Lessons from the longest study on human development | Helen Pearson

572,647 views ・ 2017-10-23

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00:13
Today I want to confess something to you,
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but first of all I'm going to ask you a couple of questions.
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How many people here have children?
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And how many of you are confident
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that you know how to bring up your children
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in exactly the right way?
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(Laughter)
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OK, I don't see too many hands going up on that second one,
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and that's my confession, too.
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I've got three boys;
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they're three, nine and 12.
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And like you, and like most parents,
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the honest truth is I have pretty much no idea what I'm doing.
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I want them to be happy and healthy in their lives,
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but I don't know what I'm supposed to do
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to make sure they are happy and healthy.
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There's so many books offering all kinds of conflicting advice,
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it can be really overwhelming.
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So I've spent most of their lives just making it up as I go along.
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However, something changed me a few years ago,
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when I came across a little secret that we have in Britain.
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It's helped me become more confident about how I bring up my own children,
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and it's revealed a lot about how we as a society can help all children.
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I want to share that secret with you today.
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For the last 70 years,
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scientists in Britain have been following thousands of children through their lives
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as part of an incredible scientific study.
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There's nothing quite like it anywhere else in the world.
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Collecting information on thousands of children
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is a really powerful thing to do,
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because it means we can compare the ones who say,
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do well at school or end up healthy or happy or wealthy as adults,
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and the ones who struggle much more,
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and then we can sift through all the information we've collected
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and try to work out why their lives turned out different.
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This British study -- it's actually a kind of crazy story.
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So it all starts back in 1946,
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just a few months after the end of the war,
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when scientists wanted to know
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what it was like for a woman to have a baby at the time.
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They carried out this huge survey of mothers
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and ended up recording the birth of nearly every baby
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born in England, Scotland and Wales in one week.
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That was nearly 14,000 babies.
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The questions they asked these women
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are very different than the ones we might ask today.
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They sound really old-fashioned now.
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They asked them things like,
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"During pregnancy,
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did you get your full extra ration of a pint of milk a day?"
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"How much did you spend on smocks, corsets,
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nightdresses, knickers and brassieres?"
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And this is my favorite one:
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"Who looked after your husband while you were in bed with this baby?"
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(Laughter)
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Now, this wartime study actually ended up being so successful
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that scientists did it again.
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They recorded the births of thousands of babies born in 1958
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and thousands more in 1970.
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They did it again in the early 1990s,
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and again at the turn of the millennium.
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Altogether, more than 70,000 children have been involved in these studies
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across those five generations.
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They're called the British birth cohorts,
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and scientists have gone back and recorded more information
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on all of these people every few years ever since.
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The amount of information that's now been collected on these people
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is just completely mind-boggling.
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It includes thousands of paper questionnaires
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and terabytes' worth of computer data.
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Scientists have also built up a huge bank of tissue samples,
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which includes locks of hair, nail clippings, baby teeth and DNA.
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They've even collected 9,000 placentas from some of the births,
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which are now pickled in plastic buckets in a secure storage warehouse.
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This whole project has become unique --
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so, no other country in the world is tracking generations of children
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in quite this detail.
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These are some of the best-studied people on the planet,
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and the data has become incredibly valuable for scientists,
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generating well over 6,000 academic papers and books.
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But today I want to focus on just one finding --
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perhaps the most important discovery to come from this remarkable study.
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And it's also the one that spoke to me personally,
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because it's about how to use science to do the best for our children.
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So, let's get the bad news out of the way first.
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Perhaps the biggest message from this remarkable study is this:
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don't be born into poverty or into disadvantage,
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because if you are,
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you're far more likely to walk a difficult path in life.
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Many children in this study were born into poor families
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or into working-class families that had cramped homes or other problems,
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and it's clear now that those disadvantaged children
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have been more likely to struggle on almost every score.
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They've been more likely to do worse at school,
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to end up with worse jobs and to earn less money.
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Now, maybe that sounds really obvious,
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but some of the results have been really surprising,
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so children who had a tough start in life
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are also more likely to end up unhealthy as adults.
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They're more likely to be overweight,
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to have high blood pressure,
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and then decades down the line,
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more likely to have a failing memory, poor health and even to die earlier.
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Now, I talked about what happens later,
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but some of these differences emerge at a really shockingly early age.
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In one study,
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children who were growing up in poverty
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were almost a year behind the richer children on educational tests,
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and that was by the age of just three.
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These types of differences have been found again and again across the generations.
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It means that our early circumstances have a profound influence
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on the way that the rest of our lives play out.
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And working out why that is
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is one of the most difficult questions that we face today.
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So there we have it.
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The first lesson for successful life, everyone, is this:
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choose your parents very carefully.
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(Laughter)
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Don't be born into a poor family or into a struggling family.
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Now, I'm sure you can see the small problem here.
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We can't choose our parents or how much they earn,
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but this British study has also struck a real note of optimism
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by showing that not everyone who has a disadvantaged start
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ends up in difficult circumstances.
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As you know, many people have a tough start in life,
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but they end up doing very well on some measure nevertheless,
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and this study starts to explain how.
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So the second lesson is this:
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parents really matter.
