How (and why) Russia hacked the US election | Laura Galante

134,337 views ・ 2017-05-25

TED


Please double-click on the English subtitles below to play the video.

Prevodilac: Ivana Krivokuća Lektor: Tijana Mihajlović
00:13
Let's say you despise
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Recimo da prezirete
00:15
Western democracy.
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zapadnu demokratiju.
00:18
Democracy, in all its trappings,
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Demokratiju i sve što ide uz nju,
00:20
free elections, town halls,
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slobodne izbore, gradske skupštine,
00:23
endless debates about the proper role of government.
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beskrajne debate o adekvatnoj ulozi vlasti.
00:26
Too messy,
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Previše haotično,
00:27
too unpredictable,
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previše nepredvidivo,
00:28
too constraining for your taste.
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suviše ograničavajuće za vaš ukus.
00:31
And the way these democracies band together and lecture everyone else
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Još i način na koji se ove demokratije udružuju i drže predavanja svima ostalima
00:35
about individual rights and freedoms --
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o individualnim pravima i slobodama -
00:38
it gets under your skin.
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izluđuje vas.
00:41
So what to do about it?
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Pa, šta učiniti u vezi sa time?
00:43
You can call out the hypocrisy and failures of Western democracies
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Možete ukazivati na licemerje i neuspehe u zapadnim demokratijama
00:48
and explain how your way is better,
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i objašnjavati kako je vaš način bolji,
00:51
but that's never really worked for you.
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ali to vam nikad nije baš uspevalo.
00:54
What if you could get the people
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Šta ako biste ubedili ljude
00:57
whose support is the very foundation of these democracies
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čija podrška predstavlja samu osnovu ovih demokratija
01:00
to start questioning the system?
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da počnu da preispituju sistem?
01:04
Make the idea occur in their own minds
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Ako biste im stvorili ideju u glavi
01:06
that democracy and its institutions are failing them,
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da ih demokratija i njene institucije izneveravaju,
01:10
their elite are corrupt puppet masters
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da njenu elitu čine korumpirani ljudi koji povlače konce
01:13
and the country they knew is in free fall.
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i da država kakvom je poznaju strmoglavo pada.
01:17
To do that,
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Da biste to postigli,
01:18
you'll need to infiltrate the information spheres
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moraćete da se infiltrirate u sfere informacija ovih demokratija.
01:21
of these democracies.
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01:23
You'll need to turn their most powerful asset --
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Moraćete da preokrenete njihovu najsnažniju prednost -
01:26
an open mind --
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otvoreni um -
01:28
into their greatest vulnerability.
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u njihovu najveću slabost.
01:31
You'll need people to question the truth.
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Biće vam potrebno da ljudi dovode u pitanje istinu.
01:35
Now, you'll be familiar of hacking and leaks that happened in 2016.
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Upoznati ste sa hakovanjima i curenjem informacija iz 2016. godine.
01:40
One was the Democratic National Committee's networks,
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Jedno se dogodilo mrežama Demokratskog nacionalnog komiteta
01:43
and the personal email accounts of its staff,
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i ličnim nalozima za imejl njegovih zaposlenih,
01:46
later released on WikiLeaks.
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što je kasnije objavljeno na Vikiliksu.
01:48
After that, various online personas,
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Nakon toga su razne ličnosti na internetu,
01:51
like a supposed Romanian cybercriminal who didn't speak Romanian,
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poput navodnog rumunskog sajber kriminalca koji ne govori rumunski,
01:56
aggressively pushed news of these leaks to journalists.
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agresivno novinarima poturile vesti o ovim curenjima.
02:00
The media took the bait.
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Mediji su zagrizli udicu.
02:02
They were consumed by how much the DNC hated Bernie.
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Bili su obuzeti time koliko Demokratski nacionalni komitet mrzi Bernija.
02:06
At the time, it was that narrative that far outshined the news
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U to vreme, bio je to narativ koji je znatno zasenio vesti
da je grupa hakera koje je sponzorisala ruska vlada,
02:11
that a group of Russian government sponsored hackers
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02:14
who we called "Advanced Persistent Threat 28,"
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a koje smo nazvali „Napredna trajna pretnja 28“
02:17
or "APT28" for short,
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ili skraćeno „NTP28“,
02:20
was carrying out these operations against the US.
