The new political story that could change everything | George Monbiot

255,537 views ・ 2019-09-05

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翻译人员: psjmz mz 校对人员: Yanyan Hong
00:12
Do you feel trapped
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你有感到自己陷在
00:14
in a broken economic model?
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一个破碎的经济模型里吗?
00:17
A model that's trashing the living world
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一个毁灭现实世界,
00:19
and threatens the lives of our descendants?
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并威胁子孙后代的模型?
00:23
A model that excludes billions of people
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这个模型把数亿人排除在外,
00:27
while making a handful unimaginably rich?
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同时只让少数人 获得难以想象的财富。
00:31
That sorts us into winners and losers,
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它把我们分为赢家和输家,
00:34
and then blames the losers for their misfortune?
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然后指责输家运气不好。
00:39
Welcome to neoliberalism,
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欢迎来到新自由主义,
00:42
the zombie doctrine that never seems to die,
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这个僵尸学说似乎从没消失过,
00:45
however comprehensively it is discredited.
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然而这是完全不可信的。
00:49
Now you might have imagined that the financial crisis of 2008
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你可能想象过 2008 年的金融危机
00:54
would have led to the collapse of neoliberalism.
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会导致新自由主义的垮台。
00:57
After all, it exposed its central features,
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毕竟,它暴露了它的核心特征,
01:01
which were deregulating business and finance,
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即商业和金融的去管制化,
01:06
tearing down public protections,
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撕碎公众保障,
01:08
throwing us into extreme competition with each other,
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把我们丢到彼此极端竞争的环境中,
01:12
as, well, just a little bit flawed.
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却轻描淡写地说, 只是有点瑕疵罢了。
01:15
And intellectually, it did collapse.
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就理智上来说,它确实崩溃了,
01:19
But still, it dominates our lives.
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但仍旧主导着我们的生活。
01:24
Why?
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为什么?
01:26
Well, I believe the answer is that we have not yet produced
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我认为答案在于我们还没有创造出
01:30
a new story with which to replace it.
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用来替代它的新故事。
01:35
Stories are the means by which we navigate the world.
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故事是我们驾驭世界的方式。
01:39
They allow us to interpret its complex and contradictory signals.
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它让我们可以解释其中 复杂和矛盾的信号。
01:44
When we want to make sense of something,
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当我们想让事情感觉合理时,
01:47
the sense we seek is not scientific sense
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我们寻找的这种感觉不是科学意义上的,
01:52
but narrative fidelity.
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而是叙事的忠实性。
01:55
Does what we are hearing reflect the way
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我们听到的是不是反映出
01:58
that we expect humans and the world to behave?
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我们所期望的 人们和世界的行为方式?
02:02
Does it hang together?
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是否紧密关联?
02:04
Does it progress
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它是否
02:06
as a story should progress?
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有像故事一样的进展?
02:10
Now, we are creatures of narrative,
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我们都是会讲故事的生物、
02:13
and a string of facts and figures, however important facts and figures are --
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且重视一系列的事实和数据的生物, 然而事实和数据——
02:19
and, you know, I'm an empiricist, I believe in facts and figures --
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我是个经验主义者, 我相信事实和数字——
02:22
but those facts and figures have no power to displace a persuasive story.
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但这些事实和数据无法替代 一个有说服力的故事。
02:29
The only thing that can replace a story
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唯一能取代一个故事的
02:34
is a story.
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是另一个故事。
02:36
You cannot take away someone's story
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如果你没能用新的故事替代,
02:38
without giving them a new one.
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那么你就无法夺走别人的故事。
02:41
And it's not just stories in general that we are attuned to,
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我们所熟悉的并非只是普通的故事,
02:46
but particular narrative structures.
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而是有特定叙事结构的故事。
02:49
There are a number of basic plots that we use again and again,
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有很多我们使用了 一次又一次的基本情节,
02:55
and in politics there is one basic plot
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在政治中,有一个
02:59
which turns out to be tremendously powerful,
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基本的情节非常强大,
03:04
and I call this "the restoration story."
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我称之为 “修复的故事”。
03:08
It goes as follows.
