The next step in nanotechnology | George Tulevski

510,887 views ・ 2017-01-31

TED


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00:00
Translator: Leslie Gauthier Reviewer: Joanna Pietrulewicz
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Prevoditelj: Tilen Pigac - EFZG Recezent: Ivan Stamenković
00:12
Let's imagine a sculptor building a statue,
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Zamislimo kipara koji gradi skulpturu,
00:15
just chipping away with his chisel.
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razbijajući kamen svojim alatom.
Michelangelo je to elegantno opisao rekavši,
00:18
Michelangelo had this elegant way of describing it when he said,
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00:21
"Every block of stone has a statue inside of it,
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"Svaki komad kamena sadrži skulpturu u sebi,
a zadatak kipara je otkriti ju."
00:24
and it's the task of the sculptor to discover it."
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00:27
But what if he worked in the opposite direction?
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No, što ako bi radio u suprotnom smjeru?
00:29
Not from a solid block of stone,
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Ne iz čvrstog kamenog bloka,
00:31
but from a pile of dust,
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nego iz gomile prašine,
00:33
somehow gluing millions of these particles together to form a statue.
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spajajući na neki način milijune ovih čestica kako bi formirao skulpturu.
00:37
I know that's an absurd notion.
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Znam da je to apsurdna ideja.
00:39
It's probably impossible.
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Vjerojatno neizvediva.
Jedini način na koji možemo dobiti skulpturu iz prašine je
00:41
The only way you get a statue from a pile of dust
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00:43
is if the statue built itself --
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da se skulptura sama isklesa --
00:46
if somehow we could compel millions of these particles to come together
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kada bismo samo nekako mogli okupiti zajedno milijune ovih čestica
00:50
to form the statue.
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kako bi formirale skulpturu.
00:52
Now, as odd as that sounds,
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No, koliko god to čudno zvučalo,
00:53
that is almost exactly the problem I work on in my lab.
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upravo je to problem na kojem radim u svom laboratoriju.
Ne gradim kamenom,
00:58
I don't build with stone,
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00:59
I build with nanomaterials.
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gradim koristeći se nanomaterijalima.
01:00
They're these just impossibly small, fascinating little objects.
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Radi se o nevjerojatno sitnim, fascinantnim malenim stvarima.
01:05
They're so small that if this controller was a nanoparticle,
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Tako su maleni da kad bi ovaj upravljač bi nanočestica,
01:08
a human hair would be the size of this entire room.
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ljudska dlaka bila bi veličine ove sobe.
01:11
And they're at the heart of a field we call nanotechnology,
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Oni se nalaze u srcu nanotehnologije,
01:14
which I'm sure we've all heard about,
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za koju smo zasigurno svi čuli,
01:16
and we've all heard how it is going to change everything.
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i svi smo čuli kako će ona sve promijeniti.
01:19
When I was a graduate student,
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Kad sam bio na diplomskom studiju,
01:21
it was one of the most exciting times to be working in nanotechnology.
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bilo je to najuzbudljivije doba za rad u nanotehnologiji.
01:24
There were scientific breakthroughs happening all the time.
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Nova znanstvena otkrića bila su posvuda.
01:27
The conferences were buzzing,
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Konferencije su bile prepune,
01:29
there was tons of money pouring in from funding agencies.
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mnogo je novca stizalo iz fondova.
01:32
And the reason is
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Zato što,
kad objekti postanu jako mali,
01:34
when objects get really small,
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01:35
they're governed by a different set of physics that govern ordinary objects,
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njima upravljaju drugačiji zakoni koji upravljaju običnim objektima
01:39
like the ones we interact with.
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poput onih s kojim smo mi u kontaktu.
To nazivamo kvantnom mehanikom.
01:41
We call this physics quantum mechanics.
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Ona nam kaže da možemo utjecati na njihovo ponašanje
01:43
And what it tells you is that you can precisely tune their behavior
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01:46
just by making seemingly small changes to them,
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radeći naizgled male promjene na njima,
01:48
like adding or removing a handful of atoms,
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poput dodavanja ili oduzimanja atoma,
ili savijanja materijala.
01:51
or twisting the material.
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01:52
It's like this ultimate toolkit.
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To je poput najmoćnijeg alata.
01:54
You really felt empowered; you felt like you could make anything.
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Osjećate se pouzdano; osjećate se da možete napraviti bilošto.
