So the second lesson is this:
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所以第二課是:
06:15
parents really matter.
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父母真的很重要。
06:17
In this study,
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在這項研究中,
06:18
children who had engaged, interested parents,
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如果孩童的父母很投入、很關心,
06:21
ones who had ambition for their future,
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對他們的未來有著野心,
06:23
were more likely to escape from a difficult start.
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這些孩童就比較有機會 脫離困苦的開端。
06:25
It seems that parents and what they do are really, really important,
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似乎父母本身,以及他們的 所做所為,都非常重要,
06:30
especially in the first few years of life.
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特別是在孩童人生中的前幾年。
06:32
Let me give you an example of that.
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讓我舉個例子。
06:34
In one study,
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在一項研究中,
06:35
scientists looked at about 17,000 children who were born in 1970.
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科學家研究了約 17,000 名 生於 1970 年的孩童。
06:40
They sifted all the mountains of data that they had collected
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他們仔細探究了 他們收集到的大量資料,
06:43
to try to work out
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試圖想要找出
06:44
what allowed the children who'd had a difficult start in life
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是什麼因素 讓人生開端很困苦的孩童
06:47
to go on and do well at school nevertheless.
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能繼續走下去 並在學校表現出色。
06:49
In other words, which ones beat the odds.
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換言之,他們是如何創造不可能的?
06:52
The data showed that what mattered more than anything else was parents.
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資料顯示,最重要的因素就是父母。
06:56
Having engaged, interested parents in those first few years of life
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大部分後續能在學校 表現出色的孩童,
06:59
was strongly linked to children going on to do well at school later on.
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在人生的前幾年都有 投入且關心的父母相隨。
07:04
In fact, quite small things that parents do
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事實上,父母做的一些小事,
07:07
are associated with good outcomes for children.
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都與孩童將來的好表現有關。
07:10
Talking and listening to a child,
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跟孩童說話並傾聽他們、
07:12
responding to them warmly,
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以溫暖的方式回應他們、
07:14
teaching them their letters and numbers,
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教他們字母和數字、
07:16
taking them on trips and visits.
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帶他們出去玩或造訪別人。
07:17
Reading to children every day seems to be really important, too.
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每天唸書給孩童聽也非常重要。
07:21
So in one study,
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所以,在一項研究中,
07:22
children whose parents were reading to them daily when they were five
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孩童在五歲時,若父母 每天唸書給他們聽,
07:26
and then showing an interest in their education at the age of 10,
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在十歲時,若父母展現出 對他們所學的內容感到興趣,
07:29
were significantly less likely to be in poverty at the age of 30
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相較於父母不做這些事的孩童,
這些孩童在三十歲時, 有很大的機率不會貧窮。
07:33
than those whose parents weren't doing those things.
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07:36
Now, there are huge challenges with interpreting this type of science.
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要詮釋這類的科學, 有很大的挑戰。
07:41
These studies show that certain things that parents do
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這些研究顯示, 父母是否有做這些事情
07:44
are correlated with good outcomes for children,
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對孩子將來的表現好壞有關,
07:46
but we don't necessarily know those behaviors caused the good outcomes,
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但我們並不清楚 是那些行為造成了好表現,
07:50
or whether some other factor is getting in the way.
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或是還有其它因素夾在中間。
07:52
For example, we have to take genes into account,
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比如,我們得要考量基因,
07:54
and that's a whole other talk in itself.
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光這點就可以再做一場演說。
07:57
But scientists working with this British study
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但做這項英國研究的科學家
07:59
are working really hard to get at causes,
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非常努力地想要找出原因,
08:01
and this is one study I particularly love.
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而我特別喜愛的一項研究,
08:03
In this one,
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是這項研究:
08:04
they looked at the bedtime routines of about 10,000 children
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他們去研究一萬名千禧年出生的孩童
08:07
born at the turn of the millennium.
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上床睡覺時間的習慣。
08:09
Were the children going to bed at regular times,
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研究這些孩童 是否有固定的上床時間,
08:12
or did they go to bed at different times during the week?
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或是平常日上床睡覺時間都不同?
