T. Boone Pickens: Let's transform energy -- with natural gas

98,260 views ・ 2012-03-19

TED


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譯者: Andrea Huang 審譯者: Chien-Ping 洪健彬 Hung
00:15
I'm a believer.
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我是位信徒。
00:17
I'm a believer in global warming,
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我相信全球暖化,
00:19
and my record is good
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而在這個議題上
00:21
on the subject.
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我的記錄良好。
00:23
But my subject
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但我要談論的主題
00:25
is national security.
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是國家安全。
00:27
We have to get off of oil purchased
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我們必須停止從敵人那
00:30
from the enemy.
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購買石油。
00:32
I'm talking about OPEC oil.
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我指的是石油輸出國組織的石油。
00:34
And let me take you back
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讓我帶各位回到
00:36
100 years
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100年前的
00:38
to 1912.
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1912年。
00:41
You're probably thinking that was my birth year.
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各位可能會認為那是我出生的年代
00:44
(Laughter)
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♪笑聲♪
00:46
It wasn't. It was 1928.
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不是的,我出生於1928年。
00:49
But go back to 1912,
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但回到1912年
00:51
100 years ago,
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100年前,
00:53
and look at that point
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來看看當時
00:55
what we, our country, was faced with.
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我們的國家所面臨的問題。
00:58
It's the same energy question
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是與今日我們所面臨的問題
01:00
that you're looking at today,
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是相同的,
01:02
but it's different sources of fuel.
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只是是不一樣的燃料源。
01:05
A hundred years ago
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100年前
01:07
we were looking at coal, of course,
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我們找煤炭,當然啦
01:09
and we were looking at whale oil
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我們也在尋找鯨油
01:11
and we were looking at crude oil.
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和原油。
01:14
At that point,
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在當時,
01:16
we were looking for a fuel
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我們希望的燃料
01:18
that was cleaner,
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是較乾淨、
01:20
it was cheaper,
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較便宜的,
01:22
and it wasn't ours though,
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然而那不是我們的燃料,
01:25
it was theirs.
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那是他們的。
01:27
So at that point, 1912,
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在當時1912年,
01:30
we selected crude oil over whale oil
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我們選擇了原油而不是鯨油
01:33
and some more coal.
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以及再多點煤炭。
01:36
But as we moved on
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然而往前進
01:38
to the period now, 100 years later,
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到現在,也就是100年後,
01:41
we're back really
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我們確實回到了
01:43
at another decision point.
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另一個決策點。
01:45
What is the decision point?
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決策點是什麼?
01:47
It's what we're going to use
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就是我們未來要採用
01:49
in the future.
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什麼燃料。
01:51
So from here,
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所以從此刻
01:53
it's pretty clear to me,
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我相當的清楚,
01:55
we would prefer to have
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我們寧願採用
01:57
cleaner, cheaper,
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較乾淨、較便宜、
01:59
domestic, ours --
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國內的、我們的--
02:02
and we have that, we have that --
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我們有的--
02:05
which is natural gas.
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也就是天然氣。
02:07
So here you are,
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來看看這裡,
02:09
that the cost of all this to the world
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全球要為當時決策付出的代價
02:13
is 89 million barrels of oil,
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是8千9百萬桶石油,
02:16
give or take a few barrels, every day.
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這大約是每天的用量。
02:18
And the cost annually
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全年下來的成本
02:20
is three trillion dollars.
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是3兆美元。
02:23
And one trillion of that
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其中有1兆
02:25
goes to OPEC.
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是付給石油輸出國組織。
02:27
That has got to be stopped.
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一定要中止這樣局勢。
02:30
Now if you look at the cost of OPEC,
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如果觀察石油輸出國組織的成本,
02:33
it cost seven trillion dollars --
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成本是7兆美元--
02:36
on the Milken Institute study last year --
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根據米爾肯研究機構去年做的研究--
02:38
seven trillion dollars
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自從1976年來,
02:40
since 1976,
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7兆美元
02:42
is what we paid for oil from OPEC.
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是我們從石油輸出國組織所支付的石油成本。
02:45
Now that includes the cost of military
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這包含軍事
02:47
and the cost of the fuel both.
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以及燃料二種成本。
02:50
But it's the greatest transfer of wealth,
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然而這是在人類歷史上
02:55
from one group to another
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財富最龐大的從一個組織轉移
02:57
in the history of mankind.
