Let's clean up the space junk orbiting Earth | Natalie Panek

140,090 views ・ 2017-01-05

TED


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譯者: Qiao Ma 審譯者: Debra Liu
00:12
Our lives depend
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我們的生活依賴著
00:14
on a world we can't see.
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一個我們看不見的世界。
00:16
Think about your week so far.
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回想一下這一周 到目前為止的生活,
00:18
Have you watched TV, used GPS,
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是否曾看過電視, 使用過定位系統,
00:22
checked the weather or even ate a meal?
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查詢過天氣預報或甚至吃過飯?
00:25
These many things that enable our daily lives
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這些我們日常生活中的事物
00:28
rely either directly or indirectly
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都直接或間接地依賴著
00:31
on satellites.
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衛星設施。
而我們往往認為
00:33
And while we often take for granted
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這些衛星服務是應當的,
00:35
the services that satellites provide us,
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00:37
the satellites themselves deserve our attention
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這些設施更值得我們去注意。
00:40
as they are leaving a lasting mark
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因為它們正對它們所在的太空 留下持久的影響。
00:42
on the space they occupy.
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00:44
People around the world rely on satellite infrastructure every day
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世界各地的人 每天都依靠著衛星設施,
00:48
for information, entertainment and to communicate.
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獲取信息、娛樂和溝通交流。
00:52
There's agricultural and environmental monitoring,
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還有農業和環境監測,
00:55
Internet connectivity, navigation.
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網際網路連接,導航。
00:58
Satellites even play a role
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衛星甚至在
我們的財務和能源市場運作中 佔據一席之地。
01:00
in the operation of our financial and energy markets.
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但是我們每天都依賴著的這些衛星,
01:04
But these satellites that we rely on
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01:06
day in and day out
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01:07
have a finite life.
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它們的壽命是有限的。
01:09
They might run out of propellant,
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它們可能用完助推燃料,
01:11
they could malfunction,
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它們可能會出現故障,
01:12
or they may just naturally reach the end of their mission life.
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或者它們可能只是 到達了它們的使用壽命。
01:16
At this point, these satellites effectively become space junk,
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這個時候,這些衛星 會成為太空垃圾,
01:20
cluttering the orbital environment.
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雜亂地存在於軌道環境中。
01:23
So imagine you're driving down the highway on a beautiful, sunny day
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設想一下,一個美好的晴天 你開著車在高速路上行駛,
01:27
out running errands.
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01:28
You've got your music cranked,
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你播著音樂,
01:30
your windows rolled down,
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搖下車窗,
涼爽的微風在你的髮間吹過。
01:32
with the cool breeze blowing through your hair.
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01:34
Feels nice, right?
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感覺很好,對吧?
01:36
Everything is going smoothly
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一切都進行得很順利,
直到突然間, 在高速公路的正中間
01:39
until suddenly your car stutters and stalls
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01:41
right in the middle of the highway.
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你的汽車壞了。
現在你別無選擇 只能將它留在高速公路上。
01:44
So now you have no choice but to abandon your car
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01:47
where it is on the highway.
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01:50
Maybe you were lucky enough
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或許你很幸運的
01:51
to be able to move it out of the way and into a shoulder lane
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能夠將它移到路肩上,
01:54
so that it's out of the way of other traffic.
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這樣不會阻礙交通,
01:56
A couple of hours ago,
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幾個小時之前,
01:57
your car was a useful machine that you relied on in your everyday life.
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你的車還是你每天都依賴的 交通工具。
現在,它只是一堆無用的金屬,
02:03
Now, it's a useless hunk of metal
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02:05
taking up space in a valuable transportation network.
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佔用著寶貴的交通網絡的空間。
02:09
And imagine international roadways all cluttered with broken down vehicles
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試想一下,在國際公路上 亂停著許多故障車輛,
這只是阻礙了交通。
02:14
that are just getting in the way of other traffic.
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並設想一下, 如果有交通事故發生,
02:17
And imagine the debris that would be strewn everywhere
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02:19
if a collision actually happened,
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碰撞之後四處散落的碎片。
02:22
thousands of smaller pieces of debris
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成千上萬的小碎片
02:24
becoming new obstacles.
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將成為新的障礙。
02:27
This is the paradigm of the satellite industry.
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這是衛星行業的一個範例。
02:31
Satellites that are no longer working
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那些不再被使用的衛星,
02:33
are often left to deorbit over many, many years,
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往往被長久地遺留在軌道上,
02:37
or only moved out of the way as a temporary solution.
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或者僅僅被移到一旁 作為臨時解決方案。
02:40
And there are no international laws in space
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而且,在太空中沒有國際法律
來強制我們去清理它們。
02:43
to enforce us to clean up after ourselves.
