Naomi Klein: Addicted to risk

90,196 views ・ 2011-01-18

TED


Please double-click on the English subtitles below to play the video.

00:15
I just did something I've never done before.
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I spent a week at sea on a research vessel.
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Now I'm not a scientist,
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but I was accompanying a remarkable scientific team
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from the University of South Florida
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who have been tracking the travels of BP's oil
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in the Gulf of Mexico.
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This is the boat we were on, by the way.
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The scientists I was with
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were not studying the effect of the oil and dispersants on the big stuff --
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the birds, the turtles,
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the dolphins, the glamorous stuff.
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They're looking at the really little stuff
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that gets eaten by the slightly less little stuff
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that eventually gets eaten by the big stuff.
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And what they're finding
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is that even trace amounts of oil and dispersants
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can be highly toxic to phytoplankton,
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which is very bad news,
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because so much life depends on it.
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So contrary to what we heard a few months back
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about how 75 percent of that oil
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sort of magically disappeared
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and we didn't have to worry about it,
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this disaster is still unfolding.
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It's still working its way up the food chain.
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Now this shouldn't come as a surprise to us.
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Rachel Carson --
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the godmother of modern environmentalism --
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warned us about this very thing
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back in 1962.
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She pointed out that the "control men" --
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as she called them --
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who carpet-bombed towns and fields
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with toxic insecticides like DDT,
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were only trying to kill the little stuff, the insects,
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not the birds.
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But they forgot this:
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the fact that birds dine on grubs,
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that robins eat lots of worms
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now saturated with DDT.
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And so, robin eggs failed to hatch,
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songbirds died en masse,
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towns fell silent.
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Thus the title "Silent Spring."
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I've been trying to pinpoint
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what keeps drawing me back to the Gulf of Mexico,
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because I'm Canadian,
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and I can draw no ancestral ties.
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And I think what it is
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is I don't think we have fully come to terms
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with the meaning of this disaster,
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with what it meant to witness a hole
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ripped in our world,
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with what it meant to watch the contents of the Earth
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gush forth on live TV,
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24 hours a day,
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for months.
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After telling ourselves for so long
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that our tools and technology can control nature,
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suddenly we were face-to-face
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with our weakness,
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with our lack of control,
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as the oil burst out
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of every attempt to contain it --
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"top hats," "top kills"
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and, most memorably, the "junk shot" --
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the bright idea
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of firing old tires and golf balls
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down that hole in the world.
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But even more striking
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than the ferocious power emanating from that well
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was the recklessness
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with which that power was unleashed --
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the carelessness, the lack of planning
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that characterized the operation
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from drilling to clean-up.
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If there is one thing
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BP's watery improv act made clear,
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it is that, as a culture,
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we have become far too willing to gamble
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with things that are precious
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and irreplaceable,
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and to do so without a back-up plan,
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without an exit strategy.
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And BP was hardly
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our first experience of this in recent years.
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Our leaders barrel into wars,
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telling themselves happy stories
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about cakewalks and welcome parades.
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Then, it is years of deadly damage control,
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Frankensteins of sieges and surges
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and counter-insurgencies,
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and once again, no exit strategy.
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Our financial wizards routinely fall victim
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to similar overconfidence,
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convincing themselves that the latest bubble
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is a new kind of market --
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the kind that never goes down.
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And when it inevitably does,
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the best and the brightest
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reach for the financial equivalent of the junk shot --
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in this case, throwing massive amounts
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of much-needed public money
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down a very different kind of hole.
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As with BP, the hole does get plugged,
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at least temporarily,
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but not before
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exacting a tremendous price.
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We have to figure out
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why we keep letting this happen,
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because we are in the midst
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of what may be our highest-stakes gamble of all --
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deciding what to do, or not to do,
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about climate change.
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Now as you know,
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a great deal of time is spent,
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in this country and around the world,
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inside the climate debate,
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on the question of, "What if the IPC scientists
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are all wrong?"
