The Turing test: Can a computer pass for a human? - Alex Gendler

1,673,895 views ・ 2016-04-25

TED-Ed


Please double-click on the English subtitles below to play the video.

Prevodilac: Milenka Okuka Lektor: Mile Živković
00:06
What is consciousness?
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Šta je svesnost?
00:09
Can an artificial machine really think?
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Može li veštačka mašina zaista da misli?
00:11
Does the mind just consist of neurons in the brain,
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Da li se um sastoji jedino od neurona u mozgu
00:15
or is there some intangible spark at its core?
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ili u njegovoj srži postoji neopipljiva iskra?
00:18
For many, these have been vital considerations
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Za mnoge su ovo bila ključna razmatranja
00:21
for the future of artificial intelligence.
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za budućnost veštačke inteligencije.
00:24
But British computer scientist Alan Turing decided to disregard all these questions
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No britanski kompjuterski naučnik Alan Tjuring
je odlučio da odbaci sva ova pitanja
00:29
in favor of a much simpler one:
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zarad jednostavnijeg:
00:31
can a computer talk like a human?
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može li kompjuter da govori kao čovek?
00:35
This question led to an idea for measuring aritificial intelligence
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Ovo pitanje je dovelo do zamisli merenja veštačke inteligencije
00:39
that would famously come to be known as the Turing test.
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koja će postati čuvena kao Tjuringov test.
00:43
In the 1950 paper, "Computing Machinery and Intelligence,"
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U naučnom radu iz 1950. "Kompjuterska mašina i inteligencija",
00:47
Turing proposed the following game.
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Tjuring je predložio sledeću igru.
00:49
A human judge has a text conversation with unseen players
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Ljudski sudija vodi tekstualni razgovor sa takmičarima koje ne vidi
00:53
and evaluates their responses.
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i procenjuje njihove odgovore.
00:56
To pass the test, a computer must be able to replace one of the players
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Da bi prošao test, kompjuter mora da bude u stanju da zameni takmičare,
01:00
without substantially changing the results.
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a da se pri tom rezultat značajno ne promeni.
01:03
In other words, a computer would be considered intelligent
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Drugim rečima, kompjuter bismo smatrali inteligentnim,
01:06
if its conversation couldn't be easily distinguished from a human's.
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ako ono što govori ne bi bilo lako razlikovati od ljudskog govora.
01:12
Turing predicted that by the year 2000,
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Tjuring je predvideo da će do 2000. godine
01:14
machines with 100 megabytes of memory would be able to easily pass his test.
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mašine sa memorijom od 100 megabajta lako prolaziti na ovom testu.
01:20
But he may have jumped the gun.
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No možda je istrčao pred rudu.
01:22
Even though today's computers have far more memory than that,
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Iako današnji kompjuteri imaju daleko veću memoriju,
01:25
few have succeeded,
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malo njih je u tome uspelo,
01:27
and those that have done well
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a oni koji su imali dobre rezultate
01:29
focused more on finding clever ways to fool judges
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su se više usredsređivali na pronalaženje pametnih načina da prevare sudije
01:33
than using overwhelming computing power.
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nego na korišćenje ogromne kompjuterske moći.
01:36
Though it was never subjected to a real test,
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Iako nikad nije podvrgnut stvarnom testiranju,
01:39
the first program with some claim to success was called ELIZA.
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prvi program koji je tvrdio da je imao nekog uspeha se zvao ELIZA.
01:43
With only a fairly short and simple script,
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Prilično kratkim i jednostavnim scenariom
01:46
it managed to mislead many people by mimicking a psychologist,
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uspeo je da obmane ljude oponašajući psihologa,
01:50
encouraging them to talk more
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ohrabrujući ih da više govore
01:52
and reflecting their own questions back at them.
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i vraćajući njihova sopstvena pitanja nazad njima.
01:55
Another early script PARRY took the opposite approach
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Još jedan raniji scenario, PARRY, je imao suprotan pristup,
01:59
by imitating a paranoid schizophrenic
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imitirajući paranoičnog šizofreničara
02:02
who kept steering the conversation back to his own preprogrammed obsessions.
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koji je stalno usmeravao tok razgovora na sopstvene pretprogramirane opsesije.
02:07
Their success in fooling people highlighted one weakness of the test.
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Njihovi uspesi u obmanjivanju ljudi su istakli slabosti testa.
02:12
Humans regularly attribute intelligence to a whole range of things
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Ljudi redovno pripisuju inteligenciju čitavom nizu stvari
02:17
