John Delaney: Wiring an interactive ocean

25,519 views ・ 2010-07-28

TED


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翻译人员: Lili Marleen 校对人员: Chaoran Yu
00:16
For a moment, what I need to do
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接下来我要做的是
00:18
is project something on the screen of your imagination.
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让你们想象出这样一个画面
00:23
We're in 17th century Japan
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我们身处17世纪日本
00:25
on the west coast,
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的西海岸
00:28
and a little, wizened monk
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一个矮小,枯瘦的和尚
00:31
is hurrying along, near midnight,
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正在半夜匆忙的赶路
00:34
to the crest of a small hill.
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要到一座小山的山顶去
00:37
He arrives on the small hill,
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当他到达山上时
00:39
dripping with water.
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汗流浃背
00:41
He stands there,
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他矗立在那里
00:43
and he looks across at the island, Sado.
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环视着佐渡岛
00:46
And he scans across the ocean, and he looks at the sky.
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他四顾海面,仰望星空
00:51
Then he says to himself, very quietly,
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悄声对自己说
00:55
"[Turbulent the sea,]
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“怒海涌银河
00:58
[Stretching across to Sado]
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流来佐渡岛”
01:01
[The Milky Way]."
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(荒海や 佐渡によこたふ 天の河)
01:04
Basho was a brilliant man.
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松尾芭蕉(日本著名的俳句师)是个伟大的人
01:08
He said more with less
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在我读到过或看到过的文字中
01:10
than any human
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他能用最简练的语言
01:12
that I have ever read or talked to.
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传达出最多的东西
01:16
Basho, in 17 syllables,
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芭蕉用17个音节
01:19
juxtaposed
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列举了
01:22
a turbulent ocean
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风暴刚止后的
01:24
driven by a storm now past,
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汹涌大海
01:28
and captured the almost
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并最大限度地把握了
01:31
impossible beauty
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我们银河家园
01:34
of our home galaxy
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的美丽之处
01:37
with millions of stars,
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里面点缀了无数繁星
01:41
probably hundreds and hundreds of -- who knows how many -- planets,
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还有成千上万的——谁知道有多少呢——行星
01:44
maybe even an ocean
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可能还有一片海洋
01:46
that we will probably call Sylvia in time.
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在当时被称为Sylvia
01:52
As he was nearing his death,
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当时他即将不久于人世
01:55
his disciples and followers
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他的弟子和追随者们
01:58
kept asking him,
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不停追问他:
02:00
"What's the secret?
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“您有什么秘诀吗?
02:02
How can you
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您是怎样才能
02:04
make haiku poems so beautiful so easily?"
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不费吹灰之力就作出精妙绝伦的俳句的?”
02:09
And toward the end, he said,
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临终前,他说
02:14
"If you would know the pine tree,
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“欲知松
02:17
go to the pine tree."
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先问松”(松の事は松に習へ)
02:20
That was it.
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仅此而已
02:22
(Laughter)
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(笑声)
02:25
Sylvia has said we must use
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Sylvia曾说
02:27
every capacity we have
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我们应该倾己之力
02:30
in order to know the oceans.
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来了解海洋
02:32
If we would know the oceans,
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如果我们要了解海洋
02:34
we must go to the oceans.
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就必须走向海洋
02:36
And what I'd like to talk to you today about, a little bit,
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今天我想和你们说的内容有一部分是关于
02:39
is really transforming
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真正转变
02:42
the relationship, or the interplay,
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人类和海洋的关系
02:45
between humans and oceans
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或者说是相互作用
02:47
with a new capability
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这要靠一种还远未成熟的
02:50
that is not at all routine yet.
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技术设备来实现
02:52
I hope it will be.
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我希望这能成真
02:55
There are a few key points.
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这是一些要点
02:57
One of them is the oceans are central
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其中一点是:海洋在
02:59
to the quality of life on earth.
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地球生物的生活质量中占中心地位
03:03
Another is that there are bold, new ways
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另一点则是:要研究海洋,
03:06
of studying oceans
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有一些我们还未能很好掌握的
03:08
that we have not used well yet.
