How to make faster decisions | The Way We Work, a TED series

537,326 views ・ 2020-02-10

TED


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Transcriber: TED Translators admin
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You're probably familiar with FOMO.
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[This guy invented the term]
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That's short for "Fear Of Missing Out."
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It's that feeling you get
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when it seems everyone else is doing something better
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than what you're doing now.
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But there's another FO you need to know about,
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and it's far more dangerous.
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It's called FOBO,
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and it's short for "Fear Of a Better Option."
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[The Way We Work]
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We live in a world of overwhelming choice.
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Even decisions that used to be simple,
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like choosing a restaurant or making everyday purchases,
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are now fraught with overanalysis.
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Technology has only made the issue more pronounced.
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If you want to buy a pair of white shoelaces online,
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you have to sort through thousands of items
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and read through hundreds of reviews.
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That's an astounding amount of information to process
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to just buy two pieces of string that cost less than your morning latte.
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Chances are you've experienced FOBO when you've struggled
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to choose just one from a group of perfectly acceptable outcomes.
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It's a symptom of a culture which sees value
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in collecting and preserving as many options as possible.
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You might wonder why all of this is so bad.
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It seems counterintuitive.
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Shouldn't it be a privilege to have so many good options
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to choose from?
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The problem is, FOBO induces such severe analysis paralysis
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that it can negatively impact both your personal and professional life.
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When you can't make decisions with conviction,
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you waste precious time and energy.
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Luckily, there is a way to overcome FOBO.
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Here's a secret.
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With any decision you make, you first have to determine the stakes,
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as this will inform your decision-making strategy.
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When it comes down to it,
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you only really face three types of decisions in life:
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high stakes, low stakes and no stakes.
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Let's start with no-stakes decisions.
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These are the minor details of life,
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where there is almost never an incorrect answer,
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and in a few hours, you won't even remember
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making the decision.
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A good example of this is choosing what to watch on TV.
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With thousands of shows, it's easy to get overwhelmed,
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yet no matter what you pick,
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the consequences are basically nonexistent.
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So spending more than a few moments on FOBO
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is a massive waste of energy.
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You just need to move on.
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When it comes to no-stakes decisions,
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the key is to outsource them to the universe.
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For example, you can whittle down your choices to just two
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and then flip a coin.
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Or try my personal favorite -- ask the watch.
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Assign each one of your choices to one half of your watch,
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then let the second hand tell you what you're going to do.
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Looks like I'll be having the fish.
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That brings us to low-stakes decisions.
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These have consequences, but none are earth-shattering,
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and there are plenty of acceptable outcomes.
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Many routine things at work, like purchasing a printer,
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booking a hotel or choosing between possible venues for an off-site
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are classically low-stakes in nature.
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Some thinking is required,
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but these aren't make-or-break deliberations,
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and you'll probably forget about them in a few weeks.
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Here, you can also outsource decision-making,
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but you want some critical thinking involved,
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as there are some stakes.
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This time, you'll outsource to a person.
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Set some basic criteria,
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select someone to present a recommendation,
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and then take their advice.
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Make sure to avoid the temptation to canvass.
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Your goal is to clear your plate,
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not to kick the can down the road.
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Now that you tackled low-stakes and no-stakes decisions,
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you've created the space and time you'll need
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to handle high-stakes decisions.
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These are things like "which house should I buy"
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or "which job should I accept."
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Since the stakes are high and there are long-term implications,
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you absolutely want to get it right.
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Before we get to work, let's establish a few basic principles
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to guide you through the process.
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First, think about what really matters to you,
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and set your criteria accordingly.
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Second, gather the relevant facts.
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Make sure you collect data about all of the options,
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so you can be confident
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that you're truly making an informed decision.
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And third, remember that FOBO, by nature,
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comes when you struggle to choose just one
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from a group of perfectly acceptable options.
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So no matter what you choose,
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you can rest assured that the downside is limited.
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Now that you've established some ground rules,
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the process can begin.
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Start by identifying a front-runner based on your intuition,
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then compare each of your options head-to-head
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with the front-runner, one-by-one.
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Each time, choose the better of the two based on the criteria,
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and discard the other one.
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Here's the trick to avoiding FOBO.
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When you eliminate an option, it's gone forever.
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If you keep returning to discarded options,
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you risk getting stuck.
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Now repeat this process until you get down to one final choice.
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If you follow this system,
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you will usually end up with a decision on your own.
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On the rare occasion that you get stuck,
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you will outsource the final decision
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to a small group of qualified people who you trust
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and who are equipped to provide you with guidance
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on this particular topic.
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Engage a group of five or less, ideally an odd number of people
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so that you have a built-in tiebreaker if you need it.
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Now that you've made your choice, one last challenge remains.
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You have to commit.
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I can't promise you that you'll ever truly know if you've made the perfect decision,
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but I can tell you this:
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a significant percentage of people in the world
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will never have to worry about FOBO.
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Unlike the billions of people who have few options, if any,
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due to war, poverty or illness,
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you have plentiful opportunities to live decisively.
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You may not get everything you want,
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but the mere fact you get to decide is powerful.
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In fact, it's a gift.
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Make the most of it.
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