Let's launch a satellite to track a threatening greenhouse gas | Fred Krupp

67,234 views ・ 2018-09-27

TED


请双击下面的英文字幕来播放视频。

翻译人员: Yolanda Zhang 校对人员: Lipeng Chen
00:13
We've got a big problem on our hands with global warming.
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全球变暖是我们目前 面临的一个大问题。
00:16
A lot of you, a lot of people have been watching the floods,
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包括在座的各位, 我们很多人都目睹了洪水,
00:21
the droughts, the storms, the fires.
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干旱,风暴和山火 如何在我们的土地上肆虐。
00:26
When I leave this stage today, I don't want you to have hope.
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在我的演讲结束后, 我并不想让大家抱有希望。
00:32
I want you to have certainty, real certainty
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我希望你们能够十分确信,
00:36
that we can make a dent in this problem and live to see it.
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我们找到了解决问题的可靠途径。
00:42
I want to give you a vision of what that would look like.
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我想给你们一个 关于这个途径的愿景。
00:46
This is the first time we've shared this publicly.
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这是我们第一次公开分享这一信息。
00:50
You're the first audience to hear it.
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你们是第一批听到它的观众。
00:54
We are going to launch a rocket.
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我们会发射一枚火箭。
00:57
And on that rocket will be a satellite.
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火箭上会携带一颗卫星。
00:59
And that satellite will collect data about pollution
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这颗卫星能够搜集导致全球变暖的
01:02
that is warming the planet.
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污染数据。
01:05
We will put that data in the hands of people
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这些数据会被送到能够
01:08
who can make simple fixes
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以简便的方式,
01:12
that will change the course of global warming in our lifetime.
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在我们的有生之年改变 全球变暖进程的人们手中。
01:17
That's a lot to take in, maybe I should back up.
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上面这段话包含了太多信息, 我们还是从头开始吧。
01:21
First, let me introduce myself, I'm Fred,
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首先,我想做个自我介绍,我叫弗雷德,
01:23
I've been an environmentalist since I was a kid,
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我从童年时期就 已经是个环保主义者了,
01:26
when I watched the fish and the frogs in my neighborhood pond
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我曾经目睹了 社区池塘里的鱼和青蛙因为
01:29
die from a chemical spill.
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化学物质倾泻而死亡。
01:32
That bothered me.
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这让我十分忧虑。
01:34
Later, a professor inspired me to think about environmentalism differently.
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后来,一位教授启发了我 以不同的方式思考环境保护论。
01:41
How the best solutions come from
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如何通过应对人们对繁荣的渴望
01:44
answering people's aspirations for prosperity,
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得到最佳解决方案,
01:47
things like being safe and healthy and thriving in this world.
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比如安全,健康,生机勃勃的 生活在这个世界上。
01:54
So I joined the Environmental Defense Fund to build those kind of solutions.
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于是我加入了环境保卫基金, 试图打造出这样的解决方案。
01:59
And I've worked my whole career for a moment like this --
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我的整个职业生涯都致力于 实现这样的时刻——
02:03
the moment, when we can stop fighting headwinds
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我们能够停止顶风对抗,
02:07
and start to have the wind at our backs.
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开始乘风向前,让难题迎刃而解。
02:10
Because of the power of information,
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因为我们有了信息的力量,
02:13
information from technology
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先进技术提供的信息
02:15
that is coming down in price and going up in precision.
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成本日益降低, 精确度也在不断提高。
02:21
You see, there's something about climate change that we didn't grasp
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很明显,有些关于气候变化的问题
02:24
just a decade ago.
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我们在十年前还没有注意到。
02:26
The world was so focused on carbon dioxide
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全世界都过分关注二氧化碳,
02:30
that we overlooked another important gas.
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却忽略了另外一个重要的气体。
02:34
We didn't appreciate methane.
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我们没有重视甲烷。
02:37
Methane pollution causes one quarter of the global warming
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甲烷污染占据了我们目前面临的
02:40
that we're experiencing right now.
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全球变暖问题的四分之一。
02:43
Pound for pound, its immediate impact is far greater than carbon dioxide.