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开拓性的新方法
03:11
And the last is that these bold, new ways
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最后一点是:我们作为一个集体来
03:13
that we are exploring
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使用这些开拓性的新方法
03:15
as a community
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探索海洋
03:17
will transform the way we look at our planet, our oceans,
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将会改变我们看待我们的行星、我们的海洋的方式
03:20
and eventually how we manage
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最终,无论如何
03:22
probably the entire planet, for what it's worth.
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还将影响我们管理整颗星球的方式
03:27
So what scientists do when they begin
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科学家们首先
03:29
is to start with the system.
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从这个系统开始
03:31
They define what the system is.
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他们对它下了定义
03:33
The system isn't Chesapeake Bay.
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这个系统并不是切萨皮克湾
03:35
It's not the Kuril arc. It's not even the entire Pacific.
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不是Caro Arc,甚至不是整个太平洋
03:38
It's the whole planet,
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它是整颗行星
03:40
the entire planet, continents and oceans together.
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行星的全部,包括大洲和大洋
03:43
That's the system.
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那就是这个系统
03:45
And basically, our challenge
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基本上,我们所面临的挑战
03:47
is to optimize the benefits
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就在于优化收益
03:50
and mitigate the risks
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和减少住在一颗
03:52
of living on a planet that's driven by only two processes,
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只靠两种产能方式进行驱动的星球上的风险
03:55
two sources of energy,
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这两种能量
03:57
one of which is solar,
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一个是太阳
03:59
that drives the winds, the waves,
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它带来了风力,潮汐
04:01
the clouds, the storms and photosynthesis.
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云、风暴和光合作用
04:04
The second one is internal energy.
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另一种是内能
04:06
And these two war against one another
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它们水火不容
04:08
almost continuously.
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相克不休
04:10
Mountain ranges, plate tectonics,
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山脉、大陆板块
04:12
moves the continents around, forms ore deposits.
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移动了大洲,形成矿层
04:15
Volcanoes erupt.
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火山喷发
04:17
That's the planet that we live on.
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我们就生活在这样一颗行星上
04:19
It's immensely complex.
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面临极端复杂的环境
04:21
Now I don't expect all of you to see all the details here,
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现在,不用所有人都能看到这张图里所有的细节
04:23
but what I want you to see is
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我想让你们知道的是
04:25
this is about 10 percent
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这个过程大概有10%
04:28
of the processes that operate within
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是发生在海洋里
04:30
the oceans almost continuously,
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它们几乎不间断地
04:32
and have for the last 4 billion years.
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持续了40亿年
04:35
This is a system that's been around a very long time.
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这个系统缘来已久
04:38
And these have all co-evolved.
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它们在进化中协同作用
04:40
What do I mean by that?
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这么说是什么意思呢
04:42
They interact with one another constantly.
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它们彼此之间持续相互作用
04:45
All of them interact with one another.
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每一个对象都在和其他对象相互作用
04:48
So the complexity of this system that we're looking at,
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所以我们看着这个系统的复杂性
04:51
the one driven by the sun --
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太阳推动的
04:53
upper portion, mostly --
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比较大的那一份能量
04:55
and the lower portion is partly driven
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以及较小的一部分能量
04:57
by the input from heat below
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由地下的热能
04:59
and by other processes.
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和其他产能方式驱动
05:01
This is very, very important
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这点非常、非常重要
05:03
because this is the system, this is the crucible,
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因为这颗星球上的生命就出自
05:05
out of which life on the planet came,
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这个系统,这个坩埚
05:08
and it's now time for us to understand it.
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现在是我们理解它的时候了
05:11
We must understand it.
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我们必须理解它
05:14
That's one of the themes that Sylvia reminds us about:
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这是Sylvia提醒我们的事情之一
05:16
understand this ocean of ours,
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理解我们的海洋
05:19
this basic life support system,
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这个基本的生命支持系统
05:22
the dominant life support system on the planet.
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是这个星球上最重要的生命支持系统
05:26
Look at this complexity here.
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看看这幅复杂的图
05:28
This is only one variable.
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这里只有一个变量
05:30
If you can see the complexity,
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如果你看得出它有多复杂
05:32
you can see how
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如果你能看到这些
05:34
tiny, little eddies
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小涡流
05:37
and large eddies and the motion --
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和大涡流,还有它们的运动
05:39
this is just sea surface temperature,
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这仅仅是海洋的表面温度
05:41
but it's immensely complicated.
