The state of the climate -- and what we might do about it | Nicholas Stern

Prevodilac: Saška Stojakov Lektor: Mile Živković

We are at a remarkable moment in time.

Živimo u izvanrednom trenutku.

We face over the next two decades

U naredne dve decenije, suočićemo se

two fundamental transformations

sa dve ključne transformacije

that will determine whether the next 100 years

koje će odrediti da li je narednih 100 godina

is the best of centuries or the worst of centuries.

najbolji ili najgori vek.

Let me illustrate with an example.

Dozvolite mi da objasnim kroz primer.

I first visited Beijing 25 years ago

Prvi put sam posetio Peking pre 25 godina

to teach at the People's University of China.

da bih predavao na Narodnom Univerzitetu u Kini.

China was getting serious about market economics

Kina se uozbiljila na polju tržišne ekonomije

and about university education,

i univerzitetskog obrazovanja,

so they decided to call in the foreign experts.

stoga su odlučili da pozovu strane stručnjake.

Like most other people,

Kao i većina drugih ljudi,

I moved around Beijing by bicycle.

vozio sam se biciklom po Pekingu.

Apart from dodging the occasional vehicle,

Osim izbegavanja ponekog vozila,

it was a safe and easy way to get around.

to je bio siguran i lak način za kretanje naokolo,

Cycling in Beijing now

Vožnja bicikla u Pekingu

is a completely different prospect.

danas ima u potpunosti drugačije mogućnosti.

The roads are jammed by cars and trucks.

Automobili i kamioni izazivaju zastoj na putevima.

The air is dangerously polluted

Vazduh je ozbiljno zagađen

from the burning of coal and diesel.

od sagorevanja uglja i dizel goriva.

When I was there last in the spring,

Kada sam prošlog proleća boravio tamo,

there was an advisory for people of my age —

savetovali su ljude mojih godina -

over 65 —

starije od 65. godina -

to stay indoors and not move much.

da ostanu u kućama i da se ne kreću previše.

How did this come about?

Kako se ovo dogodilo?

It came from the way in which

Nastalo je iz načina na koji je

Beijing has grown as a city.

Peking rastao kao grad.

It's doubled over those 25 years, more than doubled,

U prethodnih 25 godina udvostručio se broj stanovnika

from 10 million to 20 million.

i više se udvostručio, sa 10 na 20 miliona.

It's become a sprawling urban area

Postao je gradsko naselje koje je teško kontrolisati

dependent on dirty fuel, dirty energy,

i koje zavisi od prljavog goriva, energije koja zagađuje,

particularly coal.

naročito od uglja.

China burns half the world's coal each year,

Kina koristi polovinu svetskih rezervi uglja svake godine

and that's why, it is a key reason why,

i to je razlog, ključni razlog zašto,

it is the world's largest emitter

spada u svetske najveće emitere

of greenhouse gases.

štetnih gasova.

At the same time, we have to recognize

Istovremeno moramo da uočimo

that in that period China has grown remarkably.

da se u tom periodu Kina značajno proširila.

It has become the world's second largest economy.

Postala je druga po redu svetska ekonomska sila.

Hundreds of millions of people

Stotine miliona ljudi

have been lifted out of poverty.

je izašlo iz siromaštva.

That's really important.

A to je veoma važno.

But at the same time, the people of China

Ali istovremeno, narod Kine

are asking the question:

postavlja ovo pitanje:

What's the value of this growth

koja je vrednost ovog napretka

if our cities are unlivable?

ako je nemoguće živeti u našim gradovima?

They've analyzed, diagnosed

Oni su analizirali i ustanovili

that this is an unsustainable path of growth

da je ovo neodrživ put

and development.

porasta i razvoja.

China's planning to scale back coal.

Kina planira da smanji upotrebu uglja.

It's looking to build its cities in different ways.

Razmatra izgradnju gradova na drugačije načine.

Now, the growth of China

Sada, porast Kine

is part of a dramatic change, fundamental change,

je deo dramatične promene, promene iz korena.

in the structure of the world economy.

u strukturi svetske ekonomije.

Just 25 years ago, the developing countries,

Samo pre 25 godina, zemlje u razvoju,

the poorer countries of the world,

siromašnije zemlje sveta,

were, notwithstanding being the vast majority of the people,

su bile, uprkos velikoj većini ljudi,

they accounted for only about a third

činile su samo otprilike jednu trećinu

of the world's output.

svetske proizvodnje.

