Thomas Goetz: It's time to redesign medical data

57,314 views ・ 2011-01-27

TED


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Prevoditelj: Sanja Blažević Recezent: Tilen Pigac - EFZG
00:15
I'm going to be talking to you
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Pričat ću vam
00:17
about how we can tap
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o tome kako možemo iskoristiti
00:19
a really underutilized resource in health care,
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premalo korišten resurs u zdravstvu,
00:21
which is the patient,
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a to je sam pacijent,
00:23
or, as I like to use the scientific term,
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ili -- pošto volim koristiti znanstveni izraz --
00:26
people.
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ljudi.
00:28
Because we are all patients, we are all people.
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Jer svi smo mi pacijenti, svi smo mi ljudi.
00:30
Even doctors are patients at some point.
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Čak su i liječnici pacijenti u jednom trenutku.
00:32
So I want to talk about that
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Želim dakle, govoriti o tome
00:34
as an opportunity
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kao o mogućnosti
00:36
that we really have failed to engage with very well in this country
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s kojom smo se zaista propustili ispravno pozabaviti u ovoj zemlji
00:39
and, in fact, worldwide.
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ali i u svjetskim razmjerima.
00:41
If you want to get at the big part --
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Ako želite doći do većeg dijela --
00:43
I mean from a public health level, where my training is --
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mislim na razinu javnog zdravstva, što je i moje područje usavršavanja --
00:46
you're looking at behavioral issues.
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susrest ćete se s problemima u ponašanju,
00:48
You're looking at things where people are actually given information,
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susrest ćete se sa situacijama gdje je ljudima u suštini dana informacija,
00:51
and they're not following through with it.
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ali oni ne postupaju u skladu s tom informacijom.
00:53
It's a problem that manifests itself in diabetes,
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To je problem koji se manifestira kod dijabetesa,
00:57
obesity, many forms of heart disease,
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pretilosti, raznih vrsta srčanih bolesti,
00:59
even some forms of cancer -- when you think of smoking.
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čak i kod nekih oblika raka -- sjetite se problema pušenja.
01:02
Those are all behaviors where people know what they're supposed to do.
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To su ponašanja kod kojih ljudi znaju što bi trebali činiti.
01:05
They know what they're supposed to be doing,
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Znaju što bi trebali raditi
01:07
but they're not doing it.
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ali to ne rade.
01:09
Now behavior change is something
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Promjena ponašanja je nešto
01:11
that is a long-standing problem in medicine.
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što je dugogodišnji problem u medicini.
01:13
It goes all the way back to Aristotle.
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Počinje još tamo od vremena Aristotela.
01:15
And doctors hate it, right?
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I liječnici to mrze, zapravo.
01:17
I mean, they complain about it all the time.
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Mislim, neprekidno se žale na to.
01:19
We talk about it in terms of engagement, or non-compliance.
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Pričamo o tome u smislu angažmana ili nepridržavanja,
01:22
When people don't take their pills,
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kada ljudi ne uzimaju svoje tablete,
01:24
when people don't follow doctors' orders --
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kada se ljudi ne pridržavaju naputaka liječnika.
01:26
these are behavior problems.
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To su problemi u ponašanju.
01:28
But for as much as clinical medicine
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No koliko se god klinička medicina
01:30
agonizes over behavior change,
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muči oko promjene ponašanja,
01:32
there's not a lot of work done
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nije mnogo napravljeno
01:34
in terms of trying to fix that problem.
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u smislu pokušaja da se problem doista riješi.
01:37
So the crux of it
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Dakle srž svega
01:39
comes down to this notion of decision-making --
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se svodi na ideju donošenja odluke --
01:41
giving information to people in a form
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pružanja informacija ljudima na način
01:43
that doesn't just educate them
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da ih ne samo educira
01:45
or inform them,
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ili informira,
01:47
but actually leads them to make better decisions,
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već ih doista i navodi na donošenje boljih odluka,
01:49
better choices in their lives.
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boljeg izbora u njihovim životima.
01:51
One part of medicine, though,
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Jedan dio medicine se ipak
01:53
has faced the problem of behavior change pretty well,
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vrlo dobro suočio s problemom promjene ponašanja,
01:57
and that's dentistry.
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i to je stomatologija.
01:59
Dentistry might seem -- and I think it is --
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Stomatologija se može činiti -- i mislim da je to tako --
02:01
many dentists would have to acknowledge
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većina stomatologa treba priznati
02:03
it's somewhat of a mundane backwater of medicine.
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da su poput zadnje rupe na svirali u medicini.
02:05
Not a lot of cool, sexy stuff happening in dentistry.
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Ne događa se puno cool, seksi stvari u stomatologiji.
02:08
But they have really taken this problem of behavior change
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Ali oni su se doista uhvatili ukoštac s problemom promjene ponašanja
02:11
and solved it.
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i riješili ga.
02:13
It's the one great preventive health success
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To je jedini veliki uspjeh preventive u zdravstvu
02:15
we have in our health care system.