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但已经非常复杂
05:43
Now a layer in,
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现在叠加上
05:45
the other two or three hundred processes
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另外两三百种进程
05:47
that are all interacting,
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它们都在相互作用
05:49
partly as a function of temperature, partly as a function of all the other factors,
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一部分是温度起的作用,一部分是其他因素起的作用
05:52
and you've got a really complicated system.
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你就知道这个系统有多复杂了
05:54
That's our challenge, is to understand,
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我们所面对的挑战就是要理解它
05:57
understand this system in new and phenomenal ways.
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理解这个系统,以及它的非凡之处
06:00
And there's an urgency to this.
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现在这点可是当务之急
06:03
Part of the urgency comes from the fact
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紧急的原因之一是
06:05
that, of order, a billion people on the planet currently
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这个星球上有十亿人
06:08
are undernourished or starving.
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正在挨饥受饿
06:11
And part of the issue
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这个问题有一部分
06:13
is for Cody --
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是因为科迪——
06:16
who's here,
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他就在这里——
06:18
16 years old --
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16岁——
06:20
and I have permission to relay this number.
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公开这个数字我是得到了许可的
06:23
When he, 40 years from now,
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过了40年后
06:26
is the age of Nancy Brown,
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当他和南希·布朗(摄影师)同龄时
06:28
there are going to be
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这个星球上将会增加
06:31
another two and a half billion people on the planet.
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另外25亿人
06:35
We can't solve all the problems
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通过海洋,我们不能
06:38
by looking only at the oceans,
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解决所有问题
06:40
but if we don't understand
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但如果我们对
06:42
the fundamental life support system of this planet
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这个星球的基本生命支持系统
06:44
much more thoroughly than we do now,
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不能理解得更透彻的话
06:46
then the stresses that we will face,
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那我们将要面对的压力
06:48
and that Cody will face,
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科迪将会面对的压力
06:50
and even Nancy, who's going to live till she's 98,
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以及南希——她活到98岁时——面对的压力
06:53
will have really problems coping.
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就很棘手了
06:58
All right, let's talk about another perspective
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好了,让我们谈谈另一方面
07:00
on the importance of the oceans.
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海洋的重要性
07:03
Look at this diagram, which is showing
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看看这张图样,上面
07:06
warm waters in red,
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用红色表示暖水区
07:08
cool waters in blue,
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蓝色表示冷水区
07:10
and on the continents, what you're seeing in bright green,
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在大陆上,你们看到亮绿色的地方
07:13
is the growth of vegetation,
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是生长的植物
07:15
and in olive green, the dieback of vegetation.
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深绿色的部分是枯萎的植物
07:17
And in the lower left hand corner there's a clock ticking away
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在左下角有一个时钟在走动
07:20
from 1982 to 1998
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从1982年走到1998年
07:22
and then cycling again.
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然后重头开始
07:25
What you'll see is that the rhythms
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你能看到的是
07:27
of growth, of vegetation --
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植物——在陆地上是一个重要的
07:30
a subset of which is food on the continents --
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食物来源——的生长
07:32
is directly tied to the rhythms
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和海面温度的节奏
07:34
of the sea surface temperatures.
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是直接联系在一起的
07:37
The oceans control,
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海洋控制了
07:39
or at least significantly influence,
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至少可以说,显著影响着
07:42
correlate with,
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关联着
07:44
the growth patterns and the drought patterns
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大陆上植物生长的模式,旱季的模式
07:46
and the rain patterns on the continents.
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以及雨季的模式
07:48
So people in Kansas, in a wheat field in Kansas,
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因此,堪萨斯州麦田里的人们
07:51
need to understand that the oceans
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也必须理解海洋
07:53
are central to them as well.
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对他们来说至关重要
07:55
Another complexity: this is the age of the oceans.
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还有一点很复杂的是:海洋的年龄
07:58
I'm going to layer in on top of this
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我要在上面放上一张
08:00
the tectonic plates.
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地壳板块的图
08:03
The age of the ocean, the tectonic plates,
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海洋的年龄和地壳
08:06
gives rise to a totally new phenomenon
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显示出一个全新的现象
08:08
that we have heard about
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是这次会议上
08:10
in this conference.
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我们也听说过的
08:12
And I share with you some very high-definition video
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我要和你们分享一段高质量影像
08:15
that we collected in real time.
