Stuart Firestein: The pursuit of ignorance

1,346,709 views ・ 2013-09-24

TED


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Prevoditelj: Senzos Osijek Recezent: Ivan Stamenković
00:12
There is an ancient proverb that says
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Postoji stara poslovica koja kaže
00:16
it's very difficult to find a black cat in a dark room,
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vrlo je teško naći crnu mačku u tamnoj sobi,
00:20
especially when there is no cat.
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pogotovo kada mačke nema.
00:22
I find this a particularly apt description of science
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Smatram ovo posebno prikladnim opisom znanosti
00:26
and how science works --
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i načina na koji radi --
00:28
bumbling around in a dark room, bumping into things,
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motati se uokolo u tamnoj sobi, sudarati se u stvari.
00:31
trying to figure out what shape this might be,
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pokušavati dokučiti kojeg oblika bi to moglo biti,
00:33
what that might be,
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što bi to moglo biti,
00:35
there are reports of a cat somewhere around,
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postoje glasine o mački negdje blizu,
00:37
they may not be reliable, they may be,
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možda nisu pouzdane, možda jesu
00:39
and so forth and so on.
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i tako dalje i tako bliže.
00:41
Now I know this is different than the way most people
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Znam da je ovo drugačije od načina na koji ljudi
00:43
think about science.
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razmišljaju o znanosti.
00:44
Science, we generally are told,
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Znanost, obično nam kažu,
00:46
is a very well-ordered mechanism for
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je vrlo dobro organiziran mehanizam za
00:49
understanding the world,
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razumijevanje svijeta,
00:50
for gaining facts, for gaining data,
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za dobivanje činjenica, za dobivanje podataka,
00:52
that it's rule-based,
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da je temeljen na pravilima,
00:54
that scientists use this thing called the scientific method
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da znanstvenici koriste tu stvar nazvanu znanstvena metoda
00:57
and we've been doing this for 14 generations or so now,
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i da to radimo već 14 generacija ili tako nekako ,
01:00
and the scientific method is a set of rules
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i da je znanstvena metoda skup pravila
01:02
for getting hard, cold facts out of the data.
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za dobivanje čvrstih, nepobitnih činjenica iz podataka.
01:07
I'd like to tell you that's not the case.
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Htio bih vam reći da to nije slučaj.
01:09
So there's the scientific method,
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Dakle postoji znanstvena metoda,
01:10
but what's really going on is this. (Laughter)
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ali ono što se doista događa je ovo. (Smijeh)
01:13
[The Scientific Method vs. Farting Around]
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[Znanstvena metoda vs. Prdenje uokolo]
01:14
And it's going on kind of like that.
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I događa se otprilike ovako.
01:17
[... in the dark] (Laughter)
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[... u mraku.] (Smijeh)
01:18
So what is the difference, then,
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Stoga koja je razlika, onda,
01:23
between the way I believe science is pursued
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između načina na koji ja vjerujem da se znanost vrši
01:27
and the way it seems to be perceived?
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i načina na koji se čini da je drugi percipiraju?
01:29
So this difference first came to me in some ways
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Ova razlika mi je prvo postala jasna na neki način
01:32
in my dual role at Columbia University,
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u mojoj dvostrukoj ulozi na sveučilištu Columbia,
01:34
where I'm both a professor and run a laboratory in neuroscience
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gdje sam i profesor i vodim laboratorij za neuroznanost
01:38
where we try to figure out how the brain works.
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gdje pokušavamo dokučiti kako mozak radi.
01:41
We do this by studying the sense of smell,
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Radimo to tako što proučavamo osjet mirisa,
01:43
the sense of olfaction, and in the laboratory,
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olfaktivni osjet, i u laboratoriju,
01:46
it's a great pleasure and fascinating work
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to je veliko zadovoljstvo i fascinantan rad
01:48
and exciting to work with graduate students and post-docs
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i uzbudljivo je raditi s diplomskim i postdiplomskim studentima
01:51
and think up cool experiments to understand how this
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i smišljati eksperimente za razumijevanje kako taj
01:54
sense of smell works and how the brain might be working,
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osjet mirisa radi i kako bi mozak mogao raditi.,
01:56
and, well, frankly, it's kind of exhilarating.
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i, pa iskreno, prilično je uzbudljivo.
01:59
But at the same time, it's my responsibility
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Ali u isto vrijeme, moja je odgovornost
02:02
to teach a large course to undergraduates on the brain,
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predavati veliki kolegij preddiplomcima o mozgu,
02:05
and that's a big subject,
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a to je velika tema,
02:06
and it takes quite a while to organize that,
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i potrebno je puno vremena da se sve to organizira,
02:08
and it's quite challenging and it's quite interesting,
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i prilično je zahtjevno, i prilično je zanimljivo
02:11
but I have to say, it's not so exhilarating.
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ali moram priznati, nije toliko uzbudljivo.
02:14
So what was the difference?
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Dakle, u čemu je razlika?
02:16
Well, the course I was and am teaching
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Pa, predmet koji sam predavao i predajem
02:18
is called Cellular and Molecular Neuroscience - I. (Laughs)
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zove se „Stanična i molekularna neuroznanost - I“. (Smijeh)
02:24
It's 25 lectures full of all sorts of facts,
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To su 25 predavanja puna različitih činjenica,
02:29
it uses this giant book called "Principles of Neural Science"
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koristi ovu divovsku knjigu pod nazivom „Temelji neuroznanosti“
02:33
by three famous neuroscientists.
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koju su napisali tri poznata neuroznanstvenika.
