The case for having kids | Wajahat Ali

133,784 views ใƒป 2019-05-31

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์•„๋ž˜ ์˜๋ฌธ์ž๋ง‰์„ ๋”๋ธ”ํด๋ฆญํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์˜์ƒ์ด ์žฌ์ƒ๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฒˆ์—ญ: Lim Taeyoung ๊ฒ€ํ† : Jihyeon J. Kim
00:12
I'm an exhausted dad.
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์ €๋Š” ์œก์•„์— ์ง€์นœ ์•„๋น ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
00:15
Currently owned and dominated by two mini dictators,
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ํ•˜๊ธฐ์Šค ๊ธฐ์ €๊ท€๋ฅผ ์ž…์€ ๋‘ ๋ช…์˜ ์ž‘์€ ๋…์žฌ์ž๋“ค์ด
00:19
who rule my life with an iron fist while wearing their Huggies diapers.
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์ œ ์‚ถ์„ ์™„์ „ํžˆ ์ง€๋ฐฐํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์ฃ .
00:23
(Laughter)
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(์›ƒ์Œ)
00:24
Now probably because I've been drowning in small people lately,
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์ œ๊ฐ€ ์š”์ƒˆ ๊ทธ ์ž‘์€ ๋…์žฌ์ž๋“ค์— ๋‘˜๋Ÿฌ์‹ธ์—ฌ ์‚ด์•„์„œ ๊ทธ๋Ÿฐ์ง€
00:28
I've been paying close attention to a particular headline.
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์–ด๋–ค ํŠน์ • ๊ธฐ์‚ฌ ์ œ๋ชฉ์— ๊ด€์‹ฌ์„ ๊ฐ–๊ฒŒ ๋˜์—ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
00:31
It seems around the world, in developed countries,
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์ „์„ธ๊ณ„์™€ ์„ ์ง„๊ตญ์˜ ์ถœ์ƒ๋ฅ ์ด
00:33
people are having fewer babies.
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๊ฐ์†Œํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ ๊ฐ™์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
00:36
From North America to Europe to China to Japan,
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๋ถ๋ฏธ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ์œ ๋Ÿฝ๊ณผ ์ค‘๊ตญ, ๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ์ผ๋ณธ๊นŒ์ง€
00:39
there's actually been a consistent decline in birth rates.
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์ถœ์ƒ๋ฅ ์€ ๊ณ„์†ํ•ด์„œ ๊ฐ์†Œํ•ด์™”์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
00:43
In fact, over the past 50 years,
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์‚ฌ์‹ค ์ง€๋‚œ 50๋…„ ๋™์•ˆ,
00:45
the global fertility rate has halved.
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์ „์„ธ๊ณ„ ์ถœ์ƒ๋ฅ ์€ ์ ˆ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ์ค„์—ˆ์ฃ .
00:50
What the heck is going on?
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๋Œ€์ฒด ๋ฌด์Šจ ์ผ์ด ์ผ์–ด๋‚˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋Š” ๊ฑธ๊นŒ์š”?
00:52
Now, my friends who don't want kids,
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์•„์ด๋ฅผ ๋‚ณ๋Š” ๊ฑธ ์›์น˜ ์•Š๋Š” ์ œ ์นœ๊ตฌ๋“ค์€
00:54
all point to climate change as a reason for never having babies.
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์ด์ œ ๊ธฐํ›„๋ณ€ํ™” ํƒ“์„ ํ•ด์š”.
00:57
And many of you are sitting there right now, saying,
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ์—ฌ๊ธฐ ๊ณ„์‹  ์—ฌ๋Ÿฌ๋ถ„์˜ ๋Œ€๋‹ค์ˆ˜๊ฐ€
01:00
"Waj, there's also overpopulation,
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โ€œ์™€์ฆˆ, ์•„์ง๋„ ์ธ๊ตฌ๊ฐ€ ๊ณผ์ž‰์ด๊ณ 
01:02
there's also high birth rates,
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์ถœ์ƒ๋ฅ ๋„ ๋†’์€
01:05
which still exist in many African and Middle Eastern countries,
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์•„ํ”„๋ฆฌ์นด์™€ ์ค‘๋™์˜ ์—ฌ๋Ÿฌ ๋‚˜๋ผ๋“ค์˜ ์ƒํ™ฉ๋„ ์žˆ๊ณ ,
01:08
there's also orphan kids who still need parents,
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๋ถ€๋ชจ๊ฐ€ ํ•„์š”ํ•œ ๊ณ ์•„๋“ค๋„ ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ,
01:10
there's also a lack of resources to go around for everyone,
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๋ชจ๋“  ์‚ฌ๋žŒ๋“ค์—๊ฒŒ ๋ถ„๋ฐฐ๋˜๊ธฐ์—” ๋ถ€์กฑํ•œ ์ž์› ๋ฌธ์ œ๋„ ์žˆ์ฃ .
01:13
and oh, by the way,
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๊ฒŒ๋‹ค๊ฐ€
01:14
we have a ginormous carbon footprint that is destroying this planet.
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์ง€๊ตฌ๋ฅผ ๋ง๊ฐ€๋œจ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ๊ฑฐ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์–‘์˜ ํƒ„์†Œ ๋ฐœ์ž๊ตญ ๋ฌธ์ œ๋„ ์žˆ์ฃ .โ€๋ผ๊ณ  ๋งํ•˜๊ฒ ์ฃ .
01:19
I hear you, I hear you.
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์•Œ์ฃ . ์•Œ์•„์š”.
01:21
And yet, despite all this chaos,
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๊ทธ๋Ÿฌ๋‚˜ ์ด ๋ชจ๋“  ํ˜ผ๋ž€์—๋„ ๋ถˆ๊ตฌํ•˜๊ณ ,
01:25
I still think we should have babies.
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์ €๋Š” ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ์šฐ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ์ž๋…€๋ฅผ ๋‚ณ์•„์•ผ ํ•œ๋‹ค๊ณ  ์ƒ๊ฐํ•ด์š”.
01:28
I believe we can and should fight for the earth and humanity,
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์ €๋Š” ์šฐ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ์ง€๊ตฌ์™€ ์ธ๋ฅ˜๋ฅผ ์œ„ํ•ด ์‹ธ์šธ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๊ณ , ์‹ธ์›Œ์•ผ๋งŒ ํ•œ๋‹ค๊ณ  ์ƒ๊ฐํ•ด์š”.
01:32
side by side.
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ํ•จ๊ป˜ ๋ง์ด์ฃ .
01:34
Now, if I could take it personal for a second,
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์ด๊ฑธ ๊ฐœ์ธ์ ์ธ ๋ฌธ์ œ๋กœ ์ž ์‹œ ์ƒ๊ฐํ•ด๋ณธ๋‹ค๋ฉด,
01:36
I get it, I get why some of you might be skeptical about having babies.
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์™œ ์—ฌ๋Ÿฌ๋ถ„์ด ์ž๋…€๋ฅผ ๋‚ณ๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์— ๋Œ€ํ•ด ํšŒ์˜์ ์ด์‹ ์ง€ ์ดํ•ดํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์–ด์š”.
01:40
Here's a photo of my wife and me before we had kids.
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์ด ์‚ฌ์ง„์€ ์•„์ด๋“ค์„ ๊ฐ–๊ธฐ ์ „์˜ ์•„๋‚ด์™€ ์ €์˜ ๋ชจ์Šต์ด์—์š”
01:44
Young, happy, fresh.
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์ Š๊ณ , ํ–‰๋ณตํ•ด ๋ณด์ด๊ณ , ์ƒ๊ธฐ ์žˆ์ฃ .
01:48
(Laughter)
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(์›ƒ์Œ)
01:49
Here's a photo of me after having kids.
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์ด๊ฑด ์•„์ด๋ฅผ ๊ฐ–๊ณ  ๋‚˜์„œ์˜ ์ œ ๋ชจ์Šต์ด์—์š”.
