Beware, fellow plutocrats, the pitchforks are coming | Nick Hanauer

1,214,398 views ・ 2014-08-12

TED


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Prevodilac: Stefan Zrnović Lektor: Mile Živković
00:13
You probably don't know me,
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Verovatno me ne poznajete
00:15
but I am one of those .01 percenters
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ali ja sam jedan od onih 0,01 procenata
00:19
that you hear about and read about,
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za koje ste čuli i o kojima ste čitali,
00:20
and I am by any reasonable definition a plutocrat.
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i prema svakoj razumnoj definiciji, ja sam plutokrata.
00:25
And tonight, what I would like to do is speak directly
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Večeras bih voleo da govorim direktno
00:28
to other plutocrats, to my people,
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drugim plutokratama, svojim ljudima,
00:30
because it feels like it's time for us all
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jer izgleda da je vreme za sve nas
00:33
to have a chat.
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da razgovaramo.
00:35
Like most plutocrats, I too am a proud
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Poput većine plutokrata, takođe sam ponosan
00:37
and unapologetic capitalist.
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i nepomirljivi kapitalista.
00:40
I have founded, cofounded or funded
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Osnovao sam, potpomogao i finansirao
00:43
over 30 companies across a range of industries.
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više od 30 kompanija širom različitih industrija.
00:47
I was the first non-family investor in Amazon.com.
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Bio sam prvi vanporodični investitor na sajtu Amazon.com.
00:50
I cofounded a company called aQuantive
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Suosnovao firmu po imenu "aQuantive"
00:53
that we sold to Microsoft for 6.4 billion dollars.
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koju smo prodali Majkrosoftu za 6,4 milijarde dolara.
00:57
My friends and I, we own a bank.
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Moji prijatelji i ja imamo banku.
01:00
I tell you this — (Laughter) —
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Govorim vam ovo - (Smeh) -
01:02
unbelievable, right?
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neverovatno, zar ne?
01:04
I tell you this to show
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Govorim vam ovo da bih vam pokazao
01:07
that my life is like most plutocrats.
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da je moj život poput većine plutokrata.
01:10
I have a broad perspective on capitalism
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Imam široki uvid u kapitalizam
01:13
and business,
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i biznis,
01:15
and I have been rewarded obscenely for that
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i nepravedno sam nagrađen za to
01:19
with a life that most of you all
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životom koji većina svih vas
01:21
can't even imagine:
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ne može ni da zamisli:
01:23
multiple homes, a yacht, my own plane,
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nekoliko kuća, jahta, moj lični avion,
01:26
etc., etc., etc.
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i tako dalje, i tako dalje.
01:30
But let's be honest: I am not the smartest person you've ever met.
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Ali budimo iskreni: ja nisam najpametnija osoba koju ste ikada sreli.
01:33
I am certainly not the hardest working.
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Sigurno nisam ni najvrednija.
01:35
I was a mediocre student.
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Bio sam osrednji student.
01:37
I'm not technical at all.
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Nisam uopšte stručan.
01:39
I can't write a word of code.
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Ne mogu da napišem ni jedan kod.
01:41
Truly, my success is the consequence
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Iskreno, moj uspeh je posledica
01:44
of spectacular luck,
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neobične sreće,
01:47
of birth, of circumstance and of timing.
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rođenja, prilika i tajminga.
01:52
But I am actually pretty good at a couple of things.
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Ali sam zapravo prilično dobar u par stvari.
01:56
One, I have an unusually high tolerance for risk,
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Jedna, imam neobično visoku trpeljivost rizika,
02:01
and the other is I have a good sense,
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i druga je da imam dobar osećaj,
02:03
a good intuition about what will happen in the future,
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dobru intuiciju o onome što će se desiti u budućnosti,
02:06
and I think that that intuition about the future
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i mislim da intuicija o budućnosti
02:09
is the essence of good entrepreneurship.
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predstavlja srž dobrog preduzetništva.
02:13
So what do I see in our future today,
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Dakle, šta vidim u našoj budućnosti danas,
02:15
you ask?
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pitate se?
02:17
I see pitchforks,
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Vidim vile,
02:19
as in angry mobs with pitchforks,
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kao vile u besnim ruljama,
02:24
because while people like us plutocrats
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jer dok ljudi poput nas plutokrata
02:29
are living beyond the dreams of avarice,
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žive van pohlepnih snova,
02:32
the other 99 percent of our fellow citizens
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ostalih 99 procenata naših sugrađana
02:35
are falling farther and farther behind.
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spotiču se sve dalje i dalje iza nas.
02:38
In 1980, the top one percent of Americans
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1980. godine, jedan procenat Amerikanaca
02:41
shared about eight percent of national [income],
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podelio je oko 8 procenata nacionalnih prihoda,
02:43
while the bottom 50 percent of Americans
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dok je poslednjih 50 procenata Amerikanaca
02:46
shared 18 percent.
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podelilo 18 procenata.
