The new political story that could change everything | George Monbiot

260,096 views

2019-09-05 ・ TED


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The new political story that could change everything | George Monbiot

260,096 views ・ 2019-09-05

TED


Dvaput kliknite na engleske titlove ispod za reprodukciju videozapisa.

Prevoditelj: Martina Peraic Recezent: Djurdjica Ercegovac
00:12
Do you feel trapped
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Osjećate li se zarobljenima
00:14
in a broken economic model?
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u urušenom ekonomskom modelu?
00:17
A model that's trashing the living world
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Modelu koji uništava živi svijet
00:19
and threatens the lives of our descendants?
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i prijeti životima naših potomaka?
00:23
A model that excludes billions of people
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Modelu koji isključuje milijarde ljudi,
00:27
while making a handful unimaginably rich?
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istodobno čineći šačicu nezamislivo bogatima?
00:31
That sorts us into winners and losers,
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Koji nas svrstava u pobjednike i gubitnike,
00:34
and then blames the losers for their misfortune?
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a zatim krivi gubitnike za njihovu nesreću?
00:39
Welcome to neoliberalism,
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Dobrodošli u neoliberalizam,
00:42
the zombie doctrine that never seems to die,
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zombijevsko učenje koje nikako da izumre,
00:45
however comprehensively it is discredited.
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koliko god detaljno bilo raskrinkavano.
00:49
Now you might have imagined that the financial crisis of 2008
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Možda ste zamišljali kako će financijska kriza 2008. godine
00:54
would have led to the collapse of neoliberalism.
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dovesti do kraha neoliberalizma.
00:57
After all, it exposed its central features,
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Konačno, pokazao je kako su njegove glavne osobine,
01:01
which were deregulating business and finance,
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a to su deregulacija biznisa i financiranja,
01:06
tearing down public protections,
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odstranjivanje javnih zaštita,
01:08
throwing us into extreme competition with each other,
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tjeranje ljudi u ekstremno međusobno natjecanje,
01:12
as, well, just a little bit flawed.
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pa, recimo, malo manjkave.
01:15
And intellectually, it did collapse.
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Intelektualno se doista jest srušio.
01:19
But still, it dominates our lives.
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Ali i dalje upravlja našim životima.
01:24
Why?
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Zašto?
01:26
Well, I believe the answer is that we have not yet produced
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Mislim da je odgovor da još nismo proizveli
01:30
a new story with which to replace it.
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novu priču kojom bismo ga zamijenili.
01:35
Stories are the means by which we navigate the world.
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Priče su sredstva kojima se krećemo kroz svijet.
01:39
They allow us to interpret its complex and contradictory signals.
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One nam omogućuju da tumačimo kompleksne i kontradiktorne znakove.
Ako želimo naći smisao nečega,
01:44
When we want to make sense of something,
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01:47
the sense we seek is not scientific sense
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smisao koji tražimo nije znanstveni smisao,
01:52
but narrative fidelity.
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nego vjerodostojnost priče.
01:55
Does what we are hearing reflect the way
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Odražava li ono što čujemo način
01:58
that we expect humans and the world to behave?
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na koji očekujemo da se ljudi i svijet ponašaju?
02:02
Does it hang together?
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Da li je to dosljedno?
02:04
Does it progress
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Napreduje li onako
02:06
as a story should progress?
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kako bi priča trebala napredovati?
02:10
Now, we are creatures of narrative,
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Mi smo narativna stvorenja,
02:13
and a string of facts and figures, however important facts and figures are --
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a niz činjenica i brojki, koliko god činjenice i brojke bile važne,
02:19
and, you know, I'm an empiricist, I believe in facts and figures --
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znate, ja sam empiričar, ja vjerujem u činjenice i brojke,
02:22
but those facts and figures have no power to displace a persuasive story.
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ali one nemaju moć da nadomjeste uvjerljivu priču.
02:29
The only thing that can replace a story
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Jedina stvar koja može zamijeniti priču
02:34
is a story.