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koji imamo u našem zdravstvenom sustavu.
02:17
People brush and floss their teeth.
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Ljudi peru i čiste zube koncem.
02:19
They don't do it as much as they should, but they do it.
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Ne rade to koliko bi trebali, ali ipak rade.
02:22
So I'm going to talk about one experiment
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Pričat ću o jednom eksperimentu
02:24
that a few dentists in Connecticut
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kojeg je nekoliko stomatologa iz Connecticuta
02:26
cooked up about 30 years ago.
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provelo prije otprilike 30 godina.
02:28
So this is an old experiment, but it's a really good one,
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To je stari eksperiment ali stvarno vrlo dobar,
02:30
because it was very simple,
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jer je jako jednostavan,
02:32
so it's an easy story to tell.
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pa ga je lako prepričati.
02:34
So these Connecticut dentists decided
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Dakle ti stomatolozi iz Connecticuta su odlučili
02:36
that they wanted to get people to brush their teeth and floss their teeth more often,
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da žele navesti ljude da češće peru i čiste zube koncem.
02:39
and they were going to use one variable:
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I odlučili su koristiti jednu varijablu:
02:41
they wanted to scare them.
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odlučili su ih prestrašiti.
02:43
They wanted to tell them how bad it would be
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Odlučili su im reći koliko će biti loše
02:46
if they didn't brush and floss their teeth.
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ako ne peru i čiste zube koncem.
02:48
They had a big patient population.
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Imali su veliku populaciju pacijenata.
02:51
They divided them up into two groups.
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Razdijelili su ih u dvije grupe.
02:53
They had a low-fear population,
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Imali su populaciju koju nisu strašili,
02:55
where they basically gave them a 13-minute presentation,
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kojoj su u načelu predstavili prezentaciju od 13 minuta,
02:57
all based in science,
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temeljenoj na znanstvenim činjenicama,
02:59
but told them that, if you didn't brush and floss your teeth,
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ali rekli su im da, ako ne peru i ne čiste zube koncem,
03:02
you could get gum disease. If you get gum disease, you will lose your teeth,
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mogu dobiti bolest desnih. Ako dobiju bolest desnih, izgubit će zube,
03:05
but you'll get dentures, and it won't be that bad.
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ali dobit će protezu, pa i nije tako strašno.
03:07
So that was the low-fear group.
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To je bila grupa koju nisu puno strašili.
03:09
The high-fear group, they laid it on really thick.
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Na grupu koju su primjenjivali strah su se dobrano obrušili.
03:12
They showed bloody gums.
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Pokazali su im krvave desni,
03:14
They showed puss oozing out from between their teeth.
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usta koja su krvarila između zuba,
03:17
They told them that their teeth were going to fall out.
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rekli su im da će im zubi pasti,
03:19
They said that they could have infections
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rekli su im da mogu dobiti infekcije
03:21
that would spread from their jaws to other parts of their bodies,
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koje se mogu proširiti od ustiju na druge dijelove tijela,
03:24
and ultimately, yes, they would lose their teeth.
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i naposljetku će, da, izgubiti zube.
03:26
They would get dentures, and if you got dentures,
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Dobit će proteze, a ako imate protezu,
03:28
you weren't going to be able to eat corn-on-the-cob,
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nećete moći jesti kukuruz u klipu,
03:30
you weren't going to be able to eat apples,
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nećete moći jesti jabuke,
03:32
you weren't going to be able to eat steak.
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nećete moći pojesti odrezak;
03:34
You'll eat mush for the rest of your life.
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jest ćete kašastu hranu do kraja života.
03:36
So go brush and floss your teeth.
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Onda idite oprati i očistiti zube koncem.
03:39
That was the message. That was the experiment.
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To je bila poruka; to je bio eksperiment.
03:41
Now they measured one other variable.
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Mjerili su još jednu varijablu.
03:43
They wanted to capture one other variable,
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Željeli su uzeti u obzir još jednu varijablu,
03:45
which was the patients' sense of efficacy.
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a to je osjećaj pacijenta za efikasnost.
03:48
This was the notion of whether the patients felt
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To je utisak o tome jesu li pacijenti osjećali
03:50
that they actually would go ahead and brush and floss their teeth.
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da bi doista išli oprati zube i očistiti ih koncem.
03:53
So they asked them at the beginning,
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Na početku su ih pitali,
03:55
"Do you think you'll actually be able to stick with this program?"
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"Smatrate li da ćete doista biti u mogućnosti držati se programa?"
03:57
And the people who said, "Yeah, yeah. I'm pretty good about that,"
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Ljudi koji su rekli, "Da, naravno, vrlo sam dobar u tome,"
03:59
they were characterized as high efficacy,
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su bili okarakterizirani kao visoko efikasni,
04:01
and the people who said,
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a ljudi koji su rekli,
04:03
"Eh, I never get around to brushing and flossing as much as I should,"
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"Ah, nikada baš ne perem i čistim zube koncem koliko bih trebao,"
04:05
they were characterized as low efficacy.
