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譯者: Harry Chen
審譯者: 杏儀 歐陽
00:12
We can cut violent deaths
around the world
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我們可在未來30年內
00:17
by 50 percent in the next three decades.
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將世界各地暴亂的死亡人數
降低 50 %,
00:22
All we have to do
is drop killing by 2.3 percent a year,
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我們要做的就是
讓他殺死亡率每年下降 2.3 %,
00:27
and we'll hit that target.
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然後我們就能達標了。
00:29
You don't believe me?
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你不相信我嗎?
00:31
Well, the leading epidemiologists
and criminologists around the world
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世界上首屈一指的
流行病學和犯罪學專家們
00:34
seem to think we can, and so do I,
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似乎認為我們行的,我也是一樣,
00:37
but only if we focus on our cities,
especially the most fragile ones.
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前提是假使我們看緊我們的城市,
尤其是最脆弱的這一些。
00:42
You see, I've been thinking
about this a lot.
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我一直在關心這個問題,
00:46
For the last 20 years, I've been working
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過去 20 年來,我工作的國家和城市
00:48
in countries and cities
ripped apart by conflict,
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充斥著衝突、動亂或恐怖主義,
00:51
violence, terrorism, or some
insidious combination of all.
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甚者樣樣皆有;
00:55
I've tracked gun smugglers
from Russia to Somalia,
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我曾經由俄羅斯到索馬利亞
追蹤過軍火走私者、
00:59
I've worked with warlords
in Afghanistan and the Congo,
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與阿富汗以及剛果的軍閥共事過、
01:02
I've counted cadavers in Colombia, in
Haiti, in Sri Lanka, in Papua New Guinea.
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在哥倫比亞、海地、斯里蘭卡、
巴布亞紐幾內亞等地計算過屍體。
01:08
You don't need to be
on the front line, though,
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縱使你不在第一線上
01:10
to get a sense that our planet
is spinning out of control, right?
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也會感覺到地球正迅速失控吧,
01:13
There's this feeling that international
instability is the new normal.
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感覺到國際動盪是新常態。
01:18
But I want you to take a closer look,
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不過請大家仔細觀察,
01:20
and I think you'll see that
the geography of violence is changing,
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就會發現暴亂的地理位置正在改變,
01:23
because it's not so much our nation states
that are gripped by conflict and crime
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因為深陷衝突和犯罪的
並不是我們的國家,
01:27
as our cities: Aleppo, Bamako, Caracas,
Erbil, Mosul, Tripoli, Salvador.
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而是城市:阿勒坡、巴馬科、加拉加斯、
埃比爾、摩蘇爾、的黎波里、薩爾瓦多。
01:35
Violence is migrating to the metropole.
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暴力正向大都市遷移。
01:38
And maybe this is to be expected, right?
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也許這是預料中之事,對吧?
01:40
After all, most people today,
they live in cities, not the countryside.
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畢竟現今絕大多數人住在城市
而不是鄉間,
01:44
Just 600 cities, including 30 megacities,
account for two thirds of global GDP.
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600個城市——包括30個巨型城市,
就佔了全球GDP的三分之二。
01:50
But when it comes to cities,
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不過當說到城市的時候,
01:52
the conversation is
dominated by the North,
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話題大都由北部地區主導,
01:55
that is, North America, Western Europe,
Australia and Japan,
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所謂北部地區,
是指北美、西歐、澳洲和日本,
01:58
where violence is
actually at historic lows.
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這些地方暴動確實是史上的低點;
02:01
As a result, city enthusiasts, they talk
about the triumph of the city,
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因此,城市的熱衷者聊的是
城市的勝利、創新階級的勝利、
02:06
of the creative classes, and the mayors
that will rule the world.
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說市長們將會管治世界。
02:10
Now, I hope that mayors
do one day rule the world,
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我希望市長們有天真會管治這世界,
02:13
but, you know, the fact is,
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不過事實是
02:15
we don't hear any conversation, really,
about what is happening in the South.
