How we use astrophysics to study earthbound problems | Federica Bianco

39,845 views ・ 2019-10-10

TED


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翻译人员: Theo Chiang 校对人员: Yolanda Zhang
00:13
I am an astrophysicist.
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我是一名天体物理学家,
00:15
I research stellar explosions across the universe.
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研究宇宙中的恒星爆炸。
00:19
But I have a flaw:
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但是我有个缺点:
00:21
I'm restless, and I get bored easily.
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我呆不住,而且很容易厌烦。
00:24
And although as an astrophysicist, I have the incredible opportunity
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虽然作为一个天体物理学家,
00:27
to study the entire universe,
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我有很好的机会去研究整个宇宙。
00:29
the thought of doing only that, always that,
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但是一想到只能且一直做这一件事,
00:32
makes me feel caged and limited.
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我就感觉被禁锢,被制约。
00:36
What if my issues with keeping attention and getting bored
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但是,如果我注意力不集中、 容易厌烦的毛病
00:40
were not a flaw, though?
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不是一个缺点,又会怎样呢?
00:42
What if I could turn them into an asset?
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如果我可以把它们变成 优点,会怎样呢?
00:45
An astrophysicist cannot touch or interact with
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天体物理学家不能和研究对象
00:48
the things that she studies.
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进行接触或者交流,
00:50
No way to explode a star in a lab to figure out why or how it blew up.
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没办法在实验室引爆一颗恒星 来探明其爆炸的原因或方式,
00:54
Just pictures and movies of the sky.
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而只能依靠天空 的图片和影像进行推理。
00:57
Everything we know about the universe,
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我们对宇宙所知道的一切,
00:59
from the big bang that originated space and time,
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从创造了时间和空间的大爆炸
01:02
to the formation and evolution of stars and galaxies,
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到恒星和星系的形成与演变,
01:05
to the structure of our own solar system,
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到我们自己太阳系的结构,
01:08
we figured out studying images of the sky.
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都是我们通过研究天空 的图像得出的结论。
01:12
And to study a system as complex as the entire universe,
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为了研究整个宇宙这样复杂的系统,
01:15
astrophysicists are experts at extracting simple models and solutions
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天体物理学家十分善于 从庞大复杂的数据集中
01:20
from large and complex data sets.
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找出简单的模型和方案。
01:23
So what else can I do with this expertise?
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那我还能靠这个专长做什么?
01:28
What if we turned the camera around towards us?
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如果我们把镜头转到自己身上, 又会发生什么呢?
01:33
At the Urban Observatory, that is exactly what we are doing.
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这正是我们在城市观测台做的事。
01:36
Greg Dobler, also an astrophysicist
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我的丈夫,格雷格•多布勒,
01:38
and my husband,
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也是一名天体物理学家,
01:39
created the first urban observatory in New York University in 2013,
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2013年在纽约市建立了 第一个城市观测台,
01:43
and I joined in 2015.
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而我在2015年加入。
01:45
Here are some of the things that we do.
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下面是一些我们做的工作。
01:48
We take pictures of the city at night
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我们为夜间的城市拍照,
01:50
and study city lights like stars.
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像研究恒星一样研究城市的灯光。
01:53
By studying how light changes over time
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通过研究光线随时间的变化,
01:55
and the color of astronomical lights,
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以及天体光线的颜色,
01:57
I gain insight about the nature of exploding stars.
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我窥见恒星爆炸的深层原理。
02:00
By studying city lights the same way,
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同样地,通过研究城市灯光,
02:03
we can measure and predict how much energy the city needs and consumes
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我们可以估算城市 需要和消耗的电力,
02:07
and help build a resilient grid
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可以帮助构建弹性输电网,
02:09
that will support the needs of growing urban environments.
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以此支持电力需求 和城市发展环境的需要。
02:14
In daytime images, we capture plumes of pollution.
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在日间图片中, 我们捕捉污染的痕迹。
02:18
Seventy-five percent of greenhouse gases in New York City
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纽约市百分之七十五的温室气体
02:21
come from a building like this one, burning oil for heat.
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来自于像这样 燃烧石油供暖的建筑。
02:26
You can measure pollution with air quality sensors.
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我们可以用空气质量感应器 测量污染程度,
02:28
But imagine putting a sensor on each New York City building,
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但是假设在纽约市 每一栋建筑上都放一个感应器,
02:32
reading in data from a million monitors.
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从无数个检测器上读取数据会怎样?
02:35
Imagine the cost.
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想象一下这样做的成本。
02:38
With a team of NYU students, we built a mathematical model,
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我们和纽约大学一个学生团队 一起建立了一个数学模型,
02:41
a neural network that can detect and track these plumes
