Why you should be a climate activist | Luisa Neubauer

91,709 views ・ 2019-10-04

TED


请双击下面的英文字幕来播放视频。

翻译人员: Harper Chang 校对人员: Nan Yang
00:13
I never planned to become a climate activist.
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我从没打算成为气候活动者。
00:16
But things have changed,
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但情况有变,
00:18
and now, standing here as a climate activist,
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现在,我作为气候活动者站在这里,
00:21
I ask you all to become one, too.
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并请求大家也成为其中的一员。
00:25
Here's why,
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接下来是为什么,
00:26
and most importantly, how.
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以及最重要的,怎么做。
00:30
Ten years ago, when I was 13 years old,
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十年前,我十三岁的时候,
00:34
I first learned about the greenhouse effect.
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第一次听说温室效应。
00:37
Back then, we spent 90 minutes on this issue,
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当时,我们在这个问题上 只花了九十分钟,
00:41
and I remember finding it quite irritating
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我记得特别生气,
00:43
that something so fundamental
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因为这么重大的问题,
00:46
would be squeezed into a single geography lesson.
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竟然被压缩成了一堂地理课。
00:50
Some of this irritation remained, so when I graduated from high school,
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我的怒气一直没消退,
所以为了确保我紧随 整个气候变化的情况,
00:53
I decided to study geography,
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当我从高中毕业后, 我决定攻读地理学。
00:56
just to make sure I was on the right track with this whole climate change thing.
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01:01
And this is when everything changed.
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一切就此改变。
01:05
This was the first time I looked at the data,
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当我第一次观察数据,
01:07
at the science behind the climate crisis,
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看到气候危机背后的科学时,
01:10
and I couldn't believe what I was reading.
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我无法相信我所看到的。
01:13
Like many of you,
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像你们中的很多人一样,
01:16
I thought that the planet wasn't really in a good state.
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我觉得地球的状况并不是很好。
01:20
I had no idea that we are rushing into this self-made disaster
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但我完全不知道, 我们正如此迅速地奔向
01:25
in such a rapid pace.
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自造的大灾难。
01:28
There was also the first time I understood what difference it makes
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那也是我第一次认识到 站在更大的维度
01:31
when you consider the bigger picture.
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看问题是多么不同。
01:34
Take the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere, for instance,
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以大气中二氧化碳浓度为例——
01:37
the number one driver for global warming.
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全球变暖的第一元凶。
01:40
Yes, this looks bad.
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是的,看起来很糟。
01:42
This looks like we are on a pretty bad track.
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我们似乎正走在一条 非常糟糕的路线上。
01:46
But it's only once you don't just consider the last 60 years
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但当你不只考虑过去六十年,
01:49
but the last 10,000 years
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而是过去一万年,
01:51
that you understand how terrifying this really is.
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你才会理解情况到底有多么吓人。
01:55
And this is just one aspect of the crisis we're seeing.
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而这仅仅是气候危机的 其中一个方面。
01:59
I'm not going to get into details here, but let me tell you so much:
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我不打算阐述细节, 但让我这样告诉各位:
02:04
we are in a point of history
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在这个历史时刻,
02:07
that the most destructive force on the planet is humanity itself.
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地球上大部分的破坏力 来自人类自身。
02:12
We are in a point of history
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在这个历史时刻,
02:15
that no scientist could guarantee you that you will survive this.
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没有科学家能保证你会存活。
02:20
We are in a point of history
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在这个历史时刻,
02:23
that humanity is creating an environment
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人类制造着一个
02:26
that's not safe for humans anymore.
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威胁自身的环境。
02:32
Yeah, there I was,
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是的,这就是
02:34
first year of geography,
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我第一年学习地理时
02:36
and felt pretty overwhelmed.
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窒息无力的感受。
02:37
But ...
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但——
02:39
there was good news.
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还是发生了好事情的。
02:42
The very same year I first learned about all this,
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就在同一年,
02:45
leaders from across the globe came together in Paris
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世界各国的领袖齐聚巴黎,
02:49
to decide on the common target to limit global warming to below two degrees.
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设定了共同的目标, 限制全球变暖不超过两度。
02:55
Pictures went around the world,
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会议的照片传遍世界。
02:57
and I was told that history was made that day.
