Bill Ford: A future beyond traffic gridlock

62,044 views ・ 2011-06-20

TED


Please double-click on the English subtitles below to play the video.

Prevodilac: Bojan Kostic Lektor: Ivana Korom
00:15
By birth and by choice,
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Rođenjem i svojim izborom,
00:17
I've been involved with the auto industry my entire life,
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uključen sam u automobilsku industriju čitav svoj život,
00:20
and for the past 30 years,
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i poslednjih 30 godina,
00:22
I've worked at Ford Motor Company.
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radim za Ford Motor kompaniju.
00:24
And for most of those years,
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Veći deo ovih godina
00:26
I worried about,
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brinuo sam o tome
00:28
how am I going to sell more cars and trucks?
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kako da ću prodam što vise automobila i kamiona?
00:30
But today I worry about,
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Ali danas brinem o tome
00:32
what if all we do is sell more cars and trucks?
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šta ako je sve što mi radimo prodaja što više automobila i kamiona?
00:34
What happens
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Šta se dešava
00:36
when the number of vehicles on the road doubles, triples,
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kada se broj vozila na putevima udvostruči, utrostruči
00:39
or even quadruples?
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ili čak učetvorostruči?
00:41
My life is guided by two great passions,
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U životu me vode dve velike strasti,
00:44
and the first is automobiles.
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a prva su automobili.
00:46
I literally grew up with the Ford Motor Company.
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Ja sam bukvalno odrastao sa Ford Motor kompanijom.
00:48
I thought it was so cool as a little boy
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Kao dečak sam mislio da je jako zanimljivo
00:50
when my dad would bring home the latest Ford or Lincoln
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kada je moj otac dovozio najnovije Ford ili Linkoln automobile
00:53
and leave it in the driveway.
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i parkirao ih na prilazu kući.
00:55
And I decided about that time, about age 10,
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Otprilike sam tada odlučio, sa oko 10 godina,
00:58
that it would be really cool if I was a test driver.
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da bi bilo stvarno zanimljivo da sam test vozač.
01:01
So my parents would go to dinner.
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Moji roditelji su jednom otišli da večeraju.
01:03
They'd sit down; I'd sneak out of the house.
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Oni su seli; ja sam se iskrao iz kuće.
01:06
I'd jump behind the wheel and take the new model around the driveway,
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Uskočio sam za volan i vozio novi model po prilazu,
01:09
and it was a blast.
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i to je bilo strava.
01:11
And that went on for about two years,
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To je trajalo oko dve godine,
01:13
until -- I think I was about 12 --
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dok, mislim da sam imao oko 12 godina,
01:15
my dad brought home
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moj otac nije dovezao kući
01:17
a Lincoln Mark III.
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Linkoln Mark III.
01:19
And it was snowing that day.
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Sneg je padao toga dana.
01:21
So he and mom went to dinner,
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On i mama su otišli da večeraju,
01:24
and I snuck out
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a ja sam se iskrao napolje
01:26
and thought it'd be really cool to do donuts
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i pomislio da bi stvarno bilo zanimljivo da pravim krugove
01:28
or even some figure-eights in the snow.
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ili osmice u snegu.
01:30
My dad finished dinner early that evening.
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Te večeri je moj otac ranije završio večeru.
01:32
And he was walking to the front hall
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Hodao je do ulaznog hodnika
01:34
and out the front door
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i kroz ulazna vrata
01:36
just about the same time I hit some ice
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u isto vreme kada sam naleteo na led
01:38
and met him at the front door with the car --
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i sreo ga ispred ulaznih vrata sa kolima,
01:41
and almost ended up in the front hall.
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i skoro završio u ulaznom hodniku.
01:43
So it kind of cooled my test-driving for a little while.
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Tako da me je to malo ohladilo za test vožnju na neko vreme.
01:46
But I really began to love cars then.
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Ali sam tada stvarno počeo da volim automobile.
01:49
And my first car was a 1975 electric-green Mustang.
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Moj prvi automobil je bio električno-zeleni Mustang iz 1975. godine.
01:54
And even though the color was pretty hideous,
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Iako je boja bila prilično ružna,
01:56
I did love the car,
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ja sam voleo taj automobil
01:58
and it really cemented my love affair with cars
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i to je stvarno učvrsilo moju ljubav prema kolima
02:00
that's continued on to this day.
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koja je nastavljena do danas.
02:03
But cars are really more than a passion of mine;
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Ali automobili su stvarno više nego moja strast;
02:06
they're quite literally in my blood.
