How the US should use its superpower status | Ian Bremmer

Prevodilac: Ivana Krivokuća Lektor: Tijana Mihajlović

When you come to TEDx, you always think about technology,

Kada dođete na TEDx, uvek pomislite na tehnologiju,

the world changing, becoming more innovative.

svet koji se menja, povećanje inovativnosti.

You think about the driverless.

Razmišljate o automobilima bez vozača.

Everyone's talking about driverless cars these days,

Svi ovih dana govore o samoupravljajućim automobilima,

and I love the concept of a driverless car,

i ja obožavam zamisao samoupravljajućeg automobila,

but when I go in one, you know,

ali kada uđem u njega, znate,

I want it really slow,

želim da bude veoma spor

I want access to the steering wheel and the brake, just in case.

i želim pristup volanu i kočnici, za svaki slučaj.

I don't know about you, but I am not ready for a driverless bus.

Ne znam kako je kod vas, ali ja nisam spreman za autobus bez vozača.

I am not ready for a driverless airplane.

Nisam spreman za avion bez vozača.

How about a driverless world?

Šta je sa svetom bez vozača?

And I ask you that

Pitam vas to

because we are increasingly in one.

jer smo sve više u takvom svetu.

It's not supposed to be that way.

Ne bi trebalo da bude tako.

We're number one,

Na prvom smo mestu,

the United States is large and in charge.

Sjedinjene Države su velike i predvode.

Americanization and globalization for the last several generations

Amerikanizacija i globalizacija su proteklih nekoliko generacija

have basically been the same thing.

u suštini bile jedno isto.

Right? Whether it's the World Trade Organization

Zar ne? Bilo da je u pitanju Svetska trgovinska organizacija,

or it's the IMF, the World Bank,

MMF, Svetska banka

the Bretton Woods Accord on currency,

ili Brentonvudski sporazum o valutama,

these were American institutions,

to su američke institucije,

our values, our friends, our allies, our money, our standards.

naše vrednosti, naši prijatelji, naši saveznici, naš novac i standardi.

That was the way the world worked.

Tako je svet funkcionisao.

So it's sort of interesting, if you want to look at how the US looks,

Nekako je zanimljivo, ako želite da pogledate kako SAD izgleda,

here it is.

evo slike.

This is our view of how the world is run.

Ovo je naše sagledavanje načina na koji se upravlja svetom.

President Obama has got the red carpet,

Predsednik Obama ima crveni tepih,

he goes down Air Force One,

silazi sa predsedničkog aviona

and it feels pretty good, it feels pretty comfortable.

i prilično je dobar osećaj, to deluje prilično prijatno.

Well, I don't know how many of you saw the China trip last week

Ne znam koliko je vas videlo put u Kinu prošle nedelje

and the G20.

i G20.

Oh my God. Right?

O, moj bože.

This is how we landed

Evo kako smo sletelii

for the most important meeting of the world's leaders in China.

na najvažniji sastanak svetskih lidera u Kini.

The National Security Advisor was actually spewing expletives

Savetnica za nacionalnu bezbednost je zapravo psovala

on the tarmac --

na mestu doletanja -

no red carpet,

nije bilo crvenog tepiha,

kind of left out the bottom of the plane

nekako zapostavljen donji deo aviona

along with all the media and everybody else.

zajedno sa svim medijima i svima ostalima.

Later on in the G20,

Kasnije na samitu G20,

well, there's Obama.

pa, eto Obame.

(Laughter)

(Smeh)

Hi, George.

Zdravo, Džordže.

Hi, Norman.

Zdravo, Normane.

They look like they're about to get into a cage match, right?

Izgledaju kao da će upravo započeti bokserski meč, zar ne?

And they did. It was 90 minutes long, and they talked about Syria.

I jesu. Trajao je 90 minuta i razgovarali su o Siriji.

That's what Putin wanted to talk about.

O tome je Putin hteo da pričaju.

He's increasingly calling the shots.

On sve više drži konce u svojim rukama.

He's the one willing to do stuff there.

On je taj koji je tu voljan da sprovodi stvari.

There's not a lot of mutual like or trust,

Nema mnogo uzajamnog dopadanja niti poverenja,

but it's not as if the Americans are telling him what to do.

ali ne može se reći da mu Amerikanci govore šta treba da radi.

How about when the whole 20 are getting together?

A kada se okupe svih 20 članica?