01:57
And we were doing it --
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Mi smo se time bavili --
a pod mi mislim, čitava generacija diplomskog studija.
01:59
and by we I mean my whole generation of graduate students.
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02:02
We were trying to make blazing fast computers using nanomaterials.
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Pokušavali smo napraviti super brza računala koristeći nanomaterijale.
02:05
We were constructing quantum dots
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Stvarali smo kvantne točke
02:07
that could one day go in your body and find and fight disease.
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koje bi jednog dana u tijelu pronalazile i uništavale bolest.
02:10
There were even groups trying to make an elevator to space
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Postajale su i grupe koje su pokušavale napraviti dizalo u svemir
02:13
using carbon nanotubes.
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koristeći ugljične nanocijevi.
02:15
You can look that up, that's true.
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Možete to provjeriti, istina je.
02:18
Anyways, we thought it was going to affect
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Uglavnom, mislili smo da će to utjecati
02:20
all parts of science and technology, from computing to medicine.
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na čitavu znanost i tehnologiju, od računarstva do medicine.
02:23
And I have to admit,
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I moram priznati,
02:25
I drank all of the Kool-Aid.
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popio sam sav Kool-Aid.
02:27
I mean, every last drop.
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Sve do zadnje kapi.
02:30
But that was 15 years ago,
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No, to je bilo prije 15 godina
i --
02:33
and --
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02:34
fantastic science was done, really important work.
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odličan napredak je postignut, zbilja važan posao.
02:36
We've learned a lot.
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Mnogo smo naučili.
Nismo nikad uspjeli prebaciti tu znanost u nove tehnologije --
02:38
We were never able to translate that science into new technologies --
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02:42
into technologies that could actually impact people.
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tehnologije koje bi zaista pomogle ljudima.
02:45
And the reason is, these nanomaterials --
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Razlog je taj, što su, ovi nanomaterijali --
02:47
they're like a double-edged sword.
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poput dvosjeklog mača.
02:49
The same thing that makes them so interesting --
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Stvari koje ih čine toliko zanimljivima --
02:51
their small size --
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njihova mala veličina --
02:52
also makes them impossible to work with.
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ih čini nemogućim za raditi s njima.
Doslovno je poput izrade skulpture iz hrpe prašine.
02:55
It's literally like trying to build a statue out of a pile of dust.
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02:58
And we just don't have the tools that are small enough to work with them.
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I jednostavno nemamo alate koji su dovoljno mali da rade s nanomaterijalima.
03:02
But even if we did, it wouldn't really matter,
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No, čak i kada bi ih imali, ne bi baš i imalo utjecaja,
03:04
because we couldn't one by one place millions of particles together
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jer ne bismo mogli staviti skupa milijune čestica jednu po jednu
03:08
to build a technology.
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da napravimo tehnologiju.
03:10
So because of that,
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I tako, zbog toga,
sva obećanja i svo uzbuđenje
03:12
all of the promise and all of the excitement
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su ostali samo to: obećanja i uzbuđenje.
03:14
has remained just that: promise and excitement.
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03:16
We don't have any disease-fighting nanobots,
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Nemamo nano-robote koji bi se borili protiv bolesti,
03:19
there's no elevators to space,
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nema dizala u svemir,
03:21
and the thing that I'm most interested in, no new types of computing.
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i stvari koja mene najviše zanima, nema novih načina upotrebe računala.
Sada, ta posljednja, ona je stvarno važna.
03:25
Now that last one, that's a really important one.
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03:27
We just have come to expect
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Očekujemo
kako će tempo napretka kod računala ići u nedogled.
03:29
the pace of computing advancements to go on indefinitely.
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03:32
We've built entire economies on this idea.
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Cijela gospodarstva su izgrađena na toj pretpostavci.
03:35
And this pace exists
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A taj tempo postoji
03:37
because of our ability to pack more and more devices
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zbog naše sposobnosti da upakiramo sve više naprava
03:39
onto a computer chip.
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na računalni čip.
03:41
And as those devices get smaller,
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A kako te naprave postaju manje,
03:43
they get faster, they consume less power
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postaju brže, troše manje snage
03:45
and they get cheaper.
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i postaju jeftinije.
03:46
And it's this convergence that gives us this incredible pace.
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I to je ta konvergencija koji nam daje ovaj nevjerojatan tempo.