02:48
Thirty years later, today, the top one percent
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Danas, trideset godina kasnije, 1 procenat na vrhu
02:52
shares over 20 percent of national [income],
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deli preko 20 posto nacionalnog prihoda
02:55
while the bottom 50 percent of Americans
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dok poslednjih 50 procenata Amerikanaca
02:57
share 12 or 13.
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deli 12 ili 13 procenata.
03:00
If the trend continues,
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Ako se trend nastavi,
03:03
the top one percent will share
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najviši procenat deliće
03:04
over 30 percent of national [income]
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preko 30 procenata nacionalnog prihoda,
03:06
in another 30 years,
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u narednih 30 godina,
03:08
while the bottom 50 percent of Americans
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dok će poslednjih 50 procenata Amerikanaca
03:10
will share just six.
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deliti samo šest.
03:12
You see, the problem isn't that we have
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Vidite, problem nije u tome da imamo
03:14
some inequality.
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neke nejednakosti.
03:16
Some inequality is necessary
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Nejednakost je neophodna
03:19
for a high-functioning capitalist democracy.
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za visoko funkcionalnu kapitalističku demokratiju.
03:22
The problem is that inequality
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Problem je u tome što je nejednakost
03:24
is at historic highs today
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istorijski visoka danas
03:27
and it's getting worse every day.
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i pogoršava se svakog dana.
03:30
And if wealth, power, and income
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Ako novac, moć i prihodi
03:33
continue to concentrate
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nastave da se koncentrišu
03:35
at the very tippy top,
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na samom vrhu,
03:37
our society will change
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naše društvo će se promeniti
03:39
from a capitalist democracy
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od kapitalističke demokratije
03:41
to a neo-feudalist rentier society
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do neofeudalističko izdavačkog društva
03:45
like 18th-century France.
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poput Francuske u 18. veku.
03:47
That was France
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To je bila Francuska
03:50
before the revolution
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pre revolucije
03:51
and the mobs with the pitchforks.
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i rulje sa vilama.
03:53
So I have a message for my fellow plutocrats
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Imam poruku za moje plutokrate
03:56
and zillionaires
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i zilionere
03:58
and for anyone who lives
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i sve koji žive
03:59
in a gated bubble world:
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u ograđenom zatvorenom svetu:
04:02
Wake up.
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Probudite se.
04:03
Wake up. It cannot last.
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Probudite se. To ne može da traje.
04:07
Because if we do not do something
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Jer ako ne uradimo nešto
04:09
to fix the glaring economic inequities in our society,
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kako bismo popravili očitu ekonomsku nejednakost u našem društvu,
04:13
the pitchforks will come for us,
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vile će doći po nas
04:16
for no free and open society can long sustain
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jer nijedno slobodno i otvoreno društvo ne može više da podnese
04:20
this kind of rising economic inequality.
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ovu vrstu rastuće ekonomske nejednakosti.
04:23
It has never happened. There are no examples.
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Nikad se to nije dogodilo. Nema primera.
04:26
You show me a highly unequal society,
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Pokažite mi visoko nejednako društvo,
04:27
and I will show you a police state
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a ja ću vam pokazati policijsku državu
04:29
or an uprising.
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ili pobunu.
04:31
The pitchforks will come for us
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Vile će doći po nas
04:33
if we do not address this.
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ako se ne pozabavimo ovim.
04:35
It's not a matter of if, it's when.
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Ne radi se o "ako" već "kada".
04:39
And it will be terrible when they come
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I biće užasno kada dođu
04:42
for everyone,
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po sve,
04:44
but particularly for people like us plutocrats.
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ali posebno po ljude poput plutokrata.
04:49
I know I must sound like some liberal do-gooder.
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Znam da verovatno zvučim poput nekog liberalnog idealiste.
04:52
I'm not. I'm not making a moral argument
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Nisam. Ne dajem moralni argument
04:54
that economic inequality is wrong.
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da je ekonomska nejednakost pogrešna.
04:58
What I am arguing is that rising economic inequality
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Tvrdim da je rastuća ekonomska nejednakost
05:02
is stupid and ultimately self-defeating.
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glupa i krajnje samouništavajuća.
05:05
Rising inequality doesn't just increase our risks
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Rastuća nejednakost ne povećava samo naše rizike
05:09
from pitchforks,
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od vila,
05:11
but it's also terrible for business too.
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već je i užasna za posao.
05:15
So the model for us rich guys should be Henry Ford.
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Dakle, model za nas bogate momke treba da bude Henri Ford.
05:19
When Ford famously introduced the $5 day,
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Kada je Ford svečano predstavio dan od 5 dolara,
05:23
which was twice the prevailing wage at the time,
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što je bilo duplo veće od najveće dnevnice u to vreme,
05:26
he didn't just increase the productivity
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on nije samo povećao produktivnost
05:28
of his factories,
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svojih fabrika,
05:30
he converted exploited autoworkers who were poor
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već je preokrenuo ekspolatisane radnike koji su bili siromašni,
05:33
into a thriving middle class who could now afford
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u naprednu srednju klasu koja je sada mogla da priušti
05:36
to buy the products that they made.
