John Gerzema: The post-crisis consumer

28,858 views ・ 2009-10-19

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Traducător: Tomita Savastre Corector: Brandusa Gheorghe
Bogatii de 13 trilioane de dolari
00:16
Thirteen trillion dollars in wealth
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00:18
has evaporated over the course of the last two years.
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s-au evaporat in cursul ultimilor doi ani.
00:21
We've questioned the future of capitalism.
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Ne-am pus intrebari in legatura cu viitorul capitalismului.
Ne-am pus intrebari in legatura cu sectorul financiar.
00:24
We've questioned the financial industry.
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00:26
We've looked at our government oversight.
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Am analizat neglijenta guvernului nostru.
00:28
We've questioned where we're going.
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Ne-am pus intrebari despre directia in care mergem.
00:30
And yet, at the same time,
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Si totusi, in acelasi timp, acest lucru poate fi foarte bine
00:31
this very well may be a seminal moment in American history,
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un moment de inceput in istoria americana,
00:34
an opportunity for the consumer to actually take control and guide us
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o oportunitate pentru consumator
sa preia controlul cu adevarat si sa ne ghideze
00:38
to a new trajectory in America.
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pe o noua traiectorie in America.
Eu numesc asta Marea Descolacire.
00:41
I'm calling this The Great Unwind.
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00:42
(Laughter)
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00:43
And the idea is a simple, simple idea,
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Si ideea este una simpla, foarte simpla,
00:46
which is the fact that the consumer has moved from a state of anxiety
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si anume faptul ca consumatorul
a trecut dintr-o stare de anxietate intr-una de actiune.
00:50
to action.
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00:51
Consumers who represent 72 percent of the GDP of America
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Consumatorii care reprezinta 72%
din PIB-ul Americii au inceput cu adevarat,
00:55
have actually started, just like banks and just like businesses,
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asemeni bancilor sau afacerilor,
00:59
to de-leverage, to unwind their leverage in daily life,
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sa-si micsoreze creditele, sa-si relaxeze creditarea,
in viata de zi cu zi, sa se indeparteze
01:03
to remove themselves from the liability and risk
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de indatorarea si riscul
01:06
that presents itself as they move forward.
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care apar pe masura ce inaintam.
01:09
So, to understand this -- and I'm going to stress this --
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Asa ca, pentru a intelege asta, subliniez,
nu este vorba de consumatorul care bate in retragere.
01:12
it's not about the consumer being in retreat.
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Consumatorul este imputernicit.
01:14
The consumer is empowered.
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01:15
To understand this, we'll step back and look at what's happened
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Ca sa intelegem asta, vom face un pas inapoi si vom privi
un pic la ce s-a intamplat in cursul ultimului an si jumatate.
01:19
over the last year and a half.
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01:20
So if you've been gone, this is the CliffsNotes
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Deci, daca ati fi fost plecati, acestea sunt niste notite
despre ce s-a intamplat in economie. OK?
01:23
on what's happened in the economy.
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01:24
(Laughter)
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(Rasete)
01:25
Unemployment up. Housing values down. Equity markets down.
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Somajul a crescut. Valoarea caselor a scazut. Pietele de capital au scazut.
01:28
Commodity prices are like this.
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Pretul comoditatilor este in felul urmator.
01:30
If you're a mom trying to manage a budget,
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Daca sunteti o mama care incearca sa administreze un buget,
01:32
and oil was 150 dollars a barrel last summer,
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si barilul de petrol era 150$ vara trecuta,
01:35
and it's somewhere between 50 and 70,
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si acum este undeva intre 50 si 70,
01:37
do you plan vacations?
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va faceti planuri de vacanta? Cum cumparati?
01:38
How do you buy?
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01:39
What's your strategy in your household? Will the bailout work?
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Care va este strategia pentru locuinta?
Va functiona ajutorul financiar? Avem datoria nationala, Detroit,
01:42
We have national debt, Detroit, currency valuations, health care --
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cursurile valutare, sistemul de sanatate, toate aceste probleme cu care ne confruntam.
01:45
all these issues facing us.
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Puneti toate acestea la un loc, amestecati-le intr-o tocanita,
01:47
You put them all together, mix them up in a bouillabaisse,
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01:49
and you have consumer confidence that's basically a ticking time bomb.
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si aveti increderea consumatorului care este practic o bomba cu ceas.
01:53
In fact, let's go back and look at what caused this crisis,
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De fapt, haideti sa ne intoarcem si sa ne uitam la ce a provocat aceasta criza,
01:56
because the consumer, all of us, in our daily lives,
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deoarece consumatorul, noi toti, in vietile noastre de zi cu zi,
01:58
actually contributed a large part to the problem.
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am contribuit, de fapt, in mare masura la aceasta problema.
02:01
This is something I call the 50-20 paradox.
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Este ceea ce numesc paradoxul 50-20.
Ne-a luat 50 de ani
02:04
It took us 50 years
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02:06
to reach annual savings ratings of almost 10 percent.