01:52
A broken, defeated husk of a man.
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๋ง๊ฐ€์ง€๊ณ  ๋ฌด๋„ˆ์ ธ์„œ ๊ป๋ฐ๊ธฐ๋งŒ ๋‚จ์•˜์ฃ .
01:55
(Laughter)
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(์›ƒ์Œ)
01:56
Here's the photo of the car I thought I'd be driving as an adult.
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์ด ์ฐจ๋Š” ์ œ๊ฐ€ ์–ด๋ฅธ์ด ๋˜๋ฉด ์šด์ „ํ•  ๊ฒƒ์ด๋ผ ์ƒ๊ฐํ–ˆ๋˜ ์ฐจ์—์š”.
02:01
A Porsche.
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ํฌ๋ฅด์…ฐ์ฃ .
02:03
Here's what I actually drive.
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ์ด๊ฑด ์ œ๊ฐ€ ์‹ค์ œ๋กœ ๋ชจ๋Š” ์ฐจ์˜ˆ์š”.
02:07
A Honda Odyssey minivan.
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ํ˜ผ๋‹ค ์˜ค๋”ง์„ธ์ด ๋ฏธ๋‹ˆ๋ฐด์ด์ฃ .
02:11
(Laughter)
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(์›ƒ์Œ)
02:12
(Applause)
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(๋ฐ•์ˆ˜)
02:13
For the minivan.
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๋ฏธ๋‹ˆ๋ฐด์„ ์œ„ํ•˜์—ฌ!
02:15
Where there was once hope, now there is convenient space,
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ํฌ๋ง์ด ์žˆ๋˜ ๊ณณ์—, ์ด์ œ๋Š” ํŽธ๋ฆฌํ•œ ๊ณต๊ฐ„๊ณผ
02:18
and good mileage, good mileage.
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์•„์ฃผ ์•„์ฃผ ์ข‹์€ ์—ฐ๋น„๊ฐ€ ์žˆ์ฃ .
02:21
Now, I just want to stress
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์ด์ œ, ์ €๋Š”
02:24
that I'm completely aware of the very dire threats
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์ง€๊ตฌ ์˜จ๋‚œํ™”์™€ ๊ธฐํ›„ ๋ณ€ํ™”์˜ ์—„์ฒญ๋‚œ ์œ„ํ˜‘์„
02:29
of global warming and climate change.
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์™„์ „ํžˆ ์ธ์ง€ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ๊ฐ•์กฐํ•˜๊ณ  ์‹ถ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
02:31
I just want to acknowledge that choosing to have babies
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์ž๋…€๋ฅผ ๋‚ณ๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์€
02:34
is a deeply, profoundly personal choice.
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๋งค์šฐ, ์ง€๊ทนํžˆ ๊ฐœ์ธ์ ์ธ ์„ ํƒ์ž„์„ ์ธ์ •ํ•˜๊ณ  ์‹ถ์–ด์š”.
02:37
And that many who want to are unable.
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ์•„์ด ๋‚ณ๊ธฐ๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜๋Š” ๋งŽ์€ ์‚ฌ๋žŒ๋“ค์—๊ฒŒ ๊ทธ๊ฒƒ์ด ๋ถˆ๊ฐ€๋Šฅํ•œ ์ผ์ด๋ผ๋Š” ๊ฒƒ๋„์š”.
02:40
But just for today, let's examine the flip side of the coin.
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ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ ์˜ค๋Š˜๋งŒ์€ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ๋ฉด์„ ๋ณด๊ณ ์ž ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
02:43
At how not having enough new people
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์ธ๊ตฌ ์ˆ˜๊ฐ€ ์ถฉ๋ถ„ํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š๋‹ค๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์ด
02:46
is going to be a major problem moving forward.
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์šฐ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ๋ฐœ์ „ํ•˜๋Š”๋ฐ ์žˆ์–ด์„œ ์–ด๋–ป๊ฒŒ ํฐ ๋ฌธ์ œ๊ฐ€ ๋˜๋Š”์ง€์— ๋Œ€ํ•ด์„œ ๋ง์ด์ฃ .
02:49
According to the World Health Organization,
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์„ธ๊ณ„ ๋ณด๊ฑด ๊ธฐ๊ตฌ์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด,
02:51
we need to average about 2.1 children per woman today
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ํ•œ ๋ช…์˜ ์—ฌ์„ฑ์ด ํ‰๊ท  2.1๋ช…์˜ ์ž๋…€๋ฅผ ๋‚ณ์•„์•ผ ํ•œ๋‹ค๊ณ  ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
02:54
just so we have enough people to replace the previous generation.
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์ด์ „ ์„ธ๋Œ€ ์ธ๊ตฌ๋ฅผ ์ถฉ๋ถ„ํžˆ ๋Œ€์ฒดํ•˜๋ ค๋ฉด ๋ง์ด์ฃ .
02:58
A lot of you thought overpopulation was going to be a problem in 100 years --
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๋งŽ์€ ๋ถ„๋“ค์ด 100๋…„์•ˆ์— ๊ณผ์ž‰ ์ธ๊ตฌ๋กœ ์ธํ•ด ๋ฌธ์ œ๊ฐ€ ์ƒ๊ธธ ๊ฑฐ๋ผ๊ณ  ์ƒ๊ฐํ•˜์…จ๊ฒ ์ง€๋งŒ,
03:01
yeah, it might be underpopulation.
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๋ฌธ์ œ์˜ ์›์ธ์€ ์ €์ถœ์‚ฐ์ด ๋  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ๋ณด์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
03:03
So a question:
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์—ฌ๊ธฐ์„œ ์งˆ๋ฌธ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
03:04
what happens if that number dips below 2.1?
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๋งŒ์•ฝ ์ถœ์ƒ๋ฅ ์ด 2.1๋ช… ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋–จ์–ด์ง„๋‹ค๋ฉด ์–ด๋–ป๊ฒŒ ๋ ๊นŒ์š”?
03:08
There's going to be a domino effect.
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์—ฐ์‡„ ํšจ๊ณผ๊ฐ€ ์ผ์–ด๋‚  ๊ฑฐ์˜ˆ์š”.
03:10
As all of us get older, and live longer,
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์ €ํฌ ๋ชจ๋‘๊ฐ€ ๋‚˜์ด๋ฅผ ๋จน๊ณ , ๋” ์˜ค๋ž˜ ์‚ฐ๋‹ค๋ฉด,
03:13
there's going to be a shrinking younger population,
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์ Š์€ ์„ธ๋Œ€๋Š” ์ค„์–ด๋“ค ๊ฒƒ์ด๊ณ ,
03:16
which is going to lead to rising labor shortages
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์ด๋ ‡๊ฒŒ ๋˜๋ฉด ๋…ธ๋™๋ ฅ ๋ถ€์กฑ ๋ฌธ์ œ๊ฐ€ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ•  ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
03:18
in the world's biggest economies.
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์—ฌ๋Ÿฌ ๊ฒฝ์ œ ๋Œ€๊ตญ๋“ค์—์„œ ๋ง์ด์ฃ .
03:19
I'm talking about United States, China, Japan, Germany.
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์—ฌ๊ธฐ์„œ ๊ฒฝ์ œ๋Œ€๊ตญ๋“ค์ด๋ž€ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ, ์ค‘๊ตญ, ์ผ๋ณธ, ๋…์ผ์„ ๋งํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
03:22
Fewer younger working people means less tax revenue.
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๋…ธ๋™ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅํ•œ ์ Š์€ ์ธ๊ตฌ๊ฐ€ ์ค„์–ด๋“ ๋‹ค๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์€ ์„ธ๊ธˆ ์ˆ˜์ž…๋„ ์ค„์–ด๋“ฆ์„ ์˜๋ฏธํ•˜์ฃ .