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jest priča.
02:36
You cannot take away someone's story
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Ne možete nekome oduzeti priču
02:38
without giving them a new one.
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a da mu ne ponudite novu.
02:41
And it's not just stories in general that we are attuned to,
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A nisu samo priče općenito ono na što smo navikli,
02:46
but particular narrative structures.
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već i određene narativne strukture.
02:49
There are a number of basic plots that we use again and again,
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Postoji određen broj osnovnih zapleta koje uvijek iznova koristimo,
02:55
and in politics there is one basic plot
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a u politici postoji jedan osnovni zaplet
02:59
which turns out to be tremendously powerful,
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koji se pokazuje iznimno moćnim,
03:04
and I call this "the restoration story."
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zovem ga "priča o obnovi".
03:08
It goes as follows.
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Ide ovako.
03:11
Disorder afflicts the land,
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Nered zahvaća zemlju,
03:13
caused by powerful and nefarious forces
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uzrokovan moćnim i zlim silama
03:17
working against the interests of humanity.
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koje rade protiv interesa čovječanstva.
03:20
But the hero will revolt against this disorder,
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Ali junak će se pobuniti protiv tog nereda,
03:24
fight those powerful forces,
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boriti se protiv tih moćnih sila,
03:26
against the odds overthrow them
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pobijediti ih usprkos svemu
03:29
and restore harmony to the land.
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i obnoviti sklad zemlje.
03:33
You've heard this story before.
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Čuli ste već tu priču.
03:35
It's the Bible story.
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To je Biblija.
03:37
It's the "Harry Potter" story.
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To je Harry Potter.
03:39
It's the "Lord of the Rings" story.
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To je Gospodar prstenova.
03:42
It's the "Narnia" story.
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To je Narnija.
03:44
But it's also the story
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Ali to je također
priča koja je pratila gotovo svaku političku i vjersku transformaciju
03:47
that has accompanied almost every political and religious transformation
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03:52
going back millennia.
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već tisućljećima unatrag.
03:54
In fact, we could go as far as to say
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Zapravo, možemo tvrditi
03:56
that without a powerful new restoration story,
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da bez moćne nove priče o obnovi,
04:02
a political and religious transformation
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nijedna politička ili vjerska transformacija
04:05
might not be able to happen.
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ne bi se možda mogla dogoditi.
04:07
It's that important.
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Toliko je važna priča.
04:10
After laissez-faire economics triggered the Great Depression,
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Nakon što je "laissez-faire" ekonomija dovela do Velike depresije,
04:15
John Maynard Keynes sat down to write a new economics,
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John Maynard Keynes sjeo je i napisao novu ekonomiju,
04:20
and what he did was to tell a restoration story,
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učinio je to pričajući priču o obnovi,
04:24
and it went something like this.
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a ona je išla otprilike ovako:
04:27
Disorder afflicts the land!
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Nered zahvaća zemlju!
04:30
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
04:31
Caused by the powerful and nefarious forces of the economic elite,
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Izazivaju ga moćne i zle sile ekonomske elite,
04:36
which have captured the world's wealth.
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koje su zarobile bogatstvo svijeta.
04:39
But the hero of the story,
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Ali junak priče,
04:42
the enabling state, supported by working class and middle class people,
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sposobna država, koju podržavaju radnička i srednja klasa,
04:47
will contest that disorder,
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suprotstavit će se tom neredu,
04:50
will fight those powerful forces by redistributing wealth,
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oduprijet će se tim moćnim silama preraspodjelom bogatstva,
04:54
and through spending public money on public goods
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a putem trošenja javnog novca na javnu dobrobit
04:58
will generate income and jobs,
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stvorit će dohodak i radna mjesta,
05:01
restoring harmony to the land.
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obnavljajući sklad zemlje.
05:05
Now like all good restoration stories,
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Baš poput svake dobre priče o obnovi,
05:07
this one resonated across the political spectrum.
