Lisa Margonelli: The political chemistry of oil

19,042 views ・ 2010-08-26

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Translator: Simon Ellehammer J. Reviewer: Morten Kelder Skouboe
00:15
So I'm going to talk to you about you about the political chemistry of oil spills
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Så jeg vil tale med jer om olieudslips politiske kemi
00:18
and why this is an incredibly important,
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og hvorfor det er en så utrolig vigtig,
00:21
long, oily, hot summer,
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lang, olieret, varm sommer,
00:23
and why we need to keep ourselves from getting distracted.
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og hvorfor vi må sørge for ikke at blive distraheret.
00:26
But before I talk about the political chemistry,
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Men før jeg taler om den politiske kemi,
00:28
I actually need to talk about the chemistry of oil.
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bliver jeg faktisk nødt til at tale om olies kemi.
00:31
This is a photograph from when I visited
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Det her er et foto fra, da jeg besøgte
00:33
Prudhoe Bay in Alaska in 2002
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Prudhoe-bugten i Alaska i 2002
00:36
to watch the Minerals Management Service
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for at se Minerals Management Service
00:38
testing their ability
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teste deres evne
00:40
to burn oil spills in ice.
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til at brænde olieudslip i is.
00:42
And what you see here is, you see a little bit of crude oil,
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Og det, I ser her, er en lille smule råolie,
00:44
you see some ice cubes,
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I ser nogle isflager,
00:46
and you see two sandwich baggies of napalm.
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og I ser to beholdere med napalm.
00:49
The napalm is burning there quite nicely.
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Napalmen brænder ganske fint.
00:51
And the thing is, is that
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Og dét, der er, er, at
00:53
oil is really an abstraction for us as the American consumer.
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olie faktisk er en abstraktion for os amerikanske forbrugere.
00:56
We're four percent of the world's population;
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Vi udgør fire procent af verdens befolkning;
00:58
we use 25 percent of the world's oil production.
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vi forbruger 25 procent af verdens olieproduktion.
01:01
And we don't really understand what oil is,
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Og vi forstår ikke rigtig, hvad olie er,
01:04
until you check out its molecules,
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før vi undersøger dets molekyler,
01:06
And you don't really understand that until you see this stuff burn.
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og man forstår ikke rigtig dét, før man har set det brænde.
01:09
So this is what happens as that burn gets going.
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Så det her er, hvad der sker, når branden kommer i gang.
01:11
It takes off. It's a big woosh.
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Det starter. Det er et stort "wush".
01:13
I highly recommend that you get a chance to see crude oil burn someday,
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Jeg anbefaler virkelig, at I tager chancen til at se råolie brænde en dag,
01:16
because you will never need to hear another poli sci lecture
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for så behøver I aldrig at høre endnu en statskundskabsforelæsning
01:19
on the geopolitics of oil again.
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om olies geopolitiske betydning igen.
01:22
It'll just bake your retinas.
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Det vil simpelthen brænde sig fast på jeres nethinder.
01:24
So there it is; the retinas are baking.
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Dér er det så: nethinderne brænder.
01:26
Let me tell you a little bit about this chemistry of oil.
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Lad mig fortælle jer en lille smule om olies kemi.
01:29
Oil is a stew of hydrocarbon molecules.
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Olie er en ragout af hydrogencarbonat-molekyler.
01:32
It starts of with the very small ones,
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Det starter med de meget små,
01:34
which are one carbon, four hydrogen --
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der er et carbonat, fire hydrogen --
01:36
that's methane -- it just floats off.
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det er metan -- det svæver bare væk.
01:38
Then there's all sorts of intermediate ones with middle amounts of carbon.
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Der er alle mulige mellemformer med gennemsnitligt indhold af carbonat.
01:41
You've probably heard of benzene rings; they're very carcinogenic.
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I har sikkert hørt om benzen-ringe; de er meget kræftfremkaldende.
01:44
And it goes all the way over
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Og det fortsætter hele vejen over
01:46
to these big, thick, galumphy ones that have hundreds of carbons,
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til de store, tykke og kluntede, der har hundreder af carbonater,
01:48
and they have thousands of hydrogens,
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og de har tusinde af hydrogenmolekyler,
01:50
and they have vanadium and heavy metals and sulfur
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og de har vanadium og tungmetaller og svovl
01:52
and all kinds of craziness hanging off the sides of them.
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og alle mulige slags vanvid hængende ud af siderne på dem.
01:54
Those are called the asphaltenes; they're an ingredient in asphalt.
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De er kaldt asfaltaner; de er en ingrediens i asfalt.
01:57
They're very important in oil spills.
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De er meget vigtige i olieudslip.
01:59
Let me tell you a little bit about
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Lad mig fortælle jer en lille smule om
02:01
the chemistry of oil in water.
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olies kemi i vand.
02:04
It is this chemistry that makes oil so disastrous.
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Det er denne kemi, der gør olie så katastrofal.
02:07
Oil doesn't sink, it floats.
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Olie synker ikke, det flyder.
02:09
If it sank, it would be a whole different story as far as an oil spill.
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Hvis det sank, ville det være en helt anden historie, når det kommer til oliespild.
02:12
And the other thing it does is it spreads out the moment it hits the water.
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Og den anden ting, det gør, er, at det spreder sig i det øjeblik, det rammer vandet.
