How China is changing the future of shopping | Angela Wang

327,617 views ・ 2018-01-30

TED


Dvaput kliknite na engleske titlove ispod za reprodukciju videozapisa.

Prevoditelj: Biljana Ježik Recezent: Sanda L
00:12
This is my nephew,
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Ovo je moj nećak,
00:15
Yuan Yuan.
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Yuan Yuan.
00:16
He's five years old,
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On ima pet godina,
00:18
super adorable.
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presladak je.
00:20
I asked him the other day,
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Neki dan sam ga pitala:
00:22
"What would you like for your birthday this year?"
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"Što želiš za rođendan ove godine?"
00:25
He said, "I want to have a one-way mirror Spider-Man mask."
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Rekao je: "Želim Spiderman masku koje ima jedosmjerno zrcalo."
00:30
I had absolutely no idea what he was talking about,
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Nisam imala pojma o čemu govori
00:32
so I said, "Wow, that's really cool,
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pa sam rekla: "To je zaista super,
00:34
but how are you going to get it?"
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ali kako ćeš to dobiti?"
00:37
He told me, without a blink of his eyes,
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Rekao mi je, a da nije ni trepnuo:
"Reći ću mami i zaželjet ću želju prije nego pođem spavati.
00:40
"I'm going to tell my mom and make a wish before I go to bed.
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00:44
My mom will go to shake her mobile phone.
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Moja će mama protresti svoj mobitel.
00:47
The next morning, the delivery uncle will give it to me when I wake up."
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Sljedeće jutro, dostavljač će mi ga dati kad se probudim."
00:53
I was about to tease him,
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Htjela sam ga zadirkivati,
00:55
but suddenly I realized
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ali sam odjednom shvatila
00:57
he was simply telling me the truth,
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da mi jednostavno govori istinu,
00:59
the truth of what shopping looks like for this generation.
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istinu o tome kako ta generacija vidi kupovinu.
01:03
If you think of it, for a child like Yuan Yuan,
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Ako razmislite o tome, za dijete poput Yuan Yuana,
01:07
shopping is a very different idea
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kupovina je sasvim drugačiji pojam
01:09
compared to what my generation had in mind.
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u usporedbi s onime na što je moja generacija mislila.
01:12
Shopping is always done on mobile,
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Kupovina se uvijek obavlja putem mobitela
01:14
and payment is all virtual.
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i svo je plaćanje virtualno.
01:18
A huge shopping revolution is happening in China right now.
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U Kini se trenutno događa velika revolucija u kupovini.
01:23
Shopping behaviors, and also technology platforms,
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Ponašanje pri kupovini i tehnološke platforme,
01:27
have evolved differently than elsewhere in the world.
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razvile su se drugačije nego bilo gdje u svijetu.
01:29
For instance, e-commerce in China is soaring.
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Primjerice, korištenje e-trgovine u Kini naglo raste.
01:33
It's been growing at twice the speed of the United States
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Ono raste dvostrukom brzinom nego u SAD-u,
01:36
and a lot of the growth is coming from mobile.
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a najviše zbog korištenja mobilnih uređaja.
01:39
Every month, 500 million consumers
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Mjesečno 500 milijuna potrošača
01:44
are buying on mobile phones,
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kupuje putem mobilnih telefona
01:46
and to put that into context,
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i kako bih vam to približila,
01:48
that is a total population of the United States,
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to je ukupna populacija SAD-a,
01:51
UK and Germany combined.
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Velike Britanije i Njemačke zajedno.
01:55
But it is not just about the scale of the e-commerce,
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Ali, ne radi se samo o razmjeru e-trgovine,
01:58
it is the speed of adoption and the aggregation of the ecosystems.
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već i o brzini prihvaćanja i kumuliranja ekosustava.
02:03
It took China less than five years to become a country of mobile commerce,
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U manje od pet godina Kina je postala zemlja mobilne trgovine,
02:08
and that is largely because of the two technology platforms,
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a najviše zbog dviju tehnoloških platformi,
02:13
Alibaba and Tencent.
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Alibabe i Tencenta.