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我們沒有真正地聽到
南部地區的聲音和形勢。
02:20
And by South, I mean
Latin America, Africa, Asia,
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所謂南部地區,我是指
拉丁美洲、非洲、亞洲
02:24
where violence in some
cases is accelerating,
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在這些地方,暴力不斷加劇,
02:27
where infrastructure is overstretched,
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基礎建設過度匱乏、
02:29
and where governance is sometimes
an aspiration and not a reality.
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治理有時候只是抱負而非實事。
02:34
Now, some diplomats
and development experts and specialists,
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目前,一些外交官、
發展專家、專業人士在關注
02:38
they talk about 40 to 50 fragile states
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會決定21世紀安全的
四五十個脆弱城市。
02:41
that will shape security
in the 21st century.
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會決定21世紀安全的
四五十個脆弱城市。
02:44
I think it's fragile cities which will
define the future of order and disorder.
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我認為:這些脆弱城市
會直接決定未來的秩序和穩定。
02:50
That's because warfare
and humanitarian action
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因為戰爭和人道救助行動
02:53
are going to be
concentrated in our cities,
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即將要匯聚到我們的城市裡,
02:55
and the fight for development,
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為發展而起的鬥爭,
02:57
whether you define that
as eradicating poverty,
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無論是消滅貧窮、
02:59
universal healthcare,
beating back climate change,
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普及醫療保健,還是擊退氣候變化,
03:02
will be won or lost in the shantytowns,
slums and favelas of our cities.
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成敗關鍵都在城市中的破屋、殘樓、貧民窟。
03:07
I want to talk to you about four megarisks
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我要跟你們講四項巨大風險,
03:10
that I think will define
fragility in our time,
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我認為將會決定這時代的脆弱性,
03:13
and if we can get to grips with these,
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倘若我們能夠處理這些風險,
03:16
I think we can do something
with that lethal violence problem.
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我們就可以解決致命暴力問題。
03:18
So let me start with some good news.
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那麼我們先由好消息談起。
03:21
Fact is, we're living in the most
peaceful moment in human history.
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事實是我們正處在
人類歷史中最和平的時候,
03:26
Steven Pinker and others have shown how
the intensity and frequency of conflict
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「司提芬•朋克」等人表明
現今衝突的強度和頻率
03:30
is actually at an all-time low.
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實際上處於史上低點,
03:33
Now, Gaza, Syria, Sudan, Ukraine,
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目前迦薩、敘利亞、蘇丹、烏克蘭
03:37
as ghastly as these conflicts are,
and they are horrific,
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這些國家的衝突可怕恐怖,
03:41
they represent a relatively
small blip upwards
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在暴力持續下降50年之後,
03:43
in a 50-year-long secular decline.
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現階段的暴力
只是一個相對較小的往上攀升的點。
03:46
What's more, we're seeing
a dramatic reduction in homicide.
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再者是我們看到了謀殺大量的減少,
03:51
Manuel Eisner and others have shown
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「曼紐沃‧艾斯納」等人證實了
03:53
that for centuries, we've seen
this incredible drop in murder,
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我們看到數世紀以來
謀殺令人無法置信般地減少,
03:57
especially in the West.
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特別是在西方,
03:59
Most Northern cities today are 100 times
safer than they were just 100 years ago.
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今天大多數的北方城市比 100 年前
還要更安全著 100 倍,
04:04
These two facts -- the decline in armed
conflict and the decline in murder --
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武裝衝突減少了,
謀殺犯罪減少了,
04:08
are amongst the most extraordinary,
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也許曠古未有,
04:09
if unheralded, accomplishments
of human history,
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是人類歷史最了不起的成就,
04:12
and we should be really excited, right?
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我們應該為此感到興奮,對吧?
04:15
Well, yeah, we should.
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沒錯是要的。
04:17
There's just one problem:
These two scourges are still with us.
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就只有一個問題:
這兩項災禍始終還不放過我們。
04:22
You see, 525,000 people --
men, women, boys and girls --
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知道嗎,每年有52.5萬人,
不分男女老少,慘死於暴力,
04:28
die violently every single year.
