How fear drives American politics | David Rothkopf | TED Talks

167,549 views ・ 2015-10-02

TED


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Prevoditelj: Dora Ustulica Recezent: Sonja Žarić
00:12
What I'd like to do is talk to you a little bit about fear
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Ono što želim ovdje je malo popričati s vama o strahu,
00:16
and the cost of fear
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i cijeni straha,
00:18
and the age of fear from which we are now emerging.
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i razdoblju straha iz kojeg sada isplovljavamo.
00:22
I would like you to feel comfortable with my doing that
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Želim da se osjećate ugodno što to činim,
00:26
by letting you know that I know something about fear and anxiety.
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kad vam dam do znanja da znam ponešto o strahu i tjeskobi.
00:31
I'm a Jewish guy from New Jersey.
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Židov sam iz New Jerseyja.
00:33
(Laughter)
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(smijeh)
00:35
I could worry before I could walk.
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Brinuo sam prije nego što sam prohodao.
00:37
(Laughter)
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(smijeh)
00:39
Please, applaud that.
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Molim vas, zaplješčite tome.
00:41
(Applause)
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(pljesak)
00:44
Thank you.
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Hvala.
00:46
But I also grew up in a time where there was something to fear.
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Ali sam također odrastao u razdoblju kad je strah bio opravdan.
00:52
We were brought out in the hall when I was a little kid
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Doveli su nas hodnik kad sam bio malo dijete
00:56
and taught how to put our coats over our heads
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i naučili nas kako da stavimo kaput preko glave
00:59
to protect us from global thermonuclear war.
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da se zaštitimo od svjetskog termonuklearnog rata.
01:03
Now even my seven-year-old brain knew that wasn't going to work.
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Čak je i moj sedmogodišnji mozak znao da to neće funkcionirati.
01:09
But I also knew
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Ali sam također znao
01:10
that global thermonuclear war was something to be concerned with.
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da je svjetski termonuklearni rat nešto oko čega trebamo biti zabrinuti.
01:15
And yet, despite the fact that we lived for 50 years
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I iako smo živjeli 50 godina
01:19
with the threat of such a war,
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s prijetnjom takvog rata,
01:21
the response of our government and of our society
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odgovor naše vlade i našeg društva
01:25
was to do wonderful things.
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je bio raditi divne stvari.
01:28
We created the space program in response to that.
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Kreirali smo svemirski program kao odgovor na to.
01:31
We built our highway system in response to that.
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Izgradili smo sustav autocesta kao odgovor na to.
01:34
We created the Internet in response to that.
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Stvorili smo internet kao odgovor na to.
01:37
So sometimes fear can produce a constructive response.
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Tako da strah nekada može proizvesti konstruktivni odgovor.
01:42
But sometimes it can produce an un-constructive response.
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Ali nekada može priozvesti nekonstruktivni odgovor.
01:47
On September 11, 2001,
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11. rujna 2001.,
01:49
19 guys took over four airplanes
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19 mladića je otelo četiri zrakoplova
01:54
and flew them into a couple of buildings.
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i zabilo se njima u par zgrada.
01:57
They exacted a horrible toll.
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Iznudili su užasan danak.
02:00
It is not for us to minimize what that toll was.
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Nije na nama da umanjimo što je bio danak.
02:04
But the response that we had was clearly disproportionate --
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Ali odgovor koji smo imali je bio očito neproporcionalan --
02:11
disproportionate to the point of verging on the unhinged.
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neproporcionalan do točke koja graniči sa poremećenim.
02:16
We rearranged the national security apparatus of the United States
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Restrukturirali smo aparat nacionalne sigurnosti SAD-a
02:20
and of many governments
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i mnogih vlada
02:22
to address a threat that, at the time that those attacks took place,
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da bismo odgovorili na prijetnju, koja je u vrijeme kad su se napadi dogodili
02:27
was quite limited.
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bila dosta ograničena.
02:28
In fact, according to our intelligence services,
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Zapravo, prema izvještaju naših obavještajnih službi,
02:32
on September 11, 2001,
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11. rujna 2001.
02:35
there were 100 members of core Al-Qaeda.