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套路如下。
03:11
Disorder afflicts the land,
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混乱折磨着大地,
03:13
caused by powerful and nefarious forces
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是由那危害着人类利益的
03:17
working against the interests of humanity.
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强大而邪恶的力量造成的。
03:20
But the hero will revolt against this disorder,
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但是,英雄将反抗这种混乱,
03:24
fight those powerful forces,
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与那些强大的力量战斗,
03:26
against the odds overthrow them
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冲破万难推翻它,
03:29
and restore harmony to the land.
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恢复大地的和谐。
03:33
You've heard this story before.
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你以前听过这样的故事。
03:35
It's the Bible story.
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这是圣经故事。
03:37
It's the "Harry Potter" story.
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这是哈利波特故事。
03:39
It's the "Lord of the Rings" story.
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这是指环王故事。
03:42
It's the "Narnia" story.
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这是纳尼亚传奇故事。
03:44
But it's also the story
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但这种故事
03:47
that has accompanied almost every political and religious transformation
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几千年来几乎伴随着每一次
03:52
going back millennia.
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政治和宗教变革。
03:54
In fact, we could go as far as to say
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事实上,我们可以说,
03:56
that without a powerful new restoration story,
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如果没有强有力的新修复故事,
04:02
a political and religious transformation
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一场政治和宗教改革
04:05
might not be able to happen.
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可能不会发生。
04:07
It's that important.
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它就是那么重要。
04:10
After laissez-faire economics triggered the Great Depression,
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在自由放任经济引发大萧条之后,
04:15
John Maynard Keynes sat down to write a new economics,
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约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯 写了一本新经济学,
04:20
and what he did was to tell a restoration story,
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并且他的做法是 讲一个关于修复的故事,
04:24
and it went something like this.
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大概是这样写的:
04:27
Disorder afflicts the land!
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混乱折磨着大地,
04:30
(Laughter)
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(笑声)
04:31
Caused by the powerful and nefarious forces of the economic elite,
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是由掌握世界财富的强大而邪恶
04:36
which have captured the world's wealth.
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的经济精英力量造成的。
04:39
But the hero of the story,
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但故事的英雄,
04:42
the enabling state, supported by working class and middle class people,
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在工人阶级和中产阶级 赋权下的这个国家
04:47
will contest that disorder,
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将对抗这种混乱,
04:50
will fight those powerful forces by redistributing wealth,
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将会通过重新分配财富 打压这些强势力量,
04:54
and through spending public money on public goods
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并且通过把公共资金 花在公共产品上
04:58
will generate income and jobs,
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来产生收入和工作机会,
05:01
restoring harmony to the land.
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恢复大地的和谐。
05:05
Now like all good restoration stories,
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当时就如所有讲得好的修复故事,
05:07
this one resonated across the political spectrum.
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这个故事在整个政界引起了共鸣,
05:11
Democrats and Republicans, labor and conservatives,
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民主党和共和党,工党和保守党,
05:14
left and right all became, broadly, Keynesian.
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左派和右派都变成了凯恩斯主义者。
05:19
Then, when Keynesianism ran into trouble
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然后,当凯恩斯主义在 1970 年代
05:22
in the 1970s,
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陷入困境时,
05:24
the neoliberals, people like Friedrich Hayek and Milton Friedman,
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新自由主义者,比如弗里德里希·哈耶克 和米尔顿·弗里德曼,
05:28
came forward with their new restoration story,
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出来提出他们新的修复故事,
05:32
and it went something like this.
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它大概是这样讲的。
05:34
You'll never guess what's coming.
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你们都猜不到是怎么说的。
05:36
(Laughter)
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(笑声)
05:37
Disorder afflicts the land!
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混乱折磨着大地!
05:40
Caused by the powerful and nefarious forces
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是由集权国家的强大和
05:45
of the overmighty state,
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邪恶势力造成的,
05:47
whose collectivizing tendencies crush freedom and individualism
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它们的集体化倾向 粉碎了自由、个人主义
05:52
and opportunity.
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和机会。
05:54
But the hero of the story, the entrepreneur,
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但故事的英雄,企业家,
05:57
will fight those powerful forces,
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将会反抗这种强大的力量,
06:00
roll back the state,
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扭转国家的力量,
06:02
and through creating wealth and opportunity,
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通过财富和机遇,
06:05
restore harmony to the land.