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02:46
So the world's first satellite, Sputnik I,
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世界上第一個衛星 史普尼克 1 號
02:48
was launched in 1957,
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於 1957 年發射。
02:51
and in that year, there were only a total of three launch attempts.
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那一年, 一共只有三次發射嘗試。
02:55
Decades later and dozens of countries from all around the world
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數十年後,世界上許多國家
已經將更多的衛星推送上軌道。
02:59
have launched thousands of more satellites into orbit,
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03:02
and the frequency of launches is only going to increase in the future,
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在未來,衛星發射 只會越來越頻繁,
03:06
especially if you consider things like the possibility
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尤其是,如果你考慮到
03:08
of 900-plus satellite constellations being launched.
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發射 900 多顆衛星 成為一個衛星網是可行的。
03:13
Now, we send satellites to different orbits
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現在,我們會根據衛星的用途
03:15
depending on what they're needed for.
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將它們送至不同的軌道。
03:17
One of the most common places we send satellites
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我們發送衛星最常見的地方
是近地球軌道,
03:20
is the low Earth orbit,
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03:21
possibly to image the surface of Earth
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衛星在高度 2000 公里以內 拍攝地球表面圖像。
03:23
at up to about 2,000 kilometers altitude.
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03:26
Satellites there are naturally buffeted by Earth's atmosphere,
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在那裡的衛星會受到 地球大氣的阻礙,
03:30
so their orbits naturally decay,
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所以他們的運行高度會不斷降低,
最終會燃燒殆盡,
03:32
and they'll eventually burn up,
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03:33
probably within a couple of decades.
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整個過程大約是幾十年。
03:36
Another common place we send satellites
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另一個我們常將衛星發送去的地方是
03:38
is the geostationary orbit
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地球靜止軌道,
03:40
at about 35,000 kilometers altitude.
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高度大約在 35,000 公里。
03:43
Satellites there remain in the same place above Earth as the Earth rotates,
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在那裡衛星會與地球同步運轉,
03:47
which enables things like communications or television broadcast, for example.
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這使得諸如通信 或者電視廣播之類的事情成為可能。
03:52
Satellites in high orbits like these could remain there for centuries.
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衛星在那種高軌道可以停留數百年。
03:57
And then there's the orbit coined "the graveyard,"
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除此之外, 還有被成為「墳場」的軌道,
用於堆放太空垃圾的軌道。
04:01
the ominous junk or disposal orbits,
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04:03
where some satellites are intentionally placed
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在那裡會被蓄意放置一些 到達使用壽命的衛星,
04:06
at the end of their life
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04:07
so that they're out of the way of common operational orbits.
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而將軌道空出來 讓那些現用的衛星運行。
04:12
Of the nearly 7,000 satellites launched since the late 1950s,
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自 1950 年代末期, 已經發射了將近 7000 個衛星,
04:17
only about one in seven is currently operational,
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只有七分之一左右仍在運作。
04:21
and in addition to the satellites that are no longer working,
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並且除了那些不再運作的衛星之外,
04:24
there's also hundreds of thousands of marble-sized debris
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還有成千上萬的彈珠大小的碎屑,
04:27
and millions of paint chip-sized debris
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和數百萬的色卡大小的碎片,
04:30
that are also orbiting around the Earth.
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圍繞著地球旋轉。
04:32
Space debris is a major risk to space missions,
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太空碎片是太空任務的主要威脅,
04:35
but also to the satellites that we rely on each and every day.
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同樣也是我們每日依賴的 衛星的主要威脅。
04:40
Now, because space debris and junk has become increasingly worrisome,
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如今,因為太空碎片和垃圾 已讓人越來越擔憂,
04:43
there have been some national and international efforts
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有一些全國和國際性的工作,
04:46
to develop technical standards
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推出一些技術規範
幫助我們限制增加太空碎片。
04:48
to help us limit the generation of additional debris.
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04:51
So for example, there are recommendations
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例如,有些建議要求
04:53
for those low-Earth orbiting spacecraft
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那些近地球軌道航天器
04:55
to be made to deorbit in under 25 years,
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被設計成為 25 年內會完成脫軌,
04:59
but that's still a really long time,
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但這還是太久,
05:01
especially if a satellite hasn't been working for years.
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特別是如果一顆衛星 已經停止工作多年。
05:05
There's also mandates for those dead geostationary spacecraft
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對那些死掉的同步衛星, 還有一些強制要求,
05:08
to be moved into a graveyard orbit.
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要被移入墳場軌道。
05:11
But neither of these guidelines is binding under international law,
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但這些限制條件 都不具有國際法律的約束力,
05:15
and the understanding is that they will be implemented through national mechanisms.