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是我们实时搜集的
08:18
Seconds after this video was taken,
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这段视频一拍出来
08:21
people in Beijing,
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住在北京的人
08:23
people in Sydney, people in Amsterdam,
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住在悉尼、阿姆斯特丹的人
08:25
people in Washington D.C. were watching this.
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还有住在华盛顿D.C.的人都能看到
08:28
Now you've heard of hydrothermal vents,
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你们都知道温泉
08:30
but the other discovery
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但有人发现
08:32
is that deep below the sea floor,
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在海底深处
08:35
there is vast reservoir of microbial activity,
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存在着含大量微生物的水池
08:38
which we have only just discovered
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这事情我们刚刚发现
08:40
and we have almost no way to study.
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而且根本无从下手进行研究
08:43
Some people have estimated
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有人预计
08:45
that the biomass
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那些生活在
08:47
tied up in these microbes
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海底的缝隙和坑洞里
08:49
living in the pours and the cracks
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的微生物
08:51
of the sea floor and below
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的生物量
08:54
rival the total amount of living biomass
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相当于这个行星表面上
08:56
at the surface of the planet.
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所有的生物量总和
08:58
It's an astonishing insight,
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这个见解相当惊人
09:00
and we have only found out about this recently.
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是我们不久前才刚刚发现的
09:02
This is very, very exciting.
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这非常、非常振奋人心
09:05
It may be the next rainforest,
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用制药学的说法来比喻的话
09:08
in terms of pharmaceuticals.
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这就是下一个热带雨林
09:10
We know little or nothing about it.
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我们对其还知之甚少
09:14
Well, Marcel Proust has this wonderful saying
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马塞尔·普鲁斯特曾说过一句妙语
09:17
that, "The real voyage of discovery
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”真正的发现之旅
09:19
consists not so much in seeking new territory,
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不是发现新的世界
09:22
but possibly in having new sets of eyes,"
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而是拥有新的视野”
09:25
new ways of seeing things,
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新的眼光
09:27
a new mindset.
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新的角度
09:29
And many of you remember
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很多人应该还记得
09:31
the early stages of oceanography,
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海洋学发展初期的情况
09:33
when we had to use what we had at our fingertips.
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我们所拥有的工具极其有限
09:36
And it wasn't easy. It wasn't easy in those days.
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那个时代非常艰难
09:39
Some of you remember this, I'm sure.
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我知道这里有人还历历在目,我很确定
09:44
And now, we have an entire suite of tools
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现在,我们有了一整套工具
09:47
that are really pretty powerful --
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它们非常好用——
09:49
ships, satellites, moorings.
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船只,人造卫星,系船具
09:53
But they don't quite cut it. They don't quite give us what we need.
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但它们的作用有限,并没有给我们很多我们想要的东西
09:56
And the program that I wanted to talk to you about
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我这里提到的只不过是
09:58
just a little bit here,
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已经投入资金研究的项目的冰山一角
10:00
was funded, and it involves autonomous vehicles
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包括无人驾驶交通工具
10:03
like the one running across the base of this image.
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就像画面底部移动的这个
10:06
Modeling: on the right hand side,
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右边是模型构建
10:09
there's a very complex computational model.
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这是一个复杂的、计算机生成的模型
10:12
On the left hand side, there's a new type of mooring,
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左边是一个新型的系船具
10:14
which I'll show you in just a second.
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过一会我会展示给你们看
10:16
And on the basis
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基于
10:18
of several points,
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这几个要点
10:20
the oceans are complex, and they're central to the life on earth.
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海洋非常复杂,它们是地球生命的中心
10:23
They are changing rapidly, but not predictably.
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它们瞬息万变,又不可预测
10:26
And the models that we need to predict the future
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我们用来进行预报的模型
10:28
do not have enough data to refine them.
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还没有积累足够的数据来完善
10:30
The computational power
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计算机的力量
10:32
is amazing.
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是惊人的
10:34
But without data, those models
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但没有数据,这些模型
10:36
will never ever be predicted.
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也无法进行预测
10:38
And that's what we really need.
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这是我们真正需要的
10:40
For a variety of reasons they're dangerous,
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由于各种各样的原因,它们很危险
10:42
but we feel that OOI,
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但我们认为OOI
10:44
this Ocean Observatory Initiative,
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海洋观测站计划(Ocean Observatory Initiative)
10:46
which the National Science Foundation
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它是由美国国家科学基金会
10:48
has begun to fund,
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主持开展的
10:50
has the potential to really transform things.
