The surprising thing I learned sailing solo around the world | Dame Ellen MacArthur

420,081 views ・ 2015-06-29

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譯者: Ann Faster 審譯者: Yamei Huang
00:12
When you're a child,
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如果你還小,
00:14
anything and everything is possible.
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凡事都有無限可能。
00:18
The challenge, so often, is hanging on to that as we grow up.
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但是隨著我們的成長, 挑戰也隨之而來。
00:22
And as a four-year-old,
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我 4 歲時,
00:24
I had the opportunity to sail for the first time.
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第一次有機會航行。
00:27
I will never forget the excitement as we closed the coast.
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我忘不了第一次靠岸的興奮。
00:31
I will never forget
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我也忘不了,
00:33
the feeling of adventure as I climbed on board the boat
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第一次登上甲板,
00:36
and stared into her tiny cabin for the first time.
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盯著小船艙時的熱血沸騰。
00:40
But the most amazing feeling was the feeling of freedom,
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但最強烈的感受是自由,
00:43
the feeling that I felt when we hoisted her sails.
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尤其揚帆時的感受。
00:47
As a four-year-old child,
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身為一個才 4 歲的孩子,
00:49
it was the greatest sense of freedom that I could ever imagine.
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我能夠想像到最大的自由之感。
00:53
I made my mind up there and then that one day, somehow,
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我當時下定決心,
00:56
I was going to sail around the world.
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要駕船環遊世界。
01:00
So I did what I could in my life to get closer to that dream.
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我努力實現這個夢想。
01:04
Age 10, it was saving my school dinner money change.
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10 歲時,我開始省學校的午餐錢。
01:07
Every single day for eight years, I had mashed potato and baked beans,
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8 年來,午餐只吃薯泥和焗豆,
01:11
which cost 4p each, and gravy was free.
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每樣只要 4 鎊,還附免費肉汁。
01:13
Every day I would pile up the change on the top of my money box,
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我每天把省下來的錢 放在存錢罐的頂部,
01:17
and when that pile reached a pound, I would drop it in
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每集滿一鎊時,就放進存錢罐裡,
01:19
and cross off one of the 100 squares I'd drawn on a piece of paper.
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然後劃掉我自己畫的 100 個格子中的ㄧ格。
01:24
Finally, I bought a tiny dinghy.
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最後我買了一艘小船。
01:27
I spent hours sitting on it in the garden dreaming of my goal.
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花幾小時,坐在院子裡的船, 想像我在環遊世界。
01:31
I read every book I could on sailing,
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我讀了我能夠獲得的所有航海書,
01:34
and then eventually, having been told by my school
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最後,學校也跟我說,
01:37
I wasn't clever enough to be a vet,
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我太笨了當不上獸醫,
01:39
left school age 17 to begin my apprenticeship in sailing.
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我 17 歲畢業後,就去拜師學航海。
01:44
So imagine how it felt just four years later
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想像一下 4 年後,
01:48
to be sitting in a boardroom
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我坐在會議室,
01:50
in front of someone who I knew could make that dream come true.
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面對可以幫我實現夢想的人。
01:54
I felt like my life depended on that moment,
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我想,這輩子就取決於那一刻,
01:58
and incredibly, he said yes.
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不可思議的是,他答應了。
02:00
And I could barely contain my excitement as I sat in that first design meeting
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在首次的設計會議上我非常興奮,
02:04
designing a boat on which I was going to sail
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設計我要駕駛的船,
02:07
solo nonstop around the world.
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獨自不間斷繞世界一周。
02:10
From that first meeting to the finish line of the race,
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從首次會議到比賽結束,
02:13
it was everything I'd ever imagined.
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就像我想的那樣。
02:15
Just like in my dreams, there were amazing parts and tough parts.
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但就如我預期, 有困難也有精彩的地方,
02:19
We missed an iceberg by 20 feet.
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途中,我曾和冰山擦身而過;
02:21
Nine times, I climbed to the top of her 90-foot mast.
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9 次爬上 90 尺高的桅;
02:24
We were blown on our side in the Southern Ocean.
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在南極海還一度快被吹倒。
02:27
But the sunsets, the wildlife, and the remoteness
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但夕陽落日、野生動物、杳無人煙,
02:30
were absolutely breathtaking.