02:15
It spreads out to be really thin,
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Det spreder sig ud til et virkelig tyndt lag,
02:17
so you have a hard time corralling it.
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så det er vanskeligt at indsamle.
02:19
The next thing that happens
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Det næste, der sker,
02:21
is the light ends evaporate,
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er, at de lette dele fordamper,
02:24
and some of the toxic things float into the water column
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og nogle af de giftige stoffer flyder ind i vandsøjlen
02:27
and kill fish eggs
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og dræber fiskeæg
02:29
and smaller fish and things like that, and shrimp.
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og mindre fisk og den slags, og rejer.
02:32
And then the asphaltenes -- and this is the crucial thing --
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Og så asfaltenerne -- og det er centralt --
02:34
the asphaltenes get whipped by the waves
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asfaltenerne bliver pisket af bølgerne
02:37
into a frothy emulsion, something like mayonnaise.
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til en skummende emulsion, noget a la mayonaise.
02:39
It triples the amount
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Det tredobler mængden
02:41
of oily, messy goo that you have in the water,
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af olieret, klæbrig masse, som man har i vandet,
02:44
and it makes it very hard to handle.
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og gør det meget vanskeligt at håndtere.
02:46
It also makes it very viscous.
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Det gør det også meget klæbrigt.
02:48
When the Prestige sank off the coast of Spain,
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Da Prestige sank ud for den spanske kyst,
02:51
there were big, floating cushions the size of sofa cushions
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var der store flydende klumper på størrelse med sofahynder
02:54
of emulsified oil,
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af emulgeret olie
02:56
with the consistency, or the viscosity, of chewing gum.
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med en konsistens, eller tyktflydenhed, som tyggegummi.
02:58
It's incredibly hard to clean up.
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Det er utrolig vanskeligt at rense ud.
03:00
And every single oil is different when it hits water.
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Og enhver slags olie er forskelligt, når det rammer vand.
03:03
When the chemistry of the oil and water
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Når olies og vands kemi
03:05
also hits our politics,
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også rammer vores politik,
03:07
it's absolutely explosive.
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bliver det absolut eksplosivt.
03:09
For the first time, American consumers
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For første gang ser amerikanske forbrugere
03:11
will kind of see the oil supply chain in front of themselves.
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olies logistikkæde foran sig.
03:15
They have a "eureka!" moment,
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De har et "Heureka"-øjeblik,
03:17
when we suddenly understand oil in a different context.
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når de pludselig forstår olie i en anden kontekst.
03:20
So I'm going to talk just a little bit about the origin of these politics,
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Så jeg vil tale bare en smule om denne type politiks oprindelse,
03:23
because it's really crucial to understanding
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for det er virkelig centralt for at forstå,
03:25
why this summer is so important, why we need to stay focused.
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hvorfor denne sommer er så vigtig, hvorfor vi blive nødt til at holde fokus.
03:28
Nobody gets up in the morning and thinks,
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Ingen står op om morgenen og tænker:
03:30
"Wow! I'm going to go buy
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"Wauw! Jeg vil købe
03:32
some three-carbon-to-12-carbon molecules to put in my tank
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omkring tre til tolv carbonat-molekyler til at proppe i tanken
03:34
and drive happily to work."
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og køre glad på arbejde."
03:36
No, they think, "Ugh. I have to go buy gas.
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Nej, de tænker: "Uhh. Jeg bliver nødt til at købe benzin.
03:38
I'm so angry about it. The oil companies are ripping me off.
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Jeg er så vred over det. Olieselskaberne tager ågerpriser.
03:40
They set the prices, and I don't even know.
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De sætter priserne, og jeg aner overhovedet ikke hvordan.
03:42
I am helpless over this."
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Jeg er hjælpeløs overfor det."
03:44
And this is what happens to us at the gas pump --
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Og det her, er hvad der sker ved benzintanken --
03:46
and actually, gas pumps are specifically designed
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og faktisk, så er benzinpumper specielt designet
03:48
to diffuse that anger.
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til at begrænse den vrede.
03:50
You might notice that many gas pumps, including this one,
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I vil måske lægge mærke til at mange benzinpumper, denne her inklusive,
03:52
are designed to look like ATMs.
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er designet til at ligne pengeautomater.
03:54
I've talked to engineers. That's specifically to diffuse our anger,
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Jeg har talt med ingenører. Dét er specifikt for at forstyrre vores vrede,
03:57
because supposedly we feel good about ATMs.
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fordi vi åbenbart har det godt med pengeautomater.
03:59
(Laughter)
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(Latter)
04:01
That shows you how bad it is.
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Det viser, hvor slemt det er.
04:03
But actually, I mean, this feeling of helplessness
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Men faktisk mener jeg, at denne følelse af hjælpeløshed
04:05
comes in because most Americans actually feel
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dukker op, fordi de fleste amerikanere faktisk føler,
04:08
that oil prices are the result of a conspiracy,
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at oliepriserne er et resultat af en sammensværgelse,
04:11
not of the vicissitudes of the world oil market.
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ikke verdens oliemarkeds omskiftelighed.