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ova je odjeknula širom političkog spektra.
05:11
Democrats and Republicans, labor and conservatives,
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Demokrati i republikanci, laburisti i konzervativci,
05:14
left and right all became, broadly, Keynesian.
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lijevi i desni, svi su, u širem smislu, postali Keynesijanci.
05:19
Then, when Keynesianism ran into trouble
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A onda, kada je Keynesijanizam zapao u probleme
05:22
in the 1970s,
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1970-ih godina,
05:24
the neoliberals, people like Friedrich Hayek and Milton Friedman,
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neoliberalisti, ljudi poput Friedricha Hayeka i Miltona Friedmana,
05:28
came forward with their new restoration story,
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pojavili su se sa svojom novom pričom o obnovi,
05:32
and it went something like this.
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a ona je išla otprilike ovako:
05:34
You'll never guess what's coming.
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- nikada nećete pogoditi što slijedi -
05:36
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
05:37
Disorder afflicts the land!
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Nered zahvaća zemlju!
05:40
Caused by the powerful and nefarious forces
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Uzrokuju ga moćne i zle sile
05:45
of the overmighty state,
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svemoćne države,
05:47
whose collectivizing tendencies crush freedom and individualism
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čije težnje za kolektivizacijom slamaju slobodu, individualnost
05:52
and opportunity.
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i prilike.
05:54
But the hero of the story, the entrepreneur,
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Ali junak priče, poduzetnik,
05:57
will fight those powerful forces,
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suprotstavit će se tim moćnim silama,
06:00
roll back the state,
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reducirati državu,
06:02
and through creating wealth and opportunity,
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i stvaranjem bogatstva i prilika
06:05
restore harmony to the land.
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vratiti sklad zemlji.
06:08
And that story also resonated across the political spectrum.
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I ova priča je odjeknula diljem političkog spektra.
06:13
Republicans and Democrats, conservatives and labor,
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Republikanci i demokrati, konzervativci i laburisti,
06:16
they all became, broadly, neoliberal.
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svi su postali, u širem smislu, neoliberali.
06:22
Opposite stories
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Suprotne priče
06:25
with an identical narrative structure.
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s istom narativnom strukturom.
06:29
Then, in 2008,
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Zatim, 2008. godine,
06:32
the neoliberal story fell apart,
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neoliberalna priča se raspala,
06:35
and its opponents came forward with ...
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a njezini protivnici donijeli su nam...
06:41
nothing.
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ništa.
06:42
No new restoration story!
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Nema nove priče o obnovi!
06:45
The best they had to offer was a watered-down neoliberalism
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Sve što su mogli ponuditi bio je razvodnjeni neoliberalizam
06:48
or a microwaved Keynesianism.
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ili podgrijani Keynesijanizam.
06:53
And that is why we're stuck.
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I zato smo zapeli.
06:56
Without that new story,
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Bez te nove priče,
06:58
we are stuck with the old failed story
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zapeli smo u staroj propaloj priči
07:01
that keeps on failing.
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koja i dalje propada.
07:04
Despair is the state we fall into
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Očaj je stanje u koje padamo
07:08
when our imagination fails.
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kada naša mašta zakaže.
07:11
When we have no story that explains the present
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Kada nemamo priču koja objašnjava sadašnjost
07:15
and describes the future,
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i opisuje budućnost,
07:18
hope evaporates.
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nada iščezava.
07:21
Political failure is at heart
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Politički neuspjeh je u suštini
07:24
a failure of imagination.
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neuspjeh mašte.
07:27
Without a restoration story
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Bez priče o obnovi,
07:30
that can tell us where we need to go,
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koja nam može reći kamo trebamo ići,
07:33
nothing is going to change,
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ništa se neće promijeniti.
07:35
but with such a restoration story,
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No, s takvom pričom o obnovi
07:38
almost everything can change.
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gotovo sve se može promijeniti.
