Dambisa Moyo: Is China the new idol for emerging economies?

587,769 views ・ 2013-11-11

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Prevoditelj: Stjepan Mateljan Recezent: Ivan Stamenković
00:12
"Give me liberty or give me death."
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"Daj mi slobodu ili mi daj smrt."
00:15
When Patrick Henry, the governor of Virginia,
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Kad je Patrick Henry, guverner Virginije,
00:18
said these words in 1775,
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rekao te riječi 1775.,
00:21
he could never have imagined
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nije nikad mogao zamisliti
00:23
just how much they would come to resonate
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koliko će one odjekivati
00:25
with American generations to come.
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kasnijim Američkim generacijama.
00:28
At the time, these words were earmarked
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U to vrijeme, te su riječi bile izdvojene
00:30
and targeted against the British,
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i usmjerene protiv Britanaca,
00:33
but over the last 200 years, they've come to embody
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ali tijekom zadnjih 200 godina, one su počele utjelovljivati
00:36
what many Westerners believe,
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ono što brojni Zapadnjaci vjeruju,
00:38
that freedom is the most cherished value,
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da je slobodan najdragocjenija vrijednost,
00:42
and that the best systems of politics and economics
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te da najbolji politički i ekonomski sustavi
00:45
have freedom embedded in them.
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imaju u sebe utkani ideju slobode.
00:47
Who could blame them?
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Tko bi ih mogao kriviti?
00:49
Over the past hundred years, the combination
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Tijekom zadnjih stotinu godina, kombinacija
00:52
of liberal democracy and private capitalism
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liberalne demokracije i privatnog kapitalizma
00:55
has helped to catapult the United States
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je pomogla katapultirati Sjedinjene države
00:57
and Western countries
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i zapadne zemlje
00:58
to new levels of economic development.
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do novih razina ekonomskog razvoja.
01:01
In the United States over the past hundred years,
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U Sjedinjenim državama tijekom zadnjih stotinu godina
01:03
incomes have increased 30 times,
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prihodi su se povećali 30 puta,
01:06
and hundreds of thousands of people
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a stotine tisuća ljudi
01:08
have been moved out of poverty.
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su se makli iz siromaštva.
01:10
Meanwhile, American ingenuity and innovation
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U međuvremenu, američka je genijalnost i inovativnost
01:14
has helped to spur industrialization
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pomogla potaknuti industrijalizaciju
01:17
and also helped in the creation and the building
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te također pomogla u stvaranju i izradi
01:20
of things like household appliances
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stvari poput kućanskih aparata
01:22
such as refrigerators and televisions,
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kao frižidera i televizora,
01:24
motor vehicles and even the mobile phones in your pockets.
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motornih vozila te čak i mobilnih telefona u vašim džepovima.
01:28
It's no surprise, then, that even at the depths
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Nije čudo, onda, da čak i duboko unutar
01:31
of the private capitalism crisis,
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krize privatnog kapitalizma,
01:33
President Obama said,
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predsjednik Obama govori:
01:35
"The question before us is not whether the market
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"Pitanje pred nama nije je li tržište
01:38
is a force for good or ill.
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sila dobrog ili lošeg.
01:40
Its power to generate wealth and to expand freedom
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Njegovoj moći stvaranja bogatstva i širenja slobode
01:44
is unmatched."
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nema premca."
01:46
Thus, there's understandably
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Tako, jasno je da postoji
01:48
a deep-seated presumption among Westerners
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duboko usađena pretpostavka među Zapadnjacima
01:51
that the whole world will decide to adopt
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da će cijeli svijet odlučiti prigrliti
01:54
private capitalism as the model of economic growth,
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privatni kapitalizam kao model ekonomskog rasta,
01:57
liberal democracy, and will continue
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liberalnu demokraciju, te da će nastaviti
01:59
to prioritize political rights over economic rights.
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držati politička prava nadređena ekonomskim pravima.
02:03
However, to many who live in the emerging markets,
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Međutim, brojnima koji žive u tržištima u nastajanju
02:06
this is an illusion, and even though
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to je iluzija, te čak iako je
02:09
the Universal Declaration of Human Rights,
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Opća deklaracija o ljudskim pravima,
02:11
which was signed in 1948,
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koja je potpisana 1948.,
02:13
was unanimously adopted,
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bila jednoglasno usvojena,
02:16
what it did was to mask a schism
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ona je tek prikrila rascjep
02:18
that has emerged between developed and developing countries,
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koji je nastao između razvijenih zemalja i onih u razvoju,
02:22
and the ideological beliefs
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te glede ideoloških uvjerenja
02:24
between political and economic rights.