03:25
Less tax revenue means less money and resources
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์„ธ์ˆ˜ ๊ฐ์†Œ๋Š” ์šฐ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ๋ฏธ๋ž˜์— ์˜์ง€ํ•  ์‚ฌํšŒ ์•ˆ์ „๋ง ํ”„๋กœ๊ทธ๋žจ์— ํˆฌ์ž…๋ 
03:28
to go to safety net programs that all of us are going to depend upon.
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๋ˆ๊ณผ ์ž์› ์—ญ์‹œ ์ค„์–ด๋“ค ๊ฒƒ์„ ๋œปํ•˜์ฃ .
03:31
I'm talking about pensions and health care.
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์—ฐ๊ธˆ๊ณผ ์˜๋ฃŒ ์„œ๋น„์Šค ๋ง์ด์—์š”.
03:34
It seems every generation is indeed connected.
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๋ชจ๋“  ์„ธ๋Œ€๊ฐ€ ์ด ๋ฌธ์ œ์™€ ์—ฐ๊ด€๋˜์–ด ์žˆ๋Š” ๊ฒƒ ๊ฐ™์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
03:38
But how the heck did we get here in the first place?
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๊ทธ๋Ÿฐ๋ฐ ์šฐ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ์• ์ดˆ์— ์–ด๋–ค ๋ฌธ์ œ๋กœ ์ธํ•ด ์ด๋ ‡๊ฒŒ ๋œ ๊ฑธ๊นŒ์š”?
03:41
Well, in some cases, it was intentional.
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์–ด๋–ค ์ผ€์ด์Šค๋“ค์€ ์˜๋„์ ์ด์—ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
03:44
Let's take the DeLorean to simpler times.
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๋”œ๋กœ๋ฆฌ์•ˆ์„ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ๋กœ ๋ฐ๋ ค๊ฐ€๋ณผ๊ฒŒ์š”.
03:48
Let's stop in China.
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๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ์ค‘๊ตญ์—์„œ ๋ฉˆ์ถฐ๋ณด๋„๋ก ํ•˜์ฃ .
03:50
Somewhere between the death of disco and "Empire Strikes Back" -- 1980.
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1980๋…„ ๋””์Šค์ฝ”์˜ ์ข…๋ง๊ณผ "์ œ๊ตญ์˜ ์—ญ์Šต"์ด ๊ฐœ๋ด‰ํ•œ ์‹œ์  ๊ทธ ์‚ฌ์ด ์–ด๋””์ฏค์ผ๊ฑฐ์—์š”.
03:55
In 1980, China decided to implement the one-child policy,
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1980๋…„์— ์ค‘๊ตญ์€ ํ•œ ์ž๋…€ ์ •์ฑ…์„ ์‹œํ–‰ํ•˜๊ธฐ๋กœ ๊ฒฐ์ •ํ–ˆ๊ณ ,
04:00
largely limiting most parents to having just one kid
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๋Œ€๋ถ€๋ถ„์˜ ๋ถ€๋ชจ๋“ค์ด ํ•œ ๋ช…์˜ ์ž์‹๋งŒ ๋‚ณ๋„๋ก ์ œํ•œํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
04:02
to combat overpopulation.
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๊ณผ์ž‰ ์ธ๊ตฌ ๋ฌธ์ œ๋ฅผ ํ•ด๊ฒฐํ•˜๊ธฐ ์œ„ํ•ด์„œ ๋ง์ด์ฃ .
04:04
Check out some good old-fashioned Chinese propaganda, lovely.
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์ค‘๊ตญ์ด ํ–ˆ๋˜ ๋ฉ‹์ง„ ๊ตฌ์‹ ์„ ์ „ ํ™œ๋™๋“ค์„ ์ข€ ์‚ดํŽด๋ณด์„ธ์š”. ๋ฉ‹์ ธ์š”.
04:07
Now, fast-forward to 2019.
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์ด์ œ ๋นจ๋ฆฌ ๊ฐ๊ธฐ๋กœ 2019๋…„์œผ๋กœ ์™€๋ณผ๊ฒŒ์š”.
04:10
Even after ending its one-child policy in 2015,
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์ค‘๊ตญ์€ 2015๋…„์— ํ•œ ์ž๋…€ ์ •์ฑ…์„ ํ์ง€ํ–ˆ์Œ์—๋„ ๋ถˆ๊ตฌํ•˜๊ณ ,
04:13
China's birth rates have largely declined.
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์ถœ์ƒ๋ฅ ์€ ํฌ๊ฒŒ ๊ฐ์†Œํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
04:16
In fact, the falling population in China
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์ค‘๊ตญ์€ ์ธ๊ตฌ ๊ฐ์†Œ๋กœ ์ธํ•ด
04:18
is removing one of its biggest drivers of growth -- people.
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๊ทธ๋“ค์ด ์„ฑ์žฅํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์—ˆ๋˜ ๊ฐ€์žฅ ํฐ ์š”์†Œ ์ค‘ ํ•˜๋‚˜๋ฅผ ์žƒ์—ˆ์–ด์š”. ๋ฐ”๋กœ ์‚ฌ๋žŒ์ด์ฃ .
04:22
If trends continue,
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์ด๋Ÿฐ ํ˜„์ƒ์ด ์ง€์†๋œ๋‹ค๋ฉด,
04:24
China's population is actually going to peak in 2029,
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์ค‘๊ตญ์˜ ์ธ๊ตฌ๋Š” 2029๋…„์— ์ •์ ์„ ์ฐ์„ ๊ฒ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
04:27
before entering "unstoppable decline."
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"๋ถˆ๊ฐ€ํ”ผํ•œ ์ธ๊ตฌ ๊ฐ์†Œ"์— ์ง„์ž…ํ•˜๊ธฐ ์ „์— ๋ง์ด์ฃ .
04:31
China's government is so freaked out right now
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์ค‘๊ตญ ์ •๋ถ€๋Š” ๋„ˆ๋ฌด ๋†€๋ž€ ๋‚˜๋จธ์ง€
04:34
that it's actually doing new propaganda --
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๋ฐ”๋กœ ์ƒˆ ์„ ์ „ ํ™œ๋™์„ ์‹œ์ž‘ํ–ˆ์–ด์š”.
04:36
it's begging couples to have children for the country.
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์ด์   ์ปคํ”Œ๋“ค์—๊ฒŒ ๊ตญ๊ฐ€๋ฅผ ์œ„ํ•ด ์ž๋…€๋ฅผ ๋‚ณ์•„ ๋‹ฌ๋ผ ์‚ฌ์ •ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์ฃ .
04:40
Let's take the DeLorean and hop over to Japan,
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์ด์ œ ๋ธ๋กœ๋ฆฌ์•ˆ์„ ์ €์˜ ์• ๋งˆ ํ˜ผ๋‹ค ์˜ค๋”ง์„ธ์ด ๋ฏธ๋‹ˆ๋ฐด์˜ ๋‚˜๋ผ์ธ
04:42
home of my beloved Honda Odyssey minivan.
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์ผ๋ณธ์œผ๋กœ ๋ฐ๋ ค๊ฐ€ ๋ณผ๊ฒŒ์š”.
04:45
(Laughter)
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(์›ƒ์Œ)
04:47
Japan is now producing more adult diapers than infant ones.
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ํ˜„์žฌ ์ผ๋ณธ์€ ์œ ์•„์šฉ ๊ธฐ์ €๊ท€๋ณด๋‹ค ์„ฑ์ธ์šฉ ๊ธฐ์ €๊ท€๋ฅผ ๋” ๋งŽ์ด ์ƒ์‚ฐํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์–ด์š”.
04:55
The number of kids in Japan has fallen for the 37th straight year.
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์ผ๋ณธ์˜ ์•„๋™ ์ˆ˜๋Š” 37๋…„์งธ ๊ณ„์†ํ•ด์„œ ๊ฐ์†Œํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์ฃ .
05:00
And unlike other countries,
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๋‹ค๋ฅธ ๋‚˜๋ผ๋“ค๊ณผ๋Š” ๋‹ค๋ฅด๊ฒŒ,
05:01
it has not been able to replace its population numbers
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์ผ๋ณธ์€ ์ด์ฃผ ๋…ธ๋™์ž๋“ค๋กœ
05:04
through immigrant workers.