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postojalo je 100 članova jezgre Al-Qaeda-e.
02:39
There were just a few thousand terrorists.
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Bilo je samo par tisuća terorista.
02:42
They posed an existential threat
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Oni nikome nisu predstavljali
02:45
to no one.
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egzistencijalnu prijetnju.
02:47
But we rearranged our entire national security apparatus
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Ali mi smo reorganizirali naš cijeli aparat nacionalne sigurnosti
02:52
in the most sweeping way since the end of the Second World War.
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na najobuhvatniji način od kraja Drugog svjetskog rata.
02:56
We launched two wars.
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Pokrenuli smo dva rata.
02:58
We spent trillions of dollars.
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Potrošili smo trilijune dolara.
03:00
We suspended our values.
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Zanemarili smo svoje vrijednosti.
03:02
We violated international law.
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Prekršili smo međunarodno pravo.
03:04
We embraced torture.
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Prihvatili smo mučenje.
03:06
We embraced the idea
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Prihvatili smo ideju,
03:07
that if these 19 guys could do this, anybody could do it.
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da ako je tih 19 mladića to moglo, svatko to može.
03:11
And therefore, for the first time in history,
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I zato, prvi put u povijesti
03:14
we were seeing everybody as a threat.
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smo svakoga vidjeli kao prijetnju.
03:17
And what was the result of that?
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I koji je bio rezultat toga?
03:19
Surveillance programs that listened in on the emails and phone calls
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Programi praćenja e-mailova, prisluškivanje telefonskih poziva
03:23
of entire countries --
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cijelih država --
03:25
hundreds of millions of people --
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stotine miljuna ljudi --
03:27
setting aside whether those countries were our allies,
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stavljajući na stranu jesu li nam te zemlje saveznici,
03:30
setting aside what our interests were.
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stavljajući na stranu koji su naši interesi.
03:34
I would argue that 15 years later,
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Usudio bih se reći da 15 godina kasnije,
03:38
since today there are more terrorists,
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jer danas ima više terorista,
03:40
more terrorist attacks, more terrorist casualties --
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više terorističkih napada, više žrtava terorizma --
03:44
this by the count of the U.S. State Department --
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ovo su podaci američkog Ministarstva vanjskih poslova --
03:47
since today the region from which those attacks emanate
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s obzirom da je danas regija iz koje ti napadi proizlaze
03:50
is more unstable than at any time in its history,
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nestabilnija nego ikad prije,
03:54
since the Flood, perhaps,
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od Velikog potopa, možda,
03:57
we have not succeeded in our response.
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nismo uspjeli u našem odgovoru.
04:02
Now you have to ask, where did we go wrong?
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Sigurno se pitate, gdje smo pogriješili?
04:04
What did we do? What was the mistake that was made?
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Što smo napravili? Koju pogrešku smo počinili?
04:06
And you might say, well look, Washington is a dysfunctional place.
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I možete reći, čujte, Washington je disfunkcionalno mjesto.
04:10
There are political food fights.
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Tamo se odvijaju političke borbe.
04:12
We've turned our discourse into a cage match.
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Pretvorili smo naš govor u borbe u kavezu.
04:16
And that's true.
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I to je istina.
04:18
But there are bigger problems, believe it or not, than that dysfunction,
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Ali postoje veći problemi, vjerovali ili ne, od te disfunkcionalnosti,
04:21
even though I would argue
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iako bih rekao
04:23
that dysfunction that makes it impossible to get anything done
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da je disfunkcionalnost koja čini nemogućim išta učiniti
04:28
in the richest and most powerful country in the world
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u najbogatijoj i najmoćnijoj zemlji svijeta
04:31
is far more dangerous than anything that a group like ISIS could do,
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puno opasnija od bilo čega što grupe poput ISIS-a mogu,
04:37
because it stops us in our tracks and it keeps us from progress.
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zato što nas zaustavlja i spriječava u napretku.
04:42
But there are other problems.
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Ali ima i drugih problema.
04:44
And the other problems
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I drugi problemi
04:45
came from the fact that in Washington and in many capitals right now,
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su proizašli iz činjenice da smo u Washingtonu i mnogim drugim glavnim gradovima
04:48
we're in a creativity crisis.