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oni su bukvalno u mojoj krvi.
02:09
My great grandfather was Henry Ford,
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Moj pradeda je bio Henri Ford,
02:12
and on my mother's side,
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a sa majčine strane,
02:14
my great grandfather was Harvey Firestone.
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moj pradeda je bio Harvi Fajerston.
02:16
So when I was born,
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Kada sam se rodio,
02:18
I guess you could say expectations were kind of high for me.
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pretpostavljam da se može reći da su očekivanja bila velika za mene.
02:22
But my great grandfather, Henry Ford,
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Ali moj pradeda, Henri Ford,
02:24
really believed that the mission of the Ford Motor Company
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je stvarno verovao da je misija Ford Motor kompanije
02:26
was to make people's lives better
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da učini živote ljudima boljim
02:28
and make cars affordable so that everyone could have them.
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i da učini automobile priuštivim tako da bi svako mogao da ih ima.
02:31
Because he believed that with mobility
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To je zato što je verovao da sa mobilnošću
02:34
comes freedom and progress.
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dolazi sloboda i progres.
02:36
And that's a belief that I share.
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To je verovanje koje i ja delim.
02:39
My other great passion is the environment.
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Moja druga velika strast je životna sredina.
02:42
And as a young boy, I used to go up to Northern Michigan
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Kao mladi dečak, išao sam do severnog Mičigena
02:45
and fish in the rivers that Hemingway fished in
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i pecao u rekama u kojima je Hemingvej pecao
02:48
and then later wrote about.
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i kasnije pisao o tome.
02:51
And it really struck me
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I to me je jako pogodilo
02:53
as the years went by,
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kako su godine prolazile,
02:55
in a very negative way,
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na veoma negativan način,
02:57
when I would go to some stream that I'd loved,
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kada bih išao na neki potok koji sam voleo
02:59
and was used to walking through this field
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i šetao kroz neko polje
03:01
that was once filled with fireflies,
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koje je nekad bilo ispunjeno svicima,
03:03
and now had a strip mall or a bunch of condos on it.
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a sada ima tržni centar ili gomilu kuća na njemu.
03:06
And so even at a young age,
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Čak i u ranim godinama,
03:08
that really resonated with me,
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ovo je ostavilo na mene utisak
03:10
and the whole notion of environmental preservation,
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i shvatio sam ideju očuvanja životne sredine,
03:13
at a very basic level, sunk in with me.
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na veoma osnovnom nivou.
03:16
As a high-schooler, I started to read
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Kao srednjoškolac, počeo sam da čitam
03:18
authors like Thoreau and Aldo Leopold
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autore kao što su Toro i Aldo Leopold
03:21
and Edward Abbey,
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i Edvard Ebi
03:23
and I really began to develop
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i stvarno sam počeo
03:25
a deeper appreciation of the natural world.
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dublje da cenim prirodni svet.
03:28
But it never really occurred to me
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Ali nikada mi nije palo na pamet
03:30
that my love of cars and trucks
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da će moja ljubav prema automobilima i kamionima
03:34
would ever be in conflict with nature.
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ikada biti u konfliktu sa prirodom.
03:37
And that was true
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I to je bilo istina
03:39
until I got to college.
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dok nisam krenuo na fakultet.
03:41
And when I got to college, you can imagine my surprise
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Kada sam krenuo na fakultet, možete zamisliti moje iznenađenje
03:44
when I would go to class
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kada bih otišao na čas
03:46
and a number of my professors would say
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i brojni moji profesori bi rekli
03:49
that Ford Motor Company and my family
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da je Ford Motor kompanija i moja familija
03:51
was everything that was wrong with our country.
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sve što je pogrešno sa našom zemljom.
03:55
They thought that we were more interested, as an industry,
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Oni su mislili da smo mi, kao industrija, bili više zainteresovani
03:58
in profits, rather than progress,
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za profit nego za progres
04:00
and that we filled the skies with smog --
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i da smo ispunili nebo smogom -
04:04
and frankly, we were the enemy.
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i iskreno, mi smo bili neprijatelj.
04:06
I joined Ford after college,
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Pridružio sam se Fordu posle fakulteta,
04:08
after some soul searching
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posle malo preispitivanja
04:10
whether or not this is really the right thing to do.
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da li je ili nije ovo ispravna stvar da uradim.
04:13
But I decided that I wanted to go
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Ali sam odlučio da želim da odem
04:15
and see if I could affect change there.
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i vidim da li mogu tamo da utičem na promene.