Svakako, kada su svi lideri na sceni,

Surely, when the leaders are all onstage,

tada Amerikanci ispunjavaju svoj deo posla.

then the Americans are pulling their weight.

O, ne.

Uh-oh.

(Laughter)

(Smeh)

Xi Jinping seems fine.

Si Đinpin deluje u redu.

Angela Merkel has -- she always does --

Angela Merkel ima, kao i uvek,

that look, she always does that.

taj pogled, što uvek radi.

But Putin is telling Turkish president Erdogan what to do,

Putin govori turskom predsedniku Erdoganu šta da radi,

and Obama is like, what's going on over there?

a Obama se pita šta se dešava tamo.

You see. And the problem is it's not a G20,

Vidite.

A problem je što to nije G20,

the problem is

problem je u tome što je svet u kome živimo G0,

it's a G-Zero world that we live in,

a world order where there is no single country or alliance

svetski poredak u kome ne postoji jedna država ili savez

that can meet the challenges of global leadership.

koji može da izađe na kraj sa izazovima globalnog liderstva.

The G20 doesn't work,

G20 ne funkcioniše,

the G7, all of our friends, that's history.

G7, svi naši prijatelji, to je prošlost.

So globalization is continuing.

Dakle, globalizacija se nastavlja.

Goods and services and people and capital are moving across borders

Roba, usluge, ljudi i kapital kreću se preko granica

faster and faster than ever before,

brže nego ikada ranije,

but Americanization is not.

ali ne i amerikanizacija.

So if I've convinced you of that,

Ako sam vas ubedio u to,

I want to do two things with the rest of this talk.

želim da postignem dve stvari u ostatku govora.

I want to talk about the implications of that

Želim da govorim o implikacijama toga

for the whole world.

za ceo svet.

I'll go around it.

Ići ću širom sveta.

And then I want to talk about

Zatim želim da govorim

what we think right here

o onome šta mi mislimo ovde,

in the United States and in New York.

u Sjedinjenim Državama i Njujorku.

So why? What are the implications. Why are we here?

Dakle, zašto? Koje su implikacije? Zašto smo ovde?

Well, we're here

Pa, ovde smo

because the United States,

jer su Sjedinjene Države,

we spent two trillion dollars on wars in Iraq and Afghanistan

tj. mi smo potrošili dva biliona dolara na ratove u Iraku i Avganistanu

that were failed.

koji su propali.

We don't want to do that anymore.

Ne želimo da to više radimo.

We have large numbers of middle and working classes

Imamo veliki broj pripadnika srednje i radničke klase

that feel like they've not benefited from promises of globalization,

koji smatraju da nisu imali koristi od obećanja globalizacije,

so they don't want to see it particularly.

tako da nemaju naročitu želju da je vide.

And we have an energy revolution

Imamo i revoluciju energije

where we don't need OPEC or the Middle East the way we used to.

gde nam više nije potreban OPEK na Srednjem Istoku kao nekada.

We produce all that right here in the United States.

Sve to proizvodimo upravo ovde u Sjedinjenim Državama.

So the Americans don't want to be the global sheriff for security

Dakle, Amerikanci ne žele da budu svetski šerifi za bezbednost

or the architect of global trade.

niti graditelji svetske trgovine.

The Americans don't want to even be the cheerleader of global values.

Amerikanci čak ne žele da budu ni navijači za globalne vrednosti.

Well, then you look to Europe,

Onda pogledate Evropu,

and the most important alliance in the world

i najvažniji savez na svetu

has been the transatlantic relationship.

bila je prekoatlantska veza.

But it is now weaker than it has been at any point since World War II,

Međutim, sada je slabija neko ikada još od Prvog svetskog rata -

all of the crises, the Brexit conversations,

sve te krize, razgovori o Bregzitu,

the hedging going on between the French and the Russians,

mere zaštite koje su se odvijale između Francuza i Rusa,

or the Germans and the Turks, or the Brits and the Chinese.

Nemaca i Turaka, ili Britanaca i Kineza.

China does want to do more leadership.

Kina želi da se više bavi liderstvom.

They do, but only in the economic sphere,

Oni to žele, ali samo u ekonomskom domenu,

and they want their own values, standards, currency,

i žele svoje vrednosti, standarde, valutu,

in competition with that of the US.

u konkurenciji sa onima u SAD-u.

The Russians want to do more leadership.

Rusija želi da se više bavi liderstvom.

