A glimpse of the future through an augmented reality headset | Meron Gribetz

Prevodilac: Milenka Okuka Lektor: Mile Živković

Today's computers are so amazing

Današnji kompjuteri su toliko fantastični

that we fail to notice how terrible they really are.

da ne priećujemo koliko su uistinu grozni.

I'd like to talk to you today about this problem,

Želeo bih danas da vam govorim o ovom problemu

and how we can fix it with neuroscience.

i kako možemo da ga popravimo uz pomoć neuronauke.

First, I'd like to take you back to a frosty night in Harlem in 2011

Prvo bih želeo da vas vratim u ledenu noć u Harlemu 2011.

that had a profound impact on me.

koja je ostavila dubok trag na meni.

I was sitting in a dive bar outside of Columbia University,

Sedeo sam u birtiji u blizini Univerziteta Kolumbija,

where I studied computer science and neuroscience,

gde sam studirao kompjuterske nauke i neuronauku

and I was having this great conversation with a fellow student

i vodio sam sjajan razgovor sa kolegom

about the power of holograms to one day replace computers.

o mogućnosti da će kompjutere jednog dana zameniti hologrami.

And just as we were getting to the best part of the conversation,

I kako smo se približavali najboljem delu razgovora,

of course, his phone lights up.

naravno, telefon mu je zasvetleo.

And he pulls it towards himself, and he looks down and he starts typing.

I on ga je primakao sebi, spustio pogled na njega i počeo da tipka.

And then he forces his eyeballs back up to mine and he goes,

A potom je na silu usmerio pogled nazad u mene i rekao:

"Keep going. I'm with you."

"Nastavi. Slušam te."

But of course his eyes were glazed over,

Ali naravno pogled mu je odlutao

and the moment was dead.

i trenutak je zamro.

Meanwhile across the bar,

Istovremeno sam u baru

I noticed another student holding his phone,

primetio drugog studenta kako drži telefon,

this time towards a group.

ovaj put usmeren ka grupi.

He was swiping through pictures on Instagram,

Pregledao je slike na Instagramu

and these kids were laughing hysterically.

i ovi klinci su se histerično smejali.

And that dichotomy between how crappy I was feeling

A ta dihotomija između toga kako sam se bezveze ja osećao

and how happy they were feeling about the same technology,

i kako su srećni oni bili zbog iste tehnologije,

really got me thinking.

me je navela na razmišljanje.

And the more I thought of it, the more I realized

A što sam više razmišljao, sve mi je jasnije bilo

it was clearly not the digital information that was the bad guy here,

da digitalna informacija nije bila negativac ovde,

it was simply the display position that was separating me from my friend

prosto me je položaj displeja razdvajao od mog prijatelja,

and that was binding those kids together.

a spajao je te klince.

See, they were connected around something,

Vidite, bili su povezani nečim,

just like our ancestors who evolved their social cognitions

baš kao što su naši preci razvili svoju društvenu spoznaju

telling stories around the campfire.

pričajući priče oko logorske vatre.

And that's exactly what tools should do, I think.

Mislim da bi upravo to trebalo da bude svrha oruđa.

They should extend our bodies.

Trebalo bi da produže naša tela.

And I think computers today are doing quite the opposite.

A mislim da današnji kompjuteri postižu suprotno.

Whether you're sending an email to your wife

Bilo da šaljete imejl svojoj supruzi

or you're composing a symphony

ili komponujete simfoniju

or just consoling a friend,

ili prosto tešite prijatelja,

you're doing it in pretty much the same way.

radite to na približno isti način.

You're hunched over these rectangles,

Pogrbljeni ste iznad ovih pravougaonika,

fumbling with buttons and menus and more rectangles.

napipavate tipke i menije i još pravougaonika.

And I think this is the wrong way,

Mislim da je ovo pogrešno,

I think we can start using a much more natural machine.

mislim da možemo da počnemo koristiti prirodnije mašine.

We should use machines that bring our work back into the world.