02:36
This book comes in at 1,414 pages,
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Ova knjiga sadrži 1,414 stranica,
02:39
it weighs a hefty seven and a half pounds.
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teži 3 kg i 400 grama.
02:42
Just to put that in some perspective,
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Samo kako bih vam to bolje predočio,
02:44
that's the weight of two normal human brains.
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to je težina dva normalna ljudska mozga.
02:47
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
02:51
So I began to realize, by the end of this course,
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Stoga sam počeo shvaćati, da do kraja kolegija,
02:54
that the students maybe were getting the idea
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studenti možda dobivaju ideju
02:56
that we must know everything there is to know about the brain.
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da zasigurno znamo sve što se ima znati o mozgu.
02:59
That's clearly not true.
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To očito nije istina.
03:01
And they must also have this idea, I suppose,
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I da moraju također imati ideju, pretpostavljam,
03:04
that what scientists do is collect data and collect facts
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da ono što znanstvenici rade je da skupljaju podatke i skupljaju činjenice
03:07
and stick them in these big books.
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i stavljaju ih u ove velike knjige.
03:09
And that's not really the case either.
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A to također nije slučaj.
03:11
When I go to a meeting, after the meeting day is over
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Kada idem na sastanak, nakon što je dan sastanka završio
03:14
and we collect in the bar over a couple of beers with my colleagues,
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i skupimo se u kafiću uz par piva sa mojim kolegama
03:17
we never talk about what we know.
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nikada ne pričamo o onome što znamo.
03:19
We talk about what we don't know.
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Pričamo o onome što ne znamo.
03:21
We talk about what still has to get done,
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Pričamo o onome što još treba napraviti.
03:24
what's so critical to get done in the lab.
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što je ključno za napraviti u laboratoriju
03:26
Indeed, this was, I think, best said by Marie Curie
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Doista, ovo je, ja mislim, najbolje opisala Marie Curie
03:29
who said that one never notices what has been done
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koja je rekla da nikad ne zapažamo što je napravljeno
03:31
but only what remains to be done.
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već ono što ostaje za napraviti.
03:33
This was in a letter to her brother after obtaining
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ovo je bilo u pismu njenom bratu nakon što je stekla
03:35
her second graduate degree, I should say.
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drugu dipomu, trebao bih reći.
03:39
I have to point out this has always been one of my favorite pictures of Marie Curie,
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Moram istaknuti da je ovo bila jedna meni omiljena slika Marie Curie,
03:42
because I am convinced that that glow behind her
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zato što sam uvjeren da taj sjaj iza nje
03:44
is not a photographic effect. (Laughter)
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nije fotografski efekt. (Smijeh)
03:47
That's the real thing.
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To je prava stvar.
03:48
It is true that her papers are, to this day,
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Istina je da su njeni spisi, do današnjeg dana,
03:53
stored in a basement room in the Bibliothèque Française
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pohranjeni u podrumskoj sobi u Bibliothèque Française
03:56
in a concrete room that's lead-lined,
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u betonskoj sobi obloženoj olovom,
03:58
and if you're a scholar and you want access to these notebooks,
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i ako ste znanstvenik i želite pristup ovim bilježnicama,
04:01
you have to put on a full radiation hazmat suit,
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morate obući potpuno zaštitno odijelo protiv radijacije,
04:03
so it's pretty scary business.
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dakle prilično je strašan posao.
04:06
Nonetheless, this is what I think we were leaving out
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Bilo kako bilo, ovo je ono što sam mislio da izostavljamo
04:08
of our courses
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iz naših kolegija
04:10
and leaving out of the interaction that we have
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i izostavljamo iz interakcije koju imamo
04:13
with the public as scientists, the what-remains-to-be-done.
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sa javnosti kao znanstvenici, ono što ostaje za napraviti.
04:16
This is the stuff that's exhilarating and interesting.
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Ovo su stvari koje su uzbudljive i zanimljive.
04:18
It is, if you will, the ignorance.
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To je, ako dopustite, neznanje.
04:21
That's what was missing.
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To je nedostajalo.
04:22
So I thought, well, maybe I should teach a course
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Stoga sam pomislio, pa, možda bih trebao držati predmet
04:25
on ignorance,
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o neznanju,
04:27
something I can finally excel at, perhaps, for example.
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nešto u čemu napokon mogu briljirati, možda, na primjer.
04:31
So I did start teaching this course on ignorance,
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Stoga sam počeo podučavati ovaj predmet o neznanju
04:33
and it's been quite interesting
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i bilo je prilično zanimljivo
04:34
and I'd like to tell you to go to the website.
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i htio bih vam reći da odete na web stranicu.
04:36
You can find all sorts of information there. It's wide open.
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Možete naći svakakve vrste informacija tamo. Posve je otvoreno.
04:39
And it's been really quite an interesting time for me
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I bilo je doista zanimljivo vrijeme za mene.
04:43
to meet up with other scientists who come in and talk
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sastajati se sa drugim znanstvenicima koji dolaze i pričaju
04:45
about what it is they don't know.
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o tome što je to što oni ne znaju.
04:46
Now I use this word "ignorance," of course,
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Koristim, ovu riječ „neznanje“ naravno
04:48
to be at least in part intentionally provocative,
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da bih bio barem dijelom namjerno provokativan,
04:51
because ignorance has a lot of bad connotations
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jer neznanje ima puno loših konotacija
04:54
and I clearly don't mean any of those.
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i očito ne mislim ni na jednu od njih.
