Jamie Drummond: Let's crowd-source the world's goals

63,698 views ・ 2012-07-17

TED


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00:00
Translator: Joseph Geni Reviewer: Morton Bast
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Prevoditelj: Senzos Osijek Recezent: Suzana Baric
00:16
So let me start by taking you back,
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Dopustite da vas vratim natrag
00:19
back into the mists of your memory
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kroz maglu vašeg sjećanja
00:21
to perhaps the most anticipated year in your life,
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u možda najiščekivaniju godinu u vašem životu,
00:25
but certainly the most anticipated year
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ali zasigurno najiščekivaniju godinu
00:28
in all human history:
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u povijesti čovječanstva:
00:29
the year 2000. Remember that?
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2000. godinu. Sjećate li je se?
00:32
Y2K, the dotcom bubble,
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Y2K ili problem 2000- godine, dot-com bubble,
00:36
stressing about whose party you're going to go to
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zabrinjavanje oko toga na čijoj ćete zabavi biti
00:38
as the clock strikes midnight,
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kada otkuca ponoć,
00:41
before the champagne goes flat,
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prije nego šampanjac ishlapi,
00:43
and then there's that inchoate yearning
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a zatim je započela čežnja
00:46
that was felt, I think, by many, that the millennium,
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koju su, smatram, osjetili mnogi, za tim da novi milenij,
00:49
that the year 2000, should mean more,
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2000. godina trebala značiti više
00:52
more than just a two and some zeroes.
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od jedne dvojke i nekoliko nula.
00:55
Well, amazingly, for once, our world leaders
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Pa, začudo, barem ovaj put naši su svjetski vođe
00:59
actually lived up to that millennium moment
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uspjeli ispuniti taj milenijski trenutak
01:01
and back in 2000 agreed to some
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te su 2000. godine učinili neke
01:03
pretty extraordinary stuff:
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prilično neuobičajene stvari:
01:06
visionary, measurable, long-term targets
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vizionarske, mjerljive, dugoročne ciljeve
01:09
called the Millennium Development Goals.
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nazvane "Milenijski ciljevi razvoja".
01:12
Now, I'm sure you all keep a copy of the goals
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Siguran sam da svi čuvate primjerak tih ciljeva
01:14
under your pillow, or by the bedside table,
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ispod jastuka ili na noćnom ormariću,
01:17
but just in case you don't,
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ali za slučaj da ih ipak nemate,
01:19
and your memory needs some jogging,
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a sjećanje vam treba malo osvježiti,
01:21
the deal agreed then goes like this:
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ovo su ti ciljevi:
01:24
developing countries promised to at least halve
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zemljama u razvoju obećano je smanjiiti
01:26
extreme poverty, hunger and deaths from disease,
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siromaštvo, glad i smrt od bolesti barem za pola,
01:30
alongside some other targets, by 2015,
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uz neke druge ciljeve do 2015.
01:32
and developed nations promised to help them
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Razvijene zemlje obećale su im pomoći
01:35
get that done by dropping debts,
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smanjujući im dug,
01:38
increasing smart aid, and trade reform.
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povećavajući pomoć te reformirajući trgovinu.
01:40
Well, we're approaching 2015,
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Približavamo se 2015.
01:43
so we'd better assess, how are we doing on these goals?
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pa bismo trebali procijeniti kako nam ide zasad.
01:45
But we've also got to decide, do we like such global goals?
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Također trebamo procijeniti sviđaju li nam se takvi globalni ciljevi.
01:49
Some people don't. And if we like them, we've got to decide
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Nekim ljudima se ne sviđaju. Ako se nama sviđaju, trebamo odlučiti
01:52
what we want to do on these goals going forward.
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što želimo učiniti da bismo pomogli postizanju ovih ciljeva.
01:56
What does the world want to do together?
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Što to svijet želi učiniti zajedno?
01:58
We've got to decide a process by which we decide.
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Moramo odlučiti o procesu kojim ćemo odlučivati.
02:00
Well, I definitely think these goals are worth building on
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Mislim da vrijedi graditi na ovim ciljevima
02:03
and seeing through, and here's just a few reasons why.
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i postići ih i evo nekoliko razloga zašto.
