Joel Selanikio: The surprising seeds of a big-data revolution in healthcare

61,578 views ・ 2013-07-02

TED


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Translator: Mathias Severinsen Reviewer: Anders Finn Jørgensen
Der er en gammel joke om en politimand på patrulje
00:13
There's an old joke about a cop
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00:14
who's walking his beat in the middle of the night,
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midt om natten.
00:16
and he comes across a guy under a street lamp
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Han støder på en mand under en gadelampe
som kigger på jorden og går fra side til side.
00:19
who's looking at the ground and moving from side to side,
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00:21
and the cop asks him what he's doing.
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Politimanden spørger ham, hvad han laver.
00:23
The guys says he's looking for his keys.
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Manden siger han leder efter sine nøgler.
00:25
So the cop takes his time
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Så politimanden tager sig tid og leder
00:27
and looks over and kind of makes a little matrix
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inden for et lille område
00:29
and looks for about two, three minutes.
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i to til tre minutter. Ingen nøgler.
00:31
No keys.
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00:32
The cop says, "Are you sure?
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Politimanden siger, "Er du sikker på,
00:35
Hey buddy, are you sure you lost your keys here?"
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at du mistede dine nøgler her?"
00:37
And the guy says, "No, actually I lost them
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Manden siger, "Nej, jeg mistede dem faktisk
nede for enden af vejen,
00:39
down at the other end of the street,
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men lyset er bedre her."
00:41
but the light is better here."
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00:42
(Laughter)
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00:46
There's a concept that people talk about nowadays called "big data."
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Der er et begreb folk snakker om for tiden
som hedder Big data.
00:49
And what they're talking about is all of the information
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Det refererer til al den information vi skaber
00:52
that we're generating through our interaction
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ved vores brug af internettet.
00:54
with and over the Internet,
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00:55
everything from Facebook and Twitter
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Alt fra Facebook og Twitter
til musikdownloads, film, livestreaming af TED.
00:57
to music downloads, movies, streaming, all this kind of stuff,
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01:01
the live streaming of TED.
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01:02
And the folks who work with big data, for them,
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De folk som arbejder med Big data,
01:05
they talk about that their biggest problem
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siger deres største problem er,
01:07
is we have so much information.
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at der findes så meget information,
01:09
The biggest problem is: how do we organize all that information?
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at de ikke ved hvordan de skal organisere det.
Fra mit arbejde inden for global sundhed, kan jeg sige,
01:13
I can tell you that, working in global health,
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01:15
that is not our biggest problem.
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at det ikke er vores største problem.
01:18
Because for us, even though the light is better on the Internet,
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Fordi selv om lyset er bedre på internettet,
01:22
the data that would help us solve the problems we're trying to solve
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findes den data som kan hjælpe os med
at løse vores problemer, faktisk ikke på internettet.
01:26
is not actually present on the Internet.
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01:28
So we don't know, for example,
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Så vi ved for eksempel ikke hvor mange folk,
01:30
how many people right now are being affected by disasters
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som lige nu er påvirket af katastrofer
eller konfliktsituationer.
01:33
or by conflict situations.
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01:35
We don't know for, really, basically, any of the clinics
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Vi ved stort set ikke for nogen klinikker i udviklingslandene,
01:39
in the developing world,
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01:40
which ones have medicines and which ones don't.
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hvilke som har medicin og hvilke som ikke har.
01:42
We have no idea of what the supply chain is for those clinics.
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Vi kender ikke klinikkernes forsyningskæde.
Vi ved ikke - og det finder jeg ganske utroligt -
01:46
We don't know -- and this is really amazing to me -- we don't know
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hvor mange børn som blev født, eller hvor mange børn der er,
01:49
how many children were born -- or how many children there are --
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01:53
in Bolivia or Botswana or Bhutan.
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i Bolivia, Botswana eller Bhutan.
Vi ved ikke hvor mange børn som sidste uge døde
01:58
We don't know how many kids died last week
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i nogen af de lande.
02:00
in any of those countries.
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02:01
We don't know the needs of the elderly, the mentally ill.
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Vi kender ikke de ældre og psykiske syges behov.
02:04
For all of these different critically important problems
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Inden for disse meget vigtige områder, hvor vi vil løse problemer,
02:07
or critically important areas that we want to solve problems in,
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ved vi stort set ingenting.
02:11
we basically know nothing at all.