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์ธ๊ตฌ ์ˆ˜๋ฅผ ๋Œ€์ฒดํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์—†์—ˆ์–ด์š”.
05:06
There will be labor shortages
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๊ทธ๋“ค์€ ๋…ธ๋™๋ ฅ ๋ถ€์กฑ์„ ๊ฒช๊ฒŒ ๋  ๊ฒƒ์ด๊ณ ,
05:07
and not enough money to fund the safety-net programs.
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์‚ฌํšŒ ์•ˆ์ „๋ง ํ”„๋กœ๊ทธ๋žจ์„ ์œ ์ง€ํ• ๋งŒํ•œ ์ž๊ธˆ์ด ์ถฉ๋ถ„ํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š๊ฒŒ ๋  ๊ฑฐ์˜ˆ์š”.
05:10
Now, Japan has introduced two solutions.
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์ผ๋ณธ์€ ๋‘ ๊ฐ€์ง€ ๋ฐฉ์•ˆ์„ ๋„์ž…ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
05:12
First, a financial incentive.
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์ฒซ ๋ฒˆ์งธ๋Š” ์žฅ๋ ค๊ธˆ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
05:15
Some local governments in Japan have offered couples money to have babies,
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์ผ๋ณธ์˜ ๋ช‡๋ช‡ ์ง€๋ฐฉ ์ •๋ถ€๋“ค์€ ์ปคํ”Œ๋“ค์—๊ฒŒ ์ž๋…€๋ฅผ ๋‚ณ์œผ๋ฉด ์žฅ๋ ค๊ธˆ์„ ์ œ๊ณตํ•˜๊ณ ,
05:20
with the money increasing with each additional child being born.
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ํ•œ ๋ช… ๋” ๋‚ณ์„ ๋•Œ๋งˆ๋‹ค ์žฅ๋ ค๊ธˆ์„ ์ถ”๊ฐ€ ์ง€๊ธ‰ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
05:23
This actually worked for one year in 2014 in this town called Ama.
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์‹ค์ œ๋กœ 2014๋…„์— ์•„๋งˆ๋ผ๋Š” ๋งˆ์„์—์„œ ํ•œ ํ•ด ๋™์•ˆ ์ด ์ •์ฑ…์€ ํšจ๊ณผ๋ฅผ ๋ฐœํœ˜ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
05:27
It actually raised the birth rate from about 1.66 kids per woman to 1.8.
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์ด ์ •์ฑ…์œผ๋กœ ์ถœ์ƒ๋ฅ ์€ 1.66์—์„œ 1.8๋กœ ์˜ฌ๋ž์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
05:32
But it did not gain traction across Japan.
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ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ ์ผ๋ณธ ์ „์ฒด์— ํ†ตํ•˜์ง„ ์•Š์•˜์ฃ .
05:35
In 2018, a leader of Japan's ruling party tried a new tack.
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2018๋…„์— ์ผ๋ณธ ์—ฌ๋‹น์˜ ๋ฆฌ๋”๋Š” ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ๋ฐฉ์นจ์„ ๋„์ž…ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
05:39
He told young people,
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๊ทธ๋Š” ์ฒญ๋…„๋“ค์—๊ฒŒ
05:41
"You're selfish for not having babies."
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"๋‹น์‹ ๋“ค์€ ์ž๋…€๋ฅผ ๋‚ณ์ง€ ์•Š๊ธฐ ๋•Œ๋ฌธ์— ์ด๊ธฐ์ ์ธ ์‚ฌ๋žŒ๋“ค์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค."๋ผ ๋งํ–ˆ์ฃ .
05:44
Shockingly, shaming was not a rousing aphrodisiac.
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๋†€๋ž๊ฒŒ๋„ ์ˆ˜์น˜์‹ฌ์„ ์ฃผ๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ๋Š” ๊ทธ๋“ค์„ ๊ฐ์„ฑ ์‹œํ‚ฌ ์ˆ˜ ์—†์—ˆ์ฃ .
05:49
Surprise, I know, surprise.
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๋†€๋ž์ฃ ?
05:51
Who would have thought?
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๋ˆ„๊ฐ€ ์ƒ์ƒ์ด๋‚˜ ํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์—ˆ๊ฒ ์–ด์š”?
05:52
(Laughter)
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(์›ƒ์Œ)
05:54
Let's take the DeLorean to Europe,
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์ด์ œ ๋”œ๋กœ๋ฆฌ์•ˆ์„ ์ œ๊ฐ€ ์ข‹์•„ํ•˜๋Š” ๋ง›์žˆ๋Š” ์น˜์ฆˆ๋“ค์˜ ์›์‚ฐ์ง€์ธ
05:56
the continent of delicious cheeses I love to eat but cannot pronounce.
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์œ ๋Ÿฝ์œผ๋กœ ๋ฐ๋ ค๊ฐ€ ๋ณผ๊ฒŒ์š”. ๋น„๋ก ์น˜์ฆˆ ๋ฐœ์Œ์€ ์ž˜ ๋ชปํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ์š”.
06:01
The UK and much of Western Europe
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์˜๊ตญ๊ณผ ์„œ์œ ๋Ÿฝ ๋Œ€๋‹ค์ˆ˜์˜ ๋‚˜๋ผ๋“ค์€
06:03
has a birth rate of about 1.7 kids per woman,
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1.7 ์ •๋„์˜ ์ถœ์ƒ๋ฅ ๋กœ,
06:06
which at least is better than Hungary, where it hovers around 1.45.
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๊ทธ๋ž˜๋„ ์ถœ์ƒ๋ฅ ์ด 1.45๋ฅผ ๋งด๋„๋Š” ํ—๊ฐ€๋ฆฌ์˜ ์‚ฌ์ •๋ณด๋‹ค๋Š” ๋‚ซ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
06:11
Now, Hungary's prime minister Viktor Orbรกn
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ํ—๊ฐ€๋ฆฌ์˜ ๊ตญ๋ฌด์ด๋ฆฌ์ธ ๋น…ํ† ๋ฅด ์˜ค๋ฅด๋ฐ˜์€
06:13
has proposed a new solution to try to incentivize people to have kids.
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์‚ฌ๋žŒ๋“ค์ด ์ž๋…€๋ฅผ ๊ฐ–๋„๋ก ์žฅ๋ คํ•˜๊ธฐ ์œ„ํ•œ ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ํ•ด๊ฒฐ์ฑ…์„ ์ œ์•ˆํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
06:17
He said families where the women have four or more kids
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๊ทธ๋Š” 4๋ช… ์ด์ƒ์˜ ์ž๋…€๊ฐ€ ์žˆ๋Š” ๊ฐ€์กฑ๋“ค์€
06:20
will no longer pay income tax.
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์†Œ๋“์„ธ๋ฅผ ๋‚ด์ง€ ์•Š์•„๋„ ๋œ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋งํ–ˆ์ฃ .
06:23
Pretty good, right, pretty good.
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๋งž์•„์š”, ๊ฝค ๊ดœ์ฐฎ์€ ์ œ์•ˆ์ด์—์š”.
06:25
At least it's better than Russia's 2007 proposal,
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์ตœ์†Œํ•œ ์ด ์ •์ฑ…์€ ๋Ÿฌ์‹œ์•„๊ฐ€ 2007๋…„์— ๋‚ด๋†“์•˜๋˜ ์ •์ฑ…๋ณด๋‹ค๋Š” ๋‚˜์•„์š”.
06:28
which once offered women in a particular region
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๊ทธ ๋•Œ ๋Ÿฌ์‹œ์•„๋Š” ํŠน์ • ์ง€์—ญ์˜ ์—ฌ์„ฑ๋“ค์—๊ฒŒ
06:31
the opportunity of winning a fridge if they had more kids.
