The past, present and future of nicotine addiction | Mitch Zeller

120,131 views ・ 2020-01-22

TED


Please double-click on the English subtitles below to play the video.

Prevodilac: Ivana Krivokuća Lektor: Kristina Radosavljević
00:13
I'm going to tell you a story.
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Ispričaću vam priču.
00:16
I'm going to tell you a story
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Ispričaću vam priču
00:17
about how the deadliest consumer product imaginable
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o tome kako je nastao najsmrtonosniji proizvod koji se može zamisliti.
00:20
came to be.
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00:22
It's the cigarette.
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U pitanju su cigarete.
00:24
The cigarette is the only consumer product
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Cigareta je jedini tržišni proizvod koji,
00:27
that, when used as intended,
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kada se koristi kako je predviđeno,
00:29
will kill half of all long-term users prematurely, later in life.
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prevremeno ubije polovinu dugoročnih korisnika, kasnije u životu.
00:34
But this is also a story
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Ali ovo je takođe priča
00:35
about the work that we're doing at the Food and Drug Administration,
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o tome šta mi preduzimamo u Upravi za hranu i lekove,
00:39
and specifically, the work that we're doing
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i konkretno o tome šta radimo
00:41
to create the cigarette of the future,
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da bismo stvorili cigaretu budućnosti
00:44
that is no longer capable of creating or sustaining addiction.
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koja više neće moći da stvori i održava zavisnost.
00:49
A lot of people think that the tobacco problem or the smoking problem
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Mnogi misle da je problem sa duvanom ili sa pušenjem
00:53
has been solved in the United States
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rešen u Sjedinjenim Državama
00:55
because of the great progress that's been made
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zbog velikog napretka koji je ostvaren
00:57
over the last 40, 50 years,
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tokom proteklih 40-50 godina,
00:59
when it comes to both consumption and prevalence.
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što se tiče korišćenja i rasprostranjenosti.
01:02
And it's true;
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To jeste istina;
01:04
smoking rates are at historic lows.
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stopa pušenja nikada nije bila niža u istoriji.
01:07
It's true for both adults and for kids.
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To važi i za odrasle i za decu.
01:11
And it's true that those who continue to smoke
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Takođe je tačno da oni koji nastave sa pušenjem
01:14
are smoking far fewer cigarettes per day
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puše znatno manje cigareta dnevno
01:16
than at any time in history.
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nego ikada pre u istoriji.
01:20
But what if I told you that tobacco use,
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Ali šta ako bih vam rekao da upotreba duvana,
01:23
primarily because of firsthand and secondhand exposure
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pre svega zbog direktne i pasivne izloženosti
01:27
to the smoke in cigarettes,
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dimu cigarete,
01:30
remains the leading cause of completely preventable disease and death
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ostaje vodeći uzrok potpuno sprečivih bolesti i smrti
01:33
in this country?
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u ovoj zemlji?
01:36
Well, that's true.
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Pa, to je istina.
01:38
And what if I told you that it's actually killing more people
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I šta ako bih vam rekao da zapravo ubija više ljudi
01:42
than we thought to be the case ever before?
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nego što smo ikada ranije mislili?
01:45
That's true, too.
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To je takođe istinito.
01:48
Smoking kills more people each year than alcohol, AIDS, car accidents,
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Pušenje svake godine ubije više ljudi od alkohola, side, saobraćajnih nesreća,
01:53
illegal drugs, murders and suicides combined.
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ilegalnih droga, ubistava i samoubistava zajedno.
01:57
Year in and year out.
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Iz godine u godinu.
01:59
In 2014,
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Godine 2014,
02:03
Dr. Adams's predecessor released
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prethodnik dr Adamsa objavio je izveštaj autoriteta za javno zdravlje,
02:04
the 50th anniversary Surgeon General's report
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povodom 50. godišnjice, u vezi sa pušenjem i zdravljem.
02:07
on smoking and health.
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02:10
And that report upped the annual death toll from smoking,
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A taj izveštaj je izneo veći broj smrtnih slučajeva od pušenja godišnje,
02:13
because the list of smoking-related illnesses
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jer se povećao spisak bolesti koje su povezane sa pušenjem.
02:16
got bigger.
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02:18
And so it is now conservatively estimated
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Tako da se sada sa oprezom procenjuje
02:20
that smoking kills 480,000 Americans every year.
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da pušenje svake godine ubije 480 000 Amerikanaca.
02:25
These are completely preventable deaths.
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To su potpuno sprečivi smrtni slučajevi.