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恢复大地的和谐。
06:08
And that story also resonated across the political spectrum.
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这个故事也引起了整个政界的共鸣。
06:13
Republicans and Democrats, conservatives and labor,
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共和党和民主党,保守党和工党,
06:16
they all became, broadly, neoliberal.
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总的来说,他们都变成了 新自由主义者。
06:22
Opposite stories
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具有相同叙事结构
06:25
with an identical narrative structure.
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的对立故事。
06:29
Then, in 2008,
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然后,在 2008 年,
06:32
the neoliberal story fell apart,
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新自由主义的故事分崩离析,
06:35
and its opponents came forward with ...
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它的对手提出了……
06:41
nothing.
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啥都没有。
06:42
No new restoration story!
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没有新的修复故事!
06:45
The best they had to offer was a watered-down neoliberalism
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他们所能提供的最好的东西 是淡化的新自由主义
06:48
or a microwaved Keynesianism.
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或微波式的凯恩斯主义。
06:53
And that is why we're stuck.
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所以我们陷入了困境。
06:56
Without that new story,
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没有那个新的故事,
06:58
we are stuck with the old failed story
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我们困在那老旧不堪的、
07:01
that keeps on failing.
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不断失败的故事中。
07:04
Despair is the state we fall into
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当我们的想象失败时,
07:08
when our imagination fails.
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我们陷入了绝望的状态。
07:11
When we have no story that explains the present
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当我们没有故事来解释现状
07:15
and describes the future,
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和描述未来时,
07:18
hope evaporates.
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希望蒸发了。
07:21
Political failure is at heart
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政治失败的本质,
07:24
a failure of imagination.
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是想象力的失败。
07:27
Without a restoration story
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没有新的修复故事
07:30
that can tell us where we need to go,
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告诉我们需要去往何处,
07:33
nothing is going to change,
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什么事情都不会发生,
07:35
but with such a restoration story,
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但有这么一个修复故事,
07:38
almost everything can change.
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几乎任何事情都可以改变。
07:42
The story we need to tell
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我们需要讲的故事
07:45
is a story which will appeal to as wide a range of people as possible,
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需要吸引尽可能多的人,
07:49
crossing political fault lines.
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跨越不同的政治断层。
07:51
It should resonate with deep needs and desires.
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它应该与深层需求和欲望共鸣。
07:55
It should be simple and intelligible,
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它应该简单易懂,
07:58
and it should be grounded in reality.
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并且它应该根植于现实。
08:01
Now, I admit that all of this sounds like a bit of a tall order.
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我承认这听起来要求有点高。
08:06
But I believe that in Western nations,
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但我相信在西方世界,
08:08
there is actually a story like this
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确实存在这样一个故事,
08:11
waiting to be told.
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等待被讲述。
08:14
Over the past few years,
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在过去几年中,
08:16
there's been a fascinating convergence of findings
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在心理学、人类学、 神经科学和进化生物学
08:19
in several different sciences,
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等几个不同的科学领域中,
08:21
in psychology and anthropology and neuroscience and evolutionary biology,
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有许多让人着迷的研究,
08:26
and they all tell us something pretty amazing:
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并且它们都告诉了我们一些 非常神奇的事情:
08:30
that human beings have got this massive capacity for altruism.
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人类有这种巨大的利他主义。
08:35
Sure, we all have a bit of selfishness and greed inside us,
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没错,我们内心都有些自私和贪婪,
08:39
but in most people, those are not our dominant values.
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但对大多数人来说, 这些都不是我们的主流价值。
08:44
And we also turn out to be the supreme cooperators.
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我们也是最优秀的合作者。
08:48
We survived the African savannas,
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我们在非洲大草原上幸存下来,
08:50
despite being weaker and slower than our predators and most of our prey,
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尽管我们比我们的捕食者 和大多数猎物都更弱更慢,
08:56
by an amazing ability to engage in mutual aid,
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但我们拥有惊人的相互帮助的能力,
09:01
and that urge to cooperate has been hardwired into our minds
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这种合作的欲望通过自然选择 已经深深的烙印在
09:06
through natural selection.