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04:31
Research I've been doing
with Keith Krause and others
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我與凱斯‧克勞斯等人
做的研究指出
04:33
has shown that between 50,000 and 60,000
people are dying in war zones violently.
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介於五至六萬人慘死於戰爭區,
04:39
The rest, almost 500,000 people,
are dying outside of conflict zones.
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其餘大約50萬人死於衝突區域之外。
04:44
In other words, 10 times more people
are dying outside of war than inside war.
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換言之,十倍之多人死於戰爭外
而非其中,
04:50
What's more, violence is moving south,
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更甚者是暴亂往南方移動,
04:53
to Latin America and the Caribbean,
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來到拉丁美洲和加勒比海、
04:56
to parts of Central and Southern Africa,
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非洲中部及南部的地方、
04:58
and to bits of the Middle East
and Central Asia.
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又襲擊到中東和中亞。
05:01
Forty of the 50 most dangerous
cities in the world
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世界上五十個最危險的城市,
05:04
are right here in Latin America,
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有四十個正是在拉丁美洲這邊;
05:05
13 in Brazil,
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十三個在巴西,
05:07
and the most dangerous of all, it's
San Pedro Sula, Honduras' second city,
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當中最危險的是宏都拉斯的
第二大城市「聖佩德羅蘇拉」,
05:12
with a staggering homicide rate
of 187 murders per 100,000 people.
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有著非常駭人的謀殺率,
每一萬人就有 187 人死於他殺,
05:17
That's 23 times the global average.
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是世界平均值的23倍。
05:20
Now, if violence is
re-concentrating geographically,
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如果暴力正在重新地理定位,
05:23
it's also being reconfigured
to the world's new topography,
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它亦正按世界新地形
重新定形,
05:26
because when it comes to cities,
the world ain't flat,
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因為對於城市來說,
地球不是平的,
05:28
like Thomas Friedman likes to say.
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就像湯瑪士‧佛烈曼常說。
05:31
It's spiky.
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世界是尖的。
05:32
The dominance of the city
as the primary mode of urban living
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城市至上
成為了城市生活主要方式,
05:36
is one of the most extraordinary
demographic reversals in history,
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這是歷史上最不尋常的人口結構逆轉之一,
05:40
and it all happened so fast.
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而且這全都發生得太快,
05:43
You all know the figures, right?
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大家都知道這些數字,對吧?
05:45
There's 7.3 billion people
in the world today;
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今天世界上有73億人,
05:47
there will be 9.6 billion by 2050.
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到2050年世界將有96億人。
05:49
But consider this one fact:
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不過請考量這個事實,
05:51
In the 1800s, one in 30
people lived in cities,
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在十九世紀,30個人當中
有1個人是住在城市裡,
05:55
today it's one in two,
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在今天每兩人中會有一個是住在都市裡,
05:57
and tomorrow virtually everyone
is going to be there.
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未來肯定是每個人都會住在都市裡;
06:00
And this expansion in urbanization
is going to be neither even nor equitable.
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城市化的擴張
既不會均等,也不會公平。
06:04
The vast majority, 90 percent,
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90%的城市變遷擴張
06:06
will be happening in the South,
in cities of the South.
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會發生在南部地區,
在南部的城市。
06:10
So urban geographers and demographers,
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所以都市地理學和人口統計學的學者們
06:13
they tell us that it's not necessarily
the size or even the density of cities
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告訴我們:一個城市的大小或密度
06:18
that predicts violence, no.
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不一定會造成暴力,不一定。
06:20
Tokyo, with 35 million people,
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東京有三千五百萬人口,
06:22
is one of the largest, and some might say
safest, urban metropolises in the world.
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是最大的、有些人還可能會說是
最安全的都會型城市之一。
06:27
No, it's the speed of
urbanization that matters.
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都市化的速度才是關鍵,
06:30
I call this turbo-urbanization, and it's
one of the key drivers of fragility.