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da kupi proizvode koje su napravili.
05:39
Ford intuited what we now know is true,
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Ford je predvideo ono što sada znamo da je istina,
05:43
that an economy is best understood as an ecosystem
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da je ekonomija najbolje shvaćena kao ekosistem
05:47
and characterized by the same kinds
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i karakterisana istim vrstama
05:49
of feedback loops you find
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okvira povratnih informacija koje nađete
05:52
in a natural ecosystem,
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u prirodnom ekosistemu,
05:54
a feedback loop between customers and businesses.
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karika između mušterija i poslova.
05:58
Raising wages increases demand,
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Povećanje dnevnica povećava zahteve,
06:01
which increases hiring,
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što povećava zapošljivost,
06:03
which in turn increases wages
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koja u zamenu za to povećava dnevnice,
06:05
and demand and profits,
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potražnje i profite,
06:07
and that virtuous cycle of increasing prosperity
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i kvalitetni krug rastućeg prosperiteta
06:12
is precisely what is missing
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je upravo ono što nedostaje
06:14
from today's economic recovery.
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oporavku današnje ekonomije.
06:19
And this is why we need to put behind us
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Zbog ovoga treba da stavimo iza sebe
06:24
the trickle-down policies that so dominate
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ova pravila koja smanjuju greške koja dominiraju
06:28
both political parties
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u obe političke partije
06:30
and embrace something I call middle-out economics.
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i obuhvataju nešto što ja zovem srednjim ekonomijama.
06:33
Middle-out economics rejects
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Srednje ekonomije odbacuju
06:35
the neoclassical economic idea
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neoklasičnu ekonomsku ideju
06:38
that economies are efficient, linear, mechanistic,
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da su ekonomije efikasne, linearne, mehanističke,
06:42
that they tend towards equilibrium and fairness,
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da teže ka jednakosti i poštenju,
06:45
and instead embraces the 21st-century idea
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i umesto toga podržavaju ideje 21. veka
06:49
that economies are complex, adaptive,
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da su ekonomije kompleksne, prilagodljive,
06:52
ecosystemic,
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ekosistemske,
06:54
that they tend away from equilibrium and toward inequality,
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da izbegavaju jednakost i teže nejednakosti,
06:58
that they're not efficient at all
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da uopšte nisu efikasne
06:59
but are effective if well managed.
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ali su efikasne ako se dobro uklope.
07:03
This 21st-century perspective
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Ovo gledište iz 21. veka
07:06
allows you to clearly see that capitalism
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omogućava vam da jasno vidite da kapitalizam
07:09
does not work by [efficiently] allocating
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ne funkcioniše na osnovu efikasne raspodele
07:12
existing resources.
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postojećih izvora.
07:14
It works by [efficiently] creating new solutions
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On funkcioniše putem efikasnog kreiranja novih rešenja
07:20
to human problems.
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za ljudske probleme.
07:22
The genius of capitalism
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Prednost kapitalizma
07:24
is that it is an evolutionary solution-finding system.
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je to što je evolucioni sistem za pronalaženje rešenja.
07:29
It rewards people for solving other people's problems.
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Nagrađuje ljude za rešavanje problema drugih ljudi.
07:35
The difference between a poor society
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Razlika između siromašnog društva
07:38
and a rich society, obviously,
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i bogatog, očigledno,
07:40
is the degree to which that society
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je nivo na kojem je to društvo
07:43
has generated solutions in the form
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stvorilo rešenja u obliku
07:45
of products for its citizens.
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proizvoda za svoje građane.
07:48
The sum of the solutions
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Zbir rešenja
07:49
that we have in our society
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koje imamo u svom društvu
07:51
really is our prosperity, and this explains
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predstavlja naš prosperitet i ovo objašnjava
07:54
why companies like Google and Amazon
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zašto su kompanije poput Gugla i Amazona,
07:56
and Microsoft and Apple
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Majkrosofta i Epla,
07:58
and the entrepreneurs who created those companies
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i preduzetnika koji su stvorili te kompanije
08:01
have contributed so much
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doprineli toliko
08:05
to our nation's prosperity.
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prosperitetu naše nacije.
08:08
This 21st-century perspective
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Gledište 21. veka
08:10
also makes clear
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takođe ističe
08:13
that what we think of as economic growth
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da je ono što mislimo o ekonomskom rastu
08:15
is best understood as
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najbolje shvaćeno kao
08:17
the rate at which we solve problems.
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nivo na kojem rešavamo probleme.
08:20
But that rate is totally dependent upon
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Ali taj nivo je totalno zavisan
08:23
how many problem solvers —
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od toga koliko ima različitih razrešivača problema
08:27
diverse, able problem solvers — we have,
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i koliko sposobnih razrešivača problema imamo
08:29
and thus how many of our fellow citizens
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i koliko naših sugrađana
08:32
actively participate,
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aktivno učestvuje
08:34
both as entrepreneurs who can offer solutions,
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i kao preduzetnici koji mogu da ponude rešenja,
08:38
and as customers who consume them.