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這些都讓我驚嘆不已。
02:33
After three months at sea, age just 24,
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航行了 3 個月,當時我 24 歲,
02:36
I finished in second position.
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我獲得第二名。
02:39
I'd loved it, so much so that within six months
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我很享受過程,以致 6 個月內,
02:42
I decided to go around the world again, but this time not in a race:
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我決定再次踏上環遊世界的旅程, 但這次不是比賽。
02:47
to try to be the fastest person ever to sail solo nonstop around the world.
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我想挑戰獨自不間斷 繞行地球的紀錄。
02:52
Now for this, I needed a different craft:
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為此,我需要一艘新船:
02:55
bigger, wider, faster, more powerful.
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更大、更寬、更快、更有力。
02:59
Just to give that boat some scale, I could climb inside her mast
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只要把船做得大一點,
03:02
all the way to the top.
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它的桅要能讓我向上攀爬到頂部。
03:04
Seventy-five foot long, 60 foot wide.
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長 75 英尺,寬 60 英尺。
03:08
I affectionately called her Moby.
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我把它暱稱為「摩比」。
03:10
She was a multihull.
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她是艘「多體船」。
03:12
When we built her, no one had ever made it solo nonstop
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當我們建造它的時候, 沒有人能夠不停靠
03:15
around the world in one, though many had tried,
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獨自環航世界, 雖然很多人試過了,
03:18
but whilst we built her, a Frenchman took a boat 25 percent bigger than her
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但我們在造它的同時 一名法國人以比她大 25% 的船,
03:23
and not only did he make it, but he took the record from 93 days
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他不只成功了,還把紀錄
03:26
right down to 72.
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從 93 天減少到 72 天。
03:29
The bar was now much, much higher.
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門檻越來越高。
03:32
And these boats were exciting to sail.
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我的船也迫不急待要出航。
03:34
This was a training sail off the French coast.
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這是在法國外海的訓練。
03:37
This I know well because I was one of the five crew members on board.
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我很了解這艘船, 因為我是船上 5 個船員之一。
03:41
Five seconds is all it took from everything being fine
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5 秒鐘前進展顺利,
03:45
to our world going black as the windows were thrust underwater,
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之後,一個大浪打過來, 船就翻了,
03:48
and that five seconds goes quickly.
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那五秒很快,完全來不及反應。
03:50
Just see how far below those guys the sea is.
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你看,我們在水下有多深。
03:53
Imagine that alone in the Southern Ocean
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想像一下,獨自一人在南極海,
03:57
plunged into icy water, thousands of miles away from land.
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陷入冰冷的海水, 離陸地有千里之遙。
04:03
It was Christmas Day.
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那天是聖誕節,
04:05
I was forging into the Southern Ocean underneath Australia.
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我航行到澳洲下方的南極海。
04:08
The conditions were horrendous.
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天氣情況很惡劣。
04:11
I was approaching a part in the ocean
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我在某片海域航行,
04:13
which was 2,000 miles away from the nearest town.
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最近的城鎮離我 2000 英里。
04:17
The nearest land was Antarctica, and the nearest people
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最近的陸地是南極洲,
04:20
would be those manning the European Space Station above me.
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距離我最近的人是 歐洲太空站的宇航員。
04:23
(Laughter)
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(笑聲)
04:24
You really are in the middle of nowhere.
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真的是孤立無援。
04:27
If you need help,
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如果你需要幫助,
04:29
and you're still alive,
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而且還活著的話,
04:30
it takes four days for a ship to get to you
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一艘船要 4 天才能到達這個位置,
04:33
and then four days for that ship to get you back to port.
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再花 4 天才能送你回到港口。
04:37
No helicopter can reach you out there,
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直升機到不了這裡,
04:39
and no plane can land.
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飛機也無法降落。
04:41
We are forging ahead of a huge storm.
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在巨大的風暴中前行。
04:44
Within it, there was 80 knots of wind,
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這裡的風速有 80 節,
04:47
which was far too much wind for the boat and I to cope with.
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我跟船都無法承受。
04:50
The waves were already 40 to 50 feet high,
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浪已經有 40 到 50 英尺高,
04:53
and the spray from the breaking crests
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濺起來的浪花,
04:55
was blown horizontally like snow in a blizzard.