04:17
And as I look back over 30 years ago,
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Kada pogledam 30 godina unazad,
04:20
it was a little naive to think at that age
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bilo je malo naivno što sam verovao u tim godinama
04:22
that I could. But I wanted to.
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da mogu. Ali sam želeo da verujem.
04:24
And I really discovered
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I stvarno sam otkrio
04:26
that my professors weren't completely wrong.
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da profesori nisu sasvim pogrešili.
04:28
In fact, when I got back to Detroit,
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U stvari, kada sam se vratio u Detroit,
04:30
my environmental leanings weren't exactly embraced
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moji pogledi na životnu sredinu nisu sasvim prihvaćeni
04:33
by those in my own company,
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od onih u mojoj sopstvenoj kompaniji,
04:35
and certainly by those in the industry.
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i pogotovo od onih ljudi iz industrije.
04:37
I had some very interesting conversations,
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. Imao sam nekoliko veoma zanimljivih razgovora,
04:39
as you can imagine.
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kao sto možete da zamislite.
04:41
There were some within Ford
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Postojali su ljudi u Fordu
04:43
who believed that all this ecological nonsense
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koji su verovali da sva ta ekološka besmislica
04:46
should just disappear
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treba jednostavno da nestane
04:48
and that I needed to stop hanging out
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i da ja treba da prestanem da se družim
04:50
with "environmental wackos."
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sa "zaluđenicima za životnu sredinu".
04:53
I was considered a radical.
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Smatrali su da sam radikalan.
04:55
And I'll never forget the day I was called in by a member of top management
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Nikada neću zaboraviti dan kada me je pozvao član vrhovnog menadžmenta
04:58
and told to stop associating
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i rekao mi da prestanem da se družim
05:00
with any known or suspected environmentalists.
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sa bilo kojim poznatim ili mogućim ekolozima.
05:03
(Laughter)
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(Smeh)
05:07
Of course, I had no intention of doing that,
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Naravno, nisam imao nameru to da radim,
05:10
and I kept speaking out about the environment,
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i nastavio sam slobodno da pričam o životnoj sredini
05:12
and it really was the topic
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i to je bila tema
05:14
that we now today call sustainability.
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koju danas nazivamo održivost.
05:16
And in time, my views went from controversial
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Vremenom su moji pogledi promenjeni sa kontroverznih
05:19
to more or less consensus today.
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na više ili manje danas saglasnim.
05:21
I mean, I think most people in the industry
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Mislim da većina ljudi u industriji
05:23
understand that we've got to get on with it.
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shvata da moramo da počnemo sa tim.
05:25
And the good news is today we are tackling the big issues,
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Dobra vest je da se danas borimo sa velikim problemima,
05:28
of cars and the environment --
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vezanim za automobile i životnu sredinu –
05:30
not only at Ford, but really as an industry.
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ne samo u Fordu, već stvarno kao industrija.
05:33
We're pushing fuel efficiency to new heights.
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Postavljamo efikasnost goriva na nove visine.
05:36
And with new technology,
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Uz pomoć nove tehnologije,
05:38
we're reducing -- and I believe, someday we'll eliminate --
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smanjujemo – i verujem da ćemo jednog dana eliminisati –
05:41
CO2 emissions.
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emisije CO2.
05:43
We're starting to sell electric cars, which is great.
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Počinjemo sa prodajom električnih automobila, što je odlično.
05:46
We're developing alternative powertrains
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Razvijamo alternativne moćne vozove
05:48
that are going to make cars affordable
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koji će učiniti automobile priuštivim
05:50
in every sense of the word --
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u svakom smislu te reči –
05:53
economically, socially
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ekonomski, društveno
05:55
and environmentally.
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i ekološki.
05:57
And actually, although we've got a long way to go
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Iako nas čeka dug put
05:59
and a lot of work to do,
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i dosta toga da uradimo,
06:01
I can see the day where my two great passions --
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mogu da vidim dan kada dve moje velike strasti –
06:04
cars and the environment --
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automobili i životna sredina –
06:06
actually come into harmony.
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dolaze u harmoniju.
06:08
But unfortunately,
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Ali nažalost,
06:10
as we're on our way to solving one monstrous problem --
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dok smo na putu da rešimo jedan ogroman problem –
06:12
and as I said, we're not there yet; we've got a lot of work to do,
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i kao što sam rekao, još uvek nismo tamo; treba još dosta posla da uradimo,
06:15
but I can see where we will --
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ali mogu da vidim gde ćemo biti –
06:17
but even as we're in the process of doing that,
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ali čak iako smo u procesu rađenja toga,
06:20
another huge problem is looming,
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još jedan ogroman problem se naslućuje,
06:22
and people aren't noticing.