Trebalo bi da koristimo mašine koje vraćaju naš rad svetu.

We should use machines that use the principles of neuroscience

Trebalo bi da koristimo mašine koje koriste principe neuronauke

to extend our senses versus going against them.

da bi proširile naša čula, umesto što im se suprotstavljaju.

Now it just so happens that I have such a machine here.

Slučajno ovde imam takvu mašinu.

It's called the Meta 2.

Zove se meta 2.

Let's try it out.

Isprobajmo je.

Now in front of me right now, I can see the audience,

Sad, vidim publiku ispred sebe

and I can see my very hands.

i vidim sopstvene ruke.

And in three, two, one,

A za tri, dva, jedan,

we're going to see an immersive hologram appear,

videćemo kako se pojavljuje trodimenzionalni hologram,

preda mnom se pojavljuje veoma realističan hologram

a very realistic hologram appear in front of me,

of our very glasses I'm wearing on my head right now.

iz upravo ovih naočara koje su mi trenutno na glavi.

And of course this could be anything that we're shopping for

I, naravno, to može da bude bilo šta što kupujemo

or learning from,

ili izučavamo,

and I can use my hands

i mogu da koristim ruke

to very nicely kind of move it around with fine control.

da to prefinjenim pokretima pomeram, uz finu kontrolu.

And I think Iron Man would be proud.

I mislim da bi Gvozdeni čovek bio ponosan.

We're going to come back to this in just a bit.

Vratićemo se tome za kratko.

(Applause)

(Aplauz)

Now if you're anything like me, your mind is already reeling

Sad, ako ste slični meni, vaš mozak već titra

with the possibilities of what we can do with this kind of technology,

od mogućnosti koje pruža ovakva tehnologija,

pa, pogledajmo nekolike.

so let's look at a few.

My mom is an architect,

Moja majka je arhitektkinja,

so naturally the first thing I imagined

pa sam, logično, prvo zamislio

was laying out a building in 3D space

palniranje zgrade u 3D prostoru,

instead of having to use these 2D floor plans.

umesto korošćenja ovih 2D planova za spratove.

She's actually touching graphics right now

Ona zapravo upravo dodiruje grafiku

and selecting an interior decor.

i bira nameštaj za unutrašnjost.

This was all shot through a GoPro through our very glasses.

Sve ovo je snimljeno putem GoPro-a našim sopstvenim naočarima.

And this next use case is very personal to me,

A sledeći vid upotrebe doživljavam krajnje lično,

it's Professor Adam Gazzaley's glass brain project,

to je projekat staklenog mozga profesora Adama Gazaleja,

courtesy of UCSF.

ljubaznošću Univerziteta Kalifornija.

As a neuroscience student,

Kao student neuronauke,

I would always fantasize

oduvek sam maštao

about the ability to learn and memorize these complex brain structures

o mogućnosti učenja i memorisanja ovih složenih moždanih struktura

with an actual machine,

uz pomoć stvarne mašine,

where I could touch and play with the various brain structures.

gde bih mogao da dodirujem i da se igram raznim moždanim strukturama.

Now what you're seeing is called augmented reality,

Sad, ovo što vidite se naziva proširenom stvarnošću,

but to me, it's part of a much more important story --

ali, što se mene tiče, radi se o delu daleko važnije priče -

a story of how we can begin to extend our bodies with digital devices,

priče kako možemo početi da nadograđujemo naša tela digitalnim spravama,

instead of the other way around.

umesto što radimo obratno.

Now ...

Sad...

in the next few years, humanity's going to go through a shift, I think.

mislim da će u narednih nekoliko godina doći do preokreta u čovečanstvu.

We're going to start putting an entire layer of digital information

Počećemo da presvlačimo slojem digitalnih informacija

on the real world.

stvarni svet.

Just imagine for a moment

Samo zamislite na tren

what this could mean for storytellers,

šta bi ovo moglo da znači pripovedačima,

for painters,

slikarima,

for brain surgeons,

neurohirurzima,

for interior decorators

dekoraterima interiora,

and maybe for all of us here today.

a možda i svima nama koji smo danas ovde.

