How (and why) Russia hacked the US election | Laura Galante

133,380 views ・ 2017-05-25

TED


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翻译人员: Mo Siman 校对人员: Lipeng Chen
00:13
Let's say you despise
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假设你很反感
00:15
Western democracy.
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西方民主。
00:18
Democracy, in all its trappings,
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一切民主制度的衍生物,
00:20
free elections, town halls,
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像自由选举、市政厅,
00:23
endless debates about the proper role of government.
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以及关于政府角色的无数论辩,
00:26
Too messy,
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都太乱,
00:27
too unpredictable,
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不可捉摸,
00:28
too constraining for your taste.
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在你看来局限太多。
00:31
And the way these democracies band together and lecture everyone else
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而种种制度都在一起向人们灌输
00:35
about individual rights and freedoms --
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个人权利和自由的观念——
00:38
it gets under your skin.
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这让你恼火。
00:41
So what to do about it?
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那怎么办?
00:43
You can call out the hypocrisy and failures of Western democracies
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你可以揭露西方民主的虚伪和失败,
00:48
and explain how your way is better,
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说你的主张的优势,
00:51
but that's never really worked for you.
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但这对你而言并不实际。
00:54
What if you could get the people
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那如果你能让
00:57
whose support is the very foundation of these democracies
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民主制度的中坚分子
01:00
to start questioning the system?
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开始质疑这套制度呢?
01:04
Make the idea occur in their own minds
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让这些人自己感到
01:06
that democracy and its institutions are failing them,
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民主及其机制辜负了他们,
01:10
their elite are corrupt puppet masters
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精英阶层腐败透顶,上下其手,
01:13
and the country they knew is in free fall.
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这个国家正急速衰落。
01:17
To do that,
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要做到这些,
01:18
you'll need to infiltrate the information spheres
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就要潜入相关机构的
01:21
of these democracies.
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信息系统,
01:23
You'll need to turn their most powerful asset --
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把民主最强有力的武器——
01:26
an open mind --
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开明思想——
01:28
into their greatest vulnerability.
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变成其要害。
01:31
You'll need people to question the truth.
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要让人们开始质疑所谓真相。
01:35
Now, you'll be familiar of hacking and leaks that happened in 2016.
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我想大家都熟知2016年的 黑客入侵和泄密事件。
01:40
One was the Democratic National Committee's networks,
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一个是民主党全国委员会(DNC)
01:43
and the personal email accounts of its staff,
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网站资料及其成员的电邮被窃取,
01:46
later released on WikiLeaks.
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并发布在维基解密上。
01:48
After that, various online personas,
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之后,网上有好几个人,
01:51
like a supposed Romanian cybercriminal who didn't speak Romanian,
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比如一个据说是罗马尼亚人, 却不会说该国语言的网络罪犯,
01:56
aggressively pushed news of these leaks to journalists.
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极力向媒体推送有关消息。
02:00
The media took the bait.
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媒体上钩了。
02:02
They were consumed by how much the DNC hated Bernie.
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记者们只关注DNC 多么讨厌伯尼·桑德。
02:06
At the time, it was that narrative that far outshined the news
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那段时间,DNC和伯尼间的恩怨远比
02:11
that a group of Russian government sponsored hackers
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某个俄国政府支持的黑客组织更吸引人。
02:14
who we called "Advanced Persistent Threat 28,"
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该组织被称为高持续性威胁28,
02:17
or "APT28" for short,
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简称APT28,
02:20
was carrying out these operations against the US.
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正是它进行了此次入侵。
02:24
And there was no shortage of evidence.
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此事证据确凿。
02:26
This group of Russian government hackers hadn't just appeared out of nowhere
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这一黑客组织并不是到了2016年才
凭空出现的。
02:30
in 2016.
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从2014年起我们就在追踪它。
02:31
We had started tracking this group back in 2014.
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02:34
And the tools that APT28 used to compromise its victims' networks
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APT28所使用的入侵手段表明
02:39
demonstrated a thoughtful, well-resourced effort
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其行动有计划性,资源充足,
02:43
that had taken place for now over a decade
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且运作长达十数年,
02:46
in Moscow's time zone
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在莫斯科时区范围内
02:47
from about 9 am to 6 pm.
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十分活跃。
02:50
APT28 loved to prey on the emails and contacts of journalists in Chechnya,
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APT28常常盯上记者的 电邮和通信记录,目标包括车臣、
02:56
the Georgian government, eastern European defense attachés --
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格鲁吉亚政府 和东欧各国驻外武官,
02:59
all targets with an undeniable interest to the Russian government.
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都是俄罗斯政府的兴趣所在。
03:03
We weren't the only ones onto this.