You see that in Ukraine,

Vidite to u Ukrajini,

in the Baltic states, in the Middle East,

u baltičkim zemljama, na Srednjem istoku,

but not with the Americans.

ali ne i kod Amerikanaca.

They want their own preferences and order.

Oni žele ono što njima odgovara i sopstveno uređenje.

That's why we are where we are.

Zato se nalazimo tu gde smo.

So what happens going forward?

Šta se dalje dešava?

Let's start easy,

Počnimo polako,

with the Middle East.

sa Srednjim istokom.

(Laughter)

(Smeh)

You know, I left a little out,

Znate, izostavio sam ponešto,

but you get the general idea.

ali imate opštu predstavu.

Look, there are three reasons

Vidite, postoje tri razloga

why the Middle East has had stability such as it is. Right?

zbog kojih je Srednji istok imao stabilnost kakvu je imao, u redu?

One is because there was a willingness to provide

Jedan je jer je postojala spremnost da se obezbedi

some level of military security by the US and allies.

izvestan nivo vojne bezbednosti od strane SAD-a i saveznika.

Number two, it was easy to take a lot of cheap money out of the ground

Kao drugo, bilo je jednostavno iskopati lak novac

because oil was expensive.

jer je nafta bila skupa.

And number three

A kao treće,

was no matter how bad the leaders were, the populations were relatively quiescent.

koliko god da su lideri bili loši, stanovništvo je relativno mirovalo.

They didn't have the ability, and many didn't have the will

Nisu bili u stanju, a mnogi nisu imali volje

to really rise up against.

da se zaista suprotstave.

Well, I can tell you, in a G-Zero world,

Pa, mogu vam reći, u svetu sa G0,

all three of those things are increasingly not true,

te tri stvari sve više ne važe,

and so failed states,

pa stoga proizilaze propale države,

terrorism, refugees and the rest.

terorizam, izbeglice i ostalo.

Does the entire Middle East fall apart?

Da li se čitav Srednji istok raspada?

No, the Kurds will do better, and Iraq, Israel, Iran over time.

Ne, Kurdi će napredovati, kao i Irak, Izrael i Iran vremenom.

But generally speaking, it's not a good look.

Ipak, uopšteno govoreći, nisu dobri izgledi.

OK, how about this guy?

U redu, a šta je sa ovim tipom?

He's playing a poor hand very well.

On baš dobro igra sa lošim kartama.

There's no question he's hitting above his weight.

Nema sumnje da je zagrizao više nego što može da sažvaće.

But long term -- I didn't mean that.

Međutim, na duže staze - nisam to mislio.

But long term, long term,

Ipak, dugoročno gledano,

if you think that the Russians

ako mislite da je Ruse

were antagonized by the US and Europe expanding NATO right up to their borders

naljutilo to što su SAD i Evropa proširili NATO sve do njihovih granica

when we said they weren't going to,

kada smo rekli da neće tako biti,

and the EU encroaching them,

kao i zadiranje Evropske Unije,

just wait until the Chinese put hundreds of billions of dollars

čekajte samo kada Kinezi ulože stotine milijardi dolara

in every country around Russia they thought they had influence in.

u svaku zemlju oko Rusije u kojoj su mislili da imaju uticaj.

The Chinese are going to dominate it. The Russians are picking up the crumbs.

Kinezi će dominirati njome. Rusi skupljaju mrvice.

U svetu sa G0, to će biti vrlo napetih 10 godina za gospodina Putina.

In a G-Zero world, this is going to be a very tense 10 years for Mr. Putin.

It's not all bad. Right?

Nije sve tako loše, zar ne?

Asia actually looks a lot better.

Azija zapravo deluje prilično bolje.

There are real leaders across Asia,

Postoje pravi lideri širom Azije

they have a lot of political stability.

i imaju dosta političke stabilnosti.

They're there for a while.

Tu su već duže vreme.

Mr. Modi in India,

Gospodin Modi u Indiji,

Mr. Abe, who is probably about to get a third term written in

gospodin Abe, koji će verovatno upravo zabeležiti treći mandat

in the Liberal Democratic Party in Japan,

u Liberalnoj demokratskoj stranci u Japanu,

of course Xi Jinping who is consolidating enormous power,

naravno, Si Đinping koji učvršćuje ogromnu moć,

the most powerful leader in China

najmoćniji lider u Kini

since Mao.

još od Maoa.

Those are the three most important economies in Asia.