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a ljudi to ne primećuju.
06:25
And that is the freedom of mobility
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To je da je sloboda mobilnosti
06:27
that my great grandfather brought to people
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koju je moj pradeda doneo ljudima
06:29
is now being threatened, just as the environment is.
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sada ugrožena, kao i što je ugrožena životna sredina.
06:32
The problem, put in its simplest terms,
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Problem je, jednostavno rečeno,
06:35
is one of mathematics.
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matematičke prirode.
06:37
Today there are approximately 6.8 billion people in the world,
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Danas ima oko 6,8 milijardi ljudi na svetu,
06:41
and within our lifetime, that number's going to grow
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i do kraja naših života, taj broj će porasti
06:43
to about nine billion.
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na oko 9 milijardi.
06:45
And at that population level,
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Sa tim brojem ljudi,
06:47
our planet will be dealing with the limits of growth.
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naša planeta će se boriti sa granicama rasta.
06:50
And with that growth
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Sa tim rastom
06:52
comes some severe practical problems,
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dolazi nekoliko ozbiljnih praktičnih problema,
06:55
one of which is our transportation system
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a jedan od njih je da saobraćajni sistem
06:58
simply won't be able to deal with it.
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jednostavno neće biti u mogućnosti da se izbori sa tim.
07:01
When we look at the population growth in terms of cars,
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Kada pogledamo povećanje broja ljudi u pogledu automobila,
07:03
it becomes even clearer.
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to postaje još jasnije.
07:05
Today there are about 800 million cars on the road worldwide.
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Danas postoji oko 800 miliona automobila na putevima širom sveta.
07:08
But with more people
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Ali sa više ljudi
07:10
and greater prosperity around the world,
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i većim prosperitetom širom sveta,
07:12
that number's going to grow
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taj broj će se povećati
07:14
to between two and four billion cars by mid century.
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na između 2 i 4 milijarde automobila do sredine veka.
07:17
And this is going to create the kind of global gridlock
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To će stvoriti jednu vrstu globalnog zagušenja
07:20
that the world has never seen before.
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koju svet nikada ranije nije video.
07:23
Now think about the impact
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Sada pomislite na uticaj
07:25
that this is going to have on our daily lives.
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koji će ovo imati na naš svakodnevni zivot.
07:27
Today the average American
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Danas prosečan Amerikanac
07:29
spends about a week a year
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potroši oko nedelju dana godišnje
07:31
stuck in traffic jams,
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zaglavljen u saobraćajnim gužvama,
07:33
and that's a huge waste of time and resources.
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a to je ogromno rasipanje vremena i resursa.
07:36
But that's nothing compared
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Ali to nije ništa u poređenju
07:38
to what's going on
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s tim šta se dešava
07:40
in the nations that are growing the fastest.
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sa zemljama koje se najbrže razvijaju.
07:42
Today the average driver in Beijing
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Danas prosečan vozač u Pekingu
07:44
has a five-hour commute.
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provede 5 sati u prevozu za posao.
07:47
And last summer -- many of you probably saw this --
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Prošlog leta – mnogi od vas su verovatno videli ovo –
07:50
there was a hundred-mile traffic jam
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postojao je saobraćajni zastoj od 170 km
07:53
that took 11 days to clear in China.
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u Kini i trebalo je 11 dana da se raščisti.
07:56
In the decades to come,
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U narednim decenijama,
07:58
75 percent of the world's population
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75 procenata svetskog stanovništva
08:00
will live in cities,
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će živeti u gradovima,
08:02
and 50 of those cities
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a 50 od tih gradova
08:04
will be of 10 million people or more.
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će biti sa 10 ili više miliona ljudi.
08:07
So you can see the size of the issue that we're facing.
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Tako da možete videti veličinu problema sa kojim se suočavamo.
08:10
When you factor in population growth,
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Kada se uračuna rast stanovništva,
08:13
it's clear that the mobility model that we have today
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jasno je da model mobilnosti koji imamo danas
08:16
simply will not work tomorrow.
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jednostavno neće funkcionisati sutra.
08:18
Frankly, four billion clean cars on the road
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Iskreno, 4 milijarde čistih automobila na putevima
08:21
are still four billion cars,
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je još uvek 4 milijarde automobila,
08:23
and a traffic jam with no emissions
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a saobraćajna gužva bez emisija
08:26
is still a traffic jam.
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je još uvek saobraćajna gužva.
