Jeremy Jackson: How we wrecked the ocean

73,455 views ・ 2010-05-05

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Translator: Manuel Meixide Reviewer: Nuria Cobelo Cal
00:16
I'm an ecologist,
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Eu son un ecólogo,
00:18
mostly a coral reef ecologist.
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sobre todo, un ecólogo de arrecifes de coral.
00:20
I started out in Chesapeake Bay
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Comecei na Bahia de Chesapeake
00:22
and went diving in the winter
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a mergullar no inverno
00:24
and became a tropical ecologist overnight.
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e de repente torneime un ecólogo tropical.
00:27
And it was really a lot of fun
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E foi moi divertido
00:30
for about 10 years.
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durante uns 10 anos.
00:32
I mean, somebody pays you
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É dicir, alguén te paga
00:34
to go around and travel
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para viaxar polo mundo
00:36
and look at some of the most
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e ver algúns dos lugares
00:38
beautiful places on the planet.
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máis fermosos do planeta.
00:40
And that was what I did.
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E iso foi o que fixen eu.
00:43
And I ended up in Jamaica,
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Acabei en Xamaica,
00:45
in the West Indies,
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nas Antillas,
00:47
where the coral reefs were really
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onde os arrecifes de coral estaban
00:49
among the most extraordinary, structurally,
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entre as estruturas máis extraordinarias
00:51
that I ever saw in my life.
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que nunca vin na miña vida.
00:54
And this picture here,
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Esta foto
00:56
it's really interesting, it shows two things:
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é moi interesante e amósanos dúas cousas.
00:58
First of all, it's in black and white
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A primeira é en branco e negro
01:00
because the water was so clear
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porque a auga era tan clara
01:02
and you could see so far,
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que podías ver tan lonxe.
01:04
and film was so slow
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Ademais, os carretes eran tan lentos
01:06
in the 1960s and early 70s,
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nos anos 60 e principios dos 70,
01:08
you took pictures in black and white.
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que se facían as fotos en branco e negro.
01:10
The other thing it shows you
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A outra cousa que mostra
01:12
is that, although there's this beautiful
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é que aínda que haxa ese fermoso
01:14
forest of coral,
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bosque de coral,
01:16
there are no fish in that picture.
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non hai peixes na foto.
01:19
Those reefs at Discovery Bay, Jamaica
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Estes corais en Discovery Bay en Xamaica
01:22
were the most studied coral reefs
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foron os máis estudados do mundo
01:24
in the world for 20 years.
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durante uns 20 anos.
01:26
We were the best and the brightest.
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Éramos os mellores e máis brillantes.
01:28
People came to study our reefs from Australia,
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Viu xente da Australia para estudar os nosos arrecifes,
01:31
which is sort of funny
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o que non deixa de ser gracioso
01:33
because now we go to theirs.
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porque agora nós imos aos deles.
01:35
And the view of scientists
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A opinión dos científicos
01:38
about how coral reefs work, how they ought to be,
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de como funcionan os arrecifes de coral
01:41
was based on these reefs
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baseouse nestes arrecifes
01:43
without any fish.
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sen ningún peixe.
01:45
Then, in 1980,
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Entón, en 1980,
01:47
there was a hurricane, Hurricane Allen.
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houbo un furacán, o furacán Allen.
01:50
I put half the lab
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Coloquei a metade do laboratorio
01:52
up in my house.
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na miña casa.
01:54
The wind blew very strong.
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O vento foi moi forte.
01:56
The waves were 25
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As ondas eran de 8 metros
01:59
to 50 feet high.
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a 16 metros de altura.
02:01
And the reefs disappeared, and new islands formed,
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Os arrecifes desapareceron e formáronse novas illas.
02:04
and we thought, "Well, we're real smart.
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E pensamos, "Somos moi listos.
02:06
We know that hurricanes
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Sabemos que os furacáns
02:08
have always happened in the past."
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aconteceron de sempre no pasado".
02:10
And we published a paper in Science,
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Publicamos un artigo na revista Science,
02:12
the first time that anybody ever
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a primeira vez que alguén
02:14
described the destruction
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describía a destrución
02:16
on a coral reef by a major hurricane.
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dun arrecife de coral por un gran furacán.
02:19
And we predicted what would happen,
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Predecimos o que ía acontecer.
02:21
and we got it all wrong.
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E fixémolo todo mal.