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我叫它「渦輪式都市化」,
這是脆弱的關鍵導因之一,
06:36
When you think about the incredible
expansion of these cities,
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當你在想這些城市不合理的擴張、
06:41
and you think about turbo-urbanization,
think about Karachi.
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想想看「渦輪都市化」,
想一下喀拉蚩吧,
06:45
Karachi was about 500,000 people in 1947,
a hustling, bustling city.
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喀拉蚩在1947年約有50萬人,
是一個繁忙的城市。
06:51
Today, it's 21 million people,
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今天它有兩千一百萬人口,
06:54
and apart from accounting
for three quarters of Pakistan's GDP,
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佔有巴基斯坦GDP的三分之四,
06:58
it's also one of the most violent
cities in South Asia.
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它還是南亞最暴亂的城市之一。
07:01
Dhaka, Lagos, Kinshasa,
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達卡、拉哥斯、金夏沙等,
07:04
these cities are now 40 times larger
than they were in the 1950s.
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這些城市比起 1950 年時要大40倍;
07:09
Now take a look at New York.
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現在來看看紐約,
07:11
The Big Apple, it took 150 years
to get to eight million people.
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「大蘋果」用了150 年才有八百萬人,
07:16
São Paulo, Mexico City, took 15
to reach that same interval.
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墨西哥的聖保羅市花了
15 年達到一樣的人口級距,
07:21
Now, what do these medium,
large, mega-, and hypercities look like?
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如今這些中型、大型、巨型,
以及超級城市是怎麼樣貌呢?
07:25
What is their profile?
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這些城市是什麼樣子?
07:27
Well, for one thing, they're young.
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首先,這些城市都很年輕。
07:29
What we're seeing in many of them
is the rise of the youth bulge.
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許多這些城市都出現年輕人口膨脹。
07:32
Now, this is actually a good news story.
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這算是好消息。
07:34
It's a function of reductions
in child mortality rates.
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因為這意味著幼兒死亡率下降了。
07:37
But the youth bulge is something
we've got to watch.
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但是年輕人口膨脹,我們得小心看待。
07:39
What it basically means
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它基本上代表麼呢?
07:41
is the proportion of young people
living in our fragile cities
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生活在脆弱城市中的年輕人比例
07:44
is much larger than those living
in our healthier and wealthier ones.
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比其他更健康富裕的城市的比例要高得多。
07:47
In some fragile cities,
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在某些脆弱的城市裡,
07:49
75 percent of the population
is under the age of 30.
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75%人口年齡在30歲以下,
07:52
Think about that:
Three in four people are under 30.
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想想看每 4 個人就有 3 個人不到 30 歲,
07:57
It's like Palo Alto on steroids.
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那就像是打了類固醇的「帕羅奧圖」市
(美國加州之城市)
08:00
Now, if you look at Mogadishu for example,
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看看摩加迪休——東非索馬利首都
08:03
in Mogadishu the mean age is 16 years old.
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在摩加迪休,平均年齡是16歲,
08:07
Ditto for Dhaka, Dili and Kabul.
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達卡、帝力、喀布爾等也是如此,
08:10
And Tokyo? It's 46.
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東京呢?平均年齡46歲!
08:12
Same for most Western European cities.
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大部分西歐城市亦一樣。
08:16
Now, it's not just youth
that necessarily predicts violence.
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不是年輕人多就會帶來暴力。
08:19
That's one factor among many,
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那是許多因素的其中一項,
08:21
but youthfulness combined
with unemployment, lack of education,
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但如果年輕,再加上失業、缺乏教育,
08:24
and -- this is the kicker --
being male, is a deadly proposition.
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最要不得的是作為男性,
這是一個最致命的前提,
08:28
They're statistically correlated,
all those risk factors, with youth,
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這些因素都是統計學上的相關因素
08:32
and they tend to relate
to increases in violence.
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這些風險因素發生在青年身上,
會使暴力發生率上升。
08:36
Now, for those of you who are
parents of teenage sons,
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在座如果有兒子處於青少年階段,
08:39
you know what I'm talking about, right?