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i kao mušterije koje ih koriste.
08:42
But this maximizing participation thing
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Ali ovaj momenat povećanja učešća
08:46
doesn't happen by accident.
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ne događa se slučajno.
08:47
It doesn't happen by itself.
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Ne događa se samo od sebe.
08:49
It requires effort and investment,
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Zahteva napor i ulaganje,
08:53
which is why all
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što objašnjava
08:56
highly prosperous capitalist democracies
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zašto su visoko prosperitetne kapitalističke demokratije
08:59
are characterized by massive investments
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okarakterisane ogromnim investicijama
09:01
in the middle class and the infrastructure
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u srednjoj klasi i infrastrukturi
09:04
that they depend on.
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od koje zavise.
09:07
We plutocrats need to get this
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Mi plutokrate treba da se rešimo
09:09
trickle-down economics thing behind us,
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ove ekonomije,
09:12
this idea that the better we do,
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te ideje da ukoliko je nama bolje,
09:14
the better everyone else will do.
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bolje će biti i drugima.
09:16
It's not true. How could it be?
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To nije tačno. Kako može biti?
09:20
I earn 1,000 times the median wage,
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Ja zarađujem 1000 puta više od prosečne plate,
09:24
but I do not buy 1,000 times as much stuff,
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ali ne kupujem 1000 puta više stvari,
09:27
do I?
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zar ne?
09:28
I actually bought two pairs of these pants,
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Zapravo sam kupio dva para ovih pantalona,
09:32
what my partner Mike calls
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572176
1934
ono što moj partner Majk naziva
09:34
my manager pants.
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1515
mojim menadžerskim pantalonama.
09:35
I could have bought 2,000 pairs,
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Mogao sam da kupim 2000 pari,
09:38
but what would I do with them? (Laughter)
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ali šta bih radio sa njima? (Smeh)
09:41
How many haircuts can I get?
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Koliko frizura mogu da kupim?
09:44
How often can I go out to dinner?
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3705
Koliko često mogu da izađem na večeru?
09:48
No matter how wealthy a few plutocrats get,
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4073
Bez obzira koliko se nekoliko plutokrata obogati,
09:52
we can never drive a great national economy.
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ne možemo da pokrenemo veliku nacionalnu ekonomiju.
09:55
Only a thriving middle class can do that.
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Samo razvijena srednja klasa to može da učini.
10:01
There's nothing to be done,
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Ne treba ništa da se uradi,
10:03
my plutocrat friends might say.
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rekle bi moje plutokrate.
10:07
Henry Ford was in a different time.
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3204
Henri Ford je živeo u drugačijem vremenu.
10:10
Maybe we can't do some things.
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Možda ne možemo da uradimo neke stvari.
10:12
Maybe we can do some things.
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Možda možemo da uradimo neke stvari.
10:15
June 19, 2013,
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19. juna 2013. godine
10:19
Bloomberg published an article I wrote called
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Blumberg je objavio članak koji sam napisao pod imenom
10:23
"The Capitalist’s Case for a $15 Minimum Wage."
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"Kapitalistički slučaj za minimalne dnevnice od 15 dolara."
10:28
The good people at Forbes magazine,
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2922
Dobri ljudi u magazinu Forbs,
10:31
among my biggest admirers,
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2198
među mojim najvećim poštovaocima,
10:33
called it "Nick Hanauer's near-insane proposal."
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nazvali su ga "skoro potpuno ludim predlogom Nika Hanauera".
10:37
And yet, just 350 days
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3229
Zatim, samo 350 dana
10:41
after that article was published,
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nakon što je članak objavljen,
10:43
Seattle's Mayor Ed Murray signed into law
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2949
gradonačelnik Sijetla, Ed Marej potpisao je
10:46
an ordinance raising the minimum wage in Seattle
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3766
uredbu za podizanje minimalne dnevnice u Sijetlu
10:50
to 15 dollars an hour,
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1688
na 15 dolara po satu,
10:52
more than double
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652198
1440
više nego duplo
10:53
what the prevailing federal $7.25 rate is.
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od većinske državne dnevnice od 7,25 dolara.
10:58
How did this happen,
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1780
Kako se ovo dogodilo,
11:00
reasonable people might ask.
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2085
zapitaće se razumni ljudi.
11:02
It happened because a group of us
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1668
Dogodilo se jer je grupa nas
11:03
reminded the middle class
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podsetila srednju klasu
11:05
that they are the source
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665227
1651
da su oni izvor
11:06
of growth and prosperity in capitalist economies.
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3666
rasta i prosperiteta u kapitalističkim ekonomijama.
11:10
We reminded them that when workers have more money,
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3566
Podsetili smo ih da kada radnici imaju više novca,
11:14
businesses have more customers,
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674110
1712
preduzeća imaju više mušterija,
11:15
and need more employees.
