Does your vote count? The Electoral College explained - Christina Greer
你的選票算數嗎?解說選舉人團 - 克莉斯提娜格里爾 (Christina Greer)
8,279,788 views ・ 2012-11-01
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Translator: tom carter
Reviewer: Bedirhan Cinar
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譯者: Jephian Lin
審譯者: Allen Li
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Most people have heard of the Electoral College during presidential election years.
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在美國大選年,很多人聽過
「選舉人團」
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But what exactly is the Electoral College?
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究竟什麼是選舉人團呢?
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Simply said, it is a group of people appointed by each state
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簡單的說,就是各州指派的一群人
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who formally elect the President and Vice President of the United States.
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形式上由這群人選出正副總統
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To understand how this process began and how it continues today,
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要了解這個制度的來龍去脈
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we can look at the Constitution of the United States: article two, section one, clause two of the constitution.
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我們可以看一下美國憲法
第二條,第一款,第二項
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It specifies how many electors each state is entitled to have.
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它明確指出各州有幾位選舉人
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Since 1964, there have been 538 electors in each presidential election.
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1964 年起,每屆總統大選
都有 538 位選舉人
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How do they decide on the number 538?
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538 這個數字是怎麼決定的呢?
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Well, the number of electors is equal to the total voting membership of the United States Congress.
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選舉人的數目等於國會的
參、眾議員總數
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435 representatives, plus 100 senators, and 3 electors from the District of Columbia.
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435 位眾議員,加 100 位參議員
還有 3 位哥倫比亞特區的選舉人
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Essentially, the Democratic candidate and Republican candidate
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基本上,不論民主或共和黨候選人
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are each trying to add up the electors in every state so that they surpass 270 electoral votes,
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都想讓各州的得票數
加起來超過 270 票
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or just over half the 538 votes, and win the presidency.
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即是 538 票的過半選票
就可贏得大選
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So how do states even get electoral votes?
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那麼各州是怎麼得到選舉人票的?
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Each state receives a particular number of electors based on population size.
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每州依照人口數
會被分配到一定數量的選舉人
01:28
The census is conducted every 10 years, so every time the census happens,
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人口普查每十年進行一次,普查後
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states might gain or lose a few electoral votes.
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各州選舉人票可能略有增減
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Let's say you're a voter in California, a state with 55 electoral votes.
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比如說你是加州的選民
加州有 55 張選舉人票
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If your candidate wins in California, they get all 55 of the state's electoral votes.
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如果你的候選人在加州勝選
就會得到全部的 55 張選舉人票
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If your candidate loses, they get none.
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若他在加州敗選,就一票也拿不到
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This is why many presidential candidates want to win states like Texas, Florida, and New York.
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這就是為何許多候選人想贏得
德州、佛羅里達州、紐約州的選票
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If you currently add up the electoral votes of those three states,
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如果你把這三州選舉人的票數相加
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you would have 96 electoral votes.
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你會得到 96 票
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Even if a candidate won North Dakota, South Dakota, Montana, Wyoming,
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即使候選人贏得北達科他州、
南達科他州、蒙大拿州、懷俄明州、
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Vermont, New Hampshire. Connecticut and West Virginia,
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佛蒙特州、新罕布夏州、
康乃狄克州、西維吉尼亞州的選票
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they would only gain 31 electoral votes total from those eight states.
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這八州總共也只有 31 張選舉人票
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Here is where it can get a little tricky.
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這就是有點弔詭的地方了
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On a rare occasion, like in the year 2000,
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在極少數情況下,如 2000 年大選
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someone can win the popular vote but fail to gain 270 electoral votes.
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有人獲得較多的選票
卻沒辦法得到 270 張選舉人票
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This means that the winner may have won and collected their electoral votes by small margins,
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意思是說,勝選的那方,可能
只在各州險勝,而獲得選舉人票
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winning just enough states with just enough electoral votes,
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在剛好夠多的州裡
得到剛好夠多的選舉人票
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but the losing candidate may have captured large voter margins in the remaining states.