02:15
They own 90 percent of the e-commerce --
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One posjeduju 90 posto e-trgovina,
02:18
pretty much the whole market --
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gotovo cijelo tržište,
02:20
85 percent of social media,
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85 posto društvenih medija,
02:22
85 percent of internet payment.
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85 posto internet plaćanja.
02:25
And they also own large volumes of digital content, video, online movie,
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Posjeduju i velike količine digitalnog sadržaja, online filmova,
02:32
literature, travel information, gaming.
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literature, video igara, informacija o putovanjima.
02:37
When this huge base of mobile shoppers
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Kada se ova ogromna baza mobilnih kupaca
02:40
meets with aggregated ecosystems,
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susretne s kumuliranim ekosustavima,
02:42
chemical reactions happen.
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događaju se kemijske reakcije.
02:44
Today, China is like a huge laboratory
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Kina je danas poput velikog laboratorija
02:47
generating all sorts of experiments.
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koji provodi razne vrste eksperimenata.
02:50
You should come to China,
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Trebate doći u Kinu,
02:51
because here you will get a glimpse into the future.
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jer ćete ovdje imati pogled u budućnost.
02:56
One of the trends I have seen concerns the spontaneity of shopping.
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Jedan od trendova koji sam vidjela tiče se spontanosti kupovine.
03:01
Five years ago, in a fashion study,
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Prije pet godina, u modnom istraživanju,
03:03
we found that on average,
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otkrili smo da će u prosjeku
03:05
a Chinese consumer would be buying five to eight pairs of shoes.
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kineski potrošač kupiti pet do osam pari cipela.
03:08
This number tripled to reach about 25 pairs of shoes a year.
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Taj se broj utrostručio na 25 pari cipela godišnje.
03:13
Who would need so many pairs of shoes?
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Kome treba toliko pari cipela?
03:16
So I asked them, "What are the reasons you buy?"
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Pitala sam ih: "Zbog čega vi kupujete?"
03:19
They told me a list of inspirations:
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Za kupovinu imaju listu inspiracija:
03:22
blogs, celebrity news, fashion information.
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blogovi, novosti o slavnim ličnostima, informacije o modi.
03:27
But really, for many of them, there was no particular reason to buy.
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Ali zaista, za mnoge od njih, nije bilo posebnog razloga za kupovinu.
03:30
They were just browsing on their mobile site
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Jednostavno su pretraživali web stranice na mobitelu
03:33
and then buying whatever they saw.
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i kupili su štogod su vidjeli.
03:36
We have observed the same level of spontaneity in everything,
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Zapazili smo jednaku razinu spontanosti u svemu,
03:40
from grocery shopping to buying insurance products.
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od kupovine namirnica do kupovine usluga osiguranja.
03:46
But it is not very difficult to understand if you think about it.
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No, to i nije teško za razumjeti, ako razmislite o tome.
03:49
A lot of the Chinese consumers are still very new
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Mnogo kineskih potrošača tek je nedavno počelo živjeti
03:52
in their middle-class or upper-middle-class lifestyles,
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životnim stilom srednje klase ili više srednje klase,
03:55
with a strong desire to buy everything new,
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s velikom željom da kupe sve što je novo,
03:58
new products, new services.
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nove proizvode, nove usluge.
04:00
And with this integrated ecosystem,
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I pomoću ovog integriranog ekosustava,
04:03
it is so easy for them to buy, one click after another.
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kupovina im je jednostavna, jedan klik za drugim.
04:09
However, this new shopping behavior is creating a lot of challenges
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S druge strane, ovo novo ponašanje pri kupovini stvara mnogo izazova
04:14
for those once-dominant businesses.
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za nekadašnja dominantna poduzeća.
04:16
The owner of a fashion company told me that he's so frustrated
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Vlasnik modne tvrtke rekao mi je da je frustriran
04:20
because his customers keep complaining that his products are not new enough.
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jer mu se klijenti žale da njegovi proizvodi nisu dovoljno novi.
04:25
Well, for a fashion company, really bad comment.
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Za modnu tvrtku, to je zaista loša primjedba.
04:29
And he already increased the number of products in each collection.
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Već je povećao količinu proizvoda u svakoj kolekciji.
04:33
It doesn't seem to work.
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Ni to nije pomoglo.
04:34
So I told him there's something more important than that.
