The Turing test: Can a computer pass for a human? - Alex Gendler

1,673,895 views ・ 2016-04-25

TED-Ed


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翻译人员: Amy H. Fann 校对人员: Jing Zhou
00:06
What is consciousness?
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什么是意识?
00:09
Can an artificial machine really think?
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人造的机器真的能思考吗?
00:11
Does the mind just consist of neurons in the brain,
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人类的大脑到底仅仅是 一个神经元的集体
00:15
or is there some intangible spark at its core?
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还是是一种神秘意志的存在?
00:18
For many, these have been vital considerations
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对很多人来说, 这些都是关于
00:21
for the future of artificial intelligence.
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未来人工智能的 一些重要考虑因素。
00:24
But British computer scientist Alan Turing decided to disregard all these questions
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但是对于一位英国电脑科学家, 阿兰-图灵,而言,
00:29
in favor of a much simpler one:
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他关心一个更简单的问题:
00:31
can a computer talk like a human?
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电脑可以如人类一样地交流吗?
00:35
This question led to an idea for measuring aritificial intelligence
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这个问题让他有了测量人工智能的想法,
00:39
that would famously come to be known as the Turing test.
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之后,这便演变为著名的“图灵测验” 。
00:43
In the 1950 paper, "Computing Machinery and Intelligence,"
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在1950年,图灵在 “计算机器与智能”的报告里
00:47
Turing proposed the following game.
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提出了一个游戏:
00:49
A human judge has a text conversation with unseen players
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一个判官和看不到的选手用短信交流,
00:53
and evaluates their responses.
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然后评价他们的回答。
00:56
To pass the test, a computer must be able to replace one of the players
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要通过考试, 电脑必须能在没有改变结果的情况下,
01:00
without substantially changing the results.
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代替其中一位选手。
01:03
In other words, a computer would be considered intelligent
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换句话说,如果无轻易法分辨 一台电脑与一个人的区别,
01:06
if its conversation couldn't be easily distinguished from a human's.
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这台电脑就是“聪明”的。
01:12
Turing predicted that by the year 2000,
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图灵预计在2000年,
01:14
machines with 100 megabytes of memory would be able to easily pass his test.
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拥有100兆字节内存的机器会 轻易地通过图灵测试。
01:20
But he may have jumped the gun.
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但是图灵预计错了。
01:22
Even though today's computers have far more memory than that,
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虽然现代的电脑具备更多的内存,
01:25
few have succeeded,
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没有几个通过了图灵测试。
01:27
and those that have done well
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那些通过图灵测试的电脑
01:29
focused more on finding clever ways to fool judges
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并不是用了压倒性的计算能力,
01:33
than using overwhelming computing power.
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而是用了巧妙的手段来迷惑判官。
01:36
Though it was never subjected to a real test,
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虽然没有经过正式的考试,
01:39
the first program with some claim to success was called ELIZA.
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ELIZA成了历史上第一个有资格成功的程序。
01:43
With only a fairly short and simple script,
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仅用了一个十分简短的脚本,
01:46
it managed to mislead many people by mimicking a psychologist,
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ELIZA成功地迷惑了很多人,
01:50
encouraging them to talk more
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模仿心理专家, 鼓励他们多说话,
01:52
and reflecting their own questions back at them.
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同时也发问他们的问题。
01:55
Another early script PARRY took the opposite approach
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另一个早期程式脚本,PARRY, 运用相反的方式,
01:59
by imitating a paranoid schizophrenic
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模仿了偏执的精神分裂症患者
02:02
who kept steering the conversation back to his own preprogrammed obsessions.
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一直将话题转移回他自己预设的困扰。
02:07
Their success in fooling people highlighted one weakness of the test.
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它们玩弄人们的成功 凸显出测试的缺点。
02:12
Humans regularly attribute intelligence to a whole range of things
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人类常常把很多并不聪明的事物
02:17
