How Amazon, Apple, Facebook and Google manipulate our emotions | Scott Galloway

873,478 views

2017-12-12 ・ TED


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How Amazon, Apple, Facebook and Google manipulate our emotions | Scott Galloway

873,478 views ・ 2017-12-12

TED


Dvaput kliknite na engleske titlove ispod za reprodukciju videozapisa.

Prevoditelj: Sanda L Recezent: Tilen Pigac - EFZG
00:12
[This talk contains graphic language Viewer discretion is advised]
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[Ovaj govor sadrži slikovit rječnik, preporučuje se diskrecija gledatelja]
00:16
So, this is the first and the last slide
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Dakle, ovo je prvi i zadnji slajd
00:19
each of my 6,400 students over the last 15 years has seen.
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koji je vidio svaki od mojih 6400 studenata u proteklih 15 godina.
00:24
I do not believe you can build a multibillion-dollar organization
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Ne vjerujem da možete izgraditi više milijardi dolara vrijednu organizaciju,
00:27
unless you are clear on which instinct or organ you are targeting.
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ukoliko niste svjesni koji instinkt ili organ ciljate.
00:33
Our species has a need for a superbeing.
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Naša vrsta ima potrebu za superbićem.
00:36
Our competitive advantage as a species is our brain.
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Naša kompetitivna prednost kao vrste je naš mozak.
00:39
Our brain is robust enough to ask these really difficult questions,
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Naš mozak je dovoljno snažan da postavlja ta vrlo teška pitanja,
00:42
but, unfortunately, it doesn't have the processing power to answer them,
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no, nažalost, nema moć obrade da odgovori na njih,
00:46
which creates a need for a superbeing
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što stvara potrebu za superbićem
00:48
that we can pray to and look to for answers.
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kome se možemo moliti i obratiti za odgovore.
00:51
What is prayer?
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Što je molitva?
00:52
Sending a query into the universe,
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Slanje upita univerzumu,
00:54
and hopefully there's some sort of divine intervention --
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nadajući se da postoji nekakva božanska intervencija,
00:57
we don't need to understand what's going on --
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ne moramo razumjeti što se dešava
od nekakvog sveznajućeg, svevidećeg superbića,
00:59
from an all-knowing, all-seeing superbeing
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01:01
that gives us authority that this is the right answer.
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koje je autoritet kojem se vjeruje da je to pravi odgovor.
01:05
"Will my kid be all right?"
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"Hoće li moje dijete biti dobro?"
01:08
You have your planet of stuff,
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Imate svoj svijet stvari,
01:10
you have your planet of work,
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imate svoj svijet rada,
01:11
you have your planet of friends.
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imate svoj svijet prijatelja.
01:13
If you have kids,
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Ako imate djecu,
01:15
you know that once something comes off the rails with your kids,
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znate da čim nešto kod vaše djece ne ide prema planu,
01:18
everything melts,
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sve se raspada
01:19
in your universe to the Sun that is your kids.
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u vašem svijetu zbog Sunca koje su vaša djeca.
01:22
"Will my kid be all right?"
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"Hoće Ii moje dijete biti u redu?"
01:25
"Symptoms and treatment of croup" in the Google query box.
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"Simptomi i liječenje grlobolje", upit na Googleu.
01:29
One in six queries presented to Google have never been asked before
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Jedan od šest upita postavljenih Googleu nikad prije nisu traženi
01:33
in the history of mankind.
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u povijesti čovječanstva.
01:34
What priest, teacher, rabbi, scholar, mentor, boss has so much credibility
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Koji svećenik, učitelj, rabin, stručnjak, mentor, šef ima toliko kredibiliteta
01:40
that one in six questions posed to that person
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da jedno od šest pitanja postavljenih toj osobi
01:42
have never been asked before?
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nikad prije nije upitano?
01:44
Google is our modern man's God.
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Google je Bog našeg modernog čovjeka.
01:47
Imagine your face and your name above everything you've put into that box,
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Zamislite svoje lice i ime iznad svega što ste upisali u to polje pretrage
01:52
and you're going to realize you trust Google more than any entity
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i shvatit ćete da vjerujete Googleu više od bilo kojeg entiteta
01:56
in your history.
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u povijesti.
01:57
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
01:58
Let's move further down the torso.
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Krenimo dalje niz torzo.
02:00
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
02:02
One of the other wonderful things about our species
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Još jedna divna stvar kod naše vrste
02:05
is we not only need to be loved, but we need to love others.
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je što ne samo da želimo biti voljeni, već i imamo potrebu voljeti druge.
02:08
Children with poor nutrition but a lot of affection
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Djeca koja imaju slabu prehranu, ali mnogo ljubavi
02:11
have better outcomes than children with good nutrition and poor affection.
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imaju bolje rezultate od djece koja se dobro hrane, ali su manje voljena.
02:16
However, the best signal that you might make it
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Međutim, najbolji znak da biste mogli uspjeti
02:19
to be part of the number-one fastest growing demographic in the world --
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biti dio najbrže rastuće demografije na svijetu --
02:24
centenarians, people who live to triple digits --
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stogodišnjaka, ljudi koji dožive troznamenkastu dob,
02:26
there are three signals.
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postoje tri pokazatelja.
02:27
In reverse order: your genetics -- not as important as you'd like to think,
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Obrnutim redom: vaša genetika -- ne toliko važna koliko volite misliti
pa i dalje možete zanemarivati svoje tijelo
02:31
so you can continue to treat your body like shit
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02:33
and think, "Oh, Uncle Joe lived to 95,
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i misliti “Pa ujak Joe je doživio 95.,
02:35
the die have been cast."