Now it's more than half;

Sada ima više od polovine,

25 years from now, it will probably be two thirds

a za 25 godina, verovatno će biti dve trećine

from the countries that we saw 25 years ago

iz država koje smo pre 25 godina

as developing.

smatrali u razvoju.

That's a remarkable change.

To je izvanredna promena.

It means that most countries around the world,

Znači da će se većina država širom sveta,

rich or poor, are going to be facing

bogatih ili siromašnih, suočiti

the two fundamental transformations

sa dve korenite promene

that I want to talk about and highlight.

o kojima želim da govorim i koje želim da naglasim.

Now, the first of these transformations

Sad, prva od ovih promena

is the basic structural change

je osnovna strukturna promena

of the economies and societies

privrede i društava

that I've already begun to illustrate

koje sam upravo počeo da opisujem

through the description of Beijing.

kroz opis Pekinga.

Fifty percent now in urban areas.

U gradskim sredinama trenutno ima 50% stanovnika,

That's going to go to 70 percent in 2050.

što će porasti na 70% do 2050. godine.

Over the next two decades, we'll see

U naredne dve decenije, videćemo

the demand for energy rise by 40 percent,

zahtev za porastom proizvodnje energije za 40%,

and the growth in the economy and in the population

i porast privrede i broja stanovnika

is putting increasing pressure on our land,

stavlja veliki pritisak na našu zemlju,

on our water and on our forests.

vodene površine i šume.

This is profound structural change.

Ovo je temeljna strukturna promena.

If we manage it in a negligent

Ako sa njom postupamo nemarno

or a shortsighted way,

ili na kratkovidan način,

we will create waste, pollution, congestion,

stvorićemo đubre, zagađenje, gužvu u saobraćaju,

destruction of land and forests.

uništenje zemlje i šuma.

If we think of those three areas that I have illustrated

Ako pomislimo na one tri oblasti koje sam opisao

with my numbers — cities, energy, land —

uz brojeve - gradovi, energija, zemlja -

if we manage all that badly,

ako sve to loše negujemo,

then the outlook for the lives and livelihoods

onda će budućnost naših života i opstanka

of the people around the world

svih ljudi širom sveta

would be poor and damaged.

biti siromašnije i oštećene.

And more than that,

I više od toga,

the emissions of greenhouse gases would rise,

emisija štetnih gasova će porasti,

with immense risks to our climate.

sa ozbiljnim rizicima po klimu.

Concentrations of greenhouse gases

Koncentracija štetnih gasova

in the atmosphere are already

u atmosferi je već

higher than they've been for millions of years.

viša nego što je bila milionima godina.

If we go on increasing those concentrations,

Ako nastavimo s povećanjem koncentracije gasova,

we risk temperatures over the next century or so

rizikujemo da u narednom veku i posle nastanu temperature

that we have not seen on this planet

koje nisu viđene na ovoj planeti

for tens of millions of years.

desetinama miliona godina.

We've been around as Homo sapiens —

Postojimo kao Homo sapiens -

that's a rather generous definition, sapiens —

to je prilično velikodušna definicija, sapiens -

for perhaps a quarter of a million years, a quarter of a million.

za možda četvrtinu miliona godina, jednu četvrtinu miliona.

We risk temperatures we haven't seen

Rizikujemo da iskusimo

for tens of millions of years over a century.

temperature koje nismo videli desetinama miliona godina u jednom veku.

That would transform the relationship

To će izmeniti odnos

between human beings and the planet.

između ljudskih bića i planete.

It would lead to changing deserts,

Kao rezultat će imati promenu pustinja,

changing rivers, changing patterns of hurricanes,

reka, modela uragana,

changing sea levels,

promene nivoa mora,

hundreds of millions of people,

stotine miliona ljudi,

perhaps billions of people who would have to move,

i možda milijarde onih, koji bi morali da se presele

and if we've learned anything from history,

i ako nas je istorija ičemu naučila,

that means severe and extended conflict.

to znači ozbiljne i nategnute sukobe.

And we couldn't just turn it off.

I mi nismo mogli tek tako da prekinemo.

You can't make a peace treaty with the planet.

Ne možete potpisati mirovni sporazum sa planetom.

You can't negotiate with the laws of physics.

Ne možete da pregovarate sa zakonima fizike.

You're in there. You're stuck.

U tome ste i zaglavljeni ste.

Those are the stakes we're playing for,

To su ulozi za koje igramo,

and that's why we have to make this second transformation,

i to je razlog zašto moramo da uradimo ovu drugu promenu,

the climate transformation,

klimatsku promenu,

and move to a low-carbon economy.

i pređemo na privredu sa niskom potrošnjom ugljenika.

