How does the stock market work? - Oliver Elfenbaum

9,369,740 views ・ 2019-04-29

TED-Ed


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譯者: Lilian Chiu 審譯者: Helen Chang
00:06
In the 1600s
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在 1600 年代,
00:07
the Dutch East India Company employed hundreds of ships
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荷蘭東印度公司僱用了數百艘船,
00:11
to trade gold, porcelain, spices, and silks around the globe.
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做黃金、瓷器、香料, 和絲的全球貿易。
00:16
But running this massive operation wasn’t cheap.
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但要支撐這麼龐大的營運, 花費一點也不便宜。
00:19
In order to fund their expensive voyages,
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為了要資助這些昂貴的航程,
00:21
the company turned to private citizens–
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該公司轉向平民——
00:24
individuals who could invest money to support the trip
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去找有錢能夠拿來投資、 資助旅程的個體戶,
00:27
in exchange for a share of the ship’s profits.
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交換條件則是可以分到 該船賺得的利潤。
00:30
This practice allowed the company to afford even grander voyages,
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這種做法,讓該公司能夠 負擔得起更浩大的航程,
00:34
increasing profits for both themselves and their savvy investors.
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讓公司本身及精明的投資者 都獲得更高的利潤。
00:39
Selling these shares in coffee houses and shipping ports across the continent,
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荷蘭東印度公司在各大陸的
咖啡館及海港銷售這些股份,
00:44
the Dutch East India Company unknowingly invented the world’s first stock market.
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不知不覺間,發明了 全世界第一個股票市場。
00:50
Since then, companies have been collecting funds from willing investors
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自此之後,公司便會向 有意願的投資者募款,
00:54
to support all kinds of businesses.
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來資助各式各樣的生意。
00:56
And today,
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現今,還有專門的學校、 職業,甚至專用的電視頻道
00:57
the stock market has schools, careers, and even whole television channels
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來研究了解股票市場。
01:02
dedicated to understanding it.
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01:04
But the modern stock market is significantly more complicated
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但,現代股票市場遠比
01:07
than its original incarnation.
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它的原始型態更複雜許多。
01:09
So how do companies and investors use the market today?
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所以,現今公司和投資者 怎麼運用這個市場?
01:14
Let’s imagine a new coffee company that decides to launch on the market.
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咱們來想像一間新的咖啡公司, 決心要進入市場。
01:18
First, the company will advertise itself to big investors.
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首先,該公司會為自己打廣告, 對象是大型投資者。
01:22
If they think the company is a good idea,
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如果他們認為 這個公司是個好點子,
01:24
they get the first crack at investing,
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他們就能取得投資的先機,
01:26
and then sponsor the company’s initial public offering, or IPO.
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接著,贊助該公司的 初次公開發行(IPO)。
01:31
This launches the company onto the official public market,
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這就能讓該公司進入到 正式的公開市場,
01:34
where any company or individual who believes the business could be profitable
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在這裡,相信這事業 有利可圖的任何公司或個體戶
01:38
might buy a stock.
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都可以買股票。
01:39
Buying stocks makes those investors partial owners in the business.
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投資者購買股票之後, 便擁有該事業的一部分。
01:44
Their investment helps the company to grow,
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他們的投資,協助該公司成長,
01:46
and as it becomes more successful,
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當該公司更成功之後,
01:48
more buyers may see potential and start buying stocks.
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可能會有更多的買家 看到潛力,也開始買股票。
01:51
As demand for those stocks increases,
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隨著對那些股票的需求增加,
01:54
so does their price, increasing the cost for prospective buyers,
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股票的價格也會提高, 增加未來買家的成本,
01:58
and raising the value of the company's stocks people already own.
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已經擁有該公司股票的人, 手上股票的價值也會提升。
02:01
For the company,
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對該公司來說,增加的股份 能協助資助新的計畫,
02:03
this increased interest helps fund new initiatives,
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02:06
and also boosts its overall market value
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同時,因為展現出 有這麼多人願意投資該公司,
02:09
by showing how many people are willing to invest in their idea.