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Now a far more relevant question --
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as MIT physicist Evelyn Fox Keller puts it --
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is, "What if those scientists are right?"
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Given the stakes, the climate crisis
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clearly calls for us to act
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based on the precautionary principle --
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the theory that holds
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that when human health and the environment
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are significantly at risk
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and when the potential damage is irreversible,
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we cannot afford to wait
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for perfect scientific certainty.
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Better to err on the side of caution.
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More overt, the burden of proving
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that a practice is safe
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should not be placed on the public that would be harmed,
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but rather on the industry that stands to profit.
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But climate policy in the wealthy world --
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to the extent that such a thing exists --
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is not based on precaution,
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but rather on cost-benefit analysis --
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finding the course of action that economists believe
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will have the least impact
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on our GDP.
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So rather than asking, as precaution would demand,
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what can we do as quickly as possible
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to avoid potential catastrophe,
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we ask bizarre questions like this:
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"What is the latest possible moment we can wait
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before we begin seriously lowering emissions?
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Can we put this off till 2020,
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2030, 2050?"
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Or we ask,
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"How much hotter can we let the planet get
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and still survive?
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Can we go with two degrees, three degrees, or --
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where we're currently going --
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four degrees Celsius?"
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And by the way,
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the assumption that we can safely control
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the Earth's awesomely complex climate system
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as if it had a thermostat,
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making the planet not too hot, not too cold,
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but just right -- sort of Goldilocks style --
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this is pure fantasy,
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and it's not coming from the climate scientists.
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It's coming from the economists
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imposing their mechanistic thinking
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on the science.
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The fact is that we simply don't know
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when the warming that we create
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will be utterly overwhelmed
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by feedback loops.
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So once again,
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why do we take these crazy risks
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with the precious?
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A range of explanations
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may be popping into your mind by now,
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like "greed."
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This is a popular explanation, and there's lots of truth to it,
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because taking big risks, as we all know,
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pays a lot of money.
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Another explanation that you often hear for recklessness
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is hubris.
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And greed and hubris
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are intimately intertwined
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when it comes to recklessness.
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For instance, if you happen to be a 35-year-old banker
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taking home 100 times more
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than a brain surgeon,
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then you need a narrative,
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you need a story
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that makes that disparity okay.
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And you actually don't have a lot of options.
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You're either an incredibly good scammer,
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and you're getting away with it -- you gamed the system --
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or you're some kind of boy genius,
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the likes of which the world has never seen.
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Now both of these options -- the boy genius and the scammer --
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are going to make you vastly overconfident
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and therefore more prone
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to taking even bigger risks in the future.
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By the way, Tony Hayward, the former CEO of BP,
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had a plaque on his desk
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inscribed with this inspirational slogan:
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"What would you attempt to do
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if you knew you could not fail?"
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Now this is actually a popular plaque,
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and this is a crowd of overachievers,
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so I'm betting that some of you have this plaque.
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Don't feel ashamed.
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Putting fear of failure out of your mind
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can be a very good thing
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if you're training for a triathlon
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or preparing to give a TEDTalk,
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but personally, I think people with the power
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to detonate our economy and ravage our ecology
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would do better having
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a picture of Icarus hanging from the wall,
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because -- maybe not that one in particular --
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but I want them thinking about the possibility of failure
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all of the time.
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So we have greed,
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we've got overconfidence/hubris,
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but since we're here at TEDWomen,
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let's consider one other factor
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that could be contributing in some small way
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to societal recklessness.
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Now I'm not going to belabor this point,
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but studies do show that, as investors,
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women are much less prone
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to taking reckless risks than men,
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precisely because, as we've already heard,
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women tend not to suffer from overconfidence
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in the same way that men do.
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So it turns out
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that being paid less and praised less
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has its upsides --
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for society at least.
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The flipside of this
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is that constantly being told
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that you are gifted, chosen
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and born to rule
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has distinct societal downsides.