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675822
1982
i treba im više zaposlenih.
11:17
We reminded them that when businesses
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2686
Podsetili smo ih da kada preduzeća
11:20
pay workers a living wage,
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2720
plaćaju radnike standardnom dnevnicom,
11:23
taxpayers are relieved of the burden
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1892
poreski obveznici su oslobođeni
11:25
of funding the poverty programs
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685102
1710
finansiranja programa siromaštva
11:26
like food stamps and medical assistance
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686812
2902
poput markica za hranu i medicinske pomoći
11:29
and rent assistance
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689714
1710
i pomoći za stanarinu
11:31
that those workers need.
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691424
2396
koje trebaju tim radnicima.
11:33
We reminded them that low-wage workers
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2964
Podsetili smo ih da radnici sa niskom nadnicom
11:36
make terrible taxpayers,
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696784
2326
predstavljaju užasne poreske obveznike,
11:39
and that when you raise the minimum wage
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699110
2018
i da kada povećate minimalnu platu
11:41
for all businesses,
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701128
2125
za sva preduzeća,
11:43
all businesses benefit
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1667
sva preduzeća imaju korist od toga,
11:44
yet all can compete.
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2731
a ipak mogu da budu konkurentna.
11:47
Now the orthodox reaction, of course,
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1721
Prirodna reakcija, naravno,
11:49
is raising the minimum wage costs jobs. Right?
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709372
3803
je da podizanje minimalne plate košta preuzeća. Zar ne?
11:53
Your politician's always echoing
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713175
2588
Vaši političari su uvek ponavljali
11:55
that trickle-down idea by saying things like,
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715763
3092
tu ideju teorije "kapanja nadole", govoreći stvari poput:
11:58
"Well, if you raise the price of employment,
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718855
2093
"Ako podignete cenu zapošljivosti,
12:00
guess what happens? You get less of it."
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720948
2792
pogodite šta se dešava? Dobijate je manje."
12:03
Are you sure?
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2430
Da li ste sigurni?
12:06
Because there's some contravening evidence.
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3653
Jer, javljaju se suprotni dokazi.
12:09
Since 1980, the wages of CEOs in our country
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4759
Od 1980. godine, plate direktora u našoj zemlji
12:14
have gone from about 30 times the median wage
254
734582
2268
su porasle sa 30 puta veće cifre od prosečne plate
12:16
to 500 times.
255
736850
2272
do 500 puta veće od prosečne plate.
12:19
That's raising the price of employment.
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3168
To je rast cene zapošljivosti.
12:22
And yet, to my knowledge,
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2972
I prema svom iskustvu,
12:25
I have never seen a company
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745262
2172
nikad nisam video firmu
12:27
outsource its CEO's job, automate their job,
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3746
koja izvozi posao svog direktora, koja automatizuje svoj posao,
12:31
export the job to China.
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2087
i izvozi svoj posao u Kinu.
12:33
In fact, we appear to be employing
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2026
Zapravo, sve više zapošljavamo
12:35
more CEOs and senior managers than ever before.
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3222
direktore i starije menadžere nego ikada ranije.
12:38
So too for technology workers
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4190
Ovo važi i za tehnološke radnike
12:42
and financial services workers,
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1826
i radnike finansijskih usluga,
12:44
who earn multiples of the median wage
265
764531
2618
koji zarađuju više prosečnih plata
12:47
and yet we employ more and more of them,
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767149
2005
i njih zapošljavamo sve više i više.
12:49
so clearly you can raise the price of employment
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4896
i očito možete podići cenu zaposlenja
12:54
and get more of it.
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2041
i dobiti više.
12:56
I know that most people
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776091
2584
Znam da većina ljudi smatra
12:58
think that the $15 minimum wage
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778675
1722
da je minimalna dnevnica od 15 dolara
13:00
is this insane, risky economic experiment.
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780397
3915
totalno suluda i rizični ekonomski eksperiment.
13:04
We disagree.
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784312
1898
Ne slažemo se sa time.
13:06
We believe that the $15 minimum wage
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786210
2474
Verujemo da je minimalna dnevnica od 15 dolara
13:08
in Seattle
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1266
u Sijetlu
13:09
is actually the continuation
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789950
1853
zapravo nastavak
13:11
of a logical economic policy.
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791803
2708
logične ekonomske politike.
13:14
It is allowing our city
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794511
1960
To omogućava našem gradu
13:16
to kick your city's ass.
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2735
da pobedi vaš.
13:19
Because, you see,
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799206
1759
Jer, vidite,
13:20
Washington state already has
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800965
1712
država Vašington uveliko ima
13:22
the highest minimum wage
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1493
najvišu minimalnu dnevnicu
13:24
of any state in the nation.
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804170
1699
od svih država u Americi.
13:25
We pay all workers $9.32,
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2261
Plaćamo sve radnike 9,32 dolara
13:28
which is almost 30 percent more
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808130
1843
što je skoro 30 procenata više
13:29
than the federal minimum of 7.25,
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809973
2558
od saveznog minimuma od 7,25 dolara,
13:32
but crucially, 427 percent more
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812531
3953
ali najvažnije je da 427 puta više
13:36
than the federal tipped minimum of 2.13.