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到另一個組織。
02:59
And it continues.
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而且還在持續進行中。
03:01
Now when you look
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當你在找
03:03
at where is the transfer of wealth,
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財富移轉的地區時
03:05
you can see here
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你會注意到
03:07
that we have the arrows
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有個箭頭
03:10
going into the Mid-East
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從我們這裡
03:12
and away from us.
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指向中東地區。
03:14
And with that,
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有鑑於此,
03:16
we have found ourselves
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我們發現自已
03:18
to be the world's policemen.
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扮演起世界警察的角色。
03:20
We are policing the world,
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我們在維護世界治安,
03:22
and how are we doing that?
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我們怎麼維護世界的治安呢?
03:25
I know the response to this.
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我知道我們如何做的。
03:29
I would bet there aren't 10 percent of you in the room
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我打賭在座不到10%的人
03:33
that know how many aircraft carriers there are in the world.
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知道全世界有幾艘航空母艦。
03:38
Raise your hand if you think you know.
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認為自己知道答案的人舉手。
03:41
There are 12.
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有12艘。
03:43
One is under construction by the Chinese
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有1艘中國在建造當中
03:45
and the other 11 belong to us.
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另11艘是我們的。
03:48
Why do we have 11 aircraft carriers?
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為何要有11艘航空母艦?
03:52
Do we have a corner on the market?
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是因為我們獨占了這個市場嗎?
03:55
Are we smarter than anybody else? I'm not sure.
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還是我們比其它人聰明嗎?我不確定。
03:58
If you look at where they're located --
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如果觀察航空母艦停泊地--
04:00
and on this slide it's the red blobs on there --
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這張幻燈片上的紅點標示區--
04:03
there are five that are operating in the Mid-East,
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有5艘在中東執勤,
04:07
and the rest of them are in the United States.
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其餘的在美國。
04:10
They just move back to the Mid-East and those come back.
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5艘是剛派遣過去的,這些是剛回來的。
04:13
So actually most of the 11 we have
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因此事實上大部分這11艘航空母艦
04:16
are tied up in the Mid-East.
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都跟中東地區情事相關聯。
04:19
Why? Why are they in the Mid-East?
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為什麼?航空母艦為何要駐紮中東地區呢?
04:22
They're there to control,
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因為要控制當地,
04:24
keep the shipping lanes open
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確保航道通行
04:26
and make oil available.
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以及石油的取得。
04:28
And the United States uses about 20 million barrels a day,
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美國每天用油量約2千萬桶,
04:32
which is about 25 percent of all the oil used
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約佔全世界每天用油量的
04:36
everyday in the world.
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25﹪。
04:39
And we're doing it with four percent of the population.
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而且要4﹪的人口來從事這件事。
04:42
Somehow that doesn't seem right.
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這似乎有點怪怪的。
04:45
That's not sustainable.
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這並不是長遠之計。
04:47
So where do we go from here?
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所以我們要怎麼辦呢?
04:49
Does that continue?
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那會持續下去?
04:51
Yes, it's going to continue.
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沒錯,狀況會持續下去。
04:53
The slide you're looking at here
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這張幻燈片你們看到
04:55
is 1990 to 2040.
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的是1990到2040年。
04:57
Over that period
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在這期間
04:59
you are going to double your demand.
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對油的需求量會變雙倍。
05:02
And when you look at what we're using the oil for,
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來看看我們應用石油在哪些領域,
05:05
70 percent of it
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70﹪
05:07
is used for transportation fuel.
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是用在交通運輸上。
05:09
So when somebody says,
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因此當有人提倡,
05:11
"Let's go more nuclear,
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“用核能、
05:13
let's go wind, let's go solar,"
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風能、太陽能吧“,
05:16
fine; I'm for anything American,
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對我來說用什麼都好;只要是美國做的我都贊成,
05:19
anything American.
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是美國自己生產的都行。
05:21
But if you're going to do anything
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然而如果是以仰賴
05:23
about the dependency on foreign oil,
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國外燃料為出發點,
05:26
you have to address transportation.
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那麼就必須滿足運輸使用燃料的問題。
05:28
So here we are
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我們
05:30
using 20 million barrels a day --
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每天用掉2千萬桶石油--
05:33
producing eight, importing 12,
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自產8百萬桶,進口1千兩百萬桶,
05:36
and from the 12,
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這1千兩百萬桶之中,
05:38
five comes from OPEC.