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u krizi kreativnosti.
04:51
In Washington, in think tanks,
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U Washingtonu, u think tankovima,
04:53
where people are supposed to be thinking of new ideas,
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gdje bi ljudi trebali razmišljati o novim idejama,
04:56
you don't get bold new ideas,
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ne dobivate hrabre nove ideje,
04:59
because if you offer up a bold new idea,
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jer ako ponudite hrabru novu ideju,
05:01
not only are you attacked on Twitter,
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ne samo da vas napadnu na Twitteru,
05:03
but you will not get confirmed in a government job.
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nego vas neće ni potvrditi u vladinom poslu.
05:07
Because we are reactive to the heightened venom of the political debate,
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Zato što smo reaktivni na povišen otrov političke debate,
05:12
you get governments that have an us-versus-them mentality,
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dobivamo vlade koje imaju mentalitet mi-protiv-njih,
05:15
tiny groups of people making decisions.
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mala grupa ljudi koja donosi odluke.
05:17
When you sit in a room with a small group of people making decisions,
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Kada sjednete u sobu s malom grupom ljudi koji donose odluke,
05:21
what do you get?
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što dobijete?
05:22
You get groupthink.
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Dobijete grupno razmišljanje.
05:24
Everybody has the same worldview,
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Svi imaju isti pogled na svijet
05:25
and any view from outside of the group is seen as a threat.
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i svaki pogled izvan grupe je protumačen kao prijetnja.
05:29
That's a danger.
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To je opasnost.
05:31
You also have processes that become reactive to news cycles.
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Također imate procese koji postaju reaktivni na cikluse novosti.
05:35
And so the parts of the U.S. government that do foresight, that look forward,
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I tako dijelovi američke vlade koji rade predviđanja, koji gledaju naprijed,
05:39
that do strategy --
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koji razvijaju strategiju --
05:41
the parts in other governments that do this -- can't do it,
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dijelovi drugih vlada koji to čine -- ne mogu to činiti,
05:43
because they're reacting to the news cycle.
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jer reagiraju na ciklus novosti.
05:46
And so we're not looking ahead.
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I tako ne gledamo naprijed.
05:48
On 9/11, we had a crisis because we were looking the wrong way.
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11.9. smo imali krizu, jer smo gledali u krivom smjeru.
05:52
Today we have a crisis because, because of 9/11,
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Danas imamo krizu zbog 11.9.,
05:55
we are still looking in the wrong direction,
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još uvijek gledamo u krivom smjeru
05:58
and we know because we see transformational trends on the horizon
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i znamo, jer vidimo transformacijske trendove na horizontu
06:04
that are far more important than what we saw on 9/11;
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koji su daleko važniji od onog što smo vidjeli 11.9.;
06:09
far more important than the threat posed by these terrorists;
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daleko važniji od prijetnje koju predstavljaju teroristi;
06:13
far more important even than the instability that we've got
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daleko važniji čak i od nestabilnosti koju imamo
06:16
in some areas of the world that are racked by instability today.
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u nekim dijelovima svijeta koji su danas mučeni nestabilnošću.
06:21
In fact, the things that we are seeing in those parts of the world
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Zapravo, stvari koje vidimo u tim dijelovima svijeta
06:25
may be symptoms.
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bi mogle biti simptomi.
06:28
They may be a reaction to bigger trends.
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Mogle bi biti reakcija na veće trendove.
06:32
And if we are treating the symptom and ignoring the bigger trend,
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I ako tretiramo simptome, a ignoriramo veći trend,
06:37
then we've got far bigger problems to deal with.
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onda imamo mnogo veće probleme s kojima se trebamo baviti.
06:41
And so what are those trends?
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Što su, dakle,ti trendovi?
06:43
Well, to a group like you,
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Pa, grupi poput vas
06:45
the trends are apparent.
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trendovi su očiti.
06:48
We are living at a moment in which the very fabric of human society
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Živimo u trenutku u kojem se sama osnova ljudskog društva
06:53
is being rewoven.
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ponovo tkuje.