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Rekla sam mu da postoji nešto važnije od toga.
04:38
You've got to give your consumer exactly what they want
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Kupcima treba dati točno ono što žele,
04:41
when they still want it.
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dok još to žele.
04:43
And he can learn something from the online apparel players in China.
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Mogao bi se ugledati na kineske online trgovce odjećom.
04:48
These companies, they collect real consumer feedback
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Ove tvrtke skupljaju stvarne povratne informacije potrošača
04:51
from mobile sites, from social media,
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s internetskih stranica, društvenih medija
04:54
and then their designers will translate this information
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i zatim njihovi dizajneri pretvaraju te informacije
04:57
into product ideas,
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u ideje za proizvode
04:59
and then send them to microstudios for production.
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i šalju ih u mikrostudije na proizvodnju.
05:03
These microstudios are really key in this overall ecosystem,
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Ti su mikrostudiji ključni u cijelom ekosustavu,
05:07
because they take small orders,
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jer uzimaju male narudžbe,
05:09
30 garments at a time,
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po 30 komada odjeće,
05:11
and they can also make partially customized pieces.
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a mogu dizajnirati i odjeću djelomično prilagođenu potrošaču.
05:15
The fact that all these production designs
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Činjenica da se dizajni proizvoda
05:19
are done locally,
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rade lokalno,
05:20
the whole process, from transporting to product on shelf or online
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za cijeli proces, od transporta do stavljanja proizvoda na policu ili online,
05:25
sometimes takes only three to four days.
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nekad je potrebno samo tri do četiri dana.
05:27
That is super fast,
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To je jako brzo
05:29
and that is highly responsive to what is in and hot on the market.
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i odgovara onome što je trenutno najtraženije na tržištu.
05:33
And that is giving enormous headaches to traditional retailers
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To znatno otežava posao tradicionalnim trgovcima
05:37
who are only thinking about a few collections a year.
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koji planiraju samo nekoliko kolekcija godišnje.
05:42
Then there's a consumer's need for ultraconvenience.
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No, postoji i potreba potrošača za jednostavnošću.
05:46
A couple of months ago, I was shopping with a friend in Tokyo.
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Prije dva mjeseca, bila sam u kupovini s prijateljicom u Tokiju.
05:49
We were in the store,
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Bile smo u trgovini
05:50
and there were three to four people standing in front of us
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i ispred nas je stajalo troje, četvero ljudi
05:53
at the checkout counter.
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u redu za blagajnu.
05:55
Pretty normal, right?
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Prilično normalno, zar ne?
05:56
But both of us dropped our selection
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Ali, obje smo odustale od kupovine
05:59
and walked away.
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i otišle.
06:01
This is how impatient we have become.
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Postale smo jako nestrpljive.
06:04
Delivering ultraconvenience is not just something nice to have.
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Jednostavnost nije samo dobra strana kupovine.
06:08
It is crucial to make sure your consumer actually buys.
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Ona je ključna kako bi potrošač zaista nešto kupio.
06:12
And in China, we have learned
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Shvatili smo da je u Kini
06:14
that convenience is really the glue that will make online shopping
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jednostavnost razlog zbog kojeg će online kupovina postati
06:18
a behavior and a habit that sticks.
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stalno ponašanje i navika.
06:21
It is sometimes more effective than a loyalty program alone.
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Ponekad je učinkovitija od samog programa vjernosti.
06:25
Take Hema.
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Primjerice Hema.
06:27
It's a retail grocery concept developed by Alibaba.
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To je koncept trgovine namirnicama na malo koji je razvio Alibaba.
06:31
They deliver a full basket of products
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Oni dostavljaju punu košaricu proizvoda
06:33
from 4,000 SKUs to your doorstep
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od 4,000 artikala na vaš kućni prag
06:36
within 30 minutes.
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u roku 30 minuta.
06:38
What is amazing is that they deliver literally everything:
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Fascinantno je što dostavljaju doslovno sve:
06:42
fruits, vegetables, of course.
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voće, povrće, naravno.
06:45
They also deliver live fish
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Dostavljaju i živu ribu
06:47
and also live Alaska king crab.
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čak i živog crvenog kraljevskog raka.
06:50
Like my friend once told me,
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Prijateljica mi je jednom rekla:
06:53
"It's really my dream coming true.