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816484
3586
od državne minimalne napojnice od 2,13 dolara.
13:40
If trickle-down thinkers were right,
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2616
Ako su zagovornici teorije kapanja bili u pravu,
13:42
then Washington state should have massive unemployment.
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3112
onda država Vašington treba da ima ogromnu nezaposlenost.
13:45
Seattle should be sliding into the ocean.
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825798
2680
Sijetl bi trebalo da sklizne u okean.
13:48
And yet, Seattle
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3023
A zapravo, Sijetl
13:51
is the fastest-growing big city in the country.
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3898
je najbrže rastući veliki grad u zemlji.
13:55
Washington state is generating small business jobs
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4117
Država Vašington proizvodi poslove malih preduzeća
13:59
at a higher rate than any other major state
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2621
na višem nivou od bilo koje države
14:02
in the nation.
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1856
u naciji.
14:03
The restaurant business in Seattle? Booming.
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3904
Restoranski posao u Sijetlu? Prosperitetan.
14:07
Why? Because the fundamental law of capitalism is,
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847897
4388
Zašto? Zato što je glavni zakon kapitalizma,
14:12
when workers have more money,
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852285
1615
kada radnici imaju više novca,
14:13
businesses have more customers
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853900
1526
preduzeća imaju više mušterija,
14:15
and need more workers.
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855426
2257
i treba im više radnika.
14:17
When restaurants pay restaurant workers enough
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857683
3151
Kada restorani plaćaju restoranske radnike dovoljno
14:20
so that even they can afford to eat in restaurants,
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860834
3622
da čak i oni mogu da priušte da jedu u restoranima,
14:24
that's not bad for the restaurant business.
303
864456
2665
to nije loše za restoranski posao.
14:27
That's good for it,
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867121
1699
Dobro je za to,
14:28
despite what some restaurateurs may tell you.
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868820
4579
uprkos onome što bi vam neki vlasnici restorana rekli.
Da li je komplikovanije nego što vam ja to iznosim?
14:33
Is it more complicated than I'm making out?
306
873399
2058
14:35
Of course it is.
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875457
997
Naravno da jeste.
14:36
There are a lot of dynamics at play.
308
876454
1868
Postoji mnogo dinamika u igri.
14:38
But can we please stop insisting
309
878322
2242
Ali možemo li molim vas da prestanemo da insistiramo
14:40
that if low-wage workers earn a little bit more,
310
880564
2801
da će nezaposlenost skočiti ako radnici sa niskim platama
14:43
unemployment will skyrocket
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883365
1508
zarađuju malo više,
14:44
and the economy will collapse?
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884873
1328
i da će se ekonomija urušiti?
14:46
There is no evidence for it.
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886201
2609
Ne postoje dokazi za to.
14:48
The most insidious thing
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888810
1231
Najlukavija stvar
14:50
about trickle-down economics
315
890041
1847
o ekonomijama kapanja
14:51
is not the claim that if the rich get richer,
316
891888
2302
nije činjenica da će ako bogati postanu bogatiji,
14:54
everyone is better off.
317
894190
1537
svima biti bolje.
14:55
It is the claim made by those who oppose
318
895727
3061
To je tvrdnja stvorena od strane onih koji se suprotstavljaju
14:58
any increase in the minimum wage
319
898788
1902
svakom povećanju u minimalnoj plati,
15:00
that if the poor get richer,
320
900690
1855
da ako se siromašni obogate,
15:02
that will be bad for the economy.
321
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2217
to će biti loše za ekonomiju.
15:04
This is nonsense.
322
904762
1980
To je glupost.
15:06
So can we please dispense with this rhetoric
323
906742
3865
Možemo li molim vas da prestanemo sa ovom retorikom
15:10
that says that rich guys like me
324
910607
2343
koja kaže da su bogati ljudi poput mene
15:12
and my plutocrat friends
325
912950
2854
i mojih kolega plutokrata
15:15
made our country?
326
915804
2573
stvorili ovu zemlju?
15:18
We plutocrats know,
327
918377
2075
Mi plutokrate znamo,
15:20
even if we don't like to admit it in public,
328
920452
1624
čak i ako ne volimo da priznamo javno,
15:22
that if we had been born somewhere else,
329
922076
2669
da smo bili rođeni negde drugde,
15:24
not here in the United States,
330
924745
1897
ne ovde u Sjedinjenim Državama,
15:26
we might very well be just some dude standing barefoot
331
926642
2860
verovatno bismo bili samo neki momci koji stoje bosi
15:29
by the side of a dirt road selling fruit.
332
929502
3150
pored prašnjavog puta prodajući voće.
15:32
It's not that they don't have good entrepreneurs in other places,
333
932652
2531
To ne znači da na drugim mestima ne postoje dobri preduzetnici,
15:35
even very, very poor places.