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์•„์ด๋ฅผ ๋” ๋‚ณ์œผ๋ฉด ๋ƒ‰์žฅ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ์–ป์„ ๊ธฐํšŒ๋ฅผ ์ค€๋‹ค๊ณ  ํ–ˆ๊ฑฐ๋“ ์š”.
06:34
(Laughter)
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(์›ƒ์Œ)
06:36
Yeah, it didn't work, it didn't work.
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๋„ค, ๊ทธ ์ •์ฑ…์€ ์‹คํŒจํ–ˆ์ฃ .
06:39
But hold on, pump the brakes.
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๊ทธ๋Ÿฐ๋ฐ ์ž ์‹œ๋งŒ์š”.
06:41
Orbรกn is primarily proposing this because he wants to limit
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์˜ค๋ฅด๋ฐ˜์ด ์• ์ดˆ์— ์ด ์ •์ฑ…์„ ์ œ์•ˆํ•œ ์ด์œ ๋Š”
06:45
the population of Muslims and people of color.
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๋ฌด์Šฌ๋ฆผ๊ณผ ์œ ์ƒ‰ ์ธ์ข… ์ธ๊ตฌ๋ฅผ ์ œํ•œํ•˜๊ณ  ์‹ถ์–ด์„œ์˜€์–ด์š”.
06:49
He says he doesn't think Hungary's traditions and culture and color
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๊ทธ๋Š” ํ—๊ฐ€๋ฆฌ์˜ ์ „ํ†ต๊ณผ ๋ฌธํ™”์™€ ํ”ผ๋ถ€์ƒ‰์€
06:54
has to be "mixed with those of others."
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"์œ ์ƒ‰ ์ธ์ข…์˜ ๊ฒƒ๊ณผ ์„ž์ผ ํ•„์š”๊ฐ€ ์—†๋‹ค." ๋ผ๊ณ  ๋งํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
06:58
Subtle.
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๋ฏธ๋ฌ˜ํ•˜์ฃ .
06:59
Unfortunately for Orbรกn, and much of the EU,
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์˜ค๋ฅด๋ฐ˜์—๊ฒ ๋ถˆํ–‰ํ•˜๊ฒŒ๋„ ๋Œ€๋‹ค์ˆ˜์˜ EU ๊ตญ๊ฐ€๋“ค์€ ๋‹น์žฅ
07:04
the birth rates are not high enough right now
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์ถœ์ƒ๋ฅ ์„ ์ถฉ๋ถ„ํžˆ ๋†’๊ฒŒ ์œ ์ง€ํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์—†๋Š” ์ƒํ™ฉ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
07:06
to be replenished without immigration.
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์ด๋ฏผ์ž๋“ค ์—†์ด ๋ง์ด์—์š”.
07:09
Among EU countries, there is a demographic decline.
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EU ๊ตญ๊ฐ€๋“ค ์ค‘์—์„œ ์ธ๊ตฌ๊ฐ€ ๊ฐ์†Œํ•˜๋Š” ๊ณณ๋“ค๋„ ์žˆ์ฃ .
07:13
So it seems, in Europe, karma is going to be brown and Muslim.
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๋”ฐ๋ผ์„œ ๊ทธ ์—…๋ณด๋กœ ๊ฐˆ์ƒ‰ ํ”ผ๋ถ€๋ฅผ ๊ฐ€์ง„ ์‚ฌ๋žŒ๋“ค๊ณผ ๋ฌด์Šฌ๋ฆผ์ด ๋Š˜์–ด๋‚  ๊ฒƒ ๊ฐ™๋„ค์š”.
07:18
(Laughter) (Applause)
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(์›ƒ์Œ) (๋ฐ•์ˆ˜)
07:22
Just saying.
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๋งํ•˜์ž๋ฉด ๊ทธ๋ ‡๋‹ค๋Š” ๊ฑฐ์ฃ .
07:24
The question remains:
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์ด์ œ ๋‹ค์Œ์˜ ์˜๋ฌธ์ด ๋‚จ๋„ค์š”.
07:26
Why aren't people having enough kids?
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์‚ฌ๋žŒ๋“ค์€ ์™œ ์ถฉ๋ถ„ํ•œ ์ˆ˜์˜ ์ž๋…€๋ฅผ ๋‚ณ์ง€ ์•Š๋Š” ๊ฑธ๊นŒ์š”?
07:29
Why is the birth rate declining in these countries?
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์ด๋Ÿฐ ๋‚˜๋ผ๋“ค์˜ ์ถœ์ƒ๋ฅ ์€ ์™œ ๊ฐ์†Œํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฑธ๊นŒ์š”?
07:32
In some cases,
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์–ด๋–ค ๊ณณ์—์„œ๋Š” ์—ฌ์„ฑ๋“ค์˜ ๋ฌธ๋งน๋ฅ ์ด ๋‚ฎ๊ณ ,
07:33
it's because women are more literate, more educated.
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๊ต์œก์„ ๋ฐ›์€ ์—ฌ์„ฑ๋“ค์ด ๋งŽ๊ธฐ ๋•Œ๋ฌธ์ด๋ผ์ฃ .
07:37
They have more economic opportunities -- applaud.
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๊ทธ๋“ค์—๊ฒŒ๋Š” ๋” ๋งŽ์€ ๊ฒฝ์ œ์  ๊ธฐํšŒ๋“ค์ด ์žˆ์ฃ . ์ข‹์•„์š”.
07:40
All good things, all good things, yes.
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๊ทธ๊ฑด ๋ชจ๋‘์—๊ฒŒ ์ข‹์€ ์ผ์ธ ๊ฑฐ์ฃ .
07:42
(Applause)
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(๋ฐ•์ˆ˜)
07:44
In India, this has been fantastic,
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์ธ๋„์—์„œ๋Š” ๊ทธ ํšจ๊ณผ๊ฐ€ ํ™˜์ƒ์ ์ด์—ˆ์–ด์š”. ์ถœ์ƒ๋ฅ ์€ ์‹ค์งˆ์ ์œผ๋กœ ์ค„์—ˆ์œผ๋‚˜
07:46
it has actually reduced the birth rate but kept it above that magic 2.1 number.
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2.1์ด๋ผ๋Š” ๋งค์ง๋„˜๋ฒ„ ์œ„๋กœ ๊ณ„์†ํ•ด์„œ ์œ ์ง€๋์ฃ .
07:50
Women also have more access to birth control,
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๋˜ํ•œ, ์—ฌ์„ฑ๋“ค์€ ์•„์ด๋ฅผ ๋‚ณ๋Š” ๊ฒƒ๊ณผ
07:53
more control over their reproductive lives,
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์ƒ์‹ ํ™œ๋™์— ๋Œ€ํ•ด ๋” ๋งŽ์€ ๊ถŒํ•œ์„ ๊ฐ€์ง€๊ณ  ์žˆ์–ด์š”.
07:55
all good things.
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์ข‹์€ ์ผ์ด์ฃ .
07:58
But in the United States, in particular,
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ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ ํŠนํžˆ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ์—์„œ๋Š”
08:01
a lot of young people are opting out of having kids,
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๋งŽ์€ ์ฒญ๋…„๋“ค์ด ๋Œ€๋ถ€๋ถ„ ๊ฐ™์€ ์ด์œ ๋กœ
08:03
largely cite the same reason:
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์ž๋…€๋ฅผ ๋‚ณ๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ๊บผ๋ คํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์ฃ .
08:06
financial concerns.
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๊ฒฝ์ œ์  ์ด์œ ๋กœ ๋ง์ด์ฃ .
08:08
Let's take the DeLorean to my motherland, the United States of America,
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์ด์ œ ๋”œ๋กœ๋ฆฌ์•ˆ์„ ์ œ ์กฐ๊ตญ์ธ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ์œผ๋กœ ๋ฐ๋ ค๊ฐ€๋ณผ๊ฒŒ์š”.
08:12
where the birth rate hit its historic low in 2017.