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甲烷泄露,其立竿见影的 影响远超二氧化碳,
02:49
Eighty four times greater over a 20-year period.
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并在过去的20年期间增加了84倍。
02:56
One of the largest sources of methane pollution
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甲烷污染的最大的源头之一
02:58
is the oil and gas industry.
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就是油气工业。
03:01
But that's not obvious, because methane is invisible.
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但是这很难被察觉, 因为甲烷是透明的。
03:05
Let's take a look at this natural gas storage facility
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我们来看看洛杉矶城外这个
03:08
outside of Los Angeles.
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天然气储存设施,
03:10
Can you see the methane?
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能看到甲烷泄露吗?
03:14
Neither can I.
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我也看不到。
03:15
How about now?
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现在呢?
03:17
We shot this using an infrared camera, at the same spot,
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我们在同一地点 用红外摄像机拍摄,
03:21
exposing one of the worst methane leaks in the history of the United States.
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揭露了美国历史上 最严重的甲烷泄露之一。
03:26
That's a very different picture.
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与之前看到的不同, 这个画面触目惊心。
03:29
It turns out that natural gas is displacing our dependence on coal,
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天然气正在取代我们对煤炭的依赖,
03:33
which emits far more carbon dioxide.
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后者在燃烧过程中 会释放更多二氧化碳。
03:37
But natural gas is mostly methane.
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但是天然气的主要成分就是甲烷。
03:40
So, as it's produced and processed
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在全美国境内,甲烷被生产,
03:42
and transported to homes and businesses across America,
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处理和运输至若干家庭和企业,
03:47
it escapes from wells and pipes and other equipment.
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同时不断从井口,管道以及 其他设施中泄露出来,
03:53
It gets up into the sky and contributes
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在空气中扩散,导致了我们
03:56
to the disasters that we're now experiencing.
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正在面临的很多灾害。
04:00
That does not have to happen.
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而这一切都是可以避免的。
04:03
But nobody had paid much attention to it
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但是在我们针对这个问题开展了
04:05
until we launched a nationwide study to understand the problem.
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一个全国范围的研究之前, 人们却几乎没怎么关注过它。
04:10
We used drones, planes, helicopters, even Google Street View cars.
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我们动用了无人机,飞机, 直升机,甚至谷歌街景车。
04:16
It turns out there's far more of this methane pollution
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结果发现甲烷污染的现象 比政府报告的
04:19
than what the government is reporting.
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要远远普遍得多。
04:22
It also turns out that when we find where the gas is being vented and leaked,
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我们还发现,我们 找到的气体泄露的源头,
04:29
most of those sources can be fixed easily and inexpensively,
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大部分都能够通过 简单廉价的方式处理,
04:33
saving the gas that would have otherwise been wasted.
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防止气体被白白浪费掉。
04:38
And finally, we learn that when you put information like that into people's hands,
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最终,我们发现 把这些信息交到人们手中,
04:43
they act.
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他们都会采取行动。
04:45
Leading companies replaced valves and tightened loose-fitting pipes.
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行业领导者们替换了阀门, 并加固了衔接处不够牢固的管道。
04:50
Colorado became the first state in the nation to limit methane pollution;
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科罗拉多是第一个 限制甲烷污染的州;
04:54
California followed suit, and the public joined in.
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加州紧随其后, 接着大家都参与了进来。
04:59
Tweets started flying -- #cutmethane.
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推特上也开始关注这一话题 ——#控制甲烷。
05:04
And everybody's paying more attention now.
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人们也开始更关注这个问题。
05:09
We're doing this because we can't wait for Washington, especially not now.
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我们自发开始行动,因为等不及华盛顿 方面的回应,尤其在现在这个时期。
05:16
In fact, we have to take what we've done so far
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事实上,我们不得不将现有的技术
05:22
and go higher, to the sky.
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运用在高空中。
05:25
The United Stated represents about 10 percent of this pollution.
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美国本土代表了10%的甲烷污染规模。
05:30
To find the rest, we have to go global.
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要处理余下的部分, 我们需要放眼全球。
05:33
Remember that rocket I mentioned?
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还记得我提到的火箭吗?