02:07
Incredible partnerships between the private sector,
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Nevjerojatno partnerstvo privatnog sektora,
02:10
political leaders, philanthropists
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političkih vođa, filantropa
02:12
and amazing grassroots activists
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sa zadivljujućim interesnim aktivistima
02:14
across the developing world,
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u zemljama u razvoju,
02:16
but also 250,000 people marched in the streets
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ali i 250,000 ljudi koji su marširali ulicama
02:21
of Edinburgh outside this very building
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Edinburgha ispred upravo ove zgrade
02:23
for Make Poverty History.
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za projekt "Make Poverty History".
02:24
All together, they achieved these results:
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Kad se sve to zbroji, postigli su ove rezultate:
02:27
increased the number of people on anti-retrovirals,
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povećao se broj ljudi na anti-retrovirusnim lijekovima
02:30
life-saving anti-AIDS drugs;
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protiv AIDS-a koji spašavaju život;
02:32
nearly halved deaths from malaria;
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gotovo je prepolovljen broj smrti od malarije;
02:35
vaccinated so many that 5.4 million lives will be saved.
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cijepljeno je toliko ljudi da će biti spašeno 5.4 milijuna života.
02:40
And combined, this is going to result
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Sve će to rezultirati
02:42
in two million fewer children dying every year,
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s dva milijuna manje umiruće djece svake godine,
02:45
last year, than in the year 2000.
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prošle godine, nego u 2000. godini.
02:47
That's 5,000 fewer kids dying every day,
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Umrijet će 5000 manje djece svake godine,
02:50
ten times you lot not dead every day,
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deset puta svih vas koji neće umrijeti svaki dan,
02:54
because of all of these partnerships.
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zbog ovoga partnerstva.
02:56
So I think this is amazing living proof of progress
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Zato smatram da je ovo zadivljujuć živi dokaz napretka
02:59
that more people should know about,
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za koji više ljudi treba znati,
03:01
but the challenge of communicating this kind of good news
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ali izazov komuniciranja o ovakvoj dobroj vijesti
03:03
is probably the subject of a different TEDTalk.
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je vjerojatno tema nekog drugog TED govora.
03:06
Anyway, for now, anyone involved in getting these results,
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No, zasad, hvala svima koji su uključeni u postizanje ovih rezultata.
03:09
thank you. I think this proved these goals are worth it.
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Mislim da ovo dokazuje da su su zadani ciljevi hvale vrijedni.
03:12
But there's still a lot of unfinished business.
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Međutim, još ima puno nedovršenog posla.
03:15
Still, 7.6 million children die every year of preventable,
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Još uvijek 7.6 miljuna djece godišnje umire od sprječivih,
03:19
treatable diseases,
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izlječivih bolesti,
03:21
and 178 million kids are malnourished
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a 178 milijuna ih je pothranjeno
03:24
to the point of stunting, a horrible term
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do zaostajanja u rastu. Zastrašujuć je to faktor
03:25
which means physical and cognitive lifelong impairment.
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koji znači cjeloživotnu psihičku i mentalnu zaostalost.
03:29
So there's plainly a lot more to do on the goals we've got.
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Jasno je da se još puno mora raditi na ciljevima koje smo si zadali.
03:32
But then, a lot of people think there are things
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Ipak, mnogo ljudi misli da postoje stvari
03:35
that should have been in the original package
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koje su od početka trebale biti uključene u paket,
03:37
that weren't agreed back then that should now be included,
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a nisu odmah dogovorene, a koje bi sada trebalo uključiti.
03:39
like sustainable development targets,
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To su ciljevi održivog razvoja,
03:41
natural resource governance targets,
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ciljevi upravljanja prirodnim resursima,
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access to opportunity, to knowledge,
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pristup mogućnostima, znanju,
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equity, fighting corruption.
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kapitalu, borba protiv korupcije.
03:48
All of this is measurable and could be in the new goals.
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Sve su to mjerljive stvari koje bi mogle biti dio novih ciljeva.
03:51
But the key thing here is,
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Ključna stvar je
03:53
what do you think should be in the new goals?
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što vi mislite da bi trebali biti novi ciljevi.
03:55
What do you want?
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Što vi želite?
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Are you annoyed that I didn't talk about gender equality
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Smeta li vam što nisam govorio o ravnopravnosti spolova
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or education?
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ili o obrazovanju?
04:01
Should those be in the new package of goals?
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Treba li to biti uključeno u paket novih ciljeva?
