How to make faster decisions | The Way We Work, a TED series

542,367 views ・ 2020-02-10

TED


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00:00
Transcriber: TED Translators admin
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Prevodilac: Ivana Korom Lektor: Ivana Krivokuća
00:12
You're probably familiar with FOMO.
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Verovatno znate za FOMO.
00:14
[This guy invented the term]
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[Ovaj tip je izmislio taj izraz]
00:15
That's short for "Fear Of Missing Out."
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To je skraćenica za "fear of missing out".
00:17
It's that feeling you get
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To je onaj osećaj
00:18
when it seems everyone else is doing something better
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kad izgleda kao da svi rade nešto bolje
00:21
than what you're doing now.
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od onoga što vi sad radite.
00:22
But there's another FO you need to know about,
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Ali postoji još jedan strah za koji treba da znate,
00:25
and it's far more dangerous.
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koji je mnogo opasniji.
00:26
It's called FOBO,
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Zove se SOBO,
00:27
and it's short for "Fear Of a Better Option."
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skraćenica od „strah od bolje opcije“.
00:30
[The Way We Work]
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[Način na koji radimo]
00:34
We live in a world of overwhelming choice.
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Živimo u svetu sa previše izbora.
00:37
Even decisions that used to be simple,
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Čak i odluke koje su bile jednostavne,
00:39
like choosing a restaurant or making everyday purchases,
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kao izbor restorana ili svakodnevna kupovina,
00:42
are now fraught with overanalysis.
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sada su prepune prekomernog analiziranja.
00:44
Technology has only made the issue more pronounced.
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Tehnologija je ovaj problem samo još više naglasila.
00:46
If you want to buy a pair of white shoelaces online,
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Ako želite da preko interneta kupite par belih pertli,
00:49
you have to sort through thousands of items
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morate da izlistate hiljade predmeta
00:51
and read through hundreds of reviews.
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i pročitate stotine ocena.
To je ogromna količina informacija za obrađivanje
00:53
That's an astounding amount of information to process
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00:55
to just buy two pieces of string that cost less than your morning latte.
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da biste kupili samo dva komada kanapa koji koštaju manje od jutarnje kafe.
Verovatno ste iskusili SOBO kada ste se borili
00:59
Chances are you've experienced FOBO when you've struggled
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da odaberete jedan iz grupe savršeno prihvatljivih ishoda.
01:02
to choose just one from a group of perfectly acceptable outcomes.
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To je simptom kulture koja nalazi vrednost
01:05
It's a symptom of a culture which sees value
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01:07
in collecting and preserving as many options as possible.
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u skupljanju i čuvanju što je više opcija moguće.
01:10
You might wonder why all of this is so bad.
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Možda se pitate zašto je sve ovo tako loše.
01:12
It seems counterintuitive.
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Deluje nelogično.
01:13
Shouldn't it be a privilege to have so many good options
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Zar nije privilegija to što imamo toliko dobrih opcija za izbor?
01:16
to choose from?
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Problem je u tome što SOBO uzrokuje ozbiljnu paralizu analize
01:17
The problem is, FOBO induces such severe analysis paralysis
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01:20
that it can negatively impact both your personal and professional life.
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i može negativno da utiče na vaš lični i profesionalni život.
01:24
When you can't make decisions with conviction,
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Kada ne možete sa sigurnošću da odlučite,
01:26
you waste precious time and energy.
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trošite vredno vreme i energiju.
Srećom, postoji način da prevaziđete SOBO.
01:28
Luckily, there is a way to overcome FOBO.
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01:30
Here's a secret.
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Evo tajne.
01:31
With any decision you make, you first have to determine the stakes,
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Sa svakom odlukom koju donosite, prvo treba da odredite rizik,
01:34
as this will inform your decision-making strategy.
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jer to će usmeriti vašu strategiju donošenja odluke.
Kad se sve svede,
01:37
When it comes down to it,
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01:38
you only really face three types of decisions in life:
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u životu imate samo tri vrste odluka:
01:40
high stakes, low stakes and no stakes.
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sa velikim rizikom, malim rizikom i bez rizika.
01:43
Let's start with no-stakes decisions.
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Počnim sa onima bez rizika.