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02:15
And part of the reason why we don't know anything at all
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En af grundene er,
02:18
is that the information technology systems that we use in global health
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at den informationsteknologi vi bruger i global sundhed
02:22
to find the data to solve these problems is what you see here.
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til at indsamle data for at løse disse problemer,
er hvad du ser her.
02:27
This is about a 5,000-year-old technology.
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Det er en omtrent 5000 år gammel teknologi.
02:29
Some of you may have used it before.
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Nogle af jer har måske brugt den før.
Den er på vej ud nu,
02:31
It's kind of on its way out now,
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men vi bruger den stadig til 99 procent af vores arbejde.
02:32
but we still use it for 99 percent of our stuff.
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Det er et spørgeskema.
02:35
This is a paper form.
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02:38
And what you're looking at is a paper form
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Det er et spørgeskema i hånden på en sygeplejerske fra Indonesien
02:40
in the hand of a Ministry of Health nurse in Indonesia,
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02:43
who is tramping out across the countryside
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som vandrer mellem landsbyer
02:45
in Indonesia on, I'm sure, a very hot and humid day,
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på en dag, som sikkert er både varm og fugtig.
02:49
and she is going to be knocking on thousands of doors
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Hun kommer til at banke på tusindvis af døre
02:51
over a period of weeks or months,
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over en periode på uger eller måneder
02:54
knocking on the doors and saying,
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og sige, "Undskyld mig, vi vil gerne stile dig et par spørgsmål.
02:55
"Excuse me, we'd like to ask you some questions.
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02:58
Do you have any children? Were your children vaccinated?"
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Har du børn? Er dine børn vaccineret?"
03:02
Because the only way we can actually find out
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For den eneste måde vi kan finde ud af
hvor mange procent af børn som er vaccineret i Indonesien,
03:04
how many children were vaccinated in the country of Indonesia,
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03:07
what percentage were vaccinated,
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03:08
is actually not on the Internet, but by going out and knocking on doors,
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er ikke på internettet, men ved at gå ud og banke på
nogle gange titusindvis af døre.
03:13
sometimes tens of thousands of doors.
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03:15
Sometimes it takes months to even years to do something like this.
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Det kan tage måneder, endda år at gøre det.
03:19
You know, a census of Indonesia
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En folketælling af Indonesien ville sikkert tage to år at udføre.
03:21
would probably take two years to accomplish.
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03:23
And the problem, of course, with all of this
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Problemet med alle de spørgeskemaer er -
03:25
is that, with all those paper forms --
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03:27
and I'm telling you, we have paper forms for every possible thing:
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- og jeg siger dig vi har spørgeskemaer for hvad som helst.
Vi har spørgeskemaer for vaccinationsundersøgelser,
03:30
We have paper forms for vaccination surveys.
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03:32
We have paper forms to track people who come into clinics.
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for at følge op på folk som har været til lægen,
03:36
We have paper forms to track drug supplies, blood supplies --
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for at følge medicinforsyning, blodforsyning,
03:40
all these different paper forms for many different topics,
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en masse forskellge spørgeskemaer om mange forskellige emner,
03:43
they all have a single, common endpoint,
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som alle ender det samme sted.
03:45
and the common endpoint looks something like this.
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Det ser ud nogenlunde sådan her.
03:48
And what we're looking at here is a truckful of data.
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Hvad du ser her er en bil fuld af data.
Det er data fra én undersøgelse om vaccinationsdækning
03:53
This is the data from a single vaccination coverage survey
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03:57
in a single district in the country of Zambia
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i ét enkelt distrikt i Zambia,
03:59
from a few years ago, that I participated in.
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som jeg deltog i for få år siden.
04:01
The only thing anyone was trying to find out
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Det eneste vi ville finde ud af var,
04:04
is what percentage of Zambian children are vaccinated,
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hvilken andel af Zambiske børn som var vaccineret.
04:07
and this is the data, collected on paper over weeks,
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Det her er dataen indsamlet i ugevis på papir
04:10
from a single district,
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fra ét enkelt distrikt, som svarer til en kommune i USA.
04:11
which is something like a county in the United States.
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04:14
You can imagine that, for the entire country of Zambia,
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Man kan tænke sig at svare på det ene spørgsmål for hele Zambia
04:17
answering just that single question ...
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04:20
looks something like this.
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ville se nogenlunde sådan her ud.