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人们告诉我,历史在那天创造。
03:00
How relieving, right?
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很安慰人心,对吧?
03:04
Except ...
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但是——
03:06
something didn't quite work out about this.
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事态的发展并不如人意。
03:11
After this agreement was signed,
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目标协定签署后,
03:14
things didn't really get better.
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情况并没有好转。
03:16
Actually, they got much worse.
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事实上,变得更糟了。
03:19
Decision makers and industries, leaders and politicians,
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决策制定者、工业界、 国家领袖和政客,
03:23
they went back to business as usual,
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他们开完会回去照常办产业,
03:27
exploiting our livelihoods like there is literally no tomorrow,
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像是没有明天一样 贪婪榨取我们的生计,
03:32
building coal power plants again and again,
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建造一座又一座的火力发电站,
03:35
even though we know that needs to stop,
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即便他们明知《巴黎协议》上
03:38
according to the Paris Agreement.
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这些行为是被禁止的。
03:42
So while there are also good developments, of course --
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诚然,有一些好的发展——
03:45
there are installations of wind and solar energy all over the globe, yes --
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风能和太阳能发电设施 在全球逐渐增加,
03:49
but these positive changes are slow -- too slow, in fact.
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但这些积极的变化很慢——太慢了。
03:53
So since the Paris Agreement was signed,
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所以,《巴黎协议》签署后,
03:56
climate graphs keep racing to the top,
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气候恶化的趋势依然向上飙升,
03:59
smashing records every year.
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每年都在刷新记录。
04:02
The five hottest years ever recorded
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记载中最热的五年,
04:04
were the previous five years,
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就是过去这五年,
04:07
and at no time have global emissions been higher than today.
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如今的全球温室气体 排放量达到历史最高。
04:15
So there I was,
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所以,一方面,
04:16
seeing and understanding the science on the one side,
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我接触并理解着这一切的科学原理,
04:19
but not seeing answers, not seeing the action, on the other side.
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另一方面我却没有看到答案和行动。
04:25
At that point, I had enough.
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因此,我受够了。
04:28
I wanted to go to the UN Climate Conference myself,
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我决定亲自去联合国气候大会,
04:32
that very place that was created to bring people together
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那个为聚人类之力 以应对气候问题
而生的组织——
04:36
to fix the climate --
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04:38
except not really, apparently.
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显然它没做到。
04:41
This was last year.
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去年,
04:42
I traveled to the Climate Conference and wanted to find out
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我前往联合国气候大会
探寻到底发生了什么。
04:45
what this is really like, what this is about.
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04:49
For political realists, this might be no surprise,
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对于政治现实主义者, 这可能并不很惊讶,
04:54
but I found it hard to bear:
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但我感到难以忍受:
04:56
that fossil fuel industries and political leaders
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化石燃料产业和政治领袖们
05:01
are doing everything, everything to prevent real change from happening.
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正在尽一切可能 避免发生真正的改变。
05:06
They are not keen to set targets that are ambitious enough
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他们并不热衷于 设定野心勃勃的目标
05:10
to put us on a below-two-degree pathway.
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来实现每年低于两度暖化的目标。
05:14
After all, these are the only ones who benefit from this climate crisis, right?
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毕竟,他们是气候危机的 唯一受益者,不是吗?
05:19
The fossil fuel industry generates profits,
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化石燃料产业产生着大量利润,
05:22
and political leaders, well, they look at the next election,
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领袖们紧盯着下一次选举,
05:26
at what makes them popular,
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只顾着让自己受欢迎,
05:27
and I guess that's not asking the inconvenient questions.
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更不可能去问令人为难的问题。
05:31
There is no intention for them to change the game.
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他们并不打算改变局势。
05:35
There is no country in the world where either companies or political powers
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毕竟世界上没有任何 一个国家的企业或政府,
05:40
are sanctioned for wrecking the climate.
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因为破坏气候而受到制裁。
05:46
With all the strangeness and the sadness about this conference,
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就在这次大会的 荒谬与悲哀上演之后,
05:51
there was one someone who was different,
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有个与众不同的人站了出来,
05:54
someone who seemed to be quite worried,
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看起来十分担忧——
05:58
and that was Greta Thunberg.