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su bili okarakterizirani kao nisko efikasni.
04:07
So the upshot was this.
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Ishod je bio ovakav.
04:10
The upshot of this experiment
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Ishod eksperimenta
04:12
was that fear was not really a primary driver
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je da strah zapravo nije primarni pobuđivač
04:15
of the behavior at all.
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ponašanja uopće.
04:17
The people who brushed and flossed their teeth
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Ljudi koji su prali zube i čistili ih koncem
04:19
were not necessarily the people
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nisu nužno bili ljudi
04:21
who were really scared about what would happen --
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koji su bili istinski uplašeni što bi se moglo dogoditi --
04:23
it's the people who simply felt that they had the capacity
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već su to bili ljudi koji su osjećali da imaju sposobnost
04:26
to change their behavior.
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promjene svojega ponašanja.
04:28
So fear showed up as not really the driver.
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Time se strah nije pokazao primarnim poticajem;
04:31
It was the sense of efficacy.
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već je to bio osjećaj za efikasnost.
04:34
So I want to isolate this,
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Ja to želim izolirati,
04:36
because it was a great observation --
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jer je to bilo veliko opažanje --
04:38
30 years ago, right, 30 years ago --
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prije 30 godina, stvarno, prije 30 godina --
04:40
and it's one that's laid fallow in research.
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i ono koje je utjecalo na neprovođenje istraživanja.
04:43
It was a notion that really came out
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Riječ je o ideji koja je proizašla
04:45
of Albert Bandura's work,
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iz rada Alberta Bandure
04:47
who studied whether
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koji je istraživao mogu li
04:49
people could get a sense of empowerment.
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ljudi dobiti osjećaj osnaženja.
04:52
The notion of efficacy basically boils down to one -- that
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Ideja o efikasnosti se zapravo svodi na činjenicu da li
04:55
if somebody believes that they have the capacity to change their behavior.
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osoba vjeruje da ima sposobnost promjene svoga ponašanja.
04:58
In health care terms, you could characterize this
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U terminima zdravstvene skrbi, ovo se može opisati na način
05:01
as whether or not somebody feels
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da li netko osjeća
05:03
that they see a path towards better health,
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da vidi put ka boljem zdravlju,
05:05
that they can actually see their way towards getting better health,
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i da doista može vidjeti taj put prema boljem zdravlju.
05:07
and that's a very important notion.
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I to je vrlo značajna misao.
05:09
It's an amazing notion.
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Nevjerojatna misao.
05:11
We don't really know how to manipulate it, though, that well.
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Zapravo ne znamo kako njome dobro manipulirati.
05:14
Except, maybe we do.
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Ili, možda i znamo.
05:17
So fear doesn't work, right? Fear doesn't work.
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Dakle strah ne funkcionira, tako je, strah ne funkcionira.
05:19
And this is a great example
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I to je izvrstan primjer
05:21
of how we haven't learned that lesson at all.
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toga kako nismo uopće naučili lekciju.
05:24
This is a campaign from the American Diabetes Association.
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Ovo je kampanja Američkog udruženja dijabetičara.
05:27
This is still the way we're communicating messages about health.
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Još uvijek je ovo način na koji komuniciramo o zdravlju.
05:30
I mean, I showed my three-year-old this slide last night,
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Pokazao sam mom trogodišnjaku sinoć ovaj slajd,
05:33
and he's like, "Papa, why is an ambulance in these people's homes?"
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i rekao je, "Tata, zašto je ambulanta u kućama ovih ljudi?"
05:37
And I had to explain, "They're trying to scare people."
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I trebao sam objasniti, "Ovdje su da straše ljude."
05:40
And I don't know if it works.
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I ne znam da li to funkcionira.
05:42
Now here's what does work:
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Ali ono što funkcionira je sljedeće,
05:44
personalized information works.
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personalizirane informacije funkcioniraju.
05:46
Again, Bandura recognized this
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Bandura je to uočio
05:48
years ago, decades ago.
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prije više godina, više desetljeća.
05:50
When you give people specific information
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Kada daš ljudima specifične informacije
05:52
about their health, where they stand,
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o njihovom zdravlju, u kojoj su situaciji,
05:54
and where they want to get to, where they might get to,
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i što žele postići, što bi mogli postići,
05:56
that path, that notion of a path --
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taj put, misao o tom putu,
05:58
that tends to work for behavior change.
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funkcionira bolje za promjenu ponašanja.
06:00
So let me just spool it out a little bit.
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Dopustite da vam ovo malo dočaram.
06:02
So you start with personalized data, personalized information
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Počinjete s personaliziranim podacima, personaliziranim informacijama,
06:05
that comes from an individual,
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koje se odnose na pojedinca,
06:07
and then you need to connect it to their lives.
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i trebate ih povezati s njihovim životima.