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而敗選的那方
也許在其餘各州都大勝對方
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If this is the case, the very large margins secured by the losing candidate in the other states
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若是如此,敗選者在各州
得到的大量領先票數
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would add up to over 50% of the ballots cast nationally.
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可能加起起來會超過
全國總投票數的 50%
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Therefore, the losing candidate may have gained more than 50% of the ballots cast by voters,
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因此,敗選者可能得到
一半以上的選民支持
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but failed to gain 270 of the electoral votes.
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卻沒辦法得到 270 張選舉人票
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Some critics of the electoral college argue the system gives an unfair advantage to states with large numbers of electoral votes.
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有批評者認為,此制度對於有大量
選舉人票的各州,有不公平的優勢
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Think of it this way.
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可以這樣想
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It is possible for a candidate to not get a single person's vote -- not one vote --
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候選人可能在 39 州及哥倫比亞特區
一票未得
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in 39 states, or the District of Columbia, yet be elected president by winning the popular vote in just 11 of these 12 states:
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但在下列 12州裡贏了 11 州
因而當選總統:
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California, New York, Texas, Florida, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Ohio,
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加州、紐約州、德州、佛羅里達州、
賓州、依利諾州、俄亥俄州、
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Michigan, New Jersey, North Carolina, Georgia or Virginia.
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密西根州、紐澤西州、
北卡羅萊納州、喬治亞州或維吉尼亞州
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This is why both parties pay attention to these states.
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這就是為什麼兩黨
都注重這幾州的原因
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However, others argue that the electoral college protects small states
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然而,也有人認為選舉人團制度
保護了較小的州
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such as Rhode Island, Vermont and New Hampshire,
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如羅德島州、佛蒙特州、
新罕布夏州
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and even geographically large states with small populations
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甚至還有一些地廣人稀的州
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like Alaska, Wyoming and the Dakotas.
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如阿拉斯加州、懷俄明州、
南、北達科他州
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That's because a candidate can't completely ignore small states,
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表示候選人不能完全忽略小州
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because in a close election, every electoral vote counts.
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在一場勢均力敵的選舉中
每張選舉人票都是關鍵
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There are certain states that have a long history of voting for a particular party.
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有些州長久都投給同一個政黨
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These are known as "safe states."
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這些州被稱作「鐵票州」
04:00
For the past four election cycles -- in 1996, 2000, 2004 and 2008 --
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過去四次選舉中,也就是
1996、2000、2004、2008 年
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Democrats could count on states like Oregon, Maryland, Michigan and Massachusetts,
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民主黨可依賴俄勒岡州、馬里蘭州、
密西根州、麻薩諸塞州
04:13
whereas the Republicans could count on states like Mississippi, Alabama, Kansas and Idaho.
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而共和黨可依賴密西西比州、
阿拉巴馬州、堪薩州斯、愛達荷州
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States that are teetering between between parties are called "swing states."
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搖擺於不同政黨之間的州叫作
「搖擺州」
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In the past four election cycles, Ohio and Florida have been swing states,
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在過去的四次選舉裡
俄亥俄州和佛羅里達州就是搖擺州
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twice providing electoral votes for a Democratic candidate,
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兩次投給民主黨、
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and twice providing electoral votes for a Republican candidate.
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兩次投給共和黨
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Think about it. Do you live in a safe state?
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想想看,你是住在鐵票州嗎?
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If so, is it a Democratic or Republican safe state?
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如果是的話
是民主黨或共和黨的鐵票州?
04:42
Do you live in a swing state?
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或是你住在搖擺州嗎?
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Are your neighboring states swing or safe?
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鄰近的州是搖擺州或鐵票州呢?
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Is the population in your state increasing or decreasing?
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你那州的人口數是增加或減少呢?
04:51
And do not forget, when you are watching the electoral returns on election night every four years
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別忘了,當你看著
四年一次的大選開票轉播
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and the big map of the United States is on the screen,
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美國大地圖顯示在螢幕上時
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know that the magic number is 270 and start adding.
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記得關鍵數字就是 270
然後開始加加看吧
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