Gary Flake: is Pivot a turning point for web exploration?

60,354 views ・ 2010-03-03

TED


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翻译人员: 周 宇轩 校对人员: dahong zhang
00:16
If I can leave you with one big idea today,
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如果今天我可以留给你们一个理念
00:18
it's that the whole of the data
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那就是我们消费的所有的数据所富含的信息大于各部分相加的总和,
00:20
in which we consume
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那就是我们消费的所有的数据所富含的信息大于各部分相加的总和,
00:22
is greater that the sum of the parts,
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那就是我们消费的所有的数据所富含的信息大于各部分相加的总和,
00:24
and instead of thinking about information overload,
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并且,与其思考信息爆炸
00:27
what I'd like you to think about is how
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我希望你想一想怎样使用
00:29
we can use information so that patterns pop
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这些信息,显示其中的规律
00:32
and we can see trends that would otherwise be invisible.
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使得我们能看见本来不可见的趋势,
00:35
So what we're looking at right here is a typical mortality chart
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那么我们在这里看到的是一个典型的死亡率图表
00:38
organized by age.
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按照年龄分组
00:40
This tool that I'm using here is a little experiment.
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我在这里使用的工具是一个小实验
00:42
It's called Pivot, and with Pivot what I can do
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它称为Pivot,我能用Pivot
00:45
is I can choose to filter in one particular cause of deaths -- say, accidents.
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选择过滤特殊死亡原因,譬如事故
00:49
And, right away, I see there's a different pattern that emerges.
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立刻,我看到一个不同的模式展现出来
00:52
This is because, in the mid-area here,
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这是因为,在中间这里
00:54
people are at their most active,
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人们在他们最活跃的年龄
00:56
and over here they're at their most frail.
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而在这里他们也是最体弱多病的时候
00:58
We can step back out again
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我们可以退回来
01:00
and then reorganize the data by cause of death,
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根据死亡原因重组数据
01:02
seeing that circulatory diseases and cancer
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我们看到循环系统疾病和癌症
01:05
are the usual suspects, but not for everyone.
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是致死的主要病症,但这个规律并非适用于每个人
01:08
If we go ahead and we filter by age --
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如果我们按照年龄过滤,
01:11
say 40 years or less --
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譬如40岁以下
01:13
we see that accidents are actually
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我们可以看到
01:15
the greatest cause that people have to be worried about.
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意外事故变成了人们需要格外小心的杀手
01:18
And if you drill into that, it's especially the case for men.
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如果你进一步挖掘,会发现这一条尤其针对男性适用
01:21
So you get the idea
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好了,你大概明白这个工具的作用了
01:23
that viewing information, viewing data in this way,
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通过这种方式查看信息,数据
01:26
is a lot like swimming
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很像在
01:28
in a living information info-graphic.
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鲜活的信息资料图片中遨游。
01:31
And if we can do this for raw data,
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如果我们能够对原始数据这样做
01:33
why not do it for content as well?
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为什么不也在内容上做呢?
01:36
So what we have right here
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因此我们在这里展示
01:38
is the cover of every single Sports Illustrated
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有史以来的
01:41
ever produced.
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每一期体育画报的封面
01:43
It's all here; it's all on the web.
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全部在这里,全部在网络上。
01:45
You can go back to your rooms and try this after my talk.
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你可以在我演讲结束后回到你的房间试试看。
01:48
With Pivot, you can drill into a decade.
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使用Pivot,你能够以十年为单位查看。
01:51
You can drill into a particular year.
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你能够深入指定的某一年。
01:53
You can jump right into a specific issue.
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你能直接进入一个某一期
01:56
So I'm looking at this; I see the athletes
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比如我看到这个;我看见曾经出现在这期中的
01:58
that have appeared in this issue, the sports.
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运动员,体育。
02:00
I'm a Lance Armstrong fan, so I'll go ahead and I'll click on that,
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我是兰斯·阿姆斯特朗的粉丝,所以我继续点击
02:03
which reveals, for me, all the issues
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它就给我展示了所有
02:05
in which Lance Armstrong's been a part of.