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935183
2025
čak i na veoma, veoma siromašnim mestima.
15:37
It's just that that's all
335
937208
1552
Radi se o tome da je to sve
15:38
that those entrepreneurs' customers can afford.
336
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4536
što mušterije tih preduzetnika mogu da priušte.
15:43
So here's an idea for a new kind of economics,
337
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4599
Evo ideje za novu vrstu ekonomije,
15:47
a new kind of politics
338
947895
1547
novu vrstu politike,
15:49
that I call new capitalism.
339
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2887
koju ja zovem novim kapitalizmom.
15:52
Let's acknowledge that capitalism
340
952329
2472
Priznajmo da kapitalizam
15:54
beats the alternatives,
341
954801
1797
pobeđuje alternative,
15:56
but also that the more people we include,
342
956598
3997
ali i da što više ljudi uključimo,
16:00
both as entrepreneurs and as customers,
343
960595
3524
i kao preduzetnike i kao mušterije,
16:04
the better it works.
344
964119
2160
bolje će funkcionisati.
16:06
Let's by all means shrink the size of government,
345
966279
3786
Hajde da svim sredstvima smanjimo veličinu vlasti,
16:10
but not by slashing the poverty programs,
346
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2719
ali ne režući programe siromaštva,
16:12
but by ensuring that workers are paid enough
347
972784
2017
već omogućujući da su radnici dovoljno plaćeni
16:14
so that they actually don't need those programs.
348
974801
3322
tako da im zapravo ne trebaju ti programi.
16:18
Let's invest enough in the middle class
349
978123
2917
Ulažimo dovoljno u srednju klasu
16:21
to make our economy fairer and more inclusive,
350
981040
3193
da bismo učinili našu ekonomiju poštenijom i inkluzivnijom,
16:24
and by fairer, more truly competitive,
351
984233
3934
i poštenijom, istinski takmičarskom,
16:28
and by more truly competitive,
352
988167
1762
i pod istinski takmičarskom,
16:29
more able to generate the solutions
353
989929
2816
sposobnijom da stvara rešenja
16:32
to human problems
354
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1472
za ljudske probleme
16:34
that are the true drivers of growth and prosperity.
355
994217
5630
koji su istinske vodilje rasta i prosperiteta.
16:39
Capitalism is the greatest social technology
356
999847
3273
Kapitalizam je najveća društvena tehnologija
16:43
ever invented
357
1003120
1469
ikada osmišljena
16:44
for creating prosperity in human societies,
358
1004589
2862
za stvaranje prosperiteta u ljudskim društvima,
16:47
if it is well managed,
359
1007451
1734
ako je dobro vođen,
16:49
but capitalism, because of the fundamental
360
1009185
3171
ali kapitalizam, zbog glavnih
16:52
multiplicative dynamics of complex systems,
361
1012356
2765
umnožavajućih dinamika kompleksnih sistema,
16:55
tends towards, inexorably, inequality,
362
1015121
3528
neumoljivo teži ka nejednakosti,
16:58
concentration and collapse.
363
1018649
4421
koncentraciji i slomu.
17:03
The work of democracies
364
1023070
2448
Posao demokratija
17:05
is to maximize the inclusion of the many
365
1025518
4503
je da se poveća inkluzija mnogih
17:10
in order to create prosperity,
366
1030021
2977
kako bi se stvorio prosperitet,
17:12
not to enable the few to accumulate money.
367
1032998
3922
a ne da omogući nekolicini da gomilaju novac.
17:16
Government does create prosperity and growth,
368
1036920
3100
Vlada stvara prosperitet i rast,
17:20
by creating the conditions that allow
369
1040020
3226
stvaranjem uslova koji omogućavaju
17:23
both entrepreneurs and their customers
370
1043246
2891
i preduzetnicima i njihovim mušterijama
17:26
to thrive.
371
1046137
1845
da napreduju.
17:27
Balancing the power of capitalists like me
372
1047982
3184
Balansiranje snage kapitalista poput mene
17:31
and workers isn't bad for capitalism.
373
1051166
3172
i radnika nije loše za kapitalizam,
17:34
It's essential to it.
374
1054338
1800
već je ključno za njega.
17:36
Programs like a reasonable minimum wage,
375
1056138
2666
Programi poput razumske minimalne dnevnice,
17:38
affordable healthcare,
376
1058804
2014
pristupačne zdravstvene nege,
17:40
paid sick leave,
377
1060818
1303
plaćenog bolovanja,
17:42
and the progressive taxation necessary
378
1062121
3419
i progresivnog oporezivanja neophodnog
17:45
to pay for the important infrastructure
379
1065540
2196
za plaćanje važne infrastrukture,
17:47
necessary for the middle class like education, R and D,
380
1067736
4051
neophodne za srednju klasu poput obrazovanja, istraživanja i razvoja,
17:51
these are indispensable tools
381
1071787
2566
ovo su nezamenjivi alati
17:54
shrewd capitalists should embrace
382
1074353
2109
koje bi zli kapitalisti trebalo da prigrle
17:56
to drive growth, because no one benefits from it
383
1076462
3986
da bi razvili rast, jer niko ne profitira od toga
18:00
like us.