Now, the first of these transformations

Sad, prva od ovih promena

is going to happen anyway.

će se svakako dogoditi.

We have to decide whether to do it well or badly,

Moramo da odlučimo hoćemo li

the economic, or structural, transformation.

tu privrednu ili strukturnu promenu uraditi ispravno ili ne.

But the second of the transformations,

Ali druga promena,

the climate transformations, we have to decide to do.

klimatska promena, koju smo odlučili da sprovedemo.

Those two transformations face us

Sa te dve promene suočićemo se

in the next two decades.

u naredne dve decenije.

The next two decades are decisive

Te dve decenije su odlučujuće

for what we have to do.

za ono što moramo da uradimo.

Now, the more I've thought about this,

Sad, što više razmišljam o tome

the two transformations coming together,

te dve promene dolaze zajedno,

the more I've come to realize

i to ja više shvatam

that this is an enormous opportunity.

da je ovo velika prilika.

It's an opportunity which we can use

To je jedna prilika koju možemo da iskoristimo

or it's an opportunity which we can lose.

ili da je izgubimo.

And let me explain through those three key areas

I dozvolite da objasnim kroz one tri ključne oblasti

that I've identified: cities, energy and land.

koje sam odredio: gradovi, energija i zemljište.

And let me start with cities.

I dozvolite da počnem sa gradovima.

I've already described the problems of Beijing:

Već sam opisao probleme Pekinga:

pollution, congestion, waste and so on.

zagađenje, gužva u saobraćaju, đubre, itd.

Surely we recognize that in many of our cities

Sigurno možemo da prepoznamo ove probleme u mnogim gradovima

around the world.

širom sveta.

Now, with cities, like life but particularly cities,

Sad, sa gradovima, kao i životom, ali naročito gradovima

you have to think ahead.

morate unapred da razmišljate.

The cities that are going to be built —

Gradovi koji će se izgraditi -

and there are many, and many big ones —

kao i mnogi, mnogi veliki gradovi -

we have to think of how to design them

moramo da osmislimo način da

in a compact way

ih izgradimo kompaktno

so we can save travel time and we can save energy.

kako bismo mogli da uštedimo vreme putovanja i energiju.

The cities that already are there, well established,

Gradovi koji su već tamo, dobro sagrađeni,

we have to think about renewal and investment in them

moramo da razmislimo o obnovi i ulaganjima u njih

so that we can connect ourselves much better

tako da možemo bolje da povežemo

within those cities, and make it easier,

između gradova, i da olakšamo,

encourage more people, to live closer to the center.

ohrabrimo više ljudi da žive blizu centru.

We've got examples building around the world

Imamo primere izgradnje širom sveta

of the kinds of ways in which we can do that.

i načine na koje to možemo da uradimo.

The bus rapid transport system in Bogotá in Colombia

Brzi autobuski sistem u Bogoti u Kolumbiji

is a very important case of how to move around

je važan primer kako da putujemo

safely and quickly in a non-polluting way

sigurno i brzo, a da ne zagađujemo okolinu

in a city: very frequent buses,

u gradu; redovniji autobusi

strongly protected routes, the same service, really,

strogo zaštićene rute, ista usluga,

as an underground railway system,

zaista, kao sistem podzemne železnice,

but much, much cheaper

ali mnogo, mnogo jeftiniji

and can be done much more quickly,

i može da se sprovede mnogo brže,

a brilliant idea in many more cities

izvanredna ideja koja se razvija

around the world that's developing.

u mnogim gradovima širom sveta.

Now, some things in cities do take time.

Neke izmene u gradovima zahtevaju vremena.

Some things in cities can happen much more quickly.

Neke izmene se mogu sprovesti mnogo brže.

Take my hometown, London.

Uzmite za primer moj rodni grad, London.

In 1952, smog in London killed 4,000 people

Godine 1952, od smoga je preminulo 4000 ljudi u Londonu

and badly damaged the lives of many, many more.

i oštećeni su životi mnogih drugih.

And it happened all the time.

I događalo se stalno.

For those of you live outside London in the U.K.

Za vas koji živite van Londona, ali u Britaniji

will remember it used to be called The Smoke.

setićete se da smo ga zvali Dim.

That's the way London was.

Takav je London bio.

By regulating coal, within a few years

Ali regulisanjem uglja, u nekoliko godina,

the problems of smog were rapidly reduced.

problemi sa smogom su se naglo smanjili.