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有5百萬桶來至石油輸出國組織。
05:43
When you look at the biggest user and the second largest user,
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來看看世界第一及第二用油國家,
05:46
we use 20 million barrels
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我們用2千萬桶
05:48
and the Chinese use 10.
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中國用1千萬桶。
05:50
The Chinese have a little bit better plan --
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中國有較佳的規劃--
05:54
or they have a plan;
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或者說他們有了計劃;
05:56
we have no plan.
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而我們沒有。
05:58
In the history of America,
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由美國歴史中看來,
06:00
we've never had an energy plan.
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我們從來沒有過有能源規劃。
06:02
We don't even realize the resources
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我們甚至不知道
06:04
that we have available to us.
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自己有什麼可用的資源。
06:06
If you take the last 10 years
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如果把過去10年
06:08
and bring forward,
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拿出來計算,
06:10
you've transferred to OPEC a trillion dollars.
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我們已經付了1兆美元給石油輸出國組織。
06:14
If you go forward the next 10 years
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如果再往未來估算10年
06:17
and cap the price of oil at 100 dollars a barrel,
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並限制每桶石油價格為100美元,
06:20
you will pay 2.2 trillion.
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要支付的費用為2.2兆美元。
06:23
That's not sustainable either.
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這不也不是長久之計。
06:25
But the days of cheap oil are over.
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但廉價石油的時代已經結束了。
06:28
They're over.
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時代結束了。
06:30
They make it very clear to you,
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他們很清楚的向你表示,
06:33
the Saudis do,
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沙烏地表示,
06:36
they have to have 94 dollars a barrel
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油價必須每桶來到94美元
06:39
to make their social commitments.
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他們才要履行供應的社會責任。
06:41
Now I had people in Washington last week told me,
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上周一位華盛頓的人士跟我說,
06:45
he said, "The Saudis can produce the oil
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“沙烏地生產石油
06:48
for five dollars a barrel.
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每桶成本是5美元。
06:50
That has nothing to do with it.
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那根本無法可管,
06:52
It's what they have to pay for
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也就是油價不管多高
06:54
is what we are going to pay for oil."
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全民都必須照單全收”。
06:56
There is no free market for oil.
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石油沒有所謂的自由市場機制。
06:58
The oil is priced off the margin.
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油價是以利潤定價。
07:00
And the OPEC nations
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油價是由石油輸出國組織
07:03
are the ones that price the oil.
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制定的。
07:05
So where are we headed from here?
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因此從這個局勢我們被導向何處呢?
07:08
We're headed to natural gas.
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我們被導向天然氣。
07:11
Natural gas will do everything
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天然氣可以幫
07:13
we want it to do.
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我們解決每個問題。
07:15
It's 130 octane fuel.
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天然氣是130辛烷值燃料。
07:18
It's 25 percent cleaner than oil.
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它比石油清潔25﹪。
07:21
It's ours, we have an abundance of it.
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是我們自有的,我們有豐富的儲藏量。
07:24
And it does not require a refinery.
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它不需要煉油廠再提煉。
07:27
It comes out of the ground at 130 octane.
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從地底開採出來就是130辛烷值了。
07:29
Run it through the separator and you're ready to use it.
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通過分離器後就可以用了。
07:32
It's going to be very simple for us to use.
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對我們而言使用上將會相當的便利。
07:35
It's going to be simple to accomplish this.
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很簡單就能做到。
07:37
You're going to find, and I'll tell you in just a minute,
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你們會得到你們殷切期盼的解答,
07:39
what you're looking for to make it happen.
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而我待會將馬上向你們說明。
07:42
But here you can look at the list.
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先來看看這張圖表,
07:45
Natural gas will fit all of those.
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天然氣可以解決所有這些問題。
07:48
It will replace or be able to be used for that.
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它可以取代或做為可適用性燃料。
07:52
It's for power generation, transportation,
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可用在發電、交通、
07:54
it's peaking fuel, it's all those.
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燃值高、這些都是它的優勢。
07:57
Do we have enough natural gas?
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我們有足夠的天然氣儲藏量嗎?
08:00
Look at the bar on the left. It's 24 trillion.
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看左邊這個長條圖。24兆
08:03
It's what we use a year.