02:23
And the reason was
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O motivo foi
02:25
because of overfishing,
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a sobrepesca
02:28
and the fact that a last common grazer,
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e o feito de que o último herbívoro,
02:31
a sea urchin, died.
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un ourizo de mar, morreu.
02:34
And within a few months
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Uns poucos meses
02:36
after that sea urchin dying, the seaweed started to grow.
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despois da morte dos ourizos, as algas comezaron a medrar.
02:39
And that is the same reef;
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Este é o mesmo arrecife.
02:41
that's the same reef 15 years ago;
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Este é o mesmo arrecife de hai 15 anos.
02:43
that's the same reef today.
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Este é o mesmo arrecife hoxe.
02:46
The coral reefs of the north coast of Jamaica
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Os arrecifes do norte de Xamaica
02:49
have a few percent live coral cover
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teñen unha pequena porcentaxe de coral vivo
02:52
and a lot of seaweed and slime.
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e moitas algas e lama.
02:54
And that's more or less the story
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Esta é máis ou menos a historia
02:56
of the coral reefs of the Caribbean,
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dos arrecifes de coral no Caribe,
02:58
and increasingly, tragically,
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e cada vez máis, traxicamente,
03:01
the coral reefs worldwide.
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dos arrecifes de todo o mundo.
03:03
Now, that's my little, depressing story.
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Agora, esa é a miña pequena historia depresiva.
03:06
All of us in our 60s and 70s
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Todos nós temos historias tristes
03:09
have comparable depressing stories.
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parecidas aos dos anos 60 e 70.
03:12
There are tens of thousands
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Hai decenas de miles
03:14
of those stories out there,
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destas historias.
03:16
and it's really hard to conjure up
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E é realmente difícil imaxinar
03:18
much of a sense of well-being,
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que todo acabará ben,
03:20
because it just keeps getting worse.
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porque vai a peor.
03:22
And the reason it keeps getting worse
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A razón de que se agrave,
03:24
is that after a natural catastrophe,
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é que, despois dun desastre natural
03:27
like a hurricane,
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como un furacán,
03:31
it used to be that there was
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adoitaba acontecer
03:33
some kind of successional sequence of recovery,
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algún tipo de sucesión secuencial de recuperación.
03:36
but what's going on now is that
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O que sucede agora é que
03:39
overfishing and pollution and climate change
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a sobrepesca, a contaminación e o cambio climático
03:42
are all interacting
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están a interactuar
03:44
in a way that prevents that.
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de xeito que evitan que iso aconteza.
03:46
And so I'm going to sort of go through
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Entón, dalgunha maneira,
03:48
and talk about those three
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vou falar sobre estes tres
03:50
kinds of things.
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tipos de cousas.
03:52
We hear a lot about
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Escoitouse falar moito sobre
03:54
the collapse of cod.
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o colapso do bacallau.
03:56
It's difficult to imagine that
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É difícil imaxinar que
03:58
two, or some historians would say three world wars
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dúas, ou algúns historiadores dirían tres, guerras mundiais,
04:02
were fought during the colonial era
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que tiveron lugar durante a era colonial,
04:04
for the control of cod.
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foron polo control do bacallau.
04:06
Cod fed most of the people of Western Europe.
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O bacallau alimentou á maioría dos pobos de Europa Occidental
04:09
It fed the slaves
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e aos escravos
04:11
brought to the Antilles,
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traídos para as Antillas.
04:14
the song "Jamaica Farewell" --
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A canción "Jamaica Farewell"--
04:16
"Ackee rice salt fish are nice" --
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"Arroz e peixe salgado son bos" --
04:18
is an emblem of the importance
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é un emblema da importancia
04:21
of salt cod from northeastern Canada.
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do bacallau salgado do nordeste do Canadá.
04:24
It all collapsed in the 80s and the 90s:
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Todo foi abaixo nas décadas dos 80 e 90.
04:27
35,000 people lost their jobs.
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Unhas 35.000 persoas perderon o emprego.
04:30
And that was the beginning
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Ese foi o principio
04:32
of a kind of serial depletion
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dun deterioro en serie,
04:34
from bigger and tastier species
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que vai de especies grandes e saborosas,
04:36
to smaller and not-so-tasty species,
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a especies máis pequenas e non tan saborosas,
04:39
from species that were near to home
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de especies que se pescaban perto de casa,
04:41
to species that were all around the world,
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a especies espalladas por todo o mundo,
04:44
and what have you.
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e as tes ao teu alcance.