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2017๋…„ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ์€ ์—ญ์‚ฌ์ƒ ๊ฐ€์žฅ ๋‚ฎ์€ ์ถœ์ƒ๋ฅ ์„ ๊ธฐ๋กํ–ˆ์ฃ .
08:18
The United States is the most expensive country in the world
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๋ฏธ๊ตญ์€ ์ž๋…€๋ฅผ ๋‚ณ๋Š”๋ฐ
08:23
to give birth.
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๊ฐ€์žฅ ๋งŽ์€ ๋น„์šฉ์ด ๋“œ๋Š” ๋‚˜๋ผ์—์š”.
08:25
If you do not have insurance,
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๋ณดํ—˜์ด ์—†๋‹ค๋ฉด
08:26
it will cost you 32,000 dollars to have a baby,
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์•„์ด๋ฅผ ๋‚ณ๋Š”๋ฐ 32,000๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ๊ฐ€ ๋“ค์–ด์š”.
08:30
if everything goes perfectly.
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์ถœ์‚ฐํ•  ๋•Œ ์–ด๋–ค ๋ฌธ์ œ๋„ ์ƒ๊ธฐ์ง€ ์•Š๋Š”๋‹ค๋ฉด ๋ง์ด์ฃ .
08:33
That's like buying a brand new Honda Odyssey minivan, OK?
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๊ทธ๊ฑด ๋งˆ์น˜ ์ƒˆ๋กœ ๋‚˜์˜จ ํ˜ผ๋‹ค ์˜ค๋”ง์„ธ์ด ๋ฏธ๋‹ˆ๋ฐด์„ ์‚ฌ๋Š” ๊ฒƒ๊ณผ ๊ฐ™์•„์š”, ๊ทธ๋ ‡์ฃ ?
08:36
So, congratulations, you just had a baby,
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์ถ•ํ•˜ํ•ด์š”. ๋‹น์‹ ์€ ๋ฐฉ๊ธˆ ์•„์ด๋ฅผ ๋‚ณ์•˜์–ด์š”.
08:38
but the baby's economic productivity is zero, and guess what?
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๊ทธ๋Ÿฐ๋ฐ ์•„์ด์˜ ๊ฒฝ์ œ์  ์ƒ์‚ฐ์„ฑ์€ 0์ด์—์š”. ๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ๋˜ ๋ญ๊ฐ€ ์žˆ์„๊นŒ์š”?
08:41
The United States is the only industrialized country in the world
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๋ฏธ๊ตญ์€ ์‚ฐ์—…ํ™” ๊ตญ๊ฐ€๋“ค ์ค‘์—์„œ
08:44
that does not require employers to offer paid parental leave.
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๊ณ ์šฉ์ฃผ๋“ค์ด ์œ ๊ธ‰ ์œก์•„ ํœด์ง์„ ์ œ๊ณตํ•˜๋„๋ก ์š”๊ตฌํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š๋Š” ์œ ์ผํ•œ ๋‚˜๋ผ์—์š”.
08:48
"Mom, you just had a baby, congratulations, that's lovely.
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"๋‹น์‹ ์€ ์ž์‹์„ ๋‚ณ์•˜์–ด์š”. ์ถ•ํ•˜ํ•ด์š”. ๊ทธ๊ฑด ๋ฉ‹์ง„ ์ผ์ด์—์š”.
08:52
Get back to work or you're fired, young mom!"
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๊ทธ๋ ‡์ง€๋งŒ ์ง์žฅ์œผ๋กœ ๋Œ์•„๊ฐ€์ง€ ์•Š์œผ๋ฉด ๋‹น์‹ ์€ ํ•ด๊ณ ์•ผ, ์ด ์ ‹์€ ์—„๋งˆ์•ผ!"
08:55
My wife and I, both working parents,
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์ œ ๋ถ€์ธ๊ณผ ์ €๋Š” ๋งž๋ฒŒ์ด๋ฅผ ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
08:58
pay about 3,500 dollars a month -- a month -- in Virginia for childcare.
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ํ•œ ๋‹ฌ์— 3,500๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ(์•ฝ 400๋งŒ์›)๋ฅผ ๋ฒ„์ง€๋‹ˆ์•„์ฃผ์— ์–‘์œก๋น„๋กœ ๋ƒ…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
09:03
If you do the math, that's 40,000 dollars a year.
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๊ณ„์‚ฐ์„ ํ•ด๋ณด๋ฉด, ํ•œ ํ•ด 40,000 ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ (์•ฝ 4,200๋งŒ์›)๊ฐ€ ๋“œ๋Š” ๊ฑฐ์˜ˆ์š”.
09:06
That's like buying a brand new, souped-up, Honda Odyssey minivan, OK.
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๊ทธ๊ฑด ๋งˆ์น˜ ์ƒˆ๋กœ ๋‚˜์˜จ ๊ณ ์„ฑ๋Šฅ ํ˜ผ๋‹ค ์˜ค๋”ง์„ธ์ด ๋ฏธ๋‹ˆ๋ฐด์„ ์‚ฌ๋Š” ๊ฒƒ๊ณผ ๊ฐ™์ฃ .
09:10
I have one, I do not need 10.
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์ €๋Š” ํ•œ ๋Œ€ ์žˆ์–ด์š”. ์—ด ๋Œ€๊นŒ์ง€๋Š” ํ•„์š” ์—†์ฃ .
09:15
So here's my bold suggestion.
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๊ทธ๋ž˜์„œ ์ œ๊ฐ€ ๋Œ€๋‹ดํ•œ ์ œ์•ˆ์„ ํ•ด๋ณด๊ฒ ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
09:17
Let's make it easier for people to have babies.
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์‚ฌ๋žŒ๋“ค์ด ์ž๋…€๋ฅผ ๋‚ณ๊ธฐ ์‰ฝ๋„๋ก ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฑฐ์˜ˆ์š”.
09:22
It seems in order to invest in our future, we actually have to invest in the present
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์šฐ๋ฆฌ์˜ ๋ฏธ๋ž˜์— ํˆฌ์žํ•˜๋ ค๋ฉด ํ˜„์žฌ์— ํˆฌ์ž๋ฅผ ํ•ด์•ผ ํ•˜๋ฉฐ,
09:26
and help those people who want to become parents.
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๋ถ€๋ชจ๊ฐ€ ๋˜๊ณ  ์‹ถ์–ด ํ•˜๋Š” ์‚ฌ๋žŒ๋“ค์—๊ฒŒ ๋„์›€์„ ์ค˜์•ผ ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
09:29
Give them affordable health care,
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๊ทธ๋“ค์—๊ฒŒ ์ ์ ˆํ•œ ๊ธˆ์•ก์˜ ์˜๋ฃŒ ์„œ๋น„์Šค์™€
09:31
give them affordable childcare,
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๋ณด์œก ์„œ๋น„์Šค๋ฅผ ์ œ๊ณตํ•˜๊ณ ,
09:33
give them paid parental leave.
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์œ ๊ธ‰ ์œก์•„ ํœด์ง์„ ์ œ๊ณตํ•ด์•ผ ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
09:36
Among the EU states in 2017, France reported the highest birth rates.
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2017๋…„์— EU ๊ตญ๊ฐ€๋“ค ์ค‘ ํ”„๋ž‘์Šค๊ฐ€ ๊ฐ€์žฅ ๋†’์€ ์ถœ์ƒ๋ฅ ์„ ๊ธฐ๋กํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค
09:40
Why?
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์™œ์ผ๊นŒ์š”?
09:41
Largely due to its pronatal policies
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์—ฌ์„ฑ๋“ค์ด ์ง์—…์„ ์œ ์ง€ํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋„๋ก ํ•œ
09:43
that actually kept women in the workforce.
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์ถœ์ƒ๋ฅ  ์ด‰์ง„ ์ •์ฑ…์ด ์ฃผ๋œ ์ด์œ ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค
09:46
I'm talking about subsidized daycare and paid maternal leave.