04:03
And quite frankly, that's a good question,
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Iskreno, to je dobro pitanje,
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but there's going to be some tough tradeoffs
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ali bit će ovdje nekih teških razmjena
04:07
and choices here, so you want to hope
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i izbora pa se želite nadati
04:09
that the process by which the world decides
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da će proces u kojem svijet odlučuje
04:11
these new goals is going to be legitimate, right?
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o novim ciljevima biti legitiman, zar ne?
04:14
Well, as we gather here in Edinburgh,
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Dok se mi okupljamo ovdje u Edinburghu,
04:16
technocrats appointed by the U.N. and certain governments,
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tehnokrati postavljeni od strane UN-a i određenih vlada,
04:19
with the best intentions, are busying themselves
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s najboljim namjerama, zaposleni su
04:22
designing a new package of goals,
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osmišljavanjem novog paketa ciljeva,
04:24
and currently they're doing that through pretty much the same old
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a trenutno to rade na otprilike isti način
04:28
late-20th-century, top-down, elite, closed process.
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kao i krajem 20. stoljeća, pristupom top-down, elitno, zatvoreno.
04:31
But, of course, since then, the Web and mobile telephony,
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Naravno, odonda su se internetska mreža i telefonija
04:35
along with ubiquitous reality TV formats
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skupa sa sveprisutnim televizijskim “reality” programima
04:38
have spread all around the world.
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raširili po cijelome svijetu.
04:40
So what we'd like to propose is that we use them
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Zato predlažemo da iskoristimo te medije
04:43
to involve people from all around the world
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da bismo uključili ljude iz cijeloga svijeta
04:46
in an historic first: the world's first truly global
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u povijesni prvijenac: prva svjetska doista globalna
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poll and consultation, where everyone everywhere
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glasačka lista i dogovor gdje svi svugdje
04:53
has an equal voice for the very first time.
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imaju jednako pravo glasa po prvi puta.
04:56
I mean, wouldn't it be a huge historic missed opportunity
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Mislim, ne bi li bio golemi povijesni propust
05:00
not to do this, given that we can?
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ne iskoristiti ovakvu priliku kad već možemo?
05:03
There's hundreds of billions of your aid dollars at stake,
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Tu su stotine milijardi dolara vaše pomoći na kocki,
05:08
tens of millions of lives, or deaths, at stake,
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deseci milijuna života ili smrti te,
05:11
and, I'd argue, the security and future
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rekao bih, i sigurnost i budućnost
05:14
of you and your family is also at stake.
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vas i vaše obitelji su na kocki.
05:16
So, if you're with me, I'd say there's three essential steps
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Dakle, ako se slažete sa mnom, rekao bih da postoje tri ključna koraka
05:20
in this crowdsourcing campaign:
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u ovoj kampanji kontroliranja neodređene gomile:
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collecting, connecting and committing.
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skupljanje, povezivanje i obvezivanje.
05:25
So first of all, we've got to ground this campaign
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Kao prvo, moramo ovu kampanju temeljiti na
05:27
in core polling data.
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podacima glasačkih lista.
05:29
Let's go into every country that will let us in,
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Pođimo u svaku zemlju koja nam dopusti da uđemo,
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ask 1,001 people what they want
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pitajmo 1001 osobu što želi
05:34
the new goals to be, making special efforts
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da novi ciljevi budu, posebno se trudeći
05:36
to reach the poorest, those without access
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doći do onih najsiromašnijih koji nemaju pristup
05:38
to modern technology, and let's make sure that their views
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modernoj tehnologiji i provjerimo jesu li njihova stajališta
05:41
are at the center of the goals going forward.
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u centru ciljeva prema kojima idemo.
05:44
Then, we've got to commission a baseline survey
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Zatim trebamo provesti ispitivanje osnovnoga pravca
05:48
to make sure we can monitor and progress the goals
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da budemo sigurni da možemo pratiti i postizati ciljeve.
05:50
going forward. The original goals didn't really have
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Prvotni ciljevi nisu zapravo imali
05:52
good baseline survey data,
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dobre podatke istraživanja osnovnoga cilja
05:54
and we're going to need the help of big data through all of this process to make sure
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i trebat ćemo pomoć velike baze podataka kroz cijeli ovaj proces da bismo bili sigurni
05:58
we can really monitor the progress.
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da možemo nadzirati napredak.
06:00
And then we've got to connect with the big crowd.
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Onda se moramo povezati s velikom masom.