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And this problem -- call it the "perils of privilege" --
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brings us closer, I think,
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to the root of our collective recklessness.
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Because none of us -- at least in the global North --
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neither men nor women,
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are fully exempt from this message.
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Here's what I'm talking about.
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Whether we actively believe them
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or consciously reject them,
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our culture remains in the grips
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of certain archetypal stories
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about our supremacy
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over others and over nature --
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the narrative of the newly discovered frontier
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and the conquering pioneer,
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the narrative of manifest destiny,
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the narrative of apocalypse and salvation.
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And just when you think these stories are fading into history,
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and that we've gotten over them,
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they pop up in the strangest places.
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For instance, I stumbled across this advertisement
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outside the women's washroom
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in the Kansas City airport.
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It's for Motorola's new Rugged cell phone,
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and yes, it really does say,
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"Slap Mother Nature in the face."
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And I'm not just showing it to pick on Motorola --
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that's just a bonus.
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I'm showing it because --
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they're not a sponsor, are they? --
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because, in its own way,
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this is a crass version
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of our founding story.
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We slapped Mother Nature around and won,
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and we always win,
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because dominating nature is our destiny.
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But this is not the only fairytale we tell ourselves about nature.
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There's another one, equally important,
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about how that very same Mother Nature
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is so nurturing and so resilient
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that we can never make a dent in her abundance.
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Let's hear from Tony Hayward again.
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"The Gulf of Mexico is a very big ocean.
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The amount of oil and dispersants that we are putting into it
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is tiny in relation to the total water volume."
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In other words, the ocean is big;
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she can take it.
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It is this underlying assumption of limitlessness
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that makes it possible
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to take the reckless risks that we do.
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Because this is our real master-narrative:
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however much we mess up,
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there will always be more --
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more water, more land,
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more untapped resources.
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A new bubble will replace the old one.
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A new technology will come along
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to fix the messes we made with the last one.
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In a way, that is the story
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of the settling of the Americas,
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the supposedly inexhaustible frontier
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to which Europeans escaped.
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And it's also the story of modern capitalism,
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because it was the wealth from this land
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that gave birth to our economic system,
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one that cannot survive without perpetual growth
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and an unending supply
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of new frontiers.
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Now the problem is
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that the story was always a lie.
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The Earth always did have limits.
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They were just beyond our sights.
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And now we are hitting those limits
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on multiple fronts.
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I believe that we know this,
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yet we find ourselves trapped in a kind of narrative loop.
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Not only do we continue to tell and retell
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the same tired stories,
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but we are now doing so
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with a frenzy and a fury
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that, frankly, verges on camp.
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How else to explain the cultural space
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occupied by Sarah Palin?
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Now on the one hand,
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exhorting us to "drill, baby, drill,"
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because God put those resources into the ground
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in order for us to exploit them,
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and on the other, glorying in the wilderness
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of Alaska's untouched beauty
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on her hit reality TV show.
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The twin message is as comforting as it is mad.
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Ignore those creeping fears
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that we have finally hit the wall.
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There are still no limits.
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There will always be another frontier.
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So stop worrying and keep shopping.
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Now, would that this were just about
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Sarah Palin and her reality TV show.
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In environmental circles,
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we often hear that, rather than shifting to renewables,
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we are continuing with business as usual.
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This assessment, unfortunately,
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is far too optimistic.
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The truth is that we have already exhausted
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so much of the easily accessible fossil fuels
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that we have already entered
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a far riskier business era,
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the era of extreme energy.
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So that means drilling for oil in the deepest water,
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including the icy Arctic seas,
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where a clean-up may simply be impossible.
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It means large-scale hydraulic fracking for gas
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and massive strip-mining operations for coal,
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the likes of which we haven't yet seen.
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And most controversially, it means the tar sands.
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I'm always surprised by how little
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people outside of Canada
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know about the Alberta Tar Sands,
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which this year are projected to become
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the number one source of imported oil
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to the United States.