08:14
The data showed that those children who were going to bed at different times
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資料顯示,在不同時間上床的孩童
08:18
were more likely to have behavioral problems,
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比較有可能會產生行為問題,
08:20
and then those that switched to having regular bedtimes
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而有固定上床時間的孩童
08:23
often showed an improvement in behavior,
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通常在行為上就會有改善,
08:26
and that was really crucial,
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這點非常重要,
08:27
because it suggested it was the bedtime routines
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因為它意味著,規律的上床時間
08:29
that were really helping things get better for those kids.
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真的能協助孩童有更好的表現。
08:33
Here's another one to think about.
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還有一項研究值得思考。
08:34
In this one,
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在這項研究中,
08:35
scientists looked at children who were reading for pleasure.
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科學家研究的是 把閱讀當樂趣的孩童。
08:38
That means that they picked up a magazine, a picture book, a story book.
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也就是常拿起雜誌、 圖畫書、故事書的小孩子。
08:43
The data showed that children who were reading for pleasure
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資料顯示,在五歲和十歲時
08:46
at the ages of five and 10
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把閱讀當樂趣的孩童,
08:48
were more likely to go on in school better, on average,
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平均來說,將來比較有可能在學校
08:51
on school tests later in their lives.
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有較好的考試成績。
08:53
And not just tests of reading,
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不只是閱讀相關的考試,
08:55
but tests of spelling and maths as well.
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也包括拼字和數學的考試。
08:58
This study tried to control for all the confounding factors,
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這項研究試圖控制所有 會造成混淆的因素,
09:01
so it looked at children who were equally intelligent
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所以它研究的孩童, 有同等的智力、
09:03
and from the same social-class background,
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來自同樣的社會階級背景,
09:05
so it seemed as if it was the reading which really helped those children
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所以這樣看來, 的確是閱讀幫助了這些孩童
09:09
go on and score better on those school tests later in their lives.
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在後續的考試中能有好的表現。
09:13
Now at the start,
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在一開始,
09:14
I said the first lesson from this study
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我說過,這項研究教導的第一課
09:16
was not to be born into poverty or into disadvantage,
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就是不要生在貧窮或弱勢的家庭中,
09:19
because those children tend to follow more difficult paths in their lives.
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因為這些孩童傾向會有 比較辛苦的人生道路。
09:22
But then I said that parenting matters,
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但接著我說,父母是重要的,
09:25
and that good parenting, if you can call it that,
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好的養育,如果可以這麼稱它的話,
09:27
helps children beat the odds
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好的養育能協助孩童突破不可能
09:28
and overcome some of those early disadvantages.
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並克服早期的一些弱勢。
09:31
So wait,
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等等,
09:33
does that actually mean, then, that poverty doesn't matter after all?
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那麼這是否意味著 是否貧窮完全不重要?
09:38
You could argue it doesn't matter if a child is born poor --
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你會主張說:孩童是否 出生於貧窮並不重要──
09:41
as long as their parents are good parents, they're going to do just fine.
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只要他們的父母是好父母, 他們之後的表現就會很好。
09:44
I don't believe that's true.
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我不相信這是對的。
09:46
This study shows that poverty and parenting matter.
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這項研究顯示貧困和養育是重要的。
09:49
And one study actually put figures on that,
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有項研究真的加上了數字,
09:51
so it looked at children growing up in persistent poverty
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它研究了一直在貧困中成長的孩童,
09:54
and how well they were doing at school.
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看他們在學校的表現。
09:56
The data showed
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資料顯示,
09:57
that even when their parents were doing everything right --
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即使他們的父母做對了一切──
10:00
putting them to bed on time
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讓他們準時上床,
10:01
and reading to them every day and everything else --
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每天唸書給他們聽, 及其它的每一件事──
10:04
that only got those children so far.
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也只能幫孩子到這樣。
10:06
Good parenting only reduced the educational gap
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好的養育也只能將 富有孩童和貧窮孩童
10:09
between the rich and poor children by about 50 percent.
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之間的教育落差減少約 50%。
10:13
Now that means that poverty leaves a really lasting scar,
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那意味著,貧窮留下的傷疤 會一直持續下去,
10:17
and it means that if we really want to ensure the success and well-being
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也意味著,如果我們真的 想要確保下一代的
10:20
of the next generation,
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成功和幸福,
10:22
then tackling child poverty is an incredibly important thing to do.