04:56
So I don't mean stupidity, I don't mean a callow indifference
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Dakle ne mislim na glupost, ne mislim na neiskusnu ravnodušnost
04:59
to fact or reason or data.
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za činjenice ili razlog ili podatke.
05:02
The ignorant are clearly unenlightened, unaware,
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Neuki su očito neprosvijećeni, nesvjesni,
05:05
uninformed, and present company today excepted,
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neinformirani, i uz iznimku danas prisutnog društva,
05:08
often occupy elected offices, it seems to me.
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često sjede na izabranim mjestima, čini mi se.
05:11
That's another story, perhaps.
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To je druga priča, možda.
05:13
I mean a different kind of ignorance.
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Mislim na drugčiju vrstu neznanja.
05:15
I mean a kind of ignorance that's less pejorative,
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mislim na vrstu neznanja koje je manje pogrdno,
05:17
a kind of ignorance that comes from a communal gap in our knowledge,
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vrstu neznanja koja potječe iz cjelokupne praznine u našem znanju,
05:20
something that's just not there to be known
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nešto što nije tamo da bi bilo poznato
05:22
or isn't known well enough yet or we can't make predictions from,
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ili nije još dovoljno poznato ili ne možemo to predvidjeti,
05:25
the kind of ignorance that's maybe best summed up
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vrsta neznanja koja je možda najbolje pojašnjena
05:27
in a statement by James Clerk Maxwell,
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u izjavi Jamesa Clerka Maxvella,
05:29
perhaps the greatest physicist between Newton and Einstein,
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možda najboljeg fizičara između Newtona i Einsteina,
05:33
who said, "Thoroughly conscious ignorance
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koji je rekao: „Potpuno svjesno neznanje
05:35
is the prelude to every real advance in science."
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je uvod u svaki pravi napredak u znanosti."
05:38
I think it's a wonderful idea:
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Mislim da je to divna ideja:
05:39
thoroughly conscious ignorance.
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potpuno svjesno neznanje.
05:42
So that's the kind of ignorance that I want to talk about today,
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Dakle to je vrsta neznanja o kojem želim pričati danas,
05:44
but of course the first thing we have to clear up
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ali prva stvar koju moramo rasčistiti
05:46
is what are we going to do with all those facts?
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je što ćemo napraviti sa svim tim činjenicama?
05:48
So it is true that science piles up at an alarming rate.
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Istina je da se znanost gomila uznemiravajućom brzinom.
05:52
We all have this sense that science is this mountain of facts,
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Svi imamo taj osjećaj da je znanost brdo činjenica,
05:55
this accumulation model of science, as many have called it,
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taj akumulacijski model znanosti, kako su ga mnogi prozvali,
05:59
and it seems impregnable, it seems impossible.
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i čini se nesavladiv, čini se nemoguć.
06:01
How can you ever know all of this?
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Kako ikada možeš znati sve ovo?
06:02
And indeed, the scientific literature grows at an alarming rate.
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I doista, znanstvena literatura raste alarmirajućom brzinom.
06:06
In 2006, there were 1.3 million papers published.
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2006. godine, bilo je 1,3 milijuna radova objavljeno.
06:10
There's about a two-and-a-half-percent yearly growth rate,
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Postoji otprilike 2,5% godišnji rast,
06:12
and so last year we saw over one and a half million papers being published.
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stoga smo prošle godine vidjeli objavljeno preko 1,5 milijun radova.
06:17
Divide that by the number of minutes in a year,
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Podijelite to sa brojem minuta u godini,
06:19
and you wind up with three new papers per minute.
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i završite sa tri nova rada po minuti.
06:22
So I've been up here a little over 10 minutes,
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Ja sam tu malo dulje od deset minuta,
06:23
I've already lost three papers.
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Već sam izgubio tri rada.
06:25
I have to get out of here actually. I have to go read.
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Zapravo moram otići odavde, moram ići čitati
06:28
So what do we do about this? Well, the fact is
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Dakle što da napravimo u vezi toga? Pa, činjenica je
06:32
that what scientists do about it is a kind of a controlled neglect, if you will.
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da ono što znanstvenici rade po pitanju toga je vrsta kontroliranog zanemarivanja.
06:36
We just don't worry about it, in a way.
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Jednostavno se ne brinemo o tome, na neki način.
06:39
The facts are important. You have to know a lot of stuff
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Činjenice su važne, morate znati puno toga
06:41
to be a scientist. That's true.
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da bi bili znanstvenik. To je istina.
06:43
But knowing a lot of stuff doesn't make you a scientist.
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Ali veliko znanje vas ne čini znanstvenikom.
06:46
You need to know a lot of stuff to be a lawyer
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Morate puno toga znati da biste bili odvjetnik
06:48
or an accountant or an electrician or a carpenter.
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ili računovođa ili električar ili stolar.
06:52
But in science, knowing a lot of stuff is not the point.
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Ali u znanosti, znati puno toga nije poanta.
06:56
Knowing a lot of stuff is there to help you get
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Znati puno toga je tu da vam pomogne da dođete
06:59
to more ignorance.
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do više neznanja.
07:01
So knowledge is a big subject, but I would say
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Znanje je velika tema, ali rekao bih da je
07:03
ignorance is a bigger one.
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neznanje još i veća.
07:06
So this leads us to maybe think about, a little bit
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Ovo nas vodi do toga da možda razmislimo, pomalo
07:08
about, some of the models of science that we tend to use,
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o nekim tumačenjima znanosti koje smo skloni koristiti,
07:11
and I'd like to disabuse you of some of them.