To su tri najvažnije ekonomije u Aziji.

Now look, there are problems in Asia.

No, vidite, postoje problemi u Aziji.

We see the sparring over the South China Sea.

Vidimo sukobe oko Južnog kineskog mora.

We see that Kim Jong Un, just in the last couple of days,

Vidimo da je Kim Džong Un, pre samo par dana,

tested yet another nuclear weapon.

testirao još jedno nuklearno oružje.

But the leaders in Asia do not feel the need

Ipak, lideri u Aziji ne osećaju potrebu

to wave the flag,

da mašu zastavama,

to go xenophobic,

da se okrenu ksenofobiji,

to actually allow escalation

da uopšte dozvole širenje

of the geopolitical and cross-border tensions.

geopolitičkih i prekograničnih napetosti.

They want to focus on long-term economic stability and growth.

Žele da se usredsrede na dugoročnu ekonomsku stabilnost i razvoj.

And that's what they're actually doing.

To je ono što zapravo i rade.

Let's turn to Europe.

Osvrnimo se na Evropu.

Europe does look a little scared in this environment.

Evropa zaista izgleda pomalo uplašeno u ovom okruženju.

So much of what is happening in the Middle East

Toliko dešavanja na Srednjem istoku

is washing up quite literally onto European shores.

bukvalno se obrušava na evropske obale.

You see Brexit and you see the concerns of populism

Vidite Bregzit i vidite zabrinutost populizma

across all of the European states.

širom evropskih država.

Let me tell you that over the long term,

Mogu vam reći da će na duže staze,

in a G-Zero world,

u svetu sa G0,

European expansion will be seen to have gone too far.

širenje Evrope biti sagledavano kao da je otišlo predaleko.

Europe went right up to Russia, went right down to the Middle East,

Evropa je otišla skroz gore do Rusije, stigla skroz dole do Srednjeg istoka,

and if the world were truly becoming more flat and more Americanized,

i kada bi svet zaista postao ravniji i amerikanizovaniji,

that would be less of a problem,

to bi bio manji problem,

but in a G-Zero world, those countries nearest Russia

ali u svetu sa G0, te zemlje koje su najbliže Rusiji

and nearest the Middle East

i najbliže Srednjem istoku

actually have different economic capabilities,

imaju različite ekonomske mogućnosti,

different social stability

različitu društvenu stabilnost

and different political preferences and systems than core Europe.

i različite političke preferencije i sisteme od središnje Evrope.

So Europe was able to truly expand

Evropa je uspela da se zaista proširi

under the G7,

pod upravom G7,

but under the G-Zero, Europe will get smaller.

ali pod G0, Evropa će se smanjiti.

Core Europe around Germany and France and others

Središnja Evropa oko Nemačke, Francuske i ostalih

will still work, be functional, stable, wealthy, integrated.

i dalje će funkcionisati i biti stabilna, bogata i integrisana.

But the periphery,

Međutim, periferija,

countries like Greece and Turkey and others,

zemlje kao što su Grčka, Turska i druge,

will not look that good at all.

uopšte neće tako dobro izgledati.

Latin America, a lot of populism,

U Latinskoj Americi zbog mnogo populizma

made the economies not go so well.

ekonomija ne ide tako dobro.

They had been more opposed to the United States for decades.

Decenijama više stoje nasuprot Sjedinjenim Državama.

Increasingly, they're coming back.

Sve više se vraćaju.

We see that in Argentina.

To vidimo u Argentini.

We see it with the openness in Cuba.

To vidimo sa otvorenošću na Kubi.

We will see it in Venezuela when Maduro falls.

Videćemo to i u Venecueli kada padne Maduro.

We will see it in Brazil after the impeachment

Videćemo to i u Brazilu nakon zbacivanja predsednika

and when we finally see a new legitimate president elected there.

i kada tamo konačno vidimo izabranog novog legitimnog predsednika.

The only place you see that is moving in another direction

Jedino mesto koje vidite da ide u drugom pravcu

is the unpopularity of Mexican president Peña Nieto.

je nepopularnost meksičkog predsednika Penje Nijeta.

There you could actually see a slip away from the United States

Tu biste zapravo mogli videti udaljavanje od Sjedinjenih Država

over the coming years.

tokom predstojećih godina.

The US election matters a lot on that one, too.

Izbori u SAD-u su takođe veoma važni za to.

(Laughter)

(Smeh)

Africa, right?