03:51
As an example:
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Na primjer:
03:52
if I took the room-sized computer that sent three men to the moon and back
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kada bih uzeo računalo veličine sobe koji je poslao tri čovjeka na Mjesec i natrag
03:58
and somehow compressed it --
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i nekako ga smanjio --
04:00
compressed the world's greatest computer of its day,
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smanjio najbolje računalo na svijetu u ono vrijeme,
04:03
so it was the same size as your smartphone --
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da bude iste veličine poput vašeg smartphone-a --
04:06
your actual smartphone,
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vašeg stvarnog smartphone-a,
04:07
that thing you spent 300 bucks on and just toss out every two years,
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onu stvar na koju trošite 300 dolara i zamijenite ga svake dvije godine,
04:10
would blow this thing away.
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zasjenio bi ovo računalo.
04:13
You would not be impressed.
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Ne biste bili impresionirani.
04:14
It couldn't do anything that your smartphone does.
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Ne može učiniti ništa što vaš smartphone može.
04:17
It would be slow,
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Bilo bi sporo,
04:18
you couldn't put any of your stuff on it,
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ne biste mogli spremiti nikakve stvari na njega,
možda biste mogli odgledati prve dvije minute
04:21
you could possibly get through the first two minutes
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04:23
of a "Walking Dead" episode if you're lucky --
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"Walking Dead" epizode ako imate sreće --
04:25
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
04:26
The point is the progress -- it's not gradual.
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Stvar je da napredak -- nije postepen.
04:28
The progress is relentless.
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Napredak je nemilosrdan.
04:30
It's exponential.
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On je eksponencijalan.
04:31
It compounds on itself year after year,
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Nadograđuje se iz godine u godinu,
04:34
to the point where if you compare a technology
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do točke gdje, ako usporedite tehnologiju
04:36
from one generation to the next,
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jedne generacije sa idućom,
04:38
they're almost unrecognizable.
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ne može ih se prepoznati.
04:40
And we owe it to ourselves to keep this progress going.
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I dugujemo sebi samima da nastavimo s tim napretkom.
04:42
We want to say the same thing 10, 20, 30 years from now:
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Želimo reći jednu te istu stvar za 10, 20, 30 godina:
04:46
look what we've done over the last 30 years.
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gledajte što smo postigli u posljednjih 30 godina.
04:49
Yet we know this progress may not last forever.
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A ipak, znamo kako taj napredak možda neće trajati vječno.
04:51
In fact, the party's kind of winding down.
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Zapravo, zabava se pomalo stišava.
To je poput "zadnje runde", jel'da?
04:54
It's like "last call for alcohol," right?
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04:56
If you look under the covers,
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Ako pogledate ispod površine,
prema mnogim parametrima, poput brzine i performanse,
04:58
by many metrics like speed and performance,
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05:00
the progress has already slowed to a halt.
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napredak je već usporio do zastoja.
05:03
So if we want to keep this party going,
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Stoga, ako želimo da se zabava nastavi,
05:05
we have to do what we've always been able to do,
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moramo raditi ono što smo uvijek bili sposobni uraditi,
05:08
and that is to innovate.
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a to je inovirati.
05:09
So our group's role and our group's mission
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Dakle, uloga i misija naše grupe je
05:12
is to innovate by employing carbon nanotubes,
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inovirati pomoću ugljikovih nanocijevi,
05:14
because we think that they can provide a path to continue this pace.
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jer mislimo kako one mogu otvoriti put da nastavimo s ovim tempom.
05:18
They are just like they sound.
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One su baš onakve kakvima i zvuče.
05:20
They're tiny, hollow tubes of carbon atoms,
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One su sitne, šuplje cijevi od ugljikovih atoma,
05:22
and their nanoscale size, that small size,
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i njihova nano veličina, ta malena veličina,
05:25
gives rise to these just outstanding electronic properties.
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poboljšava ta izvanredna elektronska svojstva.
05:29
And the science tells us if we could employ them in computing,
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I znanost nam govori da, ako ih možemo upotrijebiti u računalstvu,
možemo vidjeti i do deset puta veliko poboljšanje u izvedbi.
05:33
we could see up to a ten times improvement in performance.
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05:35
It's like skipping through several technology generations in just one step.
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To je poput preskakanja nekoliko tehnoloških generacija u samo jednom koraku.
05:40
So there we have it.
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I to vam je to.
Imamo ovaj stvarno važan problem
05:42
We have this really important problem
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i imamo ono što je u osnovi idealno rješenje.