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也能夠抬高該公司的 整體市場價值。
02:13
However, if for some reason a company starts to seem less profitable
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然而,如果出於某種原因, 公司看起來不再那麼有利可圖時,
02:17
the reverse can also happen.
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就可能會發生相反的狀況。
02:19
If investors think their stock value is going to decline,
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如果投資者認為他們的 股票價值有下跌的趨勢,
02:22
they’ll sell their stocks with the hopes of making a profit
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他們就會賣掉股票,
希望能在該公司失去 更多價值前就先賺回些利潤。
02:25
before the company loses more value.
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02:27
As stocks are sold and demand for the stock goes down,
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當股票被賣出, 且對股票的需求減少,
02:31
the stock price falls,
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股價就會下跌,
02:32
and with it, the company’s market value.
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公司的市場價值也會跟著下跌。
02:34
This can leave investors with big losses–
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這可能會造成投資者極大的損失——
02:37
unless the company starts to look profitable again.
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除非該公司能夠再次開始獲利。
02:40
This see-saw of supply and demand is influenced by many factors.
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會影響這種供給需求 蹺蹺板的因素很多。
02:45
Companies are under the unavoidable influence of market forces–
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無可避免,公司一定會 受到市場力量的影響——
02:49
such as the fluctuating price of materials,
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比如原料價格的波動、
02:51
changes in production technology,
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生產技術的改變,
02:53
and the shifting costs of labor.
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以及勞工成本的變動。
02:56
Investors may be worried about changes in leadership,
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投資者可能會擔心 領導階層的改變、
02:58
bad publicity, or larger factors like new laws and trade policies.
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不好的名聲,或更大的因素, 比如新法律和貿易政策。
03:03
And of course,
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當然,許多投資者就只是 準備好要賣掉有價值的股票,
03:04
plenty of investors are simply ready to sell valuable stocks
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03:07
and pursue personal interests.
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追求個人利益。
03:09
All these variables cause day-to-day noise in the market,
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所有這些變數每天都會干擾市場,
03:13
which can make companies appear more or less successful.
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可能會讓公司看起來 更成功或比較不成功。
03:16
And in the stock market,
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在股票市場上,看起來失去價值,
03:17
appearing to lose value often leads to losing investors,
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通常會導致失去投資者,
03:20
and in turn, losing actual value.
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進而真正失去價值。
03:23
Human confidence in the market has the power to trigger
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人類對市場信心的力量很強大,
03:26
everything from economic booms to financial crises.
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可以觸發各式各樣的現象, 從經濟繁榮到金融危機。
03:30
And this difficult-to-track variable
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這個很難追蹤的變數,
03:32
is why most professionals promote reliable long term investing
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正是為什麼專業人士 會推銷可靠的長期投資,
03:36
over trying to make quick cash.
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而不是試著快速撈一筆。
03:38
However, experts are constantly building tools
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然而,專家常常會創造一些工具,
03:41
in efforts to increase their chances of success
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試圖在這個極不可預測的系統中
03:43
in this highly unpredictable system.
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增加他們的成功機會。
03:45
But the stock market is not just for the rich and powerful.
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但,股票市場並非 有錢或有權的人的專利。
03:49
With the dawn of the Internet,
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隨著網際網路的出現,
03:50
everyday investors can buy stocks
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一般投資人也可以用許多 大型投資者的方式買賣股票。
03:52
in many of the exact same ways a large investor would.
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03:56
And as more people educate themselves about this complex system
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隨著更多人自學 與這複雜系統相關的知識,
03:59
they too can trade stocks,
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他們也能夠買賣股票, 支持他們所相信的企業,
04:01
support the businesses they believe in,
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04:03
and pursue their financial goals.
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並追求他們的財務目標。
04:05
The first step is getting invested.
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第一步,就是找到人來投資。
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