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dakle, kocka je bačena."
Manje je važno nego što mislite.
02:37
It's less important than you think.
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02:38
Number two is lifestyle.
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Broj dva - način života.
Ne pušite, ne budite pretili, idite na preglede
02:40
Don't smoke, don't be obese, and prescreen --
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02:42
get rid of about two-thirds of early cancers
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i riješite se dvije trećine rano otkrivenih tumora
02:45
and cardiovascular disease.
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te bolesti srca i krvnih žila.
02:47
The number one indicator or signal that you'll make it to triple digits:
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Glavni pokazatelj da ćete doživjeti stotu:
02:50
How many people do you love?
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Koliko ljudi volite?
02:54
Caretaking is the security camera --
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Briga za druge je naša sigurnosna kamera -
02:57
we call the low-resolution security camera in our brain --
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zovemo je sigurnosnom kamerom niske rezolucije u našem mozgu --
03:00
deciding whether or not you are adding value.
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odlučivanje dodajete li nečemu vrijednost.
03:02
Facebook taps into our instinctive need not only to be loved,
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Facebook dopire do naše instinktivne potrebe, ne samo da budemo voljeni,
03:06
but to love others,
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već i da volimo druge,
03:07
mostly through pictures that create empathy,
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najčešće kroz slike koje stvaraju empatiju,
03:09
catalyze and reinforce our relationships.
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pročišćuju i osnažuju naše veze s drugima.
03:12
Let's continue our journey down the torso.
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Nastavimo dalje niz torzo.
03:15
Amazon is our consumptive gut.
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Amazon je naše potrošačko crijevo.
03:18
The instinct of more is hardwired into us.
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Instinkt za obiljem je ugrađen u nas.
03:21
The penalty for too little is starvation and malnutrition.
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Kazna za oskudicu je gladovanje i neishranjenost.
03:25
Open your cupboards, open your closets,
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Otvorite svoje vitrine i ormare,
03:28
you have 10 to 100x times what you need.
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imate 10 do 100 puta više nego što vam je potrebno.
03:31
Why?
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Zašto?
03:32
Because the penalty for too little is much greater
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Zato jer je kazna za imati premalo mnogo veća,
03:35
than the penalty for too much.
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nego za imati previše.
03:37
So "more for less" is a business strategy that never goes out of style.
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Znači, "više za manje" je poslovna strategija koja nikad ne zastarijeva.
03:41
It's the strategy of China,
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To je strategija Kine,
03:42
it's a the strategy of Walmart,
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to je strategija Walmarta,
03:44
and now it's the strategy of the most successful company in the world,
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a trenutno je to strategija i najuspješnije kompanije na svijetu,
03:47
Amazon.
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Amazona.
03:48
You get more for less into your gut;
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Dobivate više za manje u vašu probavu;
03:51
digest, send it to your muscular and skeletal system of consumption.
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probavljate i šaljete to vašem mišićnom i koštanom sustavu za potrošnju.
03:54
Moving further,
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Idemo dalje,
03:56
once we know we will survive, the basic instinct,
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jednom kada smo svjesni da ćemo preživjeti, naš osnovni instinkt,
04:00
we move to the second most powerful instinct,
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idemo prema drugom najsnažnijem instinktu,
04:02
and that is to spread and select the strongest, smartest and fastest seed
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a to je širenje i biranje najsnažnijeg, najpametnijeg i najbržeg sjemena
04:07
to the four corners of the earth,
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na sve četiri strane svijeta,
04:09
or pick the best seed.
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ili biranje najboljeg sjemena.
04:11
This is not a timepiece.
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Ovo nije sat.
04:13
I haven't wound it in five years.
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Nisam ga navio na pet godina.
04:15
It's my vain attempt to say to people,
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To je moj tašti pokušaj da kažem ljudima:
04:17
"If you mate with me, your children are more likely to survive
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"Ako se spojite sa mnom, vaša djeca imaju više izgleda da prežive,
04:20
than if you mate with someone wearing a Swatch watch."
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nego ako se spojite s nekim tko nosi Swatch sat."
04:23
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
04:25
The key to business is tapping into the irrational organs.
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Za poslovanje je ključno da dotaknete iracionalne organe.
04:29
"Irrational" is Harvard Business School's and New York Business School's term
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"Iracionalno" je pojam na Harvardovoj i Njujorškoj poslovnoj školi
04:33
for fat profit margins and shareholder value.
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za visoke marže prihoda i vrijednosti dionica.
04:36
"High-caloric paste for your children."
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Visokokalorični namaz za vašu djecu."
04:39
No?
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Ne?
04:40
You love your choosy mom.
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Volite svoju izbirljivu mamu.
04:42
Why choosy moms choose Jif: you love your kids more.
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Zašto izbirljive mame biraju Jif: vi volite svoju djecu više.
04:46
The greatest algorithm for shareholder creation from World War II
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Najbolji algoritam za dioničare od Drugog svjetskog rata
04:49
to the advent of Google
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do pojave Googlea,
04:50
was taking an average product and appealing to people's hearts.
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bio je uzimanje prosječnog proizvoda i igranje na ljudske emocije.
04:53
You're a better a mom, a better person, a better patriot
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Bolja ste mama, bolja osoba, veći domoljub
04:56
if you buy this average soap versus this average soap.
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ako umjesto ovog prosječnog sapuna kupite ovaj prosječni sapun.