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It's worth taking a moment to understand this practice,
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because I believe it speaks to recklessness
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and the path we're on
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like little else.
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So this is where the tar sands live,
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under one of the last magnificent
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Boreal forests.
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The oil is not liquid.
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You can't just drill a hole and pump it out.
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Tar sand's oil is solid,
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mixed in with the soil.
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So to get at it,
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you first have to get rid of the trees.
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Then, you rip off the topsoil
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and get at that oily sand.
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The process requires a huge amount of water,
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which is then pumped into massive toxic tailing ponds.
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That's very bad news for local indigenous people
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living downstream
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who are reporting alarmingly high cancer rates.
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Now looking at these images,
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it's difficult to grasp the scale of this operation,
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which can already be seen from space
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and could grow to an area the size of England.
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I find it helps actually
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to look at the dump trucks that move the earth,
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the largest ever built.
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That's a person down there by the wheel.
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My point is that
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this is not oil drilling.
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It's not even mining.
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It is terrestrial skinning.
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Vast, vivid landscapes
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are being gutted,
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left monochromatic gray.
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Now I should confess that as [far as] I'm concerned
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this would be an abomination
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if it emitted not one particle of carbon.
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But the truth is that, on average,
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turning that gunk into crude oil
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produces about three times more greenhouse gas pollution
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than it does to produce conventional oil
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in Canada.
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How else to describe this,
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but as a form of mass insanity?
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Just when we know we need to be learning
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to live on the surface of our planet,
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off the power of sun, wind and waves,
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we are frantically digging
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to get at the dirtiest,
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highest-emitting stuff imaginable.
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This is where our story of endless growth
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has taken us,
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to this black hole at the center of my country --
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a place of such planetary pain
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that, like the BP gusher,
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one can only stand to look at it for so long.
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As Jared Diamond and others have shown us,
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this is how civilizations commit suicide,
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by slamming their foot on the accelerator
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at the exact moment
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when they should be putting on the brakes.
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The problem is that our master-narrative
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has an answer for that too.
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At the very last minute, we are going to get saved
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just like in every Hollywood movie,
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just like in the Rapture.
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But, of course, our secular religion is technology.
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Now, you may have noticed
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more and more headlines like these.
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The idea behind this form of "geoengineering" as it's called,
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is that, as the planet heats up,
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we may be able to shoot sulfates and aluminum particles
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into the stratosphere
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to reflect some of the sun's rays
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back to space,
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thereby cooling the planet.
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The wackiest plan -- and I'm not making this up --
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would put what is essentially a garden hose
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18-and-a-half miles high into the sky,
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suspended by balloons,
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to spew sulfur dioxide.
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So, solving the problem of pollution with more pollution.
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Think of it as the ultimate junk shot.
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The serious scientists involved in this research
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all stress that these techniques
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are entirely untested.
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They don't know if they'll work,
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and they have no idea
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what kind of terrifying side effects they could unleash.
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Nevertheless, the mere mention of geoengineering
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is being greeted in some circles,
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particularly media circles,
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with a relief tinged with euphoria.
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An escape hatch has been reached.
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A new frontier has been found.
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Most importantly,
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we don't have to change our lifestyles after all.
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You see, for some people,
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their savior is a guy in a flowing robe.
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18:39
For other people, it's a guy with a garden hose.
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We badly need some new stories.
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We need stories that have different kinds of heroes
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willing to take different kinds of risks --
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risks that confront recklessness head on,
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that put the precautionary principle into practice,
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even if that means through direct action --
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like hundreds of young people willing to get arrested,
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blocking dirty power plants
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or fighting mountaintop-removal coal mining.
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We need stories
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that replace that linear narrative of endless growth
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with circular narratives
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that remind us
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that what goes around comes around.
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That this is our only home.
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There is no escape hatch.
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Call it karma, call it physics,
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action and reaction, call it precaution --
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the principle that reminds us
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that life is too precious to be risked
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for any profit.
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Thank you.
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(Applause)
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Original video on YouTube.com
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