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它具有改变现状的可能
10:52
And the goal of the program is to
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这个项目的目标在于
10:54
launch an era of scientific discovery
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打开一个
10:56
and understanding
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科学地探索、了解
10:58
across and within the ocean basins,
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海洋盆地和其中奥妙的新纪元
11:00
utilizing widely accessible,
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它充分利用
11:03
interactive telepresence.
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互动式远程监控技术
11:06
It's a new world.
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这是一个崭新的世界
11:08
We will be present throughout
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我们将能
11:10
the volume of the ocean, at will,
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任意呈现出海洋
11:13
communicating in real time.
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及实时进行交流
11:15
And this is what the system involves,
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这就是这个系统的内容
11:17
a number of sites in the southern hemisphere,
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这些圆圈划出的是南半球
11:20
shown in those circles.
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的观测点
11:22
And in the northern hemisphere there are four sites.
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在北半球共有4个观测点
11:24
I won't talk a lot about most of them right here,
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关于这个我今天不会说得很多
11:27
but the one on the west coast, that's in the box,
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但是西海岸上被格子框起来的那个
11:29
is called the regional scale nodes.
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叫做区域范围节点
11:32
It was once called Neptune.
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它曾经被命名为海王星
11:34
And let me show you what's behind it.
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我来展示一下它里面有什么
11:37
Fiber: next-generation way of communicating.
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光纤,新时代的传输方式
11:40
You can see the copper tips on these things.
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你可以看到上面的铜接线端子
11:43
You can transmit power,
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你可以输送能量
11:45
but the bandwidth is in those tiny, little threads
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但这样的带宽就存在于
11:48
smaller than the hair on your head in diameter.
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直径比头发丝还小的细线中
11:51
And this particular set here
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这种特殊设计
11:54
can transmit something of the order of
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让它能够在每秒钟内传输
11:56
three to five terabits per second.
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30-50兆的数据
11:59
This is phenomenal bandwidth.
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这样的带宽相当了不起
12:01
And this is what the planet looks like.
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这是我们的星球
12:03
We are already laced up
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我们已经被串在了一起
12:05
as if we're in a fiber optic corset, if you like.
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如果你愿意的话,可以说成我们都穿上了光纤织成的紧身衣
12:08
This is what it looks like.
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这就是它的样子
12:10
And the cables go really continent to continent.
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光缆连接在大洲之间
12:13
It's a very powerful system,
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这个系统非常强大
12:15
and most of our communications consist of it.
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我们大多数联系方式都要依赖于它
12:17
So this is the system that I'm talking about,
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这就是我说的系统
12:19
off the west coast. It's coincident with the tectonic plate,
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在西海岸之外,和板块构造的形状是一致的
12:22
the Juan de Fuca tectonic plate.
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就是胡安·德富卡板块
12:24
And it's going to deliver abundant power
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它传输了巨大的能量
12:26
and unprecedented bandwidth
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和空前的带宽
12:28
across this entire volume --
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它跨越了整个海洋
12:30
in the overlying ocean,
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的空间
12:32
on the sea floor and below the sea floor.
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海床上和海床之下
12:34
Bandwidth and power
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带宽和能量
12:36
and a wide variety of processes
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以及各种各样的进程
12:38
that will be operating.
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都可以执行
12:40
This is what one of those primary nodes looks like,
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这是其中一个节点的样子
12:42
and it's like a sub station with power and bandwidth
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看上去就像是一个处理能量和带宽的变电站
12:45
that can spread out over an area the size of Seattle.
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传输的能量足够供给西雅图大小的地区
12:49
And the kind of science that can be done
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想要做这种科研的话
12:51
will be determined by a variety of scientists who want to be involved
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需要有许多各个领域的科学家参与研究
12:54
and can bring the instrumentation to the table.
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这种设备才能被运用于实践
12:57
They will bring it and link it in.
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他们将使它运行起来并连接到系统中
12:59
It'll be, in a sense, like having time on a telescope,
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这就像使用望远镜一样
13:02
except you'll have your own port.
