Tasso Azevedo: Hopeful lessons from the battle to save rainforests

72,002 views ・ 2015-01-09

TED


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When the Portuguese arrived in Latin America about 500 years ago,
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they obviously found this amazing tropical forest.
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And among all this biodiversity that they had never seen before,
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they found one species that caught their attention very quickly.
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This species, when you cut the bark, you find a very dark red resin
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that was very good to paint and dye fabric to make clothes.
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The indigenous people called this species pau brasil,
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and that's the reason why this land became "land of Brasil," and later on, Brazil.
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That's the only country in the world that has the name of a tree.
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So you can imagine that it's very cool to be a forester in Brazil,
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among other reasons.
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Forest products are all around us.
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Apart from all those products,
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the forest is very important for climate regulation.
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In Brazil, almost 70 percent of the evaporation that makes rain
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actually comes from the forest.
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Just the Amazon pumps to the atmosphere 20 billion tons of water every day.
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This is more than what the Amazon River, which is the largest river in the world,
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puts in the sea per day, which is 17 billion tons.
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If we had to boil water to get the same effect as evapotranspiration,
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we would need six months of the entire power generation capacity of the world.
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So it's a hell of a service for all of us.
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We have in the world about four billion hectares of forests.
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This is more or less China, U.S., Canada and Brazil all together,
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in terms of size, to have an idea.
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Three quarters of that is in the temperate zone,
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and just one quarter is in the tropics,
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but this one quarter, one billion hectares, holds most of the biodiversity,
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and very importantly, 50 percent of the living biomass, the carbon.
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Now, we used to have six billion hectares of forest --
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50 percent more than what we have -- 2,000 years ago.
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We've actually lost two billion hectares in the last 2,000 years.
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But in the last 100 years, we lost half of that.
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That was when we shifted from deforestation of temperate forests
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to deforestation of tropical forests.
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So think of this: In 100 years,
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we lost the same amount of forest in the tropics
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that we lost in 2,000 years in temperate forests.
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That's the speed of the destruction that we are having.
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Now, Brazil is an important piece of this puzzle.
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We have the second largest forest in the world, just after Russia.
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It means 12 percent of all the world's forests are in Brazil,
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most of that in the Amazon.
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It's the largest piece of forest we have. It's a very big, large area.
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You can see that you could fit many of the European countries there.
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We still have 80 percent of the forest cover.
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That's the good news.
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But we lost 15 percent in just 30 years.
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So if you go with that speed,
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very soon, we will loose this powerful pump that we have in the Amazon
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that regulates our climate.
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Deforestation was growing fast and accelerating
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at the end of the '90s and the beginning of the 2000s.
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(Chainsaw sound)
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(Sound of falling tree)
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Twenty-seven thousand square kilometers in one year.
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This is 2.7 million hectares.
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It's almost like half of Costa Rica every year.
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So at this moment -- this is 2003, 2004 --
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I happened to be coming to work in the government.
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And together with other teammates in the National Forest Department,
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we were assigned a task to join a team and find out the causes of deforestation,
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and make a plan to combat that at a national level,
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involving the local governments, the civil society,
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business, local communities,
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in an effort that could tackle those causes.
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So we came up with this plan with 144 actions in different areas.
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Now I will go through all of them one by one --
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no, just giving some examples of what we had done in the next few years.
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So the first thing, we set up a system with the national space agency
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that could actually see where deforestation is happening,
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almost in real time.
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So now in Brazil, we have this system, DETER,
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where every month, or every two months,
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we get information on where deforestation is happening
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so we can actually act when it's happening.
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And all the information is fully transparent
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so others can replicate that in independent systems.
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This allows us, among other things,
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to apprehend 1.4 million cubic meters of logs that were illegally taken.
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Part of that we saw and sell, and all the revenue becomes a fund
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that now funds conservation projects of local communities as an endowment fund.
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This also allows us to make a big operation
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to seize corruption and illegal activities
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that ended up having 700 people in prison, including a lot of public servants.
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Then we made the connection that areas that have been doing
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illegal deforestation should not get any kind of credit or finance.
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So we cut this through the bank system and then linked this to the end users.
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So supermarkets, the slaughterhouses, and so on
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that buy products from illegal clear-cut areas,
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they also can be liable for the deforestation.
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So making all these connections to help to push the problem down.
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And also we work a lot on land tenure issues.
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It's very important for conflicts.
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Fifty million hectares of protected areas were created,
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which is an area the size of Spain.
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And of those, eight million were indigenous lands.
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Now we start to see results.
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So in the last 10 years,
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deforestation came down in Brazil 75 percent.
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(Applause)
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So if we compare it with the average deforestation
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that we had in the last decade,
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we saved 8.7 million hectares, which is the size of Austria.
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But more importantly, it avoided the emission
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of three billion tons of CO2 in the atmosphere.
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This is by far the largest contribution to reduce greenhouse gas emissions,
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until today, as a positive action.
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One may think that when you do these kinds of actions
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to decrease, to push down deforestation,
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you will have an economic impact
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because you will not have economic activity or something like that.
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But it's interesting to know that it's quite the opposite.
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In fact, in the period when we have the deepest decline of deforestation,
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the economy grew, on average, double from the previous decade,
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when deforestation was actually going up.
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So it's a good lesson for us.
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Maybe this is completely disconnected,
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as we just learned by having deforestation come down.