06:57
If you saw the cover of The Economist a couple of days ago --
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Ako ste vidjeli naslovnicu The Economista prije par dana --
07:00
it said that 80 percent of the people on the planet,
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pisalo je da će 80 posto ljudi na planetu
07:03
by the year 2020, would have a smartphone.
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do 2020. godine imati pametni telefon.
07:07
They would have a small computer connected to the Internet in their pocket.
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Imat će malo računalo povezano na internet u svom džepu.
07:11
In most of Africa, the cell phone penetration rate is 80 percent.
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U većini Afrike, porast broja mobitela je 80 posto.
07:17
We passed the point last October
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Shvatili smo to prošlog listopada
07:20
when there were more mobile cellular devices, SIM cards,
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kada je bilo više mobilnih uređaja, SIM kartica,
07:24
out in the world than there were people.
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na svijetu, nego što je bilo ljudi.
07:27
We are within years of a profound moment in our history,
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Živimo u godinama iznimno važnog trenutka u našoj povijesti,
07:33
when effectively every single human being on the planet
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kada će svako ljudsko biće na planetu
07:38
is going to be part of a man-made system for the first time,
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biti dio sustava koji je stvorio čovjek po prvi put,
07:43
able to touch anyone else --
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u mogućnosti dodirnuti bilo koga --
07:45
touch them for good, touch them for ill.
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dodirnuti ih u dobro, dodirnuti ih u zlo.
07:47
And the changes associated with that are changing the very nature
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I promjene povezane s tim mijenjaju samu prirodu
07:53
of every aspect of governance and life on the planet
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svakog aspekta vladanja i života na planetu,
07:57
in ways that our leaders ought to be thinking about,
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na način o kojem bi naši vođe trebali razmišljati
08:00
when they're thinking about these immediate threats.
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kada razmišljaju o tim neposrednim prijetnjama.
08:03
On the security side,
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Sa sigurnosne strane,
08:05
we've come out of a Cold War in which it was too costly to fight a nuclear war,
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izašli smo iz Hladnog rata u kojem je bilo preskupo voditi nuklearni rat,
08:11
and so we didn't,
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pa ga onda nismo vodili,
08:12
to a period that I call Cool War, cyber war,
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i ušli u razdoblje koje zovem Cool rat, kibernetički rat,
08:16
where the costs of conflict are actually so low, that we may never stop.
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u kojem su cijene ratovanja zapravo tako male, da možda nikad ne prestanemo.
08:22
We may enter a period of constant warfare,
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Mogli bismo ući u razdoblje konstantnog ratovanja,
08:24
and we know this because we've been in it for several years.
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a to znamo, jer smo u tome već nekoliko godina.
08:29
And yet, we don't have the basic doctrines to guide us in this regard.
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A ipak, nemamo osnovne doktrine da nas vode kroz to.
08:35
We don't have the basic ideas formulated.
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Nemamo formulirane osnovne ideje.
08:37
If someone attacks us with a cyber attack,
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Ako nas netko napadne kibernetički,
08:39
do have the ability to respond with a kinetic attack?
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imamo li mogućnost odgovoriti kinetičkim napadom?
08:43
We don't know.
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Ne znamo.
08:45
If somebody launches a cyber attack, how do we deter them?
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Ako netko započne kibernetički napad, kako ga zaustavimo?
08:49
When China launched a series of cyber attacks,
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Kada je Kina započela seriju kibernetičkih napada,
08:51
what did the U.S. government do?
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što je napravila američka vlada?
08:53
It said, we're going to indict a few of these Chinese guys,
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Rekli su, optužit ćemo par Kineza,
08:57
who are never coming to America.
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koji više nikada neće doći u Ameriku.
08:59
They're never going to be anywhere near a law enforcement officer
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Oni nikada neće biti blizu nekog službenika koji provodi zakon,
09:03
who's going to take them into custody.
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koji će ih uhititi.
09:06
It's a gesture -- it's not a deterrent.
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To je gesta -- ne sredstvo zastrašivanja.
09:09
Special forces operators out there in the field today
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Pripadnici specijalnih snaga koji su danas na terenu
09:13
discover that small groups of insurgents with cell phones
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otkrivaju da male grupe pobunjenika s mobitelima
09:18
have access to satellite imagery that once only superpowers had.