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sa atingem nivelul actual de economisire anuala
de aproape 10%. 50 de ani.
02:10
Fifty years.
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02:11
Do you know what this was right here? This was World War II.
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Stiti ce a contribuit la asta?
A fost al Doilea Razboi Mondial. Stiti de ce economisirea a fost asa de mare?
02:14
Do you know why savings was so high?
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02:16
There was nothing to buy, unless you wanted to buy some rivets.
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Pentru ca nu era nimic de cumparat, poate doar daca voiati nituri. Corect?
02:19
What happened, though, over the course of the last 20 years,
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Asa ca, asta s-a intamplat, in decursul ultimilor 20 de ani --
02:22
we went from a 10 percent savings rate to a negative savings rate.
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am ajuns de la o rata de economisire de 10% la una negativa.
Pentru ca am chefuit. Am cumparat masini foarte mari,
02:27
Because we binged.
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02:28
We bought extra-large cars, supersized everything,
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am exagerat in toate, am cumparat remedii pentru sindromul piciorului nelinistit.
02:32
we bought remedies for restless leg syndrome.
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02:35
All these things together basically created a factor
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Toate aceste lucruri impreuna au creat pur si simplu
un element in care consumatorul ne-a condus
02:39
where the consumer drove us headlong into the crisis
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cu capul inainte in criza pe care o infruntam azi.
02:41
that we face today.
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Raportul datorii-venituri al persoanelor fizice
02:43
The personal debt-to-income ratio basically went from 65 to 135 percent
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a crescut de la 65%
la 135% in decursul ultimilor 15 ani.
02:49
in the span of about 15 years.
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02:51
So consumers got over-leveraged.
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Deci consumatorii s-au supraindatorat.
02:54
And of course our banks did as well, as did our federal government.
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Bineinteles ca la fel au facut si bancile noastre, la fel si guvernul federal.
02:57
This is an absolutely staggering chart.
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Aceasta evolutie este absolut socanta.
02:59
It shows leverage, trended out from 1919 to 2009.
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Ne arata indatorarea, din 1919 pana in 2009.
Si ceea ce vedeti la final este un intreg fenomen
03:04
And what you end up seeing is the whole phenomenon
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03:06
that we are actually stepping forth and basically leveraging
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al faptului ca
mergem inapoi si in fapt ne indatoram pe seama
03:10
future education, future children in our households.
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educatiei viitoare, a viitorului copiilor nostri in casele noastre.
03:13
So if you look at this in the context of visualizing the bailout,
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Asa ca daca va uitati la asta in contextul vizualizarii ajutorului financiar,
03:16
what you can see is, if you stack up dollar bills,
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ce puteti vedea este ca daca stivuiti bancnote de un dolar,
03:19
first of all, 360,000 dollars
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in primul rand, 360.000$
03:21
is about the size of a five-foot-four guy.
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sunt aproape de inaltimea unui om de 163 cm.
03:24
But if you stack it up, you see this amazing, staggering amount of dollars
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Dar daca stivuiti, veti vedea aceasta uimitoare, socanta, suma
de dolari care au fost introdusi in sistem
03:28
that have been put into the system to fund and bail us out.
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ca sa finanteze ajutorul financiar.
03:31
So this is the first 315 billion.
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Deci acestia sunt primii 315 miliarde de dolari.
03:33
But I read this fact the other day,
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Dar am citit asta, intr-o zi, ca un miliard de secunde
03:35
that one trillion seconds equals 32,000 years.
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reprezinta 32.000 de ani,
03:38
So if you think about that,
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asa ca daca va ganditi la asta, contextul, nepasarea
03:40
the context, the casualness with which we talk about
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cu care discutam despre ajutoare de miliarde de dolari, ici si colo,
03:42
trillion-dollar bailout here and trillion there,
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03:44
we are stacking ourselves up for long-term leverage.
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ne angajam in indatorare pe termen lung.
Totusi, consumatorii s-au miscat.
03:48
However, consumers have moved.
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03:50
They are taking responsibility.
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Isi asuma responsabilitatea.
Ce vedem este un aflux al ratei economisirii.
03:53
What we're seeing is an uptake in the savings rate.
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03:55
In fact, 11 straight months of savings have happened
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In fapt, 11 luni de economisire neintrerupta s-au intamplat
de la inceputul crizei.
03:58
since the beginning of the crisis.
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03:59
We're working our way back up to that 10 percent.
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Suntem pe drumul inapoi catre rata de 10%.
De asemenea, remarcabil, in trimestrul 4
04:02
Also, remarkably, in the fourth quarter,
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consumul a scazut la cel mai mic nivel din ultimii 62 de ani
04:04
spending dropped to its lowest level in 62 years --
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04:07
almost a 3.7 percent decline.
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un declin de aproape 3,7%.
04:10
Visa now reports that more people are using debit cards than credit cards.
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Visa declara ca acum mai multi oameni folosesc carduri de debit
decat folosesc carduri de credit.
04:14
So we're starting to pay for things with money that we have.