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između političkih i ekonomskih prava.
02:27
This schism has only grown wider.
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Taj se rascjep samo širio.
02:31
Today, many people who live in the emerging markets,
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Danas, brojni ljudi koji žive u tržištima u nastajanju,
02:34
where 90 percent of the world's population lives,
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gdje živi 90 posto svjetske populacije,
02:36
believe that the Western obsession
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vjeruje da je Zapadna opsjednutost
02:39
with political rights is beside the point,
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političkim pravima pucanj u prazno,
02:41
and what is actually important
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te da je ono što je zbilja važno
02:43
is delivering on food, shelter,
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kako dostaviti hranu, utočište,
02:45
education and healthcare.
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obrazovanje i zdravstvenu skrb.
02:47
"Give me liberty or give me death"
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"Daj mi slobodu ili mi daj smrt."
02:50
is all well and good if you can afford it,
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je lijepo i krasno ako si to možete priuštti,
02:53
but if you're living on less than one dollar a day,
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ali ako živite na manje od dolara na dan,
02:56
you're far too busy trying to survive
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previše ste zaposleni pokušavajući preživjeti
02:58
and to provide for your family
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i priskrbiti za svoju obitelj
02:59
than to spend your time going around
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da bi trošili vrijeme idući okolo
03:01
trying to proclaim and defend democracy.
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pokušavajući proglasiti i obraniti demokraciju.
03:04
Now, I know many people in this room
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Sad, znam da brojni ljudi u ovoj sobi
03:06
and around the world will think,
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te oko svijeta misle:
03:08
"Well actually, this is hard to grasp,"
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"Pa zapravo, ovo je teško dokučiti,"
03:11
because private capitalism and liberal democracy
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jer se privatni kapitalizam i liberalna demokracija
03:14
are held sacrosanct.
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drže nepovredivim svetinjama.
03:16
But I ask you today, what would you do
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Ali pitam vas sad, što biste učinili
03:19
if you had to choose?
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ako biste morali birati?
03:21
What if you had to choose
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Što ako biste morali birati
03:22
between a roof over your head
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između krova nad glavom
03:25
and the right to vote?
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i glasačkog prava?
03:27
Over the last 10 years,
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Tijekom zadnjih 10 godina
03:28
I've had the privilege to travel to over 60 countries,
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imala sam povlasticu putovati u preko 60 zemalja,
03:32
many of them in the emerging markets,
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brojne unutar tržišta u nastajanju,
03:34
in Latin America, Asia,
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u Latinskoj Americi, Aziji,
03:36
and my own continent of Africa.
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te mom vlastitom kontinentu Africi.
03:39
I've met with presidents, dissidents,
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Sretala sam se sa predsjednicima, disidentima,
03:42
policymakers, lawyers, teachers,
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stvarateljima politika, odvjetnicima, učiteljima,
03:44
doctors and the man on the street,
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doktorima i ljudima po ulici,
03:46
and through these conversations,
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te mi je kroz te razgovore
03:48
it's become clear to me
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postalo jasno
03:50
that many people in the emerging markets
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da brojni ljudi iz tržišta u nastajanju
03:52
believe that there's actually a split occurring
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vjeruju da se zapravo pojavljuje rascjep
03:55
between what people believe ideologically
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između onog što ljudi ideološki vjeruju
03:58
in terms of politics and economics in the West
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glede politike i ekonomije na Zapadu
04:01
and that which people believe in the rest of the world.
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te onog što ljudi vjeruju u ostatku svijeta.
04:03
Now, don't get me wrong.
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Sad, nemojte me shvatiti krivo.
04:05
I'm not saying people in the emerging markets
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Ne govorim da ljudi iz tržišta u nastajanju
04:07
don't understand democracy,
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ne razumiju demokraciju,
04:09
nor am I saying that they wouldn't ideally
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niti ne govorim da im se idealno
04:11
like to pick their presidents or their leaders.
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ne bi sviđalo birati svoje predsjednike ili vođe.
04:13
Of course they would.
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Naravno da bi.