I remember the smogs well.

I dobro pamtim smog.

When the visibility dropped to [less] than

Kada se vidljivost smanjila do manje od

a few meters,

nekoliko metara,

they stopped the buses and I had to walk.

zaustavili bi autobuse i morao sam da pešačim.

This was the 1950s.

To je bilo 1950-ih.

I had to walk home three miles from school.

Morao sam da pešačim od škole 5 km do kuće.

Again, breathing was a hazardous activity.

Opet, disanje je bilo opasna aktivnost.

But it was changed. It was changed by a decision.

Ali se promenilo. A promenilo se odlukom.

Good decisions can bring good results,

Dobre odluke donose dobre rezultate,

striking results, quickly.

izvanredne rezulate, brzo.

We've seen more: In London, we've introduced the congestion charge,

Videli smo i više: i Londonu, uveli smo taksu za zastoj u saobraćaju,

actually quite quickly and effectively,

zapravo jako brzo i efikasno,

and we've seen great improvements

i videli smo velike napretke

in the bus system, and cleaned up the bus system.

u autobuskom sistemu, i raščistili smo autobuski sistem.

You can see that the two transformations I've described,

Možete da vidite da ove dve promene, koje sam opisao,

the structural and the climate,

strukturne i klimatske,

come very much together.

idu jedna uz drugu.

But we have to invest. We have to invest in our cities,

Ali moramo da ulažemo. Moramo da ulažemo u gradove,

and we have to invest wisely, and if we do,

i moramo da ulažemo pametno, a ako to uradimo

we'll see cleaner cities, quieter cities, safer cities,

imaćemo čistije gradove, tiše gradove, bezbednije gradove.

more attractive cities, more productive cities,

mnogo privlačnije gradove, mnogo produktivnije gradove,

and stronger community in those cities —

i snažnije zajednice u ovim gradovima -

public transport, recycling, reusing,

gradski prevoz, reciklaža, ponovno korišćenje,

all sorts of things that bring communities together.

sve izmene koje će udružiti zajednice.

We can do that, but we have to think,

Mi to možemo, ali moramo da razmislimo,

we have to invest, we have to plan.

moramo da ulažemo i moramo da imamo plan,

Let me turn to energy.

Dozvolite mi da se vratim na energiju.

Now, energy over the last 25 years

Sad, energija je u prethodnih 25 godina

has increased by about 50 percent.

porasla za oko 50%.

Eighty percent of that comes from fossil fuels.

Od toga 80% potiče iz fosilnih goriva.

Over the next 20 years,

U narednih 20 godina,

perhaps it will increase by another 40 percent or so.

možda će se povećati za još oko 40%.

We have to invest strongly in energy,

Moramo mnogo da ulažemo u energiju,

we have to use it much more efficiently,

moramo da je koristimo efikasnije,

and we have to make it clean.

i moramo da je napravimo čistijom.

We can see how to do that.

Možemo da vidimo način.

Take the example of California.

Uzmimo primer Kalifornije.

It would be in the top 10 countries in the world

Bila bi deset najboljih država u svetu

if it was independent.

da je nezavisna.

I don't want to start any —

Ne želim da započinjem ništa -

(Laughter)

(Smeh)

California's a big place.

Kalifornija je veliko mesto.

(Laughter)

(Smeh)

In the next five or six years,

U narednih pet ili šest godina,

they will likely move from

verovatno će preći sa skoro 20%

around 20 percent in renewables —

u vrstama obnovljive energije -

wind, solar and so on —

vetar, sunce itd. -

to over 33 percent,

na preko 33%,

and that would bring California back

i to će povratiti Kaliforniju

to greenhouse gas emissions in 2020

na emisiju štetnih gasova u 2020. godini

to where they were in 1990,

do mesta gde su bili 1990. godine,

a period when the economy in California

period kada bi se privreda u Kaliforniji

would more or less have doubled.

manje - više udvostrčila.

That's a striking achievement.

To je izvanredno ostvarenje.

It shows what can be done.

Pokazuje šta može da se uradi.

Not just California — the incoming government of India

Ne samo Kalifornija, već nadolazeća vlada Indije

is planning to get solar technology

planira da dobije solarnu tehnologiju

to light up the homes

da osvetli domove

of 400 million people

400 miliona ljudi

who don't have electricity in India.

koji nemaju struju u Indiji.

They've set themselves a target of five years.

Postavili su sebi cilj da to urade za 5 godina.