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一个覆盖纽约城市轮廓线, 能够侦测并追踪
02:44
over the New York City skyline.
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污染痕迹的神经网络。
02:46
We can classify them --
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我们可以把这些痕迹分类:
02:48
harmless steam plumes, white and evanescent;
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无害的水蒸汽痕迹是白色的, 很快就会消失;
02:51
polluting smokestacks, dark and persistent --
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有污染性的烟尘是黑色的, 会长期存在——
02:54
and provide policy makers with a map of neighborhood pollution.
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所以我们给政策制定者绘制了 一张周边地区的污染分布地图。
02:59
This cross-disciplinary project created transformational solutions.
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这个跨学科的项目催生了 可转换的解决方案,
03:05
But the data analysis methodologies we use in astrophysics
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但是我们在天体物理学中 使用的数据分析方法,
03:08
can be applied to all sorts of data,
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可以被应用于各种数据,
03:10
not just images.
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不仅仅是图像。
03:12
We were asked to help a California district attorney
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有人请我们去帮助加利福尼亚 的一位地方检察官,
03:14
understand prosecutorial delays in their jurisdiction.
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来研究他们管辖范围内 的拖延起诉问题。
03:18
There are people on probation or sitting in jail,
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被判缓刑或坐牢的人,
03:21
awaiting for trial sometimes for years.
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有时要等上几年才会受到审判。
03:24
They wanted to know what kind of cases dragged on,
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他们想知道哪种案件会拖延,
03:26
and they had a massive data set to explore to understand it,
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他们有一个巨大的数据集 需要探索和研究,
03:29
but didn't have the expertise
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但是他们没有专业技能,
03:31
or the instruments in their office to do so.
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办公室里也没有相应的仪器。
03:33
And that's where we came in.
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而这就是我们来的原因。
03:35
I worked with my colleague, public policy professor Angela Hawken,
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我和我的同事,公共政策专家 安吉拉•霍肯一起工作,
03:38
and our team first created a visual dashboard
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我们的团队首先打造了 一个可视化的操作界面,
03:42
for DAs to see and better understand the prosecution process.
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让地方检察官看到 并更好地理解诉讼流程。
03:46
But also, we ourselves analyzed their data,
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但是我们自己也分析了他们的数据,
03:49
looking to see if the duration of the process
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希望能查明在他们管辖范围中 诉讼流程的耗时
03:52
suffered from social inequalities in their jurisdiction.
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是否受社会不公影响。
03:56
We did so using methods
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我们采取的方法,
03:57
that I would use to classify thousands of stellar explosions,
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是我给数以千计 恒星爆炸分类时用的,
04:00
applied to thousands of court cases.
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而这个方法又被应用到 数以千计的案件中。
04:03
And in doing so,
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通过这种方法,
04:04
we built a model that can be applied to other jurisdictions
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我们创建了一个可以 被应用到其他地区的模型,
04:07
who are willing to explore their biases.
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只要他们愿意探究其趋势。
04:09
These collaborations between domain experts and astrophysicists
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区域专家和天体物理学家的合作,
04:13
created transformational solutions
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产生了具有转变意义的解决方案,
04:15
to help improve people's quality of life.
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以此帮助改善人们的生活质量。
04:19
But it is a two-way road.
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但这是一条双向道。
04:20
I bring my astrophysics background to urban science,
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我把我的天体物理学背景知识 应用到城市科学中,
04:23
and I bring what I learn in urban science back to astrophysics.
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同时把学到的知识 用回到天体物理学中。
04:27
Light echoes:
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光有回声:
04:30
the reflections of stellar explosions onto interstellar dust.
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是恒星爆炸在星际尘埃上 留下的反射痕迹。
04:36
In our images, these reflections appear as white, evanescent, moving features,
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在我们的图像中,这些反射呈现出白色, 带有逐渐消失,正在移动的特征,
04:41
just like plumes.
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就像污染痕迹。
04:43
I am adapting the same models that detect plumes in city images
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我正在把利用城市图像 检测污染痕迹的模型,
04:47
to detect light echoes in images of the sky.
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改造成利用星空图 检测光回声的相似模型。
04:52
By exploring the things that interest and excite me,
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通过探索使我感兴趣又激动的事物,
04:55
reaching outside of my domain,
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走出我的专业领域,
04:57
I did turn my restlessness into an asset.
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我确实把我呆不住 的性格变成了一个优点。
05:01
We, you, all have a unique perspective that can generate new insight
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我们都有一种独特的视角, 可以带来新的深刻见解,
05:06
and lead to new, unexpected, transformational solutions.
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从而找到新的,难以预料的, 具有转换意义的解决方案。
05:10
Thank you.
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谢谢。
05:12
(Applause)
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(掌声)
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