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在我们的大脑中。
09:08
These are the central, crucial facts about humankind:
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这些是关于人类的核心,关键的事实:
09:13
our amazing altruism and cooperation.
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我们惊人的利他主义和合作精神。
09:18
But something has gone horribly wrong.
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但有些地方出了严重的问题。
09:22
Disorder afflicts the land.
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混乱折磨着大地。
09:24
(Laughter)
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(笑声)
09:27
Our good nature has been thwarted by several forces,
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我们的良性本能受到了 几股力量的阻挠,
09:30
but I think the most powerful of them is the dominant political narrative
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但我认为其中最强大的是 我们这个时代占主导地位
09:34
of our times,
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的政治叙事,
09:36
which tells us that we should live in extreme individualism
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它告诉我们,我们应该 带着极端个人主义,
09:42
and competition with each other.
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并彼此竞争。
09:45
It pushes us to fight each other, to fear and mistrust each other.
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它推动我们相互斗争, 相互恐惧和互不信任。
09:50
It atomizes society.
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它把社会分裂得支离破碎,
09:52
It weakens the social bonds that make our lives worth living.
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削弱了使我们的生活 有价值的社会纽带。
09:58
And into that vacuum
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在这个真空中,
10:01
grow these violent, intolerant forces.
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这些暴力、不宽容的力量恣意增长。
10:06
We are a society of altruists,
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我们是一个充满利他主义者的社会,
10:10
but we are governed by psychopaths.
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但我们被精神变态者统治着。
10:12
(Applause)
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(鼓掌)
10:21
But it doesn't have to be like this.
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但事情不一定非得这样。
10:23
It really doesn't,
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它真不该这样,
10:24
because we have this incredible capacity for togetherness and belonging,
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因为我们拥有团结 和归属的惊人能力,
10:28
and by invoking that capacity,
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通过调用这种能力,
10:30
we can recover those amazing components of our humanity:
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我们可以找回人性中 那些惊人的能力:
10:35
our altruism and cooperation.
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我们的利他主义和协作精神。
10:39
Where there is atomization, we can build a thriving civic life
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在出现分裂的地方,我们 可以用丰富的参与性文化
10:44
with a rich participatory culture.
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建设繁荣的公民生活。
10:47
Where we find ourselves crushed between market and state,
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在那些我们发现自己被市场和 国家压得喘不过气来的地方,
10:51
we can build an economics that respects both people and planet.
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我们可以建设一个尊重 人类和地球的经济。
10:57
And we can create this economics around that great neglected sphere,
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我们可以围绕这个 被忽视的领域——公地,
11:02
the commons.
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来创造出这种经济。
11:03
The commons is neither market nor state, capitalism nor communism,
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公地不是市场也不是国家, 不是资本主义也不是共产主义,
11:08
but it consists of three main elements:
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但它包括三个主要元素:
11:10
a particular resource;
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一种特殊的资源;
11:12
a particular community that manages that resource;
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一个管理这种资源的特殊社群;
11:15
and the rules and negotiations the community develops to manage it.
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以及社群为管理它而制定 的规则和谈判方法。
11:21
Think of community broadband or community energy cooperatives
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想想在英国我们称之为配额的
11:25
or the shared land for growing fruit and vegetables
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宽带或社区能源合作社,
11:28
that in Britain we call allotments.
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或者种植水果和蔬菜的共享土地。
11:31
A common can't be sold, it can't be given away,
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公地不能买卖,也不能送人,
11:34
and its benefits are shared equally among the members of the community.
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并且它的收益要 在社群成员间平等共享。
11:40
Where we have been ignored and exploited,
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在我们被忽视和剥削的地方,
11:43
we can revive our politics.
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我们可以重振我们的政治。
11:45
We can recover democracy from the people who have captured it.
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我们可以从捕获它的人 那里恢复民主。
11:50
We can use new rules and methods of elections
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我们可以使用选举的新规则和方法
11:53
to ensure that financial power never trumps democratic power again.
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去确保金融权利 不会再次超过民主权利。
11:59
(Applause)
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(鼓掌)
12:06
Representative democracy should be tempered by participatory democracy
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代议制民主应当通过 参与式民主加以调和,
12:11
so that we can refine our political choices,
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以便我们能够完善我们的政治选择,
12:14
and that choice should be exercised as much as possible at the local level.