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不过你将拥有自己的观测点
13:05
Climate change, ocean acidification,
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气候变化,海洋酸化
13:07
dissolved oxygen,
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氧气溶解
13:09
carbon cycle, coastal upwelling,
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碳循环,海域沿岸区涌升流
13:11
fishing dynamics --
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渔业动态——
13:13
the full spectrum of
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地球和海洋科学的
13:15
earth science and ocean science
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所有方面
13:17
simultaneously in the same volume.
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运行于同一时空中
13:19
So anyone coming along later
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任何后来加入的人
13:21
simply accesses the database
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都可以很容易的进入数据库
13:24
and can draw down the information they need
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取得自己需要的信息
13:26
about anything that has taken place.
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只要是发生过的事都可以轻易了解
13:28
And this is just the first of these.
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这只是第一步
13:31
In conjunction with our Canadian colleagues, we've set this up.
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和加拿大的学者一起,我们设计出了这个
13:34
Now I want to take you into the caldera.
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现在,我要带你们去火山口
13:36
On the left hand side there
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左手边
13:38
is a large volcano called Axial Seamount.
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有一个巨大的火山,名叫Axial海丘
13:41
And we're going to go down into the Axial Seamount
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我们要进到Axial海丘里去
13:43
using animation.
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以动画的形式
13:45
Here's what this system is going to look like
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这个系统将会是这个样子
13:47
that we are funded to build at this point.
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我们准备在这里投资建造
13:50
Very powerful.
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非常强大
13:52
That's an elevator that's constantly moving up and down,
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这个电梯不断地上上下下
13:54
but it can be controlled by the folks on land
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但它能从地面上控制
13:57
who are responsible for it.
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由地面上的工作人员进行控制
13:59
Or they can transfer control
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他们也能将控制权转移给
14:01
to someone in India or China
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身在印度或者中国的人
14:03
who can take over for a while,
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他们可以暂时进行控制
14:05
because it's all going to be directly connected
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因为它是直接连接到
14:07
through the Internet.
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互联网上的
14:09
There will be massive amounts of data flowing ashore,
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大量的数据流将会源源不绝地涌出
14:12
all available to anyone who has any interest in using it.
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所有有兴趣的人都能使用它们
14:15
This is going to be much more powerful
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这样将比一艘单独的船
14:17
than having a single ship
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从一个地方移动到
14:19
in a single location,
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另一个地方
14:21
then move to a new location.
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的方式强力多了
14:23
We're flying across the caldera floor.
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我们掠过火山口的底部
14:27
There is a number of robotic systems.
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这里有很多机械系统
14:29
There's cameras that can be turned on and off at your will,
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有些摄像头你可以随意开关
14:32
if those are your experiments.
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如果这是你在做的实验的话
14:34
The kinds of systems that will be down there,
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它将会设置在那里的系统
14:36
the kinds of instruments that will be on the sea floor,
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将会安置在海床上的设备
14:39
consist of -- if you can read them there --
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组成部件有——如果你看得出——
14:41
there's cameras, there's pressure sensors,
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有摄像头,压力探测器
14:43
fluorometers, there's seismometers.
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透视定位器,地震检波器
14:45
It's a full spectrum of tools.
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工具非常完备
14:47
Now, that mound right there
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而那边拱起来的地方
14:49
actually looks like this.
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实际上看起来是这个样子的
14:51
This is what it actually looks like.
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这是它真实的样子
14:54
And this is the kind of activity
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像这种活动
14:56
that we can see with high-definition video,
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我们可以用高清视频看到
14:58
because the bandwidth of these cables
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因为光缆的带宽
15:01
is so huge
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非常之大
15:03
that we could have five to 10
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可以支持5到10台
15:05
stereo HD systems
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立体声高清系统
15:07
running continuously
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持续工作
15:09
and, again, directed through robotic techniques from land.
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这也是通过机械技术从陆地上进行操作的
15:14
Very, very powerful.
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非常、非常强大
15:17
And these are the things that we're funded to do today.
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这些事是我们今天正在做的
15:19
So what can we actually do tomorrow?
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那明天我们又要做些什么呢
15:21
We're about to ride the wave
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我们要如何利用
15:23
of technological opportunity.
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技术化大潮提供的机会呢
15:26
There are emerging technologies throughout
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在海洋学周边的领域都
15:29
the field around oceanography,
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涌现出各种技术
15:31
which we will incorporate into oceanography,
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我们将把它们融合到海洋学中
15:33
and through that convergence,
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通过这种融合
15:35
we will transform oceanography into something even more magical.