06:03
Now here, we see the role for an unprecedented coalition
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Ovdje vidimo ulogu za dosad neviđenu koaliciju
06:06
of social media giants and upstarts,
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društvenih medijskih divova i početnika,
06:09
telecoms companies, reality TV show formats,
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telekomunikacijskih kompanija, reality show programa,
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gaming companies, telecoms, all of them together
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kompanija za igre, svih njih zajedno u jednom
06:17
in kind of their "We Are The World" moment.
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“We are the world” trenutku.
06:20
Could they come together and help
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Mogu li se oni udružiti I pomoći
06:22
the Millennium Development Goals get rebranded
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da “Milenijski ciljevi razvoja” postanu
06:25
into the Millennial Generation's Goals?
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“Milenijski ciljevi generacije?"
06:28
And if just five percent of the five billion plus
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Ako bi samo pet posto od više od pet milijardi,
06:31
who are currently connected made a comment,
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koji su trenutno povezani, komentiralo,
06:34
and that comment turned into a commitment,
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i kad bi se ti kometari pretvorili u obvezu,
06:37
we could crowdsource a force of 300 million people
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mogli bismo kontrolirati silu neodređene gomile od 300 milijuna
06:40
around the world to help see these goals through.
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ljudi iz cijeloga svijeta koji bi pomogli ostvarenju ciljeva.
06:43
If we have this collected data, and this connected crowd,
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Ako imamo sakupljene podatke i povezanu masu,
06:47
based upon our experience of campaigning
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na temelju iskustva u vođenju kampanje
06:48
and getting world leaders to commit,
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i nagovaranja svjetskih vođa da se obvežu,
06:50
I think world leaders will commit
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mislim da bi se svjetski vođe obvezali
06:51
to most of the crowdsourced recommendations.
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većini preporuka kontrolirane neodređene gomile.
06:54
But the question really is, through this process
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Ipak, pravo je pitanje bismo li svi tijekom ovoga procesa
06:56
will we all have become committed?
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postali obvezani?
06:59
And if we are, are we ready to iterate, monitor
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I ako bismo, jesmo li spremni ponavljati, nadzirati
07:02
and provide feedback, make sure these promises
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i osigurati povratnu informaciju, osigurati da obećanja
07:04
are really delivering results?
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stvarno daju rezultate?
07:06
Well, there's some fantastic examples here to scale up,
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Ovdje su neki fantastični primjeri povećavanja,
07:10
mostly piloted within Africa, actually.
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uglavnom vođeni u Africi.
07:12
There's Open Data Kenya, which geocodes
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Tu je Otvorena baza Kenije, čiji geokodovi
07:14
and crowdsources information about where projects are,
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i informacije kontrolirane neodređene gomile o tome gdje su projekti,
07:17
are they delivering results.
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daju li rezultate.
07:19
Often, they're not in the right place.
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Često nisu na pravome mjestu.
07:20
And Ushahidi, which means "witness" in Swahili,
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I “Ushahidi”, što znači “svjedok” na svahiliju,
07:24
which geocodes and crowdsources information
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čiji geokodovi i informacije kontrolirane neodređene gomile
07:26
in complex emergencies to help target responses.
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u složenim situacijama pomažu odrediti reakcije.
07:30
This is some of the most exciting stuff
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Ovo su neke od najuzbudljivijih stvari
07:33
in development and democracy,
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u razvoju i demokraciji,
07:35
where citizens on the edge of a network
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gdje građani na rubu mreže
07:37
are helping to force open the process
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pomažu otvoriti proces
07:39
to make sure that the big global aid promises
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da bi bili sigurni da velika i nejasna globalna obećanja
07:42
and vague stuff up at the top really delivers for people
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za pomoć na vrhu doista stižu do onih
07:46
at a grassroots level and inverts that pyramid.
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na interesnim razinama i okreću tu piramidu.
07:50
This openness, this forcing openness, is key,
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Ova otvorenost je ključ
07:53
and if it wasn't entirely transparent already,
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i ako nije već potpuno transparentna,
07:56
I should be open: I've got a completely transparent agenda.
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treba biti otvorena: Imam potpuno transparentan dnevni red.
08:01
Long-term trends suggest that this century
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Dugoročni trendovi ukazuju na to da će ovo stoljeće
08:03
is going to be a tough place to live,
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biti teško za život,
08:05
with population increases, consumption patterns increasing,
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s povećanjem populacije, povećanjem potrošnje
08:09
and conflict over scarce natural resources.