Bil efter bil fyldt med stakkevis af data.
04:23
Truck after truck after truck,
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04:25
filled with stack after stack after stack of data.
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04:28
And what makes it even worse is that's just the beginning.
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Og det værste er, at det bare er begyndelsen.
04:31
Because once you've collected all that data,
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Fordi når først man har indsamlet alt dataen
04:33
of course, someone -- some unfortunate person --
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må en eller anden stakkel skrive det ind på en computer.
04:36
is going to have to type that into a computer.
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04:38
When I was a graduate student,
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Da jeg var kandidatstuderende,
04:40
I actually was that unfortunate person sometimes.
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var jeg faktisk, nogle gange den stakkel.
04:42
I can tell you, I often wasn't really paying attention.
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Ofte var jeg ikke særlig opmærksom.
04:45
I probably made a lot of mistakes when I did it
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Jeg lavede sikkert en masse fejl
04:47
that no one ever discovered, so data quality goes down.
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som ingen nogensinde opdagede, så datakvaliteten falder.
04:50
But eventually that data, hopefully, gets typed into a computer,
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Men til sidst bliver dataen forhåbentligvis skrevet ind på computer,
04:53
and someone can begin to analyze it,
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og nogen kan begynde at analysere den.
04:55
and once they have an analysis and a report,
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Så snart de har en analyse og en rapport,
kan man forhåbentligvis tage resultatet af dataen
04:58
hopefully, then you can take the results of that data collection
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05:01
and use it to vaccinate children better.
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og bruge det til at vaccinere børn bedre.
05:03
Because if there's anything worse in the field of global public health --
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For hvis der findes noget værre inden for global sundhed,
05:08
I don't know what's worse than allowing children on this planet
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end at lade børn dø af sygdomme som kan forebygges med vaccine.
05:11
to die of vaccine-preventable diseases --
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05:14
diseases for which the vaccine costs a dollar.
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Vaccine som koster bare én dollar.
05:17
And millions of children die of these diseases every year.
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Millioner af børn dør af disse sygdomme hvert år.
Rent faktisk er millioner et skøn,
05:21
And the fact is, millions is a gross estimate,
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05:24
because we don't really know how many kids die each year of this.
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for vi ved ikke hvor mange børn som dør hvert år.
05:27
What makes it even more frustrating is that the data-entry part,
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Og hvad gør det endnu mere frustrerende er,
at dataindtastningen jeg lavede som kandidatstuderende,
05:31
the part that I used to do as a grad student,
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kan tage seks måneder.
05:33
can take sometimes six months.
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05:34
Sometimes it can take two years to type that information into a computer,
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Det kan tage to år at taste ind på en computer,
05:38
And sometimes, actually not infrequently,
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og nogle gange sker det faktisk aldrig.
05:40
it actually never happens.
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05:42
Now try and wrap your head around that for a second.
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Prøv at forstå det et sekund.
05:44
You just had teams of hundreds of people.
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Du har grupper på hundredevis af folk.
05:47
They went out into the field to answer a particular question.
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De har været i felten for at svare på et bestemt spørgsmål.
Du har sikkert brugt hundredetusindvis af dollars
05:50
You probably spent hundreds of thousands of dollars
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på benzin, fotokopiering og godtgørelse,
05:52
on fuel and photocopying and per diem.
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og så af en eller anden grund stopper fremdriften,
05:56
And then for some reason, momentum is lost
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05:58
or there's no money left,
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eller pengene slipper op,
05:59
and all of that comes to nothing,
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og det hele løber ud i sandet, fordi ingen taster det ind på en computer.
06:01
because no one actually types it into the computer at all.
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06:04
The process just stops.
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Processen stopper bare. Det sker hele tiden.
06:05
Happens all the time.
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06:07
This is what we base our decisions on in global health:
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Det er, hvad vi har baseret vores beslutninger på i global sundhed:
06:10
little data, old data, no data.
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lidt data, gammel data, ingen data.
06:15
So back in 1995,
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Så tilbage i 1995 begyndte jeg at tænke over,
06:17
I began to think about ways in which we could improve this process.
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hvordan vi kunne forbedre denne proces.
06:20
Now 1995 -- obviously, that was quite a long time ago.
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1995 er selvfølgelig lang tid siden.
06:23
It kind of frightens me to think of how long ago that was.
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Det skræmmer mig lidt at tænke på, hvor lang tid siden det er.