Afrika...

A lot of people have said it's going to be Africa's decade, finally.

Mnogo ljudi je reklo da će doći decenija Afrike, konačno.

In a G-Zero world, it is absolutely an amazing time

U svetu sa G0, nastaće neverovatan period

for a few African countries,

za nekoliko afričkih zemalja,

those governed well with a lot of urbanization,

one koje imaju dobru upravu sa dosta urbanizacije,

a lot of smart people, women really getting into the workforce,

mnogo pametnih ljudi, ženama koje ulaze u svet rada,

entrepreneurship taking off.

gde je preduzetništvo u usponu.

But for most of the countries in Africa,

Međutim, za većinu zemalja u Africi,

it's going to be a lot more dicey:

biće mnogo nezgodnije -

extreme climate conditions,

ekstremni klimatski uslovi,

radicalism both from Islam and also Christianity,

radikalizam islama i hrišćanstva,

very poor governance,

vrlo loša vladavina,

borders you can't defend, lots of forced migration.

granice koje se ne mogu odbraniti, mnogo prinudne migracije.

Those countries can fall off the map.

Te zemlje mogu da nestanu sa mape.

So you're really going to see an extreme segregation going on

Dakle, zaista ćete videti kako se dešava ekstremna podela

between the winners and the losers across Africa.

između pobednika i gubitnika širom Afrike.

Finally, back to the United States.

Najzad, vratimo se Sjedinjenim Državama.

What do I think about us?

Šta mislim o nama?

Because there are a lot of upset people,

Pošto ima mnogo uznemirenih ljudi,

not here at TEDx, I know,

ne ovde na TEDx-u, znam,

but in the United States, my God,

već u Sjedinjenim Državama, o, bože,

after 15 months of campaigning, we should be upset.

posle 15 meseci kampanja, treba da budemo uznemireni.

I understand that.

Razumem to.

But a lot of people are upset because they say, "Washington's broken,

Međutim, mnogi su uznemireni jer kažu: „Vašington je uništen,

we don't trust the establishment, we hate the media."

ne verujemo institucijama, mrzimo medije.“

Čak i globalisti poput mene su na udaru.

Heck, even globalists like me are taking it on the chin.

Look, I do think we have to recognize,

Vidite, smatram da treba da prepoznamo,

my fellow campers,

drugovi kamperi,

that when you are being chased by the bear,

da kada vas juri medved,

in the global context, you need not outrun the bear,

u globalnom kontekstu, ne morate da brže trčite od medveda,

you need to only outrun your fellow campers.

treba samo da trčite brže od svojih drugova kampera.

(Laughter)

(Smeh)

Now, I just told you

Upravo sam vam govorio

about our fellow campers.

o našim drugovima kamperima.

Right? And from that perspective,

Iz te perspektive,

we look OK.

delujemo u redu.

A lot of people in that context say,

Mnogi u tom kontekstu kažu:

"Let's go dollar. Let's go New York real estate.

„Hajde da se usmerimo na dolar. Krenimo na njujorške nekretnine.

Let's send our kids to American universities."

Pošaljimo decu na američke univerzitete.“

You know, our neighbors are awesome:

Znate, naši susedi su sjajni -

Canada, Mexico and two big bodies of water.

Kanada, Meksiko i dve ogromne mase vode.

You know how much Turkey would love to have neighbors like that?

Znate li koliko bi Turska volela takve susede?

Those are awesome neighbors.

To su fenomenalni susedi.

Terrorism is a problem in the United States.

Terorizam je problem u Sjedinjenim Državama.

God knows we know it here in New York.

Sam bog zna da to znamo ovde u Njujorku.

Međutim, to je mnogo veći problem u Evropi nego u SAD-u.

But it's a much bigger problem in Europe than the US.

It's a much bigger problem in the Middle East

To je mnogo veći problem na Srednjem istoku

than it is in Europe.

nego u Evropi.

These are factors of large magnitude.

To su faktori velikog opsega.

We just accepted 10,000 Syrian refugees, and we're complaining bitterly about it.

Upravo smo prihvatili 10 000 sirijskih izbeglica

i ogorčeno se žalimo zbog toga.

You know why? Because they can't swim here.

Znate li zašto? Zato što ne mogu da opstanu ovde.

Right? I mean, the Turks would love to have only 10,000 Syrian refugees.

Je l' tako? Mislim, Turci bi voleli da imaju samo 10 000 sirijskih izbeglica.