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她就是格蕾塔·通贝里。
06:01
I decided right there that everything else seemed hopeless
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我当下就认定,其他选项 似乎都没有希望,
06:05
and didn't seem to make sense,
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也行不通。
06:06
so I joined her climate strike right there at the conference.
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于是我加入了她的气候罢课运动。
06:10
It was my very first climate strike ever
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那是我人生第一次参与气候罢课,
06:13
and an incredibly strange setting,
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当时的场面很奇怪,
06:15
just me and her sitting there at this conference hall,
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只有我和她坐在会议厅,
06:18
surrounded by this busyness of the suit-wearing conference crowd
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周围是一群身着西装的会议人员,
06:23
who had no idea what to do with us.
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对我们束手无策。
06:27
And yet, this felt more powerful
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不过,我感受到了一股力量,
06:31
than anything I had expected in a very long time.
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比任何曾感受过的都更强烈。
06:36
And it was right there that I felt it was maybe time
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于是从那时我开始思考,
或许是时候在德国来一场罢课了。
06:40
to start striking in Germany.
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06:41
I was now certain that no one else was going to fix this for us,
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我非常确定,没有人会来 帮我们解决气候问题,
06:45
and if there was just the slightest chance that this could make a difference,
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如果我能让情况有些许不同, 即便只是最微小的改变,
06:51
it seemed almost foolish not to give it a go.
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那么不去尝试便是愚蠢的。
06:55
So I --
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于是我——
06:57
(Applause)
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(掌声)
07:06
So I traveled back to Berlin.
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于是我回到柏林,
07:08
I found allies who had the same idea at the same time,
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找到了志同道合的盟友,
07:12
and together we thought we'd give this "Fridays For Future" thing a go.
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打算共同发起 “周五为未来”的活动。
07:16
Obviously, we had no idea what we were getting into.
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显然,我们不知道该怎么做。
07:19
Before our first strike, many of us, including me,
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在第一次罢课之前, 许多人,包括我,
07:23
had never organized a public demonstration or any kind of protest before.
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对如何组织公共抗议都毫无经验。
07:27
We had no money, no resources
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我们没有钱,没有资源,
07:29
and absolutely no idea what climate striking really is.
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对气候罢课没有任何概念。
07:33
So we started doing what we were good at:
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于是我们开始做擅长的事:
07:37
we started texting,
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我们开始联系他人。
07:38
texting en masse, night and day, everyone we could reach,
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齐心协力、不分昼夜地 联系能接触到的每一个人,
07:41
organizing our first climate strike via WhatsApp.
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在 WhatsApp 上组织了 第一次气候罢课。
07:46
The night before our first strike, I was so nervous I couldn't sleep.
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罢课活动前的那个晚上, 我紧张得睡不着。
07:50
I didn't know what to expect, but I expected the worst.
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我不知道该期待什么, 但我想到了最坏的结果。
07:56
Maybe it was because we weren't the only ones
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或许因为我们不是唯一
08:02
who had been longing to have a voice in a political environment
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渴望向政治环境发声,
08:06
that had seemingly forgotten how to include young people's perspective
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却似乎已被忽略、
08:10
into decision-making, maybe.
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无法参与决策的年轻人。
08:14
But somehow this worked out.
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但,我们成功了。
08:16
And from one day to the other,
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两天之内,
08:19
we were all over the place.
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我们出现在德国的每个角落。
08:21
And I, from one day to the other,
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并且,我在这两天里,
08:24
became a climate activist.
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成为了一个气候活动者。
08:29
Usually,
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通常来说,
08:31
in these kind of TED Talks,
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在这类 TED 演讲中,
08:34
I would now say how it's overly hopeful,
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我现在应该要开始说 未来多么有希望,
08:37
how we young people are going to get this sorted,
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我们年轻人将如何解决这些问题,
08:39
how we're going to save the future and the planet and everything else,
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我们将会如何拯救未来,拯救世界,
08:43
how we young people striking for the climate
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我们将会如何靠气候罢课
08:45
are going to fix this.
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而解决气候难题。
08:47
Usually.
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通常是这样。
08:50
But this is not how this works.