04:14
And the thing is, too,
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Og det, der også er,
04:16
is that we also feel very helpless about the amount that we consume,
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er, at vi også føler os meget hjælpeløse omkring, hvor meget vi konsumerer,
04:18
which is somewhat reasonable,
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hvilket til dels er rimeligt,
04:20
because in fact, we have designed this system
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fordi vi faktisk har designet et system,
04:23
where, if you want to get a job,
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hvor, hvis du vil have et job,
04:26
it's much more important to have a car that runs,
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er det meget vigtigere at have en bil, der kører,
04:29
to have a job and keep a job, than to have a GED.
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for at have et job og beholde dét, end at have en gymnasieuddannelse.
04:32
And that's actually very perverse.
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Og det er faktisk temmelig perverst.
04:34
Now there's another perverse thing about the way we buy gas,
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Der er en anden pervers ting i måden, vi køber benzin på,
04:36
which is that we'd rather be doing anything else.
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som er, at vi hellere vil gøre alt andet.
04:38
This is BP's gas station
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Det her er BP's benzintank
04:40
in downtown Los Angeles.
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i Los Angeles centrum.
04:42
It is green. It is a shrine to greenishness.
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Den er grøn. Den er et tempel til grønhed.
04:45
"Now," you think, "why would something so lame
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"Hvorfor," tænker I, "ville noget så lamt
04:48
work on people so smart?"
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virke på så smarte folk?"
04:50
Well, the reason is, is because, when we're buying gas,
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Grunden er, at når vi køber benzin,
04:53
we're very invested in this sort of cognitive dissonance.
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er vi meget investeret i den form for erkendelsesdissonans.
04:56
I mean, we're angry at the one hand and we want to be somewhere else.
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Jeg mener, vi er på den ene side vrede og vil gøre noget andet.
04:59
We don't want to be buying oil;
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Vi vil ikke købe olie;
05:01
we want to be doing something green.
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vi vil gøre noget grønt.
05:03
And we get kind of in on our own con.
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Og vi lander nærmest i vores eget bedrag.
05:06
I mean -- and this is funny,
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Jeg mener - og det er sjovt,
05:08
it looks funny here.
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det ser sjovt ud her.
05:10
But in fact, that's why the slogan "beyond petroleum" worked.
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Men det er faktisk derfor sloganet "beyond petroleum" virker.
05:13
But it's an inherent part of our energy policy,
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Men det er en integreret del af vores energipolitik,
05:16
which is we don't talk about
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at vi ikke taler om
05:18
reducing the amount of oil that we use.
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at reducere mængden af olie, vi bruger.
05:20
We talk about energy independence. We talk about hydrogen cars.
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Vi taler om uafhængighed fra energi. Vi taler om hydrogenbiler.
05:23
We talk about biofuels that haven't been invented yet.
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Vi taler om biobrændsel, der endnu ikke er opfundet.
05:25
And so, cognitive dissonance
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Og dermed er erkendelsesdissonans
05:28
is part and parcel of the way that we deal with oil,
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en del af måden, vi tager hånd om olie på,
05:31
and it's really important to dealing with this oil spill.
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og det er virkelig vigtigt at vi tager hånd om dette olieudslip.
05:33
Okay, so the politics of oil
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Okay, så politikken omkring olie
05:36
are very moral in the United States.
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er meget moralsk i USA.
05:38
The oil industry is like a huge, gigantic octopus
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Olieindustrien er som en kæmpe, gigantisk blæksprutte
05:41
of engineering and finance
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af ingenørkunst og finans
05:43
and everything else,
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og alt muligt andet,
05:45
but we actually see it in very moral terms.
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men vi ser den faktisk med meget moralske briller.
05:47
This is an early-on photograph -- you can see, we had these gushers.
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Det her er et tidligt fotografi -- man kan se, vi har de her springbrønde.
05:50
Early journalists looked at these spills,
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Datidens journalister kiggede på de her udslip,
05:52
and they said, "This is a filthy industry."
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og sagde: "Det er en beskidt industri."
05:54
But they also saw in it
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Men de så også i den,
05:56
that people were getting rich for doing nothing.
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at folk blev rige uden at gøre noget for det.
05:58
They weren't farmers, they were just getting rich for stuff coming out of the ground.
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De var ikke landmænd; de blev bare rige af noget, der kom op af jorden.
06:01
It's the "Beverly Hillbillies," basically.
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Det var faktisk "de rige bonderøve".
06:03
But in the beginning, this was seen as a very morally problematic thing,
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Men i begyndelsen blev det set som en problematisk moralsk ting,
06:06
long before it became funny.
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lang tid før det blev morsomt.
06:08
And then, of course, there was John D. Rockefeller.
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Og så var der, selvfølgelig, John D. Rockefeller.
06:11
And the thing about John D. is that
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Og det, der er med John D., er
06:13
he went into this chaotic wild-east
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at han tog ind i det kaotiske vilde vesten
06:15
of oil industry,
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af olieindustri,
06:17
and he rationalized it
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og han rationaliserede det
06:19
into a vertically integrated company, a multinational.
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til et vertikalt strukturet firma, en multinational virksomhed.
06:22
It was terrifying; you think Walmart is a terrifying business model now,
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Det var frygteligt; tror du at Walmart er en frygtelig forretningsmodel nu,
06:25
imagine what this looked like in the 1860s or 1870s.
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så forestil dig, hvordan det så ud i 1860erne eller 1870erne.