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这只是兰斯·阿姆斯特朗所有问题中的一部分
02:07
(Applause)
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(掌声欢呼)
02:10
Now, if I want to just kind of take a peek at these,
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现在,如果我仅仅是想取样这些数据的高峰
02:13
I might think,
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我会想,
02:15
"Well, what about taking a look at all of cycling?"
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好吧,看看所有自行车运动员如何?
02:17
So I can step back, and expand on that.
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因此,我可以退一步,并扩大这一点
02:19
And I see Greg LeMond now.
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我现在看见了格雷格·莱蒙德
02:21
And so you get the idea that when you
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因此你要明白
02:23
navigate over information this way --
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当你用这种方式浏览信息时
02:25
going narrower, broader,
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狭窄的,宽阔的,
02:27
backing in, backing out --
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后退,反向,
02:29
you're not searching, you're not browsing.
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你不是在搜寻,不是在浏览。
02:31
You're doing something that's actually a little bit different.
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你做的事实际上有点不同。
02:33
It's in between, and we think it changes
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介于两者之间,并且我们认为
02:36
the way information can be used.
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这改变了信息的使用方式
02:38
So I want to extrapolate on this idea a bit
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因此,我推断在这个想法上
02:40
with something that's a little bit crazy.
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有些东西是有点疯狂。
02:42
What we're done here is we've taken every single Wikipedia page
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我们在这儿做的是摘取每个维基百科的页面
02:45
and we reduced it down to a little summary.
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然后压缩为一个小小的摘要
02:48
So the summary consists of just a little synopsis
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摘要包含了简介
02:51
and an icon to indicate the topical area that it comes from.
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一个图标显示它来自专业领域。
02:54
I'm only showing the top 500
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我仅仅在这里展示前500个
02:57
most popular Wikipedia pages right here.
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最受欢迎的维基百科页面
02:59
But even in this limited view,
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但即使在这些有限的浏览中,
03:01
we can do a lot of things.
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我们依然可以做很多事情。
03:03
Right away, we get a sense of what are the topical domains
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立刻,我们得知
03:05
that are most popular on Wikipedia.
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维基百科上最流行的是什么。
03:07
I'm going to go ahead and select government.
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我继续前进并选择政府。
03:09
Now, having selected government,
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现在,通过选定后的政府,
03:12
I can now see that the Wikipedia categories
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我可以看到在维基百科类别中
03:14
that most frequently correspond to that
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最常对应的
03:16
are Time magazine People of the Year.
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是时代周刊年度风云人物
03:19
So this is really important because this is an insight
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这是很重要的 因为这是一项
03:22
that was not contained within any one Wikipedia page.
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不属于任何一个维基网页所载述的内容。
03:25
It's only possible to see that insight
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只有你退后几步俯瞰全局
03:27
when you step back and look at all of them.
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才有可能看的透彻
03:30
Looking at one of these particular summaries,
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看看这些特殊摘要中的一种,
03:32
I can then drill into the concept of
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随后我能深入
03:35
Time magazine Person of the Year,
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时代杂志年度风云人物
03:37
bringing up all of them.
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深入他们。
03:39
So looking at these people,
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所以,看看这些人
03:41
I can see that the majority come from government;
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我可以看到大多数来自政府。
03:45
some have come from natural sciences;
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有一部分来自自然科学界。
03:49
some, fewer still, have come from business --
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更少的部分来自商界。
03:53
there's my boss --
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其中有我的老板。
03:55
and one has come from music.
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一个来自音乐界。
04:00
And interestingly enough,
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而有趣的是,
04:02
Bono is also a TED Prize winner.
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波诺也是TED大奖得主。
04:05
So we can go, jump, and take a look at all the TED Prize winners.
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因此我们能够继续,跳转,看看所有的TED大奖得主。
04:08
So you see, we're navigating the web for the first time
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所以你看,这是我们第一次在网络上遨游
04:11
as if it's actually a web, not from page-to-page,
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仿佛的确是一张网,不仅一页一页的。
04:14
but at a higher level of abstraction.