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是我們一年的用量。
08:05
Go forward
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再下來
08:07
and the estimates that you have
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看到美國能源信息署的
08:09
from the EIA and onto the industry estimates --
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估計以及工業估計--
08:13
the industry knows what they're talking about --
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該工業非常清楚自己在講什麼--
08:15
we've got 4,000 trillion cubic feet
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將近4千兆立方尺
08:18
of natural gas that's available to us.
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的天然氣量供我們使用。
08:20
How does that translate
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這大約等於
08:22
to barrels of oil equivalent?
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多少桶的原油呢?
08:24
It would be three times
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是沙烏地所宣稱
08:26
what the Saudis claim they have.
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擁有石油量的三倍。
08:28
And they claim they have 250 billion barrels of oil,
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他們宣稱擁有2千5百億桶原油,
08:31
which I do not believe.
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我不相信。
08:33
I think it's probably 175 billion barrels.
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我認為應該只有1千750億桶。
08:38
But anyway, whether they say they're right or whatever,
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但不論他們說的正不正確,
08:41
we have plenty of natural gas.
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我們有很富豐的天然氣。
08:43
So I have tried to target
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所以我要著眼
08:45
on where we use the natural gas.
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在天然氣的應用方向。
08:47
And where I've targeted
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我的目標是
08:49
is on the heavy-duty trucks.
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重型卡車。
08:51
There are eight million of them.
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有8百萬輛卡車。
08:53
You take eight million trucks --
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8百萬輛卡車--
08:55
these are 18-wheelers --
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18個輪子的卡車--
08:57
and take them to natural gas,
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採用天然氣的話,
08:59
reduce carbon by 30 percent,
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可以減少30﹪的二氧化碳,
09:02
it is cheaper
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它價格較便宜
09:04
and it will cut our imports
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而且可以降低3百萬桶
09:07
three million barrels.
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的石油進口量。
09:09
So you will cut 60 percent off of OPEC
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如此一來,以8百萬輛的卡車就可以減少從石油輸出國組織
09:12
with eight million trucks.
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進口石油量的60﹪。
09:14
There are 250 million vehicles in America.
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全美有2億5千萬輛的汽車。
09:17
So what you have
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因此
09:19
is natural gas is the bridge fuel,
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天然氣是銜接燃料,
09:22
is the way I see it.
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我是這麼認為的。
09:24
I don't have to worry
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以我的年紀,我不必擔心
09:26
about the bridge to where at my age.
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這座橋樑銜接到什麼燃料。
09:29
(Laughter)
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♪眾笑♪
09:31
That's your concern.
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那是你們要擔心的。
09:34
But when you look at the natural gas we have
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然而檢視我們擁有的天然氣,
09:36
it could very well be
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它會是相當好的
09:38
the bridge to natural gas,
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橋接燃料,
09:40
because you have plenty of natural gas.
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因為它的蘊藏量豐富。
09:43
But as I said, I'm for anything American.
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然而就如我之前說的,只要是美國自產的我都接受。
09:46
Now let me take you -- I've been a realist --
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現在讓我來帶領你們--我一直是唯實論者--
09:49
I went from theorist early to realist.
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我從早期的理論者變成現唯實論者。
09:51
I'm back to theorist again.
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現在我又回到理論學派。
09:53
If you look at the world,
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看看這世界,
09:56
you have methane hydrates in the ocean
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各大洲被含甲烷水合物
09:59
around every continent.
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的海洋包圍著。
10:01
And here you can see methane,
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甲烷隨處可見,
10:04
if that's the way you're going to go,
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假使要應用甲烷水合物,
10:06
that there's plenty of methane --
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那麼那是相當的富足的燃料--
10:08
natural gas is methane,
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天然氣就是甲烷,
10:10
methane and natural gas are interchangeable --
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二者是可以互相交換的--
10:12
but if you decide
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然而如果你們決定
10:14
that you're going to use some methane --
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要採用些甲烷--
10:16
and I'm gone, so it's up to you --
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而我不在人世,因此決定權在你們--
10:18
but we do have
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但我們的確擁有
10:20
plenty of methane hydrates.
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相當豐富的甲烷水合物。
10:23
So I think I've made my point
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因此,我想我的論點已經很清楚了:
10:26
that we have to get on our own resources in America.
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我們要用美國自有的資源。
10:31
If we do --
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如果這麼做的話--
10:34
it's costing us a billion dollars a day for oil.