And what I think we need to do as a community,

A smatram da bismo kao zajednica

is really try and make an effort

zaista trebali da se potrudimo

to imagine how we can create this new reality

da zamislimo kako da stvorimo ovu novu stvarnost

in a way that extends the human experience,

tako da ona proširi naša ljudska iskustva,

instead of gamifying our reality

umesto što će da ih izveštači

or cluttering it with digital information.

ili zaguši digitalnim informacijama.

And that's what I'm very passionate about.

A to je moja strast.

Now, I want to tell you a little secret.

Sad, želim da vam odam malu tajnu.

In about five years --

Za oko pet godina -

this is not the smallest device --

ovo nije baš mali uređaj -

in about five years,

za oko pet godina,

these are all going to look like strips of glass on our eyes

ovo će da izgleda poput parčeta stakla na našim očima

that project holograms.

koje projektuje holograme.

And just like we don't care so much about which phone we buy

I baš kao što nas nije mnogo briga za to koji telefon kupujemo,

in terms of the hardware -- we buy it for the operating system --

po pitanju hardvera - kupujemo ih zbog operativnog sistema -

as a neuroscientist,

kao neuronaučnik,

I always dreamt of building the iOS of the mind, if you will.

oduvek sam sanjao o pravljenju operativnog sistema za um, ako hoćete.

And it's very, very important that we get this right,

I veoma, veoma je važno da to uradimo kako treba

because we might be living inside of these things

jer bismo mogli da živimo unutar ovih sprava

for at least as long as we've lived

bar onoliko koliko smo živeli

with the Windows graphical user interface.

sa Vindosovim korisničkim grafičkim interfejsom

And I don't know about you,

I ne znam za vas,

but living inside of Windows scares me.

ali život unutar Vindovsa me plaši.

(Laughter)

(Smeh)

To isolate the single most intuitive interface out of infinity,

Kako bismo dobili najintuitivniji interfejs od njih beskonačno,

we use neuroscience to drive our design guidelines,

puštamo neuronauku da upravlja našom dizajnerskom direktivom,

instead of letting a bunch of designers fight it out in the boardroom.

umesto da dozvolimo gomili dizajnera da se izbore za to na odborima.

And the principle we all revolve around

A princip oko koga se svi vrtimo

is what's called the "Neural Path of Least Resistance."

se zove: "Nervna linija manjeg otpora".

At every turn, we're connecting the iOS of the brain with our brain

U svakom slučaju, povezujemo OS mozga s našim mozgom,

on, for the first time, our brain's terms.

prvi put sledeći zakone mozga.

In other words, we're trying to create a zero learning-curve computer.

Drugim rečima, pokušavamo da napravimo kompjuter bez prepreka u učenju.

We're building a system that you've always known how to use.

Pravimo sistem koji oduvek znate da koristite.

Here are the first three design guidelines that we employ

Ovo su prve tri dizajnerske direktive koje koristimo

in this brand-new form of user experience.

u ovom potpuno novom korisničkom iskustvu.

First and foremost, you are the operating system.

Prvo i najvažnije, vi ste operativni sistem.

Traditional file systems are complex and abstract,

Tradicionalni sistemi dokumenata su složeni i apstraktni

and they take your brain extra steps to decode them.

i dodatno naprežu vaš mozak da biste ih dešifrovali.

We're going against the Neural Path of Least Resistance.

Suprotstavljamo se Nervnoj liniji manjeg otpora.

Meanwhile, in augmented reality,

U međuvremenu, u proširenoj stvarnosti,

you can of course place your holographic TED panel over here,

možete naravno da smestite svoj hologramski TED panel ovde,

and your holographic email on the other side of the desk,

a svoj hologramski imejl s druge strane stola,

and your spatial memory evolved just fine to go ahead and retrieve them.

a vaša prostorna memorija je savršeno evoluirala da bi ih povratila.