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i sukobima oko oskudnih prirodnih resursa.
08:13
And look at the state of global politics today.
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Pogledajte stanje današnje globalne politike.
08:16
Look at the Rio Earth Summit that happened just last week,
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Pogledajte samo Rio Earth Summit koji je održan prošli tjedan,
08:20
or the Mexican G20, also last week.
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ili meksički G20, također prošli tjedan.
08:22
Both, if we're honest, a bust.
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Oboje su, ako ćemo iskreno, neuspjeh.
08:25
Our world leaders, our global politics,
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Naši svjetski vođe, naša globalna politika,
08:27
currently can't get it done.
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trenutno to ne može riješiti.
08:30
They need our help. They need the cavalry,
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Trebaju našu pomoć. Trebaju konjicu,
08:33
and the cavalry's not going to come from Mars.
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i to konjicu koja neće doći s Marsa.
08:35
It's got to come from us, and I see this process
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Doći će od nas. Vidim ovaj bottom-up proces
08:38
of deciding democratically in a bottom-up fashion
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demokratskog odlučivanja,
08:41
what the world wants to work on together
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na čemu svijet želi zajedno raditi
08:44
as one vital means by which we can crowdsource
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kao vitalan način preko kojeg možemo kontrolirati silu neodređene gomile
08:47
the force to really build that constituency
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da zaista gradi tu izbornu jedinicu koja će oživjeti
08:51
that's going to reinvigorate global governance
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globalno vladanje
08:53
in the 21st century.
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u 21. stoljeću.
08:55
I started in 2000. Let me finish in 2030.
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Započeo sam u 2000. Dopustite da završim u 2030.
09:00
Many people made fun of a big campaign a few years ago
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Mnogi su se ljudi rugali velikoj kampanji od prije nekoliko godina
09:04
we had called Make Poverty History.
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koju smo nazvali "Make Poverty History”.
09:06
It was a naive thought in many people's minds,
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Bila je to naivna misao u glavama mnogih
09:09
and it's true, it was just a t-shirt slogan
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i, istina, bio je to samo slogan na majicama
09:12
that worked for the moment. But look.
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koji je upalio na trenutak. Ali pogledajte.
09:15
The empirical condition of living under a dollar and 25
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Empirijski uvjeti života na manje od 1,25$
09:19
is trending down, and look where it gets to by 2030.
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se smanjuju i pogledajmo do čega to dovodi u 2030.
09:22
It's getting near zero.
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Dolazi gotovo do nule.
09:25
Now sure, progress in China and India
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Naravno, napredak u Kini i Indiji
09:27
and poverty reduction there was key to that,
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i smanjenje siromaštva je ključ tome,
09:29
but recently also in Africa, poverty rates are being reduced.
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ali u posljednje vrijeme i u Africi se stope siromaštva smanjuju.
09:32
It will get harder as we get towards zero,
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Bit će sve teže kako se približavamo nuli
09:35
as the poor will be increasingly located
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jer će se siromašni sve više nalaziti
09:37
in post-conflict, fragile states,
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u posljeratnim krhkim državama
09:39
or maybe in middle income states
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ili u zemljama s osrednjim prihodima
09:41
where they don't really care about the marginalized.
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gdje se ne vodi briga o onima na marginama društva.
09:44
But I'm confident, with the right kind of political campaigning
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Ipak, siguran sam da s pravom političkom kampanjom,
09:48
and creative and technological innovation combined
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kreativnošću i tehnološkim inovacijama u kombinaciji sa
09:51
working together more and more as one,
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zajedničkim radom sve više kao jedan,
09:54
I think we can get this and other goals done.
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mislim da možemo doseći ove i druge ciljeve.
09:57
Thank you. (Applause)
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Hvala vam. (Pljesak)
10:00
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
10:05
Chris Anderson: Jamie, here's the puzzle to me.
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Chris Anderson: Jaime, ovo je zagonetka za mene.
10:07
If there was an incident today where a hundred kids
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Kad bi se danas dogodio neki incident u kojem bi umrlo
10:11
died in some tragedy or where, say, a hundred kids
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stotinu djece ili, recimo, kad bi stotinu djece
10:15
were kidnapped and then rescued by special forces,
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bilo oteto i zatim spašeno od strane specijalih jedinica,
10:18
I mean, it would be all over the news for a week, right?