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我們一天用在石油的花費要10億美元。
10:37
And yet, we have no energy plan.
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然而我們確沒有應變的能源規劃。
10:40
So there's nothing going on
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因此,
10:43
that impresses me
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華府對於能源所做規劃,
10:46
in Washington on that plan,
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一點也沒有
10:49
other than I'm trying to focus
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比我專注於解決
10:51
on that eight million 18-wheelers.
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8百萬輛重型卡車的燃料所需來的實際。
10:54
If we could do that,
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假定我們能夠這麼做的話,
10:56
I think we would take our first step
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我想我們就能向能源計劃
10:58
to an energy plan.
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跨出第一步了。
11:00
If we did, we could see
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如果我們去做了,會了解
11:02
that our own resources are easier to use
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採用我們自有資源,會比任何人想像
11:05
than anybody can imagine.
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要來的容易。
11:07
Thank you.
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謝謝各位。
11:09
(Applause)
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♪掌聲♪
11:17
Chris Anderson: Thanks for that.
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克里斯·安德森:謝謝你的演說。
11:19
So from your point of view,
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從你的觀點來看,
11:21
you had this great Pickens Plan
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你曾有個偉大的皮肯斯計劃
11:23
that was based on wind energy,
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是以風能為主軸,
11:26
and you abandoned it basically
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而之後放棄這個計劃是基於
11:28
because the economics changed.
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經濟的變動。
11:30
What happened?
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發生了什麼事?
11:32
TBP: I lost 150 million dollars.
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提 布恩·皮肯斯回答:我損失了1億5千萬美元。
11:34
(Laughter)
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♪笑聲♪
11:36
That'll make you abandon something.
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那會讓你放棄某件事情。
11:39
No, what happened to us, Chris,
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不是的,克里斯,
11:42
is that power, it's priced off the margin.
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以利潤做為標價原則改變了我們的計劃。
11:48
And so the margin is natural gas.
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而利潤就是天然氣。
11:51
And at the time I went into the wind business,
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當時我進入風能產業時,
11:53
natural gas was nine dollars.
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天然氣是9美元。
11:55
Today it's two dollars and forty cents.
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今天天然氣的價格是2.4美元。
11:58
You cannot do a wind deal
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風能價格低於
12:00
under six dollars an MCF.
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1千立方尺6美元是做不起來的。
12:02
CA: So what happened was
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克里斯:所以事情的原委就是
12:04
that, through increased ability
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因為透過
12:08
to use fracking technology,
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水力壓裂鑽井技術的提昇,
12:10
the calculated reserves of natural gas kind of exploded
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天然氣的估計儲備量爆增
12:13
and the price plummeted,
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以及價格的爆跌
12:16
which made wind uncompetitive.
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是導致風能失去競爭力的原因。
12:18
In a nutshell that's what happened?
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簡言之就是這樣嗎?
12:20
TBP: That's what happened.
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提 布恩·皮肯斯:是的。
12:22
We found out that we could go to the source rock,
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我們發現水力壓裂鑽井技術可以用在生油岩
12:24
which were the carboniferous shales in the basins.
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也就是石炭系頁岩盆地。
12:27
The first one was Barnett Shale in Texas
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第一個是德州的巴納特頁岩
12:30
and then the Marcellus up in the Northeast
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接著是東北方這個含概紐約、賓州、西維吉尼亞
12:33
across New York, Pennsylvania, West Virginia;
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的馬塞勒斯頁岩;
12:36
and Haynesville in Louisiana.
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以及在路易斯安那州的海納斯維爾頁岩。
12:38
This stuff is everywhere.
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頁岩到處都是。
12:40
We are overwhelmed with natural gas.
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天然氣多到讓我們不知所措。
12:42
CA: And now you're a big investor in that and bringing that to market?
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克里斯:所以你現在作大投資,並且向市場引進這個技術?
12:46
TBP: Well you say a big investor.
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提·布恩·皮肯斯:你稱我為大投資者。
12:48
It's my life.
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我認為它是我的生命。
12:50
I'm a geologist, got out of school in '51,
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我是位地質學家,1951年從學校畢業,
12:52
and I've been in the industry my entire life.
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我一生都待在這個產業。
12:54
Now I do own stocks.
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現在我確認持有股票。
12:57
I'm not a big natural gas producer.