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就會懂我的意思。
08:41
Just imagine your boy
without any structure
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想像你的男孩一點規矩也沒有,
08:44
with those unruly friends of his,
out there cavorting about.
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與那些不受管束的朋友一起,
四處闖鬧。
08:47
Now, take away the parents,
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再想像他們沒有了父母,
08:50
take away the education,
limit the education possibilities,
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沒有受到教育,
教育機會受到限制,
08:54
sprinkle in a little bit of drugs,
alcohol and guns,
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加一點毒品、酒水、槍械進來,
08:57
and sit back and watch the fireworks.
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想想他們會變成什麼樣子。
09:00
The implications are disconcerting.
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後果可能是不堪設想的。
09:03
Right here in Brazil,
the life expectancy is 73.6 years.
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在巴西這邊
預期壽命是73.6歲,
09:06
If you live in Rio, I'm sorry,
shave off two right there.
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如果你住在里約熱內盧的話
抱歉,減兩歲。
09:10
But if you're young, you're uneducated,
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但是如果你是年輕人、沒唸過書、
09:12
you lack employment,
you're black, and you're male,
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找不到工作、黑人、又是男性,
09:15
your life expectancy drops
to less than 60 years old.
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你的預期壽命要下降到60歲以下,
09:18
There's a reason why youthfulness
and violence are the number one killers
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年輕和暴力是這個國家的頭號殺手,
09:23
in this country.
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這是有原因的。
09:25
Okay, so it's not all doom
and gloom in our cities.
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我們的城市並不全然都是厄運和絕望,
09:28
After all, cities are hubs of innovation,
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畢竟城市是創新的溫床,
09:31
dynamism, prosperity,
excitement, connectivity.
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充滿活力、前景、刺激、人際關係。
09:34
They're where the smart people gather.
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它們是有腦筋的人的聚集之地,
09:36
And those young people I just mentioned,
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還有那些我剛提到的年輕人,
09:38
they're more digitally savvy
and tech-aware than ever before.
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他們比以前所有的人還要
更精通數位、瞭解科技,
09:42
And this explosion, the Internet,
and mobile technology,
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科技爆炸、網路、移動通信技術
09:46
means that the digital divide
separating the North and the South
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使南北部地區國家之間的
數位技術差異逐步縮小,
09:49
between countries
and within them, is shrinking.
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也使國內的數碼技術差異
逐步縮小。
09:53
But as we've heard so many times,
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不過就如同我們常聽到的,
09:54
these new technologies
are dual-edged, right?
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這些新科技是雙面刃,
09:57
Take the case of law enforcement.
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拿執法來舉例。
09:59
Police around the world are starting
to use remote sensing and big data
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全球的警察開始使用
遙感技術和海量數據來預測犯罪。
10:03
to anticipate crime.
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10:04
Some cops are able to predict
criminal violence before it even happens.
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一些警察能夠在犯罪發生前
就預測到罪犯的暴力行為。
10:09
The future crime scenario,
it's here today,
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將來犯罪的場景,
今天可以預見,
10:12
and we've got to be careful.
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我們得要小心注意,
10:14
We have to manage the issues
of the public safety
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我們必須協調好公共安全問題
10:16
against rights to individual privacy.
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防止個人隱私權利受到侵害。
10:18
But it's not just the cops
who are innovating.
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不過不只是警察們在革新,
10:21
We've heard extraordinary activities
of civil society groups
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我們也聽過社會公民團體卓越的行動,
10:23
who are engaging in local
and global collective action,
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參與了當地和國際串聯行動,
10:27
and this is leading to digital protest
and real revolution.
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那帶來了數位化的抗議和真實的革命。
10:31
But most worrying
of all are criminal gangs
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不過最令人擔憂的是
犯罪團體利用網絡
開始侵略網絡空間。
10:35
who are going online
and starting to colonize cyberspace.
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10:38
In Ciudad Juárez in Mexico,
where I've been working,
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在我工作的墨西哥華雷斯城,
10:41
groups like the Zetas
and the Sinaloa cartel
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像是「賽塔斯」和「錫那羅亞」
這些卡特爾組織團體
10:43
are hijacking social media.