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而且是在更高的抽象层次上的网。
04:16
And so I want to show you one other thing
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所以我想告诉你另一件事
04:18
that may catch you a little bit by surprise.
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可能会让你吃惊。
04:21
I'm just showing the New York Times website here.
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我只是在这展示纽约时报网站。
04:24
So Pivot, this application --
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Pivot,这个应用程序——
04:26
I don't want to call it a browser; it's really not a browser,
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我不想称之为浏览器,它确实不仅是一个浏览器,
04:28
but you can view web pages with it --
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你能用它浏览网页——
04:31
and we bring that zoomable technology
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并且我们给每个像这样的网页引入了可缩放技术。
04:33
to every single web page like this.
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并且我们给每个像这样的网页引入了可缩放技术。
04:36
So I can step back,
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因此我可以退后,
04:39
pop right back into a specific section.
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退后到特定的地方
04:41
Now the reason why this is important is because,
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为什么这个是重要的是因为,
04:43
by virtue of just viewing web pages in this way,
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由于通过这种方式浏览网页的好处,
04:46
I can look at my entire browsing history
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我能用完全相同的方式
04:48
in the exact same way.
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看到我的全部浏览历史。
04:50
So I can drill into what I've done
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因此我能深入
04:52
over specific time frames.
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具体时间段的具体事件。
04:54
Here, in fact, is the state
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这里,事实上,
04:56
of all the demo that I just gave.
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是我刚才所有演示的情况。
04:58
And I can sort of replay some stuff that I was looking at earlier today.
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我可以在某种程度上重放我今天早些时候看到的东西。
05:01
And, if I want to step back and look at everything,
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如果我想退后一步看所一切东西,
05:04
I can slice and dice my history,
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我可以切割我的历史
05:06
perhaps by my search history --
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也许是我的搜索历史。
05:08
here, I was doing some nepotistic searching,
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这里,我做了一些相关搜索,
05:10
looking for Bing, over here for Live Labs Pivot.
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搜寻Bing,在这里有关微软Live Labs的Pivot。
05:13
And from these, I can drill into the web page
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从这些,我可以深入网页
05:15
and just launch them again.
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仅仅重启他们。
05:17
It's one metaphor repurposed multiple times,
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这是同样的信息,因不同目的被多次组合使用,
05:20
and in each case it makes the whole greater
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每次重新组合,使得它比组合起来的整体所含信息更多。
05:22
than the sum of the parts with the data.
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每次重新组合,使得它比组合起来的整体所含信息更多。
05:24
So right now, in this world,
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现在,在这个世界上,
05:27
we think about data as being this curse.
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我们谈到数据常常提到这个诅咒。
05:30
We talk about the curse of information overload.
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我们谈论信息爆炸魔咒。
05:33
We talk about drowning in data.
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我们谈论淹没在信息海洋中。
05:36
What if we can actually turn that upside down
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假设我们能把这种观念颠覆
05:38
and turn the web upside down,
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把网络上下颠覆,
05:40
so that instead of navigating from one thing to the next,
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相对于单线信息相互链接的情况,
05:43
we get used to the habit of being able to go from many things to many things,
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让我们开始习惯多样信息链接多样信息,
05:46
and then being able to see the patterns
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然后看到除此方式外无法看到的,隐藏规律?
05:48
that were otherwise hidden?
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然后看到除此方式外无法看到的,隐藏规律?
05:50
If we can do that, then instead of being trapped in data,
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如果我们能做到这一点,而不是被困在数据中,
05:55
we might actually extract information.
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我们才能真正的获取信息。
05:58
And, instead of dealing just with information,
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并且,不仅仅是处理信息,
06:00
we can tease out knowledge.
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我们还可以梳理知识。
06:02
And if we get the knowledge, then maybe even there's wisdom to be found.
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如果我们获得知识,之后甚至可以发现智慧。
06:05
So with that, I thank you.
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谢谢。
06:07
(Applause)
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(掌声欢呼)
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