06:10
You need to connect it to their lives,
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Trebate ih povezati s njihovim životima,
06:12
hopefully not in a fear-based way, but one that they understand.
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po mogućnosti ne temeljeći na strahu, nego da mogu razumjeti.
06:14
Okay, I know where I sit. I know where I'm situated.
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U redu, znam gdje sam. Znam kakva je situacija.
06:17
And that doesn't just work for me in terms of abstract numbers --
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I to ne funkcionira za mene samo u smislu apstraktnih brojeva,
06:20
this overload of health information
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preopterećenja zdravstvenim informacijama
06:22
that we're inundated with.
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kojima smo preplavljeni,
06:24
But it actually hits home.
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ovo doista pogađa u srž.
06:26
It's not just hitting us in our heads; it's hitting us in our hearts.
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Ne samo da nam dolazi do glava, dolazi i do srca.
06:28
There's an emotional connection to information
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Postoji emocionalna povezanost s informacijama
06:30
because it's from us.
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jer su naše vlastite.
06:32
That information then needs to be connected to choices,
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Ta informacija treba nadalje biti povezana s izborima,
06:35
needs to be connected to a range of options,
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treba biti povezana s rasponom opcija,
06:37
directions that we might go to --
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smjerova kojima možemo krenuti --
06:39
trade-offs, benefits.
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kompromis, koristi.
06:41
Finally, we need to be presented with a clear point of action.
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Naposljetku, treba nam se prezentirati jasan smjer kretanja.
06:44
We need to connect the information
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Trebamo povezati informaciju
06:46
always with the action,
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s akcijom,
06:48
and then that action feeds back
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tada iz te akcije proizlazi
06:50
into different information,
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različita informacija,
06:52
and it creates, of course, a feedback loop.
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što kreira, naravno, krug povratnih informacija.
06:54
Now this is a very well-observed and well-established notion
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To je dobro istražena i definirana ideja
06:57
for behavior change.
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za promjenu ponašanja.
06:59
But the problem is that things -- in the upper-right corner there --
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Ali problem je što se do stvari u gornjem desnom kutu,
07:02
personalized data, it's been pretty hard to come by.
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personaliziranih podataka, teško dolazilo.
07:04
It's a difficult and expensive commodity,
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Riječ je o teškom i skupom dobru,
07:07
until now.
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do sada.
07:09
So I'm going to give you an example, a very simple example of how this works.
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Dat ću vam primjer, vrlo jednostavan primjer kako ovo funkcionira.
07:12
So we've all seen these. These are the "your speed limit" signs.
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Svi smo ovo već vidjeli. Ovo su znakovi "ograničenja brzine".
07:15
You've seen them all around,
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Vidjeli ste ih posvuda,
07:17
especially these days as radars are cheaper.
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pogotovo ovih dana kada su radari jeftiniji.
07:19
And here's how they work in the feedback loop.
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I evo kako funkcioniraju unutar kruga povratnih informacija.
07:21
So you start with the personalized data
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Započinjete s personaliziranim podacima
07:23
where the speed limit on the road that you are at that point
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kod kojih je ograničenje brzine na cesti gdje se nalazite u ovome trenutku
07:25
is 25,
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25 (milja na sat),
07:27
and, of course, you're going faster than that.
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i, naravno, vi vozite brže od toga.
07:29
We always are. We're always going above the speed limit.
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Uvijek to činimo. Uvijek idemo iznad ograničenja brzine.
07:32
The choice in this case is pretty simple.
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Izbor u ovome slučaju je prilično jednostavan.
07:34
We either keep going fast, or we slow down.
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Ili ćemo nastaviti ići brzo, ili ćemo usporiti.
07:36
We should probably slow down,
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Vjerojatno bismo trebali usporiti,
07:38
and that point of action is probably now.
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i trenutak za akciju je vjerojatno sada.
07:40
We should take our foot off the pedal right now,
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Trebamo maknuti nogu s papučice upravo sada.
07:43
and generally we do. These things are shown to be pretty effective
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I najčešće to i napravimo; ovo se pokazalo dosta efikasnim
07:46
in terms of getting people to slow down.
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kod navođenja ljudi da uspore.
07:48
They reduce speeds by about five to 10 percent.
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Smanje brzinu za otprilike pet do 10 posto.
07:50
They last for about five miles,
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To traje oko pet milja,
07:52
in which case we put our foot back on the pedal.
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nakon čega ponovno stavimo nogu na papučicu.
07:54
But it works, and it even has some health repercussions.
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Ali funkcionira, i čak ima određene zdravstvene posljedice.
07:56
Your blood pressure might drop a little bit.
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Vaš krvni tlak se može malo smanjiti.
07:58
Maybe there's fewer accidents, so there's public health benefits.
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Možda ima i manji broj nesreća, što je korisno za opće zdravlje.
08:01
But by and large, this is a feedback loop
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Ali u načelu, ovo je krug povratnih informacija
08:03
that's so nifty and too rare.