04:15
However, I am saying that on balance,
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Međutim, govorim da kad se sve svede,
04:18
they worry more about
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više se brinu
04:19
where their living standard improvements are going to come from,
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otkud će im doći unapređenja životnog standarda
04:22
and how it is their governments can deliver for them,
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te kako im ih njihove vlasti mogu dostaviti,
04:25
than whether or not the government
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nego hoće li ili neće te vlasti
04:27
was elected by democracy.
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biti izabrane demokratski.
04:30
The fact of the matter
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Činjenica od značaja
04:32
is that this has become a very poignant question
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je kako je ovo postalo vrlo pronicljvo pitanje
04:34
because there is for the first time in a long time
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budući po prvi put nakon dugo vremena postoji
04:36
a real challenge to the Western ideological systems
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pravi izazov Zapadnim ideološkim sustavima
04:40
of politics and economics,
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politike i ekonomije,
04:42
and this is a system that is embodied by China.
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a to je sustav utjelovljen u Kini.
04:45
And rather than have private capitalism, they have state capitalism.
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Radije nego privatni kapitalizam, imaju državni kapitalizam.
04:49
Instead of liberal democracy, they have de-prioritized the democratic system.
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Umjesto liberalne demokracije, podredili su demokratsku sustav
04:53
And they have also decided to prioritize
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te su također odlučili podići
04:56
economic rights over political rights.
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ekonomska prava iznad političkih.
04:59
I put it to you today that it is this system
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Prenosim vam danas da je taj sustav
05:02
that is embodied by China
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koji je utjelovljen u Kini
05:04
that is gathering momentum amongst people
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koji lovi zamah među ljudima
05:06
in the emerging markets as the system to follow,
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u tržištima u nastajanju kao sustav koji valja slijediti,
05:09
because they believe increasingly
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jer sve više vjeruju
05:11
that it is the system
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kako je to sustav
05:13
that will promise the best and fastest improvements
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koji im obećava najbolja i najbrža unapređenja
05:16
in living standards in the shortest period of time.
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životnog standarda u najkraćem vremenskom roku.
05:20
If you will indulge me, I will spend a few moments
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Ako mi dopustite, potrošit ću nekoliko trenutaka
05:23
explaining to you first
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objašnjavajući vam prvo
05:24
why economically they've come to this belief.
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zašto su ekonomski došli do tog uvjerenja.
05:28
First of all, it's China's economic performance
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Prije svega, to je ekonomska izvedba Kine
05:31
over the past 30 years.
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tijekom zadnjih 30 godina.
05:33
She's been able to produce record economic growth
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Bila je u stanju stvoriti rekordan ekonomski rast
05:36
and meaningfully move many people out of poverty,
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i smisleno izvući puno ljudi iz siromaštva,
05:40
specifically putting a meaningful dent in poverty
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pogotovo smisleno praveći ulupljenje u siromaštvu
05:43
by moving over 300 million people
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izvlačenjem preko 300 milijuna ljudi
05:46
out of indigence.
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iz neimaštine.
05:49
It's not just in economics,
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Nije riječ samo u ekonomiji,
05:51
but it's also in terms of living standards.
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već također i u životnom standardu.
05:54
We see that in China, 28 percent of people
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Vidimo da je u Kini 28 posto ljudi
05:57
had secondary school access.
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imalo pristup sekundarnoj školi.
05:59
Today, it's closer to 82 percent.
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Danas, ta je brojka bliža 82 posto.
06:01
So in its totality, economic improvement
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Tako da je u svojoj cjelokupnosti, ekonomski napredak
06:03
has been quite significant.
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bio poprilično značajan.
06:06
Second, China has been able
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Drugo, Kini je bilo moguće
06:09
to meaningfully improve its income inequality
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smisleno poboljšati razlike u prihodima
06:12
without changing the political construct.
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bez mijenjanja političke konstrukcije.
06:15
Today, the United States and China
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Danas, Sjedinjene države i Kina
06:17
are the two leading economies in the world.
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su dvije vodeće svjetske ekonomije.
06:20
They have vastly different political systems
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Imaju vrlo različite političke sustave
06:22
and different economic systems,
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te različite ekonomske sustave,
06:25
one with private capitalism,
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jedan s privatnim kapitalizmom,
06:26
another one broadly with state capitalism.
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drugi ugrubo sa državnim kapitalizmom.