07:42
The story we need to tell
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Priča koju trebamo ispričati
07:45
is a story which will appeal to as wide a range of people as possible,
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je priča koja će doprijeti do što većeg broja ljudi,
07:49
crossing political fault lines.
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prelazeći političke razdjelnice.
07:51
It should resonate with deep needs and desires.
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Ona treba oslikavati naše duboke potrebe i čežnje.
07:55
It should be simple and intelligible,
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Mora biti jednostavna i razumljiva
07:58
and it should be grounded in reality.
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i mora biti utemeljena na stvarnosti.
08:01
Now, I admit that all of this sounds like a bit of a tall order.
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Priznajem da sve ovo zvuči malo previše zahtjevno.
08:06
But I believe that in Western nations,
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Ali vjerujem da u zapadnim zemljama
08:08
there is actually a story like this
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zapravo postoji takva priča
08:11
waiting to be told.
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koja čeka da bude ispričana.
08:14
Over the past few years,
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Tijekom zadnjih nekoliko godina,
08:16
there's been a fascinating convergence of findings
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došlo je da zapanjujućeg gomilanja otkrića
08:19
in several different sciences,
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u nekoliko različitih znanosti,
08:21
in psychology and anthropology and neuroscience and evolutionary biology,
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u psihologiji i antropologiji, u neuroznanosti i evolucijskoj biologiji,
08:26
and they all tell us something pretty amazing:
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i sve one nam govore nešto prilično zadivljujuće:
08:30
that human beings have got this massive capacity for altruism.
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da ljudska bića imaju ogromnu sposobnost za altruizam.
08:35
Sure, we all have a bit of selfishness and greed inside us,
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Naravno, svi imamo pomalo sebičnosti i pohlepe u sebi,
08:39
but in most people, those are not our dominant values.
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ali kod većine ljudi to nisu prevladavajuće vrijednosti.
08:44
And we also turn out to be the supreme cooperators.
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Pokazalo se i da smo izvrsni suradnici.
08:48
We survived the African savannas,
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Preživjeli smo afričke savane,
08:50
despite being weaker and slower than our predators and most of our prey,
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unatoč tome što smo bili slabiji i sporiji od predatora i većine našeg plijena,
08:56
by an amazing ability to engage in mutual aid,
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pomoću iznimne sposobnosti da se upustimo u međusobno pomaganje.
09:01
and that urge to cooperate has been hardwired into our minds
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A ta potreba za suradnjom ugrađena je u naše umove
09:06
through natural selection.
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putem prirodne selekcije.
09:08
These are the central, crucial facts about humankind:
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To su središnje, presudne činjenice o ljudskoj vrsti:
09:13
our amazing altruism and cooperation.
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naš nevjerojatan altruizam i suradnja.
09:18
But something has gone horribly wrong.
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Ali nešto je pošlo jako po zlu:
09:22
Disorder afflicts the land.
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Nered zahvaća zemlju.
09:24
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
09:27
Our good nature has been thwarted by several forces,
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Naša dobra priroda prigušena je različitim silama,
09:30
but I think the most powerful of them is the dominant political narrative
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ali mislim da je najjača od njih prevladavajući politički narativ
09:34
of our times,
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našeg vremena,
09:36
which tells us that we should live in extreme individualism
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koji nam govori kako bismo trebali živjeti u ekstremnom individualizmu
09:42
and competition with each other.
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i međusobnom natjecanju.
09:45
It pushes us to fight each other, to fear and mistrust each other.
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Tjera nas da se borimo jedni protiv drugih, da se bojimo i ne vjerujemo jedni drugima.
09:50
It atomizes society.
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Rascjepkava naše društvo.
09:52
It weakens the social bonds that make our lives worth living.
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Oslabljuje društvene veze koje čine naš život vrijednim življenja.
09:58
And into that vacuum
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A u tom vakuumu
10:01
grow these violent, intolerant forces.
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rastu te nasilne, netrpeljive sile.
10:06
We are a society of altruists,
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Mi jesmo društvo altruista,
10:10
but we are governed by psychopaths.