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普遍的理解是它們會 通過國家機制實施。
這些指導方針也不是長期的,
05:20
These guidelines are also not long-term,
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05:22
they're not proactive,
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不是積極主動的,
05:23
nor do they address the debris that's already up there.
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它們也沒有處理已經在那裡的碎片。
05:27
They're only in place to limit the future creation of debris.
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它們只是被用於 限制未來產生的碎片。
05:31
Space junk is no one's responsibility.
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沒有任何人為太空垃圾負責任。
05:35
Now, Mount Everest is actually an interesting comparison
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現在,珠穆朗瑪峰是 一個有趣的例子,
05:38
of a new approach to how we interact with our environments,
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從一種新的視角 來比較我們與環境互相的影響,
05:41
as it's often given the dubious honor
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因為它經常被稱為
世界上最高的垃圾場。
05:44
of being the world's highest garbage dump.
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在世界最高峰 第一次被征服後的幾十年裡,
05:48
Decades after the first conquest of the world's highest peak,
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05:51
tons of rubbish left behind by climbers
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攀登者留下的眾多垃圾
05:53
has started to raise concern,
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已經開始引起人們的擔憂,
05:55
and you may have read in the news that there's speculation
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你或許已經看過新聞報導,
05:58
that Nepal will crack down on mountaineers
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尼泊爾可能對亂丟垃圾的登山者
06:00
with stricter enforcement of penalties and legal obligations.
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採取嚴厲的罰責及法律約束。
06:04
The goal, of course, is to persuade climbers
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這樣做的目的當然是 要說服登山者
自己清理自己產生的垃圾,
06:07
to clean up after themselves,
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06:09
so maybe local not-for-profits will pay climbers who bring down extra waste,
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因此可能當地非營利組織會向那些 從山上帶下額外垃圾的人支付獎勵,
或者考察隊將會組織志願者 前去清理垃圾。
06:14
or expeditions might organize voluntary cleanup trips.
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然而儘管如此,許多登山者認為
06:18
And yet still many climbers feel
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06:20
that independent groups should police themselves.
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各個團體應該自行監管。
對此尚未有一個簡單的解決方案,
06:24
There's no simple or easy answer,
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06:26
and even well-intentioned efforts at conservation
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甚至善意致力於保育,
經常都會變成問題。
06:30
often run into problems.
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06:32
But that doesn't mean we shouldn't do everything in our power
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但是這不意味著 我們可以無所作為
06:35
to protect the environments that we rely and depend on,
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來保護我們依賴和生存的環境,
06:39
and like Everest, the remote location and inadequate infrastructure
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與珠穆朗瑪峰類似,
太空軌道太遙遠、建設不完善,
06:43
of the orbital environment
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06:44
make waste disposal a challenging problem.
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使得廢物處理成為了 頗具挑戰的問題。
06:47
But we simply cannot reach new heights
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但是我們不能 隨便就到達一個新高度,
06:50
and create an even higher garbage dump,
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然後創建一個更高的垃圾堆積場,
06:53
one that's out of this world.
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在地球之外。
06:57
The reality of space
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太空中的現實是,
06:58
is that if a component on a satellite breaks down,
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如果一個衛星的構件損壞,
只有很少的機會能對其進行維修,
07:01
there really are limited opportunities for repairs,
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而且需要花費大量的金錢。
07:04
and only at great cost.
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07:06
But what if we were smarter about how we designed satellites?
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可是我們在設計衛星的時候 能不能更聰明一些,
07:10
What if all satellites,
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是否所有的衛星,
07:11
regardless of what country they were built in,
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無論是哪個國家製造的,
07:13
had to be standardized in some way
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都必須被標準化設計成為
07:15
for recycling, servicing
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可回收的,提供維修服務的,
07:18
or active deorbiting?
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或者會主動脫離軌道的?
07:20
What if there actually were international laws with teeth
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是否能有強有力的國際法律,
來強制處理那些 在使命結束後被拋棄的衛星,
07:24
that enforced end-of-life disposal of satellites
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07:26
instead of moving them out of the way
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而不是採用臨時的辦法
將它們移出軌道?
07:29
as a temporary solution?
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07:31
Or maybe satellite manufacturers need to be charged a deposit
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又是否衛星生產商需要被徵收 一筆垃圾處理費,
07:34
to even launch a satellite into orbit,
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從而才能發射衛星?
07:36
and that deposit would only be returned
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而且那筆費用只有在 衛星被適當的處理後,
07:39
if the satellite was disposed of properly
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07:41
or if they cleaned up some quota of debris.
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或者他們清理掉 一些碎片時才能被退還。
07:45
Or maybe a satellite needs to have technology on board
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或者衛星需要配備某些科技,
來幫助加速脫軌進程。
07:48
to help accelerate deorbit.