05:00
Now, the number one algorithm for shareholder value isn't technology.
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Danas glavni algoritam za vrijednost dionica nije tehnologija.
05:03
Look at the Forbes 400.
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Pogledajte Forbesovih 400.
05:05
Take out inherited wealth, take out finance.
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Izostavite naslijeđeno bogatstvo, izostavite financije.
05:07
The number one source of wealth creation:
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Glavni izvor stvaranja bogatstva je:
05:09
appealing to your reproductive organs.
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obraćanje vašim reproduktivnim organima.
05:11
The Lauders; the number one wealthiest man in Europe, LVMH.
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Lauders, najimućniji čovjek Europe, LVMH.
05:16
Numbers two and three: H&M and Inditex.
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Drugo i treće mjesto: H&M i Inditex.
05:19
You want to target the most irrational organs for shareholder value.
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Želite ciljati najiracionalnije organe za dobrobit dioničara.
05:25
As a result, these four companies -- Apple, Amazon, Facebook and Google --
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Kao rezultat, ove četiri kompanije, Apple, Amazon, Facebook i Google,
raščlanile su ono što jesmo.
05:29
have disarticulated who we are.
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05:30
God, love, consumption, sex.
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Bog, ljubav, potrošnja, seks.
05:33
The proportion in your approach to those things is who you are,
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Udio vašeg pristupa svemu ovome čini vas onime tko ste,
05:36
and they have reassembled who we are in the form of for-profit companies.
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a oni su sjedinili ono tko smo u obliku profitnih kompanija.
05:40
At the end of the Great Recession,
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Na kraju Velike recesije,
tržišna je vrijednost tih kompanija bila jednaka
05:42
the market capitalization of these companies was equivalent
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05:45
to the GDP of Niger.
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BDP-u Nigera.
05:46
Now it is equivalent to the GDP of India,
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Sada je jednaka BDP-u Indije,
05:49
having blown past Russia and Canada in '13 and '14.
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ostavivši za sobom Rusiju i Kanadu 2013. i 2014.
05:52
There are only five nations
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Postoji samo pet država
05:54
that have a GDP greater than the combined market capitalization
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koje imaju BDP veći od ukupne tržišne vrijednosti
05:57
of these four firms.
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te četiri kompanije.
05:59
Something is happening, though.
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Nešto se ipak događa.
06:01
The conversation just a year ago was, which CEO was more Jesus-like?
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Prije samo godinu dana vodio se razgovor koji izvršni direktor više sliči Isusu.
06:06
Who was running for president?
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Tko će se kandidirati za predsjednika?
06:08
Now the worm has turned.
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Sada su se karte okrenule.
06:10
Everything they're doing is bothering us.
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Sve što rade nama smeta.
06:12
We're worried they're tax avoiders.
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Mislimo da izbjegavaju poreze.
06:14
Walmart, since the Great Recession, has paid 64 billion dollars
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Walmart je od Velike recesije platio 64 milijarde dolara
06:17
in corporate income tax;
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korporativnog poreza na prihod;
06:19
Amazon has paid 1.4.
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Amazon je platio 1,4.
06:21
How do we pay our firefighters, our soldiers and our social workers
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Kako da plaćamo naše vatrogasce, vojnike i socijalne radnike,
06:25
if the most successful companies in the world don't pay their fair share?
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ako najuspješnije kompanije na svijetu ne plaćaju svoj dio?
06:28
Pretty easy.
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Vrlo jednostavno.
To znači da manje uspješne tvrtke moraju platiti
06:30
That means the less successful companies have to pay
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06:32
more than their fair share.
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više nego što bi trebale.
06:33
Alexa, is this a good thing?
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Alexa, je li to u redu?
06:35
This is despite that fact --
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Ovo je uprkos činjenici --
06:37
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
06:38
This is despite the fact
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Ovo je uprkos činjenici
06:41
that Amazon has added the entire market capitalization of Walmart
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da je Amazon dodao ukupnu tržišnu vrijednost Walmarta
06:45
to its market cap in the last 19 months.
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svojoj tržišnoj vrijednosti u zadnjih 19 mjeseci.
06:52
Whose fault is it? It's our fault.
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Čijom krivnjom? Našom.
06:54
We're electing regulators who don't have the backbone
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Biramo regulatore koji nemaju petlje
06:58
to actually go after these companies.
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ganjati te kompanije.
07:00
Facebook lies to EU regulators
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Facebook laže EU regulatorima
07:02
and says, "It would be impossible for us to share the data
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i kaže: "Nikako ne bismo mogli dijeliti podatke
07:06
between our core platform and our proposed acquisition of WhatsApp.
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između naše glavne platforme i WhatsApp-a kao moguće akvizicije.
07:09
Approve the merger."
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Odobrite pripajanje."
07:11
They approve the merger and then -- spoiler alert! -- they figure it out.
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Odobrili su pripajanje i onda -- spojler! -- ovi su našli način.
07:15
And the EU says, "I feel lied to.
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A EU je rekla: "Osjećamo da nas lažete.
07:16
We're fining you 120 [million] dollars,"
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Određujemo vam kaznu od 120 milijuna dolara",
07:20
about .6 percent of the acquisition price of 19 billion dollars.
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oko 0.6 posto cijene pripajanja od 19 milijardi dolara.
07:24
If Mark Zuckerberg could take out an insurance policy
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Da je Mark Zuckerberg mogao izvući policu osiguranja
07:27
that the acquisition would go through for .6 percent,
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kojom bi pripajanje prošlo za 0.6 posto,
07:29
wouldn't he do it?