06:28
And it also the kind of root
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Og det er også grunden til,
06:31
of how we see oil as a conspiracy.
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at vi ser olie som en sammensværgelse.
06:34
But what's really amazing is that
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Men det, der er virkelig utroligt, er, at
06:36
Ida Tarbell, the journalist,
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Ida Tarbell, journalisten,
06:39
went in and did a big exposé of Rockefeller
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tog ind og lavede en stor afsløring af Rockefeller
06:42
and actually got the whole antitrust laws
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og fik faktisk hele kartellovgivningen
06:44
put in place.
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på plads.
06:46
But in many ways,
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Men på mange måder
06:48
that image of the conspiracy still sticks with us.
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følger billedet af sammensværgelse stadig med os.
06:50
And here's one of the things
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Og her er en ting
06:52
that Ida Tarbell said --
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som Tarbell sagde --
06:54
she said, "He has a thin nose like a thorn.
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hun sagde: "Han har en næse så tynd som en torn.
06:57
There were no lips.
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Der er ingen læber.
06:59
There were puffs under the little colorless eyes
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Der er rande under de små farveløse øjne
07:01
with creases running from them."
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med furer løbende fra dem."
07:03
(Laughter)
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(Latter)
07:05
Okay, so that guy is actually still with us.
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Okay, så den fyr er her faktisk endnu.
07:07
(Laughter)
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(Latter)
07:09
I mean, this is a very pervasive -- this is part of our DNA.
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Jeg mener, det er allestedsnærværende -- det er en del af vores DNA.
07:12
And then there's this guy, okay.
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Og så er der ham her, okay.
07:15
So, you might be wondering why it is that,
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Så I spekulerer måske på, hvorfor vi -
07:17
every time we have high oil prices or an oil spill,
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hver gang vi har høje oliepriser eller et olieudslip -
07:19
we call these CEOs down to Washington,
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hidkalder administrerende direktører til Washington,
07:22
and we sort of pepper them with questions in public and we try to shame them.
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og steger dem med spørgsmål i offentlige høringer og prøver at gøre dem flove.
07:25
And this is something that we've been doing since 1974,
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Og det er noget vi har gjort siden 1974,
07:28
when we first asked them, "Why are there these obscene profits?"
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da vi første gang spurgte dem: "Hvorfor er der sådan nogle uanstændige overskud?"
07:31
And we've sort of personalized the whole oil industry
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Og vi har ligesom personificeret hele olieindustrien
07:33
into these CEOs.
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i de administrerende direktører.
07:35
And we take it as, you know --
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Og vi tager det som, I ved --
07:38
we look at it on a moral level,
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vi ser på det fra en moralsk vinkel,
07:40
rather than looking at it on a legal and financial level.
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fremfor at se det fra en juridisk og finansiel vinkel.
07:43
And so I'm not saying these guys aren't liable to answer questions --
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Og jeg siger ikke, at de her fyre ikke er forpligtede til at svare på spørgsmål --
07:46
I'm just saying that, when you focus on
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Jeg siger bare, at når vi fokuserer på
07:48
whether they are or are not a bunch of greedy bastards,
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om de er en flok grådige svin eller ej,
07:51
you don't actually get around to the point
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så når man faktisk aldrig til det punkt,
07:53
of making laws that are either going to either change the way they operate,
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hvor man får lavet love, der enten ændrer måden, de arbejder på,
07:56
or you're going to get around
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eller når til
07:58
to really reducing the amount of oil
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virkelig at reducere mængden af olie
08:00
and reducing our dependence on oil.
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og reducere vores afhængighed af olie.
08:02
So I'm saying this is kind of a distraction.
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Så jeg siger, at det er en form for afledningsmanøvre.
08:04
But it makes for good theater,
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Men det bliver godt teater,
08:06
and it's powerfully cathartic as you probably saw last week.
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og det er stærk katharsisk, som I sikkert så i sidste uge.
08:10
So the thing about water oil spills
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Så dét, der er med olieudslip,
08:12
is that they are very politically galvanizing.
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er, at de er meget politisk opildnende.
08:15
I mean, these pictures -- this is from the Santa Barbara spill.
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Jeg mener, de her billeder -- det er fra Santa Barbara-udslippet.
08:18
You have these pictures of birds.
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I har de her billeder af fugle.
08:20
They really influence people.
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De påvirker virkelig folk.
08:22
When the Santa Barbara spill happened in 1969,
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I 1969, da Santa Barbara-udslippet skete,
08:25
it formed the environmental movement in its modern form.
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skabte det miljøbevægelsen i sin moderne form.
08:27
It started Earth Day.
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Det startede Jordens Dag.
08:29
It also put in place the National Environmental Policy Act,
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Det fik implementeret National Miljø Målsætning-loven (NEPA),
08:32
the Clean Air Act, the Clean Water Act.
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Ren Luft-loven, Rent Vand-loven.
08:35
Everything that we are really stemmed from this period.
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Alt, hvad vi faktisk er, stammer fra denne periode.
08:38
I think it's important to kind of look at these pictures of the birds
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Jeg tror, det er vigtigt at se på de her billeder af fuglene
08:41
and understand what happens to us.
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og forstå, hvad der sker med os.
08:43
Here we are normally;
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Her er vi normalt;
08:45
we're standing at the gas pump, and we're feeling kind of helpless.