You could put your holographic Tesla that you're shopping for --

Možete da stavite hologram tesle kojeg želite da kupite -

or whatever model my legal team told me to put in right before the show.

ili bilo koji model koji mi je ekipa pravnika rekla da pokažem.

(Laughter)

(Smeh)

Perfect. And your brain knows exactly how to get it back.

Savršeno. A vaš mozak tačno zna kako da to vrati.

The second interface guideline we call "touch to see."

Drugo pravilo za interfejs zovemo "videti dodirom".

What do babies do when they see something that grabs their interest?

Šta bebe rade kada vide nešto što im zaokuplja pažnju?

They try and reach out and touch it.

Pokušavaju da to dosegnu i dodirnu.

And that's exactly how the natural machine should work as well.

I baš tako bi trebalo da prirodna mašina radi.

Turns out the visual system gets a fundamental boost

Ispostavlja se da vizuelni sistem dobija temeljnu podršku

from a sense we call proprioception --

od osećaja koji se zove propriocepcija -

that's the sense of our body parts in space.

to je svest o našim delovima tela u prostoru.

So by touching our work directly, we're not only going to control it better,

Pa direktnim dodirom našeg dela, ne samo da ćemo ga bolje kontrolisati,

we're also going to understand it much more deeply.

već ćemo ga i razumeti mnogo podrobnije.

Hence, touch to see.

Stoga, videćete dodirom.

But it's not enough to experience things ourselves.

Ali nije dovoljno da sami nešto iskusimo.

We're inherently these social primates.

Mi smo po prirodi društveni primati.

And this leads me to our third guideline,

A to me dovodi do treće direktive,

the holographic campfire from our first story.

hologramske logorske vatre iz naše prve priče.

Our mirror-neuron subsystem suggests

Naš podsistem neurona ogledala sugeriše

that we can connect with each other and with our work much better

da možemo mnogo bolje da se povežemo međusobno i s našim delom,

if we can see each other's faces and hands in 3D.

ako jedni drugima možemo da vidimo lica i ruke u 3D-u.

So if you look at the video behind me,

Pa, ako gledate snimak iza mene,

you can see two Meta users playing around with the same hologram,

možete da vidite dva korisnika mete kako se igraju istim hologramom,

making eye contact, connected around this thing,

kontaktiraju očima, povezuje ih ova stvar,

instead of being distracted by external devices.

umesto da ih ometaju spoljni uređaji.

Let's go ahead and try this again with neuroscience in mind.

Pokušajmo ovo opet, imajući u vidu neuronauku.

So again, our favorite interface, the iOS of the mind.

Dakle, opet, naš omiljeni interfejs, operativni sistem uma.

I'm going to now take a step further

Sada ću da odem korak dalje

and go ahead and grab this pair of glasses

i zgrabiću ovaj par naočara

and leave it right here by the desk.

i ostaviću ih baš ovde pored stola.

I'm now with you, I'm in the moment,

Tenutno sam s vama, prisutan sam,

we're connecting.

povezani smo.

My spatial memory kicks in, and I can go ahead and grab it

Moja prostorna memorija reaguje i mogu da ih uhvatim

and bring it right back here, reminding me

i da ih vratim tačno ovde, uz podsećanje

that I am the operating system.

da sam ja operativni sistem.

And now my proprioception is working,

A sad radi moja propriocepcija

and I can go ahead and explode these glasses into a thousand parts

i mogu da učinim da ove naočare eksplodiraju u hiljadu delova

and touch the very sensor that is currently scanning my hand.

i dodorujem sami senzor koji mi trenutno skenira ruku.

But it's not enough to see things alone,

Ali nije dovoljno samo videti stvari,

so in a second, my co-founder Ray is going to make a 3D call --

pa će za sekund moj saosnivač Rej da napravi 3D poziv -

Ray?

Rej?

(Ringing)

(Zvono)

Hey Ray, how's it going?

Hej Rej, šta ima?

Guys, I can see this guy in front me in full 3D.

Ljudi, vidim ovog momka pred sobom u 3D-u.