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但事实不是这样的。
08:52
This is not how this crisis works.
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这不是气候危机的运作方式。
08:56
Here's a twist:
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现实情况是,
08:59
today, three and a half years after that Paris Agreement was signed,
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如今,《巴黎协议》签订三年半后,
09:04
when we look at the science,
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当我们着眼于科学,
09:07
we find it's still possible to keep global warming
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会发现想要控制暖化两度以下
09:10
to below two degrees --
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还是有可能的——
09:13
technically.
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理论上。
09:15
And we also see it's still possible to hold other disastrous developments
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我们也看到了阻碍 其它灾难发展的可能,
09:19
we're seeing, such as mass extinction and soil degradation --
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例如物种灭绝和土壤退化——
09:22
yes, technically.
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是的,理论上。
09:25
It's just incredibly, incredibly unlikely.
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只是可能性非常非常小。
09:33
And in any case,
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不论如何,
09:35
the world would have to see changes
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这个世界需要看到
09:39
which we have never experienced before.
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前所未有的改变。
09:42
We'd have to fully decarbonize our economies by 2050
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我们需要在 2050 年以前 将碳从经济贡献中去除,
09:46
and transform the distribution of powers
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改变权力分配,
09:48
that is currently allowing those fossil fuel giants and political leaders
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让那些燃煤巨头和政治领袖们
09:52
to stay on top of the game.
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不再处于权力顶尖位置。
09:55
We are talking of nothing less than the greatest transformation
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我们正在说的是自工业革命后
09:59
since the Industrial Revolution.
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一场史无前例的巨大转变。
10:01
We are talking, if you want to put it that way,
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或者,如果你想这么说,
10:03
we are talking of a climate revolution
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我们在说的是极短时间内的
10:07
in a minimum amount of time.
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一场气候革命。
10:09
We wouldn't have a single further year to lose.
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我们再输不起一年了。
10:14
And in any case, for any of that change to happen,
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无论如何, 为了实现任何一项改变,
10:19
the world needs to stop relying on
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这个世界不能单靠
10:23
one or two or three million school strikers to sort this out.
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几百万学生的罢课来解决问题。
10:28
Yes, we are great, we are going to keep going,
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是的,我们很棒, 我们会坚持下去,
10:30
and we are going to go to places no one ever expected us, yes.
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我们会去到那些 人们本不期望我们到达的地方。
10:34
But we are not the limit;
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但我们不是终点,
10:36
we are the start.
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我们是开端。
10:39
This is not a job for a single generation.
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这不是某一代人的事业,
10:41
This is a job for humanity.
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这是全人类的事业。
10:44
And this is when all eyes are on you.
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这是个所有人寄望于你的时刻。
10:50
For this change to happen,
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为了让改变发生,
10:51
we will have to get one million things sorted.
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我们要解决一百万个问题。
10:56
It's an incredibly complex thing, after all.
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这确实是个无比复杂的事情。
10:59
But ...
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但……
11:02
there are some things that everyone can get started with.
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每个人都可以从一些小事做起。
11:05
Bad news first: if you thought I would tell you now to cycle more
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坏消息是:如果你以为 我要告诉你更多的循环利用,
11:09
or eat less meat, to fly less, or to go secondhand shopping,
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或者少吃肉,少乘坐飞机 或者去二手市场购物,
11:12
sorry, this is not that easy.
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抱歉,没有那么简单。
11:15
But here comes the good news:
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但好消息是:
11:17
you are more than consumers and shoppers,
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你不只是消费者和购物者,
11:21
even though the industry would like you to keep yourselves limited to that.
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即便业界希望你止步于此。
11:25
No; me and you -- we are all political beings,
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不。我和你们—— 我们都是政治的一员,
11:30
and we can all be part of this answer.
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我们都能书写答案,
11:33
We can all be something that many people call climate activists.
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我们能成为所谓的气候活动者。
11:38
Yay?
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是吧?
11:39
(Laughter)
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(笑声)
11:41
So what are the first steps?
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那么要如何开始呢?
11:42
Four first steps that are essential to get everything else done,
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开始阶段是最重要的,
11:46
four first steps that everyone can get started with,
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有四点每个人都可以开始去做。
11:50
four first steps that decide about everything that can happen after.