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vi står ved benzintanken, og føler os lidt hjælpeløse.
08:47
We look at these pictures
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Vi ser på de her billeder,
08:49
and we understand, for the first time, our role in this supply chain.
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og vi forstår for første gang vores rolle i forsyningskæden.
08:52
We connect the dots in the supply chain.
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Vi forbinder punkterne i forsyningskæden.
08:54
And we have this kind of --
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Og vi har det her --
08:56
as voters, we have kind of a "eureka!" moment.
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som vælgere har vi en form for "Heureka!"-øjeblik.
08:59
This is why these moments of these oil spills
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Det er derfor, disse øjeblikke omkring olieudslip
09:01
are so important.
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er så vigtige.
09:03
But it's also really important that we don't get distracted
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Men det er også virkelig vigtigt, at vi ikke bliver distraherede
09:06
by the theater or the morals of it.
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af teatret eller moralen omkring det.
09:08
We actually need to go in
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Vi bliver faktisk nødt til at gå ind
09:10
and work on the roots of the problem.
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og arbejde med problemets rod.
09:12
One of the things that happened with the two previous oil spills
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En af de ting, der skete ved de to forrige olieudslip,
09:15
was that we really worked on some of the symptoms.
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var, at vi virkelig arbejdede på nogle af symptomerne.
09:18
We were very reactive, as opposed to being proactive
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Vi var meget reaktive, i modsætning til proaktive,
09:20
about what happened.
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omkring det, der skete.
09:22
And so what we did was, actually,
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Så det, vi faktisk gjorde, var
09:24
we made moratoriums on the east and west coasts on drilling.
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at holde pauser i boringerne på øst- og vest-kysten.
09:27
We stopped drilling in ANWR,
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Vi stoppede med at bore i det nationale arktiske vildtlivsreservat (ANWR),
09:30
but we didn't actually reduce the amount of oil that we consumed.
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men vi reducerede ikke mængden af olie, vi konsumerede.
09:33
In fact, it's continued to increase.
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Faktisk så er det startet med at stige.
09:35
The only thing that really reduces the amount of oil that we consume
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Den eneste ting, der virkelig reducerer vores olieforbrug
09:38
is much higher prices.
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er meget højere priser.
09:40
As you can see, our own production has fallen off
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Som I kan se, er vores produktion faldet
09:42
as our reservoirs have gotten old and expensive to drill out.
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som vores reservoirer er blevet gamle og dyre at bore efter.
09:44
We only have two percent of the world's oil reserves;
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Vi har kun to procent af verdens oliereserver;
09:47
65 percent of them are in the Persian Gulf.
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65 procent af dem er i Den Persiske Golf.
09:50
One of the things that's happened because of this
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En af de ting, der skete på grund af det,
09:52
is that, since 1969,
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er, at siden 1969
09:55
the country of Nigeria, or the part of Nigeria that pumps oil,
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har Nigeria, eller den del af Nigeria, hvor der pumpes olie,
09:58
which is the delta -- which is two times the size of Maryland --
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hvilket er deltaet -- som er dobbelt så stort som Maryland --
10:01
has had thousands of oil spills a year.
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har haft tusind olieudslip om året.
10:03
I mean, we've essentially been exporting oil spills
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Jeg mener, vi har faktisk eksporteret olieudslip,
10:05
when we import oil from places
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når vi importerer olie fra steder
10:07
without tight environmental regulations.
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uden stramme miljøreguleringer.
10:09
That has been the equivalent of an Exxon Valdez spill
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Det svarer til et Exxon Valdez-udslip
10:12
every year since 1969.
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hvert år siden 1969.
10:15
And we can wrap our heads around the spills,
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Og vi kan forstå udslippene,
10:17
because that's what we see here,
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fordi det er, hvad vi ser her,
10:19
but in fact, these guys actually live in a war zone.
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men faktisk lever de her fyrer i en krigszone.
10:21
There's a thousand battle-related deaths a year
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Der er tusind kamprelaterede dødsfald om året
10:24
in this area twice the size of Maryland,
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i det her område, der er to gange Marylands størrelse,
10:26
and it's all related to the oil.
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og det er alt sammen relateret til olien.
10:28
And these guys, I mean, if they were in the U.S.,
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Og de her fyre, jeg mener, hvis de var i USA,
10:30
they might be actually here in this room.
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så var de måske i det her rum.
10:32
They have degrees in political science, degrees in business --
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De har universitetsgrader i statsvidenskab, i handel --
10:34
they're entrepreneurs. They don't actually want to be doing what they're doing.
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de er entreprenører. De vil faktisk ikke lave det, de laver.
10:38
And it's sort of one of the other groups of people
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Og det er en af de andre grupper af mennesker,
10:41
who pay a price for us.
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der betaler prisen for os.
10:43
The other thing that we've done,
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En anden ting, vi gør,
10:45
as we've continued to increase demand,
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mens vi fortsat hæver efterspørgslen,
10:47
is that we kind of play a shell game with the costs.
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er, at vi spiller en form for svindelnummer med omkostningerne.
10:50
One of the places we put in a big oil project
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Et af de steder, vi har startet et stort olieprojekt,
10:53
in Chad, with Exxon.
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er Chad med Exxon.