that are not actually intelligent.
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归类于“聪明”。
02:21
Nonetheless, annual competitions like the Loebner Prize,
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尽管如此,年度竞赛 比如洛伯纳奖,
02:24
have made the test more formal
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使测试变得更规范,
02:26
with judges knowing ahead of time
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让判官们事先知道
02:28
that some of their conversation partners are machines.
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有些对话选手是机器。
02:32
But while the quality has improved,
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虽然总体质量上升了,
02:33
many chatbot programmers have used similar strategies to ELIZA and PARRY.
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很多聊天机器人还是局用了 与ELIZA和PARRY类似的技巧。
02:39
1997's winner Catherine
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1997年的获胜者,凯瑟琳
02:41
could carry on amazingly focused and intelligent conversation,
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能够进行惊人般的聪慧会话,
02:45
but mostly if the judge wanted to talk about Bill Clinton.
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但是这是在讨论与 比尔·克林顿 相关的话题。
02:49
And the more recent winner Eugene Goostman
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最近的获奖者, 尤金·古斯特曼
02:51
was given the persona of a 13-year-old Ukrainian boy,
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拥有13岁的乌克兰少年的个性,
02:55
so judges interpreted its nonsequiturs and awkward grammar
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使判官将 他的别扭语法
02:59
as language and culture barriers.
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理解为语言及文化的阻碍。
03:02
Meanwhile, other programs like Cleverbot have taken a different approach
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在这同时,其他的程式如 Cleverbot, 采取了另一个方式
03:07
by statistically analyzing huge databases of real conversations
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通过分析与统计巨大的真实对话数据,
03:11
to determine the best responses.
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决定最好的回答方式。
03:14
Some also store memories of previous conversations
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有一些还存储先前对话的记忆,
03:17
in order to improve over time.
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以便长期改善。
03:20
But while Cleverbot's individual responses can sound incredibly human,
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但尽管Cleverbot 自己的答复 听起来非常像人类,
03:25
its lack of a consistent personality
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对始终如一的个性的缺乏
03:27
and inability to deal with brand new topics
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及无法回答崭新的话题
03:30
are a dead giveaway.
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则完全暴露了它。
03:32
Who in Turing's day could have predicted that today's computers
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在图灵的时代里, 谁可能预料到今日的电脑
03:36
would be able to pilot spacecraft,
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能够驾驶宇宙飞船,
03:38
perform delicate surgeries,
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能操控精巧的手术,
03:40
and solve massive equations,
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还能解答大量的方程,
03:42
but still struggle with the most basic small talk?
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可仍与最基本的对话斗争?
03:46
Human language turns out to be an amazingly complex phenomenon
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人类语言是样 如何巧妙及复杂的现象,
03:49
that can't be captured by even the largest dictionary.
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连最大最广泛的字典都 无法记录。
03:53
Chatbots can be baffled by simple pauses, like "umm..."
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聊天机器人会被简单的停顿, 如“额...”,
03:57
or questions with no correct answer.
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或被没有正确回答的问题 而弄得团团转。
04:00
And a simple conversational sentence,
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一个简单的对话句子,
04:02
like, "I took the juice out of the fridge and gave it to him,
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比如“我从冰箱里拿出了果汁, 然后给了他,
04:05
but forgot to check the date,"
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但忘了查明日子“,
04:07
requires a wealth of underlying knowledge and intuition to parse.
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需要丰富的潜在知识 与直觉来解析。
04:12
It turns out that simulating a human conversation
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事件证明若要模仿人类对话,
04:15
takes more than just increasing memory and processing power,
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比单纯地增加记忆力和运算量 更加复杂。
04:19
and as we get closer to Turing's goal,
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在接近图灵的目标的同时,
04:21
we may have to deal with all those big questions about consciousness after all.
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我们也终究需考虑下 与“意识”相关的重大问题。
翻译:Amy H. Fann
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