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Deci incepem sa platim pentru lucruri cu banii pe care ii avem.
04:17
And we're starting to be much more careful about how we save and invest.
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Si incepem sa fim mai atenti
la cum economisim si cum investim.
04:21
But that's not really the whole story,
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Dar asta nu este intr-adevar toata povestea.
04:23
because this has also been a dramatic time of transformation.
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Pentru ca aceasta a fost o perioada de timp de transformari dramatice.
04:26
And you've got to admit, over the last year and a half,
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Si trebuie sa admiteti ca, in cursul ultimului an si jumatate,
consumatorii au facut cateva lucruri ciudate.
04:29
consumers have been doing some weird things.
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A fost foarte socanta perioada prin care am trecut.
04:31
It's pretty staggering, what we've lived through.
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04:33
If you take into account that 80 percent of all Americans
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Daca luati in considerare ca 80% din americani
s-au nascut dupa al Doilea Razboi Mondial
04:36
were born after World War II,
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04:37
this was essentially our Depression.
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asta este in esenta Criza noastra.
04:39
And so, as a result, some crazy things have happened.
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Si astfel, ca rezultat, cateva lucruri ciudate s-au intamplat.
04:42
I'll give you some examples.
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O sa va dau cateva exemple. Sa discutam despre dentisti,
04:43
Let's talk about dentists, vasectomies, guns and shark attacks.
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vasectomii, arme si atacuri ale rechinilor. OK?
04:48
(Laughter)
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(Rasete)
04:50
Dentists report molars -- people grinding their teeth,
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Dentistii raporteaza molari
stiti, oameni care scrasnesc din dinti, vin la cabinet
04:53
coming in and reporting that they've had stress.
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si povestesc cat sunt de stresati.
04:56
So there's an increase in people having to have their fillings replaced.
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Si asa creste numarul oamenilor care trebuie sa-si schimbe plombele.
04:59
Gun sales, according to the FBI, who does background checks,
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Armele, vanzarile de arme, in conformitate cu FBI
care face verificari, sunt cu 25% mai mari din ianuarie.
05:03
are up almost 25 percent since January.
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05:06
Vasectomies are up 48 percent, according to the Cornell Institute.
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Vasectomiile au crescut cu 48%,
conform Institutului Cornell.
05:10
And lastly, but a very good point,
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Si in sfarsit, dar un punct de vedere interesant,
05:13
hopefully not related to the former point I just made,
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sper ca nu are legatura cu cele afirmate de mine mai devreme,
05:15
which is that shark attacks are at their lowest level from 2003.
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atacurile rechinilor sunt la cel mai scazut nivel din 2003.
Stie cineva de ce?
05:19
Does anybody know why?
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05:21
(Laughter)
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05:22
No one's at the beach.
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Nimeni nu este pe plaja. Iata ca exista si o parte frumoasa a lucrurilor.
05:23
So there's a bright side to everything.
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05:25
But seriously, what we see happening,
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Serios vorbind, ce vedem ca se intampla,
05:27
and the reason I want to stress that the consumer is not in retreat,
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si motivul pentru care vreau sa subliniez ca consumatorul nu este in retragere,
este acela ca este o oportunitate imensa
05:31
is that this is a tremendous opportunity
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ca acest consumator, care ne-a impins in aceasta recesiune,
05:33
for the consumer who drove us into this recession
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05:35
to lead us right back out.
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sa ne conduca iar inapoi.
05:37
What I mean by that is we can move from mindless consumption
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Si ceea ce vreau sa spun este ca putem trece de la consum irational
05:40
to mindful consumption.
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la consum rational. Corect?
05:42
Right?
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05:43
(Applause)
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Daca va ganditi la ultimele 3 decenii,
05:44
If you think about the last three decades,
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consumatorul a trecut de la intelegerea marketingului in anii '90,
05:47
the consumer has moved from savvy about marketing in the '90s,
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05:50
to gathering all these amazing social and search tools in this decade.
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la adunarea tuturor acestor uimitoare instrumente sociale si de cautare in acest deceniu,
05:54
But the one thing holding them back is the ability to discriminate.
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dar ce l-a retinut a fost abilitatea de a discerne.
05:57
By restricting their demand,
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Prin restrangerea cererii, consumatorii pot de fapt
05:59
consumers can actually align their values with their spending,
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sa-si alinieze valorile cu ce cheltuie,
06:02
and drive capitalism and business to not just be about more,
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si sa conduca capitalismul si afacerile,
nu numai catre a fi mai mult, ci catre a fi mai bine.
06:06
but to be about better.
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Voi explica asta chiar acum.
06:07
We're going to explain that right now.
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06:09
Based on Y&R's BrandAsset Valuator,
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Bazandu-ne pe Y&R's BrandAsset Valuator,
instrument proprietate a VML si Young & Rubicam,
06:12
proprietary tool of VML and Young & Rubicam,
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06:14
we set out to understand what's been happening in the crisis
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vom incerca sa intelegem ce s-a intamplat in criza
cu piata consumatorilor.