Årets storfilm var "Die Hard with a Vengeance."
06:26
The top movie of the year was "Die Hard with a Vengeance."
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Som du kan se, havde Bruce Willis mere hår dengang.
06:29
As you can see, Bruce Willis had a lot more hair back then.
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06:31
I was working in the Centers for Disease Control
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Jeg arbejdede inden for sygdomsbekæmpelse,
06:34
and I had a lot more hair back then as well.
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og jeg havde også mere hår dengang.
06:37
But to me, the most significant thing that I saw in 1995
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Men for mig var, det vigtigste jeg så i 1995, den her.
06:40
was this.
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Det er svært at forestille sig, men i 1995
06:42
Hard for us to imagine, but in 1995,
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06:44
this was the ultimate elite mobile device.
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var det her den ultimative håndholdte enhed.
06:48
It wasn't an iPhone. It wasn't a Galaxy phone.
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Det var ikke en iPhone eller en Galaxy telefon.
06:50
It was a PalmPilot.
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Det var en Palm Pilot.
06:52
And when I saw the PalmPilot for the first time, I thought,
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Da jeg så Palm Pilot for første gang tænkte jeg:
06:55
"Why can't we put the forms on these PalmPilots?
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"Hvorfor kan vi ikke putte spørgeskemaet ind på de her Palm Pilots
06:58
And go out into the field just carrying one PalmPilot,
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og gå ud i felten med bare én Palm Pilot
som har samme kapacitet som titusindvis af papirsskemaer?
07:01
which can hold the capacity of tens of thousands of paper forms?
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07:05
Why don't we try to do that?
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Hvorfor prøver vi ikke det?"
07:06
Because if we can do that,
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For hvis det fungerer, hvis vi bare kan
07:07
if we can actually just collect the data electronically, digitally,
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indsamle dataen digitalt helt fra starten,
07:11
from the very beginning,
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07:13
we can just put a shortcut right through that whole process
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så kan vi springe over hele processen
07:16
of typing, of having somebody type that stuff into the computer.
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at have nogen til at taste det ind på en computer.
07:21
We can skip straight to the analysis
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Vi kan gå direkte til analysen og at bruge dataen til at redde liv.
07:23
and then straight to the use of the data to actually save lives."
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07:26
So that's what I began to do.
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Så det begyndte jeg at gøre.
07:29
Working at CDC, I began to travel to different programs around the world
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Jeg begyndte at rejse til programmer i hele verden
07:33
and to train them in using PalmPilots to do data collection,
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og træne dem i at bruge Palm Pilots til at indsamle data
07:37
instead of using paper.
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istedet for at bruge papir.
07:39
And it actually worked great.
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Og det fungerede fantastisk.
07:41
It worked exactly as well as anybody would have predicted.
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Det fungerede så godt som man kunne have forestillet sig.
Der kan man bare se. Digital dataindsamling
07:44
What do you know?
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07:45
Digital data collection is actually more efficient than collecting on paper.
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er faktisk mere effektivt end at indsamle på papir.
Imens det stod på, var min forretningspartner Rose,
07:49
While I was doing it, my business partner,
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som er her med sin mand Matthew idag,
07:51
Rose, who's here with her husband, Matthew, here in the audience,
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ude at gøre noget lignende for Amerikansk Røde Kors.
07:54
Rose was out doing similar stuff for the American Red Cross.
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Efter at have gjort det nogle år gik det op for mig at jeg havde besøgt
07:57
The problem was, after a few years of doing that,
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07:59
I realized -- I had been to maybe six or seven programs --
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måske seks eller syv programmer, og jeg tænkte:
08:03
and I thought, you know, if I keep this up at this pace,
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"Hvis jeg fortsætter i det her tempo gennem hele min kariere,
08:06
over my whole career,
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08:07
maybe I'm going to go to maybe 20 or 30 programs.
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når jeg måske ud til 20 eller 30 programmer.
08:10
But the problem is, 20 or 30 programs,
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Men at træne 20 eller 30 programmer i at bruge den her teknologi,
08:13
like, training 20 or 30 programs to use this technology,
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08:16
that is a tiny drop in the bucket.
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er en dråbe i havet.
Behovet for bedre dataprogrammer inden for sundhed,
08:19
The demand for this, the need for data to run better programs
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08:22
just within health -- not to mention all of the other fields
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for ikke at nævne alle de andre områder i udviklingslande, er enormt.