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koji je izvanredan i vrlo rijedak.
08:06
Because in health care, most health care,
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Jer u zdravstvu, u većini slučajeva,
08:08
the data is very removed from the action.
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podaci se otklanjaju od akcije.
08:11
It's very difficult to line things up so neatly.
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Vrlo je teško tako lijepo stvari staviti u red.
08:14
But we have an opportunity.
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Ali imamo mogućnost.
08:16
So I want to talk about, I want to shift now to think about
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Želim govoriti, želim se prebaciti kako bismo razmislili o
08:18
how we deliver health information in this country,
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tome kako prenosimo informacije u ovoj zemlji,
08:20
how we actually get information.
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kako zapravo dobivamo informacije.
08:23
This is a pharmaceutical ad.
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Ovo je farmaceutski oglas.
08:26
Actually, it's a spoof. It's not a real pharmaceutical ad.
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Zapravo je satira, nije stvarna farmaceutska reklama.
08:28
Nobody's had the brilliant idea
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Nitko još nije došao do briljantne ideje
08:30
of calling their drug Havidol quite yet.
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da svoj lijek nazove Havidol.
08:34
But it looks completely right.
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Ali izgleda u redu, u potpunosti.
08:36
So it's exactly the way we get
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Ovo je način na koji dobivamo
08:38
health information and pharmaceutical information,
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informacije o zdravlju i farmaceutske informacije,
08:41
and it just sounds perfect.
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i zapravo zvuči savršeno.
08:43
And then we turn the page of the magazine,
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Onda okrenemo stranicu časopisa,
08:45
and we see this --
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i vidimo ovo, da, vidimo ovo.
08:48
now this is the page the FDA requires pharmaceutical companies
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Ovo je stranica koju FDA zahtijeva od farmaceutskih kompanija
08:51
to put into their ads, or to follow their ads,
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da je stave u svoje oglase ili da slijedi oglas.
08:54
and to me, this is one of the most cynical exercises in medicine.
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Za mene, ovo je ciničan primjer u medicini.
08:58
Because we know.
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Jer mi znamo.
09:00
Who among us would actually say that people read this?
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Tko bi među nama doista tvrdio da ljudi ovo čitaju?
09:02
And who among us would actually say
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I tko bi među nama doista tvrdio
09:04
that people who do try to read this
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da ljudi koji pokušaju ovo čitati
09:06
actually get anything out of it?
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stvarno i imaju nešto od toga?
09:08
This is a bankrupt effort
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Ovo je uzaludni trud
09:10
at communicating health information.
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u komuniciranju zdravstvenih informacija.
09:13
There is no good faith in this.
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Nema dobre vjere u ovome.
09:15
So this is a different approach.
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Ovo je drugačiji pristup.
09:17
This is an approach that has been developed
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Ovo je pristup kojeg je stvorio
09:20
by a couple researchers at Dartmouth Medical School,
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jedan par znanstvenika u Dartmouth Medical School,
09:23
Lisa Schwartz and Steven Woloshin.
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Lisa Schwartz i Steven Woloshin.
09:25
And they created this thing called the "drug facts box."
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Stvorili su stvar koju su nazvali kutijom liječničkih činjenica.
09:28
They took inspiration from, of all things,
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Inspiraciju su našli u, između svega,
09:30
Cap'n Crunch.
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Cap'n Crunch (pahuljice).
09:32
They went to the nutritional information box
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Gledali su prehrambene informacije na kutiji
09:35
and saw that what works for cereal, works for our food,
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i vidjeli da ono što vrijedi za pahuljice, vrijedi za našu hranu,
09:38
actually helps people understand what's in their food.
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zapravo pomaže ljudima da razumiju što je u njihovoj hrani.
09:42
God forbid we should use that same standard
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Ne daj Bože da koristimo isti standard
09:44
that we make Cap'n Crunch live by
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korišten kod Cap'n Crunch
09:46
and bring it to drug companies.
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i prenesemo ga na farmaceutske kompanije.
09:49
So let me just walk through this quickly.
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Dozvolite da brzo prođem kroz ovo.
09:51
It says very clearly what the drug is for, specifically who it is good for,
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Jasno stoji zašto se lijek koristi, posebice za koga je koristan,
09:54
so you can start to personalize your understanding
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pa možete početi personalizirati svoje razumijevanje
09:56
of whether the information is relevant to you
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je li ta informacija za vas značajna
09:58
or whether the drug is relevant to you.
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ili je li taj lijek značajan za vas.
10:00
You can understand exactly what the benefits are.
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Možete u potpunosti shvatiti koje su koristi.
10:03
It isn't this kind of vague promise that it's going to work no matter what,
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To nije neko nejasno obećanje kako će funkcionirati bez obzira na sve,
10:06
but you get the statistics for how effective it is.
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već dobijete statistiku koliko je korisno.
10:09
And finally, you understand what those choices are.
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I naposljetku, razumijete koji su izbori.