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"Zaista mi se ostvaruje san.
06:54
Finally, I can impress my mother-in-law
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Napokon ću moći zadiviti svekrvu
06:57
when she comes to visit me for dinner unexpectedly."
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kada me nenajavljeno posjeti za večeru."
07:00
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
07:04
Well, companies like Amazon and FreshDirect
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Tvrtke poput Amazona ili FreshDirecta
07:06
are also experimenting in the same field.
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eksperimentiraju na istom području.
07:09
The fact that Hema is part of the Alibaba ecosystem
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Zbog toga što je Hema dio Alibabinog ekosustava,
07:13
makes it faster and also a bit easier to implement.
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može puno brže i lakše sve provesti.
07:17
For an online grocery player,
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Za online trgovca namirnicama,
07:19
it is very difficult, very costly,
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dosta je teško i poprilično skupo
07:22
to deliver a full basket quickly,
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brzo dostaviti punu košaricu,
07:25
but for Hema, it's got a mobile app,
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no, Hema ima mobilnu aplikaciju,
07:27
it's got mobile payment,
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plaćanje putem mobitela
07:29
and also it's built 20 physical stores in high-density areas in Shanghai.
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i 20 izgrađenih fizičkih trgovina u najnaseljenijim dijelovima Šangaja.
07:35
These stores are built to ensure the freshness of the product --
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Te su trgovine izgrađene kako bi se osigurala svježina proizvoda,
07:39
they actually have fish tanks in the store --
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a trgovine su opskrbljene i akvarijima za ribu,
07:42
and also to give locations that will enable high-speed delivery.
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kako bi se omogućila vrlo brza dostava s tih lokacija.
07:46
I know the question you have on your mind.
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Znam što želite pitati.
07:48
Are they making money?
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Zarađuju li na tome?
07:50
Yes, they are making money.
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Da, zarađuju.
07:51
They are breaking even,
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Zaradom pokriju troškove,
07:52
and what is also amazing is that the sales revenue per store
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a iznenađujuće je što je prihod od prodaje po trgovini
07:56
is three to four times higher than the traditional grocery store,
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tri do četiri puta veći nego u tradicionalnim trgovinama namirnica,
08:00
and half of the revenue orders are coming from mobile.
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a polovica narudžbi dolazi putem mobitela.
08:05
This is really proof that a consumer,
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To je zaista dokaz da će potrošač,
08:07
if you give them ultraconvenience that really works in grocery shopping,
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ukoliko mu pružite jednostavnost koja funkcionira u kupovini namirnica,
08:11
they're going to switch their shopping behaviors online,
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prebaciti svoj način kupovine online
08:14
like, in no time.
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u vrlo kratkom roku.
08:17
So ultraconvenience and spontaneity,
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Stoga, jednostavnost i spontanost,
08:20
that's not the full story.
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no, to još nije cijela priča.
08:22
The other trend I have seen in China
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Drugi trend koji sam vidjela u Kini
08:24
is social shopping.
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je društvena mreža za kupovinu.
08:26
If you think of social shopping elsewhere in the world,
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Pojam društvene mreže za kupovinu drugdje u svijetu
08:29
it is a linear process.
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linearan je proces.
08:31
You pick up something on Facebook,
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Odaberete nešto na Facebooku,
08:33
watch it, and you switch to Amazon
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pogledate, otvorite Amazon
08:36
or brand.com to complete the shopping journey.
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ili brand.com kako biste završili kupovinu.
08:39
Clean and simple.
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Čisto i jednostavno.
08:40
But in China it is a very different thing.
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No, taj je proces u Kini sasvim drugačiji.
08:43
On average, a consumer would spend one hour on their mobile phone shopping.
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U prosjeku, kupac potroši jedan sat na mobitelu kupujući.
08:48
That's three times higher than the United States.
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To je tri puta duže nego u SAD-u.
08:51
Where does the stickiness come from?
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Zašto su toliko slijepljeni za mobitele?
08:53
What are they actually doing on this tiny little screen?
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Što oni, zapravo, rade na tim malim ekranima?
08:57
So let me take you on a mobile shopping journey
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Pokazat ću vam kako izgleda kupovina putem mobitela
08:59
that I usually would be experiencing.