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ali nama upravljaju psihopati.
10:12
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
10:21
But it doesn't have to be like this.
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Ali ne mora biti tako.
10:23
It really doesn't,
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Doista ne mora
10:24
because we have this incredible capacity for togetherness and belonging,
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jer imamo tu nevjerojatnu sposobnost za zajedništvo i pripadanje,
10:28
and by invoking that capacity,
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i prizivanjem te sposobnosti,
10:30
we can recover those amazing components of our humanity:
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možemo povratiti te sjajne osobine naše ljudskosti:
10:35
our altruism and cooperation.
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naš altruizam i suradnju.
10:39
Where there is atomization, we can build a thriving civic life
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Tamo gdje je rascjepkanost, možemo izgraditi bogat građanski život
10:44
with a rich participatory culture.
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bogate kulture sudjelovanja.
10:47
Where we find ourselves crushed between market and state,
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Ondje gdje smo se našli pritiješnjeni između tržišta i države,
10:51
we can build an economics that respects both people and planet.
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možemo izgraditi ekonomiju koja poštuje i ljude i planet.
10:57
And we can create this economics around that great neglected sphere,
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I možemo izgraditi tu ekonomiju oko te velike zanemarene sfere,
11:02
the commons.
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zajedničkog ili javnog dobra.
11:03
The commons is neither market nor state, capitalism nor communism,
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Zajedničko dobro nije ni tržište niti država, ni kapitalizam niti komunizam,
11:08
but it consists of three main elements:
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već se sastoji od tri glavna elementa:
11:10
a particular resource;
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određeni resurs,
11:12
a particular community that manages that resource;
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određena zajednica koja upravlja tim resursom
11:15
and the rules and negotiations the community develops to manage it.
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te pravila i dogovori koje zajednica donosi kako bi upravljala njime.
11:21
Think of community broadband or community energy cooperatives
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Sjetite se javnog širokopojasnog interneta ili lokalnih energetskih zadruga,
11:25
or the shared land for growing fruit and vegetables
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ili zajedničkog zemljišta za uzgoj voća i povrća
11:28
that in Britain we call allotments.
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koje u Britaniji zovemo alokacije - dodijeljene parcele.
11:31
A common can't be sold, it can't be given away,
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Zajedničko dobro se ne može prodati, ne može se pokloniti,
11:34
and its benefits are shared equally among the members of the community.
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a njegove dobrobiti se ravnomjerno dijele između članova zajednice.
11:40
Where we have been ignored and exploited,
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Ondje gdje smo ignorirani i iskorištavani,
11:43
we can revive our politics.
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možemo oživjeti našu politiku.
11:45
We can recover democracy from the people who have captured it.
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Možemo povratiti demokraciju od ljudi koji su je zarobili.
11:50
We can use new rules and methods of elections
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Možemo koristiti nova pravila i metode izbora
11:53
to ensure that financial power never trumps democratic power again.
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kako bismo osigurali da financijska moć više nikada ne nadjača demokratsku moć.
11:59
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
12:06
Representative democracy should be tempered by participatory democracy
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Zastupnička demokracija treba biti obogaćena participatornom demokracijom
12:11
so that we can refine our political choices,
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kako bismo poboljšali naše političke izbore.
12:14
and that choice should be exercised as much as possible at the local level.
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A taj izbor treba ostvarivati što je više moguće na lokalnoj razini.
12:19
If something can be decided locally, it shouldn't be determined nationally.
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Ono o čemu se može odlučivati lokalno, ne bi se smjelo određivati nacionalno.
12:26
And I call all this the politics of belonging.
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Sve to ja nazivam politikom pripadanja.
12:31
Now, I think this has got the potential to appeal
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Mislim da ona ima mogućnost doprijeti
12:35
across quite a wide range of people,
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do širokog raspona ljudi.
12:37
and the reason for this is that among the very few values
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A razlog za to je da su među onim malobrojnim vrijednostima,
12:41
that both left and right share
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koje dijele i ljevičari i desničari,
12:44
are belonging and community.