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ne bi li to učinio?
07:31
Anticompetitive behavior.
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Nekonkurentsko ponašanje.
07:33
A two-and-a-half-billion-dollar fine,
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Dvije i pol milijarde dolara kazne,
07:35
three billion of the cash flow,
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protok novca od tri milijarde,
07:38
three percent of the cash on Google's balance sheet.
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tri posto gotovine u Googleovoj bilanci.
07:41
We are telling these companies, "The smart thing to do,
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Govorimo ovim kompanijama: "Pametna stvar,
07:45
the shareholder-driven thing to do,
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isplativa stvar za vrijednost dionice
07:47
is to lie and to cheat."
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je lagati i varati."
07:49
We are issuing 25-cent parking tickets
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Dajemo kazne za parking od 25 centi
07:53
on a meter that costs 100 dollars an hour.
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na brojilu koje stoji 100 dolara po satu.
07:56
The smart thing to do is lie.
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Pametno je lagati.
07:57
Job destruction!
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Uništavanje radnih mjesta!
07:59
Amazon only needs one person for two at Macy's.
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Amazonu je potrebna jedna osoba za dvije u Macy's-u.
08:02
If they grow their business 20 billion dollars this year, which they will,
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Ako im ove godine posao naraste za 20 milijardi, a hoće,
izgubit ćemo 53000 blagajnika i službenika.
08:06
we will lose 53,000 cashiers and clerks.
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08:08
This is nothing unusual;
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Nije to ništa neobično;
08:09
this has happened all through our economy,
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to se dešava u cijeloj našoj ekonomiji,
08:12
we've just never seen companies this good at it.
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ali još nismo vidjeli nekog tako vještog.
08:14
That's one Yankee Stadium of workers.
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Ta količina radnika napunila bi Yankee stadion.
08:16
It's even worse in media.
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Još je gore u medijima.
08:18
If Facebook and Google grow their businesses
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Ako Facebook i Google prošire svoj posao
08:20
22 billion dollars this year, which they will,
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za 22 milijarde dolara ove godine, a hoće,
08:22
we're going to lose approximately 150,000 creative directors,
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izgubit ćemo, otprilike, 150000 kreativnih direktora,
08:26
planners and copywriters.
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planera i copywritera.
08:28
Or we can fill up two-and-a-half Yankee Stadiums
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Ili možemo ispuniti dva i pol Yankee stadiona
08:30
and say, "You are out of work, courtesy of Amazon."
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i reći, "Otpušteni ste ljubaznošću Amazona."
08:34
We now get the majority of our news from our social media feeds,
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Danas većinu vijesti dobivamo kroz društvene medije
08:37
and the majority of our news coming off of social media feeds is ...
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i većina vijesti koje nam dolaze putem društvenih medija su...
08:41
fake news.
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lažne vijesti.
08:42
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
08:44
I am not allowed to be political or use curse words,
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Nije mi dozvoljeno da budem političan ili koristim psovke,
08:48
or talk about religion in class,
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ili govorim o religiji na predavanju
08:49
so I can definitely not say,
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pa definitivno ne mogu reći,
08:53
"Zuckerberg has become Putin's bitch."
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"Zuckerberg je postao Putinov potrčko."
08:56
I definitely cannot say that.
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Definitivno ne mogu to reći.
08:58
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
08:59
Their defense:
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1179
Njihova obrana:
09:00
"Facebook is not a media company; it's a technology company."
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"Facebook nije medijska kompanija; radi se o tehnološkoj kompaniji."
09:03
You create original content,
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Stvarate originalni sadržaj,
09:05
you pay sports leagues to give you original content,
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plaćate sportskim ligama da vam šalju originalni sadržaj,
09:08
you run advertising against it -- boom! -- you're a media company.
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vodite oglašavanje protiv toga -- vi jeste medijska kompanija.
09:11
Just in the last few days,
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Samo u zadnjih nekoliko dana,
09:13
Sheryl Sandberg has repeated this lie, that "We are not a media company."
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Sheryl Sandberg je ponovila ovu laž: "Mi nismo medijska kompanija."
09:17
Facebook has openly embraced the margins of celebrity
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Facebook je otvoreno prihvatio zarade poput poznatih ličnosti
09:21
and the influence of a media company
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i utjecajnost poput medijske kompanije
09:23
yet seems to be allergic to the responsibilities
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ali izgleda da su i dalje alergični na odgovornosti
09:27
of a media company.
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koju ima medijska kompanija.
09:29
Imagine McDonald's.
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Zamislite McDonald's.
09:31
We find 80 percent of their beef is fake,
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Otkrijemo da je 80 posto njihove govedine lažno,
09:33
and it's giving us encephalitis,
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da nam uzrokuje encefalitis
09:35
and we're making terrible decisions.
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i da donosimo grozne odluke.
09:37
And we say, "McDonald's, we're pissed off!"
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I kažemo, "McDonald's, užasno smo ljuti!"
09:40
And they say, "Wait, wait --
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A oni kažu: "Čekajte, čekajte --
09:43
we're not a fast-food restaurant,
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mi nismo restoran brze hrane,
09:45
we're a fast-food platform."
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mi smo platforma brze hrane."
09:47
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
09:50
These companies and CEOs wrap themselves
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Ove se kompanije i izvršni direktori omataju
09:52
in a neon-blue pink rainbow and blue blanket
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u neonsko plavu, ružičastu dugu i plavi plašt
09:56
to create an illusionist trick from their behavior each day,
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kako bi svakodnevno stvarali iluzionistički trik svojim ponašanjem,
09:59
which is more indicative of the spawn of Darth Vader and Ayn Rand.