04:46
It's a little hard to understand that,
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É un pouco difícil entender todo isto,
04:48
because you can go to a Costco in the United States
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porque podes ir a Costco nos E.E.U.U.
04:51
and buy cheap fish.
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e mercar peixe barato.
04:53
You ought to read the label to find out where it came from,
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Tes que ler o rótulo para saber de onde ven,
04:55
but it's still cheap,
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mais aínda é barato,
04:57
and everybody thinks it's okay.
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e todo o mundo pensa que está ben.
04:59
It's hard to communicate this,
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É difícil transmitir isto.
05:01
and one way that I think is really interesting
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Así, un xeito que eu creo que é interesante,
05:04
is to talk about sport fish,
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é falar da pesca deportiva,
05:07
because people like to go out and catch fish.
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porque á xente gústalle saír e coller peixe.
05:10
It's one of those things.
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É unha desas cousas.
05:12
This picture here shows the trophy fish,
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Esta foto mostra o peixe premiado,
05:15
the biggest fish caught
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o maior peixe capturado
05:17
by people who pay a lot of money
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por xente que paga moito diñeiro
05:19
to get on a boat,
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para embarcar nunha lancha,
05:21
go to a place off of Key West in Florida,
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ir a un lugar de Caio Oeste, na Florida,
05:24
drink a lot of beer,
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beber moita cervexa,
05:26
throw a lot of hooks and lines into the water,
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largar moitas liñas e anzois na auga,
05:28
come back with the biggest and the best fish,
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e retornar cos mellores e maiores peixes,
05:31
and the champion trophy fish
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e os peixes campións
05:33
are put on this board, where people take a picture,
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son colocados neste panel, onde lles fan fotos,
05:36
and this guy is obviously
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e obviamente este tipo está
05:38
really excited about that fish.
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moi satisfeito con ese peixe.
05:41
Well, that's what it's like now,
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Ben, agora iso é así,
05:43
but this is what it was like in the 1950s
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pero na década de 1950 xa era así:
05:45
from the same boat in the same place
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o mesmo barco no mesmo lugar,
05:48
on the same board on the same dock.
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no mesmo panel do mesmo peirao.
05:51
The trophy fish
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Os peixes campións
05:53
were so big
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eran tan grandes
05:55
that you couldn't put any of those small fish up on it.
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que non podían poñer ningún deses peixes pequenos nel.
05:58
And the average size trophy fish
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Eses peixes pesaban
06:00
weighed 250 to 300 pounds, goliath grouper,
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de media 100-150 kg, eran meros.
06:03
and if you wanted to go out and kill something,
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Se alguén quería saír e matar algo,
06:05
you could pretty much count on
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case podería estar seguro de que
06:07
being able to catch one of those fish.
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ía pescar un daqueles peixes.
06:09
And they tasted really good.
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Estaban deliciosos.
06:11
And people paid less in 1950 dollars
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A xente pagaba menos, en dólares de 1950,
06:14
to catch that
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por pescalos
06:16
than what people pay now
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do que pagan agora
06:18
to catch those little, tiny fish.
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por pescar peixiños pequenos.
06:21
And that's everywhere.
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E iso pasa en todas partes.
06:23
It's not just the fish, though,
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Non son os peixes que
06:25
that are disappearing.
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están desaparecendo.
06:27
Industrial fishing uses big stuff,
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A pesca industrial utiliza cousas grandes,
06:30
big machinery.
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maquinaria grande.
06:32
We use nets that are 20 miles long.
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Redes de 40 km de extensión.
06:34
We use longlines
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Palangres ("o pincho")
06:36
that have one million or two million hooks.
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que teñen un millón ou dous de anzois.
06:39
And we trawl,
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E o arrastre,
06:41
which means to take something
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que significa coller algo do tamaño
06:43
the size of a tractor trailer truck
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dun camión con remolque
06:45
that weighs thousands and thousands of pounds,
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que pesa miles e miles de quilos,
06:48
put it on a big chain,
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colgalo nunha gran cadea
06:50
and drag it across the sea floor
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e arrastralo polo fondo mariño
06:52
to stir up the bottom and catch the fish.
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para axitar o fondo e capturar o peixe.
06:55
Think of it as
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Pensade niso como
06:58
being kind of the bulldozing of a city
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unha escavadora demolendo unha cidade
07:00
or of a forest,
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ou arrasando un bosque,
07:02
because it clears it away.
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porque o elimina todo.
07:04
And the habitat destruction
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E a destrución do hábitat
07:06
is unbelievable.