06:28
However, these two countries
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Međutim, ove dvije zemlje
06:31
have the identical GINI Coefficient,
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imaju identičan GINI koeficijent,
06:33
which is a measure of income equality.
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koji je mjera jednakosti prihoda.
06:35
Perhaps what is more disturbing
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Možda ono što je više uznemirujuće
06:37
is that China's income equality
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je kako je jednakost prihoda u Kini
06:40
has been improving in recent times,
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bila napredovala u novije vrijeme,
06:42
whereas that of the United States
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dok se ona Sjedinjenih država
06:43
has been declining.
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bila smanjivala.
06:47
Thirdly, people in the emerging markets
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Treće, ljudi u tržištima u nastajanju
06:49
look at China's amazing and legendary
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gledaju u Kinino zapanjujuće i legendarno
06:51
infrastructure rollout.
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stvaranje infrastrukture.
06:54
This is not just about China
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Ovdje nije samo riječ o Kini
06:55
building roads and ports and railways
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koja gradi ceste i luke i željeznice
06:58
in her own country --
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u vlastitoj zemlji --
06:59
she's been able to build 85,000 kilometers
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umjela je sagraditi 85.000 kilometara
07:02
of road network in China
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cestovne mreže u Kini
07:04
and surpass that of the United States --
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te prestići ono Sjedinjenih država --
07:07
but even if you look to places like Africa,
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ali čak i ako gledate mjesta poput Afrike,
07:10
China has been able to help tar the distance
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Kina je bila u stanju pomoći okatraniti udaljenost
07:13
of Cape Town to Cairo,
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od Cape Towna do Caira,
07:14
which is 9,000 miles,
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koja je 9.000 milja,
07:16
or three times the distance of New York to California.
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ili trostruka udaljenost od New Yorka do Kalifornije.
07:20
Now this is something that people can see and point to.
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Sad to je nešto što ljudi mogu vidjeti i na što mogu ukazivati.
07:24
Perhaps it's no surprise
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Možda nije iznenađenje
07:26
that in a 2007 Pew survey, when surveyed,
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kako su u 2007 Pew pregledu, kad su ispitani,
07:30
Africans in 10 countries said
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Afrikanci u 10 zemalja rekli
07:32
they thought that the Chinese were doing
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kako misle da Kinezi rade
07:33
amazing things to improve their livelihoods
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zapanjujuće stvari kako bi unaprijedili njihove životne uvjete
07:35
by wide margins, by as much as 98 percent.
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u velikim prednostima, čak do 98 posto.
07:40
Finally, China is also providing innovative solutions
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Konačno, Kina donosi inovativna rješenja
07:44
to age-old social problems that the world faces.
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starim društvenim problemima koji more svijet.
07:48
If you travel to Mogadishu, Mexico City or Mumbai,
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Ako otputujete u Mogadishu, Mexico City ili Mumbai,
07:51
you find that dilapidated infrastructure and logistics
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vidjet ćete kako trošna infrastruktura i logistika
07:54
continue to be a stumbling block
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nastavlja biti kamen spoticanja
07:56
to the delivery of medicine and healthcare
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dostavljanju medicinske i zdravstvene skrbi
07:58
in the rural areas.
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u ruralna područja.
08:00
However, through a network of state-owned enterprises,
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Međutim, kroz mrežu poduzeća u državnom vlasništvu,
08:03
the Chinese have been able to go into these rural areas,
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Kinezi su uspjeli otići u ta ruralna područja,
08:06
using their companies
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koristeći svoje firme
08:08
to help deliver on these healthcare solutions.
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kako bi pomogli dostavu tih zdravstvenih rješenja.
08:11
Ladies and gentlemen, it's no surprise
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Dame i gospodo, nije iznenađenje
08:13
that around the world, people are pointing at what China is doing and saying,
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kako širom svijeta ljudi pokazuju na to što Kina radi i govore:
08:16
"I like that. I want that.
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"Sviđa mi se to. Želim to."
08:18
I want to be able to do what China's doing.
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2194
"Želim biti u mogućnosti da činim ono što Kina čini."
08:21
That is the system that seems to work."
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"To je sustav za koji se čini kako radi."
08:23
I'm here to also tell you
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Također sam ovdje da vam kažem
08:25
that there are lots of shifts occurring
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kako se pojavljuje puno promjena
08:27
around what China is doing
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1960
oko onog što Kina čini
08:29
in the democratic stance.
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2075
u stavu prema demokraciji.