10:12
You can start to unpack the choices involved
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Možete razabrati izbore koji se nude
10:14
because of the side effects.
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zbog nuspojava.
10:16
Every time you take a drug, you're walking into a possible side effect.
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Svaki put kada uzmete lijek, postoji mogućnost nuspojave.
10:19
So it spells those out in very clean terms,
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One su navedene ovdje na vrlo jasan način.
10:21
and that works.
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I to funkcionira.
10:23
So I love this. I love that drug facts box.
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Volim ovo. Volim kutiju liječničkih informacija.
10:25
And so I was thinking about,
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I tako sam razmišljao o tome,
10:27
what's an opportunity that I could have
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kakvu priliku ja mogu imati
10:29
to help people understand information?
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da pomognem ljudima u razumijevanju informacija?
10:32
What's another latent body of information that's out there
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Koje su još skrivene informacije tamo negdje
10:36
that people are really not putting to use?
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koje ljudi ne koriste.
10:39
And so I came up with this: lab test results.
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I došao sam do ovoga: rezultati laboratorijskih testova.
10:42
Blood test results are this great source of information.
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Rezultati krvnih testova su izvrstan izvor informacija.
10:45
They're packed with information.
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Puni su informacija.
10:47
They're just not for us. They're not for people. They're not for patients.
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Jedino što nisu za nas; nisu za ljude; nisu za pacijente.
10:50
They go right to doctors.
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Idu odmah ka liječnicima.
10:52
And God forbid -- I think many doctors, if you really asked them,
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I ne daj Bože -- mislim da puno liječnika, da ih pitate,
10:55
they don't really understand all this stuff either.
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zapravo ne razumiju sve te stvari.
10:58
This is the worst presented information.
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Ovo su najgore prezentirane informacije.
11:01
You ask Tufte, and he would say,
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Pitajte Tuftea i rekao bi,
11:04
"Yes, this is the absolute worst presentation of information possible."
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"Da, ovo je najgora moguća prezentacija informacija."
11:07
What we did at Wired
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Ono što smo mi napravili u Wiredu,
11:09
was we went, and I got our graphic design department
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je da smo krenuli i tražio sam od našeg odjela za grafički dizajn
11:11
to re-imagine these lab reports.
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da nanovo predstave ta laboratorijska izvješća.
11:13
So that's what I want to walk you through.
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To vam želim pokazati.
11:15
So this is the general blood work before,
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Ovo je uobičajen izvještaj krvi prije,
11:18
and this is the after, this is what we came up with.
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a ovo je poslije, ovo smo osmislili.
11:20
The after takes what was four pages --
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Ovaj poslije uzima ono sa četiri stranice --
11:22
that previous slide was actually
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onaj prijašnji slajd je zapravo
11:24
the first of four pages of data
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prva od četiri stranice podataka
11:26
that's just the general blood work.
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što je ustvari uobičajen izvještaj krvnih rezultata.
11:28
It goes on and on and on, all these values, all these numbers you don't know.
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Nastavlja se sve dalje i dalje, sve te vrijednosti, ti brojevi koje ne znate.
11:31
This is our one-page summary.
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Ovo je sažetak na jednoj stranici.
11:34
We use the notion of color.
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Koristimo načelo boje.
11:36
It's an amazing notion that color could be used.
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Prekrasno načelo mogućnosti korištenja boje.
11:39
So on the top-level you have your overall results,
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Na gornjem dijelu imate ukupne rezultate,
11:42
the things that might jump out at you from the fine print.
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stvari koje mogu iskočiti iz cjeline izvješća.
11:45
Then you can drill down
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Onda možete prijeći na detalje
11:47
and understand how actually we put your level in context,
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i razumjeti kako zapravo stavljamo vašu situaciju u kontekst,
11:50
and we use color to illustrate
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i koristimo boju da ilustriramo
11:52
exactly where your value falls.
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točno gdje su vaše vrijednosti.
11:54
In this case, this patient is slightly at risk of diabetes
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U ovome slučaju, pacijent ima mali rizik od dijabetesa
11:57
because of their glucose level.
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zbog razine glukoze.
11:59
Likewise, you can go over your lipids
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Također, možete pogledati lipide
12:01
and, again, understand what your overall cholesterol level is
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i, ponovno, shvatiti kolika je opća razina kolesterola
12:04
and then break down into the HDL and the LDL if you so choose.
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i razdijeliti ga na HDL i LDL ako tako odaberete.
12:07
But again, always using color
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No ponovno, uvijek koristeći boju
12:09
and personalized proximity
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i personaliziranu blizinu
12:11
to that information.
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tih informacija.
12:13
All those other values,
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Sve ove druge vrijednosti,
12:15
all those pages and pages of values that are full of nothing,
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sve te stranice i stranice vrijednosti koje ništa ne označavaju,
12:17
we summarize.
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mi sažimamo.
12:19
We tell you that you're okay, you're normal.