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这四点决定了之后的所有事情。
11:57
So what's that?
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那么是什么呢?
11:59
Number one:
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第一:
12:02
we need to drastically reframe our understanding of a climate activist,
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我们需要快速转变 对气候活动者的认识,
12:06
our understanding of who can be the answer to this.
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重新理解谁能成为 气候问题的答案。
12:11
A climate activist isn't that one person that's read every single study
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气候活动者不是那些 阅读每一项研究
12:15
and is now spending every afternoon handing out leaflets about vegetarianism
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然后每个下午在商场门口发放
素食主义传单的人。
12:20
in shopping malls.
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12:21
No.
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不。
12:23
A climate activist can be everyone,
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气候活动者可以是任何人,
12:26
everyone who wants to join a movement of those who intend to grow old
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任何只要他们希望活在
一个以保护自然环境
12:31
on a planet that prioritizes protection of natural environments
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和保障大多数人类健康幸福 为宗旨的世界,
12:35
and happiness and health for the many
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12:38
over the destruction of the climate and the wrecking of the planet
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而不是破坏气候,摧毁地球,
12:42
for the profits of the few.
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而让少数人获利。
12:45
And since the climate crisis is affecting every single part of our social,
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因为气候危机正影响着社会
12:49
of our political and of our private life,
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政治生活和个人生活的每个环节,
12:52
we need climate activists everywhere on every corner,
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气候活动者需要出现在 每个地方每个角落。
12:55
not only in every room,
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不仅是每间屋子,
12:56
but also in every city and country and state and continent.
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更是每个城市、每个国家、 每个州、每块大陆。
13:02
Second:
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第二:
13:05
I need you to get out of that zone of convenience,
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我们需要跳出舒适圈,
13:09
away from a business as usual that has no tomorrow.
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远离一切没有未来的商业活动。
13:14
All of you here, you are either a friend or a family member,
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在场的各位是朋友或家人,
13:18
you are a worker, a colleague, a student, a teacher
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你们也是从业者, 同事,学生,老师,
13:21
or, in many cases, a voter.
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或者,在更多情况下, 你们是选民。
13:23
All of this comes along with a responsibility
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这些都伴随着责任,
13:26
that this crisis requires you to grow up to.
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气候危机需要你投身帮助。
13:30
There's the company that employs you
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那些雇佣你
13:34
or that sponsors you.
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或者赞助你的公司,
13:36
Is it on track of meeting the Paris Agreement?
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它们有没有遵守《巴黎协议》?
13:39
Does your local parliamentarian know that you care about this,
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你们当地的议员知道你关心气候问题
13:43
that you want this to be a priority in every election?
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并希望将其作为选举的主要参考吗?
13:45
Does your best friend know about this?
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你最好的朋友了解气候问题吗?
13:48
Do you read a newspaper or write a newspaper? Great.
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你阅读报纸,或者撰写报刊吗?
这很好,那就让他们知道 你想要在每一期报道气候问题,
13:52
Then let them know you want them to report on this in every issue,
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13:55
and that you want them to challenge decision makers in every single interview.
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想要在每次采访中质询决策制定者。
14:01
If you're a singer, sing about this. If you're a teacher, teach about this.
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如果你是歌手,那么歌唱它; 如果你是教师,那么传授它;
如果你有银行账户,告诉银行 如果他们继续投资化石燃料
14:05
And if you have a bank account, tell your bank you're going to leave
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3252
14:08
if they keep investing in fossil fuels.
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那么你就要取消账户。
14:11
And, of course, on Fridays, you should all know what to do.
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还有在星期五,你知道该怎么做。
14:17
Thirdly:
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第三:
14:19
leaving that zone of convenience works best when you join forces.
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人多力量大。
14:26
One person asking for inconvenient change
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一个人发出改变的诉求
14:29
is mostly inconvenient.
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将是困难的;
14:33
Two, five, ten, one hundred people asking for inconvenient change
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但两个,五个,十个, 一百个人发出诉求,
14:37
are hard to ignore.
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就难以被忽略。
14:38
The more you are, the harder it gets for people to justify
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人数越多,
人们就越难替没有未来的系统开脱。
14:41
a system that has no future.