01:45
These are the minor details of life,
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To su sitni detalji u životu,
01:47
where there is almost never an incorrect answer,
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gde skoro nikad nema pogrešnog odgovora,
01:49
and in a few hours, you won't even remember
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i za nekoliko sati se nećete ni sećati
01:51
making the decision.
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da ste donosili odluku.
01:52
A good example of this is choosing what to watch on TV.
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Dobar primer je biranje programa koji ćete gledati na TV-u.
01:55
With thousands of shows, it's easy to get overwhelmed,
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Pored hiljada emisija lako je osećati se preplavljeno,
01:58
yet no matter what you pick,
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ali šta god da izaberete,
01:59
the consequences are basically nonexistent.
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posledice su skoro nepostojeće.
02:02
So spending more than a few moments on FOBO
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Trošenje više od nekoliko trenutaka na SOBO
02:04
is a massive waste of energy.
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je užasan trošak energije.
02:06
You just need to move on.
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Treba samo da nastavite dalje.
02:07
When it comes to no-stakes decisions,
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Kad govorimo o odlukama bez rizika,
02:09
the key is to outsource them to the universe.
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ključ je da univerzum odluči umesto vas.
02:12
For example, you can whittle down your choices to just two
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Na primer, možete svesti izbor na dva
02:15
and then flip a coin.
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i onda baciti novčić.
02:16
Or try my personal favorite -- ask the watch.
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Ili probajte meni omiljeni - pitajte sat.
02:19
Assign each one of your choices to one half of your watch,
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Dodelite po jednu odluku svakoj polovini sata,
02:21
then let the second hand tell you what you're going to do.
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a onda neka sekundara kaže šta ćete da uradite.
02:25
Looks like I'll be having the fish.
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Izgleda da ću ja jesti ribu.
02:26
That brings us to low-stakes decisions.
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To nas dovodi do odluka sa malim rizikom.
02:28
These have consequences, but none are earth-shattering,
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One imaju posledice, ali koje nisu veoma bitne,
02:31
and there are plenty of acceptable outcomes.
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i postoji mnogo prihvatljivih ishoda.
02:34
Many routine things at work, like purchasing a printer,
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Mnoge rutinske stvari na poslu, kao kupovina štampača,
02:37
booking a hotel or choosing between possible venues for an off-site
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rezervisanje hotela ili izbor između lokacija za događaj
02:40
are classically low-stakes in nature.
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su po prirodi sa malim rizikom.
02:42
Some thinking is required,
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Potrebno je malo razmisliti,
02:44
but these aren't make-or-break deliberations,
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ali to nisu promišljanja od životne važnosti,
02:46
and you'll probably forget about them in a few weeks.
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i verovatno ćete na to zaboraviti kroz nekoliko nedelja.
02:49
Here, you can also outsource decision-making,
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I ovde možete svoju odluku preneti na drugoga,
02:51
but you want some critical thinking involved,
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ali potrebno je malo kritičkog promišljanja
02:53
as there are some stakes.
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jer ipak postoji malo rizika.
02:55
This time, you'll outsource to a person.
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Ovoga puta, prepustite ih nekome.
02:57
Set some basic criteria,
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Postavite osnovne kriterijume,
02:58
select someone to present a recommendation,
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odaberite osobu da da preporuku,
03:00
and then take their advice.
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i onda poslušajte njen savet.
03:01
Make sure to avoid the temptation to canvass.
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Oduprite se iskušenju da detaljno preispitujete.
03:04
Your goal is to clear your plate,
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Cilj vam je da oslobodite vreme,
03:05
not to kick the can down the road.
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ne da nabacujete još posla.
03:07
Now that you tackled low-stakes and no-stakes decisions,
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Sada kada ste savladali odluke sa malim rizikom i one bez rizika,
03:10
you've created the space and time you'll need
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imate prostora i vremena koji su vam potrebni
03:12
to handle high-stakes decisions.
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da izađete na kraj sa odlukama sa velikim rizikom.
03:14
These are things like "which house should I buy"
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Na primer, „koju kuću da kupim“
03:16
or "which job should I accept."
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ili „koji posao da prihvatim“.
03:17
Since the stakes are high and there are long-term implications,
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Pošto su rizici veliki i posledice dalekosežne,
03:20
you absolutely want to get it right.
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želite da budete potpuno sigurni.
03:22
Before we get to work, let's establish a few basic principles
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Pre nego što počnemo, hajde da postavimo neke osnovne principe
03:25
to guide you through the process.