08:31
In particular, there is growing doubt
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2665
Posebno, postoji rastuća sumnja
08:34
among people in the emerging markets,
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među ljudima tržišta u nastajanju,
08:36
when people now believe that democracy
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gdje ljudi sad vjeruju kako demokraciju
08:37
is no longer to be viewed
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više nije potrebno gledati
08:40
as a prerequisite for economic growth.
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kao preduvjet za ekonomski rast.
08:43
In fact, countries like Taiwan, Singapore, Chile,
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Zapravo, zemlje poput Taiwana, Singapura, Čilea,
08:47
not just China, have shown that actually,
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ne samo Kina, su pokazale da zapravo,
08:50
it's economic growth that is a prerequisite
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ekonomski rast je preduvjet
08:53
for democracy.
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za demokraciju.
08:55
In a recent study, the evidence has shown
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U nedavnoj studiji, dokazi su pokazali
08:58
that income is the greatest determinant
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kako je prihod najveća odrednica
09:00
of how long a democracy can last.
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koliko dugo demokracija može trajati.
09:03
The study found that if your per capita income
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Studija je pokazala da ako je vaš prihod po glavi
09:06
is about 1,000 dollars a year,
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oko 1.000 dolara godišnje,
09:08
your democracy will last about eight and a half years.
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vaša će demokracija trajati oko osam i pol godina.
09:11
If your per capita income is between
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Ako je vaš prihod po glavi između
09:13
2,000 and 4,000 dollars per year,
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2.000 i 4.000 dolara godišnje,
09:15
then you're likely to only get 33 years of democracy.
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onda je vjerojatno da ćete imati samo 33 godina demokracije.
09:18
And only if your per capita income
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A samo ako je vaš prihod po glavi
09:20
is above 6,000 dollars a year
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iznad 6.000 dolara godišnje
09:22
will you have democracy come hell or high water.
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imati ćete demokraciju bez obzira na sve nedaće.
09:26
What this is telling us
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Što nam to govori
09:28
is that we need to first establish a middle class
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jest kako prvo trebamo uspostaviti srednju klasu
09:30
that is able to hold the government accountable.
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koja je sposobna držati vlast odgovornom.
09:33
But perhaps it's also telling us
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Ali možda nam također govori
09:36
that we should be worried about going
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kako bi trebali biti zabrinuti glede putovanja
09:37
around the world and shoehorning democracy,
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širom svijeta i uvođenja demokracije,
09:40
because ultimately we run the risk
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1810
stoga što u konačnici riskiramo
09:42
of ending up with illiberal democracies,
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završetak s neslobodnim demokracijama,
09:44
democracies that in some sense
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2061
demokracijama koje bi u nekim pogledima
09:46
could be worse than the authoritarian governments
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mogle biti gore od autoritarnih vlasti
09:48
that they seek to replace.
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koje žele zamijeniti.
09:52
The evidence around illiberal democracies
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Dokazi oko neslobodnih demokracija
09:54
is quite depressing.
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su poprilično depresivni.
09:56
Freedom House finds that although 50 percent
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Freedom House pronalazi da iako je 50 posto
09:59
of the world's countries today are democratic,
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svjetskih zemalja danas demokratskih,
10:02
70 percent of those countries are illiberal
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70 posto tih zemalja su neslobodne
10:05
in the sense that people don't have free speech
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u smislu da ljudi nemaju slobodu govora
10:07
or freedom of movement.
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ili slobodu kretanja.
10:10
But also, we're finding from Freedom House
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Ali također, vidimo u istraživanjima Freedom Housea
10:12
in a study that they published last year
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u studiji koju su objavili prošle godine
10:14
that freedom has been on the decline
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da je sloboda bila u opadanju
10:16
every year for the past seven years.
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svaku godinu u zadnjih sedam godina.
10:19
What this says
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Što to govori
10:21
is that for people like me
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je da za ljude poput mene
10:22
who care about liberal democracy,
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kojima je stalo do liberalne demokracije,
10:24
is we've got to find a more sustainable way
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moramo naći održiviji način
10:27
of ensuring that we have a sustainable form
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2345
osiguravanja da imamo održiv oblik
10:29
of democracy in a liberal way,
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demokracije na liberalan način,
10:31
and that has its roots in economics.
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3000
a to ima svoje korijene u ekonomiji.