06:17
with the consumer marketplace.
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06:19
We found a couple of really interesting things.
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Am descoperit cateva lucruri interesante.
06:21
We're going to go through four value shifts
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Vom trece prin 4 schimbari de valoare pe care le vedem ca
06:23
that we see driving new consumer behaviors,
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directioneaza comportamentele noilor consumatori,
06:26
that offer new management principles.
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care ofera noi principii de management.
06:28
The first cultural value shift we see
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Prima schimbare de valori culturale pe care o vedem este tendinta
06:30
is this tendency toward something we call "liquid life."
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catre ceea ce numim viata lichida.
06:32
This is the movement
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Aceasta este o trecere de la americanii care-si definesc succesul
06:33
from Americans defining their success on having things
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prin a detine lucruri la a avea lichiditati,
06:37
to having liquidity,
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06:38
because the less excess that you have around you,
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deoarece cu cat ai mai putin exces in preajma,
cu atat esti mai agil si rapid.
06:41
the more nimble and fleet of foot you are.
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06:43
As a result, déclassé consumption is in.
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Ca rezultat, apare consumul declasat.
06:45
Déclassé consumption is the whole idea that spending money frivolously
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Consumul declasat spune ca aruncarea banilor pe fereastra
nu te face sa fii la moda.
06:49
makes you look a little bit anti-fashion.
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06:52
The management principle is dollars and cents.
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Principiul managementului sunt dolarii si centii.
Deci hai sa ne uitam putin la exemple de acest consum
06:55
So let's look at some examples of this déclassé consumption
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declasat care decurg de aici.
06:57
that falls out of this value.
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06:59
The first thing is, something must be happening
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In primul rand ceva trebuie sa se intample cand
07:01
when P. Diddy vows to tone down his bling.
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P. Diddy jura sa-si tempereze vestimentatia.
07:03
(Laughter)
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(Rasete)
07:04
But seriously, we also have this phenomenon
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Serios vorbind, avem de asemenea acest fenomen
pe Bulevardul Madison, si in alte locuri
07:07
on Madison Avenue and in other places,
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unde persoane ies din magazinele de lux
07:09
where people are actually walking out of luxury boutiques
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cu pungi obisnuite
07:12
with ordinary, generic paper bags to hide the brand purchases.
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de hartie ca sa-si ascunda achizitiile de firma.
07:15
We see high-end haggling in fashion today,
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Vedem dispute sofisticate in moda de astazi.
07:18
high-end haggling for luxury and real estate.
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Dispute sofisticate pentru lux si imobiliare.
07:21
We also see just a relaxing of ego,
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Vedem si o relaxare a ego-ului,
07:23
and sort of a dismantling of artifice.
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si un fel de dezagregare a ingenuitatii.
Este o poveste despre un iaht club
07:26
This is a story on the yacht club that's all basically blue collar.
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care este, de fapt, format din clasa muncitoare.
07:29
Blue-collar yacht club -- where you can join,
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Clubul de iaht al muncitorilor unde poti intra,
dar trebuie sa fi lucrat in santierul naval,
07:32
but you've got to work in the boatyard as condition of membership.
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ca o conditie a intrarii in club.
07:35
We also see the trend toward tourism that's a little bit more low-key:
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Cu totii vedem tendinta catre
turism care este un pic mai cumpatat. Corect?
07:40
agritourism -- going to vineyards and going to farms.
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Agroturism, calatorind la podgorii si ferme.
07:43
And then we also see this movement forward from dollars and cents.
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Si apoi vedem o inaintare, de la dolari si centi.
07:46
What businesses can do to connect with these new mindsets
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Ce pot afacerile face ca sa se conecteze
cu aceste noi modele de gandire este chiar interesant.
07:49
is really interesting.
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07:50
A couple things that are kind of cool.
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Cateva lucruri care sunt interesante.
07:52
One is that Frito-Lay figured out this liquidity thing with their consumer.
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Unul ar fi ca Frito-Lay a intrevazut acest aspect al lichiditatii
la consumatorul lor.
07:56
They found their consumer had more money at the beginning of the month,
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Au descoperit ca consumatorul lor are mai multi bani la inceputul lunii,
mai putini la sfarsitul lunii. Asa ca ce au facut
07:59
less at the end of the month.
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a fost sa schimbe ambalajele.
08:01
So they started to change their packaging:
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Pachete mai mari la inceputul lunii, ambalaje mai mici
08:03
larger packs at the beginning of the month,
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la sfarsitul lunii.
08:05
smaller packaging at the end of the month.
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Foarte interesant, de asemenea, este clubul San Franciscio Giants.
08:07
Really interestingly, too, was the San Francisco Giants.
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Ei au instituit preturile dinamice.
08:10
They've just instituted dynamic pricing.
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08:12
It takes into account everything from the pitcher match-ups,
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Asa ca iau in considerare orice, de la reusitele aruncatorului
pana la vreme, la recordurile echipei,
08:15
to the weather, to the team records,
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08:17
in setting prices for the consumer.
