How the blockchain is changing money and business | Don Tapscott

5,021,539 views ใƒป 2016-09-16

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The technology likely to have the greatest impact
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on the next few decades
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has arrived.
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And it's not social media.
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It's not big data.
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It's not robotics.
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It's not even AI.
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You'll be surprised to learn
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that it's the underlying technology of digital currencies like Bitcoin.
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It's called the blockchain. Blockchain.
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Now, it's not the most sonorous word in the world,
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but I believe that this is now
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the next generation of the internet,
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and that it holds vast promise for every business, every society
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and for all of you, individually.
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You know, for the past few decades, we've had the internet of information.
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And when I send you an email or a PowerPoint file or something,
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I'm actually not sending you the original,
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I'm sending you a copy.
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And that's great.
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This is democratized information.
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But when it comes to assets --
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things like money,
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financial assets like stocks and bonds,
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loyalty points, intellectual property,
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music, art, a vote,
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carbon credit and other assets --
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sending you a copy is a really bad idea.
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If I send you 100 dollars,
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it's really important that I don't still have the money --
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(Laughter)
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and that I can't send it to you.
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This has been called the "double-spend" problem
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by cryptographers for a long time.
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So today, we rely entirely on big intermediaries --
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middlemen like banks, government,
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big social media companies, credit card companies and so on --
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to establish trust in our economy.
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And these intermediaries perform all the business and transaction logic
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of every kind of commerce,
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from authentication, identification of people,
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through to clearing, settling and record keeping.
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And overall, they do a pretty good job.
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But there are growing problems.
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To begin, they're centralized.
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That means they can be hacked, and increasingly are --
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JP Morgan, the US Federal Government,
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LinkedIn, Home Depot and others
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found that out the hard way.
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They exclude billions of people from the global economy,
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for example, people who don't have enough money
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to have a bank account.
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They slow things down.
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It can take a second for an email to go around the world,
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but it can take days or weeks
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for money to move through the banking system across a city.
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And they take a big piece of the action --
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10 to 20 percent just to send money to another country.
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They capture our data,
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and that means we can't monetize it
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or use it to better manage our lives.
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Our privacy is being undermined.
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And the biggest problem is that overall,
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they've appropriated the largesse of the digital age asymmetrically:
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we have wealth creation, but we have growing social inequality.
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So what if there were not only an internet of information,
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what if there were an internet of value --
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some kind of vast, global, distributed ledger
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running on millions of computers
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and available to everybody.
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And where every kind of asset, from money to music,
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could be stored, moved, transacted, exchanged and managed,
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all without powerful intermediaries?
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What if there were a native medium for value?
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Well, in 2008, the financial industry crashed
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and, perhaps propitiously,
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an anonymous person or persons named Satoshi Nakamoto
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created a paper where he developed a protocol for a digital cash
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that used an underlying cryptocurrency called Bitcoin.
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And this cryptocurrency enabled people to establish trust and do transactions
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without a third party.
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And this seemingly simple act set off a spark
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that ignited the world,
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that has everyone excited or terrified or otherwise interested
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in many places.
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Now, don't be confused about Bitcoin --
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Bitcoin is an asset; it goes up and down,
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and that should be of interest to you if you're a speculator.
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More broadly, it's a cryptocurrency.
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It's not a fiat currency controlled by a nation-state.
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And that's of greater interest.
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But the real pony here is the underlying technology.
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It's called blockchain.
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So for the first time now in human history,
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people everywhere can trust each other
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and transact peer to peer.
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And trust is established, not by some big institution,
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but by collaboration, by cryptography
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and by some clever code.
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And because trust is native to the technology,
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I call this, "The Trust Protocol."
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Now, you're probably wondering: How does this thing work?
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Fair enough.
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Assets -- digital assets like money to music and everything in between --
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are not stored in a central place,
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but they're distributed across a global ledger,
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using the highest level of cryptography.
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And when a transaction is conducted,
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it's posted globally,
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across millions and millions of computers.
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And out there, around the world,
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is a group of people called "miners."
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These are not young people, they're Bitcoin miners.
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They have massive computing power at their fingertips --
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10 to 100 times bigger than all of Google worldwide.
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These miners do a lot of work.
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And every 10 minutes,
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kind of like the heartbeat of a network,
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a block gets created
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that has all the transactions from the previous 10 minutes.
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Then the miners get to work, trying to solve some tough problems.
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And they compete:
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the first miner to find out the truth and to validate the block,
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is rewarded in digital currency,
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in the case of the Bitcoin blockchain, with Bitcoin.
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And then -- this is the key part --
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that block is linked to the previous block
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and the previous block
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to create a chain of blocks.