02:28
How do we wrap our heads around a statistic like this?
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Kako da shvatimo ovakve statističke podatke?
02:32
So much of what we've heard at this conference
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Dobar deo onoga što smo čuli na ovoj konferenciji
02:34
is about individual experiences and personal experiences.
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tiče se pojedinačnih i ličnih iskustava.
02:39
How do we deal with this at a population level,
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Kako da se pozabavimo ovim na nivou stanovništva,
02:41
when there are 480,000 moms,
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kada postoji 480 000 majki,
02:44
dads, sisters, brothers, aunts and uncles
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očeva, sestara, braće, tetki i teča
02:49
dying unnecessary deaths every year from tobacco?
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koji svake godine umiru od duvana nepotrebnom smrću?
02:54
And then what happens when you think about this trajectory
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A šta se dešava kada razmislite o ovoj tendenciji
02:57
for the future?
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u budućnosti?
02:59
And just do the simple math:
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Samo primenite prostu matematiku:
03:01
from the time of the 50th anniversary Surgeon General's report five years ago,
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od 50. godišnjice izveštaja o javnom zdravlju pre pet godina,
03:06
when this horrible statistic was raised,
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kada su objavljeni ti užasni statistički podaci,
03:09
just through mid-century --
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tek sredinom veka -
03:11
that's more than 17 million avoidable deaths in the United States
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to je više od 17 miliona sprečivih smrtnih slučajeva u SAD-u
03:17
from tobacco use,
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usled korišćenja duvana,
03:19
primarily because of cigarettes.
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prvenstveno zbog cigareta.
03:21
The Surgeon General concluded
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Portparol za javno zdravlje je zaključio
da će 5,6 miliona dece koja žive u SAD-u 2014. godine
03:24
that 5.6 million children alive in the United States in 2014
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03:31
will die prematurely later in life because of cigarettes.
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kasnije u životu umreti prevremeno zbog cigareta.
03:36
Five point six million children.
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Pet zarez šest miliona dece.
03:39
So this is an enormous public health problem for all of us
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Dakle, ovo je ogroman problem javnog zdravlja za sve nas,
03:44
but especially for us as regulators
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ali naročito za nas regulatore
03:46
at the Food and Drug Administration and the Center for Tobacco Products.
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u Upravi za hranu i lekove i Centru za duvanske proizvode.
03:50
What can we do about it?
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Šta možemo da uradimo povodom toga?
03:52
What can we do to reverse this trajectory of disease and death?
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Šta možemo učiniti da preokrenemo ovu putanju bolesti i smrti?
03:58
Well, we have an interesting guide to help unravel issues
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Pa, imamo zanimljiv vodič
za pomoć u rešavanju problema kao što su:
04:04
like: How did the cigarette as we know it come to be?
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kako su nastale cigarete kakvim ih znamo?
04:08
What is the true nature of the tobacco and cigarette business?
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Koja je prava priroda poslovanja sa duvanom i cigaretama?
04:13
How did the industry behave
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Kako se ova industrija ponašala na ranije neregulisanom tržištu?
04:14
in the historically unregulated marketplace?
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04:18
And our guide
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Naš vodič
04:20
is previously secret internal documents from the tobacco industry.
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predstavljaju prvobitno tajna unutrašnja dokumenta iz duvanske industrije.
04:25
Come with me
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Pođite sa mnom
04:26
in a tobacco industry document time machine.
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u vremensku mašinu dokumenata duvanske industrije.
04:31
Nineteen sixty-three
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Godina 1963.
04:33
was 25 years before the Surgeon General was finally able to conclude
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bila je 25 godina pre nego što je portparol za javno zdravlje
konačno zaključio da nikotin i cigarete stvaraju zavisnost.
04:39
that the nicotine and cigarettes was addictive.
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04:42
That did not happen until the Surgeon General's report in 1998.
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To se nije dogodilo do izveštaja iz 1998. godine.
04:47
Nineteen sixty-three
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Godina 1963.
04:49
was one year before the first-ever Surgeon General's report in 1964.
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bila je godina pre prvog izveštaja portparola za javno zdravlje iz 1964. god.
04:56
I remember 1964.
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Sećam se 1964. godine.
04:58
I don't remember the Surgeon General's report,
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Ne sećam se izveštaja o javnom zdravlju, ali sećam se 1964. godine.
05:00
but I remember 1964.
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05:02
I was a kid growing up in Brooklyn, New York.
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Bio sam dečak koji je odrastao u Bruklinu u Njujorku.