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é incrible.
07:08
This is a photograph,
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Esta é a fotografía,
07:10
a typical photograph,
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unha foto típica
07:12
of what the continental shelves
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do aspecto que teñen
07:14
of the world look like.
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as plataformas continentais do mundo.
07:16
You can see the rows in the bottom,
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Pódense ver os regos no fondo,
07:19
the way you can see the rows
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do mesmo xeito que se poden ver os regos
07:21
in a field that has just been plowed
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nun campo arado recentemente
07:23
to plant corn.
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para sementar millo.
07:25
What that was, was a forest of sponges and coral,
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Isto era antes un bosque de esponxas e coral,
07:28
which is a critical habitat
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que é un hábitat crítico
07:30
for the development of fish.
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para o desenvolvemento dos peixes.
07:32
What it is now is mud,
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Agora é lama.
07:35
and the area of the ocean floor
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A área do fondo do océano
07:38
that has been transformed from forest
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que se transformou desde o bosque
07:41
to level mud, to parking lot,
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ata o nivel da lama, como un estacionamento,
07:43
is equivalent to the entire area
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é equivalente a toda a área
07:46
of all the forests
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de todos os bosques
07:48
that have ever been cut down
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que algunha vez foron cortados
07:50
on all of the earth
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en toda a terra
07:52
in the history of humanity.
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na historia da humanidade.
07:54
We've managed to do that
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E logramos facelo
07:56
in the last 100 to 150 years.
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nos últimos 100 ou 150 anos.
08:00
We tend to think of oil spills
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Tendemos a pensar nos derrames de petróleo
08:02
and mercury
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e no mercurio,
08:04
and we hear a lot about plastic these days.
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e fálase moito do plástico nestes días.
08:06
And all of that stuff is really disgusting,
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Todo este material é realmente noxento,
08:08
but what's really insidious
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pero o que é realmente insidioso
08:10
is the biological pollution that happens
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é a contaminación biolóxica que ocorre
08:13
because of the magnitude of the shifts
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debido á magnitude dos cambios
08:16
that it causes
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que provoca
08:18
to entire ecosystems.
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a ecosistemas enteiros.
08:20
And I'm going to just talk very briefly
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Só vou falar brevemente sobre
08:22
about two kinds of biological pollution:
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dous tipos de contaminación biolóxica.
08:25
one is introduced species
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Un deles son as especies introducidas,
08:27
and the other is what comes from nutrients.
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e o outro é o que vén dos nutrientes.
08:30
So this is the infamous
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Entón esta é a infame
08:32
Caulerpa taxifolia,
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Caulerpa taxifolia,
08:34
the so-called killer algae.
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a chamada alga asesina.
08:37
A book was written about it.
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Escribiron un libro sobre ela.
08:39
It's a bit of an embarrassment.
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É un pouco embarazoso.
08:41
It was accidentally released
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Liberáronna accidentalmente
08:43
from the aquarium in Monaco,
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do acuario, en Mónaco.
08:45
it was bred to be cold tolerant
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Foi criada para ser tolerante ao frío,
08:48
to have in peoples aquaria.
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para tela nos acuarios.
08:50
It's very pretty,
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É moi bonita
08:52
and it has rapidly started
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e axiña empezou
08:54
to overgrow
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a encher de maleza
08:56
the once very rich
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a, en tempos moi rica,
08:58
biodiversity of the
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biodiversidade do
09:00
northwestern Mediterranean.
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Mediterráneo noroccidental.
09:02
I don't know how many of you remember the movie
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Non sei cantos se lembran da película
09:04
"The Little Shop of Horrors,"
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"A Pequena Tenda dos Horrores",
09:06
but this is the plant of "The Little Shop of Horrors."
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pero esta é a planta que aparecía na película.
09:09
But, instead of devouring the people in the shop,
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Mais, no canto de devorar á xente na tenda,
09:12
what it's doing is overgrowing
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o que está a facer é encher de maleza
09:14
and smothering
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e sufocar
09:16
virtually all of the bottom-dwelling life
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practicamente toda a vida do fondo
09:19
of the entire northwestern
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de toda a rexión noroeste
09:22
Mediterranean Sea.
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do Mar Mediterráneo.
09:24
We don't know anything that eats it,
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Non sabemos de ninguén que a coma.
09:26
we're trying to do all sorts of genetics
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Estamos a tentar facer todo tipo de xenética
09:28
and figure out something that could be done,
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e pensar nalgunha solución.
