Is space trying to kill us? - Ron Shaneyfelt

太空会消灭我们人类吗? - Ron Shaneyfelt

347,924 views ・ 2013-05-28

TED-Ed


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00:00
Translator: Andrea McDonough Reviewer: Jessica Ruby
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翻译人员: Xiaoqing He 校对人员: Miranda Cao
00:14
There are still lots of things about space
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太空上依然有很多
00:16
that we may never be able to answer,
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我们可能永远无法解释的事物
00:18
like is time travel possible?
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比如时光旅行是否可行?
00:20
Or are aliens living somewhere else in the Milky Way?
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或者 银河系中是否有外星人?
00:23
But there is one thing I believe about space:
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但我坚信一件事
00:26
Space is trying to kill me.
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太空正试着杀死我
00:29
Space isn't out to get me personally.
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太空不仅仅会杀死我
00:31
It's also trying to kill you and everybody else.
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也会将你和其他人杀死
00:33
Think about it.
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认真想一想
00:35
Space doesn't naturally have what we need to survive
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太空上并无我们赖以生存的元素
00:37
when we travel there:
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在那里
00:39
no air,
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没有空气
00:40
it's too hot
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非常热
00:41
or too cold,
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又或者极寒
00:42
no ozone to protect us from those nasty UV rays, either.
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也没有臭氧层为我们阻挡讨厌的紫外线
00:46
This all sounds bad,
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这些听上去很糟透了
00:47
but what can space really do to me
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但是如果我仅仅呆在地球上
00:49
if I stay on Earth?
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太空又会对我有什么实际影响呢
00:50
What we need to understand is that objects in space
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要知道 太空上的事物
00:53
can cause people to think their days are numbered,
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让人们了解到他们的生命有限
00:55
even when there are events on Earth
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即使在地球上 就有很多的事
00:57
that can hurt or kill us
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可以将我们置之死地
00:59
before something from space does.
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在太空将我们杀死之前
01:01
So, what are the odds that one of these objects
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那么究竟来自太空的某个东西有多大几率
01:04
will really affect Earth
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真的会影响地球
01:05
and you
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01:06
and me
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01:07
in our lifetime?
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还有我们的一生?
01:08
Well, we can take what we know about the universe
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好,我们可以凭借着我们对宇宙的了解
01:10
to try and figure that out.
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试着弄明白。
01:12
You might have heard stories
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你也许听说过这个故事
01:14
about asteroids hitting the Earth.
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关于小行星撞击地球。
01:16
That would be pretty bad.
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这听上去很糟糕
01:17
Scientists think asteroids might have killed off
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科学家们认为小行星将
01:20
most of the dinosaurs.
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消灭了大多数的恐龙
01:21
Sounds like something we should worry about, right?
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这听上去像我们需要担心的,是吧?
01:24
Well, astronomers can now watch asteroids in space
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那么,天文学家现在有能力观察在太空中的小行星
01:27
and see them coming using complex computer models
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通过复杂的计算机模型
01:30
to predict the deadly rock's path.
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来预测这些致命的岩石路径
01:32
For a while, the reported odds
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曾有一段时间,报告称
01:34
that asteroid Apophis would strike Earth in 2036
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阿波菲斯小行星在 2036 年袭击地球的
01:38
were once 1 in 625.
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概率是六百二十五分之一
01:40
But, after updating their data,
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但是,在他们最新的报告中
01:42
astronomers now say the chances are extremely low.
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天文学家们称行星撞击地球的机率极低
01:46
Okay, what about the sun?
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好吧,那太阳呢?
01:48
Hollywood movies like to pick on our sun
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好莱坞电影往往喜欢以太阳作为题材
01:50
by showing Earth destroyed by solar flares
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来暗示太阳耀斑将会摧毁地球
01:53
or the sun dying out,
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又或者太阳正在消亡
01:54
which would cause Earth to freeze.
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从而导致地球冻结
01:56
Astronomers predict our sun contains enough gas
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天文学家推测我们的太阳包含足够的大气资源
01:59
to make energy for another 3 to 5 billion years.
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足够供我们使用额外的3到5亿年
02:02
So, in 3 to 5 billion years,
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所以,3 至 5 亿年之后,
02:05
if people still exist on Earth,
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如果地球上仍然有人,
02:06
they'll have to deal with that.
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他们将不得不面对这个难题
02:08
But today, well, we're safe.
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但至少现在,我们很安全
02:10
Sometimes the sun does shoot flares at Earth,
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尽管有时太阳会爆发太阳耀斑
02:12
but the magnetic fields surrounding our planet
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但是环绕在我们地球周围的磁场
02:15
blocks most of that radiation.
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将会阻挡大多数的辐射
02:17
The radiation that does get through
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剩余的小部分辐射
02:18
creates things like the Aurora Borealis.
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变成极光之类的东西
02:21
Gigantic solar flares can mess with our satellites
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巨大的太阳耀斑可以摧毁我们的卫星
02:24
and electrical equipment,
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和电气设备,
02:25
but the chances of it killing you are pretty slim.
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但事实上你死于太阳耀斑的几率十分渺小
02:28
Okay, what about that supermassive black hole
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好吧,那么在我们银河系内的
02:31
in the middle of our galaxy?
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超大质量黑洞呢?
02:33
What happens to Earth,
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又会对地球,
02:34
and us,
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对我们产生什么影响呢
02:35
when it pulls us in?
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当它试图吞噬我们的时候
02:36
After all, it is supermassive.
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毕竟,它是超大的
02:39
Nope, not going to happen.
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庆幸的是, 它不会发生
02:41
That's one big object that can't bother us.
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它就是一个不会对我们有任何影响的大物体
02:44
How can we be so sure?
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我们怎么能这么肯定?
02:45
Our solar system is on the edge of the Milky Way
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我们的太阳系是银河系的边缘上
02:48
while the nearest supermassive black hole
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即使是最近的超大质量黑洞
02:51
is about 26,000 light years from Earth.
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距离地球也约有 26000 光年
02:54
That means we aren't on that black hole's menu.
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这意味着我们不会黑洞的吞食名单上
02:57
So, you still think space objects are trying to kill you
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所以,你是否依然认为不明太空物会消灭你?
03:00
even after what I've told you so far?
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即使在我解释之后
03:02
I think I've even convinced myself
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我觉得我甚至已经说服我自己
03:04
that odds are really good
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那些太空危机
03:05
that space and the objects up there
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发生的几率非常之小
03:07
won't kill me after all.
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完全不足以杀死我们
03:09
But I'll probably keep looking up
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但我依旧观察着
03:11
just to make sure nothing is headed my way.
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只是想确定没有什么意外发生。
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