08:25
in developing countries -- is enormous.
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08:27
There are millions and millions and millions of programs,
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Der er millioner af programmer,
08:31
millions of clinics that need to track drugs,
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millioner klinikker som har brug for at registrere medicin,
08:34
millions of vaccine programs.
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millioner af vaccineprogrammer.
08:35
There are schools that need to track attendance.
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Der er skoler, som har brug for at registrere fremmøde.
Der er et væld af forskellige områder, hvor vi har brug for at få data.
08:38
There are all these different things for us to get the data that we need to do.
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Og det gik op for mig, at hvis jeg fortsatte på samme måde,
08:42
And I realized if I kept up the way that I was doing,
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08:46
I was basically hardly going to make any impact
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ville jeg stort set ikke have haft nogen indflydelse
ved min slutningen af min karriere.
08:50
by the end of my career.
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08:51
And so I began to rack my brain,
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Så jeg begyndte at vride min hjerne,
08:53
trying to think about, what was the process that I was doing?
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og tænke over de metoder jeg brugte,
08:56
How was I training folks,
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hvordan jeg trænede folk, hvor flaskehalsene var,
08:57
and what were the bottlenecks and what were the obstacles
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og hvad der var i vejen for at gøre det hurtigere og mere effektivt.
09:01
to doing it faster and to doing it more efficiently?
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09:03
And, unfortunately, after thinking about this for some time,
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Desværre, efter at have tænkt over det et stykke tid,
09:06
I identified the main obstacle.
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identificerede jeg hovedproblemet.
09:10
And the main obstacle, it turned out --
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Problemet var, viste det sig, og det var en hård erkendelse,
09:12
and this is a sad realization --
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hovedproblemet var mig.
09:14
the main obstacle was me.
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09:16
So what do I mean by that?
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Så hvad mener jeg med det?
09:18
I had developed a process
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Jeg havde udviklet en metode, hvor jeg var i centrum for teknologien.
09:20
whereby I was the center of the universe of this technology.
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Hvis man ville bruge teknologien, måtte man i kontakt med mig.
09:26
If you wanted to use this technology, you had to get in touch with me.
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Man måtte altså vide, at jeg eksisterede.
09:29
That means you had to know I existed.
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Så måtte man skaffe penge til min flyrejse og mit hotelophold
09:31
Then you had to find the money to pay for me to fly out to your country
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09:34
and the money to pay for my hotel and my per diem and my daily rate.
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og til min godtgørelse og dagsatser.
09:38
So you could be talking about 10- or 20- or 30,000 dollars,
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Det kunne handle om 10.000, 20.000 eller 30.000 dollars
09:41
if I actually had the time or it fit my schedule
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hvis jeg overhovedet havde plads i min kalender
09:43
and I wasn't on vacation.
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og ikke var på ferie.
09:45
The point is that anything,
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1961
Pointen er, at et hvilket som helst system som afhænger af et enkelt menneske,
09:47
any system that depends on a single human being
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09:49
or two or three or five human beings --
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eller to, tre eller fem mennesker, ikke kan skaleres.
09:51
it just doesn't scale.
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09:53
And this is a problem for which we need to scale this technology,
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For at løse disse problemer må vi skalere teknologien så hurtigt som muligt.
09:56
and we need to scale it now.
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09:58
And so I began to think of ways in which I could basically
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Jeg begyndte at undersøge,
hvordan jeg kunne fjerne mig selv fra billedet.
10:01
take myself out of the picture.
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Og det tænkte jeg over i temmelig lang tid.
10:06
And, you know, I was thinking,
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10:07
"How could I take myself out of the picture?"
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10:09
for quite some time.
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10:11
I'd been trained that the way you distribute technology
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Jeg havde lært at måden man distribuerer teknologi,
10:15
within international development
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inden for global udvikling, altid er gennem en konsulent.
10:16
is always consultant-based.
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10:18
It's always guys that look pretty much like me,
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Det er altid mænd som ligner mig,
10:21
flying from countries that look pretty much like this
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som flyver fra lande som ligner det her,
10:23
to other countries with people with darker skin.
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2339
til andre lande hvor folk har mørkere hud.
10:26
And you go out there, and you spend money on airfare
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Og man tager derud, bruger penge på flyrejse
10:29
and you spend time and you spend per diem
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3236
og bruger tid og penge til godtgørelse, hotel og alle de her ting.