09:31
but, as it stands, it's the monster from hell,
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Pero, tal como está, é o monstro do inferno
09:34
about which nobody knows what to do.
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sobre o que ninguén sabe o que facer.
09:37
Now another form of pollution
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Agora outra forma de contaminación
09:40
that's biological pollution
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é a contaminación biolóxica:
09:42
is what happens from excess nutrients.
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é o que pasa co exceso de nutrientes.
09:44
The green revolution,
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A revolución verde,
09:46
all of this artificial nitrogen fertilizer, we use too much of it.
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os fertilizantes artificiais de nitróxeno, usamos demasiado diso.
09:49
It's subsidized, which is one of the reasons we used too much of it.
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Están subvencionados, unha das razóns do uso excesivo.
09:52
It runs down the rivers,
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Percorren os ríos
09:54
and it feeds the plankton,
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e alimentan o plancto,
09:56
the little microscopic plant cells
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as pequenas células vexetais microscópicas
09:58
in the coastal water.
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nas augas costeiras.
10:00
But since we ate all the oysters
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Pero desde que comemos todas as ostras
10:02
and we ate all the fish that would eat the plankton,
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e comemos os peixes que comerían o plancto,
10:04
there's nothing to eat the plankton
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non hai ninguén que coma o plancto.
10:06
and there's more and more of it,
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E hai máis e máis,
10:08
so it dies of old age,
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así que morre de vello,
10:10
which is unheard of for plankton.
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algo que é inaudito para o plancto.
10:12
And when it dies, it falls to the bottom
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E cando morre, cae ao fondo
10:14
and then it rots,
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e entón apodrece,
10:16
which means that bacteria break it down.
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o que significa que as bacterias o descompoñen.
10:18
And in the process
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E nese proceso
10:20
they use up all the oxygen,
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empregan todo o osíxeno.
10:22
and in using up all the oxygen
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E ao consumir todo o osíxeno,
10:24
they make the environment utterly lethal
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fan o ambiente totalmente letal
10:26
for anything that can't swim away.
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para calquera cousa que non pode escapar nadando.
10:28
So, what we end up with
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Así acabamos tendo
10:30
is a microbial zoo
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un zoolóxico microbiano,
10:32
dominated by bacteria
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dominado por bacterias
10:34
and jellyfish, as you see
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e medusas, como se ve
10:36
on the left in front of you.
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á esquerda diante de vostedes.
10:38
And the only fishery left --
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A única pesca que queda
10:40
and it is a commercial fishery --
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é a comercial,
10:42
is the jellyfish fishery
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a pesca de medusas
10:44
you see on the right, where there used to be prawns.
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que se ve á dereita, onde adoitaba haber gambas.
10:46
Even in Newfoundland
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Mesmo na Terranova,
10:48
where we used to catch cod,
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onde adoitabamos capturar bacallau,
10:50
we now have a jellyfish fishery.
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agora temos pesca de medusas.
10:53
And another version of this sort of thing
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Outra versión deste tipo de cousas
10:55
is what is often called red tides
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é o que se chama a miúdo mareas vermellas
10:57
or toxic blooms.
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ou floracións tóxicas.
10:59
That picture on the left is just staggering to me.
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Esa foto é sorprendente para min.
11:02
I have talked about it a million times,
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Falei sobre iso millóns de veces,
11:04
but it's unbelievable.
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pero é incrible.
11:06
In the upper right of that picture on the left
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Na esquina superior dereita da imaxe da esquerda
11:08
is almost the Mississippi Delta,
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é case o Delta do Mississippi,
11:10
and the lower left of that picture
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e a parte inferior esquerda da imaxe
11:12
is the Texas-Mexico border.
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é a fronteira de Texas con México.
11:14
You're looking at the entire
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Pódese ver
11:16
northwestern Gulf of Mexico;
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todo o noroeste do Golfo de México.
11:18
you're looking at one toxic
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Pódese ver unha floración
11:20
dinoflagellate bloom that can kill fish,
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de dinoflaxelados tóxicos que poden matar peixes,
11:22
made by that beautiful little creature
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feita pola bonita e pequena criatura
11:24
on the lower right.
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no ángulo inferior dereito.
11:26
And in the upper right you see this
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E na esquina superior dereita vese
11:28
black sort of cloud
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este tipo de nube negra
11:30
moving ashore.
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que se move cara á costa.
11:32
That's the same species.
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Esa é a mesma especie.