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in setarea pretului pentru consumator.
08:19
Another quick example of these types of movements is the rise of Zynga.
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Alt exemplu al acestor tipuri miscari este
ascensiunea companiei Zynga.
Zynga a crescut pe seama dorintei consumatorului
08:25
Zynga has risen on the consumer's desire
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de a nu fi blocat in costuri fixe.
08:27
to not want to be locked in to fixed cost.
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08:29
Again, this theme is about variable cost, variable living.
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Din nou, asta este despre costuri variabile, standarde de viata variabile.
Asa ca microplatile au devenit uriase.
08:32
So micro-payments have become huge.
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Si, in sfarsit, unii oameni folosesc Hulu
08:34
And lastly, some people are using Hulu
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08:36
as a device to get rid of their cable bill.
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de fapt ca un dispozitiv de a scapa de facturile de televiziune prin cablu.
08:38
So, really clever ideas there that are being taken ahold of
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Asa ca, ideile cu adevarat inteligente
sunt luate in considerare si marketeerii incepe sa inteleaga.
08:42
and that marketers are starting to understand.
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A doua din cele 4 valori
08:44
The second of the four values is this movement toward
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este miscarea catre etica si fairplay.
08:47
ethics and fair play.
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08:48
We see that play itself out with empathy and respect.
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Observam ca se desfasoara cu empatie si respect.
08:51
The consumer is demanding it.
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Consumatorul o cere.
08:53
And, as a result, businesses must provide not only value,
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Si, ca rezultat, afacerile trebuie sa furnizeze
nu doar valoare, ci valori.
08:56
but values.
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08:57
Increasingly, consumers are looking at the culture of the company,
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Din ce in ce mai mult, consumatorii se uita la cultura companiei,
se uita la comportamentul ei in piata.
09:00
at their conduct in the marketplace.
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09:02
So we see with empathy and respect
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Deci, ceea ce vedem cu empatie si respect, multe lucruri incurajatoare
09:04
lots of really hopeful things come out of this recession.
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care au rezultat din aceasta recesiune.
O sa va dau cateva exemple.
09:07
I'll give you a few examples.
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09:08
One is the rise toward communities and neighborhoods,
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Unul este accentul catre comunitati si vecinatati,
un accent crescut catre vecinii vostri ca sistem de suport.
09:11
and increased emphasis on your neighbors as your support system.
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09:14
Also, a wonderful by-product of a really lousy thing,
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De asemenea, un rezultat minunat al unui lucru groaznic,
09:18
which has been unemployment,
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care a fost somajul, este o crestere a
09:20
is a rise in volunteerism that's been noted in our country.
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voluntariatului in tara noastra.
De asemenea, vedem acest fenomen --
09:23
We also see the phenomenon -- some of you may have "boomerang kids" --
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unii dintre voi poate aveti "copii bumerang" --
09:26
these are "boomerang alumni,"
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acestia sunt "absolventi bumerang"
09:28
where universities are actually reconnecting with alumni
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care presupune ca universitatile reiau legatura cu absolventii
ajutandu-i in cautarea de job-uri, impartasind abilitati si reinstruindu-i.
09:31
and helping them with jobs, sharing skills and retraining.
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09:34
We also talked about character and professionalism.
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Am vorbit, de asemenea, despre caracter si profesionalism.
09:36
We had this miracle on the Hudson in New York City in January,
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Am avut miracolul de pe raul Hudson in New York, stiti, in ianuarie.
09:40
and suddenly Sully has become a key name on BabyCenter.
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Si, dintr-o data, Sully a devenit un nume important pe Babycenter.
09:44
(Laughter)
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(Rasete)
09:45
So, from a value and values standpoint,
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Deci, din punctul de vedere al valorii si valorilor,
09:47
what companies can do is connect in lots of different ways.
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ce pot face companiile este sa se conecteze in diferite feluri.
09:50
Microsoft is doing something wonderful.
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Microsoft face ceva minunat.
09:52
They are actually vowing to retrain two million Americans with IT training,
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S-au angajat sa re-instruiasca in IT 2 milioane de americani:
09:56
using their existing infrastructure to do something good.
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folosind infrastructura existenta sa faca ceva bun.
09:59
Also, a really interesting company is GORE-TEX.
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O alta compatie interesanta este Gore-Tex.
10:02
GORE-TEX is all about personal accountability
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In Gore-Tex totul este despre responsabilitate personala
a managementului si angajatilor,
10:05
of their management and their employees,
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10:06
to the point where they really kind of shun the idea of bosses.
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pana in punctul in care evita ideea de sefi.
10:10
But they also talk about the fact that their executives --
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Dar ei, de asemenea, vorbesc despre faptul ca
executivii lor, toate rapoartele lor de cheltuieli,
10:13
all of their expense reports are put onto their company intranet
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sunt puse in reteaua intranet a companiei pentru ca oricine sa le poata vedea.
10:16
for everyone to see.
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10:17
Complete transparency.
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Transparenta completa.