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sprovodila ove operacije protiv SAD-a.
Dokaza nije manjkalo.
02:24
And there was no shortage of evidence.
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02:26
This group of Russian government hackers hadn't just appeared out of nowhere
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Grupa hakera ruske vlade nije se tek tako pojavila niotkuda
2016. godine.
02:30
in 2016.
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02:31
We had started tracking this group back in 2014.
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Počeli smo da pratimo ovu grupu još 2014. godine.
02:34
And the tools that APT28 used to compromise its victims' networks
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Sredstva koja je NTP28 koristila da bi kompromitovala mreže svojih žrtava
02:39
demonstrated a thoughtful, well-resourced effort
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ukazala su na promišljene, dobro opremljene aktivnosti
02:43
that had taken place for now over a decade
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koje su se više od decenije odvijale
02:46
in Moscow's time zone
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po moskovskoj vremenskoj zoni
02:47
from about 9 am to 6 pm.
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od 9 sati pre podne do 6 sati po podne.
02:50
APT28 loved to prey on the emails and contacts of journalists in Chechnya,
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NTP28 je obožavala da lovi imejlove i kontakte novinara u Čečeniji,
gruzijske vlade, istočnoevropskih vojnih izaslanika -
02:56
the Georgian government, eastern European defense attachés --
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02:59
all targets with an undeniable interest to the Russian government.
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što su sve mete od nespornog interesa za rusku vladu.
03:03
We weren't the only ones onto this.
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Nismo bili jedini koji su bili na tragu ovome.
03:05
Governments, research teams across the world,
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Vlade i istraživački timovi širom sveta
03:09
were coming to similar conclusions
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dolazili su do sličnih zaključaka
03:10
and observing the same types of operations.
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i osmatrali iste vrste operacija.
03:14
But what Russia was doing in 2016
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Ali, ono što je Rusija radila 2016. godine
03:17
went far beyond espionage.
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daleko je prevazilazilo špijunažu.
03:19
The DNC hack was just one of many where stolen data was posted online
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Hakovanje Demokratskog nacionalnog komiteta
bilo je samo jedno od mnogih
gde su ukradeni podaci objavljeni na internetu
03:26
accompanied by a sensational narrative,
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uz senzacionalni narativ,
03:28
then amplified in social media
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zatim rašireni na društvenim mrežama
03:30
for lightning-speed adoption by the media.
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da bi ih mediji prihvatili munjevitom brzinom.
03:36
This didn't ring the alarm bells
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To nije pokrenulo uzbunu
03:39
that a nation-state was trying to interfere with the credibility
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da nacionalna država pokušava da ometa kredibilitet
03:43
of another's internal affairs.
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unutrašnjih pitanja druge države.
03:45
So why, collectively, did we not see this coming?
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Pa zašto, svi zajedno, nismo ovo predvideli?
03:50
Why did it take months before Americans understood
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Zašto je trebalo da prođu meseci pre nego što su Amerikanci shvatili
03:54
that they were under a state-sponsored information attack?
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da su pod informacionim napadom koji finansira druga država?
04:00
The easy answer is politics.
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Jednostavan odgovor je politika.
04:01
The Obama Administration was caught in a perfect catch-22.
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Obamina administracija se uplela u savršenu „kvaku 22“.
04:05
By raising the specter that the Russian government was interfering
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Stvaranjem zabrinutosti time da se ruska vlada meša
04:10
in the US presidential campaign,
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u predsedničku kampanju SAD-a,
04:12
the Administration risked appearing to meddle in the campaign itself.
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administracija je rizikovala da će delovati
da se i sama meša u kampanju.
04:17
But the better answer, I think,
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Ipak, bolji odgovor je, prema mom mišljenju,
04:19
is that the US and the West were utterly unequipped
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da su SAD i Zapad bili potpuno neopremljeni
04:23
to recognize and respond to a modern information operation,
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da prepoznaju i reaguju na savremenu informacionu operaciju
04:28
despite the fact that the US had wielded information
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uprkos činjenici da su SAD rukovale informacijama
04:33
with devastating success in an era not so long ago.
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sa izuzetnim uspehom nedavno.