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我们可以使海洋学变得更奇妙
15:39
Robotics systems are just incredible these days,
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机械系统现在让人难以置信
15:42
absolutely incredible.
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真是难以置信
15:44
And we will be bringing robotics of all sorts
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我们将要将机器人技术全面
15:46
into the ocean.
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引入海洋
15:49
Nanotechnology: this is a small generator.
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纳米科技:这是一个小小的发电器
15:51
It's smaller than a postage stamp,
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比邮票还小
15:53
and it can generate power just by being
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只要别在T恤上
15:55
attached to your shirt as you move.
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别在T恤上
15:57
Just as you move, it generates power.
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随着你的移动,就能发电
16:00
There are many kinds of things that can be used in the ocean, continuously.
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海里有很多东西都能持续使用
16:05
Imaging: Many of you know a good deal more about this type of thing than I,
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摄像机:这里的很多人都比我更了解这种东西
16:08
but stereo imaging at four times the definition
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但立体摄影的清晰度比目前的高清摄像
16:11
that we have in HD
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要高四倍
16:13
will be routine within five years.
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它们在五年里就会成为主流
16:15
And this is the magic one.
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这个东西则很神奇
16:17
As a result of the human genome process,
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通过这个人类基因组分析的结果
16:19
we are in a situation where
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使我们能够将
16:21
events that take place in the ocean --
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发生在海里的事情——
16:24
like an erupting volcano, or something of that sort --
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比如火山喷发之类的——
16:26
can actually be sampled.
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确实采样下来
16:28
We pump the fluid through one of these systems,
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我们用系统的一部分将液体抽上来
16:31
and we press the button,
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然后按下按键
16:33
and it's analyzed for the genomic character.
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它就能分析基因组特征
16:35
And that's transmitted back to land immediately.
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并马上将结果传回陆地上
16:38
So in the volume of the ocean,
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所以在海洋这个总体
16:40
we will know, not just the physics and the chemistry,
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不只是物理学上或者化学上
16:43
but the base of the food chain
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甚至食物链的最基础情况
16:45
will be transparent to us
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通过这些源源不绝的数据
16:47
with data on a continuous basis.
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对我们来说都能清晰化
16:50
Grid computing: the power of grid computers
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网格计算:网格计算机的力量
16:52
is going to be just amazing here.
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在这里是惊人的
16:54
We will soon be using grid computing
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我们很快就会将网格计算
16:56
to do pretty much everything, like adjust the data
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运用在所有事情上,比如调整数据
16:59
and everything
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和与数据有关的
17:01
that goes with the data.
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任何事情
17:03
The power generation will come from the ocean itself.
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供给的电能则来自于海洋自己
17:06
And the next generation fiber
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在下一个时代,光纤
17:08
will be simply magic.
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将变得奇妙无比
17:10
It's far beyond what we currently have.
408
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那将比我们目前所有的要强得多
17:13
So the presence of the power
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目前环境下的
17:15
and the bandwidth in the environment
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能源和带宽
17:17
will allow all of these new technologies
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可以让所有的新技术
17:19
to converge in a manner that is just unprecedented.
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以一种前所未有的方式整合起来
17:22
So within five to seven years,
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在5-7年内
17:24
I see us having
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我可以预见我们
17:26
a capacity to be completely present
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将有能力监控
17:28
throughout the ocean
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整个海洋
17:30
and have all of that connected to the Internet,
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并将所有内容都连接入互联网
17:32
so we can reach many, many folks.
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我们可以联系很多、很多同伴
17:35
Delivering the power and the bandwidth into the ocean
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传入海中的能量和带宽
17:38
will dramatically accelerate adaptation.
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将会大幅度的上涨
17:41
Here's an example.
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这里有个例子
17:43
When earthquakes take place, massive amounts
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发生地震时,不可计数的
17:45
of these new microbes we've never seen before
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我们从未见过的微生物
17:47
come out of the sea floor.
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来到海面上
17:49
We have a way of addressing that,
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我们有个方法给它们定位
17:51
a new way of addressing that.