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像暴風雪迎面打來。
04:58
If we didn't sail fast enough, we'd be engulfed by that storm,
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但如果不開快點, 我們就會被風暴捲走,
05:02
and either capsized or smashed to pieces.
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不是翻船就是解體。
05:05
We were quite literally hanging on for our lives
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我們幾乎是把命
05:08
and doing so on a knife edge.
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掛在刀口上。
05:11
The speed I so desperately needed brought with it danger.
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但高速航行同時也很危險。
05:15
We all know what it's like driving a car 20 miles an hour, 30, 40.
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都知道,就像開車, 時速二三十或四十英里,
05:19
It's not too stressful. We can concentrate.
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不是很緊張,可以很專心,
05:22
We can turn on the radio.
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也可以一邊聽音樂。
05:24
Take that 50, 60, 70, accelerate through to 80, 90, 100 miles an hour.
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如果加速到五、六十甚至到一百,
05:28
Now you have white knuckles and you're gripping the steering wheel.
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你會緊抓方向盤而且指節發白。
05:31
Now take that car off road at night
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想像一下,晚上以這個車速,
05:34
and remove the windscreen wipers, the windscreen,
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沒有雨刷和擋風玻璃、
05:36
the headlights and the brakes.
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車頭燈和煞車。
05:38
That's what it's like in the Southern Ocean.
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這就我在南極海的情況。
05:40
(Laughter) (Applause)
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(笑聲)(掌聲)
05:45
You could imagine
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你能想像,
05:46
it would be quite difficult to sleep in that situation,
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這種情況下怎麼能睡得著,
05:48
even as a passenger.
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就算只是乘客。
05:50
But you're not a passenger.
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況且你不是乘客,
05:52
You're alone on a boat you can barely stand up in,
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你是孤伶伶的駕駛, 而且站都站不穩,
05:54
and you have to make every single decision on board.
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還要做出每個決定。
05:57
I was absolutely exhausted, physically and mentally.
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我身心俱疲。
06:00
Eight sail changes in 12 hours.
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12 個小時內換了 8 張帆。
06:02
The mainsail weighed three times my body weight,
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主帆是我體重的 3 倍,
06:05
and after each change,
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而且每換一次,
06:06
I would collapse on the floor soaked with sweat
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我就會滿身大汗倒在甲板上,
06:09
with this freezing Southern Ocean air burning the back of my throat.
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南極海的冰冷空氣侵蝕我的喉嚨。
06:13
But out there, those lowest of the lows
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但俗話說烏雲背後有陽光、
06:16
are so often contrasted with the highest of the highs.
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大難不死必有後福。
06:19
A few days later, we came out of the back of the low.
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幾天後,我們總算苦盡甘來,
06:23
Against all odds, we'd been able to drive ahead of the record
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出乎意料的,儘管情緒低落,
06:27
within that depression.
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我們還是刷新了紀錄。
06:29
The sky cleared, the rain stopped,
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天晴了,雨也停了,
06:32
and our heartbeat, the monstrous seas around us were transformed
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本來急促的心跳和周圍像猛獸的海,
06:36
into the most beautiful moonlit mountains.
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都變成月光撒落的靜謐山巒。
06:40
It's hard to explain, but you enter a different mode when you head out there.
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很難形容,但你知道 進入了不同的境界。
06:44
Your boat is your entire world,
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這艘船就是你的世界,
06:46
and what you take with you when you leave is all you have.
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離開時所帶的東西 就是你的全部家當。
06:49
If I said to you all now, "Go off into Vancouver
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如果我現在說:「去溫哥華,
06:52
and find everything you will need for your survival for the next three months,"
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購買出海 3 個月會用到的所有物品。」
06:56
that's quite a task.
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那也不是個小工程,
06:58
That's food, fuel, clothes,
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食物、燃油、衣服,
07:00
even toilet roll and toothpaste.
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甚至衛生紙、牙膏。
07:02
That's what we do,
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我們全部買好,
07:04
and when we leave we manage it
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出發後開始精打細算。
07:06
down to the last drop of diesel and the last packet of food.
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從每一滴柴油到每一份食物。
07:10
No experience in my life
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這輩子沒有其他時候,
07:11
could have given me a better understanding of the definition of the word "finite."
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能更讓我體會到 「資源有限」的含義。
07:15
What we have out there is all we have.