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imaju pristup satelitskim slikama koje su nekad imale samo supersile.
09:23
In fact, if you've got a cell phone,
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Zapravo, ako imate mobitel,
09:25
you've got access to power that a superpower didn't have,
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imate pristup moći kakvu supersila nije imala,
09:29
and would have highly classified 10 years ago.
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i koja bi bila strogo zaštićena prije 10 godina.
09:31
In my cell phone, I have an app that tells me
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U svom mobitelu imam aplikaciju koja mi pokazuje
09:34
where every plane in the world is, and its altitude, and its speed,
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gdje je svaki avion na svijetu, njegovu visinu, njegovu brzinu,
09:38
and what kind of aircraft it is,
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vrstu letjelice,
09:40
and where it's going and where it's landing.
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kamo ide, gdje će sletjeti.
09:44
They have apps that allow them to know
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Imaju aplikacije koje im omogućavaju
09:49
what their adversary is about to do.
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da saznaju na što se sprema protivnik.
09:51
They're using these tools in new ways.
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Koriste te alate na nov način.
09:53
When a cafe in Sydney was taken over by a terrorist,
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Kada je kafić u Sydneyju zauzeo terorist,
09:57
he went in with a rifle...
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ušao je s puškom...
10:00
and an iPad.
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i iPadom.
10:01
And the weapon was the iPad.
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I oružje je bio iPad.
10:04
Because he captured people, he terrorized them,
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Zato što je zarobio ljude, terorizirao ih,
10:08
he pointed the iPad at them,
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u njih uperio iPad,
10:11
and then he took the video and he put it on the Internet,
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i onda ih snimio i stavio to na internet,
10:13
and he took over the world's media.
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tako osvojivši svjetske medije.
10:17
But it doesn't just affect the security side.
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Ali to ne utječe samo na sigurnosnu stranu.
10:22
The relations between great powers --
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Odnosi između velikih sila --
10:23
we thought we were past the bipolar era.
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mislili smo da smo prerasli bipolarno razdoblje.
10:27
We thought we were in a unipolar world,
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Mislili smo da smo u unipolarnom svijetu
10:29
where all the big issues were resolved.
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gdje se svi veliki problemi riješavaju.
10:31
Remember? It was the end of history.
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Sjećate se? Bio je to kraj povijesti.
10:34
But we're not.
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Ali nije tako.
10:35
We're now seeing that our basic assumptions about the Internet --
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Sada vidimo da naše osnovne pretpostavke o internetu --
10:39
that it was going to connect us, weave society together --
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koji će nas povezati, satkati zajedničko društvo --
10:43
are not necessarily true.
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nisu nužno točne.
10:46
In countries like China, you have the Great Firewall of China.
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U zemljama poput Kine postoji Veliki kineski Firewall.
10:49
You've got countries saying no, if the Internet happens within our borders
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Postoje zemlje koje kažu ne, ako se internet odvija u našim granicama,
10:52
we control it within our borders.
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kontroliramo ga u našim granicama.
10:54
We control the content. We are going to control our security.
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Kontroliramo sadržaj. Kontrolirat ćemo naše društvo.
10:57
We are going to manage that Internet.
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Vodit ćemo internet.
10:59
We are going to say what can be on it.
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Reći ćemo što se može nalaziti na njemu.
11:00
We're going to set a different set of rules.
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Postavit ćemo drukčija pravila.
11:03
Now you might think, well, that's just China.
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Možda sad mislite, pa, to je Kina.
11:05
But it's not just China.
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Ali nije samo Kina.
11:07
It's China, India, Russia.
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To su Indija, Kina, Rusija.
11:10
It's Saudi Arabia, it's Singapore, it's Brazil.
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To su Saudijska Arabija, Singapur, Brazil.
11:13
After the NSA scandal, the Russians, the Chinese, the Indians, the Brazilians,
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Nakon skandala NSA, Rusi, Kinezi, Indijci, Brazilci
11:18
they said, let's create a new Internet backbone,
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su rekli, idemo prozvesti novu kralješnicu interneta,
11:21
because we can't be dependent on this other one.