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一个新的方法
17:54
We've determined from the earthquake activity that you're seeing here
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就像你看到的,我们从地震活动
17:57
that the top of that volcano is erupting,
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确定火山喷发的位置
18:00
so we deploy the troops.
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然后派出部队
18:02
What are the troops? The troops are the autonomous vehicles, of course.
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什么部队?当然是无人驾驶工具了
18:05
And they fly into the erupting volcano.
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它们飞入喷发的火山
18:08
They sample the fluids coming out of the sea floor
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对喷发时
18:10
during an eruption,
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海床渗出的液体进行采样
18:12
which have the microbes that have never been
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当时那些微生物还没到过
18:14
to the surface of the planet before.
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这个星球的表面
18:16
They eject it to the surface where it floats,
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它们将微生物弹射到海面,漂浮在那里
18:18
and it is picked up
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然后被无人驾驶飞机
18:20
by an autonomous airplane,
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搜集起来
18:23
and it's brought back to the laboratory
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并在火山喷发的24小时内
18:26
within 24 hours of the eruption.
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就带回实验室
18:28
This is doable. All the pieces are there.
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这完全可行。所有的步骤很清晰
18:34
A laboratory: many of you heard what happened
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实验室:你们中有很多人应该听说过
18:36
on 9/7.
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9/7发生的事情
18:38
Some doctors in New York City removed
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一些纽约的医生从一个在法国的女人的
18:40
the gallbladder of a woman in France.
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身体里上取出了胆囊
18:44
We could do work on the sea floor that would be stunning,
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我们在海底的作业是让人瞠目结舌的
18:46
and it would be on live TV,
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如果有什么趣事发生
18:48
if we have interesting things to show.
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它会出现在电视转播上
18:51
So we can bring an entirely new telepresence
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通过海洋,我们将一个崭新的远程呈现
18:54
to the world, throughout the ocean.
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展示给了全世界
18:57
This -- I've shown you sea floor --
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这个——我之前给你们看过海底
18:59
but so the goal here is real time interaction
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但目标其实是要在实时和
19:01
with the oceans from anywhere on earth.
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地球上的任何一片海洋互动
19:06
It's going to be amazing.
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这将会很了不起
19:09
And as I go here,
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我到这里来
19:11
I just want to show you what we can bring into classrooms,
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是想展示我们能把什么内容带到课堂上来
19:14
and indeed, what we can bring into your pocket.
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事实上,我们也能将它放到你的口袋里
19:20
Many of you don't think of this yet,
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你们很多人还没有想到这些
19:22
but the ocean will be in your pocket.
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但海洋将会被装进口袋
19:24
It won't be long. It won't be long.
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这不会很久了,不会很久了
19:28
So let me leave you then
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你们若不介意,让我留给你们
19:31
with a few words
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一些句子
19:33
from another poet, if you'll forgive me.
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来自另一个诗人
19:39
In 1943,
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1943年
19:41
T.S. Eliot wrote the "Four Quartets."
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T·S·艾略特写了《四个四重奏》
19:43
He won the Nobel Prize for literature
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他在1948年获得了
19:45
in 1948.
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诺贝尔文学奖
19:48
In "Little Gidding" he says --
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在“小吉丁”一章,他说——
19:50
speaking I think for the human race,
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我想起这段话是因为人类
19:52
but certainly for the TED Conference and Sylvia --
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当然也是为了TED的演说和Sylvia——
19:56
"We shall not cease from exploration,
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“我们将不停止探索
19:59
and the end of all our exploring
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而我们一切探索的终点
20:01
will be to arrive where we started
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将是到达我们出发的地方
20:03
and know the place for the first time,
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将是到达我们出发的地方
20:06
arrive through the unknown remembered gate
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当时间的终极犹待我们去发现的时候
20:09
where the last of earth left to discover
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穿过那未认识的,忆起的大门
20:12
is that which was the beginning.
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就是过去曾经是我们的起点
20:15
At the source of the longest river
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在最漫长的大河的源头
20:18
the voice of a hidden waterfall
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有深藏的瀑布的飞湍声
20:21
not known because not looked for,
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这些你都不知道,因为你并没有去寻找
20:25
but heard, half heard
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而只是听到,隐约听到
20:29
in the stillness beneath the waves of the sea."
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在大海两次潮汐之间的寂静里”
20:33
Thank you.
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谢谢
20:35
(Applause)
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(掌声)
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