10:34
But it also says that as China moves
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2929
Ali to također govori kako dok se Kina kreće
10:37
toward being the largest economy in the world,
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prema poziciji najveće svjetske ekonomije,
10:40
something that is expected to happen
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2021
nečega što se očekuje da će se dogodit
10:42
by experts in 2016,
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2075
kažu stručnjaci u 2016.,
10:44
that this schism between the political
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da će se taj rascjep između političkih
10:46
and economic ideologies of the West and the rest
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3362
i ekonomskih ideologija Zapada i ostalih
10:50
is likely to widen.
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vjerojatno proširiti.
10:52
What might that world look like?
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Na što bi taj svijet mogao nalikovati?
10:55
Well, the world could look like
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1562
Pa, svijet bi mogao nalikovati
10:57
more state involvement and state capitalism;
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3265
na više državnog uplitanja i državnog kapitalizma;
11:00
greater protectionisms of nation-states;
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2839
većeg protekcionizma u nacionalnih država;
11:03
but also, as I just pointed out a moment ago,
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2509
ali također, kako sam ukazala maloprije,
11:05
ever-declining political rights
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2167
stalnog pada političkih prava
11:07
and individual rights.
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2061
i prava pojedinca.
11:09
The question that is left for us in general
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2762
Pitanje koje je općenito pred nama
11:12
is, what then should the West be doing?
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jest, što bi onda Zapad trebao činiti?
11:15
And I suggest that they have two options.
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A ja sugeriram da imaju dvije opcije.
11:18
The West can either compete or cooperate.
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4417
Zapad se može ili natjecati ili surađivati.
11:22
If the West chooses to compete with the Chinese model,
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3188
Ako se Zapad odluči natjecati sa Kineskim modelom,
11:26
and in effect go around the world
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2007
dakle ići oko svijeta
11:28
and continue to try and push an agenda
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2327
te nastaviti pokušavati progurati agendu
11:30
of private capitalism and liberal democracy,
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3040
privatnog kapitalizma i liberalne demokracije,
11:33
this is basically going against headwinds,
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2656
to bi bilo čisto kretanje protiv struje,
11:36
but it also would be a natural stance
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2024
ali to bi također bio prirodan stav
11:38
for the West to take
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1461
koji bi Zapad mogao zauzeti
11:39
because in many ways it is the antithesis
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2033
stoga što je to na puno načina antiteza
11:41
of the Chinese model
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2147
KIneskog modela
11:43
of de-prioritizing democracy, and state capitalism.
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4128
podređivanja demokracije, i državnog kapitalizma.
11:47
Now the fact of the matter is,
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1779
Sad, činjenica jest
11:49
if the West decides to compete,
275
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1958
ako se Zapad odluči natjecati,
11:51
it will create a wider schism.
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3398
to će stvoriti širi rascjep.
11:55
The other option is for the West to cooperate,
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2853
Druga je mogućnost da Zapad surađuje,
11:57
and by cooperating I mean
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1594
a pod suradnjom mislim na
11:59
giving the emerging market countries the flexibility
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3510
davanje tržištima u nastajanju fleksibilnost
12:03
to figure out in an organic way
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2047
da shvate na organski način
12:05
what political and economic system
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1762
koji politički i ekonomski sustav
12:06
works best for them.
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1693
za njih radi najbolje.
12:08
Now I'm sure some of you in the room
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1730
Sad, sigurna sam da će neki od vas u sobi
12:10
will be thinking, well, this is like ceding to China,
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2874
razmišljati, dobro, ovo je poput ustupanja mjesta Kini,
12:13
and this is a way, in other words,
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2071
a ovo je put, drugim riječima,
12:15
for the West to take a back seat.
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1912
kojim će Zapad završiti na zadnjem sjedištu.
12:17
But I put it to you
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1455
Ali natuknula bih vam
12:18
that if the United States and European countries
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2350
da ako Sjedinjene države i Europske zemlje
12:20
want to remain globally influential,
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2651
žele ostati globalno utjecajne,
12:23
they may have to consider cooperating
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1870
mogle bi razmisliti o suradnji
12:25
in the short term in order to compete,
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2549
u kratkom roku da bi se mogli natjecati kasnije,
12:28
and by that, they might have to focus
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2243
a pod tim, mogli bi se fokusirati
12:30
more aggressively on economic outcomes
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agresivnije na ekonomske rezultate
12:33
to help create the middle class
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1709
da pomognu stvoriti srednju klasu
12:35
and therefore be able to hold government accountable
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2671
i time biti u mogućnosti držati vlast odgovornom
12:37
and create the democracies that we really want.