05:05
This was at a time
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To je bilo u vreme
05:07
when almost one in two adults in the United States smoked.
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kada je skoro jedna od dve odrasle osobe u Sjedinjenim Državama pušila.
05:12
Both of my parents were heavy smokers at the time.
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Oba moja roditelja bili su strastveni pušači u to vreme.
05:16
Tobacco use was so incredibly normalized
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Upotreba duvana je bila tako neverovatno normalizovana
05:19
that -- and this wasn't North Carolina, Virginia or Kentucky,
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da smo - a ovo nije bila Severna Karolina, Virdžinija ili Kentaki,
05:22
this was Brooklyn --
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ovo je bio Bruklin -
05:24
we made ashtrays for our parents in arts and crafts class.
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pravili pepeljare za roditelje na časovima likovnog.
05:28
(Laughter)
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(Smeh)
05:31
The ashtrays I made were pretty awful, but they were ashtrays.
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Pepeljare koje sam pravio su bile grozne, ali bile su pepeljare.
05:34
(Laughter)
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(Smeh)
05:36
So normalized that I remember seeing a bowl of loose cigarettes in the foyer
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Toliko je to bilo normalno da se sećam da sam viđao
činije sa otpakovanim cigaretama u hodniku naše kuće i drugih kuća
05:42
of our house and other houses
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05:44
as a welcoming gesture when friends came over for a visit.
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kao gest dobrodošlice kada bi prijatelji došli u posetu.
05:49
OK, we're back in 1963.
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U redu, vraćamo se u 1963. godinu.
05:53
The top lawyer for Brown and Williamson,
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Glavni advokat koji je radio za Braun i Vilijamson,
05:55
which was then the third-largest cigarette company in the United States,
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tada treću najveću kompaniju cigareta u Sjedinjenim Državama,
05:58
wrote the following:
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napisao je sledeće:
05:59
"Nicotine is addictive.
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„Nikotin stvara zavisnost.
Mi smo, prema tome, u poslu prodaje nikotina - droge koja izaziva zavisnost.“
06:01
We are, then, in the business of selling nicotine -- an addictive drug."
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06:05
It's a remarkable statement,
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To je izuzetna izjava,
06:06
as much for what it doesn't say as for what it does say.
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zbog onoga što ne kaže, kao i zbog onoga što kaže.
Nije rekao da se bave poslom sa cigaretama.
06:09
He didn't say they were in the cigarette business.
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Nije rekao da se bave poslom sa duvanom.
06:11
He didn't say they were in the tobacco business.
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Rekao je da su u poslu prodaje nikotina.
06:13
He said they were in the business of selling nicotine.
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06:17
Philip Morris in 1972:
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Filip Moris 1972. godine:
06:19
"The cigarette isn't a product,
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„Cigareta nije proizvod,
06:20
it's a package.
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to je pakovanje.
06:22
The product is nicotine.
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Proizvod je nikotin.
06:24
The pack is a storage container for a day's supply of nicotine.
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Pakla je kutija za skladištenje dnevne doze nikotina.
06:28
The cigarette, a dispenser for a dose unit of nicotine."
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Cigareta je sredstvo za dostavljanje doze nikotina.“
06:34
We'll come back to this dose unit notion later.
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Vratićemo se tom pojmu doze kasnije.
06:37
And R.J. Reynolds in 1972:
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R. Dž. Rejnolds 1972. godine:
06:39
"In a sense, the tobacco industry may be thought of as being a specialized,
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„Na neki način, duvanska industrija se može smatrati specijalizovanim,
06:43
highly ritualized and stylized segment of the pharmaceutical industry.
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vrlo ritualizovanim i stilizovanim segmentom farmaceutske industrije.
06:47
Tobacco products uniquely contain and deliver nicotine,
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Duvanski proizvodi na jedinstven način sadrže i oslobađaju nikotin,
06:50
a potent drug with a variety of physiological effects."
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snažnu drogu sa raznim fiziološkim efektima.“
06:53
At the time, and for many decades, publicly,
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U to vreme i decenijama pre je, u javnosti,
06:56
the industry completely denied addiction
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industrija u potpunosti negirala zavisnost
06:59
and completely denied causality.
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i sasvim poricala uzročnost.
07:02
But they knew the true nature of their business.
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Ali znali su pravu prirodu svog posla.
07:04
And from time to time,
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S vremena na vreme,
07:06
there have been health scares made public about cigarettes,
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u javnosti bi se javila zabrinutost u vezi sa uticajem cigareta na zdravlje,
07:09
going back many decades.
