请双击下面的英文字幕来播放视频。
翻译人员: Wanna Shi
校对人员: Lipeng Chen
00:12
Let's play a game.
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我们来玩个游戏。
00:14
Imagine that you are in Las Vegas,
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假设你现在
在拉斯维加斯的一个赌场里,
00:17
in a casino,
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00:19
and you decide to play a game
on one of the casino's computers,
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而且你决定要在赌场内的
某台电脑上玩游戏,
00:23
just like you might play
solitaire or chess.
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你可能会玩纸牌或者象棋。
00:26
The computer can make moves
in the game, just like a human player.
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电脑能像真人玩家一样,
在游戏中出牌或走棋。
00:30
This is a coin game.
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这是一个硬币游戏。
00:32
It starts with a coin showing heads,
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首先,一个硬币正面朝上,
00:35
and the computer will play first.
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电脑会先开始玩。
00:37
It can choose to flip the coin or not,
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电脑可以选择
把硬币翻过来或者不翻,
00:40
but you don't get to see the outcome.
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但是你看不到结果。
00:43
Next, it's your turn.
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接下来就轮到你了。
00:44
You can also choose
to flip the coin or not,
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你也可以选择
把硬币翻过来或者不翻,
00:47
and your move will not be revealed
to your opponent, the computer.
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而你的选择不会
被透露给你的对手(电脑)。
00:51
Finally, the computer plays again,
and can flip the coin or not,
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接下来,又轮到电脑做选择:
把硬币翻过来或者不翻。
00:55
and after these three rounds,
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三轮过后,
00:58
the coin is revealed,
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硬币的朝向会被揭晓。
01:00
and if it is heads, the computer wins,
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如果正面朝上,那电脑就赢了;
01:03
if it's tails, you win.
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如果反面朝上,那你就赢了。
01:06
So it's a pretty simple game,
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这是一个非常简单的游戏,
01:07
and if everybody plays honestly,
and the coin is fair,
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如果每个人都老实参与游戏,
而且硬币也是质地均匀的,
01:11
then you have a 50 percent chance
of winning this game.
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那你赢得这场游戏的概率是50%。
01:15
And to confirm that,
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为了确认这一点,
01:17
I asked my students to play
this game on our computers,
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我让我的学生在我们的
电脑上玩了这个游戏。
01:20
and after many, many tries,
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尝试了很多很多次之后,
01:22
their winning rate ended up
being 50 percent, or close to 50 percent,
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他们的获胜率恰巧为50%
或者接近50%,
01:26
as expected.
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意料之中。
01:28
Sounds like a boring game, right?
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这个游戏听起来有些无聊,是吧?
01:30
But what if you could play this game
on a quantum computer?
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但是,如果你能在量子计算机上
玩这个游戏,那会怎样呢?
01:34
Now, Las Vegas casinos
do not have quantum computers,
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目前,据我所知,
拉斯维加斯的赌场并没有量子计算机,
01:37
as far as I know,
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01:39
but IBM has built
a working quantum computer.
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不过IBM已经制造了一台
可以正常运行的量子计算机。
01:42
Here it is.
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就是这台。
01:44
But what is a quantum computer?
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什么是量子计算机呢?
01:46
Well, quantum physics describes
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量子力学研究
01:49
the behavior of atoms
and fundamental particles,
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原子和基本粒子,如电子、光子的
01:53
like electrons and photons.
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运动规律。
01:55
So a quantum computer operates
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量子计算机通过
控制这些粒子的运动
01:57
by controlling the behavior
of these particles,
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来实现运行,
02:00
but in a way that is completely different
from our regular computers.
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但其运行方式
与普通电脑截然不同。
02:04
So a quantum computer
is not just a more powerful version
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量子计算机可不只是
02:08
of our current computers,
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现有电脑的加强版,
02:10
just like a light bulb
is not a more powerful candle.
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就像电灯泡不是
蜡烛的加强版一样。
02:14
You cannot build a light bulb
by building better and better candles.
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即使你不断地改良蜡烛,
也做不出电灯泡。
电灯泡需要完全不同的技术,
02:19
A light bulb is a different technology,
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02:21
based on deeper scientific understanding.