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我們帶了多少就是多少,
07:17
There is no more.
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不會有更多了。
07:19
And never in my life had I ever translated that definition of finite
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我也沒想到我會把這種體悟,
07:22
that I'd felt on board to anything outside of sailing
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運用到我航海之外的生活,
07:26
until I stepped off the boat at the finish line having broken that record.
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直到我踏上岸,破了紀錄的那一刻。
07:30
(Applause)
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(掌聲)
07:36
Suddenly I connected the dots.
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我恍然大悟,
07:38
Our global economy is no different.
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全球經濟不也是如此嗎?
07:41
It's entirely dependent on finite materials
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它完全倚仗在人類史上,
07:44
we only have once in the history of humanity.
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可能只能使用一次的有限資源。
07:46
And it was a bit like seeing something you weren't expecting under a stone
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這就像從石頭底下發現了新玩意,
07:50
and having two choices:
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你有兩個選擇:
07:52
I either put that stone to one side
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要不是把石頭搬開,
07:54
and learn more about it, or I put that stone back
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然後開始研究, 或者把石頭堆回去,
07:58
and I carry on with my dream job of sailing around the world.
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然後繼續我繞行全球的夢想。
08:02
I chose the first.
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我選了前者。
08:04
I put it to one side and I began a new journey of learning,
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我把石頭搬開,開始了新的學習。
08:07
speaking to chief executives, experts, scientists, economists
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去拜訪官員、專家、 科學家、經濟學家,
08:11
to try to understand just how our global economy works.
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試著了解全球經濟體系。
08:14
And my curiosity took me to some extraordinary places.
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我的好奇心開拓了一個新視野。
08:18
This photo was taken in the burner of a coal-fired power station.
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這張照片是一座火力發電廠,
08:23
I was fascinated by coal, fundamental to our global energy needs,
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我對煤很感興趣, 它是能源的基礎,
08:26
but also very close to my family.
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同時跟我很有淵源。
08:29
My great-grandfather was a coal miner,
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我的曾祖父是礦工,
08:31
and he spent 50 years of his life underground.
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他在地底賣力了 50 年。
08:35
This is a photo of him, and when you see that photo,
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這是他的照片,看著這張照片,
08:38
you see someone from another era.
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你能看到時代的痕跡。
08:40
No one wears trousers with a waistband quite that high
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現在已經沒人把鬆緊帶的褲子,
08:43
in this day and age. (Laughter)
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穿這麼高了。(笑聲)
08:46
But yet, that's me with my great-grandfather,
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這是我和我的曾祖父,
08:48
and by the way, they are not his real ears. (Laughter)
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順帶一提,那不是真的耳朵。 (笑聲)
08:53
We were close. I remember sitting on his knee listening to his mining stories.
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我們很親近。我會坐在他腿上 聽他的礦工故事。
08:57
He talked of the camaraderie underground,
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他會說那些地下的同袍之誼,
08:59
and the fact that the miners used to save the crusts of their sandwiches
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他們會把三明治的吐司邊留下,
09:03
to give to the ponies they worked with underground.
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餵給礦坑拉車的小馬。
09:06
It was like it was yesterday.
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就像昨天才發生。
09:08
And on my journey of learning,
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在我的學習過程中,
09:10
I went to the World Coal Association website,
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我曾上世界煤礦協會的網站,
09:12
and there in the middle of the homepage, it said,
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在首頁的中間寫著:
09:15
"We have about 118 years of coal left."
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「煤礦存量可供 118 年使用。」
09:18
And I thought to myself, well, that's well outside my lifetime,
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我還想,至少有生之年用不完,
09:21
and a much greater figure than the predictions for oil.
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而且比石油存量多多了。
09:24
But I did the math, and I realized that my great-grandfather
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但我一算,發現我曾祖父,
09:27
had been born exactly 118 years before that year,
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正是網站所說的 118 年前出生。
09:31
and I sat on his knee until I was 11 years old,
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我坐在他的膝上直到 11 歲,
09:34
and I realized it's nothing
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我發現那其實很短,
09:36
in time, nor in history.
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無論就時間或歷史來說。
09:38
And it made me make a decision I never thought I would make:
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這讓我下了一個意想不到的決定:
09:42
to leave the sport of solo sailing behind me
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不再從事單人航海的運動,
09:44
and focus on the greatest challenge I'd ever come across:
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更專注在我從未遇過的大挑戰:
09:47
the future of our global economy.