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što više priliči potomku Dartha Vadera and Ayn Rand.
10:04
Why? Because we as progressives are seen as nice but weak.
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Zašto? Zato što nas progresivce vide kao ljubazne, ali slabe.
10:09
If Sheryl Sandberg had written a book on gun rights
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Da je Sheryl Sandberg napisala knjigu o pravu na oružje,
10:12
or on the pro-life movement,
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ili o pro-life pokretu,
10:14
would they be flying Sheryl to Cannes?
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bi li Sheryl bila pozvana u Cannes?
10:17
No.
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Ne.
I ne sumnjam u njihove progresivne vrijednosti
10:19
And I'm not doubting their progressive values,
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ali to ide u smjeru vrijednosti za dioničare,
10:21
but it foots to shareholder value,
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10:23
because we as progressives are seen as weak.
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jer nas kao progresivce vide kao slabiće.
10:25
They're so nice -- remember Microsoft?
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Tako su fini -- sjećate se Microsofta?
10:27
They didn't seem as nice,
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Nisu se činili finima
10:29
and regulators stepped in much earlier than the regulators now,
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i regulatori su se znatno ranije umiješali nego današnji regulatori,
10:33
who would never step in on those nice, nice people.
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koji nikada ne bi nagazili na te fine, pristojne ljude.
10:37
I'm about to get on a plane tonight,
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Večeras ću se ukrcati na avion
10:39
and I'm going to have a guy named Roy from TSA molest me.
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i maltretirat će me lik iz osiguranja po imenu Roy.
10:41
If I am suspected of a DUI on the way home,
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Ako posumnjaju da na putu prema kući vozim pod utjecajem alkohola,
10:45
I can have blood taken from my person.
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mogu mi uzeti krv.
10:48
But wait! Don't tap into the iPhone --
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Ali čekajte! Ne dirajte mi iPhone --
10:51
it's sacred.
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on je svetinja.
10:53
This is our new cross.
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To je naše novo božanstvo.
10:54
It shouldn't be the iPhone X,
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Ne bi se trebao zvati "iPhone X",
10:56
it should be called the "iPhone Cross."
239
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već "iPhone Cross."
10:58
We have our religion; it's Apple.
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Imamo svoju religiju; to je Apple.
11:00
Our Jesus Christ is Steve Jobs,
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Naš Isus Krist je Steve Jobs
11:02
and we've decided this is holier than our person, our house
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i odlučili smo da je to svetije od nas samih, naše kuće,
11:05
or our computer.
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ili našeg računala.
11:06
We have become totally out of control
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Posve smo izmakli kontroli
11:09
with the gross idolatry of innovation and of youth.
245
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tim slijepim štovanjem inovacija i mladosti.
11:13
We no longer worship at the altar of character,
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Više ne cijenimo karakter,
11:15
of kindness,
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ilil ljubaznost,
11:16
but of innovation and people who create shareholder value.
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već inovaciju i ljude koji stvaraju vrijednost za svoje dioničare.
11:20
Amazon has become so powerful in the marketplace,
249
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Amazon je postao toliko moćan na tržištu,
11:23
it can conduct Jedi mind tricks.
250
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1562
izvodi umne trikove poput Jedija.
11:24
It can begin damaging other industries just by looking at them.
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Može štetiti ostalim industrijama samo posmatrajući ih.
11:27
Nike announces they're distributing on Amazon, their stock goes up,
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Nike najavi distribuciju preko Amazona, vrijednost dionice im naraste,
11:31
every other footwear stock goes down.
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1806
a vrijednost ostalih u branši padne.
Kada dionice Amazona skaču, dionice ostalih u maloprodaji padaju,
11:33
When Amazon stock goes up, the rest of retail stocks go down,
254
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jer pretpostavljaju da ono što je dobro za Amazon, loše je za sve ostale.
11:36
because they assume what's good for Amazon is bad for everybody else.
255
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3309
11:39
They cut the cost on salmon 33 percent when they acquired Whole Foods.
256
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4369
Snizili su cijenu lososa za 33 posto nakon što su pripojili Whole Foods.
11:43
In between the time they announced the acquisition of Whole Foods
257
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Od vremena kada su najavili pripajanje Whole Foods-a
11:46
and when it closed,
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1174
pa do samog završetka,
Kroger, najveći prehrambeni online lanac u Americi,
11:48
Kroger, the largest pure-play grocer in America,
259
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2271
11:50
shed a third of its value,
260
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1735
izgubio je trećinu vrijednosti
11:52
because Amazon purchased a grocer one-eleventh the size of Kroger.
261
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6379
jer je Amazon kupio prehrambeni lanac veličine jedne jedanaestine Krogera.
11:59
I got very lucky.
262
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1228
Imao sam dosta sreće.
12:00
I predicted the acquisition of Whole Foods by Amazon
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3417
Predvidio sam da će Amazon preuzeti Whole Foods
12:03
the week before it happened.
264
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1344
tjedan prije akvizicije.
Ovdje se ja hvalim, rekao sam ovo javno u medijima.
12:05
This is me boasting; I said this publicly in the media.
265
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12:07
This was the largest acquisition in their history,
266
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2381
To im je bila najveća akvizicija u povijesti,
nikada prije preko jedne milijarde
12:10
they'd never made an acquisition over a billion,
267
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2335
i ljudi su pitali, "Kako si znao?"