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基于更深层次的科学认识。
02:23
Similarly, a quantum computer
is a new kind of device,
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同样,量子计算机是
一种基于量子力学的
02:27
based on the science of quantum physics,
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全新设备;
02:30
and just like a light bulb
transformed society,
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就像电灯泡带来了社会变革,
02:33
quantum computers
have the potential to impact
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量子计算机也很可能
02:36
so many aspects of our lives,
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会影响人类生活的方方面面,
02:38
including our security needs,
our health care and even the internet.
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如安全需求、卫生保健、
甚至是互联网。
02:42
So companies all around the world
are working to build these devices,
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因此,全球数家公司
正在研发量子计算机,
量子计算机究竟为何
让我们如此激动?
02:47
and to see what
the excitement is all about,
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02:49
let's play our game on a quantum computer.
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我们在量子计算机上玩个游戏看看。
02:52
So I can log into IBM's
quantum computer from right here,
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我可以就地登入
IBM的量子计算机,
02:57
which means I can play the game remotely,
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也就是说,
我可以远程玩游戏,
03:00
and so can you.
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你也可以。
首先,要记得提前
从TED获得一个邮箱,
03:02
To make this happen, you may remember
getting an email ahead of time, from TED,
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03:07
asking you whether you would choose
to flip the coin or not,
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你参与游戏的话,
邮箱信息会问你是否要翻转硬币。
03:11
if you played the game.
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实际上,我们会问你
要选圆圈还是方块。
03:13
Well, actually, we asked you to choose
between a circle or a square.
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03:17
You didn't know it, but your choice
of circle meant "flip the coin,"
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你事先并不知道,
不过你选圆圈就是要把硬币翻面,
03:21
and your choice of square
was "don't flip."
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你选方块就是不翻面。
03:24
We received 372 responses.
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我们收到了372条回复。
03:27
Thank you.
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在此要谢谢大家的参与。
03:28
That means we can play 372 games
against the quantum computer
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这意味着我们可以用你们的选择
跟量子计算机玩372把游戏。
03:33
using your choices.
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03:34
And it's a pretty fast game to play,
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这个游戏很快就能结束,
03:37
so I can show you the results right here.
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我现在就可以给你们看结果。
03:40
Unfortunately, you didn't do very well.
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不幸的是,你们运气不太好。
03:42
(Laughter)
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(笑声)
03:44
The quantum computer won
almost every game.
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量子计算机在每轮游戏中基本都会赢。
只输了几把,而这是计算机
自身的操作错误造成的。
03:48
It lost a few only because
of operational errors in the computer.
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03:51
(Laughter)
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(笑声)
03:53
So how did it achieve
this amazing winning streak?
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那么,量子计算机怎么能够
如此惊人的接连获胜呢?
03:58
It seems like magic or cheating,
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看起来像是魔术或作弊一样,
04:00
but actually, it's just
quantum physics in action.
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但实际上,这是因为
量子力学在发挥作用。
04:03
Here's how it works.
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操作如下:
04:05
A regular computer simulates
heads or tails of a coin as a bit,
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普通计算机用比特
模仿硬币的正面或反面,
04:10
a zero or a one,
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即0或者1,
04:12
or a current flipping on and off
inside your computer chip.
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或是用电脑芯片内的
电流供断来模仿。
04:16
A quantum computer
is completely different.
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量子计算机则全然不同。
量子比特更易变,
具有非二进制特性,
04:19
A quantum bit has a more fluid,
nonbinary identity.
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能以0和1叠加,
或者说组合的形式存在,
04:24
It can exist in a superposition,
or a combination of zero and one,
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04:30
with some probability of being zero
and some probability of being one.
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有可能为0,
有可能为1。
04:35
In other words,
its identity is on a spectrum.
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换句话说,
其特性处于一个范围内。
04:38
For example, it could have
a 70 percent chance of being zero
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比如说,它有70%的可能性是0,
04:42
and a 30 percent chance of being one
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和30%的可能性是1,
04:44
or 80-20 or 60-40.
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也可能是八二分或六四分,,
有无穷的可能性。
04:49
The possibilities are endless.