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And every one is time-stamped,
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kind of like with a digital waxed seal.
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So if I wanted to go and hack a block
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and, say, pay you and you with the same money,
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I'd have to hack that block,
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plus all the preceding blocks,
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the entire history of commerce on that blockchain,
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not just on one computer but across millions of computers,
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simultaneously,
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all using the highest levels of encryption,
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in the light of the most powerful computing resource in the world
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that's watching me.
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Tough to do.
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This is infinitely more secure
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than the computer systems that we have today.
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Blockchain. That's how it works.
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So the Bitcoin blockchain is just one.
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There are many.
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The Ethereum blockchain was developed by a Canadian named Vitalik Buterin.
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He's [22] years old,
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and this blockchain has some extraordinary capabilities.
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One of them is that you can build smart contracts.
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It's kind of what it sounds like.
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It's a contract that self-executes,
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and the contract handles the enforcement, the management, performance
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and payment -- the contract kind of has a bank account, too, in a sense --
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of agreements between people.
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And today, on the Ethereum blockchain,
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there are projects underway to do everything
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from create a new replacement for the stock market
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to create a new model of democracy,
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where politicians are accountable to citizens.
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(Applause)
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So to understand what a radical change this is going to bring,
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let's look at one industry, financial services.
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Recognize this?
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Rube Goldberg machine.
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It's a ridiculously complicated machine that does something really simple,
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like crack an egg or shut a door.
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Well, it kind of reminds me of the financial services industry,
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honestly.
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I mean, you tap your card in the corner store,
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and a bitstream goes through a dozen companies,
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each with their own computer system,
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some of them being 1970s mainframes
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older than many of the people in this room,
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and three days later, a settlement occurs.
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Well, with a blockchain financial industry,
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there would be no settlement,
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because the payment and the settlement is the same activity,
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it's just a change in the ledger.
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So Wall Street and all around the world,
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the financial industry is in a big upheaval about this,
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wondering, can we be replaced,
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or how do we embrace this technology for success?
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Now, why should you care?
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Well, let me describe some applications.
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Prosperity.
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The first era of the internet,
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the internet of information,
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brought us wealth but not shared prosperity,
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because social inequality is growing.
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And this is at the heart of all of the anger and extremism
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and protectionism and xenophobia and worse
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that we're seeing growing in the world today,
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Brexit being the most recent case.
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So could we develop some new approaches to this problem of inequality?
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Because the only approach today is to redistribute wealth,
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tax people and spread it around more.
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Could we pre-distribute wealth?
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Could we change the way that wealth gets created in the first place
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by democratizing wealth creation,
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engaging more people in the economy,
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and then ensuring that they got fair compensation?
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Let me describe five ways that this can be done.
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Number one:
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Did you know that 70 percent of the people in the world who have land
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have a tenuous title to it?
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So, you've got a little farm in Honduras, some dictator comes to power,
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he says, "I know you've got a piece of paper that says you own your farm,
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but the government computer says my friend owns your farm."
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This happened on a mass scale in Honduras,
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and this problem exists everywhere.
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Hernando de Soto, the great Latin American economist,
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says this is the number one issue in the world
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in terms of economic mobility,
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more important than having a bank account,
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because if you don't have a valid title to your land,
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you can't borrow against it,
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and you can't plan for the future.
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So today, companies are working with governments
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to put land titles on a blockchain.
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And once it's there, this is immutable.
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You can't hack it.
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This creates the conditions for prosperity
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for potentially billions of people.
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Secondly:
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a lot of writers talk about Uber
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and Airbnb and TaskRabbit and Lyft and so on
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as part of the sharing economy.
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This is a very powerful idea,
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that peers can come together and create and share wealth.
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My view is that ...
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these companies are not really sharing.
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In fact, they're successful precisely because they don't share.
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They aggregate services together, and they sell them.
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What if, rather than Airbnb being a $25 billion corporation,
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there was a distributed application on a blockchain, we'll call it B-Airbnb,
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and it was essentially owned by all of the people
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who have a room to rent.
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And when someone wants to rent a room,
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they go onto the blockchain database and all the criteria,
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they sift through, it helps them find the right room,
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and then the blockchain helps with the contracting,
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it identifies the party,
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it handles the payments
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just through digital payments -- they're built into the system.
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And it even handles reputation,
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because if she rates a room as a five-star room,
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that room is there,
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and it's rated, and it's immutable.
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So, the big sharing-economy disruptors in Silicon Valley
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could be disrupted,
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and this would be good for prosperity.
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Number three:
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the biggest flow of funds from the developed world
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to the developing world
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is not corporate investment,
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and it's not even foreign aid.
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It's remittances.