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iz vlastitog iskustva.
09:03
11pm, yes, that's usually when I shop.
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23 sata, tada inače kupujem.
09:06
I was having a chat in a WeChat chatroom with my friends.
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Dopisujem se na WeChat-u s prijateljima.
09:10
One of them took out a pack of snack
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Netko je izvukao vrećicu grickalica
09:12
and posted the product link in that chatroom.
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i priložio link za proizvod u toj sobi za čavrljanje.
09:16
I hate it, because usually I would just click that link
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Mrzim to, jer inače kliknem na taj link
09:20
and then land on the product page.
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i otvori mi se stranica proizvoda.
09:22
Lots of information, very colorful,
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Puno informacija, vrlo šareno,
09:24
mind-blowing.
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zapanjujuće.
09:26
Watched it and then a shop assistant came online
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Dok to gledam, pojavi se online prodavač
09:29
and asked me, "How can I help you tonight?"
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i pita me: "Kako vam mogu pomoći večeras?"
09:32
Of course I bought that pack of snack.
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Naravno da sam kupila te grickalice.
09:34
What is more beautiful is I know that the next day, around noontime,
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Još je ljepše to što znam da će sutra, oko podne,
09:38
that pack of snack will be delivered to my office.
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ta vrećica grickalica biti dostavljena u moj ured.
09:41
I can eat it and share it with my colleagues
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Mogu je pojesti i podijeliti s kolegama
09:44
and the cost of delivery, maximum one dollar.
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i cijena dostave je najviše jedan dolar.
09:48
Just when I was about to leave that shopping site,
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Kada sam htjela napustiti tu stranicu za kupovinu,
09:51
another screen popped up.
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iskočio je drugi ekran.
09:53
This time it is the livestreaming of a grassroots celebrity
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Ovoga puta mi slavna osoba uživo
09:57
teaching me how to wear a new color of lipstick.
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pokazuje kako nanositi novu boju ruža.
10:01
I watched for 30 seconds -- very easy to understand --
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Gledala sam 30 sekundi, vrlo je jednostavno
10:04
and also there is a shopping link right next to it,
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i pored toga se nalazi link za kupovinu,
10:07
clicked it, bought it in a few seconds.
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kliknula sam, kupila u par sekundi.
10:10
Back to the chatroom.
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Vraćam se u sobu za čavrljanje.
10:12
The gossiping is still going on.
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Tračanje se nastavlja.
10:14
Another friend of mine posted the QR code
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Drugi je prijatelj poslao QR kod
10:16
of another pack of snack.
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druge vrećice grickalica.
10:18
Clicked it, bought it.
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Kliknula, kupila.
10:21
So the whole experience
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Cijelo to iskustvo
10:22
is like you're exploring in an amusement park.
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je poput istraživanja zabavnog parka.
10:26
It is chaotic, it is fun
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Kaotično je, zabavno
10:29
and it's even a little bit addictive.
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i čak pomalo izaziva ovisnost.
10:32
This is what's happening when you have this integrated ecosystem.
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To je rezultat postojanja integriranog ekosustava.
10:36
Shopping is embedded in social,
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Kupovina je uklopljena u društvenu sferu,
10:39
and social is evolving into a multidimensional experience.
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a društvena se sfera razvija u višedimenzionalno iskustvo.
10:44
The integration of ecosystems reaches a whole new level.
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Integracija ekosustava dosegla je potpuno novu razinu.
10:48
So does its dominance in all aspects of our life.
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Ona dominira svim aspektima našeg života.
10:52
And of course, there are huge commercial opportunities behind it.
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I naravno, iza toga stoje velike komercijalne prilike.
10:56
A Chinese snack company, Three Squirrels,
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Kineska tvrtka grickalicama, Three Squirrels,
10:59
built a half-a-billion-dollar business in just three years
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izgradila je poduzeće vrijedno pola milijarde dolara u tri godine,
11:03
by investing in 300 to 500 shop assistants
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investirajući u 300 do 500 prodavača
11:06
who are going to be online to provide services 24/7.
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koji će biti online 0-24 kako bi pružali usluge.
11:11
In the social media environment,
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U sferi društvenih medija,
oni su poput susjeda.