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04:51
The key idea here
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关键是
04:53
is that we have to give up
on precise values of zero and one
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我们需要放弃绝对的0和1,
04:57
and allow for some uncertainty.
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接受一些不确定性。
04:59
So during the game,
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所以在玩游戏时,
05:01
the quantum computer creates
this fluid combination of heads and tails,
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量子计算机创造了正面和反面,
即0和1的易变组合。
05:06
zero and one,
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05:07
so that no matter what the player does,
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所以不论玩家怎么选,
05:09
flip or no flip,
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将硬币翻面与否,
05:10
the superposition remains intact.
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叠加均不受影响。
05:13
It's kind of like stirring
a mixture of two fluids.
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就像是搅拌两种液体的混合物。
05:17
Whether or not you stir,
the fluids remain in a mixture,
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不论你搅拌与否,
两种液体仍在混合物中,
05:22
but in its final move,
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但是在最后一步,
05:24
the quantum computer
can unmix the zero and one,
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量子计算机可以把混合的0和1分开,
05:28
perfectly recovering heads
so that you lose every time.
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让硬币正面朝上,
所以你每次都赢不了。
05:32
(Laughter)
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(笑声)
05:34
If you think this is all a bit weird,
you are absolutely right.
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如果你觉得这很奇怪,那就对了。
05:38
Regular coins do not exist
in combinations of heads and tails.
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普通硬币并没有
两面同时朝上这种状态。
我们在日常生活中也
从未经历过这种不确定的
05:43
We do not experience
this fluid quantum reality
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05:47
in our everyday lives.
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量子实际状态。
05:49
So if you are confused by quantum,
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所以如果你对量子感到困惑,
05:51
don't worry, you're getting it.
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不用担心,你终究会明白的。
05:53
(Laughter)
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(笑声)
05:56
But even though we don't experience
quantum strangeness,
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不过即便我们没有
见识过量子的奇特之处,
06:00
we can see its very real
effects in action.
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我们还是能看到
其实实在在的影响。
06:04
You've seen the data for yourself.
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你们也亲眼看到游戏结果了。
06:06
The quantum computer won
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量子计算机赢了,
06:08
because it harnessed
superposition and uncertainty,
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因为量子计算机利用了
叠加和不确定性,
06:12
and these quantum properties are powerful,
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而这些量子特性非常强大。
06:15
not just to win coin games,
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不仅仅能在硬币游戏中获胜,
06:17
but also to build
future quantum technologies.
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也能创造未来的量子技术。
06:21
So let me give you three examples
of potential applications
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量子技术的潜在应用
能够改变我们的生活,
06:24
that could change our lives.
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我来举三个例子。
首先,量子不确定性
可以用来创造私钥,
06:27
First of all, quantum uncertainty
could be used to create private keys
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06:32
for encrypting messages
sent from one location to another
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将从一个地方发到
另一个地方的信息加密,
06:36
so that hackers could not
secretly copy the key perfectly,
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这样黑客就不能偷偷
完全复制这个私钥了,
06:41
because of quantum uncertainty.
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就是因为量子具有不确定性。
06:43
They would have to break
the laws of quantum physics
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要想获得私钥,黑客得先打破
06:47
to hack the key.
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量子力学法则。
06:49
So this kind of unbreakable encryption
is already being tested by banks
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目前全球银行和其他机构已经在测试
这种无法破解的加密方法了。
06:54
and other institutions worldwide.
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06:57
Today, we use more than 17 billion
connected devices globally.
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当前,全球的联网设备多达170亿台。
07:03
Just imagine the impact quantum encryption
could have in the future.
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大家可以试想一下量子加密
在未来的影响力会有多大。
07:08
Secondly, quantum technologies could also
transform health care and medicine.
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其次,量子技术也能改变
医疗保健和医药行业。
07:14
For example, the design and analysis
of molecules for drug development
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比如,在药物研发过程中
设计和分析分子
07:19
is a challenging problem today,
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迄今仍是一个极具挑战的难题,
07:22
and that's because
exactly describing and calculating
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因为要准确描述和计算
07:27
all of the quantum properties
of all the atoms in the molecule
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分子中所有原子的
所有量子特性,
07:31
is a computationally difficult task,
even for our supercomputers.