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并非只有我们关注他们。
03:05
Governments, research teams across the world,
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各国政府和全世界的研究团队
03:09
were coming to similar conclusions
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都得出了相似的结论,
03:10
and observing the same types of operations.
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都注意到类似的活动。
03:14
But what Russia was doing in 2016
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但2016年俄罗斯的所作所为
03:17
went far beyond espionage.
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远不止窃取情报。
03:19
The DNC hack was just one of many where stolen data was posted online
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和DNC事件一样,被窃信息 经常在网上发布,
03:26
accompanied by a sensational narrative,
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辅以敏感的描写,
03:28
then amplified in social media
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在社交媒体上被放大,
03:30
for lightning-speed adoption by the media.
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好在短时间内 得到媒体大量报道。
03:36
This didn't ring the alarm bells
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人们不会警觉
03:39
that a nation-state was trying to interfere with the credibility
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一个国家正试图破坏他国
03:43
of another's internal affairs.
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处理内政上的公信力。
03:45
So why, collectively, did we not see this coming?
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那么从集体角度看, 为什么我们没预见到?
03:50
Why did it take months before Americans understood
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为什么几个月后美国民众才
03:54
that they were under a state-sponsored information attack?
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意识到这是外国暗中支持的黑客行为?
04:00
The easy answer is politics.
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简单而言,政治。
04:01
The Obama Administration was caught in a perfect catch-22.
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奥巴马政府正处于自相矛盾的困境中。
04:05
By raising the specter that the Russian government was interfering
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要是指出俄罗斯有可能干预
04:10
in the US presidential campaign,
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美国总统大选,
04:12
the Administration risked appearing to meddle in the campaign itself.
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政府自己很可能背上干预大选的骂名。
04:17
But the better answer, I think,
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但我想,更确切的是,
04:19
is that the US and the West were utterly unequipped
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美国和其他西方国家根本没准备好
04:23
to recognize and respond to a modern information operation,
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辨别和应对现代信息战,
04:28
despite the fact that the US had wielded information
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哪怕美国在信息技术方面
04:33
with devastating success in an era not so long ago.
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长期以来有着压倒性优势。
04:38
Look, so while the US and the West spent the last 20 years
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因此在过去20年里,美国 和其他西方国家
04:42
caught up in cybersecurity --
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忙着加强网络安全——
04:43
what networks to harden,
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哪些网络需要加强防护,
04:45
which infrastructure to deem critical,
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哪些设备必须重视,
04:47
how to set up armies of cyber warriors and cyber commands --
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如何组建网络军队和指挥系统——
04:51
Russia was thinking in far more consequential terms.
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俄罗斯却在考虑影响更为深远的策略。
04:57
Before the first iPhone even hit the shelf,
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早在苹果手机上市之前,
05:00
the Russian government understood the risks and the opportunity
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俄罗斯就了解了技术
05:04
that technology provided
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和交际与
05:06
and the inter-communication and instant communication it provided us.
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即时通讯方式带来的风险、机会。
05:12
As our realities are increasingly based on the information
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我们的生活越来越依赖于
05:15
that we're consuming at the palm of our hand
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通过移动设备
05:17
and from the news feeds that we're scanning
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阅读媒体推送,
05:20
and the hashtags and stories that we see trending,
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关注热门话题,以获取信息。
05:23
the Russian government was the first to recognize
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俄罗斯第一个意识到
05:26
how this evolution
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这种革命性现象
05:28
had turned your mind into the most exploitable device on the planet.
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能将人心变为最容易利用的武器。
05:34
And your mind is particularly exploitable
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特别是有些人
05:37
if you're accustomed to an unfettered flow of information,
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喜欢关注来自非法渠道的信息,
这类信息常常根据 他们的兴趣加工过。
05:41
now increasingly curated to your own tastes.
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05:47
This panorama of information that's so interesting to you
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这样呈现的信息很能引人关注,
05:49
gives a state, or anyone for that matter, a perfect back door into your mind.
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给了国家或其他人一个后门 进入你的思想。
05:56
It's this new brand of state-sponsored information operations
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正是这种由国家运作的新型信息战
06:00
that can be that much more successful,
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更能取得成功,
06:02
more insidious,
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更隐秘,
06:03
and harder for the target audience -- that includes the media --
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对其目标人群而言,包括媒体,
06:08
to decipher and characterize.