08:29
So, if we make no changes today,
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Dakle, ako ne napravimo promene danas,
08:32
what does tomorrow look like?
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kako će izgledati sutra?
08:34
Well I think you probably already have the picture.
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Mislim da verovatno već imate sliku.
08:37
Traffic jams are just a symptom of this challenge,
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Saobraćajne gužve su samo simptom ovog izazova,
08:39
and they're really very, very inconvenient,
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i one su stvarno veoma, veoma nepogodne,
08:41
but that's all they are.
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ali to je sve što one predstavljaju.
08:43
But the bigger issue
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Ali veći problem
08:45
is that global gridlock
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je da će globalno zagušenje
08:47
is going to stifle economic growth
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sprečiti ekonomski rast
08:49
and our ability to deliver
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i našu sposobnost da isporučimo
08:51
food and health care,
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hranu i zdravstvenu negu,
08:53
particularly to people that live in city centers.
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posebno ljudima koji žive u centrima gradova.
08:56
And our quality of life is going to be severely compromised.
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Naš kvalitet života će biti ozbiljno ugrožen.
09:00
So what's going to solve this?
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Koje je rešenje za ovako nesto?
09:02
Well the answer isn't going to be more of the same.
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Odgovor neće biti u istom pravcu.
09:05
My great grandfather once said
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Moj pradeda je jednom rekao
09:08
before he invented the Model T,
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pre nego što je izumeo Model T,
09:10
"If I had asked people then what they wanted,
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“Da sam tada pitao ljude šta žele,
09:12
they would have answered,
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oni bi odgovorili
09:14
'We want faster horses.'"
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“Mi želimo brže konje.””
09:16
So the answer to more cars
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Tako da odgovor na više automobila
09:18
is simply not to have more roads.
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jednostavno nije imati više puteva.
09:21
When America began moving west,
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Kada je Amerika počela da se kreće na zapad,
09:23
we didn't add more wagon trains,
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mi nismo dodavali više karavana,
09:25
we built railroads.
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mi smo izgradili pruge.
09:27
And to connect our country after World War II,
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I da bismo povezali našu zemlju posle Drugog svetskog rata,
09:29
we didn't build more two-lane highways,
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nismo gradili više dvotračnih puteva,
09:32
we built the interstate highway system.
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izgradili smo međudržavni sistem autoputeva.
09:34
Today we need that same leap in thinking
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Danas nam je potreban taj isti skok u razmišljanju
09:37
for us to create a viable future.
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da bismo kreirali održivu budućnost.
09:40
We are going to build smart cars,
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Napravićemo pametne automobile,
09:42
but we also need to build
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ali takođe moramo da napravimo
09:44
smart roads, smart parking,
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pametne puteve, pametno parkiranje,
09:46
smart public transportation systems and more.
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pametne sisteme javnog prevoza i više od toga.
09:49
We don't want to waste our time
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Mi ne želimo da trošimo naše vreme
09:51
sitting in traffic, sitting at tollbooths
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čekajući u saobraćaju, čekajući na naplatnim rampama
09:53
or looking for parking spots.
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ili tražeći mesto za parkiranje.
09:56
We need an integrated system
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Potreban nam je integrisani sistem
09:58
that uses real time data
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koji koristi podatke iz realnog vremena
10:00
to optimize personal mobility on a massive scale
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za optimizaciju lične mobilnosti na ogromnoj razmeri
10:03
without hassle or compromises for travelers.
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bez neprilika ili kompromisa za putnike.
10:06
And frankly, that's the kind of system
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Iskreno, to je tip sistema
10:08
that's going to make the future of personal mobility sustainable.
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koji će napraviti budućnost lične mobilnosti održivom.
10:12
Now the good news is some of this work has already begun
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Dobra vest je da se sa nečim od ovoga već započelo
10:15
in different parts of the world.
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u različitim delovima sveta.
10:17
The city of Masdar in Abu Dhabi
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Grad Masdar u Abu Dabiju
10:20
uses driverless electric vehicles
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koristi električna vozila bez vozača
10:22
that can communicate with one another,
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koja mogu međusobno da komuniciraju,
10:24
and they go underneath the city streets.
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i oni se kreću ispod gradskih ulica.
10:27
And up above, you've got a series of pedestrian walkways.
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A iznad postoji niz pešačkih staza.
10:30
On New York City's 34th Street,
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U 34. ulici u Njujorku,
10:32
gridlock will soon be replaced
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zastoji će uskoro biti zamenjeni
10:34
with a connected system
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povezanim sistemom
10:36
of vehicle-specific corridors.