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mnogo decenija unazad.
07:11
How did the industry respond?
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Kako je industrija reagovala?
07:14
And how did they respond
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I kako su reagovali
07:15
in this historically unregulated marketplace?
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na ovom prethodno neregulisanom tržištu?
07:18
Going back to the 1930s,
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Ako se vratimo u 1930-e,
07:20
it was with advertising that heavily featured imagery of doctors
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odgovor su bile reklame sa vrlo istaknutim slikama doktora
07:26
and other health care professionals
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i drugih zdravstvenih radnika
07:27
sending messages of reassurance.
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koje su slale poruke razuveravanja.
07:30
This is an ad for Lucky Strikes,
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Ovo je reklama za Laki strajk,
07:32
the popular cigarette of the time in the '30s:
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popularne cigarete u to vreme, '30-ih godina.
07:34
[20,679 physicians say "Luckies are less irritating."
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[20 679 lekara kaže da „Laki manje iritira“.
07:39
Your throat protection against irritation, against cough.]
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Zaštita grla od iritacije, protiv kašlja.]
07:43
(Laughter)
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(Smeh)
07:46
We laugh,
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Smejemo se,
07:47
but this was the kind of advertising
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ali to je bilo reklamiranje
07:49
that was there to send a health message of reassurance.
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radi slanja poruke razuveravanja o posledicama po zdravlje.
07:52
Fast-forward to 1950s, '60s and '70s.
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Premotajmo film na 1950-e, '60-e i '70-e.
07:56
And here, again, in the absence of regulation,
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I ovde, opet, u nedostatku propisa,
07:59
what we're going to see is modifications to the product
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videćemo izmene proizvoda
08:01
and product design
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i dizajna proizvoda
08:03
to respond to the health concerns of the day.
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da bi odgovorio na tadašnje brige u vezi sa zdravljem.
08:07
This is the Kent Micronite filter.
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Ovo je filter Kent majkronajt.
08:11
And here, the innovation, if you will, was the filtered cigarette.
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A ovde je inovacija, može se reći, bila cigareta sa filterom.
08:16
[Full smoking pleasure ...
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[Potpuno pušačko zadovoljstvo...
08:18
plus proof of the greatest health protection ever.]
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plus dokazano najbolja zaštita za zdravlje do sada.]
08:22
What the smoker of this product didn't know,
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Ono što pušač ovog proizvoda nije znao,
08:25
what their doctor didn't know,
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ono što njegov doktor nije znao,
08:27
what the government didn't know,
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ono što vlada nije znala
08:29
is that this was a filter that was lined with asbestos --
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je da je ovaj filter bio obložen azbestom -
08:32
(Gasps)
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(Uzdah)
08:33
so that when smokers were smoking this filtered cigarette
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tako da kada su pušači pušili tu cigaretu sa filterom
08:36
and still inhaling the chemicals and smoke
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i i dalje udisali hemikalije i dim
08:39
that we know are associated with cancer and lung disease
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za koje znamo da su povezani sa rakom, bolestima pluća
08:42
and heart disease,
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i srčanim oboljenjima,
08:43
they were also sucking down asbestos fibers.
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takođe su usisavali vlakna azbesta.
08:46
(Gasps)
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(Uzdah)
08:48
In the 1960s and the 1970s,
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Tokom 1960-ih i 1970-ih,
08:50
the so-called innovation was the light cigarette.
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takozvana inovacija bila je „lajt“ cigareta.
08:55
This is a typical brand of the day called True.
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Ovo je tipičan tadašnji brend zvani True.
08:59
And this is after the Surgeon General's reports have started coming out.
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Ovo je nakon što su počeli da izlaze zvanični izveštaji o javnom zdravlju.
09:02
And you see the look of concern on her face.
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Vidite njen zabrinuti izraz lica.
09:05
[Considering all I'd heard,
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[S obzirom na sve što sam čula,
09:06
I decided to either quit or smoke True.
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rešila sam da ili prestanem da pušim, ili da pušim True.
09:09
I smoke True.]
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Pušim True.]
09:10
(Laughter)
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(Smeh)
09:12
[The low tar, low nicotine cigarette.]
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[Cigarete sa malom količinom katrana i nikotina.]
09:15
And then it says, "Think about it."
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A onda kaže: „Razmislite o tome.“
09:17
And then even below that in the small print
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Onda ispod toga sitnim slovima
09:20
are tar numbers and nicotine numbers.
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stoje brojke vezane za količinu katrana i nikotina.