10:32
and you spend for a hotel and all that stuff.
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2349
10:34
As far as I knew, that was the only way you could distribute technology,
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Så vidt jeg vidste, var det den eneste måde
man kunne distribuere teknologi, og jeg kunne ikke finde en vej udenom.
10:38
and I couldn't figure out a way around it.
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2035
10:40
But the miracle that happened --
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Men så skete miraklet, jeg kalder forenklet for Hotmail.
10:42
I'm going to call it Hotmail for short.
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1906
10:45
You may not think of Hotmail as being miraculous,
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Du ser måske ikke Hotmail som et mirakel,
10:47
but for me it was miraculous,
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men for mig var det et mirakel, fordi jeg lagde mærke til,
10:49
because I noticed, just as I was wrestling with this problem --
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3612
akkurat som jeg kæmpede med det her problem -
10:52
I was working in sub-Saharan Africa, mostly, at the time --
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3506
på dette tidspunkt arbejdede jeg mest i Subsaharisk Afrika -
10:56
I noticed that every sub-Saharan African health worker
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Jeg lagde mærke til, at alle de afrikanske sundhedsarbejdere,
10:58
that I was working with had a Hotmail account.
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som jeg arbejdede med, havde en Hotmail konto.
Og det slog mig at folkene fra Hotmail
11:03
And it struck me, "Wait a minute --
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2928
11:06
I know the Hotmail people surely didn't fly to the Ministry of Health in Kenya
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sikkert ikke var fløjet til Kenyas sundhedsministerium
11:10
to train people in how to use Hotmail.
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for at lære folk at bruge Hotmail.
11:13
So these guys are distributing technology, getting software capacity out there,
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Så de distribuerer teknologi og software,
11:17
but they're not actually flying around the world.
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2328
men de behøver ikke flyve jorden rundt.
Jeg må prøve at forstå det her.
11:20
I need to think about this more."
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11:21
While I was thinking about it,
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1450
Imens jeg tænkte over det,
11:23
people started using even more things like this, just as we were.
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begyndte folk at bruge endnu flere ting, ligesom os.
11:26
They started using LinkedIn and Flickr and Gmail and Google Maps --
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3231
De begyndte at bruge LinkedIn, Flickr, Gmail, Google Maps osv.
11:29
all these things.
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1157
11:30
Of course, all of these things are cloud based
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Alle disse ting er internetbaserede og kræver ingen træning.
11:33
and don't require any training.
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11:35
They don't require any programmers.
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De kræver ingen programmører.
11:37
They don't require consultants.
255
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1503
De kræver ingen konsulenter fordi firmaernes forretningsmodel
11:38
Because the business model for all these businesses
256
698810
2485
11:41
requires that something be so simple we can use it ourselves,
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kræver at vi kan bruge produkterne med lidt eller ingen træning.
11:44
with little or no training.
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11:45
You just have to hear about it and go to the website.
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2595
Man behøver bare høre om dem og besøge deres hjemmeside.
Jeg tænkte: "Hvad ville ske hvis vi lavede software
11:48
And so I thought, what would happen if we built software
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4196
11:52
to do what I'd been consulting in?
261
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2064
som kunne erstatte min konsulentvirksomhed?"
11:54
Instead of training people how to put forms onto mobile devices,
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4072
I stedet for at træne folk i
at lægge spørgeskemaer ind på håndholdte enheder,
11:58
let's create software that lets them do it themselves with no training
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3301
lad os skabe software, som lader dem gøre det selv,
uden træning og uden at involvere mig.
12:01
and without me being involved.
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Og det er præcist, hvad vi gjorde.
12:03
And that's exactly what we did.
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1484
12:04
So we created software called Magpi, which has an online form creator.
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5221
Vi lavede et program som hedder Magpi
som har en online sørgeskema tjeneste.
12:10
No one has to speak to me,
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1252
Ingen behøver snakke med mig.
12:11
you just have to hear about it and go to the website.
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Man behøver bare høre om det og besøge hjemmesiden.
12:14
You can create forms, and once you've created the forms,
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Man kan lave spørgeskemaer, og så snart man har lavet dem,
12:16
you push them to a variety of common mobile phones.
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kan man overføre dem til mange almindelige mobiltelefoner.