05:44
and we have what is basically the ideal solution.
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05:46
The science is screaming at us,
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Znanost viče na nas,
05:48
"This is what you should be doing to solve your problem."
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"Ovo bi trebao raditi da riješiš svoj problem."
05:53
So, all right, let's get started,
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Dakle, dobro, počnimo,
učinimo to.
05:55
let's do this.
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05:56
But you just run right back into that double-edged sword.
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Ali onda opet trčite ususret dvosjeklom maču.
To "idealno rješenje" se sastoji od materijala s kojim je nemoguće raditi.
05:59
This "ideal solution" contains a material that's impossible to work with.
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06:02
I'd have to arrange billions of them just to make one single computer chip.
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Morao bih posložiti milijarde njih samo da napravim jedan računalni čip.
To je ta ista zagonetka, to je kao onaj besmrtni problem.
06:07
It's that same conundrum, it's like this undying problem.
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06:11
At this point, we said, "Let's just stop.
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U ovom trenutku, rekli smo: "Ajmo prestati.
06:13
Let's not go down that same road.
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Nemojmo ići istim putem.
06:15
Let's just figure out what's missing.
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Pokušajmo samo shvatiti što nedostaje.
06:17
What are we not dealing with?
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Čime se ovdje bavimo?
06:19
What are we not doing that needs to be done?"
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Što to ne radimo, a trebali bismo učiniti? "
06:21
It's like in "The Godfather," right?
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To je poput "Kuma," zar ne?
06:23
When Fredo betrays his brother Michael,
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Kad Fredo izdaje svog brat Michael-a,
06:25
we all know what needs to be done.
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svi znamo što treba učiniti.
06:27
Fredo's got to go.
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Fredo mora otići.
06:28
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
06:29
But Michael -- he puts it off.
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Ali Michael -- on to odgodi.
06:31
Fine, I get it.
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Dobro, shvaćam.
06:32
Their mother's still alive, it would make her upset.
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Njihova majka je još živa, to bi je uznemirilo.
06:35
We just said,
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Stoga smo rekli,
06:36
"What's the Fredo in our problem?"
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"Što je Fredo u našem problemu?"
Čime se ne bavimo?
06:39
What are we not dealing with?
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06:40
What are we not doing,
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Što mi to ne radimo,
a treba učiniti kako bi postigli uspjeh?
06:42
but needs to be done to make this a success?"
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06:45
And the answer is that the statue has to build itself.
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I odgovor je da se skulptura treba sama izgraditi.
06:49
We have to find a way, somehow,
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Moramo naći načina, nekako,
06:51
to compel, to convince billions of these particles
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da nagovorimo, uvjerimo milijarde tih čestica
06:55
to assemble themselves into the technology.
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da se skupe zajedno u tehnologiju.
06:58
We can't do it for them. They have to do it for themselves.
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Ne možemo to učiniti za njih. Moraju to napraviti same.
07:01
And it's the hard way, and this is not trivial,
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A to je težak put, i to nije trivijalno,
07:04
but in this case, it's the only way.
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i u ovom slučaju, to je jedini put.
07:07
Now, as it turns out, this is not that alien of a problem.
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Sada, kako se ispostavilo, taj problem nije toliko stran.
07:11
We just don't build anything this way.
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Jednostavno ne gradimo ništa na taj način.
07:13
People don't build anything this way.
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Ljudi ne grade ništa na taj način.
07:15
But if you look around -- and there's examples everywhere --
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Ali ako pogledate okolo -- i ima primjera svugdje --
07:18
Mother Nature builds everything this way.
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Majka Priroda gradi sve na taj način.
07:21
Everything is built from the bottom up.
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Sve je izgrađeno od temelja.
07:24
You can go to the beach,
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Možete ići na plažu,
07:25
you'll find these simple organisms that use proteins --
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pronaći ćete te jednostavne organizme koji koriste proteine --
07:28
basically molecules --
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u osnovi, molekule --
kao podložak za ono što je, u osnovi, pijesak,
07:30
to template what is essentially sand,
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vadeći ga iz mora
07:32
just plucking it from the sea
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07:33
and building these extraordinary architectures with extreme diversity.
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i gradeći te izvanredne arhitekture sa ekstremnom raznolikošću.
07:36
And nature's not crude like us, just hacking away.
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A priroda nije sirova poput nas, da samo hakira.