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to bi bilo na svim vijestima tjedan dana, zar ne?
10:21
You just put up, just as one of your numbers there,
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Upravo si naglasio, kao jedan od tvojih brojeva,
10:23
that 5,000 -- is that the number?
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5000 – to je taj broj?
10:27
Jamie Drummond: Fewer children every day.
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Jamie Drummond: Manje djece svaki dan.
10:29
CA: Five thousand fewer children dying every day.
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CA: 5000 manje djece umire svaki dan.
10:30
I mean, it dwarfs, dwarfs everything
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Mislim, to umanjuje vrijednost svega
10:34
that is actually on our news agenda, and it's invisible.
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što se nalazi na dnevnom redu svih naših vijesti i nevidljivo je.
10:37
This must drive you crazy.
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To te sigurno izluđuje.
10:39
JD: It does, and we're having a huge debate in this country
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JD: Da, izluđuje me. Vodi se velika debata u ovoj zemlji
10:42
about aid levels, for example, and aid alone is not
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o razinama pomoći. Naprimjer, sama pomoć nije
10:44
the whole solution. Nobody thinks it is.
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cjelovito rješenje. Nitko ne misli da jest.
10:46
But, you know, if people saw the results of this smart aid,
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Ali, kad bi ljudi vidjeli rezultate ove pametne pomoći,
10:51
I mean, they'd be going crazy for it.
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mislim da bi poludjeli za tim.
10:53
I wish the 250,000 people who really did march
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Želio bih da 250,000 ljudi koji zu zaista marširali
10:57
outside this very building knew these results.
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ispred ove zgrade znaju za ove rezultate.
11:00
Right now they don't, and it would be great to find a way
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Trenutno ne znaju i bilo bi sjajno kad bismo pronašli bolji način
11:03
to better communicate it, because we have not.
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komunikacije jer ga sada nemamo.
11:05
Creatively, we've failed to communicate this success so far.
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S kreativne strane, nismo uspjeli govoriti o ovom uspjehu dosad.
11:09
If those kinds of efforts just could multiply their voice
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Kad bi se ovi napori samo mogli umnožiti i pojačati svoj glas
11:12
and amplify it at the key moments, I know for a fact
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u ključnim trenucima, znam da
11:14
we'd get better policy.
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bismo dobili bolju politiku.
11:16
The Mexican G20 need not have been a bust.
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Meksički sastanak G20 nije nužno morao propasti.
11:19
Rio, if anyone cares about the environment,
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Ni Rio, ako je ikoga briga za okoliš,
11:22
need not have been a bust, okay?
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nije morao propasti.
11:24
But these conferences are going on,
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Ali ove se konferencije nastavljaju
11:26
and I know people get skeptical and cynical
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i znam da ljudi postaju skeptični i cinični
11:27
about the big global summits and the promises
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oko takvih velikih svjetskih sastanaka i svojih velikih obećanja
11:29
and their never being kept, but actually,
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koja nikada ne održe.
11:31
the bits that are, are making a difference,
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Međutim, ono malo što učine čini razliku,
11:33
and what the politicians need
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a ono što političari trebaju
11:35
is more permission from the public.
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jest malo više ovlasti od javnosti.
11:37
CA: But you haven't fully worked out the Web mechanisms, etc.
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CA: Ali niste još potpuno razradili Web mehanizme
11:39
by which this might happen.
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preko kojih bi se to dogodilo.
11:41
I mean, if the people here who've had experience
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Mislim, ako ima ljudi ovdje koji imaju iskustvo
11:43
using open platforms, you're interested to talk with them
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korištenja otvorenih platformi, zainteresirani ste razgovarati s njima
11:46
this week and try to take this forward.
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ovaj tjedan i pokušati to unaprijediti.
11:48
JD: Absolutely. CA: All right, well I must say,
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JD: Apsolutno. U redu, moram reći,
11:50
if this conference led in some way
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ako je ova konferencija na neki način
11:52
to advancing that idea, that's a huge idea,
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doprinijela razvoju ideje, to je velika stvar.
11:55
and if you carry that forward, that is really awesome,
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Ako ćete ići s time naprijed, to je sjajno
11:58
so thank you. JD: I'd love your help.
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i zato vam hvala. JD: Volio bih vašu pomoć.
11:59
CA: Thank you, thank you.
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CA: Hvala vam, hvala vam.
12:01
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
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