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i htio bih vas izvesti iz zablude o nekima od njih.
07:13
So one of them, a popular one, is that scientists
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Jedno od njih, popularno, je da znanstvenici
07:15
are patiently putting the pieces of a puzzle together
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strpljivo slažu dijelove slagalice zajedno
07:18
to reveal some grand scheme or another.
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da bi otkrili nekakvu veliku shemu ili nešto slično.
07:20
This is clearly not true. For one, with puzzles,
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Ovo očito nije istina. Za početak, kod slagalice
07:23
the manufacturer has guaranteed that there's a solution.
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proizvođač je zajamčio da postoji rješenje.
07:27
We don't have any such guarantee.
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Mi nemamo nikakvo takvo jamstvo.
07:28
Indeed, there are many of us who aren't so sure about the manufacturer.
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Doista, postoje mnogi od nas koji nisu posve sigurni ni u proizvođača.
07:31
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
07:34
So I think the puzzle model doesn't work.
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Stoga mislim da model slagalice ne funkcionira.
07:36
Another popular model is that science is busy unraveling things
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Drugo popularno tumačenje je da je znanost zaposlena otkrivanjem stvari
07:40
the way you unravel the peels of an onion.
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na način na koji se gule slojevi luka
07:42
So peel by peel, you take away the layers of the onion
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Dakle sloj po sloj, skidate slojeve luka
07:45
to get at some fundamental kernel of truth.
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da bi došli do neke temeljne jezgre ili istine
07:47
I don't think that's the way it works either.
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Ne mislim ni da je to način na koji funkcionira.
07:49
Another one, a kind of popular one, is the iceberg idea,
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Još jedna, donekle popularna je ideja o ledenjaku,
07:52
that we only see the tip of the iceberg but underneath
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da vidimo samo vrh ledenjaka ali ispod površine
07:55
is where most of the iceberg is hidden.
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je tamo gdje je većina ledenjaka skrivena.
07:57
But all of these models are based on the idea of a large body of facts
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Ali svi ovi primjeri su temeljeni na ideji o velikoj količini činjenica
08:01
that we can somehow or another get completed.
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koje možemo na jedan ili drugi način okončati.
08:03
We can chip away at this iceberg and figure out what it is,
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Možemo odlomiti ovaj ledenjak i shvatiti o čemu se radi,
08:06
or we could just wait for it to melt, I suppose, these days,
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ili možemo pričekati da se otopi, pretpostavljam, ovih dana,
08:09
but one way or another we could get to the whole iceberg. Right?
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ali na oba načina možemo shvatiti cijeli ledenjak. Jesam li u pravu?
08:12
Or make it manageable. But I don't think that's the case.
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Ili ga učiniti upravljivim. Ali mislim da to nije slučaj.
08:15
I think what really happens in science
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Mislim da ono što se doista događa u znanosti
08:17
is a model more like the magic well,
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je više nalik čarobnom bunaru,
08:19
where no matter how many buckets you take out,
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gdje bez obzira koliko kanti izvadio,
08:21
there's always another bucket of water to be had,
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tu je uvijek nova kanta vode,
08:23
or my particularly favorite one,
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ili meni posebno dragi,
08:25
with the effect and everything, the ripples on a pond.
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sa efektima i svime, valovi na jezercu.
08:28
So if you think of knowledge being this ever-expanding ripple on a pond,
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Stoga ako razmišljate o znanju kao neprekidno širećem valu na jezercu,
08:31
the important thing to realize is that our ignorance,
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važna stvar koju moramo shvatiti je da naše neznanje,
08:34
the circumference of this knowledge, also grows with knowledge.
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obujam ovog neznanja, također raste sa znanjem.
08:38
So the knowledge generates ignorance.
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Stoga znanje proizvodi neznanje.
08:41
This is really well said, I thought, by George Bernard Shaw.
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Ovo je vrlo dobro rekao, smatram, George Bernard Shaw.
08:43
This is actually part of a toast that he delivered
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Ovo je zapravo dio zdravice koju je održao
08:46
to celebrate Einstein at a dinner celebrating Einstein's work,
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u cilju veličanja Einsteina na večeri posvećenoj Einsteinovom radu,
08:50
in which he claims that science
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u kojoj tvrdi da znanost
08:51
just creates more questions than it answers. ["Science is always wrong. It never solves a problem without creating 10 more."]
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samo stvara više pitanja nego ih odgovori. ["Znanost je uvijek u krivu. Nikada ne riješi problem bez da stvori deset novih."]
08:53
I find that kind of glorious, and I think he's precisely right,
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Smatram to pomalo veličanstvenim, i mislim da je potpuno u pravu,
08:57
plus it's a kind of job security.
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uz to, to je vrsta sigurnosti radnog mjesta.
09:00
As it turns out, he kind of cribbed that
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Ispostavlja se da je to na neki način prepisao
09:02
from the philosopher Immanuel Kant
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od filozofa Immanueala Kanta
09:04
who a hundred years earlier had come up with this idea
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koji je sto godina ranije došao na ovu ideju
09:07
of question propagation, that every answer begets more questions.
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propagiranja pitanja, da svaki odgovor stvara više pitanja.
09:11
I love that term, "question propagation,"
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Sviđa mi se taj izraz „propagacija pitanja“
09:13
this idea of questions propagating out there.
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ideja da pitanja propagiraju negdje vani.
09:16
So I'd say the model we want to take is not
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Stoga mislim da model koji želimo uzeti nije
09:17
that we start out kind of ignorant and we get some facts together
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da počnemo na neki način neuki pa skupimo neke činjenice
09:21
and then we gain knowledge.