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posebnih koridora za vozila.
10:39
Pedestrian zones and dedicated traffic lanes are going to be created,
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Pešačke zone i rezervisane saobraćajne trake će biti napravljene,
10:42
and all of this will cut down the average rush hour commute
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i sve će ovo smanjiti prosečan vršni čas
10:45
to get across town in New York
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za kretanje kroz Njujork
10:47
from about an hour today at rush hour
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od jednog sata u vršnom času
10:49
to about 20 minutes.
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na oko 20 minuta.
10:51
Now if you look at Hong Kong,
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Ako pogledate Hong Kong,
10:53
they have a very interesting system called Octopus there.
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oni imaju veoma interesantan sistem zvani Oktopus.
10:56
It's a system that really ties together
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To je sistem koji stvarno obuhvata
10:58
all the transportation assets
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sve saobraćajne elemente
11:00
into a single payment system.
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u jedinstven sistem naplate.
11:02
So parking garages, buses, trains,
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Tako parking garaže, autobusi, vozovi,
11:05
they all operate within the same system.
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svi funkcionišu unutar istog sistema.
11:08
Now shared car services
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Sada se zajednička upotreba automobila
11:10
are also springing up around the world,
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takođe aktivira širom sveta,
11:12
and these efforts, I think, are great.
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i ja mislim da su ovakvi napori odlični.
11:14
They're relieving congestion,
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Oni smanjuju zagušenje,
11:16
and they're frankly starting to save some fuel.
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a i stvarno počinju da štede gorivo.
11:18
These are all really good ideas
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Ovo su stvarno dobre ideje
11:20
that will move us forward.
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koje će nas pokrenuti napred.
11:22
But what really inspires me
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Ali ono što me stvarno inspiriše
11:24
is what's going to be possible
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je šta će biti moguće
11:26
when our cars can begin talking to each other.
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kada naši automobili počnu međusobno da govore.
11:28
Very soon, the same systems that we use today
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Vrlo uskoro, isti sistemi koji se koriste danas
11:31
to bring music and entertainment
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da omoguće i muziku i zabavu
11:33
and GPS information into our vehicles
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i GPS informacije u našim vozilima
11:36
are going to be used to create
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će se koristiti za kreiranje
11:38
a smart vehicle network.
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pametne mreže vozila.
11:40
Every morning I drive about 30 miles
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Svakog jutra vozim oko 50 km
11:42
from my home in Ann Arbor to my office in Dearborn, Michigan.
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od moje kuće u An Arboru do moje kancelarije u Derbornu u Mičigenu.
11:45
And every night I go home,
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I svake večeri kada se vraćam kući,
11:47
my commute is a total crapshoot.
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moje putovanje je potpuna katastrofa.
11:49
And I often have to leave the freeway
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Često moram da napustim autoput
11:51
and look for different ways
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i tražim različite načine
11:53
for me to try and make it home.
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da pokušam da dođem do kuće.
11:55
But very soon we're going to see the days
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Ali vrlo uskoro ćemo dočekati dane
11:57
when cars are essentially talking to each other.
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kada u suštini vozila međusobno pričaju.
12:00
So if the car ahead of me on I-94 hits traffic,
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Tako da ako vozilo ispred mene na putu I-95 naiđe na zastoje,
12:03
it will immediately alert my car
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ono će odmah upozoriti moje vozilo
12:06
and tell my car to reroute itself
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i reći mom vozilu da pronađe drugi put
12:08
to get me home in the best possible way.
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da me doveze do kuće na najbolji način.
12:11
And these systems are being tested right now,
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Ovi sistemi se baš sada testiraju,
12:13
and frankly they're going to be ready for prime time pretty soon.
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i biće spremni za prvu upotrebu veoma uskoro.
12:17
But the potential of a connected car network
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Potencijal povezane mreže automobila
12:20
is almost limitless.
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je skoro neograničen.
12:22
So just imagine:
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Samo zamislite:
12:24
one day very soon,
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uskoro jednog dana,
12:26
you're going to be able to plan a trip downtown
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bićete u mogućnosti da planirate putovanje u centar grada
12:28
and your car will be connected to a smart parking system.
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i vaš automobil će biti povezan na pametan sistem parkiranja.