11:34
And as it comes to shore and the wind blows,
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A medida que se vai achegando á costa e o vento sopra,
11:37
and little droplets of the water get into the air,
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e pequenas gotiñas de auga entran no aire,
11:40
the emergency rooms of all the hospitals fill up
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as urxencias de todos os hospitais énchense
11:43
with people with acute respiratory distress.
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de xente con insuficiencia respiratoria aguda.
11:45
And that's retirement homes
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Son casas de xubilados
11:47
on the west coast of Florida.
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na costa oeste da Florida.
11:49
A friend and I did this thing in Hollywood
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Un amigo e eu fixemos isto en Hollywood,
11:51
we called Hollywood ocean night,
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chamámoslle noite do océano de Hollywood.
11:53
and I was trying to figure out how to
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Eu estaba tentando pensar
11:55
explain to actors what's going on.
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como explicar aos actores o que está a suceder.
11:57
And I said,
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E dixen: "Entón, imaxinen
11:59
"So, imagine you're in a movie called 'Escape from Malibu'
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que están nunha película chamada 'Fuxindo de Malibú",
12:02
because all the beautiful people have moved
308
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porque todas as persoas bonitas mudáronse
12:04
to North Dakota, where it's clean and safe.
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a Dakota do Norte, onde está limpo e seguro.
12:06
And the only people who are left there
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E as únicas persoas que están alí
12:08
are the people who can't afford
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son as persoas que non se poden permitir
12:11
to move away from the coast,
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afastarse da costa,
12:13
because the coast, instead of being paradise,
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porque a costa, no canto de ser un paraíso,
12:16
is harmful to your health."
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é prexudicial para a saúde."
12:18
And then this is amazing.
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E logo isto é incrible.
12:20
It was when I was on holiday last early autumn in France.
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Foi cando estaba de vacacións a principios do outono pasado, en Francia.
12:23
This is from the coast of Brittany,
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Esta é da costa da Bretaña,
12:25
which is being enveloped
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que está a ser envolvida
12:27
in this green, algal slime.
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neste lodo verde de algas.
12:30
The reason that it attracted so much attention,
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O motivo que atraeu tanta atención,
12:33
besides the fact that it's disgusting,
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ademais do feito de que é repugnante,
12:36
is that sea birds flying over it
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é que as aves mariñas que a sobrevoan
12:38
are asphyxiated by the smell and die,
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son asfixiadas polo cheiro e morren.
12:41
and a farmer died of it,
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Tamén morreu un labrego,
12:43
and you can imagine the scandal that happened.
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imaxinade o escándalo que causou.
12:45
And so there's this war
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E por todo iso hai
12:47
between the farmers
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esta guerra entre
12:49
and the fishermen about it all,
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labregos e mariñeiros.
12:51
and the net result is that
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O resultado é que
12:53
the beaches of Brittany have to be bulldozed of this stuff
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téñense que limpar as praias da Bretaña para quitar este material
12:56
on a regular basis.
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con maquinaria e regularmente.
12:58
And then, of course, there's climate change,
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E logo, naturalmente, está o cambio climático,
13:00
and we all know about climate change.
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e todos sabemos do cambio climático.
13:02
I guess the iconic figure of it
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Coido que a súa figura emblemática
13:04
is the melting of the ice
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é a fusión do xeo
13:06
in the Arctic Sea.
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no Mar Ártico.
13:08
Think about the thousands and thousands of people who died
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Pensemos nos miles e miles de persoas que morreron
13:11
trying to find the Northwest Passage.
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tentando atopar o Paso do Noroeste.
13:14
Well, the Northwest Passage is already there.
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Ben, o Noroeste xa está aí.
13:16
I think it's sort of funny;
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Paréceme gracioso,
13:18
it's on the Siberian coast,
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está na costa de Siberia.
13:20
maybe the Russians will charge tolls.
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Quizais os rusos van cobrar peaxes.
13:23
The governments of the world
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Os gobernos do mundo están
13:25
are taking this really seriously.
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tomando isto mesmo en serio.
13:27
The military of the Arctic nations
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Os militares das nacións do Ártico
13:30
is taking it really seriously.
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o están tomando mesmo en serio.
13:33
For all the denial of climate change
347
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Para todos os que negan o cambio climático
13:35
by government leaders,
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direi que os líderes de goberno,
13:37
the CIA
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a CIA
13:39
and the navies of Norway
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e as Mariñas de Noruega,
13:41
and the U.S. and Canada, whatever
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E.E.U.U. e Canadá, nembargantes,
13:44
are busily thinking about
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están ocupados pensando
13:46
how they will secure their territory
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en como van protexer o seu territorio,
13:49
in this inevitability
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ante o que é inevitable,
13:52
from their point of view.