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i onda steknemo znanje.
09:23
It's rather kind of the other way around, really.
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Zapravo je na neki način posve obrnuto, doista.
09:25
What do we use this knowledge for?
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Za što koristimo ovo znanje?
09:27
What are we using this collection of facts for?
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Za što koristimo ovu zbirku činjenica?
09:30
We're using it to make better ignorance,
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Koristimo ga da napravimo bolje neznanje,
09:33
to come up with, if you will, higher-quality ignorance.
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da steknemo, ako tako hoćete, visokokvalitetno neznanje.
09:36
Because, you know, there's low-quality ignorance
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Zato što postoji niskokvalitetno neznanje
09:38
and there's high-quality ignorance. It's not all the same.
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i postoji visokokvalitetno neznanje. Nije sve jednako.
09:40
Scientists argue about this all the time.
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Znanstvenici se svađaju oko ovoga cijelo vrijeme.
09:42
Sometimes we call them bull sessions.
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1965
Ponekad to zovemo neformalnim razgovorom.
09:44
Sometimes we call them grant proposals.
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Ponekad to zovemo formalnim prijedlogom.
09:46
But nonetheless, it's what the argument is about.
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Ali svejedno, to je ono o čemu je rasprava.
09:50
It's the ignorance. It's the what we don't know.
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To je neznanje. To je ono što ne znamo.
09:52
It's what makes a good question.
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To je ono što čini dobro pitanje.
09:54
So how do we think about these questions?
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Kako razmišljamo o ovim pitanjima?
09:56
I'm going to show you a graph that shows up
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Pokazat ću vam grafikon koji se pojavljuje
09:58
quite a bit on happy hour posters in various science departments.
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na velikom broju happy hour postera u različitim znanstevnim odjeljenjima.
10:02
This graph asks the relationship between what you know
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Ovaj graf pokazuje odnos između onoga što znaš
10:06
and how much you know about it.
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i toga koliko o tome znaš.
10:08
So what you know, you can know anywhere from nothing to everything, of course,
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Dakle ono što znaš, možeš znati bilo gdje između ništa i sve, naravno
10:12
and how much you know about it can be anywhere
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i koliko znaš o tome može biti bilo gdje
10:13
from a little to a lot.
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između malo i puno.
10:16
So let's put a point on the graph. There's an undergraduate.
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Pa stavimo točku na graf. To je prediplomac.
10:20
Doesn't know much but they have a lot of interest.
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Ne znaju puno ali imaju jako puno interesa.
10:22
They're interested in almost everything.
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Zanima ih gotovo sve.
10:24
Now you look at a master's student, a little further along in their education,
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Sada pogledajmo diplomca, malo dalje u njegovom obrazovanju,
10:28
and you see they know a bit more,
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i vidite da znaju malo više,
10:29
but it's been narrowed somewhat.
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ali nekako je suženo.
10:31
And finally you get your Ph.D., where it turns out
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I napokon dovršite svoj doktorat gdje se ispostavi
10:34
you know a tremendous amount about almost nothing. (Laughter)
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da znate ogromnu količinu o skoro ničemu. (Smijeh)
10:39
What's really disturbing is the trend line that goes through that
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Ono što je doista uznemiravajuće je trend linije koja ide kroz to
10:42
because, of course, when it dips below the zero axis, there,
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zato što, naravno, kada zađe ispod osi, tamo,
10:46
it gets into a negative area.
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dođe u negativno područje
10:48
That's where you find people like me, I'm afraid.
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Tamo nađete ljude kao što sam ja, nažalost.
10:51
So the important thing here is that this can all be changed.
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Stoga važna stvar je da se sve ovo može promijeniti.
10:55
This whole view can be changed
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Cijeli ovaj pogled se može promijeniti
10:57
by just changing the label on the x-axis.
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tako da samo promijenimo oznaku na x osi.
11:00
So instead of how much you know about it,
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Stoga umjesto koliko znaš o tome,
11:02
we could say, "What can you ask about it?"
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mogli bismo reći:„Što možeš pitati o tome?“
11:05
So yes, you do need to know a lot of stuff as a scientist,
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Stoga da, morate znati puno stvari kao znanstvenik,
11:08
but the purpose of knowing a lot of stuff
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ali svrha tog velikog znanja
11:11
is not just to know a lot of stuff. That just makes you a geek, right?
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nije da znate puno stvari. To vas čini štreberom, zar ne?
11:13
Knowing a lot of stuff, the purpose is
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Svrha znanja velikog broja stvari je
11:15
to be able to ask lots of questions,
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da možete pitati puno pitanja,
11:17
to be able to frame thoughtful, interesting questions,
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da možete postaviti promišljena, zanimljiva pitanja,
11:20
because that's where the real work is.
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jer tu se pravi posao nalazi.
11:22
Let me give you a quick idea of a couple of these sorts of questions.
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Dopustite da vam dam brzu ideju o pitanjima ove vrste.
11:24
I'm a neuroscientist, so how would we come up
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Ja sam neuroznanstvenik, stoga kako bismo došli
11:27
with a question in neuroscience?
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do pitanja u neuroznanosti?
11:28
Because it's not always quite so straightforward.
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Zato što nije uvijek tako očito
11:31
So, for example, we could say, well what is it that the brain does?
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2559
Stoga, na primjer, mogli bismo reći, što je to što mozak radi?
11:33
Well, one thing the brain does, it moves us around.