10:19
Think twice before you have that bottle of wine.
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Gandeste-te de doua ori inainte de a bea o sticla de vin.
10:21
(Laughter)
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10:22
The third of the four laws of post-crisis consumerism
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A treia din cele patru legi ale consumerismului post-criza
10:25
is about durable living.
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este despre un stil de viata durabil.
10:27
We're seeing in our data that consumers are realizing
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Vedem in datele noastre ca consumatorii realizeaza
10:29
this is a marathon, not a sprint.
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ca este un maraton, nu o cursa de viteza.
10:31
They're digging in and looking for ways to extract value
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Ei fac sapaturi. Si cauta moduri de a extrage valori
din fiecare achizitie pe care o fac.
10:34
out of every purchase they make.
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10:36
Witness the fact that Americans are holding on to their cars
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Dovada sta faptul ca americanii isi pastreaza masinile
mai mult decat pana acum
10:39
longer than ever before: 9.4 years on average, in March.
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9,4 ani, in medie, in martie. Un record.
10:43
A record.
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10:44
We also see the fact that libraries have become a huge resource for America.
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De asemenea, vedem ca bibliotecile au devenit
o resursa uriasa pentru America.
10:48
Did you know that 68 percent of Americans now carry a library card?
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Stiati ca 68% din americani
au acum un permis de intrare la biblioteca?
10:52
The highest percentage ever in our nation's history.
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Cel mai mare procent in istoria natiunii noastre.
10:54
So what you see in this trend is also the accumulation of knowledge.
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Deci ceea ce vedeti in acest trend este si
acumularea de cunostinte.
10:58
Continuing education is up.
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Educatia continua este in crestere.
11:00
Everything is focused on betterment, training,
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Totul este concentrat pe imbunatatire si instruire.
11:02
development and moving forward.
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si dezvoltare si inaintare.
11:04
We also see a big DIY movement.
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De asemenea, vedem o mare miscare DIY. (Do-It-Yourself = fa-o singur)
11:07
I was fascinated to learn that 30 percent of all homes in America
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Am fost fascinat sa aflu ca 30%
din toate locuintele din America sunt, de fapt, construite de proprietari.
11:11
are actually built by owners.
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11:13
That includes cottages and the like,
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Asta include casute de vacanta si asemanatoare. Dar este 30%.
11:15
but 30 percent.
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11:16
People are getting their hands dirty, rolling up their sleeves.
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Deci oamenii isi murdaresc mainile. Isi sufleca manecile.
Isi doresc aceste calificari.
11:19
They want these skills.
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11:20
We see it with the phenomenon of raising backyard hens, chickens and ducks.
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Vedem asta in fenomenul cresterii in curte
a gainilor si ratelor. Si cand faceti socotelilele,
11:24
And when you work out the math, they say it doesn't work,
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se spune ca nu renteaza, dar principiul este acolo
11:27
but the principle is there;
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1300
este vorba despre sustenabilitate si a avea grija de tine.
11:28
it's about being sustainable and taking care of yourself.
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11:31
Then we look at the High Line in New York City,
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Si apoi ne uitam la High Line in New York,
11:33
an excellent use of reimagining existing infrastructure
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o excelenta folosire a regandirii
infrastructurii existente pentru ceva bun, adica
11:36
for something good,
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11:37
which is a brand-new park in New York City.
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un parc nou-nout in New York.
11:39
So what brands can do, and companies, is pay dividends to consumers,
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Deci, ceea ce brandurile pot face, la fel si companiile,
este sa plateasca dividende consumatorilor,
11:43
be a brand that lasts,
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1528
sa fie branduri care dureaza,
11:45
offer transparency,
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sa ofere transparenta, sa-ti promita ca vei exista dincolo de vanzarile de azi.
11:46
promise you're going to be there beyond today's sale.
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Un exemplu perfect este Patagonia.
11:49
Perfect example of that is Patagonia.
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11:51
Patagonia's "Footprint Chronicles"
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Patagonia's Footprint Chronicles in principiu
11:53
basically goes through and tracks every product they make,
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tine evidenta fiecarui produs pe care-l fabrica,
11:56
and gives you social responsibility,
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si va ofera responsabilitate sociala,
11:58
and helps you understand the ethics behind the product they make.
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si va ajuta sa intelegeti etica
ce sta in spatele fiecarui produs fabricat.
12:02
Another great example is Fidelity.
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Alt mare exemplu este Fidelity.
12:04
Rather than instant cash-back rewards on your credit or debit purchases,
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In loc de recompense imediate in bani pentru cumparaturile pe credit sau debit,
12:07
this is about 529 rewards for your student education.
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este vorba de 529 recompense
pentru educatia universitara.
12:12
Or the interesting company Sunrun.
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Sau interesanta companie SunRun.
12:14
I love this company.