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从计算角度而言是一个极难的任务,
对于我们的超级计算机而言也不例外。
07:35
But a quantum computer could do better,
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但是量子计算机更胜一筹,
07:37
because it operates using
the same quantum properties
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因为量子计算机运行时
07:40
as the molecule it's trying to simulate.
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运用了与其试图模拟的分子
相同的量子特性。
07:43
So future large-scale quantum
simulations for drug development
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所以在未来的药物研发中,
大规模量子模拟
07:48
could perhaps lead to treatments
for diseases like Alzheimer's,
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或许有助于治疗
影响成千上万人的疾病,
07:51
which affects thousands of lives.
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如阿尔兹海默症。
07:54
And thirdly, my favorite
quantum application
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第三,我个人最喜欢的量子应用是
07:57
is teleportation of information
from one location to another
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量子瞬移,即将信息
从一个地点传送到另一个地点,
而不需要实际的传播途径。
08:02
without physically transmitting
the information.
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08:05
Sounds like sci-fi, but it is possible,
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听起来就像科幻小说,
但这是可能实现的,
08:09
because these fluid identities
of the quantum particles
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因为这些量子粒子的易变特性
08:13
can get entangled across space and time
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能跨越时空发生纠缠,
08:16
in such a way that when you change
something about one particle,
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这样你更改一个粒子的某些东西时,
08:20
it can impact the other,
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也会影响另一个粒子,
08:21
and that creates
a channel for teleportation.
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这就创造出了量子瞬移通道。
08:25
It's already been demonstrated
in research labs
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研究实验室已经就此进行了证实,
08:27
and could be part
of a future quantum internet.
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这将构成未来量子网络的一部分。
08:31
We don't have such a network as yet,
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我们现在还没有这样的网络,
08:34
but my team is working
on these possibilities,
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不过我的团队正在
为了这些可能性而努力,
08:37
by simulating a quantum network
on a quantum computer.
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在量子计算机上模拟量子网络。
我们设计实施了
一些有趣的新网络协议,
08:42
So we have designed and implemented
some interesting new protocols
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08:46
such as teleportation
among different users in the network
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如不同网络用户间的量子瞬移
08:51
and efficient data transmission
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和高效数据传输,
甚至还包括安全投票。
08:54
and even secure voting.
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08:56
So it's a lot of fun for me,
being a quantum physicist.
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当一名量子物理学家,
我觉得很好玩,
08:59
I highly recommend it.
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也极力推荐大家跟随我的脚步。
09:00
(Laughter)
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(笑声)
09:02
We get to be explorers
in a quantum wonderland.
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让我们一同探索神奇的量子世界。
09:05
Who knows what applications
we will discover next.
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谁知道接下来我们又会
发现什么样的应用呢?
09:09
We must tread carefully and responsibly
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打造量子未来时,
09:12
as we build our quantum future.
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我们务必要谨慎负责。
09:14
And for me, personally,
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就我个人而言,
09:16
I don't see quantum physics as a tool
just to build quantum computers.
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我并不只把量子力学
当做是制造量子计算机的工具,
09:22
I see quantum computers as a way
for us to probe the mysteries of nature
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而是将使用量子计算机
视作探索自然奥秘、
09:27
and reveal more about this hidden world
outside of our experiences.
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揭示未知世界的方法。
09:31
How amazing that we humans,
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人类是多么的伟大,
09:33
with our relatively limited
access to the universe,
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虽然我们了解浩瀚宇宙的渠道有限,
09:36
can still see far beyond our horizons
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但是凭我们的想象力与创造力,
09:39
just using our imagination
and our ingenuity.
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我们能够不断拓宽视野。
09:42
And the universe rewards us
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而浩瀚的宇宙会也会回报我们,
09:44
by showing us how incredibly
interesting and surprising it is.
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向我们展示它有趣又惊艳的一面。
从根本上来说,未来具有不确定性;
09:49
The future is fundamentally uncertain,
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09:52
and to me, that is certainly exciting.
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对我来说,这着实激动人心。
09:56
Thank you.
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谢谢大家。
09:57
(Applause)
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(掌声)
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