04:38
Look, so while the US and the West spent the last 20 years
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Vidite, dok su SAD i Zapad proveli proteklih 20 godina
upleteni u sajber bezbednost -
04:42
caught up in cybersecurity --
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04:43
what networks to harden,
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koje mreže da učvrste,
04:45
which infrastructure to deem critical,
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koje infrastrukture da razmatraju kao kritične,
04:47
how to set up armies of cyber warriors and cyber commands --
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kako da uspostave vojsku sajber ratnika i sajber komandi -
04:51
Russia was thinking in far more consequential terms.
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Rusija je razmišljala u mnogo dalekosežnijem pogledu.
04:57
Before the first iPhone even hit the shelf,
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Čak i pre nego što je prvi Ajfon bio dostupan u prodaji,
05:00
the Russian government understood the risks and the opportunity
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ruska vlada je razumela rizike i mogućnosti
05:04
that technology provided
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koje pruža tehnologija,
05:06
and the inter-communication and instant communication it provided us.
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kao i međusobnu i brzu komunikaciju koju nam je omogućila.
05:12
As our realities are increasingly based on the information
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Kako se naša stvarnost sve više zasniva na informacijama
05:15
that we're consuming at the palm of our hand
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koje koristimo iz izvora na stalnom raspolaganju,
05:17
and from the news feeds that we're scanning
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na najnovijim objavljenim sadržajima kroz koje prelećemo,
05:20
and the hashtags and stories that we see trending,
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haštagovima i pričama koje vidimo da su popularne,
05:23
the Russian government was the first to recognize
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ruska vlada je prva prepoznala
05:26
how this evolution
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kako je ovaj razvoj pretvorio naš um
05:28
had turned your mind into the most exploitable device on the planet.
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u sredstvo koje se najbolje može iskoristiti na planeti.
05:34
And your mind is particularly exploitable
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A vaš um se naročito može iskoristiti
05:37
if you're accustomed to an unfettered flow of information,
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ako ste navikli na slobodni protok informacija
koje su sada sve više probrane u skladu sa vašim ukusom.
05:41
now increasingly curated to your own tastes.
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Ova panorama informacija koja vam je toliko zanimljiva
05:47
This panorama of information that's so interesting to you
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05:49
gives a state, or anyone for that matter, a perfect back door into your mind.
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pruža državi, kao i bilo kome drugom, savršen sporedni ulaz u vaš um.
05:56
It's this new brand of state-sponsored information operations
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To je novi brend informacionih operacija koje finansira država
06:00
that can be that much more successful,
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koje mogu biti toliko uspešnije, lukavije
06:02
more insidious,
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06:03
and harder for the target audience -- that includes the media --
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i teže da ih odgonetne i prepozna ciljna grupa, što podrazumeva medije.
06:08
to decipher and characterize.
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06:10
If you can get a hashtag trending on Twitter,
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Ako uspete da vam hešteg postane popularan na Tviteru
06:12
or chum the waters with fake news
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ili da zamutite vodu lažnim vestima
06:15
directed to audiences primed to receive it,
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upućenim publici koja je spremna da ih primi,
06:18
or drive journalists to dissect terabytes of email
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ili da podstaknete novinare da analiziraju terabajte imejlova
06:21
for a cent of impropriety --
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da bi našli mrvicu nepravilnosti -
06:23
all tactics used in Russian operations --
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što su sve taktike korišćene u ruskim operacijama -
06:25
then you've got a shot at effectively camouflaging your operations
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onda imate priliku da efikasno maskirate svoje operacije
06:30
in the mind of your target.
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u glavi svoje mete.
06:33
This is what Russia's long called "reflexive control."
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To je ono što Rusija dugo naziva „povratna kontrola“.
06:38
It's the ability to use information on someone else
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To je mogućnost korišćenja informacija o nekome
06:42
so that they make a decision
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tako da ta osoba svojevoljno donese odluku
06:44
on their own accord
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06:46
that's favorable to you.
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koja vam odgovara.
06:50
This is nation-state-grade image control and perception management,
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Ovo je kontrola imidža i upravljanje percepcijom na nivou nacionalne države
06:54
and it's conducted by any means,
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i sprovodi se na sve načine,
06:56
with any tools, network-based or otherwise, that will achieve it.
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bilo kojim sredstvima, na bazi mreže ili ne, kojima se može ostvariti.
07:01
Take this for another example.
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Uzmite ovo kao još jedan primer.