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pripadanje i zajednica.
12:47
And we might mean slightly different things by them,
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Pod tim možemo podrazumijevati pomalo različite stvari,
12:50
but at least we start with some language in common.
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ali barem započinjemo od nekog zajedničkog jezika.
12:53
In fact, you can see a lot of politics as being a search for belonging.
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Zapravo, mnoge politike možemo promatrati kao potragu za pripadnošću.
12:58
Even fascists seek community,
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Čak i fašisti teže zajednici,
13:01
albeit a frighteningly homogenous community
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doduše zastrašujuće homogenoj zajednici
13:04
where everyone looks the same and wears the same uniform
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gdje svatko izgleda jednako, nosi istu uniformu
13:07
and chants the same slogans.
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i pjevuši iste slogane.
13:09
What we need to create is a community based on bridging networks,
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Trebamo stvoriti zajednicu zasnovanu na mrežama koje premošćuju,
13:14
not bonding networks.
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a ne mrežama koje vezuju.
13:15
Now a bonding network brings together people from a homogenous group,
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Mreža koja vezuje okuplja ljude iz homogene skupine,
13:20
whereas a bridging network brings together people from different groups.
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dok mreža koja premošćuje okuplja ljude iz različitih skupina.
13:24
And my belief is that if we create
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Vjerujem, ako stvorimo
13:26
sufficiently rich and vibrant bridging communities,
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dovoljno bogate i živahne zajednice koje premošćuju,
13:31
we can thwart the urge for people to burrow into the security
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možemo odvratiti ljude od ukopavanja u sigurnost
13:36
of a homogenous bonding community
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homogene vezivne zajednice
koja se brani od svih ostalih.
13:39
defending themselves against the other.
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13:43
So in summary,
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Sažetak naše nove priče
13:45
our new story could go something like this.
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mogao bi ići ovako:
13:50
Disorder afflicts the land!
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Nered zahvaća zemlju!
13:53
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
13:54
Caused by the powerful and nefarious forces
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Izazvan moćnim i zlim silama
13:56
of people who say there's no such thing as society,
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ljudi koji tvrde da ne postoji društvo,
14:00
who tell us that our highest purpose in life
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koji tvrde da je naša najviša svrha u životu
14:03
is to fight like stray dogs over a dustbin.
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boriti se poput pasa lutalica oko kante za smeće.
14:08
But the heroes of the story, us,
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Ali junaci priče, mi,
14:11
we'll revolt against this disorder.
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oduprijet ćemo se tom neredu.
14:14
We will fight those nefarious forces by building rich, engaging,
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Odbit ćemo te zle sile gradeći
bogate, poduzetne, uključive i velikodušne zajednice,
14:20
inclusive and generous communities,
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14:22
and, in doing so,
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i čineći to
14:24
we will restore harmony to the land.
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povratit ćemo sklad zemlji.
14:27
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
14:34
Now whether or not you feel this is the right story,
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Bez obzira mislite li da je ovo ona prava priča,
14:38
I hope you'll agree that we need one.
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nadam se da ćete se složiti da nam je priča potrebna.
14:40
We need a new restoration story,
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Trebamo novu priču o obnovi,
14:43
which is going to guide us out of the mess we're in,
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koja će nas izvesti iz nereda u kojem se nalazimo,
14:47
which tells us why we're in the mess and tells us how to get out of that mess.
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koja će nam reći zašto smo u neredu i kako da se izvučemo iz njega.
14:52
And that story, if we tell it right,
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A ta priča, ako je ispričamo na pravi način,
14:55
will infect the minds of people across the political spectrum.
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zarazit će umove ljudi cijelog političkog spektra.
15:00
Our task is to tell the story that lights the path to a better world.
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Naš zadatak je ispričati priču koja rasvjetljava put ka boljem svijetu.
15:06
Thank you.
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Hvala.
15:07
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
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