12:12
and people asked, "How did you know this?"
268
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2118
Stoga ću odati tajnu ovoj vrlo impresivnoj publici.
12:14
So I'm letting this very impressive audience in on the secret.
269
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3219
12:18
How did I know this?
270
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1195
Kako sam znao za to?
12:19
I'm going to tell you how I knew.
271
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1970
Reći ću vam.
12:21
I bark at Alexa all day long
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2750
Dovikujem se s Alexom po cijeli dan,
12:24
and try to figure out what's going on.
273
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pokušavajući doznati što se događa.
12:26
(Scott Galloway) Alexa, buy whole milk.
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3396
(Scott Galloway) Alexa, kupi punomasno mlijeko.
12:29
(Alexa) I couldn't find anything for whole milk,
275
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2267
(Alexa) Nisam mogla naći punomasno mlijeko
12:31
so I've added whole milk to your shopping list.
276
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pa sam ga dodala na tvoj popis za kupnju.
12:34
SG: Then I asked,
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1286
SG: Onda sam pitao,
12:35
(SG) Alexa, buy organic foods.
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(SG) Alexa, kupi organsku hranu.
12:38
(Alexa) The top search result for organic food
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(Alexa) U vrhu rezultata pretrage
je hrana za bebe Plum Organics, banana i bundeva,
12:41
is Plum Organics baby food, banana and pumpkin,
280
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2973
12:44
12-pack of four ounces each.
281
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2017
pakiranje od 12 komada, svaka 113 g.
12:46
It's 15 dollars total.
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1623
Ukupno 15 dolara.
12:48
Would you like to buy it?
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1193
Želiš li to kupiti?
12:49
SG: And then, as often happens at my age,
284
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1999
SG: I tada, kako to često bude u mojim godinama,
12:51
I got confused.
285
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1160
ostao sam zbunjen.
12:52
(SG) Alexa, buy whole foods.
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2790
(SG) Alexa, kupuj cjelovite namirnice (whole foods)
12:56
(Alexa) I have purchased the outstanding stock of Whole Foods Incorporated
287
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3534
(Alexa) Kupila sam izvrsnu dionicu Whole Foods Incorporated
12:59
at 42 dollars per share.
288
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1789
za 42 dolara po dionici.
13:01
I have charged 13.7 billion to your American Express card.
289
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3861
Platila sam 13,7 milijardi tvojom American Express karticom.
13:05
(Laughter)
290
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1380
(Smijeh)
13:07
SG: I thought that'd be funnier.
291
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1607
SG: Mislio sam da će biti smješnije.
13:09
(Laughter)
292
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1498
(Smijeh)
13:11
We've personified these companies,
293
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1683
Personificirali smo ove kompanije
13:12
and just as when you're really angry over every little thing someone does
294
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3435
i baš kao kad ste krajnje ljuti na svaku sitnicu koju netko čini
u vašem životu i odnosima,
13:16
in your life and relationships,
295
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1495
13:17
you've got to ask yourself,
296
797722
1304
morate se zapitati,
"Što se ovdje događa? Zašto smo toliko razočarani u tehnologiju?"
13:19
"What's going on here? Why are we so disappointed in technology?"
297
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3050
Vjerujem da je to zbog omjera, u kojem je jedan posto
13:22
I believe it's because the ratio of one-percent pursuit
298
802124
2679
13:24
of shareholder value
299
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1167
vrijednost za dioničare
13:26
and 99 percent the betterment of humanity
300
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2541
a 99 posto za unapređenje čovečanstva,
13:28
that technology used to play
301
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1385
što je tehnologija nekad bila,
13:29
has been flipped,
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1155
to sada promijenjeno,
13:31
and now we're totally focused on shareholder value instead of humanity.
303
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3367
sada smo posve fokusirani na vrijednost dionice umjesto na čovječanstvo.
13:34
One hundred thousand people came together for the Manhattan Project
304
814562
3279
Sto tisuća ljudi se okupilo za Manhattan Project
i doslovno spasilo svijet.
13:37
and literally saved the world.
305
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1461
Tehnologija je spasila svijet.
13:39
Technology saved the world.
306
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1311
Moja majka je bila četvorogodišnja Židovka koja je početkom rata živjela u Londonu.
13:40
My mother was a four-year-old Jew living in London at the outset of the war.
307
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3687
Da nismo pobijedili u utrci razbijanja atoma,
13:44
If we had not won the footrace towards splitting the atom,
308
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3105
13:47
would she have survived?
309
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1688
bi li ona preživjela?
13:49
It's unlikely.
310
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1163
Vjerojatno ne bi.
13:50
Twenty-five years later,
311
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1307
Dvadeset pet godina kasnije,
13:52
the most impressive accomplishment, arguably, ever in all of humankind:
312
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4433
najimpresivnije dostignuće, nedvojbeno, ikada u čitavom čovječanstvu:
13:56
put a man on the moon.
313
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1152
čovjek na Mjesecu.
13:57
Four hundred thirty thousand Canadians, British and Americans came together,
314
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3624
Skupilo se četiri stotine trideset tisuća Kanađana, Britanaca i Amerikanaca,
14:01
again, with very basic technology,
315
841466
1831
ponovo, uz krajnje skromnu tehnologiju
14:03
and put a man on the moon.
316
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1318
i poslali su čovjeka na Mjesec.
14:04
Now we have the 700,000 best and brightest,
317
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3607
Danas imamo 700000 najboljih i najbistrijih
14:08
and these are the best and brightest from the four corners of the earth.