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Iubesc aceasta companie. Ei au creat o cooperativa de consumatori
12:16
They've created a consumer collective
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care pun panouri solare pe casele lor
12:18
where they put solar panels on households
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2346
12:20
and create a consumer-based utility,
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si au creat utilitati bazate pe consumator
12:22
where the electricity they generate
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unde electricitatea generata este
12:24
is basically pumped back out into the marketplace.
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2624
pompata inapoi in piata de energie.
Deci, este o cooperativa condusa de consumatori.
12:27
So it's a consumer-driven co-op.
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12:28
The fourth post-crisis consumerism that we see
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Asa ca, al patrulea fel de consum post criza identificat
este intoarcerea catre comunitate, oameni.
12:32
is this movement about "return to the fold."
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12:34
It's incredibly important right now.
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Este incredibil de important in acest moment.
12:36
Trust is not parceled out, as we all know.
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Increderea nu este parcelata, asa cum stim cu totii.
12:39
It's now about connecting to your communities,
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Acum este vorba despre conectarea la comunitatile voastre,
12:41
connecting to your social networks.
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despre conectarea la retelele voastre sociale.
12:43
In my book, I talked about the fact
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In cartea mea am vorbit despre faptul ca 72%
12:44
that 72 percent of people trust what other people say
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din oameni au incredere in ce spun alti oameni
12:47
about a brand or a company,
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1451
despre un brand sau o companie, in comparatie cu 15% - increderea in reclame.
12:49
versus 15 percent on advertising.
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Deci, in aceasta privinta,
12:51
So in that respect, cooperative consumerism has really taken off.
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consumerismul colectiv si-a luat cu adevarat zborul.
12:54
This is about consumers working together to get what they want
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Este vorba despre consumatori lucrand impreuna
sa obtina ceea ce vor din piata.
12:57
out of the marketplace.
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Sa ne uitam la cateva exemple rapide.
12:59
Let's look at a couple of quick examples.
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Miscarea artizanala este imensa.
13:01
The artisanal movement is huge:
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13:02
everything about locally derived products and services,
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3057
Toate produsele si serviciile locale,
13:05
supporting your local neighborhoods,
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in sprijinul comunitatilor locale,
13:07
whether it's cheeses, wines and other products.
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indiferent ca e vorba de branzeturi, vinuri sau alte produse.
13:10
Also this rise of local currencies.
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De asemenea, cresterea valutelor locale.
13:13
Realizing that it's difficult to get loans in this environment,
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Realizand ca este dificil de obtinut imprumuturi in aceste imprejurari,
faceti afaceri doar cu oameni in care aveti incredere,
13:16
you're doing business with people you trust
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in pietele locale.
13:18
in your local markets.
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1179
13:19
So this rise of local currency is another really interesting phenomenon.
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3868
Deci, aceasta crestere a acestui fel de valute locale
este un alt fenomen interesant.
13:23
And then they did a recent report I thought was fascinating.
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Apoi au intocmit acest raport recent
eu am fost fascinat.
13:27
They actually started, in certain communities in the United States,
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3173
Au inceput, in anumite comunitati din USA,
sa publice consumul de electricitate al oamenilor.
13:30
to publish people's electricity usage.
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2027
13:32
And what they found out is when that was available for public record,
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Si ceea ce au descoperit este ca atunci cand acest consum a fost facut public,
13:35
the people's electricity usage in those communities dropped.
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3070
consumul de electricitate al comunitatilor a scazut.
13:39
Then we also look at the idea of cow-pooling,
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Apoi ne uitam la ideea de adunare a vacilor,
13:42
which is the whole phenomenon of consumers organizing together
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4195
care reprezinta fenomenul consumatorilor
care se organizeaza impreuna
13:46
to buy meat from organic farms, that they know is safe and controlled
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3893
ca sa cumpere carne din ferme organice
despre care stiu ca sunt sigure si controlate in felul in care voiau ei sa fie controlate.
13:50
in the way that they want it to be controlled.
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13:52
And then there's this other really interesting movement in California,
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Si mai exista alta interesanta tendinta
care a aparut in California, care este despre "mafia morcovilor".
13:56
which is about carrot mobs.
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13:57
The traditional thing would be to boycott, right? Have a stick.
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3046
Reactia traditionala ar fi boicotul, corect?
Sa arati un bat? De ce sa nu arati un morcov?
14:00
Well, why not have a carrot?
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Deci acestia sunt consumatorii care se organizeaza, adunandu-si resursele,
14:02
So these are consumers organizing, pooling their resources
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14:05
to incentify companies to do good.
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sa stimuleze companiile sa faca bine.
14:08
And then we look at what companies can do.
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Si apoi ne uitam la ce pot face companiile.
14:11
This is all the opportunity about being a community organizer.
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Aceasta este toata oportunitea in calitatea de organizator de comunitati.
14:14
You have to realize that you can't fight and control this.
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2967
Trebuie sa realizezi ca nu poti lupta sau controla asta.
14:17
You actually need to organize it.
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De fapt e nevoie sa o organizezi.
14:19
You need to harness it. You need to give it meaning.
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Trebuie sa o pui in valoare. Trebuie sa-i dati o semnificatie.