And he is photo-realistic.

I on je fotorealističan.

(Applause)

(Aplauz)

Thank you.

Hvala vam.

My mirror-neuron subsystem suggests that this is going to replace phones

Moj podsistem neurona ogledala sugeriše da će ovo da zameni telefone

in not too long.

uskoro.

Ray, how's it going?

Rej, kako si?

Ray: Great. We're live today.

Rej: Sjajno. Danas idemo uživo.

(Applause)

(Aplauz)

MG: Ray, give the crowd a gift

MG: Rej, pokloni publici

of the holographic brain we saw from the video earlier.

hologramski mozak koji smo malopre videli na snimku.

Guys, this is not only going to change phones,

Ljudi, ovo ne samo da će da promeni telefone,

it's also going to change the way we collaborate.

već će i da promeni način na koji sarađujemo.

Thank you so much.

Mnogo ti hvala.

Thanks, Ray.

Hvala, Rej.

Ray: You're welcome.

Rej: Nema na čemu.

(Applause)

(Aplauz)

MG: So folks, this is the message that I discovered in that bar in 2011:

MG: Dakle, ljudi, ovo je poruka koju sam otkrio u baru 2011:

The future of computers is not locked inside one of these screens.

budućnost kompjutera nije zarobljena unutar ovih ekrana.

It's right here, inside of us.

Ona je baš tu, unutar nas.

(Applause)

(Aplauz)

So if there's one idea that I could leave you with here today,

Pa, ako želim da izvučete neku pouku danas ovde,

it's that the natural machine is not some figment of the future,

to je da prirodna mašina nije nekakava izmšljotina iz budućnosti,

it's right here in 2016.

ona je ovde u 2016.

Which is why all hundred of us at Meta,

Zato ćemo svih stotinu nas iz Mete,

including the administrative staff,

uključujući administrativno osoblje,

the executives,

direktore,

the designers, the engineers --

dizajnere, inženjere -

before TED2017,

pre TED2017,

we're all going to be throwing away our external monitors

svi ćemo da pobacamo naše spoljne monitore

and replacing them with a truly and profoundly more natural machine.

i da ih zamenimo istinski i suštinski prirodnijom mašinom.

Thank you very much.

Mnogo vam hvala.

(Applause)

(Aplauz)

Thank you, appreciate it.

Hvala vam, zahvaljujem.

Thanks, guys.

Hvala, ljudi.

Chris Anderson: So help me out on one thing,

Kris Anderson: Dakle, pomozi mi oko jedne stvari

because there've been a few augmented reality demos

jer imali smo nekoliko demonstracija proširene stvarnosti

shown over the last year or so out there.

u protekloj godini, tako nešto.

And there's sometimes a debate among technologists

I ponekad imamo debatu među tehnolozima

about, are we really seeing the real thing on-screen?

o tome da li zaista vidimo pravu stvar na ekranu?

There's this issue of field of view,

Postoji pitanje vidnog polja,

that somehow the technology is showing a broader view

da nam tehnologija nekako pokazuje širi pogled

than you would actually see wearing the glasses.

nego što biste zapravo videli noseći naočare.

Were we seeing the real deal there?

Da li smo upravo videli pravu stvar?

MG: Absolutely the real deal.

MG: Apsolutno pravu stvar.

Not only that,

Ne samo to,

we took extra measures to shoot it with a GoPro through the actual lens

preduzeli smo dodatne mere i snimili GoPro-om kroz stvarno sočivo

in the various videos that you've seen here.

niz snimaka koje ste ovde videli.

We want to try to simulate the experience for the world

Želimo da pokušamo da simuliramo iskustvo sveta

that we're actually seeing through the glasses,

koje zapravo vidimo kroz naočare

and not cut any corners.

i da ne sečemo uglove.

CA: Thank you so much for showing us that.

KA: Mnogo ti hvala što si nam ovo pokazao.

MG: Thanks so much, I appreciate that.

MG: Mnogo vam hvala, zahvaljujem.