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但我不是產天然氣的大廠。
13:00
Somebody the other day said
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過去有人說過
13:02
I was the second largest natural gas producer in the United States.
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我是美國第二大天然氣生產商。
13:04
Don't I wish.
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我也希望是。
13:06
But no, I'm not. I own stocks.
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但我不是。我只是持股而己。
13:09
But I also am in the fueling business.
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而我也涉足燃料業務。
13:12
CA: But natural gas is a fossil fuel.
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克里斯:但是天然氣是化石燃料。
13:15
You burn it,
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燃燒天然氣
13:17
you release CO2.
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會釋出二氧化碳。
13:19
So you believe in the threat of climate change.
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既然你相信氣候變遷的威脅
13:23
Why doesn't that prospect
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為何你不擔心
13:25
concern you?
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它會衍生的問題呢?
13:27
TBP: Well you're going to have to use something.
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提·布恩·皮肯斯:你還是得使用燃料呀。
13:30
What do you have to replace it?
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你要用什麼來替代呢?
13:34
(Laughter)
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♪笑聲♪
13:39
CA: No, no. The argument that it's a bridge fuel makes sense,
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克里斯:不是在說那件事。橋接燃料的論點合理,
13:42
because the amount of CO2 per unit of energy
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因為每能量單位的二氧化碳含量
13:46
is lower than oil and coal, correct?
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低於石油及煤炭,對吧?
13:49
And so everyone can be at least happy
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因此,基於這點,大家至少會欣然接受
13:52
to see a shift from coal or oil to natural gas.
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由用煤炭或石油轉移到使用天然氣。
13:55
But if that's it
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但如果就僅僅這樣,
13:57
and that becomes the reason
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而因此
13:59
that renewables don't get invested in,
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再生能源沒人投資發展,
14:02
then, long-term, we're screwed anyway, right?
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那麼,長期下我們還是得自食惡果,不是嗎?
14:05
TBP: Well I'm not ready to give up,
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提·布恩·皮肯斯:讓我再補充說明一下,
14:07
but Jim and I talked
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吉姆離開那時,
14:09
there as he left,
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我跟他談了一下話,
14:11
and I said, "How do you feel about natural gas?"
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我問他:"你覺得天然氣可行嗎?
14:13
And he said, "Well it's a bridge fuel, is what it is."
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他回答:"它可做為橋接燃料,就這樣"。
14:16
And I said, "Bridge to what?
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我接著問:"橋接什麼燃料呢?
14:18
Where are we headed?"
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我們的目標在哪?"
14:20
See but again, I told you, I don't have to worry with that.
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看吧,就如我講的,我不用去擔心這個問題。
14:22
You all do.
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你們才要擔心。
14:24
CA: But I don't think that's right, Boone.
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克里斯:但是布恩,我不認為那樣想是對的。
14:26
I think you're a person who believes in your legacy.
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我認為你是位為後代樹立典範的人。
14:29
You've made the money you need.
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你要的財富都賺到了。
14:31
You're one of the few people in a position
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你是少數幾位
14:34
to really swing the debate.
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能影響輿論的有力人士。
14:37
Do you support the idea of some kind of price on carbon?
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你支持按二氧化碳課費的概念嗎?
14:40
Does that make sense?
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那樣做有意義嗎?
14:42
TBP: I don't like that
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提·布恩·皮肯斯:我不喜歡
14:44
because it ends up the government is going to run the program.
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因為到頭來那是由政府來操作。
14:47
I can tell you it will be a failure.
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我敢說那一定會失敗的。
14:49
The government is not successful
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政府無法成功的
14:52
on these things.
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推動這些事情。
14:54
They just aren't, it's a bad deal.
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它們就是做不到。那是個壞點子。
14:57
Look at Solyndra, or whatever it was.
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看看索林卓太陽能公司或其它例子就知道。
15:00
I mean, that was told to be a bad idea 10 times,
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我的意義是,那計劃大家都認為爛透了,
15:02
they went ahead and did it anyway.
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但政府還是做了。
15:04
But that only blew out 500 million.
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雖然只搞砸5億美金。
15:07
I think it's closer to a billion.
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但我認為應該有將近10億。
15:10
But Chris, I think where we're headed,
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但是克里斯,我認為我們的方向
15:13
the long-term,
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長期而言,
15:16
I don't mind going back to nuclear.