07:39
She's elegant and smart,
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Ona je elegantna i pametna,
07:41
building with what's available, molecule by molecule,
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gradeći pomoću onoga što je dostupno. molekulu po molekulu,
izrađujući strukture sa složenošću
07:44
making structures with a complexity
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07:46
and a diversity that we can't even approach.
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i raznolikošću kojoj se mi ne možemo i približiti.
07:49
And she's already at the nano.
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I ona je već na nano razini.
Ona je tamo već stotinama milijuna godina.
07:51
She's been there for hundreds of millions of years.
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07:53
We're the ones that are late to the party.
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Mi smo ti koju kasne na zabavu.
Stoga smo odlučili da ćemo koristiti isti alat koji priroda koristi,
07:56
So we decided that we're going to use the same tool that nature uses,
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08:00
and that's chemistry.
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a to je kemija.
Kemija je alat koji nedostaje.
08:02
Chemistry is the missing tool.
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08:03
And chemistry works in this case
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I kemija funkcionira u ovom slučaju
08:05
because these nanoscale objects are about the same size as molecules,
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jer su ti objekti nano veličine otprilike iste veličine poput molekula,
08:09
so we can use them to steer these objects around,
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pa ih možemo koristiti kako bi ih usmjeravali,
baš poput alata.
08:12
much like a tool.
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08:13
That's exactly what we've done in our lab.
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To je baš ono što napravili u našem laboratoriju.
08:15
We've developed chemistry that goes into the pile of dust,
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Razvili smo kemiju koja ide u hrpu prašine,
u hrpu nanočestica,
08:19
into the pile of nanoparticles,
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08:20
and pulls out exactly the ones we need.
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i izvlači upravo one koje su nama potrebne.
08:22
Then we can use chemistry to arrange literally billions of these particles
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Tada možemo koristiti kemiju da doslovno posložimo milijarde tih čestica
08:26
into the pattern we need to build circuits.
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u uzorak koji nam je potreban da izradimo strujne krugove.
08:29
And because we can do that,
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I zato jer možemo to napraviti,
08:30
we can build circuits that are many times faster
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možemo izraditi strujne krugove koji su puno brži
08:33
than what anyone's been able to make using nanomaterials before.
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od bilo čega što je dosad bilo izrađeno koristeći nanomaterijale.
08:36
Chemistry's the missing tool,
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Kemija je alat koji nedostaje,
08:37
and every day our tool gets sharper and gets more precise.
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i svaki dan naš alat postaje oštriji i precizniji.
08:41
And eventually --
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A naposljetku --
08:42
and we hope this is within a handful of years --
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i nadamo se kako će to biti u okviru nekoliko godina --
08:45
we can deliver on one of those original promises.
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možemo ispuniti jednu od tih prvotnih obećanja.
08:48
Now, computing is just one example.
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Sada, računalstvo je samo jedan primjer.
08:50
It's the one that I'm interested in, that my group is really invested in,
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To je onaj za koji sam ja zainteresiran, za koji je moja grupa je stvarno zagrijana,
08:54
but there are others in renewable energy, in medicine,
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ali postoje i drugi u obnovljivoj energiji, medicini,
08:58
in structural materials,
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strukturalnim materijalima,
gdje znanost govori da se napravi pomak prema nano.
09:00
where the science is going to tell you to move towards the nano.
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Tu se nalazi najveća korist.
09:03
That's where the biggest benefit is.
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09:05
But if we're going to do that,
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Ali ako ćemo to napraviti,
09:07
the scientists of today and tomorrow are going to need new tools --
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znanstvenici sadašnjosti i budućnosti će trebati nove alate --
09:10
tools just like the ones I described.
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alate poput onih koje sam predstavio.
09:12
And they will need chemistry. That's the point.
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I trebati će im kemija. To je poanta.
09:16
The beauty of science is that once you develop these new tools,
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Ljepota znanosti je, kada jednom razviješ te nove alate,
09:20
they're out there.
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oni su dostupni.
09:21
They're out there forever,
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Oni su dostupni zauvijek,
09:22
and anyone anywhere can pick them up and use them,
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i bilo tko bilo gdje ih može uzeti i koristiti
09:25
and help to deliver on the promise of nanotechnology.
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i pomoći u ispunjenju obećanja nanotehnologije.
09:29
Thank you so much for your time. I appreciate it.
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Hvala vam za vaše vrijeme. Cijenim to.
(Pljesak)
09:32
(Applause)
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