that are not actually intelligent.
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koje nisu zaista inteligentne.
02:21
Nonetheless, annual competitions like the Loebner Prize,
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Bez obzira na to, godišnja takmičenja, poput Lobnerove nagrade,
02:24
have made the test more formal
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formalizovala su test
02:26
with judges knowing ahead of time
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tako što sudije unapred znaju
02:28
that some of their conversation partners are machines.
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da su neki od njihovih sagovornika mašine.
02:32
But while the quality has improved,
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No, iako su kvalitetniji,
02:33
many chatbot programmers have used similar strategies to ELIZA and PARRY.
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mnogi programeri botova za ćaskanje
koriste strategije slične ELIZA-i i PARRY-ju.
02:39
1997's winner Catherine
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Pobednica iz 1997, Katrin,
02:41
could carry on amazingly focused and intelligent conversation,
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mogla je da obavi začuđujuće usredsređene i inteligentne razgovore,
02:45
but mostly if the judge wanted to talk about Bill Clinton.
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ali uglavnom, ako bi sudija želeo da razgovoara o Bilu Klintonu.
02:49
And the more recent winner Eugene Goostman
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A skorašnjem pobedniku, Judžinu Gustmanu,
02:51
was given the persona of a 13-year-old Ukrainian boy,
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podarena je ličnost 13-ogodišnjeg dečaka iz Ukrajine,
02:55
so judges interpreted its nonsequiturs and awkward grammar
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pa su sudije protumačile njegove zablude i nezgrapnu gramatiku
02:59
as language and culture barriers.
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kao jezičku i kulturološku barijeru.
03:02
Meanwhile, other programs like Cleverbot have taken a different approach
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U međuvremenu, drugi programi, poput Kleverbota su imali drugačiji pristup,
03:07
by statistically analyzing huge databases of real conversations
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statistički analizirajući ogromne baze podataka stvarnih razgovora
03:11
to determine the best responses.
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kako bi došli do najboljih odgovora.
03:14
Some also store memories of previous conversations
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Neki su takođe pohranjivali u memoriju prethodne razgovore,
03:17
in order to improve over time.
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kako bi se vremenom popravljali.
03:20
But while Cleverbot's individual responses can sound incredibly human,
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No, iako Kleverbotovi pojedinačni odgovori mogu da zvuče neverovatno ljudski,
03:25
its lack of a consistent personality
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odsustvo konzistentne ličnosti
03:27
and inability to deal with brand new topics
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i nemogućnost da se bavi najnovijim temama
03:30
are a dead giveaway.
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odaju ga odmah.
03:32
Who in Turing's day could have predicted that today's computers
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Ko bi u Tjuringovo vreme mogao da predvidi da će današnji kompjuteri
03:36
would be able to pilot spacecraft,
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moći da upravljaju svemirskim brodovima,
03:38
perform delicate surgeries,
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da izvode prefinjene operacije
03:40
and solve massive equations,
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i da rešavaju obimne jednačine,
03:42
but still struggle with the most basic small talk?
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ali će i dalje da se muče s najobičnijim ćaskanjem?
03:46
Human language turns out to be an amazingly complex phenomenon
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Ispostavilo se da je ljudski jezik zadivljujuće složena pojava
03:49
that can't be captured by even the largest dictionary.
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koju ne može da obuhvati čak ni najobimniji rečnik.
03:53
Chatbots can be baffled by simple pauses, like "umm..."
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Botove za ćaskanje zbunjuju sitne pauze, poput "hm..."
03:57
or questions with no correct answer.
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ili pitanja koja nemaju tačne odgovore.
04:00
And a simple conversational sentence,
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A prosta razgovorna rečenica,
04:02
like, "I took the juice out of the fridge and gave it to him,
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poput: "Izvadio sam sok iz frižidera i dao mu,
04:05
but forgot to check the date,"
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ali sam zaboravio da proverim datum",
04:07
requires a wealth of underlying knowledge and intuition to parse.
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zahteva bogato pozadinsko znanje i intuiciju da bi je raščlanili.
04:12
It turns out that simulating a human conversation
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Ispostavilo se da simuliranje ljudskog razgovora
04:15
takes more than just increasing memory and processing power,
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zahteva više od pukog uvećanja memorije i snage procesora;
04:19
and as we get closer to Turing's goal,
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i kako se približavamo Tjuringovom cilju,
04:21
we may have to deal with all those big questions about consciousness after all.
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možda ćemo ipak morati da se bavimo svim tim velikim pitanjima o svesnosti.
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