09:24
What was a light cigarette?
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Šta su bile lajt cigarete?
09:27
How did it work?
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Kako je to funkcionisalo?
09:30
This is an illustration of the product modification
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Ovo je ilustracija izmene proizvoda
09:33
known as "filter ventilation."
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poznata kao „ventilacija filtera“.
Ovo nije uvećana slika pravog filtera.
09:36
That's not a real filter blown up.
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09:37
That's just a picture
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To je samo slika
09:39
so that you could see the rows of laser-perforated ventilation holes
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da možete da vidite linije laserski izbušenih otvora za ventilaciju
09:42
that were put on the filter.
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koji su stavljani na filter.
09:43
When you look at a real cigarette,
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Kada pogledate pravu cigaretu,
09:45
it's harder to see.
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to je teže videti.
09:46
Every patent for this product shows
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Svaki patent za ovaj proizvod pokazuje
09:48
that the ventilation holes should be 12 millimeters
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da ventilacioni otvori treba da budu 12 milimetara
09:52
from the lip end of the filter.
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od kraja filtera koji ide na usnu.
09:54
How did it work?
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Kako je to funkcionisalo?
09:56
The cigarette got stuck into a machine.
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Cigaretu bi zaboli u mašinu.
09:59
The machine started puffing away on the cigarette
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Mašina bi počela da povlači dim iz cigarete
10:02
and recording tar and nicotine levels.
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i da beleži nivo katrana i nikotina.
10:05
As the machine smoked,
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Dok bi mašina pušila,
10:06
outside air came through those ventilation holes
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spoljni vazduh bi prolazio kroz te ventilacione otvore
10:10
and diluted the amount of smoke that was coming through the cigarette.
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i razblaživao količinu dima koji je prolazio kroz cigaretu.
10:14
So as the machine smoked,
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Tako da, dok je mašina pušila,
10:16
there really was less tar and nicotine being delivered
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zaista je oslobađano manje katrana i nikotina
10:18
compared to a regular cigarette.
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u poređenju sa običnom cigaretom.
10:21
What the tobacco industry knew
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Duvanska industrija je ipak znala
10:23
was that human beings don't smoke like machines.
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da ljudska bića ne puše kao mašine.
10:27
How do human beings smoke this?
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Kako ljudi to rade?
10:30
Where do the fingers go?
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Gde idu prsti?
10:32
(Murmurs)
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(Mrmljanje)
10:33
Where do the lips go?
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Gde idu usne?
10:35
I told you that the patent said
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Rekao sam vam da patent nalaže
10:36
that the holes are 12 millimeters from the lip end.
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da otvori budu 12 milimetara od kraja za usnu.
10:40
The smoker didn't even know they were there,
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Pušači nisu ni znali da su tu,
10:42
but between fingers and lips, the holes get blocked.
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ali između prstiju i usana, otvori se blokiraju.
10:46
And when the holes get blocked, it's no longer a light cigarette.
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A kada se otvori blokiraju, to više nije lajt cigareta.
10:50
Turns out that there's actually
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Ispostavilo se da zapravo postoji
10:52
basically as much nicotine inside a light cigarette
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2706
praktično ista količina nikotina u lajt cigaretama
10:55
as a regular cigarette.
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1206
kao i u običnim.
10:56
The difference was what's on the outside.
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1966
Razlika je bila samo u onome što je spolja.
10:58
But once you block what's on the outside,
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Ali kada blokirate to što je spolja,
11:01
it's a regular cigarette.
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1547
to je obična cigareta.
11:04
Congress put FDA in the business of regulating tobacco products
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3011
Ovog juna će biti 10 godina otkad je Kongres
Upravi za hranu i lekove poverio regulisanje duvanskih proizvoda.
11:07
10 years ago this June.
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1475
11:09
So you heard the statistics at the beginning
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2325
Čuli ste na početku statističke podatke
11:11
about the extraordinary contribution to disease and death that cigarettes make.
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o neverovatnom doprinosu cigareta bolestima i smrtnom ishodu.
11:16
We've also been paying a lot of attention
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2028
Takođe smo dosta pažnje posvećivali
11:18
to how the cigarette works as a drug-delivery device
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3860
tome kako cigarete funkcionišu kao sredstvo snabdevanja drogom
11:22
and the remarkable efficiency with which it delivers nicotine.
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i izuzetnoj efikasnosti u dostavljanju nikotina.
11:26
So let's take a look.
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Pogledajmo kako to izgleda.