12:19
Obviously, nowadays, we've moved past PalmPilots to mobile phones.
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Nu til dags har vi selvfølgelig skiftet fra Palm Pilots til mobiltelefoner.
12:22
And it doesn't have to be a smartphone, it can be a basic phone,
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Og det behøver ikke være en smartphone.
Det kan være en almindelig telefon som den til højre,
12:26
like the phone on the right, the basic Symbian phone
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2490
en helt almindelig Symbian telefon,
12:28
that's very common in developing countries.
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2062
som er meget almindelig i udviklingslande.
12:30
And the great part about this is it's just like Hotmail.
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3689
Og det bedste er, at det her er helt ligesom Hotmail.
12:34
It's cloud based,
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1151
Det er internetbaseret, og det kræver ingen træning,
12:35
and it doesn't require any training, programming, consultants.
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programmering eller konsulenter.
12:38
But there are some additional benefits as well.
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2203
Men der er også nogle sidegevinster.
Da vi byggede det her system var pointen ligesom med Palm Pilots,
12:41
Now we knew when we built this system,
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1873
12:43
the whole point of it, just like with the PalmPilots,
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2555
12:45
was that you'd be able to collect the data
281
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2799
at man kunne indsamle data,
12:48
and immediately upload the data and get your data set.
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2598
uploade det umiddelbart og få sit datasæt.
Men vi opdagede også, at da det allerede ligger på en computer,
12:51
But what we found, of course, since it's already on a computer,
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kan vi lave kort, analyser og grafer i realtid.
12:54
we can deliver instant maps and analysis and graphing.
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12:56
We can take a process that took two years
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2071
Vi kan tage en proces som tog to år og koge den ned til fem minutter.
12:58
and compress that down to the space of five minutes.
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3008
Utrolige fremskridt i effektivitet.
13:02
Unbelievable improvements in efficiency.
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2155
13:04
Cloud based, no training, no consultants, no me.
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3708
Internetbaseret, ingen træning, ingen konsulenter, ingen mig.
13:09
And I told you that in the first few years
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Og som jeg fortalte, i de første år
13:11
of trying to do this the old-fashioned way,
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2069
da jeg prøvede at gøre det på den gamle måde,
13:13
going out to each country,
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ved at besøge hvert land,
13:15
we probably trained about 1,000 people.
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4221
trænede vi nok omkring 1.000 mennesker.
13:19
What happened after we did this?
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Hvad skete efter de her ændringer?
13:21
In the second three years,
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I de følgende tre år fandt 14.000 mennesker hjemmesiden,
13:23
we had 14,000 people find the website,
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2150
13:25
sign up and start using it to collect data:
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meldte sig til og begyndte at bruge den til at indsamle data,
13:27
data for disaster response,
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Data for katastrofeberedskab,
kanadiske grisebønder som registrerer sygdomme og svinebesætninger,
13:29
Canadian pig farmers tracking pig disease and pig herds,
298
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4434
13:33
people tracking drug supplies.
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1881
folk som følger medicinforsyninger.
13:36
One of my favorite examples, the IRC, International Rescue Committee,
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3344
Et af de bedste eksempler er IRC, International Rescue Committee,
13:39
they have a program where semi-literate midwives,
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som har programmer hvor lavtuddannede jordemødre
13:42
using $10 mobile phones,
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2403
ved hjælp af 10$ mobiltelefoner
13:45
send a text message using our software, once a week,
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3301
sender tekstbeskeder med vores software en gang om ugen
13:48
with the number of births and the number of deaths,
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2476
med fødselstal og dødstal, hvilket giver IRC noget
13:51
which gives IRC something that no one in global health has ever had:
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3572
som ingen andre inden for global sundhed nogensinde har haft:
13:54
a near-real-time system of counting babies,
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3522
Et system som næsten i realtid kan tælle
13:58
of knowing how many kids are born,
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1634
hvor mange børn som bliver født og hvor mange børn som findes
13:59
of knowing how many children there are in Sierra Leone,
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2642
i Sierra Leone, hvor det her finder sted,
14:02
which is the country where this is happening,
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2223
14:04
and knowing how many children die.
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1753
og at vide, hvor mange børn som dør.