12:31
So you get in your car,
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Uđete u svoj automobil,
12:33
and as you get in your car,
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i čim uđete u svoj automobil,
12:35
your car will reserve you a parking spot before you arrive --
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on će vam rezervisati parking mesto pre nego što stignete –
12:38
no more driving around looking for one,
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nema više vozikanja okolo tražeći parking mesto,
12:40
which frankly is one of the biggest users of fuel
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što je jedan od najvećih potrošača goriva
12:43
in today's cars in urban areas --
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u današnjim automobilima u gradskoj sredini –
12:45
is looking for parking spots.
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traženje parking mesta.
12:47
Or think about being in New York City
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Ili zamislite da ste u Njujorku
12:49
and tracking down an intelligent cab on your smart phone
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i pratite inteligentni taksi na svom pametnom telefonu
12:52
so you don't have to wait in the cold to hail one.
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tako da ne morate da čekate na hladnoći da dozovete jednog.
12:56
Or being at a future TED Conference
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Ili da ste na budućoj TED konferenciji
12:58
and having your car
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i vaš automobil
13:00
talk to the calendars of everybody here
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priča sa redom prezentacija svih ovde
13:02
and telling you all the best route to take home
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i govori vam najbolju rutu za povratak kući
13:04
and when you should leave
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i kada treba da krenete
13:06
so that you can all arrive at your next destination on time.
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tako da svi možete da stignete do svog sledećeg odredišta na vreme.
13:09
This is the kind of technology
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Ovo je vrsta tehnologije
13:11
that will merge millions of individual vehicles
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koja će spojiti milione individualnih vozila
13:14
into a single system.
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u jedinstveni sistem.
13:16
So I think it's clear we have the beginnings of a solution
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Mislim da je jasno da imamo početke rešenja
13:19
to this enormous problem.
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za ovaj ogromni problem.
13:22
But as we found out with addressing CO2 issues,
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Ali kako počinjemo sa utvrđivanjem problema sa CO2,
13:25
and also fossil fuels,
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a takođe i sa fosilnim gorivima,
13:27
there is no one silver bullet.
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ne postoji jednostavno rešenje.
13:29
The solution is not going to be
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Rešenje neće biti
13:31
more cars, more roads or a new rail system;
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više automobila, više puteva ili novi železnički sistem;
13:34
it can only be found, I believe,
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rešenje se jedino može naći, verujem,
13:36
in a global network
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u globalnoj mreži
13:38
of interconnected solutions.
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međusobno povezanih rešenja.
13:40
Now I know we can develop the technology
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znam da možemo razviti tehnologiju
13:42
that's going to make this work,
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koja će omogućiti da ovo funkcioniše,
13:44
but we've got to be willing to get out there
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ali moramo da budemo uporni da dođemo do toga
13:46
and seek out the solutions --
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i pronađemo rešenja –
13:48
whether that means vehicle sharing or public transportation
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bilo da je to zajednička upotreba vozila ili javni prevoz
13:51
or some other way we haven't even thought of yet;
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ili neki drugi način o kome još nismo ni razmišljali;
13:54
our overall transportation-mix and infrastructure
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naša sveukupna saobraćajna rešenja i infrastruktura
13:57
must support all the future options.
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moraju da podrže sve buduće opcije.
14:00
We need our best and our brightest
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Potrebni su najbolji i najpametniji od nas
14:02
to start entertaining this issue.
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da počnemo da se suočavamo sa ovim pitanjem.
14:04
Companies, entrepreneurs, venture capitalists,
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Kompanije, preduzetnici, smeli kapitalisti,
14:07
they all need to understand
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svi oni treba da shvate
14:09
this is a huge business opportunity,
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da je ovo velika poslovna prilika,
14:11
as well as an enormous social problem.
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kao i ogromni društveni problem.
14:13
And just as these groups
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I kada ove grupe
14:15
embrace the green energy challenge --
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prihvate izazov zelene energije –
14:18
and it's really been amazing to me to watch
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stvarno je zanimljivo za mene da gledam
14:20
how much brain power, how much money
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koliko moći mozga, koliko novca
14:23
and how much serious thought
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i koliko ozbiljnih zamisli
14:25
has, really over the last three years,
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je, tokom poslednje tri godine,
14:27
just poured into the green energy field.
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uloženo na polju zelene energije.
14:29
We need that same kind of passion and energy
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Nama treba ista vrsta strasti i energije
14:32
to attack global gridlock.
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da napadnemo globalna zagušenja.
14:34
But we need people like all of you in this room,
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Ali nam trebaju ljudi kao što ste vi u ovoj prostoriji,
14:36
leading thinkers.
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vodeći mozgovi.
14:38
I mean, frankly, I need all of you
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Mislim, iskreno, treba svi vi
14:40
to think about how
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da mislite o tome kako
14:42
you can help solve this huge issue.