318
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3445
sa sve četiri strane svijeta.
14:11
They are literally playing with lasers relative to slingshots,
319
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4080
Doslovno se igraju laserima sličnim praćki,
14:15
relative to the squirt gun.
320
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1287
sličnim vodenom pištolju.
14:17
They have the GDP of India to work at.
321
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2272
Imaju sredstva veličine BDP-a Indije.
14:19
And after studying these companies for 10 years,
322
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2530
I nakon što sam proučavao ove kompanije 10 godina,
14:22
I know what their mission is.
323
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1656
znam što je njihova misija.
14:23
Is it to organize the world's information?
324
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2624
Je li to organiziranje informacija na svjetskoj razini?
14:26
Is it to connect us?
325
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1505
Je li to povezivanje svih nas?
14:27
Is it to create greater comity of man?
326
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2924
Je li to stvaranje nekog značajnijeg udruženja?
14:30
It isn't.
327
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1162
Nije.
Znam zašto smo se okupili --
14:32
I know why we have brought together --
328
872019
1896
14:33
I know that the greatest collection of IQ capital and creativity,
329
873939
4309
znam da ova najveća okupljena grupa intelektualnog i kreativnog kapitala,
14:38
that their sole mission is:
330
878272
1854
da je njihova jedina misija:
14:40
to sell another fucking Nissan.
331
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2130
prodati još jedan jebeni Nissan.
14:42
My name is Scott Galloway, I teach at NYU, and I appreciate your time.
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3747
Ja sam Scott Galloway, predajem na NYU i zahvaljujem na vašem vremenu.
(Pljesak)
14:46
(Applause)
333
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4343
14:54
Chris Anderson: Not planned,
334
894654
1475
Chris Anderson: Nije planirano,
14:56
but you prompted some questions in me, Scott.
335
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2960
ali potaknuo si me na neka pitanja, Scott.
14:59
(Laughter)
336
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1071
(Smijeh)
15:00
That was a spectacular rant.
337
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2308
Ovo je bilo spektakularno.
15:02
SG: Is this like Letterman?
338
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1365
SG: Je li ovo kao Letterman?
15:03
When you do well, he calls you onto the couch?
339
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2916
Kad ste dobri, pozove vas na kauč?
15:06
CA: No, no, you're going to the heart of the conversation right now.
340
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3667
CA: Ne, pogađaš bit trenutne rasprave.
15:10
Everyone's aware that after years of worshipping Silicon Valley,
341
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6134
Svi su svjesni da nakon godina obožavanja Silicijske doline,
15:16
suddenly the worm has turned
342
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1854
iznenada su se stvari preokrenule,
15:18
and in such a big way.
343
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1534
i to drastično.
15:20
To some people here, it will just feel like you're piling on,
344
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3405
Neki će ovdje imati dojam kako samo još sve pojačavaš,
15:23
you're kicking the kids who've already been kicked to pieces anyway.
345
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3390
kako šutiraš klince koji su već i ovako oboreni.
15:27
Don't you feel any empathy for them at all?
346
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2365
Zar nemaš nimalo suosjećanja za njih?
15:29
SG: None whatsoever.
347
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1397
SG: Niti malo.
15:31
Look, this is the issue:
348
931259
1947
Evo o čemu se radi:
15:33
it's not their fault, it's our fault.
349
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1813
nije njihova krivica, naša je.
15:35
They're for-profit companies.
350
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To su profitne kompanije.
15:37
They're not concerned with the condition of our souls.
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One ne mare za stanje naših duša.
15:40
They're not going to take care of us when we get older.
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Neće se brinuti za nas kada ostarimo.
15:42
We have set up a society that values shareholder value over everything,
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Izgradili smo društvo koje iznad svega cijeni dobit za dioničare,
15:46
and they're doing what they're supposed to be doing.
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a oni rade ono što i trebaju raditi.
Ali mi moramo izabrati ljude
15:49
But we need to elect people,
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15:50
and we need to force ourselves to force them
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i moramo natjerati sebe da ih prisilimo
15:52
to be subject to the same scrutiny
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da postanu predmet istog nadzora
kao i svi ostali u poslovnom svijetu, točka.
15:54
that the rest of business endures, full stop.
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15:56
CA: There's another narrative
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CA: Ima i druga priča
15:58
that is arguably equally consistent with the facts,
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koja je vjerojatno jednako u skladu s činjenicama,
16:01
which is that there actually is good intent in much of the leadership --
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a to je da zapravo postoji dobra namjera kod većine tih vodećih ljudi,
16:08
I won't say everyone, necessarily --
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neću reći nužno kod svih --
16:10
many of the employees.
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ali kod mnogih zaposlenih.
16:12
We all know people who work in those companies,
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Svi znamo ljude koji rade u ovim kompanijama
16:15
and they still are pretty convincing that their mission is to --
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i koji su i dalje prilično uvjereni da je njihova misija --
16:18
so, the alternative narrative is that there have been
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dakle, alternativna priča je da je ovdje došlo
16:22
unintended consequences here,
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do nenamjernih posljedica,
16:24
that the technologies that we're unleashing,
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da tehnologiju doslovno puštamo s lanca,
16:26
the algorithms, that we're attempting to personalize the internet, for example,
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algoritmi, naš pokušaj personaliziranja interneta, na primjer,
16:31
have A, resulted in weird effects like filter bubbles
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pod A, rezultirali su čudnim efektima, poput filterskih balona
16:37
that we weren't expecting;
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koje nismo očekivali,
16:38
and B, made themselves vulnerable to weird things like --
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i pod B, postali su slaba točka za stvari poput --
16:41
oh, I don't know, Russian hackers creating accounts
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ne znam, ruskih hakera koji otvaraju profile
16:44
and doing things that we didn't expect.