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全球經濟的未來。
09:49
And I quickly realized it wasn't just about energy.
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我很快發現不只是能源,
09:52
It was also materials.
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原料也岌岌可危。
09:54
In 2008, I picked up a scientific study
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2008 年,我看了一篇科學研究,
09:56
looking at how many years we have
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想知道我們還有多少年,
09:58
of valuable materials to extract from the ground:
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可以從地下獲取珍貴資源。
10:01
copper, 61; tin, zinc, 40; silver, 29.
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銅 61 年;錫、鋅 40 年; 銀 29 年。
10:05
These figures couldn't be exact, but we knew those materials were finite.
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這些數字未必精確, 但至少確定有用完的一天。
10:09
We only have them once.
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我們只能用一次。
10:11
And yet, our speed that we've used these materials has increased rapidly,
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但我們消耗的速度卻快速增加,
10:15
exponentially.
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呈指數成長。
10:16
With more people in the world with more stuff,
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地球上有越多人、越多需求,
10:19
we've effectively seen 100 years of price declines
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100 年來, 我們親眼目睹使用期限
10:22
in those basic commodities erased in just 10 years.
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只有 10 年的生活必需品不斷降價。
10:25
And this affects all of us.
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這影響我們每個人,
10:27
It's brought huge volatility in prices,
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也帶來了價格的巨大浮動。
10:29
so much so that in 2011,
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影響之大,在 2011年,
10:32
your average European car manufacturer
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歐洲的汽車製造商都發現,
10:34
saw a raw material price increase
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原物料的價格漲了
10:37
of 500 million Euros,
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5 億歐元。
10:39
wiping away half their operating profits
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吃掉了他們一半的利潤,
10:41
through something they have absolutely no control over.
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而且他們無能為力。
10:45
And the more I learned, the more I started to change my own life.
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當了解越多,我的生活也開始發生改變。
10:48
I started traveling less, doing less, using less.
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我開始少旅遊、少做、少消耗。
10:50
It felt like actually doing less was what we had to do.
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我發現我們該做的就是「少做」。
10:54
But it sat uneasy with me.
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但這很難做到,
10:56
It didn't feel right.
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覺得哪裡怪怪的。
10:57
It felt like we were buying ourselves time.
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好像我們只是在拖延時間,
11:00
We were eking things out a bit longer.
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只是讓資源可以用久一點。
11:02
Even if everybody changed, it wouldn't solve the problem.
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就算大家改變習慣,問題還是沒解決。
11:05
It wouldn't fix the system.
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整個大環境還是一樣。
11:07
It was vital in the transition, but what fascinated me was,
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轉型很重要,但我在想的是,
11:10
in the transition to what? What could actually work?
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要轉型成怎樣?怎樣才能解決問題?
11:14
It struck me that the system itself, the framework within which we live,
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我想到這個系統本身, 我們存在的這個架構,
11:19
is fundamentally flawed,
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本質是有缺陷的。
11:21
and I realized ultimately
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所以我最後明白,
11:24
that our operating system, the way our economy functions,
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整個經濟的運作模式,
11:27
the way our economy's been built, is a system in itself.
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「經濟」被建構成一個「系統」。
11:31
At sea, I had to understand complex systems.
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在海上,我必須了解複雜的系統。
11:34
I had to take multiple inputs,
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有很多輸入,
11:36
I had to process them,
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我去處理它們,
11:37
and I had to understand the system to win.
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我要更了解系統才能贏,
11:40
I had to make sense of it.
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我必須去理解。
11:42
And as I looked at our global economy, I realized it too is that system,
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所以我發現全球經濟也是個系統,
11:46
but it's a system that effectively can't run in the long term.
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卻不是個可以長久運作的系統。
11:50
And I realized we've been perfecting what's effectively a linear economy
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在過去 150 年,我們已經
11:54
for 150 years,
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把「線性經濟」發揮到極致:
11:56
where we take a material out of the ground,
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從地表下取出資源,
11:58
we make something out of it, and then ultimately
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做出點產品,然後最後用完了,
12:00
that product gets thrown away, and yes, we do recycle some of it,
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產品就被丟棄。 我們的確實有在回收,
12:04
but more an attempt to get out what we can at the end,
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但到最後只想試圖擺脫,
12:07
not by design.