The Jordanians, the Germans, the Brits. Right?

Jordanci, Nemci, Britanci. Zar ne?

That's not the situation.

Situacija nije takva.

That's the reality of the United States.

To je stvarnost Sjedinjenih Država.

Now, that sounds pretty good.

To zvuči prilično dobro.

Here's the challenge.

Evo u čemu je problem.

In a G-Zero world, the way you lead

U svetu sa G0,

upravljate ličnim primerom.

is by example.

If we know we don't want to be the global cop anymore,

Ako znamo da ne želimo više da budemo svetski policajci,

if we know we're not going to be the architect of global trade,

ako znamo da nećemo biti graditelji svetske trgovine,

we're not going to be the cheerleader of global values,

nećemo biti navijači globalnih vrednosti,

we're not going to do it the way we used to,

nećemo raditi stvari onako kao što smo do sada,

21. vek se menja,

the 21st century is changing,

we need to lead by example -- be so compelling

moramo da vodimo primerom - da budemo toliko ubedljivi

that all these other people are going to still say,

da će svi ti ostali ljudi i dalje govoriti:

it's not just they're faster campers.

„Nije samo stvar u tome što su brži kamperi.

Even when the bear is not chasing us, this is a good place to be.

Čak i kada nas ne juri medved, dobro je biti na ovom mestu.

We want to emulate them.

Želimo da ih oponašamo.“

The election process this year is not proving a good option

Izborni proces ove godine ne pokazuje dobru opciju

for leading by example.

za predvođenje primerom.

Hillary Clinton says it's going to be like the '90s.

Hilari Klinton kaže da će biti kao '90-ih.

We can still be that cheerleader on values.

I dalje možemo biti oni navijači za vrednosti.

We can still be the architect of global trade.

Možemo i dalje biti graditelji svetske trgovine.

We can still be the global sheriff.

I dalje možemo biti svetski šerif.

And Donald Trump wants to bring us back to the '30s.

A Donald Tramp želi da nas vrati u '30-e.

He's saying, "Our way or the highway. You don't like it, lump it." Right?

On kaže: „Biće po našem ili nikako. Kome se ne sviđa, neka poljubi i ostavi.“

Neither are recognizing a fundamental truth of the G-Zero,

Nijedan ne prepoznaje suštinsku istinu G0,

which is that even though the US is not in decline,

a to je da iako SAD ne propada,

it is getting objectively harder

objektivno postaje teže

for the Americans to impose their will,

da Amerikanci nameću svoju volju,

even have great influence,

iako imaju veliki uticaj

on the global order.

na svetski poredak.

Are we prepared to truly lead by example?

Jesmo li spremni da zaista vodimo primerom?

What would we have to do to fix this

Šta bismo morali da uradimo da ovo popravimo

after November,

nakon novembra,

after the next president comes in?

nakon što dođe novi predsednik?

Well, either we have to have another crisis that forces us to respond.

Pa, moraćemo ili da imamo još jednu krizu koja nas primorava da reagujemo.

A depression would do that.

Depresija bi to postigla.

Još jedna svetska finansijska kriza bi to mogla postići.

Another global financial crisis could do this.

God forbid, another 9/11 could do that.

Ne daj bože, drugi 11. septembar bi to mogao postići.

Or, absent crisis,

Ili, u odsustvu krize,

we need to see that the hollowing out, the inequality, the challenges

moramo da uvidimo da su nestajanje srednje klase, nejednakosti,

that are growing and growing in the United States,

problemi koji su u porastu u Sjedinjenim Državama

are themselves urgent enough

sami po sebi dovoljno hitni

to force our leaders to change,

da primoraju naše lidere na promenu,

and that we have those voices.

kao i da imamo način da se izjasnimo.

Through our cell phones, individually,

Preko mobilnih telefona, pojedinačno,

we have those voices to compel them to change.

posedujemo način da se izjasnimo kako bismo ih nagnali na promenu.

There is, of course, a third choice,

Naravno, postoji treći izbor,

perhaps the most likely one,

možda najverovatniji,

which is that we do neither of those things,

a to je da ne uradimo ništa od toga

and in four years time you invite me back,

i za četiri godine me ponovo pozovete,

and I will give this speech yet again.

a ja vam opet iznesem ovaj govor.

Thank you very, very much.

Mnogo, mnogo vam hvala.

(Applause)

(Aplauz)