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๋ณด์กฐ๊ธˆ์„ ์ฃผ๋Š” ํƒ์•„์†Œ์™€ ์œ ๊ธ‰ ์—ฌ์„ฑ ์œก์•„ ํœด์ง์ด ๋ฐ”๋กœ ๊ทธ ์ •์ฑ…๋“ค์ด์ฃ .
09:50
China and Japan, thank God, are finally wisening up
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๋‹คํ–‰ํžˆ ์ค‘๊ตญ๊ณผ ์ผ๋ณธ๋„ ๊ฐ์„ฑํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
09:53
and proposing such policies.
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ์ด๋Ÿฌํ•œ ์ •์ฑ…๋“ค์„ ์ œ์•ˆํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์ฃ .
09:55
This is great.
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๊ต‰์žฅํ•œ ์ผ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
09:56
That being said, I know some of you have listened to me
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์ œ ๋ง์„ ๋“ค์—ˆ์–ด๋„ ์—ฌ๋Ÿฌ๋ถ„๋“ค ์ค‘ ์ผ๋ถ€๋Š”
09:59
and you still think the best investment we can make in the future
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์šฐ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ๋ฏธ๋ž˜๋ฅผ ์œ„ํ•ด ํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋Š” ์ตœ์„ ์˜ ํˆฌ์ž๋Š”
10:02
is not having babies.
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์ž๋…€๋ฅผ ๋‚ณ์ง€ ์•Š๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์ด๋ผ๊ณ  ์ƒ๊ฐํ•˜์‹œ๊ฒ ์ฃ .
10:05
I respect that.
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์กด์ค‘ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
10:06
I get where you're coming from.
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์™œ ๊ทธ๋ ‡๊ฒŒ ์ƒ๊ฐํ•˜์‹œ๋Š”์ง€ ์ดํ•ดํ•ด์š”.
10:07
And I know many of you in this audience want to have babies
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ์—ฌ๊ธฐ ๊ณ„์‹  ๋ถ„๋“ค์˜ ์ƒ๋‹น ์ˆ˜๊ฐ€ ์ž๋…€๋ฅผ ๋‚ณ๊ณ  ์‹ถ์–ดํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ
10:12
but you are terrified about the future.
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๋ฏธ๋ž˜๋ฅผ ๋‘๋ ค์›Œํ•œ๋‹ค๋Š” ๊ฑธ ์•Œ์•„์š”.
10:15
And as a parent, I feel you.
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๋ถ€๋ชจ๋กœ์„œ ๊ทธ ์‹ฌ์ •์„ ์ดํ•ดํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
10:18
I'm scared about the future.
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์ €๋„ ๋ฏธ๋ž˜๊ฐ€ ๋‘๋ ค์›Œ์š”.
10:20
I wrote that last line a month ago.
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๋ฐฉ๊ธˆ ๋งํ•œ ๊ทธ ๋Œ€์‚ฌ๋ฅผ ํ•œ ๋‹ฌ ์ „์— ์ผ์–ด์š”.
10:23
But it really hit home three days ago for me,
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๊ทธ๋Ÿฐ๋ฐ ์ € ๋ง์ด 3์ผ ์ „์˜ ์ €์—๊ฒŒ ๊ฐ•๋ ฌํ•˜๊ฒŒ ๋‹ค๊ฐ€์˜ค๋”๊ตฐ์š”.
10:25
while I was at TED.
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์ œ๊ฐ€ TED์— ์žˆ์—ˆ์„ ๋•Œ ๋ง์ด์ฃ .
10:29
Three days ago, my wife calls me, crying.
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3์ผ ์ „, ์ œ ์•„๋‚ด๊ฐ€ ์šธ๋ฉด์„œ ์ €์—๊ฒŒ ์ „ํ™”ํ•˜๋”๊ตฐ์š”.
10:32
I pick it up in my hotel room.
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์ €๋Š” ๊ทธ ์ „ํ™”๋ฅผ ํ˜ธํ…” ๋ฐฉ์—์„œ ๋ฐ›์•˜์–ด์š”.
10:34
And she said, "I'm calling from the hospital."
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์•„๋‚ด๊ฐ€ ๋งํ–ˆ์ฃ . "๋‚˜ ์ง€๊ธˆ ๋ณ‘์›์—์„œ ์ „ํ™”ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฑฐ์•ผ."
10:36
We had to take my baby daughter Nusayba,
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์ „์‚ฌ์ด์ž ๊ณต์ฃผ์ธ ๋ˆ„์„ธ์ด๋ฐ”์˜ ์ด๋ฆ„์„ ๋”ด
10:38
who was named after a warrior princess,
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์ €ํฌ ๋”ธ์„ ๋ณ‘์›์œผ๋กœ ๋ฐ๋ ค๊ฐ€์•ผ ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
10:40
to the hospital, because she found a bump on the stomach.
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์•„์ด์˜ ๋ฐฐ์—์„œ ํ˜น์„ ๋ฐœ๊ฒฌํ–ˆ๊ฑฐ๋“ ์š”.
10:43
We got back the results, and there were bumps all around her liver.
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์ €ํฌ๋Š” ์•„์ด์˜ ๊ฐ„ ์ฃผ์œ„๊ฐ€ ์˜จํ†ต ํ˜น๋“ค๋กœ ๋’ค๋ฎ์—ฌ ์žˆ๋‹ค๋Š” ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ๋ฅผ ๋ฐ›์•˜์–ด์š”.
10:47
Today, this morning, we found out that she has stage IV liver cancer.
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์˜ค๋Š˜ ์•„์นจ, ์ €ํฌ๋Š” ์•„์ด๊ฐ€ ๊ฐ„์•” 4๊ธฐ๋ผ๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ์•Œ์•˜์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
10:51
(Audience gasps)
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(์ฒญ์ค‘๋“ค ๋†€๋žŒ)
11:00
It has been a challenging week.
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ํž˜๋“  ํ•œ ์ฃผ์˜€์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
11:03
It has been a challenging week.
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์ •๋ง ํž˜๋“ค์—ˆ์ฃ .
11:04
And if I may, I just want to take a moment
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ์ž ์‹œ ๋งํ•˜์ž๋ฉด,
11:07
to acknowledge the TED staff, everyone, top-down,
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TED ์ง์› ๋ถ„๋“ค๊ณผ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ถ„๋“ค, ์œ—์ชฝ๊ณผ ์•„๋žซ์ชฝ์— ๊ณ„์‹  ๋ถ„๋“ค
11:10
everyone in the back, in the green room, some of the speakers, word has spread.
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๋’ค์— ๊ณ„์‹  ๋ถ„๋“ค, ์ดˆ๋ก์ƒ‰ ๋ฐฉ์— ๊ณ„์‹  ๋ถ„๋“ค๊ณผ ์ผ๋ถ€ ์—ฐ์‚ฌ๋ถ„๋“ค๊ป˜ ์ด ์†Œ์‹์ด ์•Œ๋ ค์กŒ์„ ๊ฒ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
11:14
On behalf of my family, my wife,
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์ €ํฌ ๊ฐ€์กฑ, ์ œ ์•„๋‚ด ๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ 
11:16
and my parents -- my Pakistani parents said I had to say this --
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์ œ๊ฐ€ ๊ผญ ์ด ๋ง์„ ํ•ด์•ผ ํ•œ๋‹ค ๋ง์”€ํ•ด์ฃผ์‹  ์ œ ํŒŒํ‚ค์Šคํƒ„์ธ ๋ถ€๋ชจ๋‹˜์„ ๋ชจ๋‘ ๋Œ€ํ‘œํ•ด์„œ
11:19
thank you for just being decent and kind this week.
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์ด๋ฒˆ ์ฃผ์— ๋ณด์—ฌ์ฃผ์‹  ์—ฌ๋Ÿฌ๋ถ„์˜ ์นœ์ ˆํ•จ๊ณผ ๋”ฐ๋œปํ•จ์— ๊ฐ์‚ฌํ•˜๋‹ค๋Š” ๋ง์„ ์ „ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
11:22
So thank you.