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da vas vode kroz taj proces.
03:27
First, think about what really matters to you,
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Prvo, razmislite šta vam je zaista važno
03:29
and set your criteria accordingly.
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i u skladu s tim postavite kriterijume.
03:31
Second, gather the relevant facts.
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Drugo, prikupite odgovarajuće činjenice.
03:33
Make sure you collect data about all of the options,
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Prikupite podatke o svim opcijama,
03:35
so you can be confident
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da biste bili sigurni
03:36
that you're truly making an informed decision.
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da zaista donosite informisanu odluku.
I treće, setite se da SOBO, po svojoj prirodi,
03:39
And third, remember that FOBO, by nature,
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03:41
comes when you struggle to choose just one
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nastupa kad se mučite da odaberete samo jednu
03:43
from a group of perfectly acceptable options.
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iz grupe savršeno prihvatljivih opcija.
03:45
So no matter what you choose,
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Bez obzira na to šta odaberete,
03:47
you can rest assured that the downside is limited.
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možete biti sigurni da je loša strana ograničena.
03:50
Now that you've established some ground rules,
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Sad kad imate osnovna pravila,
03:52
the process can begin.
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možete početi.
03:53
Start by identifying a front-runner based on your intuition,
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Počnite definisanjem favorita na osnovu svoje intuicije,
03:56
then compare each of your options head-to-head
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onda poredite svaku opciju,
03:58
with the front-runner, one-by-one.
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jednu po jednu, sa favoritom.
04:00
Each time, choose the better of the two based on the criteria,
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Svaki put odaberite bolju od dve, na osnovu tih kriterijuma,
04:03
and discard the other one.
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i drugu odbacite.
04:05
Here's the trick to avoiding FOBO.
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Evo jednog trika za izbegavanje SOBO.
04:07
When you eliminate an option, it's gone forever.
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Kada neku opciju eliminišete, ona je zauvek otišla.
04:09
If you keep returning to discarded options,
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Ako se vraćate odbačenim opcijama,
04:11
you risk getting stuck.
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rizikujete da se zaglavite.
04:13
Now repeat this process until you get down to one final choice.
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Sada ponovite ovaj proces dok ne dođete do konačnog izbora.
04:16
If you follow this system,
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Ako pratite ovaj sistem,
04:18
you will usually end up with a decision on your own.
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obično ćete sami doći do odluke.
04:20
On the rare occasion that you get stuck,
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Ako se zaglavite, u retkim prilikama,
04:22
you will outsource the final decision
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možete predati konačnu odluku
04:24
to a small group of qualified people who you trust
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maloj grupi kvalifikovanih ljudi kojima verujete
04:27
and who are equipped to provide you with guidance
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i koji su sposobni da vam pruže savet
04:29
on this particular topic.
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na tu određenu temu.
04:30
Engage a group of five or less, ideally an odd number of people
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Uključite grupu od pet ili manje ljudi, idealan je neparan broj,
04:33
so that you have a built-in tiebreaker if you need it.
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kako biste imali nekog da „prelomi“ ako je potrebno.
04:36
Now that you've made your choice, one last challenge remains.
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Kada ste doneli odluku, ostaje vam poslednji izazov.
04:39
You have to commit.
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Morate da je se držite.
04:40
I can't promise you that you'll ever truly know if you've made the perfect decision,
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Ne mogu da obećam da ćete ikada znati da li ste doneli savršenu odluku,
04:44
but I can tell you this:
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ali mogu da vam kažem ovo:
04:45
a significant percentage of people in the world
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značajan procenat ljudi na svetu
04:48
will never have to worry about FOBO.
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nikad neće morati da brine o SOBO.
04:50
Unlike the billions of people who have few options, if any,
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Za razliku od milijardi ljudi koji nemaju mnogo opcija,
04:53
due to war, poverty or illness,
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zbog rata, siromaštva ili bolesti,
04:55
you have plentiful opportunities to live decisively.
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vi imate pregršt prilika da živite donoseći odluke.
04:58
You may not get everything you want,
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Možda nećete dobiti sve što želite,
05:00
but the mere fact you get to decide is powerful.
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ali sama činjenica da možete da odlučujete je moćna.
05:03
In fact, it's a gift.
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U stvari, to je dar.
Iskoristite ga što bolje.
05:05
Make the most of it.
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