11:28
When the smoker puffs on the cigarette,
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Kada pušač povuče dim cigarete,
11:31
the nicotine from that puff gets up into the brain
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nikotin iz tog dima stiže do mozga
11:34
in less than 10 seconds.
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1809
za manje od 10 sekundi.
11:37
Less than 10 seconds.
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Manje od 10 sekundi.
11:39
Up in the brain,
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Gore u mozgu
11:41
there are these things called "nicotinic receptors."
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postoji nešto što se zove „nikotinski receptori“.
11:44
They're there ...
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Oni tamo...
11:46
waiting.
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1164
čekaju.
11:47
They're waiting for, in the words of that Philip Morris document,
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3262
Čekaju, prema rečima iz tog dokumenta Filipa Morisa,
11:51
the next "dose unit of nicotine."
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2066
sledeću „dozu nikotina“.
11:55
The smoker that you see outside,
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2666
Pušač kojeg viđate napolju,
11:57
huddled with other smokers,
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na gomili sa drugim pušačima,
11:59
in the cold,
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na hladnoći,
12:01
in the wind,
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na vetru,
12:02
in the rain,
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na kiši,
12:04
is experiencing craving
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doživljava snažnu želju za pušenjem
12:06
and may be experiencing the symptoms of withdrawal.
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i može prolaziti kroz apstinencijalne simptome.
12:10
Those symptoms of withdrawal are a chemical message
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Ti apstinencijalni simptomi su hemijska poruka
12:14
that these receptors are sending to the body,
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koju ti receptori šalju telu,
12:16
saying, "Feed me!"
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poručujući: „Nahrani me!“
12:20
And a product that can deliver the drug in less than 10 seconds
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Za proizvod koji može da dostavi drogu za manje od 10 sekundi
12:27
turns out to be an incredibly efficient and incredibly addictive product.
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ispostavilo se da je neverovatno efikasan i da neverovatno stvara zavisnost.
12:33
We've spoken to so many addiction treatment experts
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Razgovarali smo sa toliko stručnjaka za lečenje bolesti zavisnosti
12:36
over the years.
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proteklih godina.
12:38
And the story I hear is the same over and over again:
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3306
Priča koju slušam je uvek ista, iznova i iznova:
12:41
"Long after I was able to get somebody off of heroin
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„Mnogo nakon što uspem da nekog skinem sa heroina,
12:43
or cocaine or crack cocaine,
255
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2714
kokaina ili kreka,
12:46
I can't get them to quit cigarettes."
256
766629
2048
i dalje ne mogu da postignem da prestanu da puše cigarete.“
12:49
A large part of the explanation is the 10-second thing.
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3187
Veliki deo objašnjenja za to jeste ono što sam govorio o 10 sekundi.
12:54
FDA has it within its regulatory reach
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Uprava za hranu i lekove u cilju regulacije ima na raspolaganju
12:57
to use the tools of product regulation
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sredstva za regulisanje proizvoda
13:00
to render cigarettes as we know them minimally or nonaddictive.
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da bi postigla da cigarete kakve znamo
ne stvaraju ili minimalno stvaraju zavisnost.
13:06
We're working on this.
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Radimo na tome.
13:08
And this could have a profound impact at a population level
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4046
To bi moglo da ima ogroman uticaj na nivou populacije,
13:12
from this one policy.
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samo jedan takav propis.
Pre godinu dana smo sproveli dinamično modeliranje na nivou populacije,
13:14
We did dynamic population-level modeling a year ago,
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13:16
and we published the results in "The New England Journal."
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2734
i objavili smo rezultate u „Časopisu Nove Engleske“.
13:19
And because of the generational effect of this policy,
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Zbog generacijskog dejstva ove strategije,
13:21
which I'll explain in a minute,
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što ću objasniti za minut,
13:23
here's what we project out through the end of the century:
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evo šta predviđamo do kraja veka:
13:26
more than 33 million people
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više od 33 miliona ljudi
13:27
who would otherwise have gone on to become regular smokers won't,
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3682
koji bi inače bili svakodnevni pušači to neće postati,
13:31
because the cigarette that they'll be experimenting with
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jer cigarete sa kojima će eksperimentisati
13:34
can't create or sustain addiction.
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neće stvarati i održavati zavisnost.
13:36
This would drive the adult smoking rate down to less than one and a half percent.
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To bi smanjilo stopu pušenja kod odraslih na manje od jednog i po procenta.