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Mi kažemo da si dobro, da si normalan.
12:21
But you don't have to wade through it. You don't have to go through the junk.
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Ne trebaš gaziti kroz to. Ne trebaš prelaziti kroz smeće.
12:24
And then we do two other very important things
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Još činimo dvije vrlo važne stvari
12:26
that kind of help fill in this feedback loop:
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koje pomažu upotpuniti ovaj krug povratnih informacija.
12:28
we help people understand in a little more detail
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Pomažemo ljudima u detaljnijem razumijevanju
12:30
what these values are and what they might indicate.
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što su ove vrijednosti i na što mogu ukazivati.
12:33
And then we go a further step -- we tell them what they can do.
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Tada idemo i korak dalje: kažemo im što mogu napraviti.
12:36
We give them some insight
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Pružamo im uvid
12:38
into what choices they can make, what actions they can take.
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u izbore koje mogu uzeti, koje akcije mogu poduzeti.
12:41
So that's our general blood work test.
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Dakle ovo je naš opći krvni test.
12:44
Then we went to CRP test.
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Uzeli smo i CRP test.
12:46
In this case, it's a sin of omission.
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U ovome slučaju, riječ je o grijehu izostavljanja.
12:48
They have this huge amount of space,
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Ovdje imaju ogromnu količinu prostora,
12:50
and they don't use it for anything, so we do.
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i ne koriste je za ništa, dok smo mi to učinili.
12:52
Now the CRP test is often done
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CRP test se često provodi
12:54
following a cholesterol test,
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nakon testiranja kolesterola,
12:56
or in conjunction with a cholesterol test.
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ili zajedno s testom razine kolesterola.
12:58
So we take the bold step
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Mi smo učinili odvažan korak
13:00
of putting the cholesterol information on the same page,
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stavljanja informacija o kolesterolu na istu stranicu,
13:03
which is the way the doctor is going to evaluate it.
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što je i način na koji će liječnik napraviti procjenu.
13:05
So we thought the patient might actually want to know the context as well.
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Mi smo pomislili da bi pacijent želio znati i kontekst.
13:08
It's a protein that shows up
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To je protein koji pokazuje
13:10
when your blood vessels might be inflamed,
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kada su vaše krvne žile možda začepljene,
13:12
which might be a risk for heart disease.
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što može biti rizik za bolest srca.
13:14
What you're actually measuring
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Ono što zapravo mjerite
13:16
is spelled out in clean language.
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je detaljno objašnjeno jasnim jezikom.
13:18
Then we use the information
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Onda koristimo informacije
13:20
that's already in the lab report.
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koje su već u laboratorijskom izvješću.
13:22
We use the person's age and their gender
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Uzimamo dob i spol osobe
13:24
to start to fill in the personalized risks.
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kako bismo upotpunili personalizirani rizik.
13:27
So we start to use the data we have
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Započinjemo korištenjem podataka koje imamo
13:29
to run a very simple calculation
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za provedbu vrlo jednostavnog izračuna
13:31
that's on all sorts of online calculators
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koji je na svim vrstama online kalkulatora
13:33
to get a sense of what the actual risk is.
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kako bi se dobio osjećaj o tome koliki je stvarni rizik.
13:36
The last one I'll show you is a PSA test.
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Zadnje što ću vam pokazati je PSA test.
13:38
Here's the before, and here's the after.
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Ovo je prije a ovo je kasnije.
13:41
Now a lot of our effort on this one --
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Većina našeg truda kod ovoga --
13:43
as many of you probably know,
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kao što većina vas vjerojatno zna
13:45
a PSA test is a very controversial test.
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PSA test je vrlo kontroverzan test.
13:47
It's used to test for prostate cancer,
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Koristi se za testiranje raka prostate,
13:49
but there are all sorts of reasons
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ali mnogo je razloga
13:51
why your prostate might be enlarged.
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zbog kojih prostata može biti povećana.
13:53
And so we spent a good deal of our time
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I utrošili smo dosta vremena kako bismo
13:55
indicating that.
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ukazali na to.
13:57
We again personalized the risks.
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Ponovno smo personalizirali rizik.
13:59
So this patient is in their 50s,
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Ovaj pacijent je u svojim 50-ima,
14:01
so we can actually give them a very precise estimate
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i možemo dati vrlo preciznu procjenu
14:03
of what their risk for prostate cancer is.
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koliki je rizik raka prostate.
14:05
In this case it's about 25 percent, based on that.
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U ovome je slučaju oko 25%, temeljeno na ovome.
14:08
And then again, the follow-up actions.
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I ponovno, akcije koje slijede.
14:11
So our cost for this was less than 10,000 dollars, all right.
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Naš trošak za ovo je manji od $10.000.
14:14
That's what Wired magazine spent on this.
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Toliko je časopis Wired potrošio na ovo.
14:17
Why is Wired magazine doing this?
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Zašto časopis Wired to radi?