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而不是有計畫再利用什麼。
12:09
It's an economy that fundamentally can't run in the long term,
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這種設計本來就不為了長久。
12:12
and if we know that we have finite materials,
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如果我們知道資源有限,
12:15
why would we build an economy that would effectively use things up,
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為什麼要用一個不斷丟棄,
12:18
that would create waste?
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然後會造成浪費的系統?
12:20
Life itself has existed for billions of years
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生命已經存在數十億年之久,
12:23
and has continually adapted to use materials effectively.
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不斷試著去有效運用資源。
12:27
It's a complex system, but within it, there is no waste.
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聽起來複雜, 但這樣就沒有所謂「垃圾」,
12:30
Everything is metabolized.
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每個產物被代謝掉了。
12:33
It's not a linear economy at all, but circular.
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不是「線性經濟」,而是「循環經濟」。
12:37
And I felt like the child in the garden.
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我就像當年坐在院子裡,
12:40
For the first time on this new journey, I could see exactly where we were headed.
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初次踏上新旅程, 我可以預見我們的發展。
12:45
If we could build an economy that would use things rather than use them up,
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如果經濟是「用」但不「用完」,
12:49
we could build a future that really could work in the long term.
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我們的未來就可以持續下去。
12:52
I was excited.
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我好興奮。
12:54
This was something to work towards.
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這是值得努力的目標。
12:56
We knew exactly where we were headed. We just had to work out how to get there,
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我們有目標, 只是要想怎麼達成,
13:00
and it was exactly with this in mind
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也就是這樣的想法,
13:02
that we created the Ellen MacArthur Foundation in September 2010.
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我們在 2010 年 9 月, 創辦了艾倫麥克阿瑟基金會。
13:07
Many schools of thought fed our thinking and pointed to this model:
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很多學派接受我們的論點,
13:11
industrial symbiosis, performance economy, sharing economy, biomimicry,
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並結合工業共棲、效益經濟、 共享經濟、生物擬態,
13:15
and of course, cradle-to-cradle design.
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當然,還有「搖籃到搖籃」的設計。
13:18
Materials would be defined as either technical or biological,
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物質被分為技術性或生物性,
13:22
waste would be designed out entirely,
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把浪費排除在設計之外,
13:25
and we would have a system that could function
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我們就可以有一個系統,
13:28
absolutely in the long term.
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長久地運轉下去。
13:30
So what could this economy look like?
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所以這種經濟會是怎樣呢?
13:33
Maybe we wouldn't buy light fittings, but we'd pay for the service of light,
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可能我們不買燈具, 但我們買「燈光」的服務,
13:37
and the manufacturers would recover the materials
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廠商就負責管理回收這些材料,
13:39
and change the light fittings when we had more efficient products.
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如果有更環保的燈具, 就由他們更換。
13:42
What if packaging was so nontoxic it could dissolve in water
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或是無毒、可被水分解的包裝,
13:45
and we could ultimately drink it? It would never become waste.
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最後可以喝掉,就沒有空瓶垃圾。
13:49
What if engines were re-manufacturable,
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或是組裝式的引擎,
13:51
and we could recover the component materials
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我們可以替換裡面的零件,
13:53
and significantly reduce energy demand.
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有效減少能源消耗。
13:55
What if we could recover components from circuit boards, reutilize them,
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如果可以替換、再利用電路板零件,
13:59
and then fundamentally recover the materials within them
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然後經過第二階段,
14:01
through a second stage?
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改變使用的素材。
14:03
What if we could collect food waste, human waste?
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2292
14:05
What if we could turn that into fertilizer, heat, energy,
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然後轉換成肥料、熱、能量,
14:08
ultimately reconnecting nutrients systems
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甚至重新建立養分的循環,
14:11
and rebuilding natural capital?
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恢復我們的自然資源。
14:14
And cars -- what we want is to move around.
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如果車子只是移動的手段,
14:17
We don't need to own the materials within them.
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我們不需要每個人都有車,
14:20
Could cars become a service
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未來可能以服務的形式,
14:21
and provide us with mobility in the future?