10:55
So the U.S. taxpayer paid for it;
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Så den amerikanske skatteborger betalte for det;
10:57
the World Bank, Exxon paid for it.
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Verdensbanken, Exxon betalte for det.
10:59
We put it in. There was a tremendous banditry problem.
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Vi starter det. Der var et enormt problem med banditter.
11:02
I was there in 2003.
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Jeg var der i 2003.
11:04
We were driving along this dark, dark road,
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Vi kørte langs denne mørke, mørke vej,
11:06
and the guy in the green stepped out,
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og en fyr i grønt træder frem,
11:08
and I was just like, "Ahhh! This is it."
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og jeg tænker: "Åhh! Det var så det."
11:11
And then the guy in the Exxon uniform stepped out,
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Og så træder en fyr i Exxon-uniform frem,
11:14
and we realized it was okay.
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og det går op for os, at det er okay.
11:16
They have their own private sort of army around them at the oil fields.
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De har deres egen slags hær omkring deres oliefelter.
11:18
But at the same time,
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Men samtidig er
11:20
Chad has become much more unstable,
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Chad blevet meget mere ustabil,
11:22
and we are not paying for that price at the pump.
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og vi betaler ikke prisen ved tanken.
11:25
We pay for it in our taxes on April 15th.
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Vi betaler for det med vores skatter den femtende april.
11:28
We do the same thing
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Vi gør det samme
11:30
with the price of policing the Persian Gulf
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med prisen for overvågning af Den Persiske Golf
11:32
and keeping the shipping lanes open.
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og for at holde skibsruterne åbne.
11:34
This is 1988 --
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Det her er 1988 --
11:36
we actually bombed two Iranian oil platforms that year.
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vi bombede faktisk to iranske olieplatforme det år.
11:39
That was the beginning of an escalating U.S. involvement there
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Det var begyndelsen på USA's øgede engagement der,
11:41
that we do not pay for at the pump.
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som vi ikke betaler ved benzintanken.
11:43
We pay for it on April 15th,
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Vi betaler for det den femtende april,
11:45
and we can't even calculate the cost of this involvement.
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og vi kan ikke engang beregne omkostningerne for det engagement.
11:48
The other place that is sort of supporting our dependence on oil
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Det andet sted, der støtter vores afhængighed af olie
11:51
and our increased consumption
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og vores øgede forbrug,
11:54
is the Gulf of Mexico,
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er Den Mexikanske Golf,
11:56
which was not part of the moratoriums.
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som ikke var en del af bore-pauserne.
11:58
Now what's happened in the Gulf of Mexico -- as you can see,
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Det, som skete i Den Mexikanske Golf -- som man kan se,
12:00
this is the Minerals Management diagram
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det her er 'Mineral Administrationsdiagrammet'
12:02
of wells for gas and oil.
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over gas- og oliebrønde.
12:04
It's become this intense industrialized zone.
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Den er blevet det her intenst industrialiserede område.
12:06
It doesn't have the same resonance for us
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Det har ikke samme resonans hos os
12:08
that the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge has,
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som det nationale arktiske vildtlivsreservat har,
12:10
but it should, I mean, it's a bird sanctuary.
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men det burde det. Jeg mener; det er et fuglereservat.
12:13
Also, every time you buy gasoline in the United States,
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Desuden; hver gang man køber benzin i USA,
12:15
half of it is actually being refined along the coast,
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bliver halvdelen raffineret langs kysten,
12:18
because the Gulf actually has
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fordi Golfen faktisk har
12:20
about 50 percent of our refining capacity
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omkring 50 procent af vores rafineringskapacitet
12:22
and a lot of our marine terminals as well.
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og også mange af vores maritime adgange.
12:24
So the people of the Gulf have essentially been subsidizing the rest of us
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Så folkene omkring Golfen har egentlig givet os andre tilskud
12:27
through a less-clean environment.
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i form af et mindre rent miljø.
12:30
And finally, American families also pay a price for oil.
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Og endelig betaler amerikanske familier også prisen for olien.
12:33
Now on the one hand, the price at the pump is not really very high
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Så på den ene side er prisen på tankstationen ikke særlig høj,
12:36
when you consider the actual cost of the oil,
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når man overvejer de egentlige omkostninger af olien,
12:38
but on the other hand,
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på den anden side,
12:40
the fact that people have no other transit options
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det faktum, at folk ikke har andre transportmuligheder
12:43
means that they pay a large amount of their income
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betyder, at de betaler en stor del af deres indkomst
12:46
into just getting back and forth to work,
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på bare at komme frem og tilbage til arbejde,
12:48
generally in a fairly crummy car.
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generelt i en ret ussel bil.
12:50
If you look at people who make $50,000 a year, they have two kids,
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Hvis man ser på folk, der tjener 280.000 kr. om året, de har to børn,
12:53
they might have three jobs or more,
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de har måske tre job eller mere,
12:55
and then they have to really commute.
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og de bliver virkelig nødt til at pendle.
12:57
They're actually spending more on their car and fuel
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De bruger faktisk flere penge på deres bil og brændstof
13:00
than they are on taxes or on health care.
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end de bruger på skatter eller sundhedsforsikring.
13:02
And the same thing happens
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Og det samme foregår
13:04
at the 50th percentile, around 80,000.