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jer ne možemo ovisiti o ovoj drugoj.
11:23
And so all of a sudden, what do you have?
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I što se odjednom dogodilo?
11:26
You have a new bipolar world
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Imamo novi bipolarni svijet
11:28
in which cyber-internationalism,
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u kojem je kiber-internacionalizam,
11:31
our belief,
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naša vjerovanje,
11:32
is challenged by cyber-nationalism,
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u sukobu s kiber-nacionalizmom,
11:35
another belief.
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drugim vjerovanjem.
11:37
We are seeing these changes everywhere we look.
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Vidimo te promjene gdje god pogledamo.
11:41
We are seeing the advent of mobile money.
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Vidimo dolazak mobilnog novca.
11:43
It's happening in the places you wouldn't expect.
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Događa se u zemljama u kojima to ne biste očekivali.
11:45
It's happening in Kenya and Tanzania,
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Događa se u Keniji i Tanzaniji,
11:48
where millions of people who haven't had access to financial services
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gdje milijuni ljudi koji nisu imali pristup financijskim uslugama,
11:51
now conduct all those services on their phones.
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sada sve te usluge vrše preko svojih telefona.
11:54
There are 2.5 million people who don't have financial service access
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Postoji 2.5 milijuna ljudi koji nemaju pristup financijskim uslugama,
11:59
that are going to get it soon.
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ali će ga ubrzo dobiti.
12:01
A billion of them are going to have the ability to access it
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Njih milijarda će uskoro imati mogućnost pristupiti im
12:04
on their cell phone soon.
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preko svojih mobitela.
12:05
It's not just going to give them the ability to bank.
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To im neće dati samo mogućnost bankarstva.
12:08
It's going to change what monetary policy is.
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To će promijeniti monetarnu politiku.
12:11
It's going to change what money is.
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Promijenit će ono što novac jest.
12:15
Education is changing in the same way.
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Obrazovanje se jednako tako mijenja.
12:18
Healthcare is changing in the same way.
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Zdravstvo isto tako.
12:20
How government services are delivered is changing in the same way.
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Način ispostave vladinih usluga također.
12:25
And yet, in Washington, we are debating
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A ipak, u Washingtonu raspravljamo
12:29
whether to call the terrorist group that has taken over Syria and Iraq
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trebamo li zvati terorističku grupu koja je zauzela Siriju i Irak
12:35
ISIS or ISIL or Islamic State.
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ISIS ili ISIL ili Islamska država.
12:40
We are trying to determine
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Pokušavamo odrediti
12:43
how much we want to give in a negotiation with the Iranians
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koliko želimo dati u pregovorima s Irancima
12:48
on a nuclear deal which deals with the technologies of 50 years ago,
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o nuklearnom sporazumu koji se bavi tehnologijama od prije 50 godina,
12:53
when in fact, we know that the Iranians right now are engaged in cyber war with us
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iako zapravo znamo da su Iranci sada uključeni u kibernetički rat s nama
12:59
and we're ignoring it, partially because businesses are not willing
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i mi to ignoriramo, djelomice zato što businessi nisu voljni
13:05
to talk about the attacks that are being waged on them.
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pričati o napadima koji im se naplaćuju.
13:09
And that gets us to another breakdown
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I to nas dovodi do još jednog rasula,
13:12
that's crucial,
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koje je ključno,
13:13
and another breakdown that couldn't be more important to a group like this,
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i još jednog rasula koji ne može biti važniji ovakvoj grupi,
13:17
because the growth of America and real American national security
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jer rast Amerike i prava američka nacionalna sigurnost
13:20
and all of the things that drove progress even during the Cold War,
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i sve stvari koje su vodile napredak čak i u godinama Hladnog rata,
13:25
was a public-private partnership between science, technology and government
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je bilo javno-privatno partnerstvo znanosti, tehnologije i vlade
13:30
that began when Thomas Jefferson sat alone in his laboratory
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koje je započelo kada je Thomas Jefferson sam sjedio u laboratoriju
13:33
inventing new things.
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izumljujući nove stvari.
13:36
But it was the canals and railroads and telegraph;
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Ali to su bili kanali, željezničke pruge, telegraf;
13:40
it was radar and the Internet.