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4027
te stvoriti demokracije koje zbilja želimo.
12:41
The fact of the matter is that
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Činjenica je kako
12:44
instead of going around the world
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1903
umjesto da ide oko svijeta
12:46
and haranguing countries for engaging with China,
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3487
i drži govore zemljama radi surađivanja s Kinom,
12:49
the West should be encouraging its own businesses
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2960
Zapad bi trebao ohrabrivati vlastite tvrtke
12:52
to trade and invest in these regions.
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da trguju i investiraju u te regije.
12:55
Instead of criticizing China for bad behavior,
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4252
Umjesto kritiziranja Kine za loše ponašanje,
12:59
the West should be showing how it is
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2600
Zapad bi trebao pokazivati po čemu je to
13:02
that their own system of politics and economics
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2387
njihov vlastiti sustav politike i ekonomije
13:04
is the superior one.
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2150
onaj koji je superioran.
13:06
And instead of shoehorning democracy
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2020
A umjesto nametanja demokracije
13:08
around the world,
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1491
širom svijeta,
13:10
perhaps the West should take a leaf
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790227
1275
možda bi Zapad trebao počitati list
13:11
out of its own history book
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1852
iz vlastite knjige povijesti
13:13
and remember that it takes a lot of patience
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2850
te zapamtiti da treba puno strpljenja
13:16
in order to develop the models
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1570
da bi se razvili modeli
13:17
and the systems that you have today.
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2333
i sustavi koje imate danas.
13:20
Indeed, the Supreme Court Justice Stephen Breyer
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3472
Zbilja, sudac vrhovnog suda Stephen Breyer
13:23
reminds us that it took the United States
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2629
podsjeća nas da je Sjedinjenim državama trebalo
13:26
nearly 170 years
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2646
gotovo 170 godina
13:28
from the time that the Constitution was written
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2669
od vremena kad je Ustav napisan
13:31
for there to be equal rights in the United States.
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2960
do uspostave jednakih prava u Sjedinjenim državama.
13:34
Some people would argue that today
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1362
Neki ljudi bi tvrdili da čak ni danas
13:35
there is still no equal rights.
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1514
još uvijek nema jednakih prava.
13:37
In fact, there are groups who would argue
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1846
Zapravo, postoje grupe koje bi tvrdile
13:39
that they still do not have equal rights under the law.
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5328
da još uvijek nemaju jednaka prava pred zakonom.
13:44
At its very best,
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1582
U svom najboljem svjetlu
13:46
the Western model speaks for itself.
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2252
Zapadni model govori sam za sebe.
13:48
It's the model that put food on the table.
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2161
To je model koji donosi hranu u kuću.
13:50
It's the refrigerators.
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1591
To su frižideri.
13:52
It put a man on the moon.
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2032
Spustio je čovjeka na Mjesec.
13:54
But the fact of the matter is,
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1790
Ali činjenica je,
13:55
although people back in the day
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1650
iako su ljudi ranije
13:57
used to point at the Western countries and say,
329
837591
2066
običavali pokazivati na Zapadne zemlje i govoriti:
13:59
"I want that, I like that,"
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2043
"Želim to, sviđa mi se to."
14:01
there's now a new person in town
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2159
u gradu je sada nova osoba
14:03
in the form of a country, China.
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2439
u obliku zemlje, Kine.
14:06
Today, generations are looking at China
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846298
2086
Danas, generacije gledaju u Kinu
14:08
and saying, "China can produce infrastructure,
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2640
i govore: "Kina može proizvesti infrastrukturu,"
14:11
China can produce economic growth,
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2116
"Kina može proizvesti ekonomski rast,"
14:13
and we like that."
336
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1568
"i to nam se sviđa."
14:14
Because ultimately, the question before us,
337
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2714
Jer u krajnjoj liniji, pitanje pred nama,
14:17
and the question before
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1856
i pitanje pred
14:19
seven billion people on the planet
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1705
sedam milijardi ljudi na planetu
14:20
is, how can we create prosperity?
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3100
jest, kako možemo stvoriti blagostanje?