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Pa, jedna stvar koju mozak radi, pokreće nas unaokolo.
11:35
We walk around on two legs.
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Hodamo unaokolo na dvije noge.
11:37
That seems kind of simple, somehow or another.
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To se doima jednostavno, na neki način.
11:39
I mean, virtually everybody over 10 months of age
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Mislim, gotovo svatko preko 10 mjeseci starosti
11:42
walks around on two legs, right?
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hoda na dvije noge, zar ne?
11:44
So that maybe is not that interesting.
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To možda nije toliko zanimljivo.
11:45
So instead maybe we want to choose something a little more complicated to look at.
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Umjesto toga možda želimo izabrati nešto kompliciranije za proučavati.
11:48
How about the visual system?
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Što kažete na vidni sustav?
11:51
There it is, the visual system.
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Evo ga ovdje, vidni sustav.
11:53
I mean, we love our visual systems. We do all kinds of cool stuff.
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Mislim, mi volimo naš vidni sustav. Radimo svakakve vrste kul stvari.
11:56
Indeed, there are over 12,000 neuroscientists
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Doista, postoji preko 12 000 neuroznanstvenika
11:59
who work on the visual system,
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koji rade na vidnom sustavu,
12:01
from the retina to the visual cortex,
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2081
od mrežnice do vidnog korteksa,
12:03
in an attempt to understand not just the visual system
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u pokušaju shvaćanja ne samo vidnog sustava
12:06
but to also understand how general principles
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3024
već i općih načela
12:09
of how the brain might work.
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1951
po kojima bi mozak mogao funkcionirati.
12:11
But now here's the thing:
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Ali u ovome je stvar:
12:12
Our technology has actually been pretty good
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Naša tehnologija je zapravo bila prilično dobra
12:15
at replicating what the visual system does.
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u kopiranju onoga što vidni sustav radi.
12:17
We have TV, we have movies,
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Imamo tv, imamo filmove,
12:20
we have animation, we have photography,
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imamo animacije, imamo fotografiju,
12:23
we have pattern recognition, all of these sorts of things.
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imamo prepoznavanje uzoraka, sve vrste ovih stvari.
12:26
They work differently than our visual systems in some cases,
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Oni rade drugačije od našeg vidnog sustava u nekim slučajevima,
12:29
but nonetheless we've been pretty good at
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ali svejedno, bili smo prilično uspješni u tome da
12:30
making a technology work like our visual system.
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postignemo da tehnologija radi kao naš vidni sustav.
12:34
Somehow or another, a hundred years of robotics,
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Na jedan ili drugi način, sto godina robotike,
12:37
you never saw a robot walk on two legs,
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nikada niste vidjeli robota koji hoda na dvije noge,
12:39
because robots don't walk on two legs
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2163
zato što roboti ne hodaju na dvije noge
12:41
because it's not such an easy thing to do.
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zato što to nije tako lagana stvar za napraviti.
12:43
A hundred years of robotics,
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Sto godina robotike,
12:45
and we can't get a robot that can move more than a couple steps one way or the other.
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i nemamo robota koji se kreće više od par koraka u nekom smjeru.
12:48
You ask them to go up an inclined plane, and they fall over.
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Zamolite ih da odu na kosinu i oni padnu.
12:51
Turn around, and they fall over. It's a serious problem.
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2004
Okrenu se i padnu. To je ozbiljan problem.
12:53
So what is it that's the most difficult thing for a brain to do?
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Stoga što je to što je najteže mozgu za napraviti?
12:57
What ought we to be studying?
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Što bismo trebali proučavati?
12:58
Perhaps it ought to be walking on two legs, or the motor system.
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Možda bi to trebalo biti hodanje na dvije noge, ili motorički sustav.
13:02
I'll give you an example from my own lab,
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1735
Dati ću vam primjer iz vlastitog laboratorija
13:04
my own particularly smelly question,
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1725
moje osobno posebno smrdljivo pitanje,
13:06
since we work on the sense of smell.
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2099
s obzirom da radimo na osjetu mirisa.
13:08
But here's a diagram of five molecules
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3228
Ovo je skica pet molekula
13:11
and sort of a chemical notation.
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i oblik kemijskog zapisa.
13:13
These are just plain old molecules, but if you sniff those molecules
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2996
Ovo je samo pet običnih molekula, ali ako pomirišete te molekule
13:16
up these two little holes in the front of your face,
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kroz ove dvije male rupe na prednjoj strani vašeg lica
13:18
you will have in your mind the distinct impression of a rose.
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imat ćete na umu jasnu predodžbu ruže
13:22
If there's a real rose there, those molecules will be the ones,
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Da je tamo prava ruža, te molekule bi bile prave
13:24
but even if there's no rose there,
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ali čak i ako tamo nema ruže,
13:26
you'll have the memory of a molecule.
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1591
imat ćete sjećanje molekule.
13:27
How do we turn molecules into perceptions?
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3104
Kako pretvorimo molekule u opažanje?
13:30
What's the process by which that could happen?
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1857
Što je proces kojim bi se to moglo odvijati?
13:32
Here's another example: two very simple molecules, again in this kind of chemical notation.
308
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3960
Evo još jednog primjera: 2 jednostavne molekule, u ovom obliku kemijskog zapisa.
13:36
It might be easier to visualize them this way,
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2077
Moglo bi biti lakše zamisliti ih ovako,
13:38
so the gray circles are carbon atoms, the white ones
310
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2794
znači sivi krugovi su atomi ugljika, bijeli
13:41
are hydrogen atoms and the red ones are oxygen atoms.