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to su bili radar i internet.
13:43
It was Tang, the breakfast drink --
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To je bio Tang, jutarnje piće --
13:45
probably not the most important of those developments.
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vjerojatno ne i najvažnije od ovih izuma.
13:48
But what you had was a partnership and a dialogue,
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Ali ono što je postojalo su bili partnerstvo i dijalog,
13:51
and the dialogue has broken down.
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a dijalog se raspao.
13:53
It's broken down because in Washington,
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Raspao se, jer se u Washingtonu
13:56
less government is considered more.
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manje vlada smatra više.
13:58
It's broken down because there is, believe it or not,
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Raspao se, jer, vjerovali ili ne,
14:00
in Washington, a war on science --
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u Wahingtonu, rat protiv znanosti --
14:02
despite the fact that in all of human history,
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unatoč činjenici da u cjelokupnoj ljudskoj povijesti,
14:05
every time anyone has waged a war on science,
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svaki put kad je netko započeo rat sa znanošću,
14:08
science has won.
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znanost je pobijedila.
14:11
(Applause)
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(pljesak)
14:16
But we have a government that doesn't want to listen,
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Ali mi imao vladu koja ne želi slušati,
14:20
that doesn't have people at the highest levels
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koja nema ljude na najvišim pozicijama
14:23
that understand this.
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koji to razumiju.
14:24
In the nuclear age,
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U nuklearnom razdoblju,
14:25
when there were people in senior national security jobs,
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kada je bilo ljudi na višim poslovima nacionalne sigurnosti,
14:28
they were expected to speak throw-weight.
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od njih se očekivalo da govore "težinom udara".
14:32
They were expected to know the lingo, the vocabulary.
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Očekivalo se da znaju sleng, da znaju terminologiju.
14:35
If you went to the highest level of the U.S. government now
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Da sada odete na najviše pozicije američke vlade
14:37
and said, "Talk to me about cyber, about neuroscience,
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i kažete: "Pričajte mi o kibernetici, o neuroznanosti,
14:40
about the things that are going to change the world of tomorrow,"
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o stvarima koje će promijeniti svijet sutrašnjice" ,
14:43
you'd get a blank stare.
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dočekao bi vas prazan pogled.
14:44
I know, because when I wrote this book,
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Znam to, jer, kad sam napisao knjigu,
14:46
I talked to 150 people, many from the science and tech side,
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razgovorao sam sa 150 ljudi, od koji su mnogi bili sa znanstvene i tehnološke strane,
14:49
who felt like they were being shunted off to the kids' table.
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koji su se osjećali kao da ih isključuju i šalju za dječji stol.
14:53
Meanwhile, on the tech side,
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Za to vrijeme, na tehnološkoj strani,
14:55
we have lots of wonderful people creating wonderful things,
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postoje mnogi predivni ljudi koji stvaraju predivne stvari,
14:59
but they started in garages and they didn't need the government
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ali započeli su u garažama i nisu trebali vladu
15:02
and they don't want the government.
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i nisu htjeli vladu.
15:04
Many of them have a political view that's somewhere between
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Mnogi od njih imaju politički svjetonazor negdje između
15:06
libertarian and anarchic:
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libertarijanskog i anarhističkog:
15:08
leave me alone.
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pustite me na miru.
15:11
But the world's coming apart.
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Ali svijet se raspada.
15:13
All of a sudden, there are going to be massive regulatory changes
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Odjednom će započeti masovne regulatorne promjene
15:17
and massive issues associated with conflict
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i masovni problemi povezani sa sukobom,
15:20
and massive issues associated with security and privacy.
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i masovni problemi povezani sa sigurnošću i privatnošću.
15:24
And we haven't even gotten to the next set of issues,
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I nismo čak došli do sljedeće skupine problema,
15:26
which are philosophical issues.
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1974
a to su filozofski problemi.
15:29
If you can't vote, if you can't have a job,
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Ako ne možete glasati, ako ne možete imati posao,
15:32
if you can't bank, if you can't get health care,
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ako ne možete bankariti, ako ne možete dobiti zdravstvenu skrb,
15:34
if you can't be educated without Internet access,
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ako se ne možete obrazovati bez pristupa internetu,
15:37
is Internet access a fundamental right that should be written into constitutions?