384
1080448
1646
poput nas.
18:02
Many economists would have you believe
385
1082094
2248
Mnogi ekonomisti bi voleli da verujete
18:04
that their field is an objective science.
386
1084342
3080
da je njihova oblast objektivna nauka.
18:07
I disagree, and I think that it is equally
387
1087422
2847
Ne slažem se sa time i mislim da je to jednako
18:10
a tool that humans use
388
1090269
2069
i alat koji ljudi koriste
18:12
to enforce and encode
389
1092338
1889
kako bi podržali i kodirali
18:14
our social and moral preferences and prejudices
390
1094227
3576
naše društvene i moralne predrasude
18:17
about status and power,
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3902
o statusu i snazi,
18:21
which is why plutocrats like me
392
1101705
2277
zbog čega su plutokrate poput mene
18:23
have always needed to find persuasive stories
393
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4006
uvek trebale da nađu ubedljive priče
18:27
to tell everyone else
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1674
da ispričaju svakome
18:29
about why our relative positions
395
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4114
o tome zašto su naše povezane pozicije
18:33
are morally righteous and good for everyone:
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4132
moralno pravične i dobre za svakoga:
18:37
like, we are indispensable, the job creators,
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4275
kao, mi stvaraoci posla smo neophodni,
18:42
and you are not;
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2362
a vi niste;
18:44
like, tax cuts for us create growth,
399
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3386
kao, ukidanje poreza za nas stvara rast,
18:47
but investments in you
400
1127931
2014
ali ulaganje u vas
18:49
will balloon our debt
401
1129945
1676
će povećati naš dug
18:51
and bankrupt our great country;
402
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2508
i dovesti do bankrota našu veliku državu;
18:54
that we matter;
403
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1868
da smo bitni,
18:55
that you don't.
404
1135997
2351
a da vi niste.
18:58
For thousands of years, these stories were called
405
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2643
Hiljadama godina, ove priče su se zvale
19:00
divine right.
406
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1448
božanskim pravom.
19:02
Today, we have trickle-down economics.
407
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4254
Danas, imamo ekonomije kapanja.
19:06
How obviously, transparently self-serving
408
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3883
Koliko je samo očigledno
19:10
all of this is.
409
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1594
da je sve ovo u korist nas samih.
19:12
We plutocrats need to see
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2782
Mi plutokrate treba da vidimo
19:14
that the United States of America made us,
411
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2353
da su Sjedinjene Američke Države stvorile nas,
19:17
not the other way around;
412
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1684
a ne obrnuto,
19:18
that a thriving middle class is the source
413
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2838
da je napredujuća srednja klasa izvor
19:21
of prosperity in capitalist economies,
414
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2296
prosperiteta u kapitalističkim ekonomijama,
19:24
not a consequence of it.
415
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2639
a ne posledica toga.
19:26
And we should never forget
416
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2691
Nikada ne bismo smeli da zaboravimo
19:29
that even the best of us in the worst of circumstances
417
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3695
da su čak i najbolji od nas u najgorim situacijama
19:33
are barefoot by the side of a dirt road selling fruit.
418
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5734
bosi po strani prašnjavog puta i prodaju voće.
19:38
Fellow plutocrats, I think it may be time for us
419
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2614
Kolege plutokrate, smatram da nam je vreme
19:41
to recommit to our country,
420
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2203
da se posvetimo svojoj državi,
19:43
to commit to a new kind of capitalism
421
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2562
posvetimo novoj vrsti kapitalizma
19:46
which is both more inclusive and more effective,
422
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4354
koji je inkluzivniji i efektivniji,
19:50
a capitalism that will ensure
423
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2058
kapitalizma koji će omogućiti
19:52
that America's economy remains
424
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3161
da američka ekonomija ostane
19:55
the most dynamic and prosperous in the world.
425
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3386
najdinamičnija i najprosperitetnija na svetu.
19:59
Let's secure the future for ourselves,
426
1199220
2160
Hajde da osiguramo svoju budućnost,
20:01
our children and their children.
427
1201380
2734
budućnost svoje i njihove dece.
20:04
Or alternatively, we could do nothing,
428
1204114
3048
Ili bismo mogli da ne uradimo ništa,
20:07
hide in our gated communities
429
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2081
da se sakrijemo u svojim ograđenim zajednicama
20:09
and private schools,
430
1209243
2857
i privatnim školama,
20:12
enjoy our planes and yachts
431
1212100
2036
uživamo u svojim avionima i jahtama
20:14
— they're fun —
432
1214136
2340
- zabavne su -
20:16
and wait for the pitchforks.
433
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1811
i da čekamo na vile.
20:18
Thank you.
434
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1523
Hvala vam.
20:19
(Applause)
435
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1647
(Aplauz)
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