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Now this is all good news, and it's quite an achievement,
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and we obviously should be very proud about that.
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But it's not even close to sufficient.
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In fact, if you think about the deforestation in the Amazon in 2013,
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that was over half a million hectares,
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which means that every minute,
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an area the size of two soccer fields
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is being cut in the Amazon last year, just last year.
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If we sum up the deforestation we have in the other biomes in Brazil,
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we are talking about still the largest deforestation rate in the world.
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It's more or less like we are forest heroes,
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but still deforestation champions.
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So we can't be satisfied, not even close to satisfied.
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So the next step, I think,
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is to fight to have zero loss of forest cover in Brazil
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and to have that as a goal for 2020.
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That's our next step.
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Now I've always been interested in the relationship
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between climate change and forests.
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First, because 15 percent of greenhouse gas emissions come from deforestation,
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so it's a big part of the problem.
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But also, forests can be a big part of the solution
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since that's the best way we know to sink, capture and store carbon.
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Now, there is another relationship of climate and forests
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that really stuck me in 2008 and made me change my career
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from forests to working with climate change.
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I went to visit Canada, in British Columbia,
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together with the chiefs of the forest services of other countries
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that we have a kind of alliance of them, like Canada, Russia, India, China, U.S.
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And when we were there we learned about this pine beetle
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that is literally eating the forests in Canada.
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What we see here, those brown trees, these are really dead trees.
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They are standing dead trees because of the larvae of the beetle.
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What happens is that this beetle
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is controlled by the cold weather in the winter.
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For many years now, they don't have the sufficient cold weather
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to actually control the population of this beetle.
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And it became a disease that is really killing billions of trees.
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So I came back with this notion that the forest is actually
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one of the earliest and most affected victims of climate change.
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So I was thinking,
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if I succeed in working with all my colleagues
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to actually help to stop deforestation,
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maybe we will lose the battle later on for climate change
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by floods, heat, fires and so on.
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So I decided to leave the forest service
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and start to work directly on climate change,
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find a way to think and understand the challenge, and go from there.
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Now, the challenge of climate change is pretty straightforward.
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The goal is very clear.
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We want to limit the increase of the average temperature
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of the planet to two degrees.
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There are several reasons for that.
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I will not get into that now.
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But in order to get to this limit of two degrees,
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which is possible for us to survive,
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the IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change,
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defines that we have a budget of emissions of 1,000 billion tons of CO2
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from now until the end of the century.
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So if we divide this by the number of years,
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what we have is an average budget of 11 billion tons of CO2 per year.
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Now what is one ton of CO2?
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It's more or less what one small car, running 20 kilometers a day,
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will emit in one year.
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Or it's one flight, one way,
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from São Paulo to Johannesburg or to London, one way.
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Two ways, two tons.
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So 11 billion tons is twice that.
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Now the emissions today are 50 billion tons, and it's growing.
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It's growing and maybe it will be 61 by 2020.
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Now we need to go down to 10 by 2050.
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And while this happens,
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the population will grow from seven to nine billion people,
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the economy will grow from 60 trillion dollars in 2010
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to 200 trillion dollars.
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And so what we need to do is to be much more efficient
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in a way that we can go from seven tons of carbon per capita
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per person, per year, into something like one.
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You have to choose. You take the airplane or you have a car.
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So the question is, can we make it?
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And that's the exactly the same question
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I got when I was developing a plan to combat deforestation.
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It's such a big problem, so complex. Can we really do it?
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I think so. Think of this:
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Deforestation means 60 percent of the greenhouse gas emissions
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in Brazil in the last decade.
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Now it's a little bit less than 30 percent.
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In the world, 60 percent is energy.
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So if we can tackle directly the energy,
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the same way we could tackle deforestation,
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maybe we can have a chance.
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So there are five things that I think we should do.
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First, we need to disconnect development from carbon emissions.
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We don't need to clear-cut all the forests to actually get more jobs
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and agriculture and have more economy.
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That's what we proved when we decreased deforestation
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and the economy continued to grow.
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Same thing could happen in the energy sector.
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Second, we have to move the incentives to the right place.
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Today, 500 billion dollars a year goes into subsidies for fossil fuels.
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Why don't we put a price on carbon and transfer this to the renewable energy?
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Third, we need to measure and make it transparent
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where, when and who is emitting greenhouse gases
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so we can have actions specifically for each one of those opportunities.
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Fourth, we need to leapfrog the routes of development,
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which means, you don't need to go to the landline telephone
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before you get to the mobile phones.
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Same way we don't need to go to fossil fuels
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to the one billion people who don't have access to energy
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before we get to the clean energy.
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And fifth and last,
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we need to share responsibility between governments,
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business and civil society.
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There is work to do for everybody, and we need to have everybody on board.
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So to finalize,
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I think the future is not like a fate
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that you have to just go as business as usual goes.
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We need to have the courage to actually change the route,
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invest in something new,
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think that we can actually change the route.
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I think we are doing this with deforestation in Brazil,
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and I hope we can do it also with climate change in the world.
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Thank you.
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(Applause)
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