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14:44
Power is not something that you either have or don't have.
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力量并不是单纯的有,或没有。
14:47
Power is something you either take or leave to others,
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力量是你可以争取,或放弃的东西,
14:50
and it grows once you share it.
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而一旦传递,力量便壮大。
14:54
We young people on the streets, we school strikers,
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2517
我们这些街头的年轻人,罢课学生,
14:56
we are showing how this can work out.
256
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我们证明了这是可行的。
14:59
One single school striker will always be one single school striker --
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一个罢课学生将永远只是一个人——
15:03
well, Greta Thunberg.
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就像格蕾塔·通贝里。
15:04
Two, five, ten, one thousand people striking school are a movement,
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但两个,五个,十个, 一千个学生一起参与的运动,
15:08
and that's what we need everywhere.
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就是我们想要的。
15:09
No pressure.
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不要有压力。
15:11
(Laughter)
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(笑)
15:12
And number four, finally --
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最后,第四:
15:15
and this is probably the most important aspect of all of this --
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或许是最重要的一点——
15:23
I need you to start taking yourselves more seriously.
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我需要你们更认真的看待自己。
15:28
If there's one thing I've learned
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如果说我在 7 个月的 组织气候运动中
15:30
during seven months of organizing climate action,
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学到了什么,
15:34
it's that if you don't go for something,
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那就是,如果你不主动追求,
15:37
chances are high that no one else will.
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很有可能没有人会去做了。
15:41
The most powerful institutions of this world
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这个世界最有权力的机构
15:45
have no intention of changing the game they're profiting from most,
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不会想要改变 使其利益最大化的游戏规则,
15:50
so there's no point in further relying on them.
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所以再依赖他们没有意义。
15:54
That's scary, I know.
273
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这很吓人,我知道。
15:56
That's a huge responsibility, a huge burden on everyone's shoulders, yes.
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这是巨大的责任, 是每个人肩头沉重的负担。
16:01
But this also means,
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1868
但同时也意味着,
16:03
if we want to,
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如果我们想,
16:05
we can have a say in this.
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我们就有发言权。
16:09
We can be part of that change. We can be part of that answer.
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我们能成为改变的一部分, 我们能成为答案的一部分。
16:13
And that's quite beautiful, right?
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2049
这很美好,对吧?
16:16
So let's give it a try, let's rock and roll,
280
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2118
所以不如试一试,大干一场,
16:18
let's flood the world with climate activists.
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2453
让这个世界充满气候活动者。
16:21
Let's get out of the zones of convenience
282
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2343
让我们跳出舒适圈,
16:24
and join forces and start taking ourselves more seriously.
283
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3646
联合起来,重视自己的力量。
16:29
Imagine what this world would look like,
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想象一下世界将会如何,
16:31
where children would grow up,
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2915
以后的孩子们,
16:34
knowing their future was this one great adventure to look forward to
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知道他们未来的成长 将是一场精彩的冒险,
16:40
and nothing to be scared of,
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令人期待,无所畏惧;
16:43
what this world would look like when the next climate conference
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下一次的气候大会,
16:47
is this great happening of people who come together,
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将会是人们齐聚一堂,
16:52
who had heard the voices of millions,
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代表世界百万人的声音,
16:54
who would then roll up their sleeves, ready to create real change.
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然后撸起袖子,创造全新的改变。
17:00
You know,
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想象一下,
17:02
I dream of this world
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我梦想的世界中,
17:05
where geography classes teach about the climate crisis
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地理课上会把气候危机
17:11
as this one greatest challenge
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介绍成历史上人类战胜
17:14
that was won by people like you and me,
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的最伟大挑战,
17:18
who had started acting in time
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因为我们及时行动,
17:21
because they understood they had nothing to lose
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因为我们明白没有退路,
17:24
and everything to win.
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2011
唯有胜利。
17:28
So why not give it a go?
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所以为什么不行动起来呢?
17:30
No one else will save the future for us.
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不要指望别人来拯救我们的未来。
17:32
This is more than an invitation. Spread the word.
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这不仅是一个邀请, 请大家向世界传播出去。
17:35
Thank you.
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谢谢大家。
17:36
(Applause)
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(掌声)
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