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正控制著社群媒體,
10:45
They're using it to recruit,
to sell their products,
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他們利用社交媒體來招兵買馬,
販賣他們的產品,
10:47
to coerce, to intimidate and to kill.
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脅迫、恐嚇和殺害他人。
10:49
Violence is going virtual.
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暴亂正要進入虛擬化,
10:53
So this is just a partial sketch
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現今形勢多變複雜
10:55
of a fast-moving and dynamic
and complex situation.
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這不過是其中一面。
10:57
I mean, there are many other megarisks
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巨大風險還有許多,
10:59
that are going to define
fragility in our time,
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並且會直接影響我們時代的脆弱性,
11:02
not least income inequality,
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也會影響當今的收入不均、
11:04
poverty, climate change, impunity.
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貧窮、氣候變化、
罪犯逍遙法外等問題。
11:07
But we're facing a stark dilemma
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但我們面臨著一個嚴峻的窘境:
11:10
where some cities are going to thrive
and drive global growth
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有些城市會繁榮發展
促進全球的進步,
11:14
and others are going to stumble
and pull it backwards.
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但也有城市會障礙重重
拉大家的後腿。
11:17
If we're going to change course,
we need to start a conversation.
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3226
想要改變結局,
我們就必需開始新對話,
11:20
We can't only focus
on those cities that work,
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我們不能只注重那些成功的城市:
11:23
the Singapores, the Kuala Lumpurs,
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2508
像新加坡、吉隆坡、
11:25
the Dubais, the Shanghais.
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杜拜、上海等等,
11:27
We've got to bring those fragile cities
into the conversation.
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我們要與脆弱城市對話。
11:32
One way to do this might be
to start twinning
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方法之一可以是
將我們較健康富有的城市
與較脆弱的城市配對,
11:34
our fragile cities with our healthier
and wealthier ones,
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11:37
kickstarting a process of learning
and collaboration
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2513
展開學習與合作的過程,
11:39
and sharing of practices,
of what works and what doesn't.
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分享經驗,成功與失敗的經驗。
11:44
A wonderful example of this is coming
from El Salvador and Los Angeles,
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一個很好的例子是
薩爾瓦多和洛杉磯。
11:47
where the mayors in San Salvador
and Los Angeles are collaborating
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聖薩爾瓦多市長和洛杉磯市長攜手合作
11:51
on getting ex-gang members
to work with current gang members,
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讓從前的幫派份子與
現在的幫派份子協力合作,
11:55
offering tutoring, education,
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給予他們引導與教育,
11:58
and in the process are helping
incubate cease-fires and truces,
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在這個過程中幫助催生了
停火和休戰協定,
12:01
and we've seen homicide rates
go down in San Salvador,
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聖薩爾瓦多的兇殺率顯著下降了,
12:04
once the world's most violent city,
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過去世界上最暴力的城市,
兇殺率下降五成。
12:06
by 50 percent.
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12:07
We can also focus
on hot cities, but also hot spots.
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我們也可以關注熱門城市、熱門地點。
12:10
Place and location matter fundamentally
in shaping violence in our cities.
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地點對城市暴力形成有著根本影響。
12:14
Did you know that between
one and two percent
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你是否知道在任一脆弱城市裡
12:17
of street addresses in any fragile city
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1 - 2%的街道地址
12:19
can predict up to 99 percent
of violent crime?
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可以預知到 99 %的暴力違法,
12:23
Take the case of São Paulo,
where I've been working.
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以我工作過的聖保羅市為例,
12:25
It's gone from being Brazil's most
dangerous city to one of its safest,
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它從巴西最危險的城市變成最安全的,
12:29
and it did this by doubling down
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它做到如此是透過加倍於
12:31
on information collection,
hot spot mapping, and police reform,
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資訊蒐集、熱點標誌、警政改革等,
12:34
and in the process, it dropped homicide
by 70 percent in just over 10 years.
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僅 10 年過程中
降低了70 %的謀殺率,
12:39
We also got to focus on those hot people.