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并且选择应该更多地由地方级做出。
12:19
If something can be decided locally, it shouldn't be determined nationally.
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如果事情能在本地解决, 它就不应该在国家层面上解决。
12:26
And I call all this the politics of belonging.
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我把这些全叫做归属政治。
12:31
Now, I think this has got the potential to appeal
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我认为这相当有潜力能吸引
12:35
across quite a wide range of people,
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很多的人们,
12:37
and the reason for this is that among the very few values
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其原因在于在左派和右派
12:41
that both left and right share
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所共有的少数价值观中
12:44
are belonging and community.
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有归属感和社群感。
12:47
And we might mean slightly different things by them,
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我们的意思可能有点不一样,
12:50
but at least we start with some language in common.
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但至少我们开始用共同的语言。
12:53
In fact, you can see a lot of politics as being a search for belonging.
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事实上,你可以看到很多 政治是在寻找归属感。
12:58
Even fascists seek community,
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即便是法西斯主义也寻找社群。
13:01
albeit a frighteningly homogenous community
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尽管是一个令人感到恐惧的社群,
13:04
where everyone looks the same and wears the same uniform
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每个人的样子和衣着都统一,
13:07
and chants the same slogans.
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并喊着类似的口号。
13:09
What we need to create is a community based on bridging networks,
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我们需要建立的是 一个基于桥接网络的社群,
13:14
not bonding networks.
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而非键合网络。
13:15
Now a bonding network brings together people from a homogenous group,
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当今一个键合网络 把同质的人组织在一起,
13:20
whereas a bridging network brings together people from different groups.
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而一个桥接的网络则 把不同的群体带到一起。
13:24
And my belief is that if we create
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我的信念是如果我们建立
13:26
sufficiently rich and vibrant bridging communities,
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足够丰富和充满活力的桥接网络,
13:31
we can thwart the urge for people to burrow into the security
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就可以阻止人们钻入同一个
13:36
of a homogenous bonding community
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团结社区的安全洞中,
13:39
defending themselves against the other.
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保护自己反对他人的冲动。
13:43
So in summary,
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所以总的来说,
13:45
our new story could go something like this.
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我们的新故事可能是这样。
13:50
Disorder afflicts the land!
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混乱折磨着大地!
13:53
(Laughter)
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(笑声)
13:54
Caused by the powerful and nefarious forces
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是由那些说不存在社会这东西
13:56
of people who say there's no such thing as society,
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的强大而邪恶的力量导致的,
14:00
who tell us that our highest purpose in life
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他们告诉我们说我们最高人生目标
14:03
is to fight like stray dogs over a dustbin.
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要像垃圾堆的流浪狗一样去战斗。
14:08
But the heroes of the story, us,
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但故事中的英雄,我们,
14:11
we'll revolt against this disorder.
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我们将反抗这种混乱。
14:14
We will fight those nefarious forces by building rich, engaging,
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我们将通过建设丰富、 参与、包容和慷慨的社群
14:20
inclusive and generous communities,
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来打击这些邪恶势力,
14:22
and, in doing so,
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因此,
14:24
we will restore harmony to the land.
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我们将恢复大地的和谐。
14:27
(Applause)
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(鼓掌)
14:34
Now whether or not you feel this is the right story,
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不管你是否觉得这是个好故事,
14:38
I hope you'll agree that we need one.
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我希望你会认同 我们需要这样一种思考。
14:40
We need a new restoration story,
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我需要个新的关于修复的故事,
14:43
which is going to guide us out of the mess we're in,
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这将会指引我们摆脱 所深陷的困境,
14:47
which tells us why we're in the mess and tells us how to get out of that mess.
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它告诉我们为什么会陷入困境 以及如何摆脱困境。
14:52
And that story, if we tell it right,
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这个故事,如果我们讲述得当,
14:55
will infect the minds of people across the political spectrum.
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将会影响整个政界的人。
15:00
Our task is to tell the story that lights the path to a better world.
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我们的任务是讲述能够照亮 通向更美好世界之路的故事。
15:06
Thank you.
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谢谢。
15:07
(Applause)
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(鼓掌)
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