The Turing test: Can a computer pass for a human? - Alex Gendler

1,661,434 views ・ 2016-04-25

TED-Ed


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譯者: Helen Lin 審譯者: Max Chern
00:06
What is consciousness?
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什麼是意識?
00:09
Can an artificial machine really think?
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人造機器真的能思考嗎?
00:11
Does the mind just consist of neurons in the brain,
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心智只是由腦的神經元所組成
00:15
or is there some intangible spark at its core?
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或有無形的聰明才智在腦的核心嗎?
00:18
For many, these have been vital considerations
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對多數人而言, 這一直是未來人工智慧的主要考慮因素。
00:21
for the future of artificial intelligence.
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00:24
But British computer scientist Alan Turing decided to disregard all these questions
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但英國電腦科學家 阿蘭•圖靈 決定不理會這諸多問題,
00:29
in favor of a much simpler one:
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而支持更簡單的一種:
00:31
can a computer talk like a human?
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電腦能和人一樣交談嗎?
00:35
This question led to an idea for measuring aritificial intelligence
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這問題後來發展出 一個測量人工智慧的理念,
00:39
that would famously come to be known as the Turing test.
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也就是眾所周知的「圖靈測試」。
00:43
In the 1950 paper, "Computing Machinery and Intelligence,"
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在 1950 年的一篇論文《電腦機器與智能》,
00:47
Turing proposed the following game.
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圖靈提出了以下的測試。
00:49
A human judge has a text conversation with unseen players
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一位審判員和不被看見的 被測試者做文字對話,
00:53
and evaluates their responses.
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並評估他們的回答。
00:56
To pass the test, a computer must be able to replace one of the players
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要通過測試, 電腦必須能取代被測試者之一,
01:00
without substantially changing the results.
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但不會明顯改變最後結果。
01:03
In other words, a computer would be considered intelligent
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換言之,此電腦會被認定是有智慧 ──
01:06
if its conversation couldn't be easily distinguished from a human's.
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若其對話不易與人類的區分時。
01:12
Turing predicted that by the year 2000,
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圖靈預言在 2000 年之前 ,
01:14
machines with 100 megabytes of memory would be able to easily pass his test.
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具備 100 MB 記憶體的電腦 將能輕易通過圖靈測試,
01:20
But he may have jumped the gun.
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但他可能言之過早了。
01:22
Even though today's computers have far more memory than that,
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即使目前配備更多記憶體的電腦,
01:25
few have succeeded,
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也很少成功,
01:27
and those that have done well
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而那些通過測試的
01:29
focused more on finding clever ways to fool judges
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著重在欺騙審判員的小技巧,
01:33
than using overwhelming computing power.
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而非運用強大的運算能力。
01:36
Though it was never subjected to a real test,
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雖然從未接受真正測試,
01:39
the first program with some claim to success was called ELIZA.
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第一個程式聲明它已成功的是 ELIZA,
01:43
With only a fairly short and simple script,
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它僅以簡短的程式腳本,
01:46
it managed to mislead many people by mimicking a psychologist,
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模仿心理學家,成功迷惑許多人,
01:50
encouraging them to talk more
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鼓勵他們說得更多些,
01:52
and reflecting their own questions back at them.
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同時也反問他們的問題。
01:55
Another early script PARRY took the opposite approach
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另一個早期程式腳本 PARRY 採取相反的方式,
01:59
by imitating a paranoid schizophrenic
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模仿偏狂型精神分裂症病患
02:02
who kept steering the conversation back to his own preprogrammed obsessions.
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一直把話題轉回它預設的執著事物。
02:07
Their success in fooling people highlighted one weakness of the test.
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它們成功愚弄人們 突顯出這測驗的弱點,
02:12
Humans regularly attribute intelligence to a whole range of things
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人們通常把許多和聰明才智無關的事物 視為「智慧」。
02:17
that are not actually intelligent.