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In this study,
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children who had engaged, interested parents,
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ones who had ambition for their future,
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were more likely to escape from a difficult start.
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It seems that parents and what they do are really, really important,
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especially in the first few years of life.
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Let me give you an example of that.
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In one study,
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scientists looked at about 17,000 children who were born in 1970.
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They sifted all the mountains of data that they had collected
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to try to work out
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what allowed the children who'd had a difficult start in life
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to go on and do well at school nevertheless.
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In other words, which ones beat the odds.
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The data showed that what mattered more than anything else was parents.
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Having engaged, interested parents in those first few years of life
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was strongly linked to children going on to do well at school later on.
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In fact, quite small things that parents do
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are associated with good outcomes for children.
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Talking and listening to a child,
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responding to them warmly,
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teaching them their letters and numbers,
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taking them on trips and visits.
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Reading to children every day seems to be really important, too.
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So in one study,
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children whose parents were reading to them daily when they were five
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and then showing an interest in their education at the age of 10,
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were significantly less likely to be in poverty at the age of 30
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than those whose parents weren't doing those things.
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Now, there are huge challenges with interpreting this type of science.
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These studies show that certain things that parents do
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are correlated with good outcomes for children,
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but we don't necessarily know those behaviors caused the good outcomes,
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or whether some other factor is getting in the way.
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For example, we have to take genes into account,
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and that's a whole other talk in itself.
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But scientists working with this British study
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are working really hard to get at causes,
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and this is one study I particularly love.
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In this one,
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they looked at the bedtime routines of about 10,000 children
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born at the turn of the millennium.
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Were the children going to bed at regular times,
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or did they go to bed at different times during the week?
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The data showed that those children who were going to bed at different times
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were more likely to have behavioral problems,
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and then those that switched to having regular bedtimes
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often showed an improvement in behavior,
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and that was really crucial,
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because it suggested it was the bedtime routines
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that were really helping things get better for those kids.
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Here's another one to think about.
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In this one,
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scientists looked at children who were reading for pleasure.
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That means that they picked up a magazine, a picture book, a story book.
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The data showed that children who were reading for pleasure
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at the ages of five and 10
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were more likely to go on in school better, on average,
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on school tests later in their lives.
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And not just tests of reading,
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but tests of spelling and maths as well.
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This study tried to control for all the confounding factors,
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so it looked at children who were equally intelligent
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and from the same social-class background,
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so it seemed as if it was the reading which really helped those children
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go on and score better on those school tests later in their lives.
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Now at the start,
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I said the first lesson from this study
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was not to be born into poverty or into disadvantage,
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because those children tend to follow more difficult paths in their lives.
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But then I said that parenting matters,
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and that good parenting, if you can call it that,
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helps children beat the odds
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and overcome some of those early disadvantages.
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So wait,
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does that actually mean, then, that poverty doesn't matter after all?
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You could argue it doesn't matter if a child is born poor --
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as long as their parents are good parents, they're going to do just fine.
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I don't believe that's true.
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This study shows that poverty and parenting matter.
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And one study actually put figures on that,
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so it looked at children growing up in persistent poverty
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and how well they were doing at school.
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The data showed
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that even when their parents were doing everything right --
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putting them to bed on time
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and reading to them every day and everything else --
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that only got those children so far.
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Good parenting only reduced the educational gap
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between the rich and poor children by about 50 percent.
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Now that means that poverty leaves a really lasting scar,
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and it means that if we really want to ensure the success and well-being
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of the next generation,
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then tackling child poverty is an incredibly important thing to do.
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Now, what does all this mean for you and me?
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Are there lessons here we can all take home and use?
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As a scientist and a journalist,
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I like to have some science to inform my parenting ...
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and I can tell you that when you're shouting at your kids
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to go to bed on time,
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it really helps to have the scientific literature on your side.
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(Laughter)
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And wouldn't it be great to think
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that all we had to do to have happy, successful children
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was to talk to them, be interested in their future,
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put them to bed on time, and give them a book to read?
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Our job would be done.
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Now, as you can imagine,
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the answers aren't quite as simple as that.
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For one thing, this study looks at what happens
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to thousands and thousands of children on average,
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but that doesn't necessarily say what will help my child or your child
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or any individual child.
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In the end, each of our children is going to walk their own path,
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and that's partly defined by the genes they inherit
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and of course all the experiences they have through their lives,
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including their interactions with us, their parents.
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I will tell you what I did after I learned all this.
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It's a bit embarrassing.
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I realized I was so busy working,
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and ironically,
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learning and writing about this incredible study of British children,
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that there were days when I hardly even spoke to my own British children.
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So at home, we introduced talking time,
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which is just 15 minutes at the end of the day
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when we talk and listen to the boys.
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I try better now to ask them what they did today,
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and to show that I value what they do at school.
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Of course, I make sure they always have a book to read.
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I tell them I'm ambitious for their future,
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and I think they can be happy and do great things.
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I don't know that any of that will make a difference,
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but I'm pretty confident it won't do them any harm,
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and it might even do them some good.
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Ultimately, if we want happy children,
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all we can do is listen to the science,
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and of course,
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listen to our children themselves.
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Thank you.
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