I think they've got a good chance of doing that.

Mislim da imaju dobre šanse da uspeju.

We'll see, but what you're seeing now

Videćemo, ali ono što vidimo sada

is people moving much more quickly.

je da se ljudi sele mnogo brže.

Four hundred million, more than the population

Četiri stotine miliona, što je više

of the United States.

od broja stanovnika SAD-a.

Those are the kinds of ambitions now

To su one ambicije sada

people are setting themselves

koje ljudi postavljaju sebi

in terms of rapidity of change.

u odnosu na brzinu promene.

Again, you can see

Opet, možete videti da dobre odluke

good decisions can bring quick results,

mogu doneti brze rezultate,

and those two transformations, the economy and the structure

i ove dve promene, privreda i struktura,

and the climate and the low carbon,

klima i smanjenje ugljenika,

are intimately intertwined.

su međusobno isprepletane.

Do the first one well, the structural,

Uradite prvu kako treba, tu strukturnu,

the second one on the climate

i druga koja se tiče klime

becomes much easier.

postaje mnogo jednostavnija.

Look at land,

Pogledajte u zemlju,

land and particularly forests.

zemljište i naročito šume.

Forests are the hosts to valuable

Šume su staništa za dragocene

plant and animal species.

biljne i životinjske vrste.

They hold water in the soil

One čuvaju vodu u zemljištu

and they take carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere,

i uzimaju ugljen dioksid iz atmosfere,

fundamental to the tackling of climate change.

značajan za rešavanje klimatske promene.

But we're losing our forests.

Ali mi gubimo naše šume.

In the last decade, we've lost a forest area

U prethodnoj deceniji, izgubili smo površine pod šumom

the size of Portugal,

u veličini Portugala,

and much more has been degraded.

i mnogo više je degradirano.

But we're already seeing

Ali već vidimo

that we can do so much about that.

da možemo mnogo da uradimo povodom toga.

We can recognize the problem, but we can also

Možemo da prepoznamo problem, ali takođe

understand how to tackle it.

možemo da razumemo kako da ga rešimo.

In Brazil, the rate of deforestation

U Brazilu, stopa krčenja šuma

has been reduced by 70 percent

smanjila se za 70%

over the last 10 years.

u prethodnih 10 godina.

How? By involving local communities,

Kako? Uključivanjem lokalnih zajednica,

investing in their agriculture and their economies,

ulaganjem u poljoprivredu i gazdinstva,

by monitoring more carefully,

uz pažljivije nadgledanje,

by enforcing the law more strictly.

i strožu primenu zakona.

And it's not just stopping deforestation.

I to nije samo zaustavljanje krčenja šuma.

That's of course of first and fundamental importance,

To je naravno od prve i osnovne važnosti,

but it's also regrading degraded land,

ali se takođe tiče vraćanja degradiranog zemljišta,

regenerating, rehabilitating degraded land.

regenerisanja, obnavljanja degradiranog zemljišta.

I first went to Ethiopia in 1967.

Prvi put sam posetio Etiopiju 1967.

It was desperately poor. In the following years,

Bila je strašno siromašna. U narednim godinama,

it suffered devastating famines

patila je od razornih nestašica hrane

and profoundly destructive social conflict.

i prilično destruktivnih društvenih sukoba.

Over the last few years, actually more than a few,

U prethodnih nekoliko godina, zapravo više nego nekoliko,

Ethiopia has been growing much more rapidly.

Etiopija je napredovala mnogo brže.

It has ambitions to be a middle-income country

Imala je ambicije da postane država

15 years from now

osrednjeg prihoda, u narednih 15 godina

and to be carbon neutral.

i da postane neutralna po pitanju ugljenika.

Again, I think it's a strong ambition

Opet, mislim da je to snažna ambicija

but it is a plausible one.

ali je primenljiva.

You're seeing that commitment there.

Vidite tu obavezu ovde.

You're seeing what can be done.

Vidite šta je moguće učiniti.

Ethiopia is investing in clean energy.

Etiopija investira u čistu energiju.

It's working in the rehabilitation of land.

Radi na rehabilitaciji zemljišta.

In Humbo, in southwest Ethiopia,

U Humbu, jugozapadnoj Etiopiji,

a wonderful project

predivan projekat

to plant trees on degraded land

za sadnju drveća na degradiranom zemljištu

and work with local communities

i rad sa lokalnim zajednicama

on sustainable forest management

o održivom upravljanju šumama

has led to big increases in living standards.

doveo je do velikog porasta životnog standarda.