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omkring den 50. procent, omkring 440.000 kr.
13:07
Gasoline costs are a tremendous drain
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Benzinomkostninger er utrolig drænende
13:09
on the American economy,
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for den amerikanske økonomi,
13:11
but they're also a drain on individual families
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men også for de individuelle familier,
13:14
and it's kind of terrifying to think about what happens when prices get higher.
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og det er lidt skræmmende at tænke på, hvad der sker, når priserne bliver højere.
13:17
So, what I'm going to talk to you about now is:
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Så det, jeg vil tale lidt om nu, er:
13:20
what do we have to do this time?
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hvad skal vi gøre denne gang?
13:22
What are the laws? What do we have to do to keep ourselves focused?
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Hvilke love findes? Hvad skal vi gøre for at holde os selv fokuserede?
13:25
One thing is -- we need to stay away from the theater.
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En ting er -- vi bliver nødt til at holde os fra teatret.
13:27
We need to stay away from the moratoriums.
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Vi er nødt til at holde os fra pauserne.
13:29
We need to focus really back again
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Vi er nødt til igen at fokusere
13:31
on the molecules.
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på molekylerne.
13:33
The moratoriums are fine, but we do need to focus
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Pauser er fine, men vi bliver nødt til at fokusere
13:36
on the molecules on the oil.
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på oliens molekyler.
13:38
One of the things that we also need to do,
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En af tingene, vi bliver nødt til,
13:40
is we need to try to not kind of fool ourselves
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er at prøve ikke at bedrage os selv
13:42
into thinking that you can have a green world,
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til at tro, at vi kan have en grøn verden,
13:45
before you reduce the amount of oil that we use.
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før vi reducerer mængden af olie, vi bruger.
13:47
We need to focus on reducing the oil.
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Vi bliver nødt til at fokusere på at reducere olien.
13:49
What you see in this top drawing is a schematic
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Det, I er i den øverste tegning, er et skema
13:52
of how petroleum gets used in the U.S. economy.
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over, hvordan petroleum bliver brugt i USA's økonomi
13:54
It comes in on the side -- the useful stuff is the dark gray,
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Det kommer ind fra siden -- det brugbare er det mørkegrå,
13:57
and the un-useful stuff,
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og det ubrugelige,
13:59
which is called the rejected energy -- the waste,
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som bliver kaldt afvist energi -- affaldet,
14:02
goes up to the top.
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ryger op til toppen.
14:04
Now you can see that the waste far outweighs
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I kan se, at der er langt mere affald
14:06
the actually useful amount.
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end det brugbare.
14:08
And one of the things that we need to do
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Og en af de ting, vi bliver nødt til at gøre,
14:10
is, not only fix the fuel efficiency of our vehicles
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er ikke blot at ordne brændstofeffektiviteten på vores køretøjer
14:12
and make them much more efficient,
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og gøre dem langt mere effektive,
14:14
but we also need to fix the economy in general.
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men vi bliver også nødt til at ordne økonomien generelt.
14:16
We need to remove the perverse incentives to use more fuel.
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Vi bliver nødt til at fjerne de perverse incitamenter til at bruge mere brændstof.
14:19
For example, we have an insurance system
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Vi har for eksempel et forsikringssystem
14:21
where the person who drives 20,000 miles a year
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hvor en person, der kører 32.000 km om året,
14:24
pays the same insurance as somebody who drives 3,000.
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betaler det samme i forsikring som én, der kører 4.800 km.
14:27
We actually encourage people to drive more.
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Vi opfordrer faktisk folk til at køre mere.
14:29
We have policies that reward sprawl -- we have all kinds of policies.
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Vi har love, der belønner ligegyldighed -- vi har alle mulige slags love.
14:32
We need to have more mobility choices.
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Vi bliver nødt til at have flere transportmuligheder.
14:34
We need to make the gas price
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Vi er nødt til at få benzinprisen til
14:36
better reflect the real cost of oil.
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bedre at reflektere oliens virkelige omkostninger.
14:38
And we need to shift subsidies from the oil industry,
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Og vi bliver nødt til at flytte støtte til olieindustrien,
14:41
which is at least 10 billion dollars a year,
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som er på mindst 57 milliarder kr. om året,
14:44
into something that allows middle-class people to find better ways to commute.
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til noget, der tillader middelklassen at finde bedre måder at pendle på.
14:47
Whether that's getting a much more efficient car
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Om det er ved at få en langt mere effektiv bil
14:50
and also kind of building markets
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og også skabe et marked
14:52
for new cars and new fuels down the road,
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for nye biler og nye brændsler henad vejen,
14:54
this is where we need to be.
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så er det her, vi bliver nødt til at være.
14:56
We need to kind of rationalize this whole thing,
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Vi bliver nødt til at rationalisere alt det her,
14:58
and you can find more about this policy.
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og man kan finde mere om den målsætning.
15:00
It's called STRONG, which is "Secure Transportation
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Den hedder STRONG, der betyder "Sikker Transport
15:02
Reducing Oil Needs Gradually,"
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ved Reduktion af Oliebehov Gradvist,"
15:04
and the idea is instead of being helpless, we need to be more strong.
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og ideen er, at vi i stedet for at være hjælpeløse, må være stærkere.
15:07
They're up at NewAmerica.net.