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可以採用核能。
15:18
And I can tell you what the last page
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我可以跟你們說
15:20
of the report that will take them five years to write
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它們花上5年時間所撰寫的核能報告的最後一頁
15:22
will be.
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內容寫什麼。
15:24
One, don't build a reformer on a fault.
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第一:不要在斷層帶上建造重組器。
15:27
(Laughter)
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♪笑聲♪
15:29
And number two,
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第二:
15:31
do not build a reformer on the ocean.
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重組器不能建在海上。
15:34
And now I think reformers are safe.
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這麼一來,我認為重組器就很安全了。
15:37
Move them inland
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將重組器移到陸上
15:39
and on very stable ground
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在地質相當穏定的地方
15:43
and build the reformers.
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來蓋重組器。
15:45
There isn't anything wrong with nuke.
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核能本身沒什麼問題。
15:47
You're going to have to have energy. There is no question.
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大家都需要能源。這是毫無疑問的。
15:49
You can't -- okay.
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沒辦法不用能源--就這樣。
15:51
CA: One of the questions from the audience
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克里斯:聽眾有個問題要請教
15:54
is, with fracking and the natural gas process,
371
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採用水力壓裂鑽井技術以及天然氣製程的話,
15:57
what about the problem of methane leaking from that,
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那麼甲烷洩漏的問題要如何應變呢?
16:00
methane being a worse global warming gas
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甲烷是比二氧化碳還要糟糕
16:02
than CO2?
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的溫室氣體。
16:04
Is that a concern?
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難到不用擔心這點嗎?
16:06
TBP: Fracking? What is fracking?
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提·布恩·皮肯斯:水力鴨子?那是什麼?(英美對a的發音不同)
16:08
CA: Fracking.
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克里斯:水力壓裂。
16:11
TBP: I'm teasing.
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提·布恩·皮肯斯:逗你的啦。
16:13
(Laughter)
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♪笑聲♪
16:15
CA: We've got a little bit of accent incompatibility here, you know.
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克里斯:你知道的,我們在發音上是有點不太一致的。
16:19
TBP: No, let me tell you,
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提·布恩·皮肯斯:我跟你說,
16:21
I've told you what my age was.
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我已經說過我的年紀了。
16:23
I got out of school in '51.
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我1951年從學校畢業。
16:25
I witnessed my first frack job
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1953年我第一次參與的水力壓裂鑽井工程
16:27
at border Texas in 1953.
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是在德州邊界。
16:29
Fracking came out in '47,
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水力壓裂鑽井技術是在1947年發明的,
16:31
and don't believe for a minute
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我真不敢相信
16:33
when our president gets up there
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我們的總統到了那
16:35
and says the Department of Energy 30 years ago
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說水力壓裂鑽井技術是30年前
16:38
developed fracking.
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能源部發明的。
16:40
I don't know what in the hell he's talking about.
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真不知道他到底在說什麼。
16:43
I mean seriously, the Department of Energy
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我說真的,那時能源部
16:45
did not have anything to do with fracking.
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不知道什麼是水力壓裂鑽井技術。
16:48
The first frack job was in '47.
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第一件水力壓裂鑽井工程是在1947年。
16:50
I saw my first one in '53.
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我第一次參與是1953年。
16:53
I've fracked over 3,000 wells in my life.
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我此生已水力壓裂鑽超過3千口井。
16:56
Never had a problem
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從來沒有
16:58
with messing up an aquifer or anything else.
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破壞過含水層或引發任何問題。
17:00
Now the largest aquifer in North America
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北美最大的含水層
17:03
is from Midland, Texas to the South Dakota border,
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是從德州的米德蘭市到南達科塔州州界,
17:06
across eight states --
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縱貫了8個州--
17:08
big aquifer:
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這片廣大的含水層被稱為:
17:10
Ogallala, Triassic age.
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奧加拉拉含水層,型成於三疊紀。
17:13
There had to have been 800,000 wells fracked
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在那片含水層中,
17:16
in Oklahoma, Texas, Kansas
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奧克拉何馬州、德州及堪薩斯州,已經有超過80萬口天然氣井
17:19
in that aquifer.
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是以水力壓裂鑽鑿。
17:21
There's no problems.
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都沒出現過問題。
17:23
I don't understand why
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我不了解為何
17:25
the media is focused on Eastern Pennsylvania.