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dende o seu punto de vista.
13:54
And, of course, Arctic communities are toast.
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E, claro, as comunidades árticas están perdidas.
13:56
The other kinds of effects of climate change --
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O outro tipo de efectos do cambio climático
13:58
this is coral bleaching. It's a beautiful picture, right?
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este é o branqueamento do coral. É unha fermosa foto,
14:00
All that white coral.
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Todos eses son corais brancos.
14:02
Except it's supposed to be brown.
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Só que se supón que deben ser marróns.
14:05
What happens is that
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O que acontece é que
14:07
the corals are a symbiosis,
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os corais son unha simbiose
14:09
and they have these little algal cells
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e teñen estas pequenas células
14:11
that live inside them.
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de algas que viven dentro deles.
14:13
And the algae give the corals sugar,
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As algas dan azucre aos corais
14:15
and the corals give the algae
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e os corais dan ás algas
14:17
nutrients and protection.
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nutrientes e protección.
14:19
But when it gets too hot,
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Mais cando vai máis calor,
14:21
the algae can't make the sugar.
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as algas non poden producir o azucre.
14:23
The corals say, "You cheated. You didn't pay your rent."
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Os corais din: "Estafáchesme. Non pagaches o aluguer".
14:25
They kick them out, and then they die.
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As expulsan, e entón elas morren.
14:28
Not all of them die; some of them survive,
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Non todas morren, algunhas sobreviven.
14:30
some more are surviving,
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Algunhas están sobrevivindo,
14:32
but it's really bad news.
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mais é realmente unha mala noticia.
14:34
To try and give you a sense of this,
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Para tentar entendelo,
14:36
imagine you go camping in July
376
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imaxinade que vai a un campamento en xullo
14:39
somewhere in Europe or in North America,
377
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nalgún lugar en Europa ou América do Norte,
14:42
and you wake up the next morning, and you look around you,
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e espertades pola mañá, mirades ao voso redor
14:44
and you see that 80 percent of the trees,
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e vedes que ao 80 por cento das árbores,
14:46
as far as you can see,
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na medida do que podedes ver,
14:48
have dropped their leaves and are standing there naked.
381
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caéronlle as follas e están espidos.
14:51
And you come home, and you discover
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Volvedes á casa e descubrides
14:53
that 80 percent of all the trees
383
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que ao 80 por cento de todas as árbores
14:55
in North America and in Europe
384
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de América do Norte e Europa
14:57
have dropped their leaves.
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caéronlle as follas.
14:59
And then you read in the paper a few weeks later,
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Unhas semanas máis tarde, ledes no xornal
15:01
"Oh, by the way, a quarter of those died."
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oh, a propósito, un cuarto deles morreu.
15:04
Well, that's what happened in the Indian Ocean
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Ben, foi iso que pasou no Océano Índico
15:07
during the 1998 El Nino,
389
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durante "El Niño" de 1998,
15:09
an area vastly greater
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nunha superficie moito maior que
15:11
than the size of North America and Europe,
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o tamaño de América do Norte e Europa,
15:13
when 80 percent of all the corals bleached
392
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cando o 80 por cento de todos os corais branquearon
15:16
and a quarter of them died.
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e un cuarto deles morreron.
15:19
And then the really scary thing
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O realmente aterrador
15:21
about all of this --
395
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de todo isto,
15:23
the overfishing, the pollution and the climate change --
396
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da sobrepesca, a contaminación e o cambio climático,
15:26
is that each thing doesn't happen in a vacuum.
397
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é que cada cousa non acontece nun baleiro,
15:29
But there are these, what we call, positive feedbacks,
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senón que hai o que chamamos retroalimentación positiva.
15:32
the synergies among them
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As sinerxias entre eles
15:34
that make the whole vastly greater
400
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fan o todo moito maior
15:36
than the sum of the parts.
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que a suma das partes.
15:38
And the great scientific challenge
402
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O grande reto científico
15:41
for people like me in thinking about all this,
403
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para persoas coma min, pensando en todo isto,
15:44
is do we know how
404
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é : saberemos recompoñer
15:46
to put Humpty Dumpty back together again?
405
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o ovo a partir dos pedazos?
15:49
I mean, because we, at this point, we can protect it.