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我們也鎖定了那些鋒頭人物。
12:42
It's tragic, but being young,
unemployed, uneducated, male,
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年輕、失業、無教育、男性
12:46
increases the risks
of being killed and killing.
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雖然不幸,但卻可增加
被人殺害或殺害他人的機率。
12:50
We have to break this cycle of violence
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我們必須打斷這個暴力的循環,
12:52
and get in there early with our children,
our youngest children,
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盡早與兒童和青年相處,
12:56
and valorize them, not stigmatize them.
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給予認可
而非將他們冠上惡名。
12:59
There's wonderful work that's happening
that I've been involved with
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最近我在致力的一項工作
13:02
in Kingston, Jamaica
and right here in Rio,
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在牙買加的金士頓市,
還有里約這裡,
13:04
which is putting education,
employment, recreation
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把教育、工作、娛樂
帶給這些高風險人群,
13:08
up front for these high-risk groups,
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13:10
and as a result, we're seeing violence
going down in their communities.
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因此這些社區的暴力下降了。
13:13
We've also got to make our cities safer,
more inclusive, and livable for all.
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我們也發現城市變得
更加安全,更加包容,更加宜居。
13:17
The fact is, social cohesion matters.
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事實是社會的團結很關鍵,
13:21
Mobility matters in our cities.
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流動性在我們的城市很關鍵,
13:23
We've got to get away from this model
of segregation, exclusion,
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我們必須要讓我們的城市
遠離種族隔離、排斥他人的模式。
13:26
and cities with walls.
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1416
13:28
My favorite example of how to do this
comes from Medellín.
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一個很好的例子是麥德林。
13:30
When I lived in Colombia
in the late 1990s,
249
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2005
90 年代末期時我住在哥倫比亞,
13:32
Medellín was the murder capital
of the world, but it changed course,
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3631
麥德林是當時世界經典的兇殺城市,
但是這個城市後來改變了,
13:36
and it did this by deliberately investing
in its low-income and most violent areas
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4259
因為刻意投資在低收入高暴力的地區
13:40
and integrating them
with the middle-class ones
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與中等區域相整合,
13:43
through a network of cable cars,
253
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通過纜車網絡的接駁、
13:44
of public transport,
and first-class infrastructure,
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大眾交通的聯繫、
一流基礎設施的投入,
13:47
and in the process, it dropped homicide
by 79 percent in just under two decades.
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該城市在此二十年內
兇殺率下降79%。
13:52
And finally, there's technology.
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最後還有科技,
13:55
Technology has enormous
promise but also peril.
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科技具有絕佳的榮景,
也有巨大的危害。
13:57
We've seen examples here
of extraordinary innovation,
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我們在此見過不少了不起的創新例子,
14:00
and much of it coming from this room,
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絕大部分是出自於這裡;
14:02
The police are engaging
in predictive analytics.
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警察參與了預測分析、
14:04
Citizens are engaging
in new crowdsourcing solutions.
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市民致力於新的公眾解決方案。
14:07
Even my own group is involved
in developing applications
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我自己的隊伍也在開發程序,
14:09
to provide more accountability over police
and increase safety among citizens.
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提供更多可信破案資訊,
為市民帶來更多安全。
14:14
But we need to be careful.
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可是我們得謹慎小心,
14:17
If I have one single
message for you, it's this:
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如果我可以向您傳達一個訊息,那會是:
14:21
There is nothing inevitable
about lethal violence,
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致命的暴亂沒有說是不可避免的,
14:24
and we can make our cities safer.
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我們可以讓我們的城市更安全,
14:29
Folks, we have the opportunity
of a lifetime to drop homicidal violence
268
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在座各位,我們現在有機會
在我們有生之年
將兇殺率減少一半。
14:35
in half within our lifetime.
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2647
14:38
So I have just one question:
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所以我只有一個問題:
14:39
What are we waiting for?
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我們還在等什麼?
14:41
Thank you.
272
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謝謝你們!
14:43
(Applause)
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(掌聲)
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