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媒體要聚焦在賓州東部。
17:29
CA: All right, so you don't support a carbon tax of any kind
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克里斯:好的,所以你不支持課征任何形式的碳稅
17:32
or a price on carbon.
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或碳費。
17:34
Your picture then I guess
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那麼我認為
17:37
of how the world eventually gets off fossil fuels
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世界最終如何擺脫化石燃料
17:39
is through innovation ultimately,
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在你的構想下,是藉由創新來達成,
17:42
that we'll someday make solar and nuclear cost competitive?
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也就是說未來我們會將太陽能與核能發展到具成本競爭力嗎?
17:47
TBP: Solar and wind, Jim and I agreed on that in 13 seconds.
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提·布恩·皮肯斯:提姆跟我對太陽及風能只稍稍認同了一會。
17:51
That is, it's going to be a small part,
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就只有短短13秒而已。那部分實在太小了,
17:53
because you can't rely on it.
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以致於不可靠。
17:55
CA: So how does the world get off fossil fuels?
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克里斯:那麼如何擺脫化石燃料?
17:57
TBP: How do we get there?
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提·布恩·皮肯斯:如何擺脫?
17:59
We have so much natural gas,
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我們有那麼富豐的天然氣,
18:01
a day will not come
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你們所謂的
18:03
where you say, "Well let's don't use that anymore."
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"不再用化石燃料"的那天是不會到來的。
18:05
You'll keep using it. It is the cleanest of all.
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會一直使用。它是最乾淨的能源。
18:08
And if you look at California,
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看看加州,
18:10
they use 2,500 buses.
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它們有2千5百輛巴士。
18:12
LAMTA have been on natural gas
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洛杉磯大都會運輸署採用天然氣巴士
18:16
for 25 years.
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有25年了。
18:18
The Ft. Worth T
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沃斯堡大眾運輸
18:20
has been on it for 25 years.
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採用天然氣巴士也有25年。
18:22
Why? Air quality was the reason they used natural gas
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那是為什麼?維護空氣品質是它們採用天然氣
18:25
and got away from diesel.
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而不用柴油的原因。
18:27
Why are all the trash trucks today in Southern California
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南加州全部的垃圾車為何都
18:29
on natural gas?
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採用天然氣?
18:31
It's because of air quality.
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是為了維護空氣品質。
18:33
I know what you're telling me, and I'm not disagreeing with you.
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我知道你要傳達給我的訊息為何,我不反對你的論點。
18:36
How in the hell can we get off the natural gas at some point?
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我們究竟要如何擺脫天氣然?
18:39
And I say, that is your problem.
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我的答案是,那是你們要解決的。
18:42
(Laughter)
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♪笑聲♪
18:44
CA: All right,
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克里斯:好吧,
18:46
so it's the bridge fuel.
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它是做為銜接燃料的。
18:48
What is at the other end of that bridge
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銜接到何處
18:50
is for this audience to figure out.
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是在座各位要解決的問題。
18:52
If someone comes to you with a plan
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如果有人向你提個計劃
18:54
that really looks like it might be part of this solution,
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那計劃真的有可能是解決方案的一部分,
18:56
are you ready to invest in those technologies,
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你會投資那些技術,
18:59
even if they aren't maximized for profits,
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即便那不是很有利潤,
19:01
they might be maximized for the future health of the planet?
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但可能會為地球生靈的未來福祉帶來最大的利益嗎?
19:04
TBP: I lost 150 million on the wind, okay.
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提·布恩·皮肯斯:我已損失1億5千萬在開發風能上了。
19:07
Yeah, sure, I'm game for it.
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所以當然了,我會投資的。
19:10
Because, again,
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原因再說一次,
19:13
I'm trying to get energy solved for America.
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我一直努力的在為美國解決能源議題。
19:17
And anything American
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只要是出自於美國,
19:20
will work for me.
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我都認同。
19:22
CA: Boone, I really, really appreciate you coming here,
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克里斯:布恩,我真的相當感激你到這裡來
19:24
engaging in this conversation.
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做這演說。
19:26
I think there's a lot of people who will want to engage with you.
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我想很多人都想要跟你交流。
19:29
And that was a real gift you gave this audience.
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你給聽眾們的演說真的相當的寶貴。
19:31
Thank you so much. (TBP: You bet, Chris. Thank you.)
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非常感謝你。(提·布恩·皮肯斯:不客氣。謝謝。)
19:34
(Applause)
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♪掌聲♪
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