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那麼如何處理孩童的貧困, 就是非常重要的事。
10:27
Now, what does all this mean for you and me?
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對你我來說,這又有什麼意涵?
10:30
Are there lessons here we can all take home and use?
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有什麼我們可以帶回家用的方法嗎?
10:32
As a scientist and a journalist,
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身為科學家和新聞工作者,
10:34
I like to have some science to inform my parenting ...
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我會想要用科學的方法 來教我如何養育孩童……
10:37
and I can tell you that when you're shouting at your kids
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我可以告訴各位,當你在大聲叫
10:40
to go to bed on time,
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孩子準時上床時,
10:41
it really helps to have the scientific literature on your side.
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那你的案例對科學的 文獻貢獻會很大。
10:44
(Laughter)
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10:45
And wouldn't it be great to think
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(笑聲)
如果說要讓我們的孩子
10:47
that all we had to do to have happy, successful children
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能快樂、成功,我們 只需要和他們說話、
10:50
was to talk to them, be interested in their future,
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關心他們的未來、讓他們準時上床、
10:52
put them to bed on time, and give them a book to read?
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給他們一本書看,這樣不是很好嗎?
10:55
Our job would be done.
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我們的工作就完成了。
10:57
Now, as you can imagine,
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各位應該可以想像,
10:58
the answers aren't quite as simple as that.
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答案並沒有那麼簡單。
11:01
For one thing, this study looks at what happens
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理由之一是,這項研究所探討的
11:04
to thousands and thousands of children on average,
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是數千名孩童的平均狀況,
11:06
but that doesn't necessarily say what will help my child or your child
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但那不表示它就一定能 幫助到我的孩子、你的孩子,
11:10
or any individual child.
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或任何各別的孩子。
11:11
In the end, each of our children is going to walk their own path,
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最終,我們的孩子 都得要走他們自己的路,
11:15
and that's partly defined by the genes they inherit
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有部分是取決於他們被遺傳的基因,
11:17
and of course all the experiences they have through their lives,
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當然,還有他們一生中 走過的所有經驗,
11:20
including their interactions with us, their parents.
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包括與我們── 也就是他們的父母──的互動。
11:23
I will tell you what I did after I learned all this.
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讓我告訴各位, 學到這些後我做了什麼。
11:25
It's a bit embarrassing.
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其實有點尷尬。
11:27
I realized I was so busy working,
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我發現我忙著工作,
11:30
and ironically,
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很諷刺的是,
11:31
learning and writing about this incredible study of British children,
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我也忙著學習和撰寫這項 關於英國孩童的偉大研究,
11:35
that there were days when I hardly even spoke to my own British children.
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忙到有些日子我幾乎沒時間 跟我的孩子說話。
11:39
So at home, we introduced talking time,
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所以回到家後, 我們設立了談話時間,
11:41
which is just 15 minutes at the end of the day
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在每天結束前的 15 分鐘,
11:43
when we talk and listen to the boys.
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我們要和孩子說話 並傾聽他們的聲音。
11:46
I try better now to ask them what they did today,
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我現在做得比較好, 會問他們今天做了什麼事,
11:49
and to show that I value what they do at school.
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讓他們知道我看重他們 在學校做的事。
11:52
Of course, I make sure they always have a book to read.
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當然,我也會確保 他們隨時都有本書能讀。
11:55
I tell them I'm ambitious for their future,
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我告訴他們, 我期望他們有好的未來,
11:57
and I think they can be happy and do great things.
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我認為他們能過得快樂、 能成就偉大的事。
12:01
I don't know that any of that will make a difference,
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我不知道這樣做是否能造成改變,
12:04
but I'm pretty confident it won't do them any harm,
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但我很有信心, 這樣做對他們無害,
12:07
and it might even do them some good.
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甚至對他們會有些好處。
12:09
Ultimately, if we want happy children,
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最終,如果我們想要孩子快樂,
12:12
all we can do is listen to the science,
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我們能做的只有聽科學怎麼說,
12:14
and of course,
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當然,還有,
12:15
listen to our children themselves.
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聽我們的孩子怎麼說。
12:17
Thank you.
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謝謝。
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