05:35
It will launch a compact satellite, called MethaneSAT,
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它会发射一个精巧的卫星, 叫做甲烷SAT,
05:39
to do what no one has been able to do until now:
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这个卫星要去完成一个 史上从未执行过的任务:
05:43
measure methane pollution from oil and gas facilities worldwide,
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高精度测量全球油气开采设施的
05:48
with exacting precision.
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甲烷污染。
05:50
Its data stream will allow us to map that pollution,
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它提供的数据流能够 让我们测绘出污染的情况,
05:54
so that everyone can see it.
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这样所有人都能看到。
05:56
Then it's all about turning data into action,
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下一步就要把数据转换成行动,
05:59
just as we did in the United States.
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正如我们在美国实践过的那样。
06:01
We've seen that when we present companies with data,
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我们已经见证了 把数据展示给企业时,
06:06
many of them will cut the pollution.
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他们当中大部分都会配合减少污染。
06:10
Citizens will be empowered to take action;
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市民们会被激励而采取行动;
06:13
governments will tighten the regulations.
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政府部门会制定更严格的规定。
06:17
And because all of our data will be free and public,
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并且由于我们的所有数据 都是免费和公开的,
06:21
there will be transparency --
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这就提供了足够的透明度——
06:22
we'll all be able to see how much progress is being made and where.
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我们都可以看到在哪里, 取得了多大的进展。
06:27
Which brings me to our goal:
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这一切都能帮助实现我们的目标:
06:29
to cut this methane pollution by 45 percent by 2025.
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到2025年,降低45%的甲烷污染。
06:35
(Applause)
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(掌声)
06:42
That will have the same near-term impact
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这就相当于短期内在全世界
06:46
as shutting down 1,300 coal-fired power plants.
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关闭1300个火力发电厂产生的效果。
06:51
That's one third of all the coal-fired power plants in the world.
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差不多是全球火力发电厂 数量的三分之一。
06:55
Nothing else can have this sort of near-term impact at such a low cost.
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没有任何一种措施能够以如此 低成本,在短期内产生这样的影响。
07:02
The fact that a single satellite
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一个卫星就能帮助我们
07:04
can help us put the brakes on global warming is truly remarkable.
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减缓全球变暖进程,这太不可思议了。
07:10
This is our chance to create change in our lifetimes,
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我们有能力在有生之年做出改变,
07:14
and we can do it now.
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现在就可以。
07:17
Thanks to the generous giving of the Audacious Project,
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感谢“大胆项目”的慷慨支持,
07:20
we are on a path toward liftoff.
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我们正朝着发射的目标迈进。
07:23
But my time is running short, and I promised you a vision
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不过我的演讲快结束了, 我刚才承诺给各位了一个愿景,
07:27
of what a critical piece of the solution would look like.
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关于解决途径的 一个重要部分是什么。
07:32
Can you see it?
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你们看到了吗?
07:35
Can you see how this satellite leverages
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你们看到这个卫星如何综合利用
07:37
the best of science and data and technology?
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科学,数据和技术 最精彩的地方了吗?
07:42
Can you see we're entering a whole new era of innovation
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你们看到我们正在步入一个全新的,
07:45
that is supercharging progress?
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超快推进人类进步的时代了吗?
07:47
Can you see that it's in our hands?
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你们看到这一切都在由我们掌控吗?
07:51
We've set an aggressive goal of three years till liftoff,
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我们已经制定了一个 三年的野心勃勃的发射目标,
07:55
and when that satellite is ready, we'll have a launch party.
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当卫星一切就绪, 我们会开一个庆祝大会。
08:00
A literal launch party.
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一个名副其实的发射狂欢节。
08:03
So imagine a blue-sky day, crowds of people,
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想象晴空万里的一天,人山人海,
08:08
television cameras,
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到处都是电视直播设备,
08:10
kids staring up toward the sky
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孩子们仰头望着天空,
08:12
at a thing that will change their future.
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盯着一个会改变他们未来的东西。
08:16
What an amazing day that will be.
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这将是多么激动人心的一天啊。
08:18
What a big opportunity we have.
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我们有了多么大的一个机会。
08:21
I can't wait.
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我已经等不及了。
08:23
Thank you.
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谢谢大家。
08:24
(Applause)
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(掌声)
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