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07:50
There are some encouraging signs.
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現在有一些令人激勵的跡象。
比如說,英國 2014 年發射的 TechDemoSat-1 衛星,
07:53
The UK's TechDemoSat-1, launched in 2014, for example,
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07:57
was designed for end-of-life disposal
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透過一個很小的拖曳帆,
07:59
via a small drag sail.
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在使命結束後會自我處理。
08:01
This works for the satellite because it's small,
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這個設計可行是因為 這是一個小衛星。
08:04
but satellites that are higher or in larger orbits
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但是對於在更高、更大軌道的衛星,
08:07
or are larger altogether, like the size of school buses,
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或者更遠更大的衛星, 比如說像校車那麼大的,
08:10
will require other disposal options.
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則需要其它的處理方式。
08:13
So maybe you get into things like high-powered lasers
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所以或許你會想到使用高強鐳射光線
08:16
or tugging using nets or tethers,
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或者使用網或細繩去拖拉,
那些在短期內聽起來 盡可能瘋狂的想法。
08:18
as crazy as those sound in the short term.
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一個非常可行而炫酷的想法是
08:21
And then one really cool possibility
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一輛在太空軌道上運行的 拖車或機械裝置。
08:23
is the idea of orbital tow trucks or space mechanics.
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08:26
Imagine if a robotic arm
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想像如果有個機械手臂
08:28
on some sort of space tow truck
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裝在一輛類似太空拖車的裝置上,
08:30
could fix the broken components on a satellite,
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可以修理那些受損壞的衛星,
08:32
making them usable again.
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使他們恢復正常。
08:35
Or what if that very same robotic arm
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或者那個機械手臂
08:37
could refuel the propellant tank on a spacecraft
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可以給那些借助化學劑推進的 太空飛行器加燃料,
08:39
that relies on chemical propulsion
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08:41
just like you or I would refuel the fuel tanks on our cars?
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就像我們給汽車加油一樣。
08:45
Robotic repair and maintenance
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機器人維修和維護,
08:47
could extend the lives of hundreds of satellites orbiting around the Earth.
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可以延長數百顆 繞行地球的衛星的壽命。
08:52
Whatever the disposal or cleanup options we come up with,
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無論我們選擇哪種處理或清理方式,
08:55
it's clearly not just a technical problem.
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很明顯都不僅僅是技術問題。
08:58
There's also complex space laws and politics that we have to sort out.
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我們還需要理清更加複雜的 太空法和政治問題。
09:03
Simply put, we haven't found a way to use space sustainably yet.
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簡單來說,我們還沒有找到 一種可永續使用太空的方法。
09:08
Exploring, innovating to change the way we live and work
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不斷的探索、創新來改變 我們生活和工作的方式,
09:11
are what we as humans do,
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是我們作為人類的使命。
09:13
and in space exploration,
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同時在對太空探索,
真的已經超出了地球的範圍。
09:15
we're literally moving beyond the boundaries of Earth.
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09:18
But as we push thresholds in the name of learning and innovation,
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然而在我們以學習和創新的名義 不斷推進的時候,
我們必須牢記 我們對環境的責任從未消失。
09:22
we must remember that accountability for our environments never goes away.
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09:28
There is without doubt congestion in the low Earth and geostationary orbits,
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近地軌道或地球靜止軌道上 衛星擁擠的狀況是毋庸置疑的,
09:32
and we cannot keep launching new satellites
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我們不能一味的發射新衛星
去取代那些已經報廢的,
09:35
to replace the ones that have broken down
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09:37
without doing something about them first,
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卻不先對它們採取任何措施。
09:39
just like we would never leave a broken down car
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就像我們從來不會將一輛壞車 停留在高速公路的中間一樣。
09:41
in the middle of the highway.
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09:43
Next time you use your phone,
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下一次當你使用你的手機,
09:45
check the weather or use your GPS,
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查詢天氣預報或者使用 GPS 定位,
09:47
think about the satellite technologies that make those activities possible.
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想一下那些使得這些 成為可能的衛星科技。
但同時也要想一下
09:52
But also think about the very impact
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衛星對地球周圍環境的影響。
09:54
that the satellites have on the environment surrounding Earth,
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09:57
and help spread the message that together we must reduce our impact.
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請各位幫忙傳播這個信息, 我們必須協力減少太空垃圾的影響。
緊鄰地球的軌道無比美麗,
10:02
Earth orbit is breathtakingly beautiful
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10:04
and our gateway to exploration.
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也是我們探索太空的門戶。
10:07
It's up to us to keep it that way.
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我們有責任保護太空。
謝謝。
10:11
Thank you.
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10:12
(Applause)
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(掌聲)
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