311
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2775
su atomi vodika i crveni su atomi kisika.
13:44
Now these two molecules differ by only one carbon atom
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4298
Ove dvije molekule se razlikuju u samo jednom atomu ugljika
13:48
and two little hydrogen atoms that ride along with it,
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2688
i dva mala atoma vodika koji su vezana na njega,
13:51
and yet one of them, heptyl acetate,
314
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1986
pa ipak jedan od njih, heptil acetat
13:53
has the distinct odor of a pear,
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2311
ima jasan miris kruške,
13:55
and hexyl acetate is unmistakably banana.
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3839
a heksil acetat je nepogrešivo banana.
13:59
So there are two really interesting questions here, it seems to me.
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2557
Stoga su ovdje dva zanimljiva pitanja, tako mi se čini.
14:02
One is, how can a simple little molecule like that
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Jedno je, kako može jednostavna mala molekula kao ta
14:05
create a perception in your brain that's so clear
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stvoriti percepciju u našem mozgu koja je toliko jasna
14:07
as a pear or a banana?
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kao kruška ili banana?
14:09
And secondly, how the hell can we tell the difference
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I drugo, kako dovraga možemo prepoznati razliku
14:12
between two molecules that differ by a single carbon atom?
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4315
između dvije molekule koje se razlikuju u samo jednom atomu ugljika?
14:16
I mean, that's remarkable to me,
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1646
Mislim, za mene je to izvanredno,
14:18
clearly the best chemical detector on the face of the planet.
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3032
očito najbolji kemijski detektor na zemlji.
14:21
And you don't even think about it, do you?
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A vi čak i ne razmišljate o tome, zar ne?
14:24
So this is a favorite quote of mine that takes us
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2617
Ovo je moj omiljeni citat koji nas vraća
14:27
back to the ignorance and the idea of questions.
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natrag na neznanje i ideju o pitanjima.
14:28
I like to quote because I think dead people
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2019
Volim citirati jer mislim da mrtvi ljudi
14:30
shouldn't be excluded from the conversation.
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ne bi trebali biti izostavljeni iz razgovora.
14:33
And I also think it's important to realize that
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1939
I također mislim da je važno za shvatiti
14:35
the conversation's been going on for a while, by the way.
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da razgovor traje već neko vrijeme.
14:37
So Erwin Schrodinger, a great quantum physicist
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Dakle Erwin Schrodinger, veliki kvantni fizičar
14:40
and, I think, philosopher, points out how you have to
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i smatram, filozof, ističe kako morate
14:43
"abide by ignorance for an indefinite period" of time.
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"pokoriti se neznanju na neodređeni period" vremena.
14:46
And it's this abiding by ignorance
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I ovo pokoravanje neznanju
14:48
that I think we have to learn how to do.
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to je ono što moramo naučiti raditi.
14:50
This is a tricky thing. This is not such an easy business.
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Ovo je nezgodna stvar. To nije tako jednostavan posao.
14:53
I guess it comes down to our education system,
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Izgleda da se to svodi na obrazovni sustav,
14:55
so I'm going to talk a little bit about ignorance and education,
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stoga ću govoriti malo o neznanju i obrazovanju
14:57
because I think that's where it really has to play out.
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jer mislim da se tamo sve mora odigrati.
14:59
So for one, let's face it,
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Kao prvo, suočimo se s time
15:02
in the age of Google and Wikipedia,
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u doba Googlea i Wikipedie,
15:05
the business model of the university
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poslovni model sveučilišta
15:07
and probably secondary schools is simply going to have to change.
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i vjerojatno srednjoškolskog obrazovanja će se morati promijeniti
15:10
We just can't sell facts for a living anymore.
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Ne možemo više prodavati činjenice da opstanemo.
15:12
They're available with a click of the mouse,
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Dostupne su pritiskom miša,
15:14
or if you want to, you could probably just ask the wall
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ili ako želite, vjerojatno možete samo pitati zid
15:17
one of these days, wherever they're going to hide the things
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jednog dana, gdjegod budu sakrili stvari
15:18
that tell us all this stuff.
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koje nam govore sve to.
15:20
So what do we have to do? We have to give our students
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Stoga što moramo napraviti? Moramo dati našim učenicima
15:23
a taste for the boundaries, for what's outside that circumference,
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osjet za granice, za ono što je izvan tog obujma,
15:27
for what's outside the facts, what's just beyond the facts.
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za ono što je izvan činjenica, ono što je odmah iznad činjenica
15:31
How do we do that?
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Kako to napravimo?
15:33
Well, one of the problems, of course,
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Pa, jedan od problema, naravno
15:35
turns out to be testing.
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izgleda da je testiranje.
15:37
We currently have an educational system
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Trenutno imamo obrazovni sustav
15:39
which is very efficient but is very efficient at a rather bad thing.
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koji je vrlo djelotvoran, ali je vrlo djelotvoran u prilično lošoj stvari
15:43
So in second grade, all the kids are interested in science,
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Dakle u drugom razredu, sva djeca su zainteresirana za znanost,
15:46
the girls and the boys.
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djevojčice i dječaci.
15:47
They like to take stuff apart. They have great curiosity.
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Vole rastavljati stvari. Vrlo su radoznali.
15:51
They like to investigate things. They go to science museums.
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Vole istraživati stvari. Idi u znanstvene muzeje
15:54
They like to play around. They're in second grade.
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Vole se igrati okolo. U drugom su razredu.
16:00
They're interested.
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Zainteresirani su.