14:07
Physicians for Human Rights --
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1573
Physicians for Human Rights -
14:08
this is moving a little bit outside the health field --
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2592
nu bevæger jeg mig lidt uden for sundhedssektoren -
14:11
they're basically training people to do rape exams in Congo,
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træner ganske enkelt folk i at lave voldtægts-lægeundersøgelser i Congo,
14:16
where this is an epidemic,
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1449
hvor det er en forfærdelig epidemi,
14:17
a horrible epidemic,
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1793
14:19
and they're using our software to document the evidence they find,
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3176
og de bruger vores software til at dokumentere beviser,
14:22
including photographically,
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862904
1974
også fotografisk,
14:24
so that they can bring the perpetrators to justice.
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2903
så de kan få gerningsmanden for retten.
14:28
Camfed, another charity based out of the UK --
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3593
Camfed, en velgørende organisation fra England,
14:32
Camfed pays girls' families to keep them in school.
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2713
betaler pigers familier for at lade dem gå i skole.
14:36
They understand this is the most significant intervention they can make.
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De forstår, at det er den vigtigste forskel, de kan gøre.
De plejede at registrere udbetalingerne,
14:39
They used to track the disbursements, the attendance, the grades, on paper.
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3840
fremmødet og karaktererne, på papir.
14:43
The turnaround time between a teacher writing down grades or attendance
323
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3347
Fra det tidspunkt en lærer skrev karakterer og fremmøde ned,
14:46
and getting that into a report was about two to three years.
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2835
til det kom i en rapport, kunne der gå to til tre år.
14:49
Now it's real time.
325
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1151
Nu sker det i realtid, og fordi det er et billigt internetbaseret system,
14:50
And because this is such a low-cost system and based in the cloud,
326
890933
3183
14:54
it costs, for the entire five countries that Camfed runs this in,
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894140
3989
koster det, for de fem lande, som Camfed opererer i,
med titusindvis af piger, omkring 10.000 dollars per år.
14:58
with tens of thousands of girls,
328
898153
1865
15:00
the whole cost combined is 10,000 dollars a year.
329
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2708
15:03
That's less than I used to get
330
903154
1961
Det er mindre end hvad jeg fik
bare for at rejse ud og lave en to-ugers konsultation.
15:05
just traveling out for two weeks to do a consultation.
331
905139
2896
15:10
So I told you before that when we were doing it the old-fashioned way,
332
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3469
Jeg fortalte før, at da vi arbejdede på den gammeldags måde,
15:13
I realized all of our work was really adding up to just a drop in the bucket --
333
913632
3795
var vores arbejde bare en dråbe i havet -
15:17
10, 20, 30 different programs.
334
917451
1722
10, 20, 30 forskellige programmer.
Vi har gjort store fremskridt, men jeg må erkende,
15:20
We've made a lot of progress,
335
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1413
15:21
but I recognize that right now,
336
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1556
at selv med den indsats vi nu har gjort,
15:23
even the work that we've done with 14,000 people using this
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3364
med 14.000 folk som bruger det,
15:26
is still a drop in the bucket.
338
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1463
er det stadig en dråbe i havet. Men noget er ændret.
15:27
But something's changed, and I think it should be obvious.
339
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2730
Og jeg tror det er indlysende.
15:30
What's changed now is,
340
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2155
Det som er anderledes nu er,
15:32
instead of having a program in which we're scaling at such a slow rate
341
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3302
at istedet for at have et program, som skalerer så langsomt,
15:36
that we can never reach all the people who need us,
342
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3311
at vi aldrig kan nå alle de folk, som har brug for det,
15:39
we've made it unnecessary for people to get reached by us.
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3582
har vi gjort det unødvendigt at folk kommer i kontakt med os.
15:43
We've created a tool that lets programs keep kids in school,
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5003
Vi har skabt et værktøj, som lader organisationer holde børn i skole,
15:48
track the number of babies that are born and the number of babies that die,
345
948155
3939
følge antallet af børn som bliver født og dør,
15:52
catch criminals and successfully prosecute them --
346
952118
3777
at fange kriminelle og succesfuldt retsforfølge dem,
15:55
to do all these different things to learn more about what's going on,
347
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4422
til at gøre en masse ting for at lære mere om,
hvad der sker, at forstå mere, at se mere
16:00
to understand more,
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1301
16:01
to see more ...
349
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1316
16:03
and to save lives and improve lives.
350
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1905
og at redde liv og forbedre liv.
16:07
Thank you.
351
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1152
Tak.
16:09
(Applause)
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(Bifald)
Om denne hjemmeside

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