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02:21
Nonetheless, annual competitions like the Loebner Prize,
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儘管如此,年度競賽 例如 羅布納獎(Loebner Prize)
02:24
have made the test more formal
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已使測試變得更正式了,
02:26
with judges knowing ahead of time
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審判員已預先知道
02:28
that some of their conversation partners are machines.
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其中有些他們的對話者是機器。
02:32
But while the quality has improved,
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雖然品質已有改善,
02:33
many chatbot programmers have used similar strategies to ELIZA and PARRY.
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但許多聊天機器人的程式員 是採用類似 ELIZA 和 PARRY 的方法。
02:39
1997's winner Catherine
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1997 年的獲獎者 Catherine
02:41
could carry on amazingly focused and intelligent conversation,
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能夠進行驚人地專注且聰明的對話,
02:45
but mostly if the judge wanted to talk about Bill Clinton.
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但多半只在審判員願意談 有關 比爾•克林頓 的事時。
02:49
And the more recent winner Eugene Goostman
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最近的獲獎者 尤金•古斯特曼 (Eugene Goostman)
02:51
was given the persona of a 13-year-old Ukrainian boy,
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是個偽裝 13 歲烏克蘭男孩的機器人,
02:55
so judges interpreted its nonsequiturs and awkward grammar
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審判員將它不合邏輯及蹩脚的文法
02:59
as language and culture barriers.
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視為是語言及文化的障礙所致。
03:02
Meanwhile, other programs like Cleverbot have taken a different approach
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同時,另一程式例如 Cleverbot 則採用不同的方法,
03:07
by statistically analyzing huge databases of real conversations
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藉著統計分析大量真正對話的資料庫,
03:11
to determine the best responses.
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以決定最佳回應。
03:14
Some also store memories of previous conversations
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有些還儲存先前對話的記憶,
03:17
in order to improve over time.
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以便長期改善。
03:20
But while Cleverbot's individual responses can sound incredibly human,
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雖然 Cleverbot 的每次回應 聽起來極像人類,
03:25
its lack of a consistent personality
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但它缺乏前後一致的個性,
03:27
and inability to deal with brand new topics
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而且無法應付嶄新的話題,
03:30
are a dead giveaway.
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因而明顯露出馬腳。
03:32
Who in Turing's day could have predicted that today's computers
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在圖靈時代的人 怎能預料到今日的電腦
03:36
would be able to pilot spacecraft,
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能駕駛太空船、
03:38
perform delicate surgeries,
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執行精細手術、
03:40
and solve massive equations,
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能解開龐大的方程式、
03:42
but still struggle with the most basic small talk?
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卻仍難以處理最基本的小交談呢?
03:46
Human language turns out to be an amazingly complex phenomenon
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人類語言 原來就是一種驚人複雜的現象,
03:49
that can't be captured by even the largest dictionary.
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甚至連最大的字典也無法記錄。
03:53
Chatbots can be baffled by simple pauses, like "umm..."
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一個簡單的暫停就能難倒聊天機器人, 例如「嗯……」
03:57
or questions with no correct answer.
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或沒有正確解答的問題。
04:00
And a simple conversational sentence,
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一個簡單的對話句子,
04:02
like, "I took the juice out of the fridge and gave it to him,
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例如:「我從冰箱拿出果汁給他,
04:05
but forgot to check the date,"
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但忘了檢查保存期限。」
04:07
requires a wealth of underlying knowledge and intuition to parse.
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這需要很多基本理解 及直覺語法分析。
04:12
It turns out that simulating a human conversation
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事實証明模擬人類對話
04:15
takes more than just increasing memory and processing power,
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不是只要增加記憶體 及數據處理能力而已,
04:19
and as we get closer to Turing's goal,
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當離圖靈的目標越近時,
04:21
we may have to deal with all those big questions about consciousness after all.
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我們終究要去處理 所有有關「意識」的大難題。
翻譯:Helen Lin
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