Exponential growth: How folding paper can get you to the Moon

6,296,592 views ・ 2012-04-19

TED-Ed


Please double-click on the English subtitles below to play the video.

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How many times can you fold a piece of paper?
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Assume that one had a piece of paper that was very fine,
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like the kind they typically use to print the Bible.
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In reality, it seems like a piece of silk.
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To qualify these ideas,
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let's say you have a paper
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that's one-thousandth of a centimeter in thickness.
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That is 10 to the power of minus three centimeters,
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which equals .001 centimeters.
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Let's also assume that you have a big piece of paper,
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like a page out of the newspaper.
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Now we begin to fold it in half.
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How many times do you think it could be folded like that?
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And another question:
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If you could fold the paper over and over, as many times as you wish,
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say 30 times,
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what would you imagine the thickness of the paper would be then?
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Before you move on,
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I encourage you to actually think about a possible answer to this question.
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OK.
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After we have folded the paper once,
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it is now two thousandths of a centimeter in thickness.
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If we fold it in half once again,
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the paper will become four thousandths of a centimeter.
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With every fold we make, the paper doubles in thickness.
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And if we continue to fold it again and again,
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always in half, we would confront the following situation
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after 10 folds.
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Two to the power of 10,
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meaning that you multiply two by itself 10 times,
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is one thousand and 24 thousandths of a centimeter,
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which is a little bit over one centimeter.
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Assume we continue folding the paper in half.
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What will happen then?
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If we fold it 17 times,
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we'll get a thickness of two to the power of 17,
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which is 131 centimeters,
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and that equals just over four feet.
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If we were able to fold it 25 times,
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then we would get two to the power of 25,
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which is 33,554 centimeters,
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just over 1,100 feet.
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That would make it almost as tall as the Empire State Building.
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It's worthwhile to stop here and reflect for a moment.
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Folding a paper in half, even a paper as fine as that of the Bible,
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25 times would give us a paper almost a quarter of a mile.
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What do we learn?
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This type of growth is called exponential growth,
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and as you see, just by folding a paper
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we can go very far, but very fast too.
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Summarizing, if we fold a paper 25 times,
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the thickness is almost a quarter of a mile.
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30 times, the thickness reaches 6.5 miles,
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which is about the average height that planes fly.
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40 times, the thickness is nearly 7,000 miles,
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or the average GPS satellite's orbit.
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48 times, the thickness is way over one million miles.
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Now, if you think that the distance between the Earth and the Moon
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is less than 250,000 miles,
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then starting with a piece of Bible paper
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and folding it 45 times, we get to the Moon.
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And if we double it one more time,
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we get back to Earth.
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