14:24
People who care and will pivot towards the model
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2915
Ljudi kojima je stalo i koji će se okrenuti modelu
14:26
of politics and economics
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1525
politike i ekonomije
14:28
in a very rational way,
343
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1567
na vrlo razuman način,
14:30
to those models that will ensure
344
870090
2465
ka onim modelima koji će osigurati
14:32
that they can have better living standards
345
872555
1981
da mogu imati bolje životne standarde
14:34
in the shortest period of time.
346
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2623
u najkraćem vemenskom roku.
14:37
As you leave here today,
347
877159
1711
Dok danas napuštate ovo mjesto,
14:38
I would like to leave you
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878870
1405
voljela bih napustiti vas
14:40
with a very personal message,
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1653
s vrlo osobnom porukom,
14:41
which is what it is that I believe
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2086
koja je ono za što vjerujem
14:44
we should be doing as individuals,
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2404
da bismo trebali raditi kao pojedinci,
14:46
and this is really about being open-minded,
352
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3369
i riječ je zbilja o bivanju otvorenih nazora,
14:49
open-minded to the fact that our hopes and dreams
353
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3339
otvorenih za činjenicu da naše nade i snovi
14:53
of creating prosperity for people around the world,
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3235
o stvaranju blagostanja za ljude širom svijeta,
14:56
creating and meaningfully putting a dent in poverty
355
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2924
smislenom pravljenju ulupljenja u siromaštvu
14:59
for hundreds of millions of people,
356
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1676
stotina milijuna ljudi,
15:00
has to be based in being open-minded,
357
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2784
moraju biti temeljeni na otvorenosti nazora,
15:03
because these systems have good things
358
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2227
jer ti sustavi imaju dobre stvari
15:05
and they have bad things.
359
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2477
i imaju loše stvari.
15:08
Just to illustrate,
360
908449
1709
Samo da ilustriram,
15:10
I went into my annals of myself.
361
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2486
otišla sam u vlastitu prošlost.
15:12
That's a picture of me.
362
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1782
Ovo je moja slika.
15:14
Awww. (Laughter)
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2240
Awww. (Smijeh)
15:16
I was born and raised in Zambia in 1969.
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4226
Rođena sam i othranjena u Zambiji 1969.
15:20
At the time of my birth,
365
920892
1947
U vrijeme mog rođenja,
15:22
blacks were not issued birth certificates,
366
922839
2082
crncima nisu izdavali rodne listove,
15:24
and that law only changed in 1973.
367
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2344
a taj se zakon promijenio tek 1973.
15:27
This is an affidavit from the Zambian government.
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3145
Ovo je pismena izjava Zambijske vlade.
15:30
I bring this to you to tell you that in 40 years,
369
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2452
Prikazujem je da vam kaže kako sam u 40 godina
15:32
I've gone from not being recognized as a human being
370
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2885
prešla put od neprepoznavanja kao ljudskog bića
15:35
to standing in front of the illustrious TED crowd today
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2947
da stajanja ispred slavne ekipe iz TED-a danas
15:38
to talk to you about my views.
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2578
da bih vam pričala o svojim pogledima.
15:41
In this vein, we can increase economic growth.
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3724
Na isti način, možemo povećati ekonomski rast.
15:44
We can meaningfully put a dent in poverty.
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3417
Možemo smisleno napraviti ulupljenje u siromaštvu.
15:48
But also, it's going to require
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2201
Ali također, biti će potrebno
15:50
that we look at our assumptions,
376
950614
1994
da pregledamo svoje pretpostavke,
15:52
assumptions and strictures that we've grown up with
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pretpostavke i ograničenosti s kojima smo odrasli
15:54
around democracy, around private capitalism,
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1979
glede demokracije, glede privatnog kapitalizma,
15:56
around what creates economic growth
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1935
glede razloga što uzrokuju ekonomski rast
15:58
and reduces poverty and creates freedoms.
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smanjenje siromaštva i stvaraju slobode.
16:01
We might have to tear those books up
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1877
Možda bi trebali podrapati te računice
16:03
and start to look at other options
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2571
te početi gledati na druge mogućnosti
16:05
and be open-minded to seek the truth.
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2857
i biti otvorenih nazora u potrazi za istinom.
16:08
Ultimately, it's about transforming the world
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U krajnjoj liniji, riječ je o mijenjanju svijeta
16:10
and making it a better place.
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i stvaranju od njega boljeg mjesta.
16:12
Thank you very much.
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Hvala vam.
16:14
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
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