So we can see, from Beijing to London,

Stoga možemo da vidimo, od Pekinga do Londona,

from California to India,

od Kalifornije do Indije,

from Brazil to Ethiopia,

od Brazila do Etiopije,

we do understand

da zaista razumemo

how to manage those two transformations,

kako da upravljamo ovim dvema promenama,

the structural and the climate.

strukturnom i klimatskom.

We do understand how to manage those well.

Mi zaista razumemo kako njima dobro da upravljamo.

And technology is changing very rapidly.

A tehnologija se veoma brzo menja.

I don't have to list all those things

Ne moram da takve podatke nabrojim

to an audience like this,

publici kao što je ova,

but you can see the electric cars,

ali možete da vidite električne automobile,

you can see the batteries using new materials.

možete da vidite baterije koje koriste nove materijale.

You can see that we can manage remotely now

Možete da vidite da sada možemo da upravljamo iz daljine

our household appliances on our mobile phones when we're away.

kućnim aparatima preko mobilnih telefona, kada smo odsutni.

You can see better insulation.

Možete da vidite bolju izolaciju.

And there's much more coming.

l mnogo toga što tek dolazi.

But, and it's a big but,

Ali, tu je i to veliko ali,

the world as a whole

svet kao celina

is moving far too slowly.

se kreće jako sporo.

We're not cutting emissions in the way we should.

Mi ne smanjujemo emisiju gasova, onako kako bi trebalo.

We're not managing those structural transformations

Ne upravljamo tim strukturnim promenama

as we can.

kako možemo.

The depth of understanding of the immense risks of climate change

Ozbiljno shvatanje ove velike rizike klimatske promene

are not there yet.

još uvek nije prisutno.

The depth of understanding

Ozbiljno shvatanje

of the attractiveness of what we can do

privlačnih izmena koje možemo da uradimo

is not there yet.

još uvek nije prisutno.

We need political pressure to build.

Potrebno je da izgradimo politički pritisak.

We need leaders to step up.

Potrebno je da se vođe istaknu.

We can have better growth,

Možemo imati veći razvoj,

better climate, a better world.

bolju klimu, bolji svet.

We can make,

Uz dobro upravljanje ovim dvema promenama,

by managing those two transformations well,

možemo sledećih 100 godina načiniti

the next 100 years the best of centuries.

najboljim vekom od svih do sada.

If we make a mess of it,

Ako napravimo nered od toga,

we, you and me, if we make a mess of it,

mi, vi i ja, ako bismo to uradili,

if we don't manage those transformations properly,

ako nepravilno upotrebimo ove promene,

it will be, the next 100 years

narednih 100 godina biće

will be the worst of centuries.

najgori vek.

That's the major conclusion

To je veliki zaključak

of the report on the economy and climate

izveštaja o privredi i klimi

chaired by ex-President Felipe Calderón of Mexico,

kojeg je doneo bivši meksički predsednik Felipe Kalderon

and I co-chaired that with him,

zajedno sa mnom,

and we handed that report yesterday

i juče smo predali izveštaj

here in New York, in the United Nations Building

ovde u Njujorku, u zgradi Ujedinjenih nacija

to the Secretary-General of the U.N.,

Generalnom sekretaru UN-a,

Ban Ki-moon.

Ban Ki Munu.

We know that we can do this.

Mi znamo da to možemo da uradimo.

Now, two weeks ago,

Sad, pre dve nedelje,

I became a grandfather for the fourth time.

postao sam deda po četvrti put.

Our daughter —

Naša ćerka -

(Baby cries) (Laughter) (Applause) —

(Beba plače) (Smeh) (Aplauz) -

Our daughter gave birth to Rosa here in New York

Naša ćerka je rodila Rozu ovde u Njujorku

two weeks ago. Here are Helen and Rosa.

pre dve nedelje. Ovde su Helen i Roza.

(Applause)

(Aplauz)

Two weeks old.

Dve nedelje stara.

Are we going to look our grandchildren in the eye

Da li ćemo da gledamo naše unučiće u oči

and tell them that we understood the issues,

i reći im da smo razumeli probleme,

that we recognized the dangers and the opportunities,

da smo prepoznali opasnosti i mogućnosti

and still we failed to act?

i da nismo delovali?

Surely not. Let's make the next 100 years

Naravno da ne. Hajde da narednih 100 godina

the best of centuries.

napravimo najboljim vekom.

(Applause)

(Aplauz)