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更难辨识和判别。
06:10
If you can get a hashtag trending on Twitter,
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如果能制造推特热点话题,
06:12
or chum the waters with fake news
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或是散布虚假新闻作为诱饵,
06:15
directed to audiences primed to receive it,
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故意让某些人群看到,
06:18
or drive journalists to dissect terabytes of email
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让记者们检查大量电邮
06:21
for a cent of impropriety --
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以寻找敏感的字句——
06:23
all tactics used in Russian operations --
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这些在俄罗斯的行动中均可看到——
06:25
then you've got a shot at effectively camouflaging your operations
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那么就能在不知不觉间有效地
06:30
in the mind of your target.
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左右目标人群的想法。
06:33
This is what Russia's long called "reflexive control."
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这就是俄罗斯一直说的“反身性控制”,
06:38
It's the ability to use information on someone else
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即你可以通过对目标人群释放信息,
06:42
so that they make a decision
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诱导他们做出判断,
06:44
on their own accord
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他们自主的判断,
06:46
that's favorable to you.
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却对你有利。
06:50
This is nation-state-grade image control and perception management,
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这是在国家层面上操控 公共形象和认知,
06:54
and it's conducted by any means,
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有很多种途径来实现,
06:56
with any tools, network-based or otherwise, that will achieve it.
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很多工具可以利用, 无论是不是基于网络。
07:01
Take this for another example.
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有另一个例子。
07:03
In early February 2014, a few weeks before Russia would invade Crimea,
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2014年2月,俄罗斯 入侵克里米亚几周前,
07:08
a phone call is posted on YouTube.
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一段电话录音被传到YouTube上。
07:10
In it, there's two US diplomats.
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录音中是两名美国外交官,
07:12
They sound like they're playing kingmaker in Ukraine,
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似乎在谈论在乌克兰扶植政权,
07:15
and worse, they curse the EU for its lack of speed and leadership
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还骂欧盟行动迟缓,缺乏领导力,
07:19
in resolving the crisis.
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不能解决危机。
07:21
The media covers the phone call,
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媒体报道了这一事件,
07:24
and then the ensuing diplomatic backlash
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随之而来的外交僵局
07:29
leaves Washington and Europe reeling.
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让美国和欧洲措手不及。
07:32
And it creates a fissured response and a feckless attitude
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于是美欧都不能有力地回击,
07:36
towards Russia's land grab in Ukraine.
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听任俄罗斯占领克里米亚。
07:39
Mission accomplished.
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目标达成。
07:42
So while hacked phone calls and emails and networks
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所以,泄露的电话录音、 邮件和网站资料
07:45
keep grabbing the headlines,
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屡屡占据头条,
07:47
the real operations are the ones
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与此同时,真正的目标却是
07:50
that are influencing the decisions you make
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影响你的判断,
07:53
and the opinions you hold,
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左右你的观点,
07:55
all in the service of a nation-state's strategic interest.
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好为某个国家的战略利益服务。
07:59
This is power in the information age.
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这就是信息时代的力量。
08:03
And this information is all that much more seductive,
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这些信息变得更加诱人,
08:06
all that much easier to take at face value and pass on,
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更容易让人从表面解读,更易于传播,
08:10
when it's authentic.
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因其像模像样。
08:12
Who's not interested in the truth that's presented in phone calls and emails
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只有电话录音和邮件里才有 而不会公开的东西,
08:18
that were never intended for public consumption?
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谁会不感兴趣?
08:22
But how meaningful is that truth
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但这些若是出于某种原因
08:23
if you don't know why it's being revealed to you?
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给你看的,又有何意义?
08:27
We must recognize that this place where we're increasingly living,
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我们必须意识到,网络 越来越多地介入生活,
08:31
which we've quaintly termed "cyberspace,"
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这个我们称之为“网络空间”的地方,
08:34
isn't defined by ones and zeroes,
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起决定作用的并非0和1,
08:36
but by information and the people behind it.
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而是信息和信息背后的人。
08:40
This is far more than a network of computers and devices.
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它并不只是电脑和其他设备组成。
08:43
This is a network composed of minds
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它是由与电脑等设备交互的
08:46
interacting with computers and devices.
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无数人组成的网络。
08:50
And for this network,
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对于这样的网络,
08:54
there's no encryption, there's no firewall,
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没有加密,没有防火墙,
08:57
no two-factor authentication,
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没有双重认证,
08:59
no password complex enough to protect you.
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没有复杂的密码保护你。
09:03
What you have for defense
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能保护你的,
09:05
is far stronger, it's more adaptable, it's always running the latest version.
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更为强大,更易于更新, 永远都是最新版本。
09:11
It's the ability to think critically:
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那就是批判性思维:
09:14
call out falsehood,
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揭穿谎言,
09:15
press for the facts.
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逼近事实。
09:18
And above all, you must have the courage
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但首先,你必须要有勇气
09:22
to unflinchingly pursue the truth.
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不懈地追寻真相。
09:27
(Applause)
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(掌声)
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