14:19
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
14:22
Quest Diagnostics and LabCorp,
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Quest Diagnostics i LabCorp,
14:24
the two largest lab testing companies --
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dvije najveće kompanije laboratorijskog testiranja:
14:27
last year, they made profits of over 700 million dollars
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Prošle godine, ostvarile su profit od preko 700 milijuna dolara
14:30
and over 500 million dollars respectively.
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odnosno preko 500 milijuna dolara.
14:33
Now this is not a problem of resources;
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Prema tome, ovo nije problem resursa,
14:35
this is a problem of incentives.
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ovo je problem poticaja.
14:38
We need to recognize that the target of this information
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Trebamo shvatiti da ciljna skupina ovih informacija
14:41
should not be the doctor, should not be the insurance company.
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ne bi smjeli biti liječnici, ne bi smjele biti osiguravajuće kompanije;
14:44
It should be the patient.
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trebali bi biti pacijenti.
14:46
It's the person who actually, in the end,
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Riječ je o osobi koja će zapravo, na kraju,
14:48
is going to be having to change their lives
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promijeniti svoj život
14:50
and then start adopting new behaviors.
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i početi usvajati nova ponašanja.
14:52
This is information that is incredibly powerful.
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To je nevjerojatno moćna informacija.
14:54
It's an incredibly powerful catalyst to change.
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To je nevjerojatno snažan katalizator promjene.
14:57
But we're not using it. It's just sitting there.
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Ali mi ga ne koristimo; samo stoji tamo.
14:59
It's being lost.
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Izgubljen.
15:01
So I want to just offer four questions
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Želim predložiti četiri pitanja
15:03
that every patient should ask,
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koja bi svaki pacijent trebao postaviti,
15:05
because I don't actually expect people
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jer ne očekujem zapravo da ljudi
15:07
to start developing these lab test reports.
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počinju razvijati ova laboratorijska izvješća.
15:09
But you can create your own feedback loop.
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Ali možete kreirati svoj vlastiti krug povratnih informacija.
15:11
Anybody can create their feedback loop by asking these simple questions:
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Svatko može kreirati svoj krug povratnih informacija postavljanjem ovih jednostavnih pitanja:
15:14
Can I have my results?
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Mogu li dobiti svoje rezultate?
15:16
And the only acceptable answer is --
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I jedini prihvatljivi odgovor je --
15:18
(Audience: Yes.) -- yes.
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(Auditorij: Da.) -- da.
15:20
What does this mean? Help me understand what the data is.
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Što to znači? Pomozite mi da razumijem što znače ovi podaci.
15:22
What are my options? What choices are now on the table?
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Koje su moje mogućnosti? Kakav izbor imam na raspolaganju?
15:25
And then, what's next?
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I onda, što je sljedeće?
15:27
How do I integrate this information
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Kako da uključim ovu informaciju
15:29
into the longer course of my life?
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u budući tijek svoga života?
15:32
So I want to wind up by just showing
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Želim zaključiti na način da pokažem
15:34
that people have the capacity to understand this information.
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kako ljudi imaju kapacitet razumijevanja ovih informacija.
15:36
This is not beyond the grasp of ordinary people.
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To nije izvan dometa običnih ljudi.
15:39
You do not need to have the education level of people in this room.
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Ne trebate imati razinu obrazovanja ljudi u ovoj prostoriji.
15:42
Ordinary people are capable of understanding this information,
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Obični ljudi su u stanju razumjeti informaciju,
15:45
if we only go to the effort of presenting it to them
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samo ako mi imamo želje da je njima prezentiramo
15:48
in a form that they can engage with.
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na način da se oni njome zaokupe.
15:50
And engagement is essential here,
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Angažman je ovdje ključan,
15:52
because it's not just giving them information;
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jer to nije samo pružanje informacije,
15:54
it's giving them an opportunity to act.
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već davanja prilike za akcijom.
15:56
That's what engagement is. It's different from compliance.
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To znači angažman; različito je od pridržavanja.
15:58
It works totally different from the way we talk about behavior
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Funkcionira potpuno drugačije od načina na koji mi razgovaramo o ponašanju
16:01
in medicine today.
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u medicini danas.
16:03
And this information is out there.
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I ta informacija je negdje vani.
16:05
I've been talking today about latent information,
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Danas sam govorio o skrivenim informacijama,
16:07
all this information that exists in the system
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svim tim informacijama koje postoje u sustavu
16:09
that we're not putting to use.
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a koje ne koristimo.
16:11
But there are all sorts of other bodies of information
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Ali postoji i puno drugih vrsta informacija
16:13
that are coming online,
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koje dolaze online.
16:15
and we need to recognize the capacity of this information
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Mi trebamo prepoznati sposobnost tih informacija
16:18
to engage people, to help people
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da uključimo ljude, da im pomognemo
16:20
and to change the course of their lives.
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u promjeni tijeka njihovih života.
16:22
Thank you very much.
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Puno vam hvala.
16:24
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
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