14:21
And there's lots of really interesting examples here.
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Sunt o multime de exemple interesante
pe care le vedem.
14:25
First is just the rise of the fact that Zagat's has actually moved out of
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4793
Primul este faptul ca
compania Zagat s-a indepartat
14:29
and diversified from rating restaurants,
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si diversificat, de la clasificarea restaurantelor,
14:32
into actually rating health care.
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2199
la clasificarea serviciilor de sanatate.
14:34
So what credentials does Zagat's have?
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Deci ce certificari are Zagat?
14:36
Well, they have a lot,
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1170
Ei bine, multe. Pentru ca este reteaua lor de oameni. Corect?
14:37
because it's their network of people.
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14:39
So that becomes a very powerful force for them
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Deci asta devine o forta puternica pentru ei
sa-si faca brandul mai elastic.
14:42
to make their brand more elastic.
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14:44
Then you look at the phenomenon of Kogi.
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2257
Apoi va uitati la fenomenul Kogi.
14:47
This Kogi doesn't exist. It's a moving truck.
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Acest Kogi nu exista. Este un camion in miscare. Corect?
14:50
It's a moving truck through L.A.,
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1599
Este un camion in miscare prin Los Angeles. Si singurul fel in care-l poti descoperi
14:51
and the only way you can find it is through Twitter.
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este prin intermediul Twitter.
14:54
(Laughter)
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1057
Sau daca va uitati la Johnson & Johnson's Momversations.
14:55
Or you look at
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1153
14:56
Johnson & Johnson's "Momversations," a phenomenal blog that's been built up,
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5062
Un blog fenomenal care a fost construit.
15:01
where J&J basically is tapping into the power of mommy bloggers,
345
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4130
In care J&J foloseste
puterea bloggeritelor mamici,
15:05
allowing them to create a forum where they can communicate and connect.
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4448
permitandu-le sa creeze un forum
unde pot comunica si se pot conecta.
15:10
And it's also become a very valuable advertising revenue for J&J as well.
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4839
Si asta a devenit un foarte, foarte valoros
fel de venit din reclama pentru J&J.
15:15
This, plus the fact that you've got phenomenal work from CEOs,
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Asta plus faptul ca aveti
o munca extraordinara din partea CEO
15:19
from Ford to Zappos, connecting on Twitter,
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de la Ford la Zappos, conectati prin Twitter
15:21
creating an open environment,
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creand un mediu deschis,
15:23
allowing their employees to be part of the process,
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permitand angajatilor sa fie o parte a procesului,
15:26
rather than hidden behind walls.
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decat sa se ascunda in spatele zidurilor.
15:28
You see this rising force in total transparency and openness
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Vedeti in aceasta forta in ascensiune un fel de
transparenta si deschidere totala pe care companiile au inceput sa o adopte.
15:32
that companies are starting to adopt,
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Totul pentru ca consumatorul o cere.
15:34
all because the consumer is demanding it.
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15:36
So when we look at this and step back,
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Asa ca, atunci cand ne uitam la asta si ne dam putin inapoi,
15:38
what I believe is that the crisis that exists today is definitely real.
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ce cred eu este ca criza care exista astazi
este in totalitate reala.
15:42
It's been tremendously powerful for consumers.
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A fost coplesitor de puternica pentru consumatori.
15:45
But at the same time, this is also a tremendous opportunity.
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Dar in acelasi timp, asta a fost o oportunitate impresionanta.
15:48
The Chinese character for crisis is actually the same side
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Si caracterul chinez pentru criza
este de fapt aceeasi fata a aceleiasi monezi.
15:52
of the same coin.
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15:53
Crisis equals opportunity.
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Criza inseamna oportunitate.
15:55
What we're seeing with consumers right now is the ability for them
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Ceea ce vedem la consumatorii de azi
este abilitatea lor
15:58
to actually lead us forward out of this recession.
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sa ne scoata din aceasta recesiune.
16:01
So we believe that values-driven spending will force capitalism to be better:
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Asa ca, noi credem ca consumul condus de valori
va forta capitalismul sa fie mai bun.
16:06
it will drive innovation;
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Va conduce inovarea.
16:08
it will make longer-lasting products;
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Va face produse mai durabile. Va crea
16:10
it will create better, more intuitive customer service;
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servicii mai bune si mai intuitive pentru consumator.
Ne va da oportunitatea sa ne conectam cu companiile
16:13
and it will give us the opportunity to connect with companies
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16:15
that share the values that we share.
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care impartasesc aceleasi valori ca si noi.
Asa ca, atunci cand ne dam inapoi si ne uitam la asta
16:18
So when we look back and step out at this
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si vedem inceputul acestor tendinte
16:20
and see the beginning of these trends that we're seeing in our data,
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pe care le vedem in informatiile noastre
16:23
we see a very hopeful picture for the future of America.
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vedem un foarte promitator tablou al viitorului Americii.
Va multumesc foarte mult.
16:26
Thank you very much.
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16:27
(Applause)
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(Aplauze)
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