13:41
And these two things combined
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Te dve svari zajedno
13:44
would result in the saving of more than eight million cigarette-related deaths
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5484
bi kao rezultat imale sprečavanje
više od osam miliona smrti povezanih sa pušenjem
13:49
that would otherwise have occurred
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koje bi se inače dogodile
13:51
from the generational impact of this.
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2023
usled generacijskog uticaja ovoga.
13:53
Now, why am I saying "generational"?
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Zašto kažem „generacijskog“?
13:57
It's about kids.
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Radi se o deci.
14:00
Ninety percent of adult smokers started smoking when they were kids.
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Devedeset posto odraslih pušača počelo je da puši kada su bili deca.
14:04
Half of them became regular smokers
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Polovina njih postanu stalni pušači
14:06
before they were legally old enough to buy a pack of cigarettes.
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pre nego što dostignu starost da zakonski mogu da kupe paklu cigareta.
14:10
Half of them became regular smokers before they were 18 years old.
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Polovina njih postanu pušači pre nego što napune 18 godina.
14:13
Experimentation.
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1150
Eksperimentisanje.
14:15
Regular smoking.
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1150
Svakodnevno pušenje.
14:16
Addiction.
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1150
Zavisnost.
14:18
Decades of smoking.
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1341
Decenije pušenja.
14:19
And then the illness,
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1603
I zatim sledi bolest,
14:21
and that's why we're talking about a product
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2147
i zato govorimo o proizvodu
14:23
that will kill half of all long-term users prematurely later in life.
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koji će kasnije u životu prevremeno ubiti polovinu dugoročnih korisnika.
14:28
The generational impact of this nicotine-reduction policy
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3306
Generacijski uticaj ove strategije smanjenja nikotina
14:32
is profound.
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1324
je ogroman.
14:34
Those old industry documents had a word for young people.
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2925
U tim starim dokumentima industrije postojao je termin za mlade.
14:38
They were described as "the replacement smokers."
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Opisivani su kao „zamenski pušači“.
14:42
The replacement smokers for addicted adult smokers
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2365
Zamenski pušači za odrasle pušače zavisnike
14:44
who died or quit.
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koji su umrli ili prestali da puše.
14:46
Future generations of kids, especially teens,
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3770
Buduće generacije dece, a naročito tinejdžeri,
14:50
are going to engage in risky behavior.
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1968
ulaziće u rizične aktivnosti.
14:52
We can't stop that.
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1267
To ne možemo da zaustavimo.
14:54
But what if the only cigarette that they could get their hands on
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4001
Ali šta bi bilo kada jedine cigarete kojih bi mogli da se domognu
14:58
could no longer create or sustain addiction?
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2289
ne bi više mogle da stvore i održavaju zavisnost?
15:00
That's the public health return on investment
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2611
To je povraćaj ulaganja javnog zdravlja
15:03
at a population level over time.
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2412
koji se vremenom ostvaruje na nivou stanovništva.
15:07
Haven't said anything about e-cigarettes.
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2064
Ništa nisam rekao o elektronskim cigaretama.
15:09
But I have to say something about e-cigarettes.
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2206
Ali moram da kažem nešto o elektronskim cigaretama.
15:11
(Laughter)
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1017
(Smeh)
15:12
We are dealing with an epidemic of kids' use of e-cigarettes.
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Suočavamo se sa epidemijom upotrebe elektronskih cigareta kod dece.
15:15
And what troubles us the most,
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2159
Ono što nas najviše od svega muči,
15:17
in combination with the rising numbers when it comes to prevalence,
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4381
u kombinaciji sa povećanjem brojeva kada se radi o rasprostranjenost,
15:22
is frequency.
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1404
je učestalost.
15:23
Not only are more kids using e-cigarettes,
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2329
Ne samo da sve više dece koristi elektronske cigarete,
15:26
but more kids are using e-cigarettes 20 or more days in the past 30 days
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4080
već više dece koristi elektronske cigarete 20 ili više dana u mesecu
15:30
than at any time since e-cigarettes came onto the market.
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2777
otkad su se elektronske cigarete pojavile na tržištu.
15:32
And at FDA, we're doing everything that we can
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2222
U Upravi za hranu i lekove činimo sve što možemo
15:35
using program and policy,
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1258
koristeći program i zakone,
15:36
first to get the word out to kids
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1619
najpre da bismo doprli do dece
15:38
that this is not a harmless product
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2071
sa porukom da to nije bezopasan proizvod,
15:40
and to make sure that kids aren't initiating and experimenting
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2935
i da bismo se postarali da deca ne započinju eksperimentisanje
15:43
on any tobacco product,
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1160
sa duvanskim proizvodima, bilo da je sagorevanje tu prisutno ili ne.