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je li pristup internetu osnovno pravo koje bi trebalo upisati u ustav?
15:42
If Internet access is a fundamental right,
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3171
Ako je pravo pristupa internetu osnovno pravo,
15:45
is electricity access for the 1.2 billion who don't have access to electricity
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je li pristup električnoj energiji koji nema 1.2 milijarde ljudi
15:49
a fundamental right?
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osnovno pravo?
15:51
These are fundamental issues. Where are the philosophers?
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Ovo su osnovni problemi. Gdje su filozofi?
15:54
Where's the dialogue?
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Gdje je dijalog?
15:57
And that brings me to the reason that I'm here.
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I to me dovodi do razloga zašto sam ovdje.
16:00
I live in Washington. Pity me.
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Živim u Washingtonu. Sažalite se nada mnom
16:03
(Laughter)
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(smijeh)
16:04
The dialogue isn't happening there.
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Tamo ne dolazi do dijaloga.
16:07
These big issues that will change the world,
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Ovi veliki problemi koji će promijeniti svijet,
16:10
change national security, change economics,
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2648
promijeniti nacionalnu sigurnost, promijeniti ekonomiju,
16:13
create hope, create threats,
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stvoriti nadu, stvoriti prijetnje,
16:15
can only be resolved when you bring together
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se jedino mogu riješiti kada opet okupite
16:18
groups of people who understand science and technology
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grupu ljudi koji razumiju znanost i tehnologiju
16:22
back together with government.
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1673
s vladom.
16:23
Both sides need each other.
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2180
Obje strane trebaju jedni druge.
16:26
And until we recreate that connection,
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4752
I sve dok opet ne uspostavimo tu vezu,
16:31
until we do what helped America grow and helped other countries grow,
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dok ne napravimo ono što je pomoglo Americi i drugim zemljama da narastu,
16:36
then we are going to grow ever more vulnerable.
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postajat ćemo sve ranjiviji.
16:40
The risks associated with 9/11 will not be measured
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Rizik povezan s 11. 9. neće biti izmjeren
16:44
in terms of lives lost by terror attacks
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izgubljenim životima,
16:47
or buildings destroyed or trillions of dollars spent.
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uništenim zgradama, potrošenim trilijunima dolara.
16:52
They'll be measured in terms of the costs of our distraction from critical issues
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4903
Bit će izmjeren cijenom našeg odvraćanja pažnje od kritičnih problema
16:56
and our inability to get together
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i našom nesposobnošću da okupimo
17:00
scientists, technologists, government leaders,
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4196
znanstvenike, tehničare, političke vođe
17:04
at a moment of transformation akin to the beginning of the Renaissance,
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5135
u trenutku transformacije koja je početak renesanse,
17:10
akin to the beginning of the major transformational eras
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početak najvećeg razdoblja tranformacije
17:13
that have happened on Earth,
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koje se ikad dogodilo na Zemlji,
17:16
and start coming up with, if not the right answers,
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i da počnemo osmišljavati, ako već ne točne odgovore,
17:20
then at least the right questions.
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onda barem prava pitanja.
17:23
We are not there yet,
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Još to nismo dostigli,
17:25
but discussions like this and groups like you
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ali ovakve rasprave i grupe poput vas
17:28
are the places where those questions can be formulated and posed.
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su mjesta gdje se ta pitanja mogu formulirati i postaviti.
17:32
And that's why I believe that groups like TED,
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I zato vjerujem da su grupe poput TED-a,
17:37
discussions like this around the planet,
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ovakve rasprave diljem svijeta,
17:39
are the place where the future of foreign policy, of economic policy,
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mjesta na kojima će stvoriti budućnost vanjskih poslova, ekonomske politike,
17:44
of social policy, of philosophy, will ultimately take place.
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socijalne politike, filozofije.
17:50
And that's why it's been a pleasure speaking to you.
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I zato mi je bio užitak pričati s vama.
17:52
Thank you very, very much.
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Puno, puno vam hvala.
17:54
(Applause)
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(pljesak)
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