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๊ฐ์‚ฌํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
11:23
(Applause)
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(๋ฐ•์ˆ˜)
11:31
These are my beloveds, my Ibrahim and Nusayba, my babies.
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์ด ์•„์ด๋“ค์€ ์ œ๊ฐ€ ์‚ฌ๋ž‘ํ•˜๋Š” ์šฐ๋ฆฌ ์•„์ด๋“ค, ์ด๋ธŒ๋ผํž˜๊ณผ ๋ˆ„์„ธ์ด๋ฐ”์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
11:36
I talked to my wife,
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์ €๋Š” ๋ถ€์ธ์—๊ฒŒ ๋งํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
11:37
and despite the terrible news and the fight ahead,
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๋”์ฐํ•œ ์†Œ์‹๊ณผ ์šฐ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ์•ž๋‘๊ณ  ์žˆ๋Š” ์‹ธ์›€์—๋„ ๋ถˆ๊ตฌํ•˜๊ณ ,
11:40
we both concluded that we regret nothing.
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์•„๋ฌด๊ฒƒ๋„ ํ›„ํšŒํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š๋Š”๋‹ค๊ณ , ์ €ํฌ๋Š” ๊ฒฐ๋ก ์ง€์—ˆ์–ด์š”.
11:45
Deciding to have babies was the best decision we ever made.
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์ž๋…€๋ฅผ ๋‚ณ๊ธฐ๋กœ ํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์€ ์ €ํฌ๊ฐ€ ๋‚ด๋ฆฐ ์ตœ๊ณ ์˜ ๊ฒฐ์ •์ด์—ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
11:50
Our babies have brought us so much joy and they've brought the world so much joy,
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์ œ ์•„์ด๋“ค์€ ์ €ํฌ์™€ ์ด ์„ธ์ƒ์— ์•„์ฃผ ํฐ ๊ธฐ์จ์„ ๊ฐ€์ ธ๋‹ค ์ฃผ์—ˆ์–ด์š”.
11:54
and having kids is a risk, but life is a risk.
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์ž๋…€๋ฅผ ๋‚ณ๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์€ ์œ„ํ—˜์ด ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋Š” ์ผ์ด์ง€๋งŒ, ์ธ์ƒ ์ž์ฒด๊ฐ€ ์œ„ํ—˜์ด๊ธฐ๋„ ํ•˜์ฃ .
11:58
And yes, I hope you've been paying attention,
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ์ œ ์ด์•ผ๊ธฐ๋ฅผ ๊ท€ ๊ธฐ์šธ์—ฌ ๋“ค์–ด์ฃผ์…จ๋‹ค๋ฉด
12:00
we need to invest in babies in developed countries
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์šฐ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ์„ ์ง„๊ตญ์˜ ์•„์ด๋“ค์—๊ฒŒ ํˆฌ์ž๋ฅผ ํ•ด์•ผํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
12:02
if we want to help save our economy and pensions.
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๊ฒฝ์ œ์™€ ์—ฐ๊ธˆ์„ ์œ ์ง€ํ•˜๋Š”๋ฐ ๋„์›€์ด ๋˜๊ณ  ์‹ถ๋‹ค๋ฉด ๋ง์ด์ฃ .
12:05
But that's not the reason you have babies.
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๊ทธ๋Ÿฌ๋‚˜ ๊ทธ๊ฒƒ์ด ์—ฌ๋Ÿฌ๋ถ„์ด ์ž๋…€๋ฅผ ๋‚ณ๋Š” ์ด์œ ๋Š” ์•„๋‹ˆ์ž–์•„์š”.
12:07
That's not the main reason.
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๊ทธ๊ฒŒ ์ฃผ๋œ ์ด์œ ๊ฐ€ ์•„๋‹ˆ์ฃ .
12:09
Babies have always represented
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์•„์ด๋“ค์€ ์–ธ์ œ๋‚˜ ์ธ๋ฅ˜์˜ ์ตœ์„ ์ด๋ฉฐ,
12:10
humanity's best, boldest, most beautiful infinite possibilities.
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๊ฐ€์žฅ ์šฉ๊ฐํ•˜๊ณ , ์•„๋ฆ„๋‹ค์šด ๋ฌดํ•œํ•œ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ์ด์ฃ .
12:16
And if we in developed countries,
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ๋งŒ์ผ ์„ ์ง„๊ตญ์— ์‚ด๊ณ  ์žˆ๋Š”
12:18
as a whole, opt out,
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์šฐ๋ฆฌ ๋ชจ๋‘๊ฐ€
12:20
and don't invest in present and future generations,
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ํ˜„์žฌ์™€ ๋ฏธ๋ž˜ ์„ธ๋Œ€์— ํˆฌ์žํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š๋Š”๋‹ค๋ฉด,
12:23
then what the hell's the point?
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์ด๊ฒŒ ๋‹ค ๋ฌด์Šจ ์˜๋ฏธ๊ฐ€ ์žˆ์„๊นŒ์š”?
12:25
What's the point of being on this absurd journey together?
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์ด ๋ง๋„ ์•ˆ๋˜๋Š” ์—ฌ์ •์„ ์šฐ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ํ•จ๊ป˜ํ•˜๋Š” ์ด์œ ๊ฐ€ ๋ญ˜๊นŒ์š”?
12:29
And so, for those who can and who choose to,
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๊ทธ๋ž˜์„œ ์•„์ด๋ฅผ ๋‚ณ์„ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๊ณ ,
12:34
for those who can and who choose to have kids,
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์•„์ด๋ฅผ ๋‚ณ๊ธฐ๋กœ ๊ฒฐ์ •ํ•˜์‹  ๋ถ„๋“ค์„ ์œ„ํ•ด ๋ง์”€๋“œ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ์‹ถ์–ด์š”.
12:38
may you pass on this beautiful thing called life,
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์นœ์ ˆ๊ณผ ๋„ˆ๊ทธ๋Ÿฌ์›€, ๋”ฐ๋œปํ•จ๊ณผ ์‚ฌ๋ž‘์„ ํ’ˆ์€
12:42
with kindness, generosity,
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์ด ์•„๋ฆ„๋‹ค์šด ์ƒ๋ช…์„
12:46
decency and love.
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๋‹ค์Œ ์„ธ๋Œ€์— ์ „ํ•ด์ฃผ์„ธ์š”.
12:50
Thank you.
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๊ฐ์‚ฌํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
12:51
(Applause)
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(๋ฐ•์ˆ˜)
์ด ์›น์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ ์ •๋ณด

์ด ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ๋Š” ์˜์–ด ํ•™์Šต์— ์œ ์šฉํ•œ YouTube ๋™์˜์ƒ์„ ์†Œ๊ฐœํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ „ ์„ธ๊ณ„ ์ตœ๊ณ ์˜ ์„ ์ƒ๋‹˜๋“ค์ด ๊ฐ€๋ฅด์น˜๋Š” ์˜์–ด ์ˆ˜์—…์„ ๋ณด๊ฒŒ ๋  ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ฐ ๋™์˜์ƒ ํŽ˜์ด์ง€์— ํ‘œ์‹œ๋˜๋Š” ์˜์–ด ์ž๋ง‰์„ ๋”๋ธ” ํด๋ฆญํ•˜๋ฉด ๊ทธ๊ณณ์—์„œ ๋™์˜์ƒ์ด ์žฌ์ƒ๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋น„๋””์˜ค ์žฌ์ƒ์— ๋งž์ถฐ ์ž๋ง‰์ด ์Šคํฌ๋กค๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์˜๊ฒฌ์ด๋‚˜ ์š”์ฒญ์ด ์žˆ๋Š” ๊ฒฝ์šฐ ์ด ๋ฌธ์˜ ์–‘์‹์„ ์‚ฌ์šฉํ•˜์—ฌ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹ญ์‹œ์˜ค.

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