07:03
In early February 2014, a few weeks before Russia would invade Crimea,
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Početkom februara 2014. godine,
nekoliko nedelja pre nego što će Rusija napasti Krim,
na Jutjubu je objavljen telefonski razgovor.
07:08
a phone call is posted on YouTube.
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07:10
In it, there's two US diplomats.
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U njemu su dve diplomate SAD-a.
07:12
They sound like they're playing kingmaker in Ukraine,
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Zvuče kao da vrše uticaj na ostvarivanje pobede u Ukrajini
07:15
and worse, they curse the EU for its lack of speed and leadership
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i, što je još gore, psuju EU zbog nedostatka brzine i rukovodstva
07:19
in resolving the crisis.
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u rešavanju krize.
07:21
The media covers the phone call,
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Mediji su preneli telefonski poziv,
07:24
and then the ensuing diplomatic backlash
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a zatim je posledična diplomatska reakcija
poljuljala Vašington i Evropu
07:29
leaves Washington and Europe reeling.
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07:32
And it creates a fissured response and a feckless attitude
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i stvorila podeljene odgovore i slab odnos
07:36
towards Russia's land grab in Ukraine.
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prema ruskom otimanju zemlje u Ukrajini.
07:39
Mission accomplished.
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Misija ispunjena.
07:42
So while hacked phone calls and emails and networks
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Dakle, dok su hakovani telefonski pozivi, imejlovi i mreže
07:45
keep grabbing the headlines,
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uporno osvajali naslovnice,
07:47
the real operations are the ones
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prave operacije su one
07:50
that are influencing the decisions you make
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koje utiču na odluke koje donosite
07:53
and the opinions you hold,
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i mišljenja kojih se pridržavate,
07:55
all in the service of a nation-state's strategic interest.
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sve u službi strateškog interesa nacionalne države.
07:59
This is power in the information age.
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To je moć informacionog doba.
08:03
And this information is all that much more seductive,
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Ove informacije su utoliko zavodljivije,
08:06
all that much easier to take at face value and pass on,
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utoliko lakše da se prihvate kao istinite i proslede dalje,
08:10
when it's authentic.
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kada su autentične.
08:12
Who's not interested in the truth that's presented in phone calls and emails
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Koga ne zanima istina prikazana u telefonskim pozivima i imejlovima
koji nikad nisu bili predviđeni za javnu upotrebu?
08:18
that were never intended for public consumption?
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Međutim, koliko ima značaja ta istina
08:22
But how meaningful is that truth
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08:23
if you don't know why it's being revealed to you?
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ako ne znate zašto vam je razotkrivena?
08:27
We must recognize that this place where we're increasingly living,
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Moramo prihvatiti da to mesto na kome sve više obitavamo,
08:31
which we've quaintly termed "cyberspace,"
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koje smo neobično nazvali „sajber prostor“,
08:34
isn't defined by ones and zeroes,
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ne definišu jedinice i nule,
08:36
but by information and the people behind it.
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već informacije i ljudi koje stoje iza njih.
08:40
This is far more than a network of computers and devices.
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Ovo podrazumeva mnogo više od mreže kompjutera i uređaja.
08:43
This is a network composed of minds
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Ovo je mreža sačinjena od umova
08:46
interacting with computers and devices.
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u interakciji sa kompjuterima i uređajima.
08:50
And for this network,
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A u slučaju ove mreže
08:54
there's no encryption, there's no firewall,
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nema enkripcije, nema zaštitnog zida,
08:57
no two-factor authentication,
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nema dvofaktorske autentifikacije,
08:59
no password complex enough to protect you.
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nema dovoljno složene šifre da bi vas zaštitila.
09:03
What you have for defense
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Ono što imate kao odbranu
09:05
is far stronger, it's more adaptable, it's always running the latest version.
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mnogo je jače, prilagodljivije i uvek koristi najnoviju verziju.
To je sposobnost kritičkog razmišljanja:
09:11
It's the ability to think critically:
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glasno obznanite neistine,
09:14
call out falsehood,
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09:15
press for the facts.
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vršite pritisak da biste dobili činjenice.
09:18
And above all, you must have the courage
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A pre svega morate imati hrabrosti
09:22
to unflinchingly pursue the truth.
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da nepokolebljivo tragate za istinom.
09:27
(Applause)
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(Aplauz)
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