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購買「移動」這項產品。
14:25
All of this sounds amazing, but these aren't just ideas, they're real today,
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乍聽之下很神奇, 但這都是真實存在。
14:29
and these lie at the forefront of the circular economy.
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這就是「循環經濟」的核心。
14:31
What lies before us is to expand them and scale them up.
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4504
我們要做的是去擴充、升級。
14:36
So how would you shift from linear to circular?
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要怎麼從線性變成循環經濟呢?
14:39
Well, the team and I at the foundation thought you might want to work
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我們基金會的團隊就想,
14:43
with the top universities in the world,
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要和世界一流的院校合作、
14:45
with leading businesses within the world,
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2020
和世界知名的企業合作、
14:47
with the biggest convening platforms in the world,
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與世界最大的智庫平台合作、
14:49
and with governments.
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1002
還有各國政府。
14:50
We thought you might want to work with the best analysts
296
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2620
你可能想和專家共事,問他們:
14:53
and ask them the question,
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1254
你可能想和專家共事,問他們:
14:54
"Can the circular economy decouple growth from resource constraints?
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「循環經濟可以讓經濟成長, 不再受制於有限資源嗎?」
14:57
Is the circular economy able to rebuild natural capital?
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897514
3622
「循環經濟可以重建自然資本嗎?」
15:01
Could the circular economy replace current chemical fertilizer use?"
300
901136
3645
「「循環經濟可以取代化肥使用嗎?」
15:04
Yes was the answer to the decoupling,
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2346
答案:是的,
15:07
but also yes, we could replace current fertilizer use
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而且我們還可以取代現代化肥,
15:10
by a staggering 2.7 times.
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化肥使用也可以減少 2.7 倍。
15:14
But what inspired me most about the circular economy
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但循環經濟最讓我訝異的,
15:17
was its ability to inspire young people.
305
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2989
是對年輕人的啟發。
15:20
When young people see the economy through a circular lens,
306
920779
3135
當他們從這樣的角度看經濟,
15:23
they see brand new opportunities on exactly the same horizon.
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4536
他們在相同的議題上看見了新可能。
15:28
They can use their creativity and knowledge
308
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2605
他們用創意和知識,
15:31
to rebuild the entire system,
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2387
重建了整個系統。
15:33
and it's there for the taking right now,
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這就是大家該努力的目標,
15:35
and the faster we do this, the better.
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2456
而且越早行動越好。
15:38
So could we achieve this in their lifetimes?
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3070
在他們有生之年可能完成嗎?
15:41
Is it actually possible?
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2136
這真的可行嗎?
15:43
I believe yes.
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1510
我的答案是肯定的。
15:45
When you look at the lifetime of my great-grandfather, anything's possible.
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3839
在我曾祖父的年代,凡事都有可能。
15:49
When he was born, there were only 25 cars in the world;
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949574
3736
他出生的時候全世界只有 25 輛車,
15:53
they had only just been invented.
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2430
車才剛被發明。
15:55
When he was 14, we flew for the first time in history.
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3931
他 14 歲時, 人類第一次翱翔天際。
15:59
Now there are 100,000 charter flights
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959671
2489
現在每天
16:02
every single day.
320
962160
1946
有 10 萬架航班起降。
16:04
When he was 45, we built the first computer.
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3994
他 45 歲,人類有了第一台電腦。
16:08
Many said it wouldn't catch on, but it did, and just 20 years later
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3157
當時很多人都不看好, 但在短短 20 年
16:11
we turned it into a microchip
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2021
我們把它變成薄薄的晶片,
16:13
of which there will be thousands in this room here today.
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4202
相信在場就有上千片的晶片。
16:17
Ten years before he died, we built the first mobile phone.
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2879
他死前 10 年, 人類有了第一支行動電話,
16:20
It wasn't that mobile, to be fair,
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980359
1974
雖然剛開始很笨重,
16:22
but now it really is,
327
982333
1974
但現在太方便了。
16:24
and as my great-grandfather left this Earth, the Internet arrived.
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3970
在他過世那年,有了網路。
16:28
Now we can do anything,
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2113
現在我們無所不能,
16:30
but more importantly,
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1280
更重要的是,
16:31
now we have a plan.
331
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2315
我們也有了計畫。
16:33
Thank you.
332
993985
2005
謝謝!
16:36
(Applause)
333
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8641
(掌聲)
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