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This is the global diaspora;
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people have left their ancestral lands,
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and they're sending money back to their families at home.
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This is 600 billion dollars a year, and it's growing,
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and these people are getting ripped off.
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Analie Domingo is a housekeeper.
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She lives in Toronto,
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and every month she goes to the Western Union office
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with some cash
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to send her remittances to her mom in Manila.
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It costs her around 10 percent;
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the money takes four to seven days to get there;
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her mom never knows when it's going to arrive.
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It takes five hours out of her week to do this.
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Six months ago,
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Analie Domingo used a blockchain application called Abra.
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And from her mobile device, she sent 300 bucks.
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It went directly to her mom's mobile device
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without going through an intermediary.
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And then her mom looked at her mobile device --
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it's kind of like an Uber interface, there's Abra "tellers" moving around.
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She clicks on a teller that's a five-star teller,
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who's seven minutes away.
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The guy shows up at the door, gives her Filipino pesos,
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she puts them in her wallet.
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The whole thing took minutes,
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and it cost her two percent.
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This is a big opportunity for prosperity.
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Number four: the most powerful asset of the digital age is data.
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And data is really a new asset class,
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maybe bigger than previous asset classes,
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like land under the agrarian economy,
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or an industrial plant,
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or even money.
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And all of you -- we -- create this data.
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We create this asset,
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and we leave this trail of digital crumbs behind us
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as we go throughout life.
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And these crumbs are collected into a mirror image of you,
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the virtual you.
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And the virtual you may know more about you than you do,
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because you can't remember what you bought a year ago,
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or said a year ago, or your exact location a year ago.
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And the virtual you is not owned by you --
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that's the big problem.
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So today, there are companies working
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to create an identity in a black box,
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the virtual you owned by you.
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And this black box moves around with you
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as you travel throughout the world,
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and it's very, very stingy.
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It only gives away the shred of information
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that's required to do something.
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A lot of transactions,
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the seller doesn't even need to know who you are.
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They just need to know that they got paid.
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And then this avatar is sweeping up all of this data
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and enabling you to monetize it.
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And this is a wonderful thing,
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because it can also help us protect our privacy,
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and privacy is the foundation of a free society.
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Let's get this asset that we create
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back under our control,
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where we can own our own identity
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and manage it responsibly.
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Finally --
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(Applause)
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Finally, number five:
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there are a whole number of creators of content
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who don't receive fair compensation,
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because the system for intellectual property is broken.
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It was broken by the first era of the internet.
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Take music.
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Musicians are left with crumbs at the end of the whole food chain.
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You know, if you were a songwriter, 25 years ago, you wrote a hit song,
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it got a million singles,
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16:18
you could get royalties of around 45,000 dollars.
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16:21
Today, you're a songwriter, you write a hit song,
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16:23
it gets a million streams,
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you don't get 45k,
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you get 36 dollars,
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enough to buy a nice pizza.
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So Imogen Heap,
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the Grammy-winning singer-songwriter,
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is now putting music on a blockchain ecosystem.
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She calls it "Mycelia."
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And the music has a smart contract surrounding it.
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And the music protects her intellectual property rights.
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You want to listen to the song?
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It's free, or maybe a few micro-cents that flow into a digital account.
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16:54
You want to put the song in your movie, that's different,
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16:57
and the IP rights are all specified.
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16:59
You want to make a ringtone? That's different.
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17:02
She describes that the song becomes a business.
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17:05
It's out there on this platform marketing itself,
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17:08
protecting the rights of the author,
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17:10
and because the song has a payment system
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in the sense of bank account,
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all the money flows back to the artist,
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and they control the industry,
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rather than these powerful intermediaries.
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Now, this is --
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(Applause)
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17:27
This is not just songwriters,
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it's any creator of content,
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17:30
like art,
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17:32
like inventions,
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17:34
scientific discoveries, journalists.
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17:37
There are all kinds of people who don't get fair compensation,
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17:40
and with blockchains,
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they're going to be able to make it rain on the blockchain.
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17:46
And that's a wonderful thing.
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17:48
So, these are five opportunities
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out of a dozen
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to solve one problem, prosperity,
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which is one of countless problems
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18:00
that blockchains are applicable to.
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18:03
Now, technology doesn't create prosperity, of course -- people do.
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18:07
But my case to you is that, once again,
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18:11
the technology genie has escaped from the bottle,
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18:15
and it was summoned by an unknown person or persons
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18:18
at this uncertain time in human history,
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18:22
and it's giving us another kick at the can,
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18:25
another opportunity to rewrite the economic power grid
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18:30
and the old order of things,
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and solve some of the world's most difficult problems,
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if we will it.
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Thank you.
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(Applause)
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About this website

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