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Quero dicir, porque nós, neste momento, podemos protexelo.
15:52
But what does that mean?
407
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Mais que significa iso?
15:54
We really don't know.
408
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Realmente non o sabemos.
15:57
So what are the oceans going to be like
409
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Entón, como van ser os océanos
16:00
in 20 or 50 years?
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en 20 ou 50 anos?
16:03
Well, there won't be any fish
411
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Ben, non haberá ningún peixe
16:05
except for minnows,
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excepto peixiños,
16:07
and the water will be pretty dirty,
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e a auga estará moi porca,
16:10
and all those kinds of things
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e todo ese tipo de cousas,
16:12
and full of mercury, etc., etc.
415
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e cheo de mercurio...
16:17
And dead zones will get bigger and bigger
416
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As zonas mortas medrarán máis e máis
16:19
and they'll start to merge,
417
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e empezarán a fusionarse.
16:21
and we can imagine something like
418
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Podemos imaxinar algo como
16:23
the dead-zonification
419
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a zona morta costeira
16:25
of the global, coastal ocean.
420
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do océano global.
16:28
Then you sure won't want to eat fish that were raised in it,
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Entón non ides querer comer os peixes nacidos nela,
16:31
because it would be a kind of
422
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porque sería unha especie
16:33
gastronomic Russian roulette.
423
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de ruleta rusa gastronómica.
16:35
Sometimes you have a toxic bloom;
424
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Ás veces tes unha floración tóxica,
16:37
sometimes you don't.
425
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ás veces non.
16:39
That doesn't sell.
426
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Iso non vende.
16:41
The really scary things though
427
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O realmente aterrador, porén,
16:43
are the physical, chemical,
428
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son as cousas físicas, químicas
16:46
oceanographic things that are happening.
429
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e oceanográficas que están acontecendo.
16:49
As the surface of the ocean gets warmer,
430
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A medida que a superficie do océano quéntase cada vez máis
16:52
the water is lighter when it's warmer,
431
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e a auga é máis lixeira canto máis quente,
16:54
it becomes harder and harder
432
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faise cada vez máis difícil
16:56
to turn the ocean over.
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mesturar a auga do océano.
16:58
We say it becomes
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É dicir, faise máis
17:00
more strongly stratified.
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fortemente estratificado.
17:02
The consequence of that is that
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A consecuencia diso é que o fluxo
17:04
all those nutrients
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de todos eses nutrientes
17:06
that fuel the great anchoveta fisheries,
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que alimentan a gran pesquería da anchoveta
17:09
of the sardines of California
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e da sardiña de California,
17:11
or in Peru or whatever,
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ou do Perú, ou onde queira que sexa,
17:14
those slow down
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desacelera,
17:16
and those fisheries collapse.
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e as pesquerías se colapsan.
17:18
And, at the same time,
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E, ao mesmo tempo,
17:20
water from the surface, which is rich in oxygen,
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a auga da superficie, que é rica en osíxeno,
17:23
doesn't make it down
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non baixa,
17:27
and the ocean turns into a desert.
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e o océano se transforma nun deserto.
17:30
So the question is: How are we all
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Entón a pregunta é: Como é que todos nós
17:32
going to respond to this?
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imos responder a iso?
17:34
And we can do
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Podemos facer
17:36
all sorts of things to fix it,
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todo tipo de cousas para corrixilo,
17:38
but in the final analysis,
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mais na análise final,
17:40
the thing we really need to fix
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o único que realmente precisamos corrixir
17:42
is ourselves.
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é a nós mesmos.
17:44
It's not about the fish; it's not about the pollution;
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Non se trata do peixe, non se trata da contaminación,
17:47
it's not about the climate change.
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non se trata do cambio climático.
17:49
It's about us
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Trátase de nós,
17:51
and our greed and our need for growth
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da nosa avaricia, da nosa necesidade de crecemento
17:54
and our inability to imagine a world
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e a nosa incapacidade de imaxinar un mundo
17:57
that is different from the selfish world
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diferente do mundo egoísta
17:59
we live in today.
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no que vivimos hoxe.
18:01
So the question is: Will we respond to this or not?
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Entón a pregunta é: Imos responder a iso ou non?
18:04
I would say that the future of life
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Eu diría que o futuro da vida
18:06
and the dignity of human beings
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e da dignidade dos seres humanos
18:08
depends on our doing that.
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depende do que fagamos.
18:10
Thank you. (Applause)
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Grazas
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