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vi možete doprineti da se reši ovaj ogroman problem.
14:44
And we need people from all walks of life;
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I trebaju nam ljudi iz svih sfera života,
14:46
not just inventors, we need policymakers
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ne samo pronalazači, trebaju nam kreatori politike
14:48
and government officials
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i zvaničnici vlada
14:50
to also think about how they're going to respond to this challenge.
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da takođe razmisle kako će oni da odgovore na ovaj izazov.
14:53
This isn't going to be solved
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Ovo se neće rešiti
14:55
by any one person or one group.
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pomoću jednog čoveka ili jedne grupe.
14:57
It's going to really require a national energy policy,
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To će stvarno zahtevati nacionalnu energetsku politiku,
15:00
frankly for each country,
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za svaku državu,
15:02
because the solutions in each country are going to be different
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zato što će rešenja u svakoj državi biti različita
15:05
based upon income levels, traffic jams
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na osnovu nivoa dohotka, saobraćajnih gužvi
15:08
and also how integrated
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i koliko su sistemi
15:10
the systems already are.
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integrisani sada.
15:12
But we need to get going, and we need to get going today.
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Moramo da krenemo sa tim i moramo da krenemo sa tim danas.
15:15
And we must have an infrastructure
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Moramo da imamo infrastrukturu
15:17
that's designed to support
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koja je projektovana da podrži
15:19
this flexible future.
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ovu fleksibilnu budućnost.
15:21
You know, we've come a long way.
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Znate, prešli smo dug put.
15:23
Since the Model T,
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Pre Modela T,
15:25
most people never traveled
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većina ljudi nikada nije putovala
15:27
more than 25 miles from home in their entire lifetime.
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više od 40 km od kuće tokom celog svog života.
15:30
And since then,
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Od tada,
15:32
the automobile has allowed us the freedom
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automobil nam je omogućio slobodu
15:34
to choose where we live, where we work,
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izbora gde ćemo da živimo, da radimo,
15:36
where we play
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gde ćemo da se igramo
15:38
and frankly when we just go out and want to move around.
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i kada ćemo da izađemo napolje i želimo da se vozimo negde.
15:41
We don't want to regress and lose that freedom.
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Ne želimo da nazadujemo i izgubimo tu slobodu.
15:44
We're on our way to solving --
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Na putu smo za pronalaženje rešenja –
15:46
and as I said earlier, I know we've got a long way to go --
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i kao što sam rekao ranije, znam da nas čeka dug put –
15:48
the one big issue that we're all focused on that threatens it,
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za jedan veliki problem na koji se svi fokusiramo a koji ga ugrožava,
15:51
and that's the environmental issue,
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a to je pitanje životne sredine,
15:53
but I believe we all must turn
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ali verujem da svi moramo da uložimo
15:55
all of our effort and all of our ingenuity and determination
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sve napore i svu našu genijalnost i odlučnost
15:59
to help now solve this notion of global gridlock.
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da pomognemo rešavanju ovog globalnog zagušenja.
16:02
Because in doing so,
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Jer radeći to,
16:04
we're going to preserve what we've really come to take for granted,
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sačuvaćemo ono što stvarno uzimamo zdravo za gotovo,
16:07
which is the freedom to move
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što je sloboda kretanja
16:09
and move very effortlessly around the world.
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i lako kretanje širom sveta.
16:12
And it frankly will enhance our quality of life
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To će stvarno unaprediti naš kvalitet života
16:14
if we fix this.
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ako ga popravimo.
16:16
Because, if you can envision, as I do,
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Ako možete da zamislite, kao što ja to radim,
16:19
a future of zero emissions
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budućnost nulte emisije
16:21
and freedom to move around the country and around the world
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i slobodu kretanja širom zemlje i sveta
16:24
like we take for granted today,
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što danas uzimamo zdravo za gotovo,
16:26
that's worth the hard work today
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vredno je mukotrpnog rada danas
16:28
to preserve that for tomorrow.
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zbog njihovog očuvanja za sutra.
16:30
I believe we're at our best
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Verujem da dajemo najbolje od sebe
16:32
when we're confronted with big issues.
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kada smo suočeni sa velikim problemima.
16:34
This is a big one, and it won't wait.
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Ovo jeste veliki problem i on neće da čeka.
16:36
So let's get started now.
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Zato hajde da počnemo danas.
16:38
Thank you.
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Hvala.
16:40
(Applause)
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(Aplauz)
About this website

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