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De er på NewAmerica.net.
15:09
What's important about these
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Det, der er vigtigt ved dem,
15:11
is that we try to move
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er, at vi prøver at bevæge os
15:13
from feeling helpless at the pump,
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fra følelsen af hjælpeløshed ved tankstationen
15:15
to actually being active
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til faktisk at være aktive
15:17
and to really sort of thinking about who we are,
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og til virkelig at tænke over, hvem vi er,
15:20
having kind of that special moment,
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have det særlige øjeblik,
15:22
where we connect the dots actually at the pump.
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hvor vi faktisk forbinder punkterne nede ved benzintanken.
15:25
Now supposedly, oil taxes
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Oliebeskatning er angiveligt
15:28
are the third rail of American politics -- the no-fly zone.
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tabu i amerikansk politik -- en flyveforbudszone.
15:31
I actually -- I agree that a dollar a gallon on oil
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Jeg er faktisk -- Jeg er enig i, at 1,5 krone pr. liter olie
15:33
is probably too much,
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nok er for meget,
15:35
but I think that if we started this year
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men jeg synes, at hvis vi næste år startede
15:37
with three cents a gallon on gasoline,
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med 5 øre pr. liter på benzin,
15:40
and upped it to six cents next year, nine cents the following year,
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og hævede det til 10 øre næste år, 15 øre det følgende år,
15:43
all the way up to 30 cents by 2020,
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hele vejen op til 50 øre i 2020,
15:46
that we could actually significantly reduce our gasoline consumption,
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så kunne vi faktisk reducere vores benzinforbrug markant,
15:49
and at the same time we would give people time to prepare,
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og samtidig ville vi give folk tid til at forberede sig,
15:52
time to respond,
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tid til at reagere,
15:54
and we would be raising money and raising consciousness at the same time.
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og vi ville hente penge og øge bevidstheden på samme tid.
15:57
Let me give you a little sense of how this would work.
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Lad mig give jer en lille ide om, hvordan det ville virke.
16:00
This is a gas receipt, hypothetically, for a year from now.
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Det her er en gasregning - hypotetisk set - for næste år.
16:03
The first thing that you have on the tax is --
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Det første man har på denne her skat er --
16:05
you have a tax for a stronger America -- 33 cents.
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du har en skat for et stærkere USA -- 1,9 kr.
16:08
So you're not helpless at the pump.
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Så du er ikke hjælpeløs ved benzintanken.
16:10
And the second thing that you have is a kind of warning sign,
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Og den anden ting du har er et slags advarselsskilt
16:13
very similar to what you would find
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meget lig det, du finder
16:15
on a cigarette pack.
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på en cigaretpakke.
16:17
And what it says is, "The National Academy of Sciences
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Og det skal sige: "Videnskabernes Akademi
16:20
estimates that every gallon of gas you burn in your car
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vurderer, at hver liter benzin, du bruger i din bil
16:23
creates 29 cents in health care costs."
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skaber 44 øre i sundhedsomkostninger."
16:25
That's a lot.
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Det er meget.
16:27
And so this -- you can see that you're paying considerably less
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Og så det her -- man kan se, at man betaler betydeligt mindre
16:29
than the health care costs on the tax.
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end sundhedsomkostningerne over skatten.
16:32
And also, the hope is that
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Og desuden er håbet, at
16:35
you start to be connected to the whole greater system.
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man bliver forbundet til det større system.
16:38
And at the same time, you have a number that you can call
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Samtidig med, at man har et nummer, som man kan ringe til
16:40
to get more information on commuting,
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for at få mere information om pendling,
16:43
or a low-interest loan on a different kind of car,
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eller et lavtforrentet lån til en anden slags bil,
16:46
or whatever it is you're going to need
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eller hvad det end er, man har brug for
16:48
to actually reduce your gasoline dependence.
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for faktisk at reducere sin benzinafhængighed.
16:52
With this whole sort of suite of policies,
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Med hele dette katalog af politiske muligheder
16:54
we could actually reduce our gasoline consumption --
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kunne vi faktisk reducere vores benzinforbrug --
16:56
or our oil consumption --
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eller vores olieforbrug --
16:58
by 20 percent by 2020.
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med 20 procent i 2020.
17:01
So, three million barrels a day.
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Så tre millioner tønder om dagen.
17:04
But in order to do this,
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Men for at gøre det
17:06
one of the things we really need to do, is we need to remember
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er en af de ting, vi bliver nødt til, at huske,
17:08
we are people of the hydrocarbon.
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at vi er hydrokarbonatets folk.
17:10
We need to keep or minds on the molecules
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Vi bliver nødt til at holde vores fokus på molekylerne
17:12
and not get distracted by the theater,
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og ikke blive distraheret af teatret,
17:15
not get distracted by the cognitive dissonance
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ikke blive distraheret af erkendelsesdissonansen
17:17
of the green possibilities that are out there.
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af grønne muligheder, der er derude.
17:19
We need to kind of get down and do the gritty work
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Vi bliver nødt til uforfærdet at gøre det hårde arbejde
17:21
of reducing our dependence upon this fuel and these molecules.
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med at reducere vores afhængighed af denne brændstof og disse molekyler.
17:24
Thank you.
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Tak.
17:26
(Applause)
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(Klapsalver)
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