15:44
whether combustion is present or not.
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1880
15:46
But think about e-cigarettes in a properly regulated marketplace
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3121
Ali razmislite o elektronskim cigaretama na pravilno regulisanom tržištu
15:49
as something that could be of benefit
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1923
kao o nečemu što bi moglo koristiti
15:51
to addicted adult cigarette smokers
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2120
odraslim pušačima zavisnim od cigareta
15:53
who are trying to transition away from cigarettes.
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koji pokušavaju da tako ostvare prelaz.
15:56
So, I'll leave you with this vision:
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956185
3531
Zaključiću ovom vizijom:
16:01
imagine a world
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1651
zamislite svet
16:04
where the only cigarette that future generations of kids
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2672
u kome jedine cigarete sa kojima bi buduće generacije dece
16:06
could experiment with
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1161
mogle da eksperimentišu
16:07
could no longer create or sustain addiction
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2238
ne bi više mogle da stvaraju niti održavaju zavisnot
16:10
because of a single policy.
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1737
zbog jednog jedinog propisa.
16:12
Imagine a world
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1178
Zamislite svet
16:14
where health-concerned cigarette smokers,
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2686
u kome bi pušači zabrinuti za zdravlje,
16:17
especially if a policy goes into effect
333
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2896
naročito ako stupi na snagu propis koji smanjuje nikotina na nivo
16:20
that takes the nicotine levels down to minimally or nonaddictive levels,
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3604
koji ne stvara ili minimalno stvara zavisnost,
16:23
could transition to alternative and less harmful forms
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2542
mogli da pređu na alternativne i manje štetne oblike
16:26
of nicotine delivery,
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1315
snabdevanja nikotinom,
16:27
starting with FDA-approved nicotine medications,
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2253
počevši od nikotinskih lekova odobrenih od strane Uprave,
16:29
like the gum, patch and lozenge.
338
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1937
kao što su žvake, flasteri i pastile.
16:32
And finally,
339
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1191
I najzad,
16:33
imagine a world and a properly regulated marketplace,
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2849
zamislite u svetu valjano regulisano tržište gde,
16:36
whether it's e-cigarettes or whatever the technology of the day,
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3214
bilo da se radi o elektronskim cigaretama ili koja god da je to nova tehnologija,
16:40
it's not the product developers and the marketers
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2301
nisu pronalazači proizvoda i prodavci
16:42
who decide which products come to market
343
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1945
ti koji odlučuju koji proizvodi stupaju na tržište i šta se tvrdi o njima,
16:44
and what claims get made for them,
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1809
16:46
it's review scientists at FDA,
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2872
već su to naučnici Uprave zaduženi za kontrolu,
16:49
who look at applications
346
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1580
koji pregledaju prijave i odlučuju,
16:50
and decide, using the standard that Congress has entrusted us
347
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3674
koristeći pri tome standarde koja nam je Kongres poverio
16:54
to implement and enforce,
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2055
da ih sprovodimo i primenjujemo,
16:56
whether a particular product should come to market,
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2833
o tome da li određeni proizvod treba da se pojavi na tržištu,
16:59
because the marketing of that product and the words of our law
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da bi marketing tog proizvoda i slova naših zakona
17:02
would be appropriate for the protection of the public health.
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3172
bili prikladni za zaštitu javnog zdravlja.
17:06
These are the kinds of powerful regulatory tools
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2305
To su moćna regulatorna sredstva
17:08
that are within our reach
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2988
koja su nam unutar dometa
17:11
to deal with what remains
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1376
za borbu sa onim što je još uvek vodeći uzrok
17:13
the leading cause of completely preventable disease and death
355
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3253
sasvim sprečivih bolesti i smrtnih slučajeva u zemlji.
17:16
in the country.
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1159
17:17
If we get this right,
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1267
Ako ovo uradimo ako treba,
17:19
that trajectory, those 5.6 million kids,
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1039657
4589
ona putanja, onih 5,6 miliona dece,
17:24
is breakable.
359
1044270
1341
može se narušiti.
17:25
Thank you.
360
1045635
1151
Hvala.
17:26
(Applause)
361
1046810
2713
(Aplauz)
About this website

This site will introduce you to YouTube videos that are useful for learning English. You will see English lessons taught by top-notch teachers from around the world. Double-click on the English subtitles displayed on each video page to play the video from there. The subtitles scroll in sync with the video playback. If you have any comments or requests, please contact us using this contact form.

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