11:13
they are like your neighborhood friends.
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Čak i kada ne kupujete,
11:15
Even when you are not buying stuff,
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11:16
they will be happy to just tell you a few jokes and make you happy.
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oni će biti zadovoljni ako vas mogu nasmijati i usrećiti.
11:21
In this integrated ecosystem,
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U tom integriranom ekosustavu,
11:23
social media can really redefine the relationship between brand,
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društveni mediji mogu redefinirati odnos između branda,
11:27
retailer and consumer.
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trgovca i potrošača.
11:31
These are only fragments of the massive changes
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Ovo su samo dijelići masivnih promjena
11:34
I have seen in China.
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koje sam vidjela u Kini.
11:36
In this huge laboratory,
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U tom velikom laboratoriju,
11:38
a lot of experiments are generated every single day.
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mnogo se eksperimenata izvodi svakog dana.
11:43
The ecosystems are reforming,
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Ekosustavi se mijenjaju,
11:45
supply chain distribution, marketing, product innovation,
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opskrbljuju lanac distribucije, marketinga, inovacije proizvoda,
11:49
everything.
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sve.
11:51
Consumers are getting the power to decide what they want to buy,
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Potrošači imaju moć odlučiti što žele kupiti,
11:55
when they want to buy it,
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kada to žele kupiti,
11:56
how they want to buy it, how they want to social.
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kako to žele kupiti, koliko žele biti društveni.
11:59
It is now back to business leaders of the world
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Sada je na vodećim svjetskim poslovnim čelnicima
12:03
to really open their eyes, see what's happening in China,
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da zaista otvore oči, pogledaju što se događa u Kini,
12:06
think about it and take actions.
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razmisle o tome i nešto poduzmu.
12:10
Thank you.
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Hvala.
12:11
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
12:19
Massimo Portincaso: Angela, what you shared with us
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Massimo Portincaso: Angela, ovo što si prezentirala
12:22
is truly impressive and almost incredible,
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zaista je impresivno i nevjerojatno,
12:24
but I think many in the audience had the same question that I had,
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ali mislim da mnogi u publici imaju isto pitanje kao i ja,
12:29
which is:
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koje glasi:
12:30
Is this kind of impulsive consumption
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Je li ovaj oblik impulzivne potrošnje
12:34
both economically and environmentally sustainable over the longer term?
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ekonomski i ekološki održiv, dugoročno gledajući?
12:38
And what is the total price to be paid
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I koja je krajnja cijena
12:42
for such an automized and ultraconvenient retail experience?
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za takvo automatizirano i jednostavno trgovačko iskustvo?
12:47
Angela Wang: Yeah. One thing we have to keep in mind
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Angela Wang: Da. Ono što moramo znati jest
12:49
is really, we are at the very beginning of a huge transformation.
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da smo zaista na samom početku velike transformacije.
12:54
So with this trading up needs of the consumer,
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Obzirom na rastuće potrebe potrošača,
12:57
together with the evolution of the ecosystem,
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zajedno s razvojem ekosustava,
13:00
there are a lot of opportunities and also challenges.
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postoji mnogo prilika, ali i izazova.
13:04
So I've seen some early signs
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Vidjela sam rane znakove
13:05
that the ecosystems are shifting their focus
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pomicanja fokusa u ekosustavu
13:08
to pay attention to solve these challenges.
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kako bi skrenuli pozornost na rješavanje tih izazova.
13:11
For example, paying more consideration to sustainability
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Primjerice, pridajući više obzira održivosti
13:15
alongside just about speed,
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uz jednaki tempo
13:17
and also quality over quantity.
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te kvaliteti u odnosu na kvantitetu.
13:20
But there are really no simple answers to these questions.
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No, ne postoje jednostavni odgovori na ta pitanja.
13:23
That is exactly why I'm here to tell everyone
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Ovdje sam upravo zbog toga kako bih rekla svima
13:26
that we need to watch it, study it, and play a part in this evolution.
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da trebamo promatrati, proučavati i igrati ulogu u tome razvoju.
13:31
MP: Thank you very much.
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MP: Hvala vam najljepša.
13:33
AW: Thank you.
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AW: Hvala vama.
13:34
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
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