16:01
But by 11th or 12th grade, fewer than 10 percent
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Ali do drugog ili trećeg razreda srednje, manje od 10 posto
16:04
of them have any interest in science whatsoever,
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njih ima bilo kakav interes za znanost.
16:07
let alone a desire to go into science as a career.
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a kamoli želju da odaberu znanost kao karijeru.
16:10
So we have this remarkably efficient system
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Stoga imamo ovaj izuzetno djelotvoran sustav
16:13
for beating any interest in science out of everybody's head.
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Za istjerivanje bilo kakvog zanimanja za znanost iz svačije glave.
16:17
Is this what we want?
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Je li to ono što želimo?
16:19
I think this comes from what a teacher colleague of mine
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Mislim da ovo dolazi iz onoga što moj kolega učitelj
16:22
calls "the bulimic method of education."
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zove „bulimična metoda edukacije.“
16:24
You know. You can imagine what it is.
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Znate. Možete zamisliti što je to.
16:26
We just jam a whole bunch of facts down their throats over here
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Samo natrpamo hrpu činjenica niz njihova grla ovdje
16:29
and then they puke it up on an exam over here
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i onda oni to ispovraćaju tamo na ispitu
16:31
and everybody goes home with no added intellectual heft whatsoever.
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i svi odu kući bez ikakvog dodanog intelektualnog tereta.
16:36
This can't possibly continue to go on.
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Ovo se ne može nastaviti događati.
16:38
So what do we do? Well the geneticists, I have to say,
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Stoga što trebamo napraviti? Pa genetičari, moram priznati,
16:40
have an interesting maxim they live by.
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imaju zanimljivu maksimu po kojoj žive.
16:42
Geneticists always say, you always get what you screen for.
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Genetičari uvijek kažu, uvijek dobiješ ono što tražiš.
16:47
And that's meant as a warning.
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I to je zamišljeno kao upozorenje.
16:50
So we always will get what we screen for,
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Stoga ćemo uvijek dobiti ono što tražimo,
16:52
and part of what we screen for is in our testing methods.
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i dio onoga što tražimo je u našim metodama testiranja.
16:56
Well, we hear a lot about testing and evaluation,
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Pa, čujemo puno toga o testiranju i ocjenjivanju,
16:59
and we have to think carefully when we're testing
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i moramo pažljivo razmisliti kad testiramo
17:01
whether we're evaluating or whether we're weeding,
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ocjenjujemo li ili plijevimo,
17:04
whether we're weeding people out,
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plijevimo li van ljude,
17:06
whether we're making some cut.
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radimo li neke rezove.
17:09
Evaluation is one thing. You hear a lot about evaluation
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Ocjenjivanje je jedna stvar. Čujete puno o ocjenjivanju
17:12
in the literature these days, in the educational literature,
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u literaturi ovih dana, u obrazovnoj literaturi,
17:14
but evaluation really amounts to feedback and it amounts
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ali ocjenjivanje se zapravo svodi na povratne informacije i svodi se na
17:17
to an opportunity for trial and error.
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mogućnost za pokušaj i promašaj.
17:20
It amounts to a chance to work over a longer period of time
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Svodi se na priliku za rad na dulji period vremena
17:24
with this kind of feedback.
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sa ovom vrstom povratnih informacija.
17:26
That's different than weeding, and usually, I have to tell you,
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To je drugčije od plijevljenja i obično, moram vam reći
17:29
when people talk about evaluation, evaluating students,
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kada ljudi govore o ocjenjivanju, ocjenjivanju učenika,
17:32
evaluating teachers, evaluating schools,
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ocjenjivanju učitelja, ocjenjivanju škola,
17:34
evaluating programs, that they're really talking about weeding.
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ocjenjivanju programa, da zapravo govore o plijevljenju.
17:39
And that's a bad thing, because then you will get what you select for,
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I to je loša stvar, jer onda ćete dobiti ono što ste izabrali
17:43
which is what we've gotten so far.
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što je ono što smo dobivali do sada
17:45
So I'd say what we need is a test that says, "What is x?"
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Stoga ja bih rekao da trebamo test koji kaže „Što je x?“
17:48
and the answers are "I don't know, because no one does,"
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i odgovor je „Ne znam, jer nitko ne zna“
17:51
or "What's the question?" Even better.
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ili „Što je pitanje?“ čak bolje.
17:53
Or, "You know what, I'll look it up, I'll ask someone,
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Ili, „Znaš što, pogledat ću, pitat ću nekoga,
17:55
I'll phone someone. I'll find out."
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Nazvat ću nekoga. Saznat ću."
17:58
Because that's what we want people to do,
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Zato jer je to ono što želimo da čine,
18:00
and that's how you evaluate them.
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i tako ih ocjenjujete.
18:01
And maybe for the advanced placement classes,
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I možda za napredne razrede,
18:03
it could be, "Here's the answer. What's the next question?"
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moglo bi biti „Ovo je odgovor. Što je sljedeće pitanje?"
18:07
That's the one I like in particular.
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Taj mi se posebno sviđa.
18:08
So let me end with a quote from William Butler Yeats,
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Dopustite da završim citatom Williama Butlera Yeatsa
18:10
who said "Education is not about filling buckets;
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koji je rekao „Obrazovanje nije punjenje kanti;
18:14
it is lighting fires."
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to je paljenje vatri."
18:16
So I'd say, let's get out the matches.
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Stoga kažem, izvadimo šibice.
18:20
Thank you.
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Hvala vam.
18:21
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
18:24
Thank you. (Applause)
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Hvala vam. (Pljesak)
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