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i čine nešto što nismo očekivali.
16:46
Isn't the unintended consequence a possibility here?
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Nije li možda ovo samo nenamjerna posljedica?
16:51
SG: I don't think --
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SG: Ne mislim,
16:52
I'm pretty sure, statistically,
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prilično sam siguran, statistički,
16:54
they're no less or better people than any other organization
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oni nisu gori ili bolji ljudi od drugih organizacija
16:57
that has 100,000 or more people.
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koje imaju 100000 ili više ljudi.
16:58
I don't think they're bad people.
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Ne mislim da su loši ljudi.
17:00
As a matter of fact, I would argue
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Zapravo, rekao bih,
ima tu vrlo građanski orijentiranih, pristojnih vodećih ljudi.
17:02
that there's a lot of very civic-minded, decent leadership.
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No, u ovome je problem:
17:05
But this is the issue:
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kada kontrolirate 90 posto udjela na tržištu,
17:06
when you control 90 percent points of share in a market, search,
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17:10
that is now bigger than the entire advertising market of any nation,
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što je sada veće od sveukupnog tržišta oglašavanja bilo koje države,
17:14
and you're primarily compensated and trying to develop economic security
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a vi prije svega nastojite razviti ekonomsku sigurnost
17:17
for you and the families of your employees,
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za sebe i obitelji vaših zaposlenih,
17:19
to increase that market share,
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kako biste povećali tržišni udio,
17:21
you can't help but leverage all the power at your disposal.
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ne možete a da ne koristite svu moć koja vam je na raspolaganju.
17:24
And that is the basis for regulation,
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1917
A to je osnova za regulaciju,
17:26
and it's the basis for the truism throughout history
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na tome se zasniva stara poznata izreka,
17:28
that power corrupts.
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da moć kvari.
17:30
They're not bad people;
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Nisu oni loši ljudi,
17:31
we've just let them get out of control.
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samo smo im mi dopustili da se otmu kontroli.
17:34
CA: So maybe the case is slightly overstated?
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CA: Dakle, možda je slučaj blago prenaglašen?
17:38
I know at least a bit --
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Znam barem malo --
17:40
Larry Page, for example, Jeff Bezos --
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Larry Page, na primjer, Jeff Bezos --
17:42
I don't actually believe they wake up thinking,
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ne mislim da se oni probude misleći,
17:45
"I've got to sell a fucking Nissan."
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"Moram prodati jebeni Nissan."
17:47
I don't think they think that.
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Ne mislim da tako razmišljaju.
17:48
I think they are trying to build something cool, and are probably,
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Mislim da pokušavaju stvoriti odličnu stvar i vjerojatno su,
17:54
in moments of reflection,
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u trenucima razmišljanja,
17:55
as horrified that some of the things that have happened as we might be.
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jednako užasnuti nekim stvarima koje su se desile, kao što bismo i mi bili.
17:59
So is there a different way of framing this,
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Dakle, postoji li drugačiji način da se ovo formulira,
18:04
to say that when your model is advertising,
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reći da kada oglašavate svoj model,
18:09
that there are dangers there that you have to take on more explicitly?
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da tu postoje opasnosti koje morate eksplicitnije shvatiti?
18:14
SG: I think it's very difficult to set an organization up as we do,
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SG: Mislim da je veoma teško izgraditi organizaciju kao što mi radimo,
18:19
to pursue shareholder value above all else.
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kako bi dobit dioničara bila iznad svega.
18:21
They're not non-profits.
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Oni nisu neprofitne organizacije.
18:22
The reason people go to work there is they want to create economic security
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Ljudi tamo idu raditi jer žele stvoriti ekonomsku sigurnost
18:26
for them and their families,
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za sebe i svoje obitelji,
18:27
mostly first and foremost.
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prije i nakon svega.
18:29
And when you get to a point where you control so much economic power,
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A kada dođete do točke gdje kontrolirate toliku ekonomsku moć,
18:32
you use all the weapons at your disposal.
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tada koristite svo raspoloživo oružje.
18:34
I don't think they're bad people,
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Ne mislim da su oni loši ljudi,
18:36
but I think the role of government and the role of us as consumers
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ali mislim da je uloga vlasti te nas kao potrošača
18:39
and people who elect our officials
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i ljudi koji biraju svoje predstavnike,
18:41
is to ensure that there are some checks here.
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pobrinuti se da se to provjerava.
18:43
And we have given them the mother of all hall passes
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A mi smo ih pustili da krše sva moguća pravila,
jer su nam toliko fascinantni.
18:46
because we find them just so fascinating.
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18:48
CA: Scott, eloquently put, spectacularly put.
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CA: Scott, rječito iskazano, spektakularno iskazano.
18:51
Mark Zuckerberg, Jeff Bezos, Larry Page, Tim Cook, if you're watching,
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Mark Zuckerberg, Jeff Bezos, Larry Page, Tim Cook, ako ovo gledate,
18:56
you're welcome to come and make the counterargument as well.
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također ste dobrodošli ovdje da iznesete protuargumente.
18:59
Scott, thank you so much.
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Scott, velika hvala.
19:00
SG: Thanks very much.
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SG: Hvala.
(Pljesak)
19:02
(Applause)
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